Nuevo Loco Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, grab a seat. Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – we’re in for a flat spell at Nuevo Loco. This is one of those periods where Mother Nature’s just not sending us much love. We’re looking at a solid stretch of tiny, weak surf that’s barely gonna wet your fins. The first few days are a write-off, with heights barely hitting 0.7 ft to 1 ft. That’s ankle-snappers at best, and the energy readings are pathetic – we’re talking combined swell energy in the 20s and 30s (24 to 36 on the first weekend). That’s about as weak as it gets. You’d be better off swimming.

Things don’t really change much through the first week. We’ve got a bit of a pulse on Wednesday the 16th, with the swell puffing up to 1 ft from the South, period around 16 seconds. That’s a long period for such a tiny wave, and the energy climbs a little to 57 in the morning and 67 in the afternoon. It’s surfable, but “very ordinary” is being kind. Winds are clean – glassy in the morning, light offshore in the arvo – but with only 1 ft on offer, you’re still hunting for a ripple. From Thursday the 17th right through to Sunday the 21st, we’re back to that same 0.7 ft nothingness. There’s a solid gap of days here where you just won’t want to paddle out.

The second week stays miserably small. By Monday the 22nd and Tuesday the 23rd, we’re still on 0.7 ft to 1 ft from the South, with winds turning onshore or cross-onshore, making it choppy and ugly. Thursday the 24th sees the period drop to a woeful 6 seconds – that’s windswell junk, and the energy is just 13. Not worth the drive. We finally see a slight shift on Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th, where the direction flicks to SSW and heights nudge 1 ft, but the period stays at 6 seconds, so it’s still messy. Glassy conditions on Saturday morning the 26th might give you the cleanest 1 ft you’ll ever see, but it’s nothing to write home about. The run ends on Sunday the 27th with 0.3 ft from the South. Brutal.

Now, no standout sessions here, not even close. If I had to pick the least-bad window, it’s Wednesday the 16th. That 16-second period groundswell, combined with clean winds, is your best chance to catch a tiny, clean wave. But it’s a reef break that’s “inconsistent” and only works on a SSW optimum swell direction – and this swell is straight South. It’s also a warm one: the water is a toasty 85°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Don’t expect any crowds though – when it’s this flat, you’ll have the place to yourself, and when it does break, crowds are “often” around.

Honestly, this stretch looks more interesting for a float in the pool than a surf. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on Wed the 16th, but don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can always change, but right now it’s flat out.

Rusty

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