Nuevo Loco Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Nuevo Loco. This reef setup is our only option on the table for the next 16 days, and frankly, it’s a bit of a slow burner. We’re lookin’ at a real mellow stretch ahead with small, inconsistent surf, but there are a few windows where the conditions line up for a sneaky session, mostly for the intermediates out there.

The first week is pretty quiet. From Monday, July 20 right through to the end of that week, we’re seeing tiny waves in the 0.7 ft to 1 ft range. The combined swell energy is weak, less than 100 (36 to 35), so there’s just not a lot of push. The wind is often glassy or light offshore from the NW, which is right for this spot, and that’s the silver lining. For a mellow longboard or a foiler, those glassy mornings might be worth a paddle, but for a proper surf, it’s just not there.

Now, things perk up slightly as we head into Friday, July 24. A long-period groundswell from the SSE starts to fill in, with periods hitting a very long 24 seconds and swell energy climbing into the moderate range (120 on Friday morning, 133 in the afternoon, 182 on Saturday morning). This is the standout window of the whole outlook. On Saturday morning, July 25, we’ve got a clean 1 ft wave with that long-period energy and light offshore wind from the WNW. That’s your best bet. The water temp anomaly is unremarkable for this time of year, so nothing wild to report there. Just keep in mind, this break is inconsistent and only breaks sometimes, so you gotta pick your moment. Also, crowds are listed as ‘often’, so expect company at the peak. Because this is a reef, that long-period swell will wrap in nicely. It won’t be huge, but the quality per wave should be decent.

The second week drops off again. By Sunday, July 27, the swell energy starts to fade, and we’re back to marginal 1 ft to 2 ft surf with moderate energy (161 to 74) but still that long-period feel. Tuesday morning, July 28, comes closest with glassy conditions and 2 ft from the S, but by then the sets are few and far between. The period drops back through the teens toward 14 seconds by the end of July, and the energy dips under 100 again. From August 1 onward, it’s a return to tiny 0.7 ft to 1 ft surf with weak energy (20 to 60). Not much to write home about.

If you’re an intermediate looking to scratch an itch, your window is that Saturday, July 25 morning. It’s not a bomb, but with that glassy wind and long-period groundswell, it’s the cleanest wave of the whole run. Just don’t sleep on it.

Rusty.

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