Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down for Nesika Beach.

To be honest, it’s a pretty grim stretch ahead. We’ve got a long run of poor conditions and marginal surf stretching right through the entire 16-day window. There’s no standout day, no real window where it all comes together properly. The first proper surf on offer is Saturday afternoon, the 5th of September, and even that’s a struggle.

Saturday 5th to Sunday 6th September
Saturday afternoon sees a small 3 ft SW swell rolling in with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, but it’s weak – combined energy is only 542 (moderate), and the water’s a bit colder than average at 55°, with a -2° anomaly. Winds are light offshore from the NNW, so you’d get clean surfaces, but the wave comment says it’s marginal. It’s a frustrating start.

Sunday morning offers a slight improvement: 3 ft from the SW, period 15 seconds, still a long-period groundswell. Light offshore WNW wind at 6 mph. Clean, but again marginal. By afternoon the wind picks up to 9 mph from the NW, and the score drops.

Monday 7th to Thursday 10th September
Monday through Thursday is a write-off. Winds go cross-onshore, speeds climb from 9 mph up to 22 mph, and swell sizes bounce between 1 ft and 5 ft but with periods as short as 6 seconds on Tuesday morning. That’s windswell, messy and lumpy. Combined energy hits 279 to 542 but it’s all ugly. Not worth paddling out.

Friday 11th to Monday 14th September
Friday is more of the same: cross-onshore fresh breeze, 19 to 22 mph, and 3 ft SW swell. Rubbish. Saturday morning has a glimmer – 3 ft SW, 14 seconds, but cross-onshore wind again. The energy is moderate (517) but the wind kills it. By Sunday morning the 13th, we get a brief window of light offshore WNW wind at 3 mph, with 2 ft SW swell at 14 seconds. That’s clean, but the swell is tiny and the wave comment says marginal. Not a day to get excited about.

Tuesday 15th to Saturday 19th September
The pattern holds: small swells, 1 ft to 2 ft, mostly from the SW, with periods from 14 to 21 seconds. Winds are onshore or cross-onshore, and the combined energy drops as low as 138 (weak) up to 371 (moderate). The strongest breeze hits Friday afternoon the 18th with 25 mph cross-onshore. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

Sunday 20th September
The final day of the outlook shows 3 ft SW swell at 19 seconds, but fresh cross-onshore breeze at 19 mph. Combined energy is 504 (moderate), but the wind makes it messy.

Bottom line
There’s no real standout here. The best of a bad bunch is maybe Sunday morning the 13th with that light offshore wind, but the swell is tiny. If you’re desperate, you could get a clean little wave there, but don’t expect much. For the rest of the period, it’s either too windy, too small, or too messy. This is a tough run for Nesika Beach.

- Rusty

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