Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what’s in the water for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I'm looking at the whole 16-day picture and it's a tough one. There's no real banger of a day where everything lines up. The pattern is mostly flat and wind-blown. We've got a lot of small, weak swells getting chewed up by onshore and cross-shore winds. The few times the wind goes light or offshore, the swell just isn't showing up.

Let's start with the first session you could even consider. That's Saturday afternoon, July 25th, at Rocky Point. The swell is a tiny 1ft from the NNE with a period of 9 seconds. The combined swell energy is weak at 61, so it's not going to have any punch. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the WSW, which will keep the surface clean. It's surfable, but you're going to be scratching for anything with a face. It's a longboard or foil kind of wave.

Sunday, July 26th, is a real tease. The morning and afternoon are both glassy, with a slight air from the SSW and SE. The waves are tiny, 2ft from the ENE with weak energy around 65 and 55. It will look like a mirror, but with no size, it's only rideable on the right equipment. It's a "maybe" day, not a "go" day.

Then we hit a real dry spell. From Monday, July 27th, right through the end of the month, it's pretty much a write-off. The swell is smaller than 2ft, and the wind is mostly from the NE, E, or SSE, putting it onshore or cross-onshore at Rocky Point. There's a moment on Wednesday afternoon, July 29th, with glassy conditions, but the swell is only 1ft with a 6-second period and energy of just 14. It's a pond.

The first week of August doesn't look much better for the paddle-in crew. The swell does start to build, hitting 4ft to 5ft from the ENE by August 4th and 5th. The combined energy climbs into the moderate range, hitting 270 at its peak. But the wind is a strong and persistent cross-offshore from the ESE to SE, blowing at 20 to 31 mph. While the direction is technically offshore, that kind of strength is going to make it clean but a total battle to paddle into and hold your line. For a reef and point like Rocky Point, that cross-offshore wind will make it hard to get a wave that doesn't just blow out. The water temp is about 79°F with a normal anomaly, so that's fine for the time of year, but the conditions just aren't coming together.

The final weekend, August 7th and 8th, sees a slight drop in size but the wind is still a problem from the E at 9 to 19 mph. Friday afternoon, August 7th, does show a clean, cross-offshore wind, but the swell is only 3ft from the ENE with an 8-second period. The energy is moderate at 145, but it's still not enough to get stoked about with that wind.

So, what's the pick of a bad bunch? There isn't a true standout. If you're desperate to get wet, your best bet is the glassy, small waves on Sunday, July 26th. It's the cleanest the surf will be all period, but you're going to need a longboard or a foil. The bigger swell in the first week of August is more interesting for the kite surfers than for a paddle surfer, as that strong offshore wind will create clean, open faces for them.

It's a quiet outlook, mates. Keep your gear waxed and your eyes on the charts, because conditions like this tend not to stick around forever.

Rusty.

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