Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking dead ahead at the forecast for Avalon Point over the next couple of weeks. This is a classic point break setup, and when the stars align, it can produce some absolute gems. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird happening there. We’ve got a serious run of surf on the way, but you’ll have to pick your moments carefully because the wind is going to be the main character in this story.

Right from the get-go, Thursday morning, August 13th, we’re on. The swell is a solid 7 feet from the west-southwest, and that period is a very long 17 seconds – real groundswell energy with serious push. Combine that with a light easterly glass-off, and you’ve got a recipe for some *excellent* surf. This is the standout of the first half of the forecast. The combined energy is pumping at 2862, so there’s plenty of grunt. At this size, it’s really for experienced surfers – the paddle out will be manageable with those long gaps between sets, but the power is real. Be aware, the long period at a point break like this will mean some long, peeling walls. It’s a Thursday, so the crowds might be present, but it’s a weekday.

Friday morning (August 14th) looks clean again, with a 7 foot WSW swell at 16 seconds and a light cross-offshore breeze. Great conditions for experienced surfers. The afternoon both days is a write-off with a cross-shore wind chopping it up.

We hit a flat spot starting Saturday (August 15th). The swell drops to 6 feet and the period shortens, and the wind is messy. This lull will last through Sunday and into Monday. Monday August 17th is a complete washout – strong wind, rain, and even a jump to 12 feet on the afternoon with horrendous conditions. That’s a kite-surfing day, not a paddle-surfing day.

Now, here’s the big one. Tuesday morning, August 18th. If the models are right, holy moly. We’ve got a 13 foot swell from the west with a 16-second period. The combined energy is a massive 7559 – that’s very, very strong wave energy. And the wind? Glassy, from the east-southeast. For a point break, this is about as good as it gets for an expert surfer. This is a serious, serious swell. It is *exceptional* for experts, but if you’re not comfortable in waves over 8 feet, stay on the beach. Crowds will likely be a factor at a spot this good with conditions like that.

After that, things get bumpy. Wednesday and Thursday (August 19th & 20th) are blown out again by strong winds, with the swell still big but messy.

Looking into the second week, there’s light at the end of the tunnel. Saturday morning, August 22nd, we get a return to glory: a 7 foot swell from the WSW, a 13-second period, and glassy conditions from the north-northwest. The energy is still solid at 2316. It’s a smaller window of clean surf, but it’ll be a good one for experienced surfers.

Then on Sunday afternoon, August 23rd, the wind goes glassy again with a 7 foot, 15-second WSW swell. Another excellent session on the cards.

The very end of the window looks promising for starters too. Tuesday morning, August 25th, glassy winds with an 8 foot, 18-second west swell (4470 energy) – excellent for experienced surfers. Wednesday morning, August 26th follows it up with dead calm winds and a 10 foot, 16-second west swell (4401 energy). That’s a strong, clean swell for expert surfers as well. These longer-period west swells can hit this point break beautifully.

So, to sum it up: Thursday morning the 13th is your early call, Tuesday morning the 18th is the absolute standout for experts, and keep an eye on Saturday the 22nd and Tuesday/Wednesday the 25th-26th for some late-period gems. A lot of wind to wade through, but when it goes glassy, Avalon Point delivers.

Rusty.

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