Scarborough Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks for Scarborough Beach. Straight up, this is not a clean, easy run. There’s some solid swell on the way, but the wind is going to be a battle for most of it. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is a bit colder than what we’d normally expect for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

The real window of opportunity, the standout, hits us on Tuesday the 8th. The morning is looking a bit average with a cross-off breeze, but the afternoon is where it’s at. You’ve got a clean 8 ft swell rolling in from the WSW, with a proper long-period groundswell of 16 seconds, and the wind swings offshore. That is going to be absolutely pumping. The energy is massive (3113), and with those conditions, it’s game on for experienced surfers. The swell is big enough to hold a lot of power, so this isn’t a day for beginners.

Wednesday the 9th still has good size, with 6 ft in the morning and 6 ft in the afternoon, and the wind stays offshore both sessions. The energy drops a bit (1735 / 1471), but it’s still a clean, solid day. The morning has a bit of a fresh breeze, but the afternoon looks more comfortable.

Thursday the 10th sees the swell start to back off to 5 ft in the morning and 4 ft in the afternoon. The morning has a cross-off wind, but the afternoon looks really nice with a gentle offshore breeze and clean conditions. The energy is down around the moderate range (920 / 806), but it’s a good, user-friendly day.

Now, here’s the thing. From Friday the 11th right through to the end of the second week, the wind turns onshore or cross-on for nearly every session. There are days with good swell size, like the 8 ft on Sunday the 13th afternoon or the 7 ft on Monday the 14th morning, but the wind is either onshore or cross-shore, which will mess up the face. The morning of Monday the 14th has a cross-off breeze and clean conditions, which is the one real bright spot in this whole messy stretch, but the wave quality comments suggest it’s touch and go.

The energy levels for these later swells are mostly moderate to strong (values between 627 and 2765), but with the onshore wind, it’s going to be choppy and hard to find a clean wall. A lot of these days are marked as poor or marginal surf conditions.

For the second week, the pattern stays the same: plenty of swell, but the wind is just not playing ball. The morning of Wednesday the 23rd has some promise with a light cross-on breeze and a 7 ft swell, but it’s a long way out and the forecast confidence is low.

If you’re looking for a kite surfing session, the whole stretch from the 12th of September onward, with that consistent onshore wind and solid swell, would be a lot more interesting for a kite than a paddle board. For the surfer, your best bet is absolutely locked in for Tuesday the 8th afternoon and Wednesday the 9th. Don’t sleep on that.

Rusty.

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