Playa Samara Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good look at what the ocean has in store for us over the next couple of weeks at Playa Samara. This stretch is a beach and reef setup, exposed to SSW swells. The water is a very unusual 87°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year right now, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home.

The overall pattern is a slow burner. We start with small, lackluster waves and tricky onshore breezes, but there’s a real pickup of energy mid-period before the ocean turns on the power for a couple of days. That power surge at the end, however, comes with serious size and wind problems. Let’s break it down.

Monday 14th is a write-off. There’s a risk of thunderstorms and cross-on winds making a mess of the 2ft SW swell. The combined energy is moderate at 392, but it just looks ragged. Forget it.

Tuesday 15th morning is where we see the first real glimmer. It starts glassy with a NNE breeze at 3 mph and a building 2ft SW swell. The period is very long at 18 seconds, which means proper groundswell energy with those long waits. The combined energy jumps to a healthy 563. This is clean, but still small. By afternoon, the wind swings onshore and the quality drops.

Wednesday 16th morning is even better. We get a clean 3ft SW swell coming from the optimum direction, with a lovely 3 mph ENE cross-offshore breeze. The period is a solid 16 seconds and energy sits at 687. This is a great window for a beginner-friendly wave with some shape.

Thursday 17th morning holds that same 3ft SW swell with clean cross-off winds from the NE at 6 mph. The period drops a touch to 14 seconds, but energy is still strong at 620. Another solid, clean morning.

Friday 18th morning is smaller, around 3ft, but the wind is clean and cross-off again. It’s a fun, small-wave option.

Saturday 19th morning offers another glassy session with a 2ft, long-period SW swell (19 seconds). The energy is moderate at 417, but that smooth, glassy water makes up for it.

Sunday 20th is a decent one. Morning has cross-shore winds on a 3ft SW swell, but the afternoon is the standout. It turns glassy with a 3 mph SSW breeze, the swell holds at 3ft, the period is very long at 19 seconds, and the energy kicks up to 747. Clean, lined-up waves.

Monday 21st sees the swell push up to 4ft with a 6 mph cross-shore breeze in the morning. The energy is strong at 767, but conditions are a bit mixed. Afternoon gets choppier as the wind picks up.

Then we hit a bit of a lull from Tuesday 22nd through Thursday 24th. The swell stays between 3ft and 3ft, but the winds are nearly always cross-onshore or onshore, and the period drops. It’s mostly marginal.

Now, the big news. Friday 25th and Saturday 26th are for the brave only. A solid pulse of SW swell arrives, but it’s blown to bits on Friday 25th with onshore winds gusting 19 mph and a massive 12ft swell. The energy is very strong at 3345. This is a total mess for surfing.

Saturday 26th morning is even bigger, with a 13ft SW swell (energy at 3911), but the wind is cross-shore at 9 mph. At this size, Playa Samara is an expert-only zone, and honestly, it looks like it would be more suited for a kite session than a paddle surf, given the heavy rain and size. The afternoon drops a little to 12ft but stays messy.

By Sunday 27th morning, the swell has dropped to a manageable 4ft with a cross-shore breeze. The energy is still strong at 984. It’s a big step down in size, so conditions should be more manageable again.

The final days from Monday 28th onward drop back into small, marginal surf with short periods and onshore winds. Nothing to get excited about.

The Pick of the Window:
If you’re looking for the true standout, Tuesday 15th morning is the one. It’s glassy, clean, and the sets will have that lovely long-period push. It’s small, but it’s the most polished wave of the whole run. The Sunday 20th afternoon is a close second for the same reason – glassy conditions with a good, long-period groundswell.

After that, the Wednesday 16th and Thursday 17th mornings offer the most consistent, clean, waist-high waves with perfect offshore wind.

For the second week, keep an eye on Sunday 27th morning – it’s a promising drop in size after the big stuff, but it’s a long way out, so take it as a heads-up, not a guarantee.

Stay safe, and enjoy the glassy windows when they come.

Rusty.

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