Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks at Avalon Point. We’ve got a run of surf coming, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag, so you’ll want to pick your moments.

The water temperature is sitting at about 66°F, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year.

We start off slow. Sunday the 19th has some lumpy, cross-shore wind and a 7ft WSW swell (moderate wave energy of 1535). It’s not the cleanest, and the report says it’s marginal. Monday the 20th is a write-off with poor conditions and onshore winds, so don’t bother paddling out.

Things start to turn around on Tuesday the 21st morning. We get a clean cross-off breeze and a 5ft SW swell with a period of 11 seconds. That’s a nice little groundswell and the energy is moderate (714). It’s a good one for the beginner-friendly point.

Wednesday the 22nd is where it gets interesting. The morning is clean with offshore wind, 5ft WSW swell (13 second period), and the energy is building (1117). But the real standout is Wednesday afternoon. You’ve got a 6ft WSW swell, a very long period of 16 seconds, and a clean offshore breeze. The combined energy jumps to 1728, and the conditions are rated excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a proper session. If you’re a beginner, that 6ft might be a bit much, but for the rest of us, it’s a go.

Thursday the 23rd is still clean, but the swell drops to 5ft in the morning and 4ft in the afternoon. It’s fun, but not a standout. Friday the 24th is small, with 3ft swells, but Friday afternoon you get glassy conditions. If you’ve got a longboard, that’s your window.

The weekend of the 25th and 26th is a washout. Strong winds, lumpy mess, and on the 26th we get a 10ft WSW swell but with fresh cross-onshore winds. It’s going to be a choppy, blown-out mess. Kite surfers might be into it, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass.

Now, hold on to your hats. Monday the 27th morning is the true jewel of this forecast. A massive 13ft WSW swell, with a very long period of 15 seconds, and a gentle cross-off breeze. The combined energy is a staggering 7752. This is a big, powerful groundswell. For a point break like Avalon, that long period and direction are going to produce some serious, clean lines. This is strictly for experts – 13ft is well past the beginner and intermediate comfort zone. The report calls it exceptional. That’s your best day, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on it.

The week after that settles down. Tuesday the 28th through the end of the month has clean, manageable 3ft to 5ft swells. Then on Saturday the 1st of August, we get another pulse: a 5ft WSW swell with an 18-second period and light offshore winds. The energy is strong (1891) and it’s rated excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a solid second standout, but again, it’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not locked in.

Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd of August look like they get messy again with strong winds and lumpy conditions.

So, to sum it up: Wednesday the 22nd afternoon is your first real winner. Monday the 27th morning is the standout for the brave, and Saturday the 1st of August is a promising one to watch. The rest is a mix of clean but small, or big and blown out. Keep your eyes on the long-range stuff.

Rusty.

Read more