Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Avalon Point. It handles a WSW swell best. This run is almost entirely about the long-period groundswell and the long wait for the wind to play nice. Buckle up.

The forecast opens strong but with a warning: Tuesday the 8th has a serious 8ft WSW swell, period 17 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell, so it has massive energy and those long lulls between sets. Combined energy is pumping at 3679. The morning has a fresh offshore ESE breeze at 19 mph, so the surface is clean, but the size and power make this one for experienced surfers only. The afternoon stays offshore from the SE, a bit lighter, still clean, still just as solid. The water temperature is 64° – pretty normal for this time of year.

Wednesday the 9th still has a good 6ft to 6ft groundswell with 15-second period, but the wind switches to a cross-offshore, morning from the east at 16 mph, afternoon from the east at just 6 mph. Clean again, but the quality isn’t as peak as Tuesday. Thursday the 10th drops into the 4ft to 4ft range, with a light ENE cross-off in the morning and light NE cross-off in the afternoon. Clean, but much weaker energy (853-738).

Friday the 11th gets weird: a big 19-second period groundswell, but the swell direction swings to the west and the wind goes cross-on from the north in the morning – that adds chop. The afternoon is onshore from the west. Not good, even though the swell jumps back to 6ft.

The weekend (12th-13th September) is pretty rough. Onshore and cross-onshore winds, rain showers on Saturday morning, and chop. Big swell but poor conditions. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are the real standouts in this forecast. Monday morning: 7ft WSW swell, 14-second period, with a light cross-offshore ENE breeze at 6 mph – glassy, clean, excellent surf for experienced surfers. Tuesday morning is almost a carbon copy: 7ft WSW, 15-second period, light ENE cross-off at 6 mph. Tuesday afternoon stays excellent too: 7ft, 15-second period, SSE cross-off breeze. These two days have combined energy around 2076 and 1659.

The second week gets messy. The period drops, wind gets cross-on or onshore, and you get big messy surf and poor conditions. Wednesday 16th and Thursday 17th are choppy and sloppy. Friday 18th is strong onshore wind with 25 mph from the north in the morning – that is kite-surfing territory. Saturday 19th and Sunday 20th improve a little, still cross-on though, with 7ft to 7ft and a long 16-second period on Sunday, but the wind stays light cross-on – clean-ish, but not glassy.

Monday 21st and Tuesday 22nd September see the biggest swell of the whole run: 10ft to 12ft WSW, with 15-16 second periods and combined energy hitting over 5000. This is pumping heavy groundswell for the point, but the wind is straight onshore WNW at 12 to 19 mph. That’s a raw, blown-out beast, only for experts if you dare. Wednesday 23rd finally brings a clean cross-off from the SSE, very light air, 8ft WSW swell – excellent conditions again for experienced surfers, but that’s 16 to 17 days out, so not a lock.

The best of the whole run without question: Monday 14th and Tuesday 15th September. Big, long-period WSW groundswell, clean offshore wind, solid energy. Avalon Point should handle that long period just fine as a point break. The crowd factor? This spot can be busy, and with conditions that good, expect plenty of company. Those two days are a goldilocks window. Take them.

Rusty

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