
Surf Forecasts:
Avalon Point surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, W swell with 6,733 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Avalon Point this week:
The surf forecast for Avalon Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Avalon Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AWST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Avalon Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what Avalon Point has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.
The window kicks off with a bit of a wait, but things start to move on Thursday, July 16th. That first afternoon is a write-off, though – strong onshore wind and rain, surf is messy and won’t be worth paddling out for. You’re better off leaving the boards in the car.
The first real chance to get wet comes on Friday, July 17th, in the morning. We’re looking at a 5ft swell from the southwest, but it’s a bit cross-shore and lumpy. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s a start. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no wetsuit drama.
The standout session for the first week is hands down Sunday, July 19th in the afternoon. The southerly wind is cross-offshore, keeping things clean. You’ve got a solid 7ft of swell from the WSW, with a moderate energy push (1654). This is for the experienced crew – it’s got some punch, but the conditions are excellent. Really good shape on offer.
Then, Monday, July 20th morning is a gem. Wind goes glassy – absolute zero – and the swell is a clean 6ft from the WSW. The energy is moderate (797), but that glassy surface makes it a dream for anyone who can handle a bit of size. This is a real treat.
The middle of the week gets a bit mixed. The 22nd and 23rd see some decent offshore and cross-offshore winds, with swell hanging around 6ft to 7ft, but the quality is more “marginal” than outright firing. Still, a clean 7ft wave with a steady offshore breeze on Wednesday morning (July 22nd) is worth a look if you’re keen.
By the weekend of July 25th, the swell drops off hard. Saturday morning is tiny (3ft), and by the afternoon you’re looking at a long-period 2ft wave from the west. That’s a very long period (18 seconds) which is more of a point break or reef wave, but at that size, it’s a longboard or a paddle board session. Not much gas for a shortboard.
The second week starts to rebuild. Monday, July 27th afternoon is glassy again – flat calm wind – with a 4ft swell from the WSW. It’s clean, small, and fun. A good one for a sunset cruise.
Then, the big news for the long range: Wednesday, July 29th morning is glassy once more, with a 4ft swell from the west that has a very long period (18 seconds) and a solid energy kick (1042). That’s a promising sign for a clean, lined-up point break wave.
But the real highlight for the second week is Thursday, July 30th morning. The swell jumps to 6ft from the west, with a very long period of 19 seconds and strong energy (2516). The wind is cross-offshore, the conditions are clean, and this is rated excellent for experienced surfers. For a point break like Avalon, that long-period west swell is going to wrap in beautifully. This is the one to circle on the calendar – but remember, it’s a week and a half out, so treat it as a promising prospect rather than a locked-in certainty.
The run finishes with a big pulse on Friday, July 31st, but those strong onshore winds (19 mph) and a 10ft swell will make it a beast for experts only, and not particularly clean. The energy is huge (5822), but the wind is going to tear it up. Kite surfers might be frothing, but for paddle surfers, it’s a pass.
So, bottom line: Sunday afternoon (July 19th) and Monday morning (July 20th) are your best bets in the first week. For the second week, keep your eyes on Thursday morning (July 30th) – that’s the one with real potential.
Stay stoked.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, strong winds from the WNW by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | W 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | W 14 | W 12 | W 16 | W 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | SW 11 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1382 | 1533 | 874 | 608 | 2635 | 3976 | 6567 | 4027 | 2343 | 1654 | 1068 | 797 | 581 | 316 | 527 | 551 | 1077 | 1520 | 1672 | 1415 | 1083 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | on | on | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 11:05AM0.62m | 11:07AM0.52m | 2:57AM0.37m | 10:20AM0.44m | 3:11AM0.43m | 9:35AM0.40m | 3:42AM0.49m | 4:22AM0.54m | 5:08AM0.58m | ||||||||||||
Low Tide | 7:43PM0.08m | 7:34PM0.16m | 6:56PM0.21m | 5:25AM0.35m | 6:32PM0.22m | 7:08AM0.38m | 6:18PM0.21m | 5:55PM0.18m | 4:23PM0.15m | ||||||||||||
— | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | |
5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | 5:34 | |
mm | 17 | 2 | — | 3 | 5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 13 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | W 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | — | W 18 | W 16 | W 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 |
1382 | 1533 | 874 | 608 | — | 1063 | 6567 | 4027 | 2343 | 1654 | 1068 | 797 | 581 | 316 | 527 | 273 | 1077 | 1520 | 1672 | 1415 | 1083 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | WSW 14 | W 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
16 | 14 | 48 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 213 | 198 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 7 | NW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 22 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | — | — | NNW 7 | W 14 | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 4 | SW 11 | — | — | — | SE 4 | ESE 4 |
306 | — | — | 45 | 2635 | 3976 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 551 | — | — | — | 15 | 12 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 79 | 79 | 16 | 259 | 297 | 559 | 313 | 289 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 79 | 66 | 79 | 0 | 66 | 80 | 67 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Perth City Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Avalon Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Avalon Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Avalon Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Avalon Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Avalon Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Avalon Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Avalon Point is 11 km (7 miles) from Mandurah. If you plan a holiday in Perth City Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mandurah. Mandurah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











