Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Avalon Point over the next couple of weeks.

First off, the water is sitting at 63°, which is about 1° cooler than the long-term average for this time of year, so nothing too wild, just a touch on the fresh side.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first few days look pretty average, with onshore winds and messy conditions. Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th are not worth getting excited about, with the swell hitting around 5ft to 8ft but the wind is cross-on or onshore, so it’s just going to be choppy.

Monday the 14th morning is where things start looking interesting. We’ve got a clean 8ft WSW groundswell, period of 14 seconds, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the SE. That’s good shape and the combined swell energy is strong at 2027. This is a good window for experienced surfers. The break is fairly consistent and fairly exposed, so it’ll be handling that swell well, though expect a crowd because it’s often busy here.

Tuesday the 15th keeps the quality going with the same solid groundswell, around 7ft to 6ft, but now with clean offshore winds from the E. That’s your best early window. Clean, lined-up waves with that long-period energy.

There's a real standout coming on Tuesday the 22nd of September though. Morning session has clean 6ft WSW swell, 15-second period, offshore ESE breeze at 15 mph. Combined energy is 1492 – moderate to strong – and it’s clean. Then Wednesday the 23rd morning is even better: 7ft WSW swell, 15-second period, and almost no wind – just a slight air from the S, making for glassy conditions. This is the pick of the whole outlook.

For the absolute biggest day, look at Thursday the 24th morning. That’s a big 10ft WSW groundswell with a very long 18-second period and the combined energy is huge, 5857. Wind is light from the ENE, so it’ll be clean. This is for experts only. The wave will feel powerful, with long waits between sets, and at a point break like Avalon Point, that long period will wrap in nicely. Afternoon gets a bit lumpy as the cross-shore picks up.

We have a bit of a wind hole late on. Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th are mostly blown out with fresh to strong cross-shore winds, lumpy and messy. Not your days.

Then, to close it out, Sunday the 27th morning delivers glassy perfection. 8ft WSW groundswell, 18-second period, no wind at all, and the combined energy is 3839. That is a serious, clean, powerful groundswell – again, for experienced surfers, but it’ll be magic out there if you can handle it. Afternoon stays clean and glassy with 7ft waves.

So overall, the standout is Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th mornings. Wednesday is the sweet spot of size, shape, and glass. Thursday is the big wave day. The rest of the second week is a bit hit and miss with the wind.

Rusty.

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