Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a proper look at what’s coming up over the next few weeks for Avalon Point. The next sixteen days are a real mixed bag, so we need to pick our moments carefully and not get too excited about the whole window. There’s some solid long-period groundswell on the cards, but the wind is going to be the main character in this story, and it doesn't always play nice.

We start off with a bit of a handful. Tuesday the 11th of August sees a big 12 ft swell from the WSW with a very long 16-second period, packing some serious energy. The problem? A moderate cross-off wind that’s 12 mph. The wave comment says “marginal,” and I’ve got to agree. The water temp is 66°F, which is spot on average for the time of year, nothing unusual there. This isn’t the day to paddle out unless you’re a real local who knows every rock.

Wednesday the 12th is a step down in size to 7 ft, but the period is still a very inviting 15 seconds. The morning has a slight cross-off breeze from the NNE at just 3 mph, which is basically glassy. It’s still rated as “marginal” in the notes, but those light winds and that clean-looking wave state are a better bet. The afternoon gets a bit messier with a light cross-shore. Not a standout, but a solid option for a quiet session.

Now, Thursday the 13th of August is where it starts to look interesting. Early morning, you’ve got a 7 ft WSW swell with a gorgeous 17-second period, and the wind is a light cross-off from the NE at only 3 mph. The wave comment calls it “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The energy is strong. This is a proper point-break day with that long-period groundswell. Be aware, though, at 7 ft, it’s on the bigger side for a beginner. And because it’s a point break with that long period, the waves will be lined-up and juicy. The crowds are “often” here, so expect some company for the good ones, particularly on a day like this. This is one of the true standouts in the window.

Friday the 14th is very similar in size, 7 ft to 7 ft from the WSW, with excellent conditions again on the morning session. Light cross-off from the NE and clean surf. Another real gem for the experienced crew.

The weekend (15th – 16th of August) is a letdown. Saturday morning the wind picks up to a moderate cross-shore breeze of 16 mph, making it choppy. Swell drops to 6 ft, energy weakens. Skip it. Sunday the 16th has a redeeming afternoon session with a 7 ft swell from the W, 14-second period, and a light cross-off wind from the NE. That afternoon is clean and worth a look, another “excellent” call-out.

Then it all goes pear-shaped from the 17th of August for several days. Monday the 17th has a fresh cross-onshore wind of 19 mph, turning a 7 ft swell into a lumpy mess. The next few days are dominated by onshore winds, rain showers, and poor conditions. The swell actually builds again to 12 ft on the 19th of August, but it’s blown out and ugly. That stretch from the 17th to the 20th is a write-off for any quality surfing. You’re looking at a solid wall of poor surf.

We finally get a break on Saturday the 22nd of August. This is the other major standout. The morning delivers a clean, 13 ft swell from the W with a 12-second period. The wind is a light 6 mph cross-off from the S. The wave comment is “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers,” and the energy is massive. Now, at 13 ft, this is expert territory only. Beginners, stay on the sand. The afternoon gets a bit cross-choppy with 12 mph winds, so get out early. This is serious, powerful groundswell.

After that, it gets ugly again. Sunday the 23rd of August is a write-off with near-gale 34 mph winds. The following week has a few more moments. Monday the 24th of August morning has a clean 5 ft swell from the W with excellent conditions for experienced surfers, a nice little window. And that’s about it for the rest of the forecast, as the swells either drop off or get blown out again.

So, to wrap it up: the best two windows are Thursday the 13th of August morning, with that beautiful, long-period, clean 7 ft swell, and Saturday the 22nd of August morning, with the massive, clean 13 ft groundswell for the experts only. Pick your days, ignore the rest.

Rusty.

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