T-Bones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. I’ve stared at the charts for the next 16 days and honestly, it’s a tough one. The only break on the cards is T-Bones, and the news ain’t great. The whole period is a write-off for any kind of decent paddle surfing. The wind is locked in from the east and east-northeast, blowing cross-onshore every single day, and that’s just gonna trash the surface. There’s no real standout session, no hidden gem. It’s a long, flat, choppy run with no let-up. This kind of blank run isn't unheard of for this area, but it still stings.

Let’s run through it. From Tuesday, August 4th, right through Wednesday, August 19th, the call is the same: messy, choppy, and poor surf conditions. The wind is a constant moderate to fresh breeze, at times even a strong breeze, and it’s always coming from the east or east-northeast, which is a cross-onshore wind for T-Bones. That’s a reef break, so it can handle some swell, but not with this wind.

The swell does show up, but it’s never clean. Early on, August 4th and 5th, we’ve got a 5ft to 5ft ENE swell with a period of 11 seconds, giving a moderate wave energy of 570 and 535. That’s a decent amount of groundswell energy, but it’s completely wasted. The wind comment is always “poor surf conditions” and “moderate cross-onshore and choppy.”

As we push into the second week, the swell actually builds. Look at August 15th and 16th: you’re seeing 8ft and 8ft of ENE swell, with wave energy climbing into the high hundreds (808, 868, 972). For a reef break, that’s a powerful swell, and with a period of 8 to 9 seconds, it’s a short-period wind swell, so it’ll be lumpy and sectiony. But the wind is still trashing it. The note on the 15th is “strong cross-onshore and messy,” and by the 17th, it’s “fresh cross-onshore and lumpy.” That’s not surfable, it’s a washing machine. With that much swell and that much wind, honestly, T-Bones looks more like a spot for kitesurfing than for a paddle surfer.

There is literally no day in this 16-day window where the wind turns offshore or even goes light. The water temperature isn’t provided in the break data, so I can’t give you that context. The one hopeful sign is that the swell is consistent, and the direction (E to ENE) is close to the optimum east swell T-Bones likes. But with the wind as it is, it’s a no-go. The only break on offer is T-Bones, and it’s a full 16 days of poor conditions. The best advice I can give, mate, is to take a break yourself. The forecasts can change, but right now, this is a long, blank stretch.

Rusty.

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