Teahupo’o Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Teahupo’o over the next couple of weeks. Right off the bat, there’s some serious energy on the cards, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag with the wind. The first few days look promising for experienced surfers only, with a solid long-period SSW groundswell and light offshore or glassy conditions. The wave energy is strong, with values hitting four digits straight away, and a 17-second period means plenty of power and long lulls between sets—classic reef-break territory. The water temp isn’t flagged as unusual, so figure it’s about average for this time of year.

Wednesday the 19th is a ripper. Teahupo’o itself is the break, and Wednesday morning serves up 4ft of clean, 17-second SSW swell with a gentle offshore breeze from the N. The combined swell energy is sitting at 1339 (moderate-to-strong), and it’s described as “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That’s the standout of the opening window—clean, glassy potential, but this wave is no joke. It’s an advanced reef, breaks very consistently, and crowds are often a factor here. Wednesday afternoon gets even better: glassy, with a 3 mph NNW breeze, same 4ft SSW swell, and energy still strong at 1213. For a surfer who knows this slab, Wednesday is the call.

Thursday the 20th starts clean too. Early morning has 7ft of SW swell at 15 seconds, cross-off wind from the WNW at 3 mph, and energy jumps to 2270—that’s strong wave energy. It’s still clean and excellent for the experienced crew. But Thursday afternoon goes sour fast: cross-onshore wind swings in from the WSW at 12 mph, chopping up that 8ft swell. The score drops, and it’s marginal at best.

From Friday the 21st through Saturday the 22nd, forget it. Strong cross-onshore winds from the SSE and SE, 15–19 mph, with messy conditions. Swell is still 7ft to 8ft, but it’s blown out, poor surf—no good for paddling.

Sunday the 23rd morning offers a bit of a reprieve. The wind goes cross-off from the E at 22 mph, and there’s a solid 8ft S swell with a 15-second period, energy a massive 5049 (very strong wave energy). It’s clean on paper, but that wind is fresh, and the size is pushing expert-only territory. The afternoon turns into a messy cross-shore mess with 12ft surf—too big and chopped for anything sensible.

Monday the 24th through Tuesday the 25th is mostly a write-off. Strong cross-shore winds, lumpy cross-chop, and poor conditions. Tuesday afternoon even sees short-period 7-second ESE windswell mixing in—not what you want at a reef.

The second week is a long-range whisper, less certain. From Wednesday the 26th onward, there’s a persistent 25 mph E to ESE breeze, mostly cross-off or cross, keeping things bumpy. Swell sizes bounce around 5ft to 10ft, with periods from 8 to 17 seconds, but the wind never really lays down. The best of a rough week could be Saturday the 29th: 8ft to 10ft SSW swell at 16-17 seconds, cross-off E winds, energy in the 4500-4700 range—clean but still strong breeze, and only for experts. Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st are cross-shore and messy again. By the 1st of September, it fades into weak, onshore junk.

If you’re an experienced charger, Wednesday the 19th is your day—no question. Clean, glassy, groundswell pumping. The rest of the window is either blown out or too gnarly for anyone but the hardcore.

That’s the outlook. Stay safe out there.
Rusty

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