Noorderstrand Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right now, the surf is pretty ordinary out at Noorderstrand, and to be honest, it’s looking a bit sad for the next week or so. There’s just no real swell to get excited about, and the wind is all over the place. The water’s warm, though – about 68° and that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit.

Wednesday, the 16th, is flat and messy. WNW wind at 25 km/h is onshore, and there’s only 4ft of weak, short-period swell (5 seconds). The combined energy is just 51, which is weak. It’s not worth paddling out for that. Thursday’s a bit bigger – 5ft to 5ft – but it’s a cross-shore mess with WSW wind at 35 km/h. Choppy and lumpy. Not good. Friday drops back down and stays cross-shore. The weekend of the 19th and 20th has the biggest swell of this stretch – 6ft on Saturday – but it’s got that short, weak period and a cross-shore wind. It’ll be a jumbled up closeout. Not my idea of fun.

Now, Monday the 21st has a tiny window in the morning: 3ft of NW swell with a 7-second period, but the wind is glassy. That’s about it. The combined energy is only 108, so still weak. It’s surfable but very, very ordinary. The rest of that week is basically flat. By the 24th and 25th, we’re down to 0.7ft or 0.3ft of swell. You’d be wasting your time.

There is a glimmer on Saturday the 26th. It’s still tiny – 3ft – but the wind is cross-off and clean, and the period is up to 6 seconds. Not a day to get your hopes up, but it’s clean and glassy. Then on Sunday the 27th there’s a jump in period to 12 seconds, but the height is only 1ft. It’s a long-period swell with not much behind it. The energy is 65, which is weak. Monday the 28th is flat again. The whole thing just fizzles out.

By the 29th and 30th, it’s pretty much done. There’s a bump on the 30th afternoon – 8ft of WSW swell with a 7-second period – but the wind is cross-onshore at 25 km/h and it’s been downgraded to poor. That’s a stormy mess, not a clean swell. The energy is 479, which is moderate, but it’s not going to be surfable for a beginner. That’s more like an expert-only closeout. And with that short period, it’s going to be walled up and ugly. I’d give that a miss.

Honestly, for the next two weeks, the only real highlight is that Tuesday the 1st of October morning. We’ve got a clean, glassy start with 3ft of NNW swell and a 7-second period. The wind is S at 5 km/h, which is cross-off. It’s small, but it’s clean and there’s minimal chop. The combined energy is only 79, so it’s weak. Not worth a special trip, but if you’re desperate, that’s your best bet. The rest of that week is nothing to write home about.

So, keep your expectations low. We’ve got no groundswell coming in, just a series of weak, short-period pulses. The water is warm, the wind is mostly against you, and the swell is small. Right now, it’s more of a “look at the ocean” kind of forecast than a “grab your board” one. I’d be tempted to say the only thing that might get interesting is if that big swell on the 30th had better winds – but it doesn’t. So, for now, it’s all about the clean, tiny days. And there aren’t many of those either.

Rusty

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