Noorderstrand Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right now, the ocean’s got nothing for us. It’s flat, and it’s gonna stay that way for a good stretch. We’re looking at a solid run of poor surf with tiny, weak waves that barely push past 1 foot. The energy’s almost non-existent—combined swell energy readings are down in the single digits and low teens for most of the first several days. The water’s running warm at 68°—that’s a solid 4° warmer than normal for this time of year, so if you’re just keen for a swim, it’s not bad. But for surfing? Forget it.

The first week is basically a write-off. Swell heights stay under 4 feet, and even that’s with short, weak periods around 5–6 seconds. Winds are mostly cross or cross-on, chopping things up. Tuesday the 16th sees a slight bump to 4 feet, but it’s cross-on and lumpy—no good. Thursday the 18th clears up a bit but the waves are still only 3 feet with no push behind them. The 20th drops right back to 2 feet.

Then we hit the dead zone. From the 21st through the 27th, it’s flat-out flat. We’re talking 0.3 to 0.7 feet—if you can call that a wave. Periods are short, 6 to 8 seconds mostly, and the energy is in the single digits. There’s a clean window on the 23rd morning with a light offshore, but there’s nothing to ride. The 26th is glassy, but again—nothing.

Now, here’s the one glimmer. Monday the 28th sees a bit of juice finally arrive. Swell builds to 5 feet out of the north with a 7-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 215—that’s moderate energy, a real step up from everything before it. But don’t get too excited. It’s cross-shore with chop, and the quality is still rated poor. The 29th backs down a touch to 2 feet with a cleaner cross-off wind, but the period is only 8 seconds, so no real grunt.

Honestly, there’s not a single standout day here. The best on offer is probably Monday the 28th morning—bigger swell, at least some power—but the wind and chop are against you. And even that’s a stretch. For beginners, the 28th at 5 feet might be a bit much, but it’s the only time the ocean even remembers it’s supposed to have waves. For anyone else, you’re better off waiting this one out. It’s a blank run—normal for this area when the swell windows don’t line up. Forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing worth paddling out for.

Rusty

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