Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what Avalon Point has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

The window kicks off with a bit of a wait, but things start to move on Thursday, July 16th. That first afternoon is a write-off, though – strong onshore wind and rain, surf is messy and won’t be worth paddling out for. You’re better off leaving the boards in the car.

The first real chance to get wet comes on Friday, July 17th, in the morning. We’re looking at a 5ft swell from the southwest, but it’s a bit cross-shore and lumpy. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s a start. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no wetsuit drama.

The standout session for the first week is hands down Sunday, July 19th in the afternoon. The southerly wind is cross-offshore, keeping things clean. You’ve got a solid 7ft of swell from the WSW, with a moderate energy push (1654). This is for the experienced crew – it’s got some punch, but the conditions are excellent. Really good shape on offer.

Then, Monday, July 20th morning is a gem. Wind goes glassy – absolute zero – and the swell is a clean 6ft from the WSW. The energy is moderate (797), but that glassy surface makes it a dream for anyone who can handle a bit of size. This is a real treat.

The middle of the week gets a bit mixed. The 22nd and 23rd see some decent offshore and cross-offshore winds, with swell hanging around 6ft to 7ft, but the quality is more “marginal” than outright firing. Still, a clean 7ft wave with a steady offshore breeze on Wednesday morning (July 22nd) is worth a look if you’re keen.

By the weekend of July 25th, the swell drops off hard. Saturday morning is tiny (3ft), and by the afternoon you’re looking at a long-period 2ft wave from the west. That’s a very long period (18 seconds) which is more of a point break or reef wave, but at that size, it’s a longboard or a paddle board session. Not much gas for a shortboard.

The second week starts to rebuild. Monday, July 27th afternoon is glassy again – flat calm wind – with a 4ft swell from the WSW. It’s clean, small, and fun. A good one for a sunset cruise.

Then, the big news for the long range: Wednesday, July 29th morning is glassy once more, with a 4ft swell from the west that has a very long period (18 seconds) and a solid energy kick (1042). That’s a promising sign for a clean, lined-up point break wave.

But the real highlight for the second week is Thursday, July 30th morning. The swell jumps to 6ft from the west, with a very long period of 19 seconds and strong energy (2516). The wind is cross-offshore, the conditions are clean, and this is rated excellent for experienced surfers. For a point break like Avalon, that long-period west swell is going to wrap in beautifully. This is the one to circle on the calendar – but remember, it’s a week and a half out, so treat it as a promising prospect rather than a locked-in certainty.

The run finishes with a big pulse on Friday, July 31st, but those strong onshore winds (19 mph) and a 10ft swell will make it a beast for experts only, and not particularly clean. The energy is huge (5822), but the wind is going to tear it up. Kite surfers might be frothing, but for paddle surfers, it’s a pass.

So, bottom line: Sunday afternoon (July 19th) and Monday morning (July 20th) are your best bets in the first week. For the second week, keep your eyes on Thursday morning (July 30th) – that’s the one with real potential.

Stay stoked.
Rusty.

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