Avalon Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’m looking at the whole 16-day window for Avalon Point, and I gotta be straight with you—there’s a fair bit of waiting around before we see any real magic. The first few days are a write-off, with a big, messy, wind-blown swell on the 8th that’s just not worth paddling out for. You’ll sit through a few days of onshore slop and cross-chop, but if you’re patient, the second half of the window has some serious potential.

The water’s sitting at 65°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest wetsuit.

Let’s break it down. Saturday the 8th is a total bust. A massive 16ft WSW swell rolls in, but with a 31 mph crosswind and a near gale, it’s a washing machine out there. The combined energy is a massive 10018 (moderate energy), but it’s a mess. Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th are still no good, with strong onshore winds and choppy conditions. The swell drops a bit, but the wind kills any chance of clean waves.

Tuesday the 11th morning shows a glimmer of hope. The swell is still a solid 12ft from the WSW, with a long 17-second period, and the wind swings offshore. The water goes clean, and the combined energy is 7305 (moderate to strong). This is a good window for experienced surfers, as the size is getting up there. The afternoon gets a bit cross-chop, but the morning is the pick.

Now, the real standout is coming. Thursday the 13th morning. The swell has dropped to a manageable 7ft, still from the WSW, with a beautiful 16-second period. The wind is light and offshore from the NE, creating glassy conditions. The combined energy is 2388 (moderate). This is a clean, lined-up point break day. It’s not the biggest, but the quality is there for a solid session. Friday the 14th morning is a very similar setup, clean and 7ft, worth a repeat.

Then we get to the long-range gem. Look at Wednesday the 19th of August. This is the one to circle on your calendar. We’ve got a powerful 16ft W swell, with a 16-second period, and the wind is offshore from the SE. The combined energy is a massive 12638 (very strong). The catch is, this is a big swell—over 8ft—so this is strictly for experts. The break is a point, which handles that long-period groundswell beautifully, but the power is serious. The conditions are forecast to be exceptional. The afternoon is still good, but the morning is the main event.

The following Thursday the 20th afternoon is worth a mention too. The swell drops to 10ft from the W, but the wind goes glassy. It’s a cleaner, more manageable option for experienced surfers who found Wednesday too intense.

The very end of the window, Sunday the 23rd, shows a massive 18ft swell, but the wind is cross-shore and the combined energy is 20104 (very strong). It’s too big for this break, and the wind is messy. That one is a pass.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a right-off. The best on offer is Thursday the 13th for a clean, solid session on the point, and the absolute standout for the big dogs is Wednesday the 19th of August for an exceptional, expert-only day. The rest is a mix of waiting and watching.

Rusty.

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