Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’.

To be straight with you, the 16-day window for Nesika Beach is a tough one. The whole run is marked down as poor surf conditions, so there isn’t a single standout session worth chasing. The swell sticks mostly to a NW direction, but the wind never gives us a break—it’s on it or cross-onshore for the entire forecast, and that’s going to keep things choppy, lumpy, and messy.

Starting off on Wednesday the 29th of July, we’ve got a long period swell rolling in from the SW with a period of 17 seconds and combined wave energy of 653 (moderate energy). The swell height is 3 ft, but the wind is blowing from the NNW at 12 mph, directly on it. That’s going to ruin any hope of a clean wave. The water temp is 56°, which is about normal for this time of year, with only a -0.5° anomaly—nothing unusual there.

Thursday the 30th through to the weekend sees the same story: 3 ft to 4 ft swell, period dropping from 16 seconds down to 9 on Friday afternoon, and energy hanging between 255 and 506 (weak to moderate). Wind stays on it or cross-onshore, so the surface stays bumpy. Not worth paddling out.

As we move into Saturday the 1st of August, the wind picks up to 22 mph on the afternoon, turning to a fresh cross-onshore breeze, and the waves get lumpy at 4 ft with a short period of 8 seconds. Energy is 320 (moderate). The swell carries on through Sunday the 2nd, with the onshore wind cranking to 25 mph and waves climbing to 6 ft—still a short 8-second period, and the energy at 476 (moderate). This setup is more suited to kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly.

The first week of August stays wind-affected. Monday the 3rd to Tuesday the 4th is all cross-onshore winds, 5 ft to 6 ft swell, short 8-second period, and energy ranging from 281 to 557 (moderate). By Wednesday the 5th, the swell bumps to 7 ft with energy at 1071 (strong), but the wind is still cross-onshore at 19-25 mph, making it a messy, expert-only situation if you’re determined.

Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th keep the swell at 6 ft to 7 ft, period lengthening to 10 seconds, and energy jumping to 1355 then 1348 (strong to very strong). Again, the cross-onshore wind at 16-22 mph means choppy conditions. The break is exposed to the NW, and the swell direction is NW, so there’s energy hitting the beach, but the wind kills the quality.

The second week, from Saturday the 8th onward, sees the swell drop back to 4 ft to 5 ft, with periods around 9 seconds and moderate energy between 306 and 780. The wind stays cross-onshore from the NNW at 16-22 mph, so it remains lumpy. By Wednesday the 12th, the swell switches back to SW with a long period of 18 seconds and energy of 666 (moderate), but the wave height is only 2 ft, and the wind is still cross-onshore. That long-period groundswell would be better suited to a point or reef break, but here at Nesika Beach, it’s just not coming together.

In short, there are no good surf options in the 16-day window. Nesika Beach can be fairly consistent, but this run is a blank stretch where the wind just won’t cooperate. It tends not to stay poor for long, and forecasts can change, so keep an eye out, but for now, leave the board at home.

Rusty

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