Teahupo’o Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into the only game in town for this stretch: Teahupo’o. It’s an advanced, very consistent reef break that’s exposed to the swell, so when it’s on, it’s on. Water temps are sitting about 79°F, which is pretty average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the first few days are a bit of a struggle. Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are serving up some solid SSW swell, around 7ft to 8ft, but that ESE wind is blowing cross-shore, putting a real chop on the surface. The energy is huge – we’re talking over 5400 (combined energy) – but it’s messy. Not the classic Chopes you’re dreaming of. By Wednesday the 22nd, the wind turns cross-offshore from the E, and the swell holds at 8ft to 10ft. The conditions clean up, but that 10ft SSW swell with a 19-second period is a beast. That’s proper groundswell, and for a reef like this, that’s what it’s all about – steep, heavy, hold-your-breath waves. Still, with that size and power, it’s strictly for the experts.

Thursday the 23rd stays clean with NE winds, but the swell drops a touch. Friday the 24th is where things get interesting. We get a morning of clean, offshore N wind at 19 mph, with the swell backing down to 5ft from the SSW. The period is still a long 15 seconds, so it’s got plenty of push. The combined energy is still a strong 1195. This is a proper window for the experienced crew to get some clean, heavy barrels without the massive size. Friday afternoon gets a bit riskier with storms rolling in.

The weekend of the 25th and 26th sees the swell size bounce around, but the wind is all over the place – cross-offshore, then cross-onshore, bringing some chop. Not the best time.

Now, listen to this. Monday the 27th of July. Lock it in. The morning is glassy. Zero wind. The swell is 6ft from the SSW, with a 12-second period. The combined energy is 812 – moderate, but that’s perfect for the shape. The afternoon is the same, glassy, with 5ft. This is the standout of the entire forecast. That’s the kind of day that makes you call in sick. Clean, groomed, heavy rights. For a spot that’s often crowded, those conditions will bring the crowd, but it’ll be worth it.

After that, it gets messy again. Strong onshore winds from the 28th kick up the chop, and the swell loses its direction and period. The end of July and into August is a write-off – strong cross-shore winds, lumpy conditions, and the swell becomes short-period and weak. The energy drops right off into the low hundreds. There’s a real gap of poor conditions from the 29th of July all the way through to the 3rd of August where the recommendations are either poor or zero. The surf on the 4th of August (Tuesday) starts to show a pulse again, with a 5ft to 6ft SSW groundswell arriving with a 16-second period, but it’s still got that cross-offshore breeze, so it’s a promising but less certain bet way out there.

Best bet: get on the Monday the 27th. That’s your glassy, clean, perfect Teahupo’o window.

Rusty.

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