Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming our way.

This is a big, long-run forecast, and there's a lot to unpack. The first solid window is a bit of a mixed bag early on, but if you hold out, the end of the run has some serious potential. We're looking at a solid period of WSW groundswell, and the water temp is sitting right around average for the time of year at 66°, so nothing weird there.

The action starts on Monday, July 27th with a 7ft WSW swell at Avalon Point. The wind is a cross-off, so the wave faces will be clean, but the combined energy is a meaty 1248 (moderate to strong). The report flags it as marginal, so it's a bit of a gamble.

Tuesday the 28th looks better. The morning session is the pick, with a 6ft WSW groundswell (14-second period) and a clean, offshore E wind. The energy is still strong (1189), and the conditions are set up for some really good surf. The afternoon turns a bit cross-shore and messy, so get out early.

Wednesday the 29th is a classic example of chasing the glass. The morning has a dropping 4ft swell with a cross-off wind. It's clean, but not huge. Then, Wednesday afternoon is a beauty: the swell drops to 3ft, but the wind goes glassy, and the period stretches out to a very long 17 seconds. The energy is weaker (901), but those long-period lines will be beautifully clean and fun on a point break.

Thursday the 30th is a write-off with cross and cross-on winds, so don't bother.

Friday the 31st starts to get punchy, but the wind is cross-on, turning onshore and choppy by the afternoon. The swell builds to 6ft and then 8ft, but the wind ruins it. Saturday the 1st of August is a similar story: a big 8ft to 10ft swell with clean cross-off winds, but the quality is still reported as marginal. The energy is huge (3291 and 3164), but it's a big, raw swell.

Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd offer a drop in size, with the 3rd morning being a standout. A 5ft swell with 14-second period and glassy conditions? That's a solid, clean, fun wave.

Now, hold on to your board. The real standout is Thursday, August 7th. The forecast shows an exceptional morning for expert surfers. A massive 15ft W swell, combined with a very long 18-second period and glassy wind. The combined energy is a staggering 13277 – that's a very strong, powerful ocean. This is a point break, and that long-period W groundswell is going to wrap in perfectly. It's going to be big, powerful, and clean. This is the one you wait for. The afternoon has a slight cross-on wind, but still a 15ft swell. This is for experts only – 15ft is way over the 8ft mark.

The following week is a fade-out. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th still have solid 12ft and 7ft swells with clean winds, but the energy is coming down. The real magic is gone. After that, the swell gets smaller and the winds get messy again.

So, to wrap it up: There's a lot of average surf in the first week, but the conditions are clean enough to get out. The absolute standout is the morning of Thursday, August 7th at Avalon Point. That's the one for the experts. If you're looking for a more manageable, clean session, Wednesday afternoon the 29th or Monday morning the 3rd are your best bets.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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