Noorderstrand Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook for Noorderstrand is a tough one to write. We’re looking at a pretty grim 16-day stretch with no real surf to get excited about. The forecast shows a long run of poor surf conditions, with the combined wave energy rarely cracking triple digits. The best of a bad bunch looks like the afternoon of Sunday the 12th, and even then, it’s a mess.

Kicking off on Tuesday the 7th, we’ve got a tiny 3 ft swell from the NNW at a short 6 seconds, but it’s blown out by a 9 mph onshore wind. The water is a balmy 67°F, which is a whopping 6°F warmer than normal – very unusual for this time of year. That’s about the only interesting thing going on, because the surf is flat and poor. The combined energy is a weak 47.

Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th are more of the same – tiny, weak swells under 2 ft and cross-onshore winds. The energy is below 30. Friday the 10th brings a little lull with a 1 ft swell and a clean, light cross-offshore wind in the morning, but the swell is so small it’s not worth paddling for.

The first notable bump comes Saturday the 12th afternoon. The swell pushes up to 3 ft from the north, but it’s a short-period 4-second wind swell, and a 19 mph fresh onshore breeze will turn it into a lumpy, choppy mess. The combined energy is only 38. Not your day.

Sunday the 12th is the most significant event in the whole window. The afternoon delivers a 5 ft north swell with a 6-second period, which is the biggest we’ll see. The combined energy hits 121, which is moderate. But that’s where the good news ends. The wind is howling onshore at 22 mph from the NNE, making the surf lumpy and poor. For a beach break like Noorderstrand, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. This is for experts only, as the size is pushing into serious territory for the conditions.

The rest of the second week follows the same poor pattern. The morning of the 17th sees a 3 ft north swell, but it’s still cross-onshore. The afternoon of the 17th bumps up to 4 ft with a moderate 112 energy, but again, the wind is onshore at 12 mph. The 18th has a cleaner 3 ft NNW swell with a light cross-shore breeze, but it’s still a weak 53 energy. The last few days of the forecast, from the 20th onwards, are back to tiny, gutless 2 ft and 1.0 ft swells with weak energy under 20. A blank run like this is fairly normal for the area when the pattern goes quiet.

There are no standouts here. If you’re desperate, the afternoon of Sunday the 12th is the biggest, but it’s a wind-affected mess for experts only. Otherwise, the whole 16-day window is a write-off. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a stay-at-home kind of period.

Rusty.

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