The Tree Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for The Tree over this 16-day window.

The first half of the week is a bit of a slow grind – we’ve mostly got knee to waist-high stuff coming in from the SSW, and it’s only really the mornings that are worth getting out of bed for. The afternoons are a write-off, mostly with cross-onshore wind and some stormy vibes, so don’t bother. There’s a real standout coming though, so I’ll get to that.

Saturday the 4th is nothing to write home about. A bit of a cross shore breeze in the morning and a tiny bump at 4ft, but the energy’s moderate (801) and the vibe is “marginal.” The afternoon’s even worse.

Sunday the 5th morning is where it starts to breathe. It’s only 3ft but it goes glassy as a mirror. Light offshore SE wind. The swell’s got decent legs at 14 seconds, and combined energy is moderate (589). That’s your first proper clean session, but it’s small.

Monday the 6th morning looks good again – glassy, 3ft, long 16-second groundswell, clean. The energy is moderate (735). It’s a good one for a longboard or a fish. The Monday afternoon gets ruined by onshore wind.

Now for the standout. Tuesday the 7th morning is the highlight of this entire forecast. You get 4ft of glassy SSW groundswell, period stretching out to a very long 18 seconds, and the combined energy is strong (1071). The Tree is exposed to the SW, so this is a direct hit. This is for experienced surfers only – that 4ft with that much power off such a long period will throw out some proper waves, but it’ll be a bit tricky at this break because a long period groundswell can sometimes suck the water off the reefs and make sections too fast or close out. Still, with zero wind and glass, it’s your best chance for something special.

Wednesday the 8th morning is also glassy, 4ft, but the period drops to 16 seconds and the energy is still strong (947). It’s good, but it’s not the same quality as Tuesday.

After that, we drop back into the small stuff. Thursday the 9th, Friday the 10th, and Saturday the 11th are all marginal in the afternoons, with only the odd clean morning. The swell settles down to around 3ft, and the energy dips into the moderate range (573 down to 485). Still, the morning winds stay light.

Sunday the 12th morning has a nice clean cross-off breeze with 3ft of swell and moderate energy (503). A decent little window if you’re itching.

From Monday the 13th right through to Friday the 17th, the swell stays pretty weak, around 2ft to 3ft. Mornings offer occasional glass, but the energy drops significantly – down to 261 on the Monday. It’s pretty ordinary.

Then, another standout fires up on Saturday the 18th morning. We get 3ft on a 15-second period, glassy, and the energy is back up to moderate (605). It’s a solid clean option.

But the real cherry on top is Sunday the 19th morning. That’s the second standout. 5ft of SSW groundswell with a very long 18-second period, glassy, and strong-to-very-strong energy (1192). This one is definitely for the experienced crew again – it’s bigger than the mid-week swell and has that same long period caveat. If you can handle it and you’re out there early, it’ll be clean and powerful. Crowds are sometimes an issue at The Tree, so be prepared for company at the peak.

Water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

All in all, circle Tuesday the 7th morning and Sunday the 19th morning. The rest is a mix of small, clean windows and blown-out afternoons.

- Rusty

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