Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window for the North Shore is a real mixed bag, and for the most part, it’s looking pretty flat and frustrating.

We’re kickin’ things off with a long stretch of nothing good. From now through the end of next week, we’re starvin’. Rocky Point is seeing a lot of tiny, weak mush with poor surf conditions and scores of zero. Winds are mostly kicking up from the SE and E, blowin’ cross or cross-off, which is just messin’ up whatever little bumps are around. The water temp anomaly is listed as average for this time of year, so no real surprises there, just standard tropical water for the North Shore.

There’s a glimmer of hope if you’re desperate. On Thursday the 20th, the wind goes glassy in the morning and then goes light offshore from the SSE in the afternoon. The surf is still tiny, only 3ft to 3ft from the ENE, and the combined swell energy is a weak 96. It’s described as “surfable but very ordinary,” so you can get the log out for some knee-slappers, but don't expect much.

After that, it dries up again. We get a full week of strong cross-shore wind and lumpy, poor conditions with nothing over a 1 out of 10 on offer. The wait is real.

The one true standout is way out there. Mark your calendars for Wednesday, the 26th of August. That morning and afternoon, we finally get some proper swell. We’re lookin’ at 6ft of clean groundswell from the ENE, with offshore winds from the S at a light 3-6 mph. The combined swell energy jumps up to a solid 364 and 327 – a huge jump – and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” This is the session to aim for. It’s over a week away, so don’t book your flights yet, but that’s the best shot we’ve got in the whole window. It’s a bit much for beginners with that 6ft (approaching 5ft threshold), but for the rest of you, it’ll be a clean, peeling wave at that point and reef setup with an offshore wind groom.

Before that, on Monday the 24th, there’s a chance for a score in the afternoon. The wind goes glassy, and we have 5ft from the E. It’s a lower energy read at 212, and the period is only 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit weaker and messier than the 26th, but a glassy afternoon wave on the North Shore is always worth a look. The forecast says “expect good surf conditions” for that one too.

Honestly, for this stretch, you’re either waitin’ or you’re takin’ a longboard out on the 20th to get wet. The big day is the 26th.

Rusty.

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