Panic Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you: the next couple of weeks around here are looking pretty grim. We've got one spot on the radar, and even that's a tough sell.

The only break on the menu is Panic Point. It's a reef slab, so when it's on, it's properly critical, but the forecast is showing a whole lot of nothing for a long time.

We start off the month with a real dud. From Monday the 3rd of August, right through to the middle of the first week, it's flat. The swell is tiny, barely 2 ft, and the wind is either a cross-shore or a cross-onshore mess. The water is a balmy 74°F, which is 8°F warmer than normal, so it's a proper anomaly—way warmer than it should be for this time of year, but it's not going to help the waves. You'll be looking at weak, choppy conditions with combined wave energy that barely gets above 147. It's a no-go.

We get a glimmer of hope as we head into the second week. That Thursday morning the 6th of August, the swell picks up a little—2 ft from the SW, but the period is a long 12 seconds. The energy jumps to 222 (moderate), but the wind is still light cross-shore, keeping it just on the edge of being rideable. It's marginal at best.

The real potential, and I mean the only thing worth keeping an eye on, is way out there. On Friday the 14th of August, we see a pulse of groundswell. The morning shows 3 ft from the SW with a 17-second period. That's a long-period swell, and combined energy hits 483 (strong). The wind is light and cross-onshore, which is not ideal, but it's light enough to keep things from getting completely blown out. It's a Friday morning, so if you're an expert who knows the reef, that might be the one session to gamble on. The Saturday the 15th is similar, 3 ft of SW swell with a 15-second period and light cross-shore winds, energy at 428 (strong). That's your best bet, but it's still a long way off, and the wind is never truly offshore. It's a breaker for experts only, and the crowds are possible.

Honestly, the whole 16-day window is a washout. There's nothing that screams "go," just a few marginal moments for the hardened locals who know the rock. The surf is poor, the wind is almost always on it, and the swell is too weak for the first week. It's a blank run, and for this area, that's just how it goes sometimes.

Rusty.

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