The Tree Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the outlook for The Tree.

It’s a slow start, but there’s a good run coming. The first few days are small but clean, with a nice little pulse building through the weekend and into next week. The standout window is from the morning of the 27th through the morning of the 28th of July, when the swell picks up and conditions align. That’s the time to clear your schedule.

Wednesday morning the 22nd kicks things off with a tiny 2ft of SW groundswell, period a solid 13 seconds, and the wind is glassy out of the north. The water temp is about average for the time of year. It’s small, but clean. The combined energy is weak (336). Afternoon turns cross-off at 15 km/h, still clean.

Thursday the 23rd morning is even smaller, only 1ft, glassy again, but it’s a bit of a lull. Afternoon sees a bump in size to 4ft, but the period drops to 8 seconds and the wind turns cross-on, making it bumpy. Not worth it.

Friday the 24th morning is where it starts to get interesting. A 2ft SW swell rolls in, but check the period: 24 seconds. That’s very long-period groundswell. Combined energy is moderate (640). The wind is cross-off from the north, so it’s clean. This long period will wrap nicely into The Tree, an exposed SW reef, but at this size it’s a bit small. Still, the shape will be good.

Saturday the 25th morning is even better. 3ft of SW swell at 21 seconds, with calm, glassy conditions. Combined energy is moderate (646). This is a really clean, small-wave day for the experienced surfer who likes a long, drawn-out ride.

Sunday the 26th morning: 4ft of SW swell, 19-second period, glassy north wind. Combined energy is moderate-high (962). This is building nicely. The afternoon turns onshore, so get it early.

Monday the 27th morning is the first true standout. We’ve got 4ft of SW swell, 19-second period, and light cross-off wind from the north. Combined energy is strong (1213). The Tree is exposed to SW, which matches the optimum direction. It’s clean, it’s got grunt, and the long period means clean, powerful lines. This is a session for experienced surfers only—the swell is solid and the reef demands respect. Crowds are possible here, but with this quality, it’ll be worth it.

Tuesday the 28th morning is the second standout. Very similar: 4ft of SW swell, 17-second period, glassy east wind. Combined energy is strong (1222). Slightly bigger, still clean, and still very good. Another morning for the experienced crew.

The energy drops after that. Wednesday the 29th morning is still decent at 4ft, 16 seconds, glassy, but the combined energy is moderate (958). Afternoons get messy with cross-on wind.

From Thursday the 30th through the end of the first week of August, the swell slowly fades to 2ft to 3ft, with periods dropping. Most mornings are glassy or clean, but the waves are small. The morning of the 6th of August shows a little pulse of 2ft SW with a 14-second period, combined energy 329, and glassy conditions. A small, clean option for the patient.

Overall, there’s a solid 4-day window from the 25th to the 28th, with the 27th and 28th mornings being the best. The Tree is a reef setup, so the long-period swells will be at their best here. The second week is small and quiet, but the mornings are clean.

Rusty.

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