Salamumu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for Salamumu. We’ve got a window of surf, but it’s mostly junky. The water is sitting at a normal 81° for this time of year, so that’s about what you’d expect, but the conditions are gonna be the story.

We start off with a serious letdown. On Monday the 10th, there’s a solid 10ft of south-southeast swell with a long 16-second period, but it’s blowing 25 mph cross-shore. That’s just messy, and the energy is strong at 5101, but it’s a washing machine out there. Not worth the paddle. Tuesday the 11th drops to 6ft but it’s still cross-shore and lumpy, with fresh breezes. The whole first week is basically a write-off – poor conditions, cross-shore winds, and a dropping swell. We go from 6ft on Tuesday down to a pathetic 2ft by Saturday the 15th. There’s a weak, very long-period southwest swell filling in on the 16th, but it’s still cross-shore and weak.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Monday the 17th. It's not big – just 3ft – but the wind finally shifts to a cross-offshore breeze from the ENE. It’s cleaner, and the swell is a long 16 seconds from the southwest. It’s a marginal day, but it’s the first time the ocean looks like it might have a surfable wave. Tuesday the 18th sees the swell bump up to 6ft to 6ft with a solid 17-18 second period. The wind is lighter, a gentle breeze, and the cross-chop is slight. It’s still cross-shore, so it won’t be glassy, but this is probably the best mix of size and cleanliness we see in the first part of the outlook. The energy is moderate at 1883.

Then it turns to rubbish again. Wednesday through Friday, we get cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions, and the swell backs off. We’re looking at a real dry spell for a few days.

Then, hold onto your board. On Friday the 21st, the swell kicks back up to 10ft from the south with a 20-second period. The energy jumps to a massive 8323. But the wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore, making it a total mess. The following morning, Saturday the 22nd, is the standout of the whole period. We’ve got a bigger 12ft of south swell with a 17-second period, and the energy is huge at 6897. It's still cross-shore with a fresh breeze, so it won’t be perfect, but this is the biggest, most powerful swell of the window. 12ft is serious; this is for experts only. If you’re not a seasoned charger, give this one a miss.

After that, Sunday the 23rd drops to a still-chunky 7ft, but the quality is gone with fresh cross-shore winds. The final few days see the swell fading back to the 4ft range with more cross-shore wind. There’s a slight bump on Tuesday the 25th to 4ft with a moderate breeze, but it’s marginal at best.

So, plain and simple: there are only two days that even come close to being worth it. The first is Tuesday the 18th, with a cleanish 6ft to 6ft southwest groundswell, the best of the first week. The second, and the real standout, is the big, powerful 12ft south swell early on Saturday the 22nd. It’s huge, it’s heavy, and definitely not for the faint of heart. Everything else is a battle against the wind for scraps.

Rusty out.

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