Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the 16-day stretch ahead. We’ve only got the one spot firing predictions for us – Avalon Point – a point break that’s fairly consistent and works best when the swell is from the WSW. The water temp is sitting at 63°F, which is about average for this time of year, nothing too wild there.

The first real standout is on Monday the 14th of September. There’s a solid 8ft groundswell rolling in from the WSW with a long 14 second period. The energy is strong (2027), and with a light ENE breeze at 3 mph, you’re looking at clean, cross-off conditions. This is proper, powerful point surf for experienced paddlers – over 5ft so it’s already a step up, and at 8ft, it’s definitely for surfers who know what they’re doing. Absolute gem of a session, but the crowds can be often, so get in early.

Tuesday the 15th also looks promising for the morning. Similar deal – 7ft WSW swell, long 15 second period, and light SE cross-off winds at 6 mph. It’s clean and has good energy (1994). Again, it’s big enough to keep the beginners on the beach, but for the experienced, this is top shelf.

Now, through the middle of the week, the wind gets a bit messy and the quality drops off, with onshore or cross-on breezes making things choppy. There’s a bit of a gap there until we get to the far end of the forecast.

Looking way ahead to Saturday the 19th of September, we’ve got some 10ft swell arriving, but it’s a short-period 8 second windswell, and the wind is light cross-on. The energy is moderate (1220), but that short period means it won’t have the same shape as the earlier groundswell. It’s marginal, and then Sunday the 20th is nothing special.

But then, Monday the 21st of September – this one looks like a real beast. We’re talking 10ft of WSW swell with a very long 17 second period. The energy here is massive (4494), a real powerhouse. The wind is light cross-on, so it won’t be glassy, but for a big wave spot like a point, this could be an incredible session for expert surfers only. This is well over 8ft, so it’s strictly for the bold and the experienced. That long period will have plenty of punch, but at a point break it should line up beautifully. A standout in the long-range, but with that much power, you’ll want to be on your A-game.

The swell sticks around into Tuesday the 22nd and beyond, but the winds turn cross and fresh, really messing with the surface. There’s some cleaner signals again on Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th with cross-off winds and 6-7ft swell, but nothing as clean or standout as the Monday and Tuesday mornings earlier on.

All up, for the first week, the mornings of the 14th and 15th September are your best bets – clean, powerful, long-period WSW groundswell, and offshore or cross-off winds. For the adventurers, that 21st September morning is the long-range one to circle.

Rusty.

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