The Tree Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

The pattern for the next couple of weeks is built around a consistent, long-period SW groundswell, but it’s not gonna be all-time. The standout period is from the morning of Friday the 14th right through to the morning of Tuesday the 18th, with a real peak on the morning of Saturday the 15th. That’s when things get meaty. Before that, we’ve got small, clean waves but nothing to get too worked up about.

The Tree is the only spot on the menu, an exposed break that handles this SW swell well. Water temp is sitting around 86°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might be able to get away with a shorty or just boardshorts.

Let’s break it down. Starting Sunday morning, the 9th of August, we’ve got glassy conditions with a 3ft SSW swell at 14 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (327). It’s small, but clean. The afternoons get choppy with a cross-on wind, so the mornings are the go.

Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are more of the same: tiny, glassy mornings with 2ft to 2ft SW swell, period around 13-14 seconds, energy moderate (232-346). Clean, but small. Afternoons on Tuesday get a bit of a spike with a 2ft swell at 18 seconds, but the cross-on wind spoils it.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are similar – glassy mornings with 2ft SW groundswell (15-16 seconds, energy 341-370). The afternoons are messy with risk of t-storms and cross-on wind.

Now, here’s the good stuff. Friday the 14th, the morning wakes up with a 3ft SW swell at 18 seconds, clean offshore wind, and the energy jumps to 712 – strong. This is where it starts to get interesting. The swell is still long-period, so it’ll be a bit more lined up at this point break, and the sets will have some push.

Saturday the 15th is the highlight. The morning sees a 4ft SW swell at 16 seconds, glassy offshore wind, and the energy is a solid 1086 – strong. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The swell is getting up there, so it’s not for beginners, but for the crew who know what they’re doing, this is the best session of the outlook. The afternoon stays clean too, with a glassy offshore wind, 4ft swell, and energy at 980. This is a full day of quality.

Sunday the 16th hangs in there with a 4ft SW swell (15 seconds, energy 686) and clean, cross-off wind in the morning, going glassy in the afternoon. Good waves.

The energy drops back from Monday the 17th onward, with smaller swells and more mixed conditions. Mornings are still okay, but the consistency fades. There’s a brief spike on the morning of Tuesday the 18th with a 5ft SSW swell, but the period drops to 8 seconds – that’s weak, short-period windswell, so it won’t have the shape of the groundswell earlier. Not the same quality.

After that, it’s a run of smaller, cleaner mornings but nothing to race out for, right through to the end of the period on Monday the 24th of August. The last real standout of the whole run is the morning of Sunday the 23rd, with a 3ft SW swell at a very long 19 seconds (energy 616) and glassy conditions. That’s a promising long-range call, but it’s a long way out.

The best on offer: The morning of Saturday, 15th of August. 4ft of SW groundswell, 16 seconds, glassy wind, strong energy. That’s the one to circle. The Friday morning before it and the Sunday after are also very good.

Crowds are possible here, so get there early for the peak.

Rusty.

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