Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Avalon Point. We’ve got a solid run of swell coming through the back half of August and into the first week of September, but the wind is going to be the main character in this story. It’s a point break set-up, and it’s a fairly consistent spot, but we’ve got to pick the right windows.

The standout here is Wednesday afternoon, the 26th of August. The water’s sitting at 65°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing weird. The real story is that huge, 12-foot W swell with a period of 18 seconds. That’s a very long-period groundswell, and at a point break like this, it’s going to peel beautifully. The double bonus is the glassy, near-silent conditions with a light NE wind at just 3 mph. The combined energy is a massive 6689, which is a powerful amount of water moving. This is for expert surfers only – it’s big, powerful, and lined up. If you’re up for it, this is the session.

Thursday morning, the 27th, is a different story. The swell drops a bit to 8 feet, but the wind swings to a strong 25 mph southerly, so it’s cross-off but rough. The energy’s still strong at 3531, but the conditions are marginal. That trend continues through the rest of the week, with swell easing and the wind staying tricky.

We get a nice little uptick on Saturday afternoon, the 29th of August. The swell is 6 feet from the WSW, with a 19-second period, which is still a healthy, long-period groundswell. The wind is a gentle offshore breeze from the ESE at 9 mph, and the energy is a solid 2024. This is excellent for experienced surfers – clean, well-shaped waves.

Sunday morning, the 30th of August, is also good. You’ve got 7 feet of swell from the WSW, 18-second period, light NE wind at 6 mph, and energy at 2398. It’s cross-off, but it’s clean. The wind swings onshore in the afternoon, so it’s a morning mission.

The following week, from the 31st through to the 10th of September, the outlook gets frustrating. There’s a persistent run of cross-onshore and onshore wind, with the swell hanging around the 5 to 8-foot range. The wind state is often “moderate cross-onshore and choppy” or worse. The energy values are still moderate to strong, but the quality just isn’t there for paddle surfing. By the 8th and 9th, the wind is up to 22 mph, and the conditions are poor. The 10th of September, with a 34 mph WNW wind, is a write-off. This stretch looks more interesting for the kite-surfing crew than for us on a regular board.

The best bet for the second week is probably the Saturday morning of the 5th of September, with 8 feet of swell and a gentle cross-shore breeze, but it’s still a marginal call. The 6th of September, Sunday morning, might be worth a look with 7 feet of swell and a light cross-shore, but it’s not a standout.

So, to wrap it up: mark your calendar for Wednesday the 26th. That’s the big one. Saturday the 29th is your next best shot. After that, it’s a waiting game for the wind to play ball. Stay tuned.

Rusty.

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