Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s shaping up.

We’ve got some serious swell on the horizon for Avalon Point, but the wind is going to be a bit of a battle for most of the run. The good news is we’ve got a long-period groundswell with a period of 16 to 17 seconds, which brings a lot of energy and proper shape, but it’s going to be a bit of a wait for the stars to align.

The first real chance to get wet isn’t until the 4th of August, and even then, it’s a bit of a scratchy affair. The swell is solid at 8 ft from the WSW, but with a cross-on wind, it’s going to be lumpy. The energy is pumping, with a combined swell energy of 3239, so there’s heaps of water moving, but the surface won't be pretty. The water temp is 66°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

The 5th and 6th of August see the swell pick up to a solid 10 ft, but the wind stays stubbornly cross-on. It’s frustrating because the swell is there, but the quality is just not there yet. The energy is massive, hitting 4543 on the afternoon of the 5th. This is a lot of power for a beginner, so if you’re new to it, stay out of the way.

The 7th of August kicks off with rain and strong onshore winds, and by the 8th, we’re looking at a stormy mess. The swell hits 15 ft, with a combined energy of 9316, which is monstrous, but the wind is screaming cross-shore at 28 mph. This is a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle-surfing one. Leave the surfboard at home unless you’re a proper charger.

The 9th of August offers a small window on the morning. The swell drops to 12 ft, and the wind is light at 6 mph, but it’s still cross-on. The energy is still high at 6155, so it’s a bit of a gamble. It’s the best we’ve seen in a while, but it’s still marginal.

Now, listen up, because this is the standout. The morning of the 11th of August. The swell is a clean 8 ft from the WSW, with a period of 17 seconds, and the wind is glassy – absolutely still. This is what we’ve been waiting for. The combined energy is 4012, so there’s plenty of grunt, and with the wind off, it’s going to be proper. This is a point break, so that long-period groundswell will wrap in beautifully. The water is a bit cleaner than it has been. This is a solid session for experienced surfers, as 8 ft is a bit much for beginners. Do note that crowds are possible here, so get out early.

The 12th of August sees the swell start to drop back to 6 ft, and the wind is light onshore. It’s still surfable, but nothing special.

The 13th through the 19th of August is a bit of a write-off. The wind is up and down, and the swell is inconsistent. The 15th and 16th of August see another pulse of 10 ft to 12 ft swell, but with fresh onshore winds, it’s just a messy, blown-out affair. The 19th of August has the swell dropping to 5 ft, but the wind is howling.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is the morning of the 11th of August. Get the glassy conditions and that long-period groundswell. It’s a long wait, but it’ll be worth it.

Rusty.

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