Rocky Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 17.51° S 149.42° W

Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rocky Point sea temperature is
26.2° C
0.1° 

Rocky Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rocky Point surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, ENE swell with 285 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rocky Point this week:

The surf forecast for Rocky Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rocky Point in the next 16 days are 1.8m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (-10) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Sun 26th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 8s
Best Surf 8PM (Sun 26th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 8s
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 23rd Jul)6ft (1.8m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rocky Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Rocky Point over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, it's a pretty grim start. We're looking at a solid week of junk. From Tuesday 21 July right through the rest of that week and into the weekend, it's a write-off. The wind is howling from the east and southeast, mostly cross-off but with a lot of muscle behind it, pushing waves that are either too small or too messy to bother with. The swell energy is low to moderate, but the wind just ruins any chance of a decent wave. It's a classic case of "check the forecast again tomorrow."

We finally get a small window of relief around Monday 27 July. The wind drops right out, going glassy in the morning, and then a light offshore from the south in the afternoon. The swell is tiny, only 1 ft, but it's clean. The water temp is a comfortable 79°, which is bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there. If you're desperate for a paddle and a few small, clean rolls, that Monday morning is your best bet, but it's not exactly a standout.

The following week stays pretty flat and small. Tuesday 28 July sees a long-period groundswell (13 seconds) from the NE, but it's only 1 ft. That long period will make those tiny waves a bit more shapey but it's barely enough to stand up on. Wednesday 29 July is pretty much the same story with a little bump in energy, but still tiny. After that, the wind picks up again and the swell dies completely, with a few days of nothing until we get to the very end of the period.

Now, things get interesting but not good. On Monday 3 August and Tuesday 4 August, the swell jumps up to 6 ft to 7 ft from the east. The combined energy hits over 500, which sounds fun. But the wind is still screaming from the ESE at 28 mph. That's a strong breeze, clean waves but with that much wind, it's going to be a battle. The waves will have power, but the surface will be blown out. At 7 ft, this is expert territory, and with that wind, it's a real challenge. Honestly, with that much swell and those strong onshore winds, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Looking at the whole 16 days, there's no true standout session. The best quality on offer is the tiny, clean window on Monday 27 July. That's as good as it gets. The rest is either flat, blown out, or too windy for a comfortable paddle. Hang tight, folks. The forecasts can change, but for now, it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 26°C on Thu night, min 23°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Thu morning, light winds from the N by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Fri morning, min 25°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NE
14
1.1
E
6
1.3
E
6
1.4
ENE
6
1.3
ENE
6
1.4
E
7
1.8
ENE
7
1.7
ENE
7
1.4
NE
7
1.3
NE
7
1
NE
7
0.9
NE
7
0.6
NNE
9
0.7
ENE
7
0.6
ENE
7
0.4
NE
11
0.5
ENE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.4
ENE
8
0.4
ENE
8
0.4
NE
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7
77
130
150
143
171
285
271
217
162
93
79
58
47
36
36
36
40
26
22
46
Wind (km/h)
30
ESE
30
ESE
35
ESE
35
E
30
E
35
E
40
ENE
30
NE
20
N
20
NNW
20
NW
15
W
15
W
10
WNW
15
WNW
15
W
10
W
5
NE
5
ESE
5
S
5
ESE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
glassy
off
cross-off
High Tide
8:37PM0.20m
8:54AM0.19m
10:39PM0.22m
10:23AM0.21m
11:15PM0.23m
11:03AM0.23m
11:42PM0.25m
11:33AM0.25m
00:05AM0.26m
12:00PM0.27m
00:27AM0.28m
12:26PM0.28m
00:49AM0.29m
Low Tide
11:58AM0.15m
4:27AM0.17m
4:08PM0.13m
5:06AM0.14m
5:01PM0.10m
5:31AM0.11m
5:32PM0.07m
5:53AM0.08m
5:59PM0.04m
6:14AM0.06m
6:22PM0.02m
6:34AM0.05m
6:45PM0.01m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:40
5:42
5:42
5:42
 mm
4
1
2
Temp °C
24
24
24
24
24
25
25
25
26
26
26
26
26
26
25
25
26
26
25
25
25
Feels °C
21
21
20
20
21
22
22
23
26
28
28
28
29
29
28
27
28
29
29
29
28
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rocky Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rocky Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rocky Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rocky Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rocky Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rocky Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Tahiti? If you are looking for accommodation near Rocky Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Tahiti, consider staying in Papeete which is 18 km (11 miles) away. Other places in and around Tahiti where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Faaa which is 20 km (12 miles) away and Punaauia, 24 km (15 miles) away.

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