The Tree Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's dig into this forecast for the next couple weeks.

We've got a solid window of surf building and cleaning up through the end of the week, so get your plan together now. The main story is a consistent, long-period SW groundswell, and the highlight without question is Friday and Saturday mornings. Those are the standouts. The Tree is the only break we have data on, so that’s where we’re looking.

We start off Thursday the 3rd. Honestly, Thursday’s not great. The swell is already showing at 2ft from the SW with a very long 16-second period, but the wind is a light cross-shore and the wave energy is just moderate (366). The conditions are marginal and tricky, not worth rushing out for. Thursday afternoon picks up a touch to 3ft with a 19-second period and the energy jumps to 799, but the wind is onshore, so it’s messy. Let’s skip it.

Now, here's where it gets good. Friday morning the 4th is the first real standout. We see clean 4ft SW groundswell, with that long 17-second period, and the combined energy is strongly in the three-digit range (1041). But the real magic is the wind: it's glassy, dead calm. That is going to make it incredibly clean. For an advanced spot like The Tree, this is prime. Crowds can show up here sometimes, so expect company. The water temp anomaly isn't given, so we'll just say it’s what you’d expect for early September.

Saturday morning the 5th is right there with it. The swell is a touch bigger at 5ft from the SW, still a solid 16-second period, and energy is very strong (1342). And again, glassy conditions with the wind off the ENE. This is the other top-tier session. Get on it. By the afternoon both Friday and Saturday, the wind swings onshore and things get cross-choppy, so mornings are the move.

Sunday the 6th is still good, but a notch down. The swell is 4ft from the SW with a 14-second period, and the wind is light WSW, keeping it glassy in the morning. Combined energy is still moderate (714). A fun session, just not the peak.

Monday the 7th sees the swell drop to 3ft and the winds turn light cross-shore again, so that’s marginal. The energy is down to 488. Tuesday the 8th is pretty flat with just 2ft, though a glassy morning makes it look okay for a longboard.

From Wednesday the 9th through to the middle of the following week, the swell stays small, mostly between 2ft and 4ft. There are pockets of glassy mornings, like Wednesday the 9th (3ft, 16-second period), Thursday the 10th (4ft, 17-second period), and Friday the 11th (4ft, 16-second period). The combined energy on the 10th is a solid 903, but nothing with the same punch as that first weekend. It's surfable, but not the standout.

Looking further ahead, around September 17th and 18th, there's a long-range signal. On Thursday the 17th we have a small 2ft swell, but with an incredibly long 24-second period, and the energy is surprisingly strong at 712. The morning is glassy. That’s a very interesting setup for a reef or point, but at a beach break, a period that long can make waves break too straight. Worth keeping an eye on, but it's a long way out so don't bet the farm. Friday the 18th looks similar with 2ft, 21-second period, and energy of 757.

So, in short: Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th mornings are the clear standouts. After that, it's a waiting game with smaller, cleaner windows through the middle of the month, and a promising but uncertain signal for the 17th and 18th.

Rusty.

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