Teahupo’o Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, the next couple of weeks at Teahupo’o are a mixed bag, but there are a couple of windows that are absolutely gonna fire for those who can handle it. The water’s sitting at 79° which is dead average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We’re starting off slow. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd of August have some swell, but the wind’s cross or cross-off with a bit of chop, keeping things marginal. The wave energy is there—over 1000 on Saturday morning (1117)—but conditions aren’t locking in. Monday the 3rd is still clean in the mornings but only small, around 3ft to 4ft, and honestly, it’s not doing much for us.

The first real green light pops up on Tuesday the 4th. Tuesday morning it’s clean with a moderate offshore breeze from the North-Northeast, and while the swell is small at 2ft, the afternoon brings a proper jump. Tuesday afternoon you’ve got 5ft SSW groundswell with a 14-second period, that clean offshore wind holding, and wave energy climbing to 1019. The call is excellent for experienced surfers, and at Teahupo’o that’s the real deal. Keep an eye on the tide, but this is the standout early in the run.

Wednesday the 5th stays excellent. Morning has 4ft SW swell at 13 seconds, light offshore from the Northeast, and a gentle breeze. Clean conditions, solid energy (1012), and a setup that’ll have the reef talking.

Now, things get big. From Thursday the 6th through to Monday the 10th, the swell pumps up big time. Thursday morning has 5ft SSW swell with a 17-second period and combined energy of 2136, but the wind is light cross-onshore with ripples. Thursday afternoon hits 8ft at 16 seconds and 2738 energy, but it’s still cross-on. Friday the 7th sees 10ft SSW swell with periods of 15 seconds, energy over 3700, and only gentle cross-shore wind—so the waves will be moving fast and heavy, but with a slight chop. This is expert territory, 10ft is no joke.

Saturday the 8th has 8ft SW swell in the morning, clean with cross-off wind, and energy at 3428. The afternoon jumps to 12ft with 16-second period and massive 5991 energy—but the wind shifts cross-shore with chop. Sunday the 9th is similar: 12ft SSW in the morning with clean conditions and 5665 energy, but the afternoon turns cross-shore again. Monday the 10th starts clean with 7ft SSW at 14 seconds and 2813 energy, but the afternoon turns sour with fresh cross-onshore wind and lumpy conditions.

Then we hit a rough patch. Tuesday the 11th through Thursday the 13th has strong to fresh winds, messy cross-chop, and poor surf conditions. The swell is up around 7ft to 12ft, but with the wind ripping cross-shore or onshore at 19 to 25 mph, it’s blown out. For the fearless, the energy values are still high (3000-4000), but honestly, this looks more like a kite-surfing session than a paddle session.

The real gem appears at the end of the 16-day window. Thursday the 13th afternoon sees 10ft ESE swell, a gentle cross-off breeze, and combined energy of 2585—excellent conditions for experienced surfers. But the absolute standout of the entire forecast is Friday the 14th of August. Friday morning has 12ft SE swell with a 10-second period, light east wind (6 mph) making it cross-off and clean, and a massive 3046 energy reading. The afternoon holds 10ft SE with the same light wind and 2579 energy. This is the window where Teahupo’o will be at its best: big, powerful, and glassy. Expect it to be heavy and only for experts. Crowds? This spot is “often” crowded when it’s good, so get there early if you can handle the drop.

Saturday the 15th has a smaller run of 7ft to 8ft ESE swell with light onshore wind—marginal. And Sunday the 16th fades into poor conditions with cross-onshore wind and chop.

So, the play is clear. If you’re an expert, Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th give you clean, solid reef waves. Then the big stuff rolls in from the 6th to the 10th, but keep an eye on the wind. The absolute best is Friday the 14th of August—big, clean, and pumping. Don’t sleep on that day.

Rusty.

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