Teahupo’o Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down the upcoming surf at Teahupo’o. We’re looking at a slow start, but the tail end of this 16-day window is where the real action is.

The water temp is just about normal for this time of year, nothing wild. The first few days, through Saturday and Sunday, we’ve got solid SSW swell running 5.6ft to 6.6ft, with a period of 13 to 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. Combined wave energy is strong (1625). The wind is cross-off, not terrible, but we’ve got thunderstorms about making it messy. The conditions are labelled clean, but the forecast is low, so it’s a pass. Think of it as the reef warming up.

Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th are a bust. Swell drops to 3.6ft to 4.3ft, wind goes onshore and choppy, and the energy drops below 900 (moderate). The forecast says poor surf conditions – save your energy.

Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th are still marginal. Swell sizes hang around 3ft to 4.9ft. On Thursday the 9th, we get a groundswell with a period of 18 seconds (very long) out of the SSW, but only 3ft of wave height – not enough push for the reef. Wind is cross-off and clean, but the energy is moderate (845). Not worth the long wait.

Now, here’s the turn. Friday the 10th of July, things get interesting. Swell comes up to 5.6ft out of the ESE, with an 8-second period (short period windswell). Not ideal period, but the wind is offshore (NNE at 19 mph) and the early morning is “fresh offshore and clean.” By the afternoon, wind drops to 12 mph and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” The combined energy is moderate (965). Not classic Teahupo’o, but the offshore wind makes it clean and rideable.

Saturday the 11th of July is a standout. Morning has 3.9ft of SW groundswell with a 14-second period, light offshore breeze (NNE at 6 mph), and the afternoon goes glassy (NNW at 3 mph) with 4.3ft SW swell at 13 seconds. The forecast scores are “very good,” and it’s the cleanest, most user-friendly window of the whole period. Crowds are “often,” so expect company. Combined energy is moderate around 909 to 999. This is a solid day.

But the absolute best? Sunday the 12th of July. Morning has 4.3ft SSW groundswell with an 18-second period (very long) and a light offshore NE breeze at 6 mph. By the afternoon, it’s 4.6ft of the same SSW groundswell at 17 seconds, with glassy NE wind at 3 mph. The forecast says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers,” and the combined energy jumps to 1332 (strong). This is the real deal – long-period groundswell on the reef with perfect wind. At 4.3ft to 4.6ft, it’s manageable for strong intermediates, but it’s still Teahupo’o. The crowd will be there (“often”), but this is the session to plan for. The SSW direction is spot on for the optimum S swell.

Monday the 13th of July is very good too, with similar 4.3ft SSW groundswell, a 16-second period, and moderate offshore NNE wind at 12 mph. Combined energy is strong (1038). A notch down from Sunday, but still a great day.

Tuesday the 14th of July brings a new pulse: 5.9ft SW swell with a 13-second period, cross-off wind from the north. Combined energy is strong (1722). The wind isn’t perfect, but the size is up. The comments say “marginal” but “clean.” A respectable day.

Now, Wednesday the 15th of July. This is big. Swell hits 7.5ft out of the SSW with a 15-second period (very

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