Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty talking. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way for Avalon Point.

We’ve got a solid run of surf on the cards, but it’s a tale of two halves. The first few days are looking excellent for those who know what they're doing, then a proper stormy mess blows through, before things clean up again in the second week. The water temp here is about average for the time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

The standout window kicks off this Sunday, the 12th of July. We’re looking at a long-period groundswell from the WSW, averaging 6ft with a period of 15 seconds. That’s proper energy moving through – the combined energy is sitting at 1937 (moderate to strong). The morning has a light breeze from the ENE, keeping it cross-off and clean. The waves are going to be well-shaped, but with that long period, it’ll be breaking a bit straight on the beach sections, so it’s a point break setup that will really shine. This is excellent for experienced surfers; it’s not a beginner wave at this size. It’s a point break too, so it’ll handle the swell direction well. Expect crowds to be likely here.

The real gem, though, is Monday the 13th of July. The morning bumps up to 7ft of clean WSW groundswell at a 17-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 2680 (strong). The wind is a gentle offshore breeze from the ESE, making for a clean, lined-up point. That’s the pick of the first week. The afternoon stays good at 7ft with a 16-second period.

Tuesday the 14th holds in with 6ft to 6ft surf, and the afternoon goes glassy with a light SE breeze, which is a massive bonus. The energy is still strong (1330 to 1525). This is a great run of days.

But then from Wednesday the 15th right through to Saturday the 18th, the wind turns on us. It gets fresh to strong, cross-shore or cross-onshore, and the quality drops out. The surf gets lumpy, choppy, and messy. The wind is just too strong for a clean paddle. The swell actually gets huge on the 18th – 13ft with 18-second period, but the combined energy is insane at 10679 (very strong). Under those conditions, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session. You’d have to be a proper expert, and even then, the wind is ruining it.

We then get a big gap in quality. The wind stays strong and messy for days.

The next real chance comes on Sunday the 19th of July. The wind drops back to a light cross-off from the NE, and the swell is 8ft with a 14-second period. The energy is still strong at 2763. It’s back to excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The consistency is there, and it’ll be clean.

Another highlight pops up later in the week. Wednesday the 22nd of July looks like a standout. The afternoon session shows 12ft of WSW groundswell, 17-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 6188 (very strong). The wind is a gentle cross-off from the East. This is a serious, powerful, clean swell, but it’s strictly for experts at that size.

After that, the wind turns nasty again from the 23rd to the 25th, blowing everything out with strong onshore and cross-onshore winds. The swell stays big, but it’s a mess.

The last chance to get a wave in the forecast is on Sunday the 26th of July. The morning has a light offshore breeze from the SE, with a 10ft WSW groundswell at 15 seconds. The energy is 3516 (very strong). It’s clean and powerful, another expert-only window. The following Monday the 27th still has some 6ft surf with a light offshore, but it’s a step down in size.

So, to wrap it up: The best on offer is Monday the 13th of July, morning session. That’s your top pick for a clean, powerful, lined-up point break. The secondary standout is the afternoon of Wednesday the 22nd of July for the sheer size and power, but you’ll need to be on your A-game. The rest of the period is a waiting game for the wind to play ball.

Rusty.

Read more