Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into the local outlook. We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch ahead, to be honest. The pickings are slim, and for the first week and a half, the wind is just going to wreck what little swell we have. The best chance for a decent surf session comes right at the very end of the 16-day window, but it’s a long, quiet wait.

The forecast starts with a solid 7ft easterly swell on Saturday the 29th, but it’s a total write-off. Combined wave energy is moderate (507), but the cross-off wind is howling at 28 mph, making it messy and poor. That same theme continues right through the 31st, with the swell dropping to 6ft but still blown out. The wind stays heavy in the 19-25 mph range, so there’s no quality to be found.

We hit a dry spell from Tuesday the 1st of September through to Friday the 5th. The swell is there, but it’s weak and the wind is still cross or cross-off, never giving us a clean window. The water temp is a warm 78°, which is about average for the time of year, but you won’t be wanting to get in for the surf.

The only real glimmer of hope appears on Monday the 7th of September. The swell is small, only 3ft, but the wind finally swings offshore from the south at 12 mph. The combined energy is weak (172), and the waves are ordinary, but the conditions are clean. That’s the best we get for a while. Tuesday the 8th is much the same, with a weak 3ft swell and light offshore wind.

If you’ve got patience, the standout is Rocky Point on Wednesday the 9th of September. The swell is tiny, just 2ft from the east, but the wind goes glassy in the morning. That’s a rare treat. The wave energy is very weak (44), but for a small, clean, glassy session, you can’t beat it. The break is a reef and point, fairly consistent, and it’s exposed to the NNE swell, so this one works best with that east direction. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but crowds are possible here, so don’t expect to have it to yourself.

After that, from Thursday the 10th through to Sunday the 13th, the swell stays tiny, the wind turns cross or onshore, and the conditions go flat and poor. There’s a big gap of no real surfable quality from the 10th onwards.

So, don’t hold your breath for the first week. The only real standout is that glassy morning on the 9th, and even then, it’s only for the diehards. Everything else is a pass.

Rusty.

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