Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk this out in feet and feet per second.

The only spot showing any real promise is Avalon Point. It’s a point break, fairly exposed, and it picks up a WSW swell best. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The week kicks off on Wednesday, 29th July, with a clean 4ft swell from the WSW, period around 14 seconds, and a moderate breeze from the NE keeping it cross-off. It’s not huge, but it’s surfable and clean. The combined energy is moderate (1040). That afternoon, the swell drops to 3ft, but the period stretches to 17 seconds and the wind goes light, so the waves will be clean and lined up, but small.

Thursday, 30th, is a bit of a write-off. The morning sees a 4ft swell with a nasty cross-shore wind, and it’s choppy. The afternoon is cross-on with light wind ripples. Not really worth paddling out for.

Friday, 31st, the swell builds to 5ft in the morning, but it’s cross-on and choppy. The afternoon gets bigger, 7ft, but the wind swings to a strong onshore, making it messy. Leave it.

Saturday, 1st August, brings a solid 8ft swell from the WSW, with a 15-second period. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but the combined energy is strong (2661). That’s getting into big territory for a beginner. The morning and afternoon are both clean, but the strength of the swell means it’s more for experienced surfers who can handle a bit of punch.

Sunday, 2nd, the swell drops to 7ft, still clean in the morning with a 14-second period. The energy is still moderate (1487). The afternoon picks up a light cross-shore, a bit less clean.

Monday, 3rd August, is the standout of the first week. The morning is glassy—absolutely dead calm wind—with a 5ft swell from the WSW, period 14 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (763), but the glassy conditions mean the waves will be perfect. For a point break, this is the session to aim for. It’s not too big, not too small, and clean as a whistle.

The rest of the week drifts into a pattern of building swell and poor wind. By Wednesday, 5th August, the swell hits 10ft, and by the afternoon it’s 12ft with a 17-second period, cross-off wind, and clean. That’s expert territory, and the combined energy is very strong (5938 in the afternoon).

Thursday, 6th, the swell stays big (10ft to 12ft), but the wind goes onshore and strong, making it a mess. Not worth it.

The second week starts promising but gets hammered by wind. Friday, 7th, has a massive 15ft swell in the morning, cross-off, but the period is short (11 seconds), so it’s a bit punchy. The afternoon is cross-shore and choppy.

Saturday, 8th, is a write-off with strong onshore winds and big, messy surf.

Sunday, 9th, through to Tuesday, 11th, is consistent: 7ft to 10ft swells, but the wind is cross-on or onshore, keeping it lumpy and poor.

Then, Wednesday, 12th August, is the absolute standout of the entire 16 days. The morning shows a 13ft swell from the W, with a long 18-second period, light cross-off wind from the SE, and clean conditions. The combined energy is massive (9864). That is a serious groundswell, perfect for a point break like Avalon Point. It’s going to be big, powerful, and clean. Only for experts, and it’s still a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it, but if it lines up, it’ll be a day to remember.

Thursday, 13th, still has a 12ft swell from the W, clean in the morning with a light cross-off, and a 16-second period. Another solid day for experienced surfers.

In summary, the best windows are Monday, 3rd August, morning for the glassy, clean, manageable swell, and the big one to watch is Wednesday, 12th August, morning for the huge, long-period groundswell with clean conditions.

Rusty

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