Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the window ahead for Rocky Point.

Right now, and for the next week or so, it’s a pretty tough stretch. The forecast is loaded with cross-shore wind and messy, lumpy conditions that just aren’t doing this reef and point break any favours. We kick off Monday the 17th with a choppy 3ft easterly swell at a short 6 seconds, but that wind is a problem all day. The water temp is sitting at 79°F, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, so no surprises there.

It’s not until Thursday morning the 20th that we see a real glimmer. That morning brings a glassy surface – light wind from the NNE with barely a ripple – and while the swell is small at 3ft from the east and the energy is weak (86), the smooth conditions in the morning make it the only session where it’s actually surfable, even if it’s nothing to write home about. The afternoon cleans up too with a light cross-offshore breeze. Crowds are possible here on a day like that, so if you’re keen for a slow longboard session, that’s your window.

After that, the wind stays cross-offshore but the swell drops away fast – by Saturday the 22nd we’re down to 1ft with solid breezes. That’s a no-go. A bigger pulse of swell arrives Sunday the 23rd, around 5ft from the east with energy climbing to 160, but it’s still raw and the wind is strong offshore, keeping it clean but likely ragged. Not recommended.

The middle of the following week (25th and 26th August) sees a jump in size with 6ft easterly swell and moderate wave energy in the 330-390 range, but it’s crossed up and messy all day. That’s kite-surf territory more than paddle surf. Then Thursday the 27th brings the biggest push – 8ft from the east, with period stretching to 9 seconds and energy roaring up to 1124. That’s a serious amount of water moving, but again, cross-shore winds keep it lumpy. At that size and with that wind, it’s strictly for experts, and they’ll be battling bumpy conditions. Not a standout.

Friday the 28th afternoon is worth a mention. The wind swings to the southwest and lightens up to a clean cross-offshore, and the swell is still a solid 5ft from the east-northeast. The energy is moderate at 312, and the forecast actually says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s the most promising moment in the entire run – but it’s over two weeks away, so treat that as a promising long-range possibility.

After that, the last few days of the outlook get blown out or stormy again. Bottom line: the only true bright spot in the entire 16 days is Thursday morning the 20th for a glassy, small-wave cruise, and maybe the afternoon of Friday the 28th if the forecast holds. Everything else is messy, crossed up, or just too small.

Rusty

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