The Tree Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the outlook for The Tree over the next two weeks.

The long-range picture is looking promising. We’ve got a solid run of surfable days, with the best conditions coming in the mornings when the wind is light or glassy. The early part of the week is a standout, but the whole first week offers some real quality.

The Tree is a fairly consistent spot, exposed to the SW, and that’s exactly where the swell is coming from. The water temperature is 86°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable in a spring suit or less.

The first real standout is Thursday morning, the 10th of September. The swell is 4ft from the SW with a period of 17 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell with serious energy. The combined energy is 919 (moderate wave energy), and with the wind glassy out of the NNW, it’s going to be clean. This is the best wave of the early run for advanced surfers. The swell is not too big for the level, but the long period means it will be powerful and better shaped.

The following morning, Friday the 11th, is another cracker. Swell is 4ft from the SW, period 16 seconds, and again glassy conditions with no wind. The energy is 629 (moderate). It’s a very similar picture to the day before, and you can’t go wrong.

Moving into the second week, the swell settles a bit but the quality holds. Tuesday morning, the 15th of September, digs in with a building swell. The morning is small at 2ft, but by Tuesday afternoon it’s up to 3ft from the SW with a period of 17 seconds. The wind is glassy from the west, and the energy jumps to 594. This is a nice pick for the afternoon, with clean conditions.

Wednesday morning, the 16th of September, is another good option: 3ft from the SW, period 16 seconds, light wind from the north, and glassy conditions. Energy is 512 (moderate). It’s a repeat of the pattern: clean morning waves.

The last real standout comes at the end of the run. Monday morning, the 21st of September, the swell is 3ft from the SW with a period of 18 seconds. The energy is 583 (moderate), and the wind is glassy from the south. This is a strong, long-period swell that will wrap in nicely. The afternoon is even better with the wind dropping to calm, creating a glassy, clean surface. This is a solid option for the second week.

Tuesday morning, the 22nd of September, is also worth a mention: 3ft from the SW, period 16 seconds, calm wind, glassy, with energy of 677 (moderate). It’s a very similar vibe to the Monday.

For the most part, the winds are light or glassy in the mornings, which is a major positive. The afternoons do get a bit of a cross-on or onshore breeze, and there’s a risk of thunderstorms, so the mornings are the window. The Tree can sometimes draw a crowd, so factor that in.

Overall, the best bets are the mornings of the 10th, 11th, 15th, 16th, 21st, and 22nd. The standout is Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th. The long period swells are a treat for a reef or point set-up, so these waves will have plenty of push.

Rusty.

Read more