Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Avalon Point has cookin’ for us over the next couple weeks.

Right off the bat, Thursday afternoon (July 30th) is nothing to write home about. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the WSW with a 14-second period, which is a decent groundswell, but it’s getting hit by a cross-onshore wind. The water’s sitting at 65°, which is about average for the time of year. The combined wave energy is moderate (850), but it’s a bit junky. Not the day to paddle out unless you’re desperate.

Friday (July 31st) is a write-off. The swell jumps to 6ft and then 7ft, with a long 16-second period, but the wind is on it or cross-onshore and strong, making it a choppy, messy mess. The combined energy climbs into the strong range (1469 to 2290), but it’s not surfable. Forget it.

Saturday (August 1st) and Sunday (August 2nd) see the swell holding in the 7ft to 8ft range, 14-15 second period, with cross-offshore winds. The combined energy is moderate to strong (1628 to 2665). The data says “clean” but the tide conditions are questionable. It’s a bit too big for beginners but manageable for the average surfer. Not a standout, but you could get some fun ones if the tide lines up.

Monday (August 3rd) is a drop-off in size (5ft) and the wind is cross-offshore in the morning, so it’s clean, but the energy is weak (789). It’s small, but a log might work. The afternoon gets messy with a strong cross-shore.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday (August 4th) morning is the first real standout. We’ve got an 8ft swell from the WSW with a very long 18-second period. This is proper groundswell energy. The wind is glassy – dead calm. The combined wave energy is very strong (3971). This is an experienced surfer’s window. The long-period swell will be organizing and powerful, so Avalon Point, being a point break, is the right setup for it. The crowds are listed as “often,” so expect a few others out there with the same idea. Wednesday (August 5th) morning and afternoon are almost identical – 8ft, 16-second period, glassy glassy conditions, energy in the 3458-3668 range. This is a solid two-day window of quality.

Thursday (August 6th) starts to degrade; the wind turns cross-onshore and the quality drops.

Then the wheels come off. From Friday (August 7th) through Sunday (August 9th), a big stormy pulse hits. Swell sizes blow out to 13ft and 15ft, with strong cross and cross-onshore winds. The combined energy goes through the roof (3367 to 7138), but it’s a washing machine. This is not a paddle situation. If you’ve got a kite, maybe, but for surfboards, it’s a no-go.

Monday (August 10th) the swell drops back to 6-5ft, but the wind is cross, making it choppy. Mediocre.

Tuesday (August 11th) is another one to skip – big swell on the 11th afternoon (13ft) with fresh cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions.

The very end of the outlook, on August 12th, shows a monster swell coming in. 18ft from the west with a 21-second period – that’s an extreme long-period groundswell. The combined energy is an absolutely massive 47520. The data even says it’s too big for this break. But then it says “wind and tide favorable.” Look, that’s a once-in-a-season level of energy, but it’s for experts only, and the wind is on it. It’s too dangerous for most. After that, it stays big and messy through the 14th, all cross-onshore and lumpy.

So, to sum it up: the clear highlights are Tuesday morning, August 4th, and Wednesday, August 5th. Glassy conditions, clean 8ft groundswell, and strong energy. That’s your window.

Rusty

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