Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, looking at what the next couple of weeks have in store for us at Avalon Point.

We’ve got a solid pulse of Southwest swell lining up, but Old Man Winter is going to throw some serious wind at us for the majority of the run. The water is sitting at 66°, which is right on the money for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Monday morning (24 August) is your best early shout. We’ve got a clean 7ft swell from the WSW with a 14-second period, and a light easterly breeze keeping the surface glassy. That combined energy is pumping hard (1570), and the conditions are prime for experienced surfers. It’s not a beginner wave at that size. The point should be reeling nicely with that long period groundswell.

By Monday afternoon, the wind swings onshore from the WNW, and the quality drops off a cliff. We’re looking at a messy session.

Tuesday (25 August) is a flat-out write-off. A fresh 30 km/h cross-onshore breeze is going to turn that 5ft to 6ft swell into a lumpy, wind-affected mess. Don’t bother.

Wednesday morning (26 August) is a big one – a solid 12ft groundswell from the WSW with a 19-second period. The combined energy is through the roof (8529). That is expert-only territory. While the wind is light onshore, the sheer size and power will make it a heavy, straight-breaking wall at times – better suited to a reef or point, but Avalon can handle it for the brave. The afternoon sees the wind shift to a cross-off, but with heavy rain and that same size, it’s a day for the experienced crew only.

Thursday (27 August) still has some size at 8ft, but a fresh cross-off wind is the main story. It’s clean enough, but the wave quality isn’t quite there for a standout session.

We then hit a long, frustrating stretch. From Friday (28 August) through to Saturday (5 September) , the forecast is dominated by poor wind, mostly onshore or cross-onshore. There are glimpses of clean conditions on Friday morning and Saturday morning (29 August) , but the swell drops away or the wind messes it up. The 3ft, 19-second period swell on Saturday morning (29 August) is interesting – that’s a very long period groundswell, but it's tiny and the direction is cross-off. It might look pretty, but it won’t have much push.

The real wild card – and the one to circle on the calendar – is Sunday morning (6 September) . The wind is light, almost glassy, with a 10ft WSW groundswell. The energy is massive (3104). Again, this is for the experienced crew only at that size, but the clean conditions on a big, long-period swell at the point could be a proper sneaky session. The following Monday morning (7 September) also looks promising – a light onshore breeze with an 8ft, 13-second swell. That’s a more manageable size with some punch.

To wrap it up: The absolute standout is Monday morning (24 August) – that clean, 7ft groundswell with the light easterly is the pick of the entire run. After that, it’s a long haul of wind and chop until the potential big, clean window on Sunday and Monday (6-7 September) , but that is too far out to lock in. If you can’t get out Monday morning, you’re looking at a week of dodgy conditions before a possible late reward.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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