The Tree Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for the next 16 days. There’s only one spot that’s got anything on offer, so we’ll be zeroing in on it.

The overall pattern is actually pretty promising. We’ve got a steady stream of solid SW groundswell hitting the exposed spots, and a few windows where the wind plays nice. The standout session is hands-down Saturday, 29 August, with a glassy morning and a proper 4ft of SW groundswell, period hanging around 16 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, meaning good energy and shape, but at this break, being a reef/point setup, it’s ideal. The combined energy is strong at 1003, so there’s some push behind it. Water temp is sitting at 86°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest rubber.

Let’s run through the rest. Monday afternoon, 24 August is a write-off with onshore SW wind and only 2ft. Tuesday, 25 August morning is a little gem – glassy conditions with the wind going north 5 km/h, 2ft of clean SW groundswell, but don’t expect much power (210 energy). It’s small but clean.

Wednesday, 26 August and Thursday, 27 August are pretty forgettable – onshore winds or messy sideshore conditions for most of it, with the swell dropping to 1ft at times. Friday morning, 28 August shows some life: 2ft with a very long 20-second period and a cross-off breeze from the NNW. The combined energy jumps to 543, so there’s some grunt. That’s one to watch if you can get out early.

Then we hit that Saturday, 29 August morning I mentioned – the pick of the whole run. Glassy, 4ft, 16-second intervals, strong energy. The afternoon gets onshore and bigger at 5ft, which might be pushing it for beginners but still fun for advanced guys.

Sunday, 30 August morning is another good one: glassy easterly breeze, 4ft of SW groundswell, though the period drops to 14 seconds. The crowd factor at The Tree is “sometimes”, so you might have company, but it won’t be a circus. Monday, 31 August morning is calm, glassy with 4ft – a solid option for a quiet session.

Into September now: Tuesday morning, 1 September is glassy again, but the swell is dropping to 3ft. Afternoon sees the wind swing onshore, so get in early. Wednesday, 2 September and Thursday, 3 September are mostly messy with cross-onshore winds, but Friday, 4 September morning is a beauty: no wind, glassy, 5ft of SW groundswell pumping at 18 seconds, with combined energy of 1411. That’s a proper swell. It’s big enough that only experienced surfers will be comfortable – over 5ft is a step up. The afternoon picks up to 5ft with cross-onshore wind, so the morning window is the one.

Saturday, 5 September and Sunday, 6 September mornings both offer glassy conditions, 4ft to 4ft of clean SW swell. Monday, 7 September morning is clean again with a cross-off breeze, 4ft. Tuesday, 8 September morning rounds it out with glassy wind and 3ft.

So, to boil it down: the best bets are the mornings of Saturday, 29 August and Friday, 4 September. Both offer clean glass, decent swell size, and long-period energy. Get out there early. Rest of the time, there are plenty of smaller clean windows mid-week, but don’t expect barrels. Just fun, manageable waves.

Rusty.

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