Teahupo’o Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checking in for Teahupo’o. We’ve got a bit of a waiting game before things get really good. The early part of the forecast has waves, but they’re for the big dogs only, and the conditions aren't locking in perfectly.

For Thursday, July 2nd, the morning is the clear winner. You’ve got a clean moderate offshore breeze out of the NNE and a solid 8ft SSW swell. The period is a very long 17 seconds – this is proper groundswell with some serious energy behind it (3562). The water temp is 81°, which is about average for this time of year. This is Teahupo’o at its heavy best, but no doubt about it, this is strictly for experts. The afternoon has some cloud and a cross-off breeze, still rideable but a step down in quality.

Friday, July 3rd, drops off a bit. Still a good SSW swell, dropping from 7ft to 7ft, but the wind picks up to a fresh 30 km/h offshore. It’s still there for the crew who know what they’re doing, but the conditions are more marginal. The energy is still impressive (1987-1823).

Saturday, July 4th, brings more of a drop. Swell is 6ft with moderate energy (1478), but the wind shifts to a cross-off from the WNW. Less clean. By the afternoon, rain showers and a cross-on breeze start to mess it up. From Sunday, July 5th, onward, the forecast turns sour. Onshore winds blow hard, and conditions go poor for days.

You’re looking at a long dry spell here. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore with messy, choppy conditions through the rest of the first week and into the second. Strong breezes and lumpy seas dominate, with the swell direction shifting around. For nearly a week, from Sunday the 5th through Friday the 10th, it’s pretty grim.

Things start looking up again on Sunday, July 12th. The morning brings a light breeze and a 3ft SSW swell with a very long 17-second period, and the energy is back (807). Then Sunday afternoon is the real jewel in this outlook. The wind goes glassy from the NW, swell picks up to 4ft from the SSW at 17 seconds, and the energy jumps to 1217. This is clean, glassy, and perfect for experienced surfers. A true standout window in a mostly quiet run.

Monday the 13th holds in there too. Light cross-off winds, clean conditions, with a 4ft to 5ft SSW to SW swell. The energy stays solid (987-1104). These few days are the best on offer.

The run continues into Tuesday the 14th with moderate winds and clean surf, though the consistency starts to fade. From Wednesday the 15th onward, we see the cross-onshore winds return, and the swell builds back up but with poor conditions. The energy gets high again (up to 2330 on the 17th), but with strong cross-onshore winds and messy seas, it’s not a paddle-friendly setup. For the last few days, the wind and sea state look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, the takeaway: your best bet is Sunday the 12th into Monday the 13th. That’s the window to circle. Glassy winds, long-period SSW swell, and Teahupo’o showing its class. The rest of the 16 days is either too rough or too small to get fired up about.

Rusty.

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