Teahupo’o Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The next couple of weeks are looking like a real mixed bag, and for the most part, the ocean is going to be a grumpy beast. We’ve got a solid stretch of messy, wind-blown conditions coming up before things start to clean up, but it’s going to take a while.

The first real surf window we can talk about is Teahupo’o, but honestly, the early part of this run is a write-off. Saturday and Sunday the 8th and 9th are seeing strong cross-onshore winds screaming out of the southeast, with the swell already pushing 8.2ft to 11.5ft. The wave energy is pumping hard—2820 on Saturday morning, jumping to a massive 6256 by Sunday—but it’s all for nothing with that wind. It’s going to be an ugly, lumpy mess. Not worth paddling out unless you’re a glutton for punishment.

Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th keep that theme going. Winds stay strong, shifting to more cross-shore, but the quality is still poor. We’re looking at 6.6ft to 8.2ft of SSW swell with periods around 13 to 14 seconds, but the chop and wind will make it a frustrating battle. There’s a lot of energy out there, with readings in the 2600-3500 range, but it’s just not doing us any favors.

Wednesday the 12th is where things start to turn a corner. The wind drops, swinging to a cross-offshore easterly, and the ocean starts to clean up. Swell eases slightly to around 5.9ft to 7.2ft, but the periods are still solid at 14 to 15 seconds. Energy is still strong at 2984 in the morning and 3467 in the afternoon. This is the first day I’d actually say is rideable. It’s a “marginal” call, but the clean surface makes it a lot more appealing. Thursday the 13th backslides a bit, with a light cross-onshore wind picking up and the swell dropping slightly. It’s not terrible, but not great either.

Friday the 14th is another poor one. The winds freshen up from the SSE again, and the swell drops to around 4.6ft. The energy fades to around 761, so the ocean just looks flat and wind-blown.

Now, this is where it gets interesting. Saturday the 15th is a bit of a puzzle. A new, short-period SSE swell (8 seconds) mixes with an older, longer S swell. The morning is lumpy with a fresh cross-shore breeze, but by the afternoon, the S swell takes over, jumping to 9.8ft at 12 seconds. Energy jumps to 2828. Still, the wind ruins it. It’s messy.

Sunday the 16th is the first real standout. The wind goes light and cross-offshore from the east, and the ocean cleans right up. Swell sits at 7.9ft to 8.2ft from the S/SSE with a period of 13 seconds. The energy is still robust at 2223 in the morning. This is clean, powerful Teahupo’o. This is the one to be circling.

Monday the 17th is a proper gem. The wind turns offshore from the north, a gentle breeze, and the swell is a clean 5.6ft from the south, period 11 seconds. Morning energy is a moderate 866. It’s described as “very good surf conditions,” and for the first time in a while, it’s actually glassy and clean. This is the classic, user-friendly Teahupo’o window.

Tuesday the 18th is absolutely magic. The wind drops to zero—totally glassy conditions—with a clean 3.6ft S swell in the morning. In the afternoon, things go small but incredibly clean, with a tiny 2.0ft SW groundswell at a 17-second period. The energy is low, around 500, but the clarity and lack of wind make it a memorable session for those who want the place to yourself and can handle the long waits.

But, as always, the ocean has a temper. Wednesday the 19th brings a westerly cross-swell that puts a big 9.8ft SW swell back in the water with a 14-second period. The morning is clean-ish with moderate cross-shore winds, but the afternoon turns choppy and cross-onshore. Energy is back up to 3539 in the morning. This is powerful, heavy, and only for the brave.

Thursday the 20th is another poor day, with onshore winds and a 6.6ft+ swell making a mess of things. Friday the 21st looks big and angry, forecasting a 13.1ft SSW swell at 14 seconds in the morning, with energy at a huge 6242. That’s a lot of water moving. But the wind is mostly onshore

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