Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s give it to you straight for Avalon Point. We’ve got a full 16-day window ahead, but it’s not all gonna be pretty. The first few days are a write-off, and we have to wait until next week to find any real diamonds. The water’s sitting about a degree colder than usual for this time of year, so grab the thicker rubber for that first surf.

The opening stretch, from Sunday the 16th through the 20th, is a bit of a mess. We’ve got a solid swell showing up, but the wind is all over the shop. Sunday’s got a moderate cross-shore breeze with a chop on it, and Monday the 17th is a straight-up mess—howling cross-onshore wind and the swell jumps to 13ft. That’s a lot of raw energy (8409) but it’s gonna be blown apart. Not worth a paddle. Tuesday the 18th brings a big, clean-ish 12ft swell (5409 energy) but the wind is on it, making things lumpy. Don’t get too excited. Wednesday and Thursday are much the same—plenty of size but poor conditions. There’s a lot of swell energy around, but you’ll be fighting the wind and chop the whole time.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 21st is our first real standout. The morning is looking clean with a light offshore breeze. We’ve got an 8ft WSW groundswell (3040 energy) rolling in, and that point should be handling it beautifully. It’s a good size for experienced surfers, and that offshore wind will have it looking glassy. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

The weekend after that stays okay. Saturday the 22nd has a clean afternoon with a 5ft swell (1310 energy) and a light offshore breeze. Then Sunday the 23rd sees the wind swing offshore and stay there, with a 6ft WSW swell (1174 energy) giving us clean, fun waves. Monday the 24th drops off in size and the wind goes bad again, so the run ends there.

We then hit a poor stretch until the following week. Tuesday the 25th through Thursday the 28th is a mix of onshore wind, chop, and a few bigger swells that are just too messy to handle. There’s a period of about four days where I’d rather be doing something else.

But hold on, because the last day of the run, Monday the 31st, is another true standout. It’s a long way off, so treat it as promising but not locked in. The forecast shows a clean morning with a light offshore breeze and a 4ft W swell (754 energy). It’s smaller, but it’ll be clean and glassy. That’s the kind of session you’ll be stoked on.

So, if you’re keen, Friday the 21st is the big one—size, direction, and clean wind. Sunday the 23rd is the safe bet for a fun, clean session. The long-range Monday the 31st is the one to dream about, but don't book the day off work just yet. The rest is either blown out or just plain flat. Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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