Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here.

Let’s be real about Rocky Point (reef and point) – this 16-day window is a tough one. We’ve got a rough patch right at the start, a gap of about 4 days with no real action at all before anything even gets close to being worth paddling out for.

The water temp is around 80°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Thursday the 30th kicks us off with a tiny 2ft swell from the ENE, and it’s a short 8-second period. The wind is a light cross-off, so it’s clean, but the energy is weak (66). It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Not worth getting excited about.

Friday the 31st is even worse. The swell drops to 1ft, and while the period stretches to 11 seconds, the wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-off from the SE. The energy is low (78), and the conditions are poor. Total non-starter.

Saturday the 1st of August sees a little bump to 4ft, but the period is a miserable 7 seconds, and the wind is howling at 22 mph from the ESE. The energy is moderate (148), but the surf quality is still poor. This is a setup that’s looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are more of the same – fresh winds, short period, and poor conditions. The energy spikes on Sunday afternoon to 223, but it’s still a messy, lumpy cross-chop.

Now, I see a tiny glimmer of hope on Tuesday the 4th. The wind drops to a glassy 3 mph from the ENE in the afternoon. The swell is still only 2ft and 8 seconds, but glassy conditions at Rocky Point when it’s this weak? It’s surfable, but very ordinary. The energy is a low 63.

Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th are a struggle. The swell builds to 5ft on Thursday morning, but the period is a shocking 6 seconds, and the wind is light cross-on. The energy is moderate (157), but the quality is poor. Thursday afternoon cleans up with a light cross-off, and the swell is 5ft, but it’s still just surfable, not good.

The real standout of the whole period, and I mean the only one worth mentioning, is way out there on Saturday the 8th. The swell is 6ft from the ESE with an 8-second period, and the energy is a strong 466. The wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-off from the E, so it’ll be clean. This is a decent-size, punchy swell for Rocky Point, and with the offshore wind, it’ll be offering some proper waves. At 6ft, it’s getting into the territory where it’s more for the experienced crowd. The direction is a bit off the optimum, but the energy is undeniable. This is the pick of the bunch, but it’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it.

Sunday the 9th pushes the swell over 7ft, hitting 7ft on the morning. The energy is a massive 662. The wind is still a fresh cross-off. This is getting into the expert-only zone, and the conditions are called "marginal" – so it’s a big, powerful, but tricky day.

The following week from Monday the 10th onwards sees the swell staying strong (7ft, 9 seconds, energy 770) but the wind switches to a nasty cross-shore, making it a lumpy, choppy mess. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore for the rest of the window, with the swell dropping off towards the end of the week.

Bottom line: the first week is a bust. The only real shot at anything decent is the weekend of the 8th and 9th, with the 8th being the standout for its clean, strong conditions. But it’s for the experienced crew. After that, it’s back to the same old story.

Rusty.

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