
Surf Forecasts:
Avalon Point surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 20 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 19 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, W swell with 8,366 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Avalon Point this week:
The surf forecast for Avalon Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Avalon Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 23) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AWST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sun 20th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sat 19th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Avalon Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right now, the ocean’s got a bit of a pulse, but it’s far from perfect. The first real window of opportunity shows up on the 20th, after a messy couple of days up front. Before that, we’ve got some lumpy, windy, poor surf through the 18th and 19th, with one solid pulse of swell on the 19th that will be blown to bits – 4.5m and strong onshore winds make that one a write-off for paddling, and honestly, that setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than anything else.
Once Sunday the 20th rolls in, things clean right up. The morning will have a clean 2.0m west swell, light offshore breeze from the east, and that’s when it starts feeling like a proper surf day. The energy’s moderate at best (1194), but the quality is there. It’s a good one to get wet, especially for the beginners out there – that size is manageable.
Then we get to the standout. Monday the 21st is the pick of the pack. Glassy conditions, light offshore (actually near glass), and a 2.2m WSW groundswell with a 15-second period. The energy’s solid (2133), and that long period is going to wrap nicely around the point. Avalon Point (Avalon-Point) will be handling this beautifully. This is a proper point break moment – clean, lined-up, and juicy. That’s the one you want to be out for.
After that, we’ve got a bit of a lull mid-week – nothing too flash, just small, cross-shore chop and knee-to-waist high waves. Conditions stay mediocre through the 24th.
But then the next window opens up. Friday the 25th brings a bigger pulse – 3.0m WSW with a long 19-second period, and it’s cross-offshore. The energy’s pumping (6860), and it’s clean, but this one’s pushing into expert territory. That size, with that period, is a proper handful, and at a point break like this, it’s going to be fast and powerful. The morning is the better call, as the afternoon gets a bit windier.
Saturday the 26th is also solid – 2.2m, clean offshore winds, and a 17-second period. Still big, still powerful, but a touch more manageable. Strong energy (2609). This is another great day, but honestly, if you’re not comfortable in heavy water, watch from the cliff.
Then Sunday the 27th throws a bit of a curveball – 4.0m at 10 seconds. That short period makes it a mess at a point – it’ll be lumpy and breaking too straight. Not ideal, despite the size.
After that, we settle back down. The start of October sees a few days of cross-shore chop, and the swell drops back to 2-2.4m. Nothing special, just average days you’d call a background instead of a highlight.
One thing to note – the water’s sitting at 18°, which is right around average for this time of year. Not cold, not warm, just typical.
So, my honest take: Monday the 21st is the gem – clean, glassy, solid groundswell, and a point break that’ll make it sing. Saturday the 26th is the second standout – big, clean, and powerful, but only for the experienced crew. Everything else is background noise until then.
That’s the story from the sand. Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Thu night, strong winds from the NW by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | Tuesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | W 13 | W 12 | W 18 | WNW 9 | W 14 | W 14 | W 10 | W 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
475 | 468 | 395 | 378 | 408 | 289 | 741 | 1530 | 7305 | 6507 | 967 | 1194 | 857 | 2161 | 2133 | 2002 | 1367 | 1143 | 1496 | 1581 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:30PM0.61m | 11:59PM0.59m | 00:38AM0.57m | 1:59AM0.54m | 5:41AM0.55m | 6:37AM0.56m | ||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 2:15PM0.17m | 2:15PM0.14m | 2:32PM0.12m | 2:51PM0.11m | 2:48AM0.54m | 3:07PM0.10m | 3:19PM0.11m | 3:24PM0.11m | ||||||||||||
— | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | W 13 | W 12 | W 18 | W 16 | — | — | W 10 | W 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 |
475 | 468 | 395 | 378 | 408 | 289 | 741 | 1001 | — | — | 967 | 1194 | 857 | 2161 | 2133 | 2002 | 1367 | 1143 | 1496 | 1581 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 16 | W 21 | W 20 | WSW 19 | W 4 | W 17 | W 12 | — | — | — | W 13 | — | WSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
46 | 34 | 30 | 70 | 13 | 273 | 279 | — | — | — | 865 | — | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 2 | N 4 | NW 3 | — | NNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 9 | W 14 | W 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | — | — |
— | 2 | 14 | 3 | — | 15 | 38 | 1530 | 7305 | 6507 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 16 | 198 | 198 | 16 | 194 | 252 | 297 | 592 | 1868 | 79 | 0 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 297 | 79 | 119 | 119 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Perth City Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Avalon Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Avalon Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Avalon Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Avalon Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Avalon Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Avalon Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Avalon Point is 11 km (7 miles) from Mandurah. If you plan a holiday in Perth City Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mandurah. Mandurah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










