Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about Rocky Point. I’ve been looking at the charts, and I gotta be honest with you – it’s a bit of a heartbreaker for the next couple of weeks. The water’s sitting at 79°F which is bang on average for this time of year, so that’s the one thing that feels normal.

Right now, we’ve got a stretch of nothing good. The first swell that shows up is on Tuesday 1st September, with some chest-high easterly lines at 4ft, but the period is a weak 8 seconds and the wind is a cross-shore from the east at 12 mph. The wave energy is weak (145) and the call is “poor surf conditions.” That pretty much sums up the whole first week. From that Tuesday through to Sunday 7th, we’re looking at 4ft to 5ft of easterly swell, but the wind keeps blowing from the east-southeast at 16 to 25 mph, keeping it chopped and messy. The energy climbs up to 341 by Friday 4th, but with the wind howling, it’s just not happening. It’s a solid 7-day gap with no real recommendation.

Heading into the second week, Monday 8th through to Thursday 11th, we get a bit more size – waves around 4ft to 5ft – but it’s still that same east-southeast wind, 19 to 25 mph, ruining any chance of a clean face. The swell bumps up to 351 on Thursday 10th, but it’s a short-period 8 seconds, so it’s just lumpy and walled up. The call is still “poor surf conditions.” This is a reef and point break that would normally be a ripper, but with the wind stuck in the east, it’s just not clicking.

Then, from Friday 12th to Wednesday 16th, the swell drops off hard. We’re looking at 2ft to 3ft, mostly 7-second windswell, with energy falling to 36 by the 16th. The wind finally swings around, going light and even offshore from the west-southwest on the 16th, but by then there’s barely a ripple. That’s a stretch of four more days of flatness.

The standout? Honestly, there isn’t one. Rocky Point is rated as a consistent spot, but the whole 16-day window is a write-off. The optimum swell direction is NNE, and we’re getting nothing but east and east-southeast. The wind is almost always cross-off, which normally would be okay, but it’s too strong and the swell is too short-period. The only thing worth noting is that the water is warm, and the wind does eventually go offshore on the 16th, but the swell is ankle-snapper at 2ft. Sometimes you just have to sit this one out.

For now, I’d say keep your board waxed for a different day. The forecast can change, but right now, Rocky Point is a no-go.

Rusty

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