Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, looking at the stretch ahead for Avalon Point. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, I won’t lie. The next week and a half is gonna be a real grind with onshore junk, but there’s a small window of clean glass on the horizon, and a banger of a day sitting way out there at the end of the month that’s got my attention.

The water is sitting at 67°, which is exactly average for the time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first week is pretty much a write-off. Starting Wednesday the 15th, we’ve got a solid 5ft to 4ft WSW swell coming from a long-period 14 to 16 seconds, so there’s energy, but a fresh NNE cross-breeze is just making it lumpy and messy. That theme carries right through to the weekend. Thursday the 16th sees more wind, now cross-on from the NNW, with the swell building to 7ft from the W by the afternoon and even stronger energy, but it’s all poor, choppy conditions. Friday the 17th is a little smaller at 6ft, but still cross-on and chopped up. Saturday the 18th is the big one – a thumping 12ft swell from the W with a 13 to 16 second period, and the energy is massive. That’s huge, powerful stuff, but with onshore winds and cross-on chop, it’s a mess. Really only for absolute experts, and even then it’s not clean. Sunday the 19th drops to 8ft, but it’s still cross-shore and bumpy. Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are more of the same – onshore or cross-on wind, poor quality. A long gap of frustrating days.

Now, let’s talk about the light at the end of the tunnel. Wednesday the 22nd of July, the wind finally swings around. The morning is a clean cross-off from the SE, with a 6ft WSW swell. But the real standout is that afternoon. The wind goes offshore from the ESE, a moderate breeze, and the swell sits at 7ft from the WSW, period of 13 seconds. The report calls it excellent for experienced surfers. That’s the one. It’s a point break, so that long-period groundswell will line up nicely. It’s a decent size, so not for the beginners, but for anyone who’s got their wits about them, that’s the session to aim for. Crowds are likely at Avalon Point, so get in early.

Thursday the 23rd keeps the clean cross-off wind, but the swell drops back to 6ft, still with good energy. It’s a solid, clean option, but not the standout of the 22nd. After that, Friday the 24th through the weekend of the 26th sees the swell fade and the wind turn back to cross-shore, making for small, lumpy, poor conditions.

Then, a real surprise. On Monday the 27th of July, we get a glassy morning with a 4ft WSW swell, period of 14 seconds. The wind is a dead calm 5 mph from the ENE. That’s a glass-off. It’s small, but for a long-period point break, it could be a fun, clean little wave. The afternoon gets a light cross breeze, but the morning is the pick of the small stuff.

Finally, looking way out to Wednesday the 30th of July, there’s another promising one. Thursday the 30th afternoon has a clean offshore wind from the ESE, moderate breeze, with a 5ft WSW swell and a very long 18-second period, pumping energy. That’s another day for experienced surfers, with clean, powerful lines. The morning of the 30th is also clean cross-off, but at 4ft and 16 seconds. So the 30th is a solid wind window, but it’s a long way out, so keep your fingers crossed.

Best bet: clear your schedule for the afternoon of Wednesday the 22nd of July. That’s your standout. And if you’re patient, keep an eye on the 30th.

Rusty.

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