Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's break down what's on offer at Nesika Beach.

Right off the bat, the immediate forecast doesn't give us much to get excited about. We've got a decent little window of swell coming in, but it’s held back by tricky winds and the water is bloody cold. The water temp is sitting at a chilly 53°F, which is a whopping 5°F colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll want a good thick wetsuit, hood, and booties.

The first real chance to get wet, and I mean a real chance, looks like Thursday morning, September 3rd. We'll see a spike in the swell, with waves pushing up to 6ft from the WNW. It's got a solid 10-second period, so there's some decent energy behind it. The wave energy is moderate to strong (900). The wind is a cross-off from the south at 15 km/h, which will keep things clean. It’s not a standout, but it's the first legitimate window.

Thursday afternoon builds on that. The swell pushes a little bigger to 7ft from the WNW, with a longer 11-second period, and wave energy jumps up to 1231. The wind stays cross-off from the SSW at 20 km/h, so the conditions are still clean. This is the best looking couple of days we have.

Friday, September 4th morning is a bit of a tease. The swell is still solid at 6ft from the WNW (10 seconds, wave energy 978), and the wind is a light 15 km/h cross-off from the south. It’s looking clean. This is probably the most consistent and cleanest option of the whole run.

After that, the quality really falls away. We get a shift to onshore NW wind for several days from Saturday the 5th onward, and the swell gets smaller and weak. The long-period SW swells (15-16 seconds) that come through on the weekend are actually a bit of a trap for a beach break – they’ll break too straight and won’t offer much shape. The wave energy drops to the low hundreds. By Monday the 7th, the wind is pumping onshore at 20-30 km/h, and we're looking at 2 to 2ft of junk – that's kite surfing conditions, not paddle surfing.

There's a big gap of poor to marginal conditions that stretches for over a week. Honestly, from Saturday, September 5th all the way through to Monday, September 14th, it's mostly poor with only a few marginal days. You'd be wasting your time.

The next flicker of life comes on Monday, September 14th afternoon. The swell jumps back up to 6ft from the NW with a 12-second period, and the wave energy gets strong (1441). But the wind is still a strong onshore from the NNW at 20 km/h, so it'll be lumpy and hard to surf. It’s a marginal at best.

The best of the second week looks like Tuesday, September 15th. The swell holds at 5ft from the NW (10 seconds, wave energy 1027). The wind finally swings around to a light cross-shore from the SW at 10 km/h, which is a massive improvement. It might be a bit messy, but it's the best window in a long, dry patch. Then on Wednesday, September 16th afternoon, we get a brief moment of glory. The swell is only 3ft from the WNW, but the wind goes glassy from the WSW at just 5 km/h. The wave comment says "expect good surf conditions." With a 11-second period, it’ll be clean and glassy, but tiny.

So, if you've got to pick a moment, the standout is Friday morning, September 4th at Nesika Beach. It's not perfect, but it's the best combo of clean cross-off wind, solid 6ft WNW swell, and moderate energy. It’s the one to aim for. The later standouts on September 15th-16th are more promising for the future, but the glassy one on the 16th is for logs and longboards.

The crowds are listed as "often," so expect company on that Friday, but it’s the best option.

Rusty.

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