Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, it's Rusty here. Let's talk about the next couple of weeks at Avalon Point.

We've got a bumpy start, but the ocean's got a bit of a story to tell. There's a solid window of clean surf kicking off next Friday that looks like the best of the bunch. But before that, we've got to wade through some messy conditions.

The water's running a bit colder than normal for this time of year, about 63°F, so you might want that full suit or a good 3/2.

Right now, Sunday afternoon is a bit of a write-off. We've got a moderate cross-shore breeze with a cross-chop, and surf around 6ft at 14 seconds. The energy is moderate to strong (1552), but it's not going to be pretty. Conditions are marginal at best.

Monday gets properly blown out. A strong cross-onshore wind will have things messy, and by the afternoon a near gale is going to make it a complete mess with 15ft of lumpy, blown-out surf. This is one to skip. The energy's pumping (4224), but it's all over the place.

Tuesday brings a change. The wind swings offshore and drops right off. We're looking at a cleaner 12ft of W swell with a long 16-second period. The energy gets strong (6117). It's still a bit raw, but the clean conditions will make it surfable for the more experienced crew.

Wednesday morning is again blown out with onshore winds. The afternoon brings a bit of relief with a gentler cross-shore, but it's still a bit lumpy with 10ft on offer. It's not great, but it's a step up.

Thursday is more of the same, a bit onshore, a bit lumpy, with 8-10ft of WSW swell. Still not the cleanest, but the energy is holding (3954).

Then comes Friday the 21st. This is the one I'm looking at. The wind goes offshore out of the ESE, and it's clean. The swell is a solid 7ft from the WSW with a 15-second period, which is perfect for the point. The energy is moderate to strong (1994), but the conditions are the story. Clean, offshore winds, and a proper swell. This is your standout.

Saturday the 22nd also looks good with light cross-offshore winds and clean 6ft surf. The energy is there (2120), and it'll be a fun, less gnarly option than Friday.

Sunday the 23rd holds the clean lines with another morning of light offshore wind and a solid 8ft WSW swell. The period has dropped to 14 seconds, but it should still be good. Energy is strong (2866).

Monday the 24th is a bit of a fade. Clean but weaker, with the swell dropping to 7ft and the energy taking a step down (1190). It's still surfable, but the juice is going out of it.

After that, things get messy again. Tuesday the 25th has a cross-shore wind and a mix of swell. The afternoon looks like a jump in energy (4794) with 10ft and a 16-second period, but the wind is onshore, making it a bumpy ride.

The last week of August turns to mush. Wednesday the 26th brings fresh cross-onshore winds and rain showers – it's a full onshore mess. Thursday and Friday follow suit with more cross-onshore and choppy conditions. The energy is there, but the wind is going to ruin it.

The final days of the month and into September show some serious swell energy building – we're talking 7476 and even 9287 by the 31st, with waves pushing 13-15ft. The period is long, 17-18 seconds, which means a lot of water moving. But the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, which at this size on a point break might be more of a tow-in or kitesurfing situation than clean paddle surfing. It's still a week and a half out, so we'll have to see how it shapes up, but it's a lot of water.

So mark your calendar for the 21st. That's the one. A clean, offshore, proper size day at the Point. Don't miss it.

Rusty, out.

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