Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a mixed bag over the next two weeks at Avalon Point. The pattern is pretty clear: a solid pulse of long-period WSW groundswell hits early, but it’s got a lot of wind on it, making for messy conditions. The real clean-up happens later in the second week.

The first swell arrives on Tuesday, August 4th, with a 7ft to 8ft WSW swell, but a 12 mph cross-on wind from the SW chops it up straight away. It’s a write-off for decent surfing. The energy is moderate, but the surface is just too ugly. The water temp is sitting at 66°F, about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Wednesday the 5th sees the swell bump up to 8ft to 10ft, period still hanging around 16 seconds. That’s a lot of energy, but the wind is still cross-on from the NW. It’s a bit of a brute – too big and too messy for beginners, and the conditions are marginal. Thursday and Friday are similar: plenty of swell but the wind keeps it from being any good. Friday afternoon the wind picks up to 19 mph, and it’s just a lumpy mess.

Then Saturday, August 8th, the wheels come off. A 15ft cross-shore swell with a near gale from the SW? That’s not surf, that’s survival. The energy is massive. For most of us, this is a beach day, or maybe a kitesurfing day if you’re into that. It’s dangerous for everyone but experts, and even then, it’s not clean.

Sunday the 9th is still big, but the wind swings onshore from the W, which is a bit better, but still messy. The real standout is Monday, August 10th. The swell drops to a more manageable 10ft from the WSW, but the magic is the wind: a light 9 mph cross-offshore breeze from the S. The forecast calls for clean conditions. This is your window. The energy is strong, the period is a solid 14 seconds, and the direction matches the optimum for Avalon Point. It’s not a beginner wave at 10ft, but for experienced surfers, this is the best session on offer. The break is fairly consistent, so you won’t be waiting forever, but it’s often crowded here, so expect company.

The next few days after that are a bit of a mixed bag again, with the swell dropping to 6ft to 7ft but the wind staying messy. The next real chance comes Wednesday, August 12th, with a 7ft swell and a light NNW wind, though it’s cross-on.

Then look at the long-range: Monday, August 18th and Tuesday, August 19th. The pulse on the 18th is huge – 15ft to 16ft from the W, with very strong energy. The wind is cross-shore from the SW, so it’s not perfect, but it’s a lot of juice. The real gem is Wednesday, August 19th morning. The swell drops to a solid 12ft, but the wind goes light (6 mph) and cross-offshore from the NE. The forecast says clean and excellent for experienced surfers. This is a long-range call, so it’s promising but not locked in. If it holds, this is your second standout. The energy is still strong, and the period is a very long 16 seconds. That kind of groundswell at a point break like Avalon Point will be a thing of beauty. Just be mindful the crowds are often around.

The last week has a few smaller days, but nothing that comes close to those two clean windows. There’s a several-day gap of poor conditions between the 8th and the 10th, and again after the 14th, so pick your windows carefully.

Stay safe out there, and keep an eye on that 19th.

Rusty.

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