Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a close look at what’s coming our way for Avalon Point. We’ve got a long window ahead, sixteen days of it, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag, but there are definitely some shining moments if you pick your times.

The main event here is a solid, long-period groundswell from the WSW that hangs around for much of the period, with a big pulse of energy arriving mid-to-late week. The water temp is sitting at about 64°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off really. Tuesday and Wednesday have sizeable swell, but the wind is all over the place, cross-shore and onshore, leaving the surface messy. The energy is strong but not clean.

Now, Thursday morning the 13th is where it starts to get interesting. We get a glassy dawn with the wind swinging NE and dropping right off. The swell holds at about 7 ft from the WSW with a very long 17-second period. The energy reading is 2629 (moderate-to-strong) and the combo of light winds and that long-period groundswell makes it feel proper powerful. This is one for experienced folks only – it’s going to be a bit of a beast on the take-off, but the shape and push will be unreal.

Friday morning the 14th is another cracker. The wind is cross-offshore from the ENE at just 6 mph, keeping it clean. Swell drops slightly to about 7 ft, still from the WSW with a 16-second period and energy of 2198. It’s still well overhead and lined up, but a little more manageable than the day before. Still an experienced surfer’s wave, but the line-up is going to be a bit friendlier.

The weekend is a bit of a fizzer. Saturday and Sunday have decent swell, but the wind gets messy again, and the energy drops off. Not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate.

We get another golden window on Sunday afternoon the 16th, though. Glassy conditions again with a variable light breeze, and about 7 ft of swell from the west with a 14-second period. The energy is 2052 – solid. This late-afternoon session is an absolute sleeper pick for the week.

After that, things get a bit wild. From Monday the 17th through the 19th, the swell jumps up to 8 ft and the wind goes straight onshore, howling from the WNW and SW. Combined energy readings are in the strong range (over 4000), but the surface is total chaos. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddle.

The outlook then gets better again. Saturday the 22nd morning is a standout: offshore wind from the SE at 3 mph, clean, with 8 ft of long-period groundswell at 17 seconds from the WSW. Energy is 3591 – strong, pushing very powerful. Again, this is expert-only, but for those who can handle it, the paddle out will be easier with those long gaps between sets, and the walls will be incredible.

Tuesday the 25th morning is another clean window with offshore ESE winds and about 7 ft of swell. That’s a good one for experienced surfers who want quality over flat-out size.

By the 26th, the swell is fading and the wind turns onshore again, so the run peters out.

Overall, the absolute best on offer is Thursday morning the 13th and Saturday morning the 22nd. Both have glassy or offshore wind and powerful, long-period groundswell. The crowds at Avalon Point are often there, so get in early.

Stay safe and pick your moments.
Rusty.

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