Nuevo Loco Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got a bit of a flat spell to talk about for the next couple of weeks. The good news is we’ll see some tiny waves, and there’s a little bump of energy trying to roll in later on, but honestly, this isn’t one for the highlight reel. The first proper surfable day comes on Saturday, July 11th, and it’s a very small, very clean affair.

The first spot to look at is Nuevo Loco, a reef break that’s exposed to the south. Right from Saturday morning, the ocean is dead flat with a glassy surface and a 1 ft south swell wrapping in, but it’s got a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is weak at just 87, so you’re looking at ankle to maybe knee-high waves that will be clean but gutless. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no dramas there. It stays like this through Saturday and Sunday, with the wind swinging offshore and glassy, keeping the surface clean, but the size never gets out of the 1.0 ft to 1 ft range. It’s surfable, but it’s tiny.

Come Monday, the 13th, and Tuesday, the 14th, it’s more of the same. The wind is light offshore or glassy, but the swell energy is still weak, sitting between 58 and 76. The waves are just too small to get excited about. This reef is inconsistent at the best of times, and with this slim pickings, it’s a paddle for the hardcore only.

The pattern holds through the week. Wednesday the 15th has a bit of a gentle offshore breeze, but the swell is still 1 ft and the period is dropping to 13 seconds. The energy is feeble. Thursday the 16th is even smaller at 1.0 ft, and the wind turns cross-offshore. It’s all very ordinary.

The first hint of something different shows up on Monday, July 21st. The morning brings a 1 ft south-southwest swell with a 15-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 161 – that’s moderate wave energy. The wind is glassy. This is the best wave on offer in the whole run, but it’s still tiny. That mellow south-southwest groundswell will line up nicely at the reef, and the long period means better shape, but it’s still only knee-high. The afternoon gets stuffed by a cross-onshore, so aim for the early.

After that, Tuesday the 22nd has a bit of clean, offshore wind, but the swell drops back to 1 ft from the south. The energy is low again. Thursday the 23rd sees the period drop to 8 seconds, which is short and weak, and the energy is a paltry 28. That’s not worth a paddling.

The final hope is Friday, July 24th. The morning brings a 2 ft south swell with an 11-second period, and the energy is 77. The wind is a light offshore. It’s still small, but it’s the most size we’ve seen in a while, and the conditions are clean. Saturday the 25th has a similar 1 ft swell with a light offshore in the afternoon, but the morning is ruined by a cross-shore wind.

So, if I had to pick the best of the bunch, it’s the morning of Monday, July 21st, with that glassy 1 ft south-southwest groundswell and moderate energy, or the morning of Friday, July 24th, with the 2 ft south swell and clean offshore wind. Neither is a standout, but they’re the least ordinary. The rest of the time, it’s flat, clean, and very small. If you’re a beginner, the tiny waves and glassy conditions are about as safe as it gets, but the swell never gets big enough to be a problem. For the experts, it’s a board-choosing day.

Stay patient, and remember, the forecast can change.
Rusty.

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