Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Alright, look, we’ve got a bit of a messy start on Avalon Point. That southwest swell is trying to push through, but the wind’s got other ideas for most of this week, making it a bit of a frustrating wait for clean conditions. The overall pattern shows building energy, but you’ll need to be patient.

It kicks off with a 7ft SW swell on Wednesday the 2nd, but that cross-on W wind at 12 mph has it chopped and messy. Not worth paddling out for. That sets the tone for a few days, really. Thursday and Friday get bigger, hitting 8ft to 10ft, but the wind is howling onshore or cross-onshore, and the water gets pretty churned up. This is more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle-surfing one at a point break in those conditions. The swell is also a long period 15-second groundswell which, though powerful, won’t be offering the best shape with that mess on top.

The first standout is Monday the 7th. The swell drops back a fraction to 8ft, but the magic happens when a light S wind at 6 mph turns cross-offshore. The morning session looks *clean* – that’s the word. A 17-second period groundswell from the WSW, and with clean conditions, the point should start offering some proper lines. It’s still solid, so this is for experienced surfers, but there is serious energy in the water.

But the real showstopper is Tuesday the 8th. This is the one to circle. The early morning light E wind at 6 mph is cross-offshore, and by the afternoon a S wind at 6 mph is also cross-off, leaving the place looking glassy. We’re looking at a 8ft to 10ft WSW groundswell with an 18-second period. The energy is pumping, meaning there is serious power in the water. This is big, clean, and long-period – a proper groundswell. At a point break, this is about as good as it gets. Just be aware, the crowd situation here is on the “often” side, so expect company for these incredible waves.

The rest of the run settles down a bit. The week starting Tuesday the 9th has cleaner moments, but the swells are smaller, around 4ft to 7ft, and some cross-onshore days creep back in. It’s not bad, but it doesn’t match that Tuesday of the 8th.

Another couple of periods worth a look are Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th. Saturday morning has a clean 7ft WSW swell at 16 seconds with a cross-offshore SSE wind. Sunday morning is a real treat – an ESE wind at 9 mph is blowing straight offshore, giving the 6ft WSW swell a chance to set up perfectly. Those two mornings will be fun and a bit more manageable for the average surfer.

The very end of the forecast, on Thursday the 17th of September, has a morning session that’s glassy. A 8ft WSW swell with a 16-second period, and with an N wind at just 3 mph, it’s dead flat. This could be a real sneak peek of autumn goodness, but it’s way out there so don’t bank your life on it yet.

So, the call is simple: wait out the messy mid-week. Monday the 7th is a good warm-up. But the day to make plans for is absolutely Tuesday the 8th. That’s the standout, no questions asked.

Rusty.

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