Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Avalon Point. Right now, there’s nothing surfable. The window starts early next week, but the first few days are a write-off.

Tuesday, July 21st is a no-go. The swell is there, around 5ft-5ft from the SW, but the wind is a cross-off from the SSE and S, and the forecast says the tide or conditions are just marginal. The energy is moderate (687-808), but it’s not worth paddling out for.

Wednesday, July 22nd is where it gets interesting. The morning is looking good with a 5ft WSW swell, a 13-second period, and clean ESE offshore wind. Energy jumps to 1120. The afternoon is the real standout though: 6ft, 16-second period, excellent conditions, and energy of 1706. This is expert territory. The water is 66°F with a temperature anomaly of -0.9°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year. The swell direction is solid from the WSW, matching the break’s optimal direction. The wind is gentle offshore, making it glassy. This is the best on offer. Crowds are possible at Avalon Point, as it’s "often" busy.

Thursday, July 23rd sees the swell dropping to 4ft-5ft, still a long 14-second period, but the wind turns cross-off. It’s clean, but only marginal. Energy drops to 834. Not a total loss, but nothing special.

Friday, July 24th is a morning of small 3ft swell with a cross-off wind. The afternoon, however, is a glassy 3ft with a 12-second period. It’s small, but it’s clean. A fun session for a longboard if you’re desperate.

Then from Saturday, July 25th through to Tuesday, July 28th, it’s a mess. Strong onshore and cross-onshore winds, lumpy, choppy, poor surf. The swell gets bigger, hitting 6ft on Sunday afternoon, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore. Kite surfers might be interested, but for paddle surfing, it’s a tough call.

Wednesday, July 29th and Thursday, July 30th are also poor, with small, weak swell and cross-shore winds.

Friday, July 31st brings a change. The morning shows a 7ft W swell, with a fresh offshore wind from the ESE. The energy is strong (2560), but the period is only 13 seconds. The afternoon is bigger: 8ft, 16-second period, but the wind is a strong offshore (40 km/h). It’s clean, but it would be hard to paddle into. This is for experts only.

Saturday, August 1st morning is the next real standout. A 7ft W swell, gentle offshore wind, clean, energy of 1527. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The afternoon, however, goes cross-shore, so the morning is the window.

Sunday, August 2nd sees a big 8ft-8ft swell with a very long 16-19 second period. The morning is light cross-shore, the afternoon is light cross-onshore. The energy is massive (7437 in the afternoon). This is a serious groundswell. It’s breaking straight at the point, so it could be a bit unruly, but for experts, it’s a beast.

Monday, August 3rd morning is the final big day: 10ft of W swell, 18-second period, clean, energy of 5026. Excellent for experts. The afternoon drops to 8ft, but the wind is cross-off.

Tuesday, August 4th and Wednesday, August 5th see the swell slowly dropping, but the wind turns cross and cross-onshore, making it messy again.

The real standout is Wednesday, July 22nd afternoon – that 6ft, 16-second, glassy offshore with excellent conditions is the pick of the bunch. The other big one is Monday, August 3rd morning, but that’s a long way off, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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