Nuevo Loco Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good long look at what’s shaping up for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s not going to be one for the history books, but there are a few windows where you’ll want to be in the water.

First up, the overall pattern is pretty weak. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, sleepy surf from the start. The first real action kicks off on Sunday, July 26th, but honestly, it’s more about the conditions than the size. The water is sitting at a warm 84.6°, which is about 1.8° warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing crazy, but noticeable.

The first decent call is Nuevo Loco, a reef break that’s pretty inconsistent. It’s exposed to the swell, but the optimum direction is from the SSW. On Sunday morning, July 26th, we’ve got a tiny 1.3ft swell coming from the SSE with a very long period of 19 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, with good energy behind it (combined energy of 139). The wind is glassy from the north at just 3 mph, which is a major positive. The waves will be super clean, but with that long period and small size, it’ll be a bit fat and straight at a beach break – this setup is better for a reef or point, but it’s where we are. Still, for a Sunday morning session with no wind and that much energy, it’s about as good as it gets this week.

The pattern continues through Monday, July 27th and Tuesday, July 28th, with the same tiny 1.3ft swell and glassy to light offshore winds. The combined energy stays in the low 100s, which is moderate. The waves are surfable, but very ordinary. The crowd situation at Nuevo Loco can get busy, so expect company if you paddle out.

By Wednesday, July 29th, the swell drops a touch, and the energy starts to fade into the 80s. By Thursday, July 30th, it’s officially poor, with 1.0ft swell and energy dropping into the 40s. We then hit a real dead zone. From Friday, July 31st all the way through to Tuesday, August 4th, the swell is mostly 0.7ft, with energy in the teens and twenties. It’s flat, basically. There’s a gap of about 5 days here with no surf worth talking about. The winds are sometimes glassy or light offshore, but there’s just nothing to push you around.

Then, on Wednesday, August 5th, there’s a little flicker of life. The swell bumps up to 1.0ft from the SSW, with a period of 13 seconds and a combined energy of 73 (still weak, but better). The morning has a light offshore from the NW at 3 mph, keeping it clean. It’s “surfable” but still very ordinary. This is a one-day wonder, as Thursday and Friday go back to poor conditions.

The standout, if you can call it that, is the very first session on Sunday, July 26th morning. The combination of glassy wind and a long-period groundswell, even if small, makes it the cleanest, most fun-looking window in the whole 16 days. Everything after that is a waiting game.

This is a classic case of a small, inconsistent reef break that doesn’t fire often. When it gets even a little energy and clean wind, it’s worth the paddle. But you’ll be sitting around a lot between sets.

That’s the story. Stay patient, and grab that Sunday morning window.

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