Noorderstrand Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, it’s Rusty here. I’m looking at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and I gotta be straight with you—it’s a lean stretch on the sandbar. We’ve got a long wait ahead before there’s anything worth paddling out for. I’m talking about a solid gap here. From now, it’s flat and messy through the middle of the month, and we don’t see a real glimmer of hope until the very end of this 16-day window. So if you're itching for a wave, you might want to find another hobby for a bit.

The water temp is sitting at 70° with a big 5° anomaly. That’s a crazy warm spike, way above what’s normal for this time of year. You won’t need a thick suit, that’s for sure.

The first few days are a total write-off. We’ve got crossed-up winds and tiny, wind-driven slop. On the morning of the 10th, the swell is a weak 3ft from the NNW, but the onshore breeze is ruining it. Nothing to see here. This pattern pretty much holds through the week—small, choppy, and disappointing. We’ll see a tiny clean-up early on the morning of the 13th with a light offshore breeze, but the swell is only 1ft. You’d be lying to yourself if you called that a wave. Just don’t bother.

The weekend of the 16th and 17th brings a little more push, but it’s still all over the place. The swell gets up to 4ft on the afternoon of the 16th, but it’s lumpy and cross-onshore. The combined energy is still weak, under 100. It’s just messy, mushy stuff for the most part. We see some more small pulses, but they all get chopped up by shifty winds from the 18th through the 22nd. It’s a whole lot of nothing for over a week.

Now, here is the one bright spot in this entire forecast. It’s over a week away, so don't book the day off yet, but mark it in your calendar. On the morning of Sunday the 23rd, the conditions finally line up. The swell pushes to 4ft from the WSW, with a light offshore breeze from the NE. The guidance calls it "clean," and for the first time in weeks, it actually looks surfable. The combined energy reads at 87, still on the weak side, but the light wind will make a world of difference. This is the standout, but it's a long way off, so treat it as promising but far from a certainty. The swell is still short-period at 5 seconds, which might make for a bit of a close-out, but it’s the best we’ve got by a mile.

So there you have it. A long, flat stretch with one potential, distant, clean window on the morning of the 23rd. No good options for beginners before that—there's simply no surf. It’s a long wait, but it tends not to stay like this forever. Forecasts change, and we might get lucky. But for now, don’t get your hopes up.

Rusty.

Read more