Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what the ocean’s got in store for us over these next couple of weeks.

The early part of this forecast window is going to be a bit of a battle. We’ve got some swell on the way in, but the wind is going to be messy. On Friday the 14th, there’s a cross-shore breeze with a 7ft WSW swell. It’s going to be a bit bumpy, and the water is running about 2°F colder than it usually is this time of year, so a hood might not be a bad idea.

Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are more of the same story. We’re looking at 6ft to 7ft of swell, but the cross-shore winds are going to make it lumpy and hard to find a clean face.

The ocean is going to wake up on Monday the 17th. The swell jumps up to 7ft in the morning and then roars to 12ft in the afternoon. But before you get your hopes up, the wind is going to be blowing hard onshore, and the energy is up to 6990. It’s going to be a full-on, blown-out mess. That’s kite-surfing weather, not paddle-surfing weather.

Avalon Point will be seeing the tail end of that big energy on Tuesday the 18th. There’s a strong 12ft of WSW swell pushing through with a long 16-17 second period and a huge amount of energy. This is serious, heavy water. It’s a day for the big-wave specialists only. If you’re not completely comfortable in powerful surf, stay on the beach and watch.

Now, things start to clean up on Thursday morning, the 20th. The wind goes light and offshore, and the swell is still a solid 10ft. The energy is still high, but it’s going to be much cleaner. This is a good window for the advanced surfers.

Then we get a proper fun spell. From Friday morning the 21st through to Saturday afternoon the 22nd, the swell settles down to a much more friendly 7ft, and the winds are looking light and offshore. This is going to be clean, classic surf. The conditions will be a lot more fun for everyone. Just keep in mind that the long period means longer waits between sets, but the waves will have more push.

The clean spell gets interrupted on Sunday the 23rd with a freshening cross-shore wind, making things choppy again.

Next week starts with a bit more energy on Monday the 24th, which looks choppy and cross-onshore. Then, a big new groundswell fills in on Tuesday the 25th. The models are showing a chunky 12ft from the WSW with a long period and energy levels peaking at 7895. The wind is cross-offshore, so there could be a few windows for the experts, but it’s going to be a tough paddle and a big drop.

The standout period for me is Friday the 28th. That afternoon, the forecast is showing a clean 10ft of WSW swell with an extra-long 19-second period and the wind dropping to nothing. It’s going to be glassy. That combination of size, period, and clean conditions is about as good as it gets. This is the one you want to plan for. It’s a long way out, so don’t book the time off work just yet, but definitely keep your eye on it. There is a decent window on the morning of the 26th as well, which looks like it could offer some cleaner conditions at a slightly smaller size.

So, be patient with the junky stuff, respect the big days, and circle that Friday afternoon. That’s the one that’s got me stoked.

Rusty out.

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