Teahupo’o Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me just get my head around this forecast. It's Teahupo’o we're talkin' about. Right. There's a bit of a slow start and then some real heaters coming through, though a lot of it comes with a punch.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off. Wednesday (8th July) and Thursday (9th July) are pretty small and messy, not really worth paddling out for. The real story starts to build from the weekend but it gets real gnarly, real quick. The week ahead is all about big, powerful groundswells.

By Sunday 12th July, we've got a solid 5ft to 6ft SSW swell rollin' in, but the wind is cross-onshore and lumpy, so it's gonna be a battle. The energy is moderate to strong, but the quality just isn't there. Same story rolls into Monday 13th July – the swell kicks up to 7ft to 8ft from the SW, with a period around 13 seconds. The combined energy is right up there in the strong range, but onshore winds are still making a mess of it.

Now, Tuesday 14th July is where you need to have your eyes wide open. We're looking at an 8ft SW groundswell, with a long 15-second period. The combined energy is very strong. The wind is light from the S and SSE, only a light breeze with small ripples. This is the standout window. Light cross-onshore wind on a wave this size and power at Teahupo’o... it's going to be a freight train. Absolutely massive, clean, and scary. Experts only. Full stop.

The swell stays pumping through Wednesday 15th July, hitting 10ft from the SSW with a 15-second period. Energy is peaking. But the wind swings back around to a moderate cross-shore which will chop things up a bit. Still huge, but less perfect.

Thursday 16th July morning looks like another good shout for experienced chargers. Swell is still a very solid 8ft from the SSW, period 13 seconds, and the wind is a gentle offshore breeze from the ENE, making things clean. The combined energy is strong. This is a prime window for heavy, barreling waves.

After that, the wind gets messy again from Friday 17th through to the end of the weekend, with onshore and cross-onshore winds spoiling the party. The swell sticks around in the 6ft to 7ft range, but it’s choppy and lumpy.

Looking out to the following week, the 21st of July Tuesday afternoon has some promise. The swell drops to 5ft from the S, but with a clean moderate offshore wind from the NE. It'll be a much smaller, cleaner day for the more intermediate crew who can handle the reef.

Water temp is unremarkable for the time of year, so don't expect a surprise.

Overall, the standout is the 14th of July Tuesday morning and afternoon. That's the one you circle on the calendar for a proper, heavy, low-wind assault. Thursday 16th morning is your second pick. For everything else, you're either getting cleaned up by wind or swamped by the size unless you're on a gun and know what you're doing.

Rusty.

Read more