Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming our way at Nesika Beach. It’s not the most inspiring outlook I’ve seen, so let’s get into it.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, then a window with some clean, rideable surf, before things get pretty ordinary for a long stretch. Friday morning kicks things off, but it’s small and a bit messy with a weak 1ft swell from the southwest and a short period of 26 seconds. The combined energy is weak (334), and honestly, the conditions look marginal. The water is much colder than normal at 53°, a full 4° cooler than what you’d expect for this time of year, so a thick suit is a must.

The real standout, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Friday afternoon, July 24th. The swell bumps up to a clean 2ft from the southwest with a 24-second period, and the combined energy jumps to a moderate 764. The key here is the light, cross-offshore breeze at 10 km/h. That’s going to put a real clean face on those waves. This is the only session in the whole 16-day window that’s flagged as “very good surf conditions.”

Saturday the 25th is your next best bet, but it’s a step down. Morning sees a 3ft southwest swell with a 21-second period and moderate energy (825), and the wind is a cleaner cross-off 12 mph, though it’s a bit stronger. The conditions look clean enough for a session. It’s the last time we’ll see a decent score, after that, we’re heading into a long rough patch.

From Sunday the 26th onwards, the wind clocks onshore and the quality drops out. The surf hangs around the 3ft mark for a few days, but it’s all onshore wind with a short period dropping from 19 seconds down to 14. By Wednesday the 29th, we’re into “poor surf conditions” with moderate onshore breezes. That’s the start of a long, blank run. From Wednesday the 29th right through to Saturday, August 8th, I can’t recommend a single session. For over a week and a half, the forecast is consistently poor.

There are a few pulses of size later on, like around 5ft to 7ft on August 5th and 6th, but those come with strong, messy onshore winds from the north-northwest, gusting up to 25 mph. The combined energy does get up to 904 and 657 on those days, but the wind is just going to shred it. For a beach break like Nesika, that setup looks more like a kite session than a paddle session.

Hang in there, but for the next couple of weeks, your best chance for a clean wave is that Friday afternoon window. The forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Read more