The Tree Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

The Tree is the only spot on the radar, and it’s a real mixed bag. It’s an advanced wave, exposed to a SW swell, and it’s fairly consistent, so it’s got potential. The water here is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, sitting at 86°F.

We kick off on Saturday, August 1st, with a clean 2ft SW swell, glassy off the NE wind in the morning. The period is 13 seconds, not a short-period ripply thing, and the combined energy is moderate at 229. It’s a small, clean start. The afternoon turns cross-on with a risk of thunderstorms, so that’s a write-off. Sunday morning, the 2nd, is small again at 2ft, but the wind is a cross-off from the NNW, period bumps up to 15 seconds, and the energy is moderate at 225. It’s clean but tiny. Monday morning, the 3rd, is glassy with a 2ft SW swell (14-second period, energy 281). These mornings are all surfable, but nothing to write home about. Tuesday morning, the 4th, sees a 3ft SSW swell, dead calm, glassy, but the period drops to 9 seconds, which is a bit short. Energy is 272. Still, a calm morning for a few small ones.

The mid-week is a bit of a lull. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th have a 3ft S swell, short period (8 seconds), and weak energy (142-150). The mornings are glassy, but the waves are ordinary. Not much to get excited about.

Now, the first real standout. Friday, August 7th, morning brings a 2ft SW swell, but the period jumps to a very long 18 seconds. The energy is 311, moderate. Glassy off the N wind. This is a long-period groundswell, which means it’ll wrap in nicely at The Tree, an exposed point. It’s going to be clean, but it’s small. The real highlight is Saturday, August 8th, morning. A 3ft SSW swell, with a 16-second period, and the energy kicks up to a strong 514. Glassy off the N wind. This is excellent. The sets will be well-spaced, powerful, and clean. This is the pick of the first week.

Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th mornings are still good, with 3ft and 2ft SW swells, periods around 14 seconds, and glassy conditions. The energy stays strong (389-328). Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th mornings are similar, smaller again at 2ft and 2ft, but with long periods (14-18 seconds) and clean glass. Energy is moderate. Thursday the 13th morning is a 2ft SW with a 17-second period and strong energy of 408. Clean.

Now, the big one. Friday, August 14th, morning. This is a standout. The swell is 3ft from the SW, period is a massive 19 seconds, and the combined energy is a whopping 1078. That’s very strong. The wind is dead calm, perfectly glassy. For an advanced spot like The Tree, this is the session. The wave will be solid, powerful, and lined up. This is the best of the entire forecast. The afternoon gets messy, so get it in the morning. Saturday the 15th morning is also excellent, with a 4ft SW swell, 17-second period, strong energy at 882, and glassy with a calm wind. Sunday the 16th morning is still good, with a 3ft SW swell, 15 seconds, and strong energy of 511.

So, the two true standouts are the morning of Saturday, August 8th, and the morning of Friday, August 14th. The 14th is the big one. The crowd factor is "sometimes," so expect a few other keen locals out, especially on the best days. The afternoon sessions are all blown out by the cross-on or onshore wind, so stick to the mornings.

There are no gaps with no surf on offer; it’s a fairly consistent run of small-to-medium, clean mornings.

Rusty.

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