Teahupo’o Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next two weeks are gonna have some ups and downs, so let’s not waste any time.

First off, Friday the 14th through Sunday the 16th, it’s all garbage. Onshore winds, choppy, messy surf. The swell is weak to moderate (784, 507), and it isn’t worth paddling out for. Saturday afternoon has some size, 4ft, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s all just wind-chop. Skip it.

Monday the 17th is a slight improvement. Wind turns cross-offshore, and the waves clean up a touch. You’ve got around 5ft of south swell with a 12-second period, but it’s still disorganized. Energy is moderate (1056), but the quality isn’t there. It’s a maybe.

Now, here’s your first real window. Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th look good. Tuesday morning starts with light offshore winds from the NNE, and the swell is a clean 3ft, but the period is a huge 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell. The energy is solid (1031) and the conditions are clean. Tuesday afternoon the swell builds to 5ft from the SSE with a 14-second period and the offshore wind holds. This is what it’s all about. Wednesday morning is also excellent, with a 4ft SW swell at 17 seconds and light cross-offshore winds. These are the days for the experienced crew. Water temp is about average for this time of year.

Then it falls apart. Thursday the 20th, wind goes onshore from the SE and it gets bumpy. The swell jumps to 8ft – 10ft, and the energy is strong (2807). But it’s all cross-onshore chop. It’s gonna be a battle. From Thursday the 20th to Saturday the 22nd, we’ve got a solid run of onshore and cross-shore winds, with the swell in the 7ft to 8ft range. It’s powerful but junky. Not fun.

Sunday the 23rd is still a bit messy, but Monday the 24th morning is the one to circle. We get a return of the NNE offshore wind, light, and the swell is a solid 7ft from the SSW with a 15-second period. The energy is strong (1997). This is the standout of the whole forecast. It’s big, it’s clean, it’s got all the power. This is the day to get after it.

After that, it fades out. Tuesday the 25th through the end of the period, things get smaller and the wind gets flukey. You have a mix of cross-shore and cross-on winds, with the swell dropping from 5ft down to around 4ft. Conditions are mostly marginal. There’s a tiny chance Tuesday afternoon with a 5ft SSW swell and light cross-shore winds, but it’s not the same.

So, to wrap it up: the first few days are a total loss, then you’ve got a couple of good days on the 18th and 19th, then a big, windy mess, and then a classic Teahupo’o day on the 24th, which is the real gem. The period after that is mostly small and iffy. Keep your eyes on the 24th, that’s the one.

Rusty out.

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