Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Avalon Point.

The next week and a half is a bit of a mixed bag, with some real potential sandwiched between some nasty weather. Don't get too excited about the immediate future, as Monday is a complete write-off with strong cross-onshore winds and messy, lumpy surf up to 13 ft. The wave energy is massive but chaotic, hitting well over 2000 (2930) in the afternoon, and it's just not rideable.

The surf really starts to clean up by Tuesday morning, the 11th of August. We’ve got a 12 ft swell from the WSW with a long 16-second period, and a moderate cross-offshore breeze. The energy is huge (6278), but that long period groundswell might make it a bit too straight for a beach setup like this. It’s really only for experienced surfers looking for a paddle. The standout window, though, is Thursday the 13th. Early morning, the wind shifts light offshore from the ESE, glassing up a 7 ft WSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period. The water is a bit above normal for August at 66°. That’s your best bet for clean, lined-up waves. Friday morning the 14th is a solid backup with a clean 7 ft swell.

After that, things get messy again. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are average at best. Then we get hit by another strong westerly groundswell starting Monday the 17th, up to 10 ft, but with heavy onshore wind and rain. That pattern of strong wind and rain continues for days, with poor conditions through the rest of that week and into the next weekend. The wind is just too brutal. It's worth noting on those days when the swell gets up over 10 ft and the wind is howling out of the west or northwest, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

There is a light at the end of the tunnel. Sunday the 23rd of August shows a promising morning with clean 8 ft surf from the WSW and a light cross-offshore breeze. That’s a long way out, so file it under ‘promising but less certain,’ but it’s the kind of window that makes you hold on.

The swell energy at Avalon Point is consistently moderate to strong, with three-digit and four-digit readings for most of the period, so there’s always some juice in the water. The problem is just the wind. The best of the best offer on this 16-day run is hands down Thursday morning the 13th, with clean conditions and a nice 7 ft swell. After that, Sunday the 23rd is the one to watch, but we’ll have to wait and see if it holds.

Rusty.

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