Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright boys, Rusty here. Let's break down the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a rollercoaster, with a few good days and a few you'll want to sleep through. The main event is a big west-northwest swell next Monday, but we've got some messy times to get through before we see it.

Right now, the swell is up but the wind is killing it. Avalon Point has a solid 10-11 foot west-southwest swell, but it's cross-on at 6 mph. The water is 65 degrees, which is about normal for this time of year. The energy is strong, reading 6073, but the waves are a mess. The afternoon is worse with 12 mph cross-onshore winds and some rain. Monday is a total washout with 28 mph winds. Don't even bother.

The middle of the week cleans up a bit. Tuesday morning is looking much better, with a 12-foot west-southwest swell, a 16-second period, and a gentle cross-offshore breeze. It's a big swell, but a point break can handle it. The energy is strong at 5887. Thursday morning is shaping up to be a real gem. The swell has dropped to 7 feet, but the wind is glassy, and the period is a long 17 seconds. It doesn't get much cleaner. Friday also looks good with light cross-offshore winds and a 7-foot, 16-second swell. Smaller, but the conditions are excellent.

Then we hit a lull. Saturday and Sunday, the swell drops to 5-6 feet, and the wind gets messy again. The energy drops to 999, which is weak. A bit of a dead spell.

The real standout of the whole forecast is Monday the 17th. A new, bigger, longer-period west swell is set to roll in. The morning is looking exceptional for experts. We're talking a 12-foot swell with an 18-second period, and light, clean cross-offshore winds. The combined energy is a massive 8011. This is the biggest, cleanest swell of the window. It's a powerful, long-period groundswell, which is going to be best on a point break like this. The afternoon sees it bump up to 13 feet, but the wind turns onshore, so be there at dawn. This is the day.

After that, the wind and the surf get tricky. Tuesday the 18th through Thursday the 20th sees a mix of big, lumpy swell and strong winds, making it pretty hostile. Wednesday the 19th has a 16-foot swell but with 19 mph cross-onshore winds, which is a full-on washing machine. Only for the most committed.

The end of the run, on the 22nd and 23rd, shows some promise again. Saturday the 22nd has an 8-foot west-southwest swell with a clean offshore wind in the afternoon. And Sunday the 23rd looks clean first thing with a light offshore breeze and a 7-foot swell. But remember, this is a week and a half out, so treat it as a promising idea, not a certainty.

So, the standout is clear: Monday the 17th, first light. That's the one. The Thursday and Friday just before are also beautiful, but the swell is smaller. The end of the run on the 22nd and 23rd is worth keeping an eye on, but it's too far out to get too excited.

Rusty, out.

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