Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

We’ve got a decent run of surf at Avalon Point to kick things off, but don’t get too excited for the first couple of days because the real standout action is tucked away later. The swell’s coming from the WSW, which is right in the pocket for this spot. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, nothing weird.

Friday the 28th has clean lines both morning and afternoon. The morning bump is 6ft at 13 seconds from the WSW, but it’s a bit raw with that 30 km/h SE cross-off wind – it’s clean, but the wind is fresh. The afternoon cleans right up with a good 5ft, 12-second swell and a proper offshore SE breeze at 25 km/h. The combined energy is moderate (667). This is a good session for a beginner-friendly point break that’s fairly consistent. Crowds are possible here.

Saturday the 29th gets even better. The morning is glassy with offshore ESE wind and a 3ft, 19-second groundswell with moderate energy (824). It’ll be clean but small. The afternoon though – that’s the first real highlight. 6ft from the WSW at 19 seconds is a beautiful long-period groundswell, and thanks to it being a point break, it’ll hold that shape perfectly. Combined energy jumps to strong (1947). Expect very good, clean surf with a moderate offshore breeze. This is one for the loggers and mid-lengths.

Sunday the 30th morning is another standout, but this one’s for experienced surfers only. 7ft of WSW swell at 18 seconds, light NE cross-off wind, and the combined energy is very strong (2930). Glassy, long-period, powerful. The afternoon turns cross-shore and the quality drops a notch, but the morning is epic if you’ve got the skills.

Monday the 31st and Tuesday the 1st get messy, with onshore wind and choppy conditions. Avoid those days. There’s a gap of poor surf through Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd, with onshore wind and rain, though the size is still there. Not worth the paddle.

Friday the 4th is a write-off, rain and cross-onshore chop.

Now, here’s the sleeper: Saturday the 5th morning is glassy. Completely glassy. 5ft, 14-second swell from the WSW with moderate energy (849). That’s the kind of morning you call in sick for. For a point break, that will be absolutely perfect, clean lines with no wind. A gem.

The following week is a real mixed bag. Sunday the 6th has light winds but cross-shore, okay if you’re keen. Monday the 7th is weak and small.

But here's the wildcard – and I mean this with a bit of caution because it’s a long way off – Wednesday the 9th of September. The morning shows 15ft at 16 seconds from the WSW, with a light cross-shore SSW breeze and the combined energy is enormous (11942). That’s a serious, serious swell. But it’s an onshore wind that afternoon, and the whole day is marked as marginal, maybe tide-dependent. This is for experts only – that’s over 8ft. It’s promising but far out, so keep an eye on the charts.

Thursday the 10th still has a big 13ft and 12ft swell, but onshore wind ruins it. Friday the 11th is blown out completely with 35 km/h onshore wind.

So, the best bets: Saturday 29th afternoon for that long-period 6ft glassy offshore session, and Saturday 5th morning for the dead-calm, clean 5ft lines. If you’re experienced and brave, Wednesday 9th morning is shaping up to be a beast, but don’t bet the farm on it yet.

Stay stoked,
Rusty.

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