Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The first week or so is gonna be a fight with the wind, but there’s a serious pulse of energy coming in the second week that’s gonna make it all worth it. We’ve got a bit of a dry spell at the start.

The first few days of September are a total washout for paddling. The wind is all over the place, mostly cross-on or onshore, and the swell is just a mess. There’s size – 7ft to 12ft – but the quality is terrible. The combined energy is strong, with values like 1701 and 3550, but it’s all just blown-out chop. You’d be better off with a kite or a beer.

Thursday (3rd September) and Friday (4th September) are just as bad. Strong onshore winds, huge swell up to 12ft, and the wave energy is cranking, but it’s a washing machine. Not worth a look.

The weekend isn’t much better. Saturday (5th September) brings a 13ft swell with a short 9-second period and strong cross-shore winds. The energy is still high at 2335, but it’s a total mess. Sunday (6th September) has a bit of a cleaner look with some cross-off wind, but the swell is still 10ft and the energy is massive (3350 to 3982). Still a bit unruly.

Now, we start to see a glimmer of hope. Monday morning (7th September) is the first real standout. At Avalon Point, the swell eases to a more manageable 8ft, still from the WSW, and the wind turns into a light, clean cross-off from the SE at 6 mph. The period stretches out to a very long 17 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. The combined energy is still strong at 3418, but the conditions are clean. This is a window for experienced surfers – the long period will make for some proper, powerful lines, but it might be a bit straight for the beach breaks, so that point should handle it well. The water temperature is sitting at 64°, which is about normal for this time of year, nothing too unusual.

But the real big one, the one that’s got me buzzing, is Tuesday 8th September. The morning at Avalon Point is going to be special. The swell is still 8ft from the WSW, but we have a gentle offshore wind from the ESE at 9 mph. The period is again a very long 17 seconds, and the energy is strong at 3314. This is the pick of the bunch for the early part of the outlook. The point will be clean, lined up, and offering some proper waves. Crowds are likely here, so get in early.

The rest of that week stays clean but the swell drops a little. Wednesday (9th September) morning is clean with a cross-off breeze, but the swell is down to 7ft. The following weekend (10th-12th September) sees a return to choppier conditions, though there’s another flash of brilliance on Saturday morning (12th September) – glassy conditions with a 8ft, 16-second swell from the WSW. That’s a beautiful window for the experienced crew.

Now, hold onto your board. The second week explodes. Monday 14th September afternoon sees a jump in swell to 12ft from the west, with a 16-second period and a combined energy of 13086. That’s very strong energy. The wind is a gentle cross-onshore, so it’s not perfect, but it’s a sign of what’s coming.

Tuesday 15th September is absolutely massive. We’re talking 16ft of west swell, with a 14 to 15-second period. The energy is at 11059 and 11536. This is big, powerful, and only for experts. The wind is light cross-off, so the conditions are workable, but that’s a lot of ocean moving.

The absolute peak, the one to circle on the calendar, is Wednesday morning 16th September. At Avalon Point, we have a 13ft west swell, a very long 16-second period, and glassy conditions. The combined energy is a massive 9035. This is exceptional, powerful, clean surf for expert surfers only. The point will be handling this like a dream, with those long lines wrapping around. If you can handle the size, it’ll be a session to remember.

Thursday 17th September is still big (10ft, 18-second period) and clean in the morning, but the size drops off a bit.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a long, frustrating wait with a lot of wind and chop. The standout is Tuesday morning (8th September) for a clean, powerful swell. But the true king of the outlook is Wednesday morning (16th September) – huge, glassy, and perfect for the experts. The water is about average for this time of year for the first spot we looked at.

Rusty.

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