Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a wait. The first few days are a write-off – Saturday and Sunday are messy with onshore winds and just poor quality. We’re looking at a solid gap before things start to line up. The real action doesn’t kick in until Monday afternoon, 7th September.

The standout window is shaping up to be Monday afternoon through Tuesday, 7th-8th September. The swell is a solid 7ft to 8ft out of the WSW, with a nice long period of 16 to 17 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and it’ll be wrapping nicely into Avalon Point. The wind shifts offshore from the SE, giving us clean, lined-up waves. The combined energy is strong (2460 to 3627), so there’s plenty of push. This is a point break, so it’ll handle that long-period energy well – expect long, grinding walls. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no shock to the system. This is the best on offer, but with that 8ft size, it’s more for the experienced crew; beginners might find it a handful.

After that, the swell drops off through the middle of the week into the 10th and 11th, getting smaller and weaker. Friday 11th September has a glimmer with a 4ft W swell and a very long 20-second period – that’s some serious energy for its size (1468), but the wind is light and onshore, which could mess with the surface. It’s a gamble.

The following weekend, 12th-13th September, gets messy again with rain showers and cross-onshore winds, so not worth the paddle.

Moving into the second week, we get a bit more consistency but with mixed conditions. Monday 14th September morning has a clean 8ft WSW swell, but the wind is a little side-off, so it’s okay, not epic. The real wildcard is the very end of the forecast. On Saturday 19th September, a massive 13ft W swell hits, but it’s blown out with strong cross-onshore winds – that’s more for the kite crew than a paddle surfer, unless you’re a masochist.

But hold onto your board. The absolute best day of the entire 16-day window is Sunday 20th September. The swell is pumping a solid 15ft from the WSW (period 15 seconds), and the wind is dead calm – glassy. The combined energy is a massive 8006. This is proper, heavy, expert-only surf. The point will be handling that size, but it’s going to be a serious, grinding beast. If you’re not an expert, stay on the beach and watch. This is the one to circle on the calendar, but it’s far out, so keep an eye on the forecast.

Rusty.

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