Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this sorted. I’m looking at Rocky Point for the next 16 days, and honestly, it’s a tough picture. The forecast is almost entirely dominated by strong cross-offshore winds that just won’t let up, and when the swell is there, the wind is ruining it. The water’s sitting at 79°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real sniff of anything worth paddling out for is a week and a half out. On Wednesday, September 2nd, the morning shows some promise. The wind drops to a light 3 mph from the southeast, making it a slight air cross-off, and we’ve got chest-high swell at 5ft from the east, with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 335, but it’s the clean conditions that are the real standout. This is easily the best window in the whole outlook — it’s surfable, it’s clean, and the swell is consistent. For a beginner-friendly reef and point break like Rocky Point, that’s a rare treat in this forecast.

Other than that, it’s a long, bleak run. From Thursday, August 20th, right through to the end of the month, the wind is hammering in from the ESE at 18 to 31 mph, with swell sizes fluctuating between 2ft and 8ft. The combined energy gets strong, hitting over 700 on the 27th, but the wind is just too strong, making it a mess. On the 1st of September, there’s a slight improvement in the afternoon with a southwesterly cross-off at 9 mph, but the swell is only 5ft and the score is marginal.

The 30th of August afternoon sees a small chance with 8ft east swell and a period of 9 seconds, but that’s teetering on the edge of big for beginners and the wind is still a fresh breeze. It’s a marginal call.

So, if you’re going to point the car at Rocky Point, make it the morning of September 2nd. That’s the one. Everything else is a wind-blown chore or just too small. Stay patient, and check the forecast again closer to the date.

Rusty.

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