The Tree Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for this stretch. We’ve got one spot on the radar, and it’s The Tree. This is a reef setup, exposed to the SW, so it needs a good solid south-west groundswell to light up. It’s rated for advanced surfers only, and it’s fairly consistent. Expect crowds sometimes.

The water temp is sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, about 87°F, which is a notable 3°F above the long-term average. The water feels like bathwater.

We start off Monday the 13th with a clean 3ft SSW swell, period at 13 seconds, and the wind is glassy. The combined energy is moderate (446). It’s a proper little morning glass-off. The afternoon sees a cross-on breeze kicking up, so the morning is the go.

Tuesday the 14th pushes up to 3ft with a 14-second period. The morning wind is cross-off and clean, making for some nice, lined-up waves. The energy is still moderate (418). Wednesday the 15th is similar, 3ft, glassy again first thing, with 430 in energy. This pattern holds through Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th, with morning glass-offs and small, clean 3ft to 3ft SSW swell. Friday afternoon actually looks glassy too, with a spike in energy to 466. Saturday the 18th is another morning glass-off with 3ft.

Now, here’s the standout. Sunday the 19th is the pick of the first week. The morning brings a 3ft swell from the S, but the period is 14 seconds and the combined energy jumps to 610 (moderate to strong). The wind is glassy. This is a very good session on the cards. Monday the 20th is also very good in the morning, with 3ft SSW swell, 13 seconds, and 556 energy. The swell direction is a near-perfect match for the break.

The second week sees the swell dip a bit. Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd are still clean in the mornings with 3ft and 2ft. There’s a definite drop in energy by the 22nd (237). Thursday the 23rd is very small, only 1ft.

Then, on Friday the 24th of July, we get a short-period spike. It’s 5ft from the SSW but only 7 seconds. The morning is glassy again, but with that short period, it’s going to be a bit mushy and bumpy. The energy is moderate (301). The afternoon is a write-off with strong onshore wind.

The real long-range gem is Sunday the 27th of July. The morning has 3ft from the SW with a 18-second period and a very strong energy reading of 557. The wind is glassy. And then Monday the 28th of July is even better: 3ft from the SW at 16 seconds with a huge 570 energy, and the wind is flat calm. That’s a very long period, proper groundswell, so it will wrap in nicely at The Tree. These are promising but less certain this far out, so keep an eye on it.

Overall, the morning windows are the only game in town. The wind is almost always better first thing. The 19th and 20th of July are the real standouts in the near term, with the 27th and 28th looking like the potential bombs for the experts.

Rusty.

Read more