Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

We’re starting with a bit of a slow burner. The first couple of days are pretty average – you’ll get some waves but the wind is messy, so the quality isn’t there. Wednesday the 29th has a 4ft swell from the WSW with a 14-second period but the wind is a cross-off and the energy is strong (1040). It’s rideable, but nothing to write home about. By the afternoon, the swell drops to 3ft but the period jumps to 17 seconds, giving it some real push. The energy is still strong (901) and the light breeze keeps it clean. Not a standout, but a little better.

Thursday the 30th is a write-off. The wind goes cross and cross-on, and the scores are flat. Friday the 31st is worse – onshore winds gusting up to 19 mph, 7ft of messy swell, energy is through the roof (2115) but it’s a washing machine. Skip it.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday the 1st of August. The wind switches offshore from the SE in the morning, light to moderate, and we’ve got a solid 8ft of WSW groundswell with a 15-second period. The energy is very strong (2563). The afternoon cleans up even more with a gentle offshore from the ESE. This is the best session on offer so far. The waves will be big and clean, but at 8ft, this is for experienced surfers only. This is a standout.

Sunday the 2nd holds in nicely. Morning has a 7ft swell with a cross-off wind, and the afternoon turns glassy with a 6ft swell and a light offshore from the E. The energy is strong (1127). A very good, fun day for intermediate to advanced surfers.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th are mixed. The swell is still solid, but the wind is cross or onshore, and the quality drops. Not worth chasing.

Now, hold onto your board. Thursday the 6th of August. The morning is a rare glassy session – no wind at all. 10ft of WSW groundswell with a 17-second period. The energy is massive (4945). This is a big, powerful swell. For a point break like Avalon Point, this long-period groundswell will set up beautifully, but it is strictly for experts. The shape will be incredible, but the power is serious. This is the standout of the entire forecast.

Friday the 7th is still big, but the wind goes cross and cross-on, so it’s not as clean. Still, 8ft with an 18-second period has plenty of grunt.

Then the wheels fall off. From Saturday the 8th all the way through to Wednesday the 13th, the wind is a nightmare. We’re talking strong onshore, near gale force, and rain. The swell is huge, hitting 16ft on the 8th, but the conditions are blown out, messy, and dangerous. This is a long stretch of no-go surf. The energy on the 8th is off the charts (8330 in the morning, 9157 in the afternoon), but it’s completely unsurfable.

The final day, Thursday the 13th, shows some hope. The swell is still a massive 15ft from the WSW with a 16-second period, and the wind drops to a moderate cross-off. The energy is extreme (9494) and the conditions are finally clean. The wave state is moderate cross-shore chop, but it’s a far cry from the blown-out mess of the previous days. This is a big, powerful day for experts only.

So, to sum it up: the best windows are Saturday the 1st of August and Thursday the 6th of August. The 6th is the true standout with glassy conditions and a massive, long-period groundswell. Get on it if you’ve got the skill.

Rusty.

Read more