Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down. The outlook for Nesika Beach is a tough one for the next couple of weeks. We’re looking at a long stretch of onshore wind and messy conditions, so you’re gonna have to be patient.

Right from the get-go, Sunday morning July 5th, we’ve got a 4ft NW swell but the wind is a cross-on 16 mph from the NNW, making for choppy, poor surf. The water temperature is sitting at 53°F, which is about 3°F colder than usual for this time of year, so it’s a bit nippier than normal. The combined energy is weak at 390, so not much punch.

The whole first week is pretty grim. The swell stays between 2ft and 5ft but the wind is mostly onshore from the NNW or NW, 12-19 mph. It’s a constant theme of “poor surf conditions.” The combined energy does climb to 1000 on Tuesday morning July 7th, with a 4ft NW swell and a moderate 10 second period, but the onshore wind ruins it – it’s only a marginal call for surf. The afternoon of the 7th drops right off.

We go through Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th with small, weak SW swells (2ft to 3ft) and fresh cross-onshore winds, making it lumpy and pretty much a write-off. Friday the 10th is the same story with a 3ft SW swell and onshore wind.

Saturday the 11th shows a bit more size – 5ft to 6ft NW swell in the afternoon, with combined energy hitting 1108, which is moderate. The period is 9-10 seconds, but it’s onshore wind again, so it’s still only marginal. A bit of a frustrating tease.

The second week doesn’t offer a true standout either. Sunday the 12th has a cleanish 3ft to 4ft WNW swell with lighter 6 mph onshore wind, giving it a marginal feel. Then it’s back to small SW swells with onshore and cross-onshore winds through Monday and Tuesday. From Wednesday the 15th onward it’s all small, weak swells (2ft to 3ft) from the W or WNW, with periods getting long (up to 21 seconds), but the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, so the surface is always choppy.

Friday the 17th afternoon shows a sudden jump to 6ft NW swell but with only an 8-second period and onshore 16 mph wind – still “poor surf conditions.” Saturday the 18th afternoon has 5ft NW swell but 22 mph cross-onshore wind, making it a lumpy mess, more suited to kites than paddles.

To be honest, there is no true standout session in this 16-day window. Every day is either poor or marginal. The best you can hope for is the Saturday morning July 11th or Sunday afternoon July 12th, where the wind is lighter and the swell is modest. But even those are marginal. If you’re desperate, maybe the Saturday afternoon July 11th with 6ft NW has the most size, but it’s not clean. This is a real dry spell. Sometimes it just goes like that, but forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Read more