Pavos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way. It’s going to be a bit of a mixed bag – a lot of marginal days, but there are a couple of windows that could be worth a paddle. The water is sitting at 71°, which is a solid 8° warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a real treat; you won’t be needing the thickest rubber.

Things start off pretty ordinary and stay that way for a long stretch. From Wednesday the 15th right through to the end of Sunday the 20th, it’s mostly small, with cross-onshore winds messing up the surface. Wave heights hang around the 3 ft to 5 ft mark, but the wind is light to gentle, so it’s not completely blown out, just... average. The combined energy of all swells directed here sits between 428 and 814, which is moderate at best, but the conditions are never clean enough to get the heart racing. The best you could say for this period is that the morning of Saturday the 19th has a light 3 mph wind, but it’s still cross-onshore, so it’s a tough sell.

The standout moment looks like Friday the 24th. We’ve got a 7 ft swell from the SSW, with a long period of 14 seconds, and the combined energy jumps right up to 1968 (strong). That’s a proper groundswell. The wind early that morning is light and from the WSW, putting it offshore for Pavos. That’s clean. The only catch is that 7 ft gets a bit large for the beginners, and with that long period, it’ll be better for the experienced crew. It’s the one true standout on the whole forecast.

The week after that looks up and down. Sunday the 26th drops right back to tiny 2 ft waves, but the period stretches to 19 seconds – that’s really long. That kind of energy is best suited for a point or reef, not a straight beach break, so keep that in mind. The combined energy is still moderate (662), but the size is small. Winds are light, so it’ll be clean, just small.

Looking further ahead to Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th, we get another pulse. Swell builds to 5 ft - 6 ft from the SW, with a period of 13-15 seconds and combined energy climbing back over 1000 (strong). Winds are light and offshore/cross-offshore, which is promising. This is a decent second-week option, but it’s a long way out, so the details might shift.

Overall, it’s a long wait for the good stuff. If you’re a beginner, the first week is manageable but not great. If you’re after quality, lock in the morning of Friday the 24th. That’s the one to chase.

Rusty.

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