Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for Rocky Point. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so I’ll walk you through it chronologically, telling you when to paddle out and when to stay home.

The outlook starts quiet and builds into a solid run of bigger, more powerful swell. The issue will be the wind; for a while there, it's not playing nice. The water temp is sitting at 79°, which is about average for this time of year, so no drama there.

Sunday, August 2nd afternoon kicks things off. We’ve got tiny 2ft swell from the ENE with a short 8-second period and weak wave energy (49). The wind is a light cross-off from the ESE, making it clean, but honestly, it’s super ordinary. Only a 1/10 score, so don’t expect much.

Monday, August 3rd is a write-off. The swell bumps up a touch to 2-3ft, but it’s messy with a moderate cross-shore chop. Scores are 0/10. It’s not worth it.

Tuesday, August 4th through Wednesday, August 5th sees the swell pick up to 4-4ft, and the energy climbs into the hundreds (166-203). But the wind is cross-on from the ENE, so conditions are choppy. Still scoring 0/10 for surf quality.

We finally get a small window of clean surf on Thursday, August 6th afternoon. The swell drops back to 3ft (ENE, 8 secs) with light cross-off wind from the ESE. Wave energy is low (81). It’s surfable, but again, very ordinary.

Friday, August 7th is back to a moderate cross-shore chop. Not good.

Saturday, August 8th offers some clean waves, with the swell at 4ft, but the period drops to a shocking 5 seconds in the morning, making it a messy windswell. Wave energy is moderate (213) in the afternoon, but the score is still a 0/10. The waves are there, but they’re lacking any punch.

Now things get interesting in size but messy in wind. From Sunday, August 9th to Wednesday, August 12th, we’re looking at solid 6ft to 7ft swell from the E, with period slowly building from 6 to 10 seconds. Wave energy gets strong, hitting 852 by Wednesday morning. The problem? The wind is a fresh to strong breeze, mostly cross-off or cross-shore, creating lumpy conditions. The scores are 0/10, except for a few marginal calls. This is big, powerful, but messy. Not beginner friendly (over 5ft).

Here’s the standout. Thursday, August 13th morning is the real gem. We get a 5ft swell from the ENE with a 10-second period, and the wind turns offshore from the SSE. It’s a fresh breeze, but it’s offshore, meaning clean, lined-up waves. The energy is strong at 523. The score is the best we’ve seen at 2/10. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The afternoon, however, gets wrecked by a gale-force cross-off wind (40 mph) – so it’s a very short window.

The following days, Friday, August 14th to Saturday, August 15th, the swell drops to 2-4ft. We get some offshore wind from the S on Saturday, which is clean, but the wave energy is moderate and the scores are only marginal.

Then on Sunday, August 16th morning, we get another interesting one. A 5ft swell from the W with a short 6-second period, but gentle offshore wind from the S. Wave energy is strong (396). The score is 2/10. It’s a bit of a novelty short-period swell, but clean. The afternoon brings a 2ft very long period (15-second) groundswell from the NW. At a reef and point break like Rocky Point, that long period should wrap in nicely and offer some fun, clean lines, even if it’s small.

Monday, August 17th fades out with tiny 1-2ft swells. Nothing to get excited about.

Bottom line: most of this forecast is so-so, with the wind working against us. The only true standouts are Thursday morning, August 13th for the clean, offshore 5ft swell, and Sunday morning, August 16th for a clean, punchy 5ft swell. Get out there for those windows.

Stay salty,
Rusty

Read more