Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've got to be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are a proper write-off for any decent surf. We're looking at a 16-day stretch with nothing you'd want to paddle out for, so let's get the bad news out of the way first.

The whole period kicks off with a solid 5ft to 7ft easterly swell running from Wednesday the 26th of August right through the end of the month. The combined energy is moderate to strong, hitting 196 all the way up to 628. But here's the kicker – that wind is howling out of the ESE at 22 to 31 mph, a cross-off breeze that's keeping the ocean choppy and messy. The waves are just a jumbled-up mess. It's not surfable, plain and simple. If you're into kite surfing, this kind of setup might be your thing, but for a paddle surfer, it's a hard pass.

That rough, windy pattern just keeps grinding on through the first week of September. The swell stays around 4ft to 5ft from the east and east-northeast, but the wind doesn't let up – still a strong 19 to 25 mph cross-off. The wave energy is moderate (227 to 318), but it's all poor conditions. By the 5th of September, the swell drops to 4ft, and the wind switches to a lumpy cross-shore, making it even worse. The 6th and 7th see the swell bottom out at 2ft to 3ft with a cross-on breeze; the wave energy is weak (71 to 106). It's a total blank run.

Now, there's a glimmer of hope right at the very end. On the 9th of September, we get a tiny 1ft to 2ft swell from the east-southeast with a period of 11 seconds, and the wind dies down to a light breeze. The energy is still weak (81 to 141), but it's clean. The real standout is the 10th of September. Thursday morning is glassy with a 3ft east-southeast swell and a 10-second period; the energy is still weak at 169, but it's clean. Thursday afternoon is the best of the whole period: a 4ft easterly swell, 10-second period, with a light offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (290), and the forecast says "expect good surf conditions." That's the session to bookmark, but it's a long way off, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

At Rocky Point (Oahu), the water temp is sitting at 79°F, which is basically bang on average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

So, to sum it up: nearly two weeks of howling wind and junk surf, then a tiny window of clean, small waves right at the end. It's a tough run, but it won't be like this forever.

Rusty.

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