Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a long, hard look at what's on the table for Nesika Beach over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it's a bleak picture from start to finish.

Straight off the bat, the water is running at a frigid 51°F, a full 5°F colder than what’s normal for this time of year. That’s seriously unusual, so you’ll be wanting the thickest rubber you’ve got if you even think about paddling out.

Heading into Wednesday morning, the 15th, the swell is a tiny 2ft out of the SW with a long 18-second period, but the real killer is that NNW wind hammering in at 16 mph. The combined wave energy is weak (297), and the comment says it all – poor surf. That onshore wind ruins any chance of a clean face, and that super-long period on a beach break like this means the waves will be fat and closey. The afternoon doesn't get any better. The wind picks up to 16 mph from the NW, and the swell bumps up to 3ft but with a short, weak 9-second period. Rotten.

Thursday the 16th shows a slight drop in the morning wind to 9 mph from the NW, but the swell is still tiny at 2ft. The energy ticks up a bit (509), but the notes call it marginal at best. A 19-second period from the west with onshore wind is not a recipe for anything fun. Thursday afternoon is just more of the same poor conditions.

Friday the 17th brings stronger wind – 16 to 19 mph from the NNW. The swell gets up to 3ft, and the energy climbs a little, but with that wind blowing straight onshore, it’s just messy. The waves will be chopped-up and lack any real push.

The weekend (the 18th and 19th) sees the swell bumping up a bit, hitting 5ft on Saturday afternoon out of the NW, but that’s where the good news ends. The cross-onshore wind is strong, the period is a dreadful 7 seconds, and the energy (794) is all blown-out chop. It’s the kind of slop that makes you wish you brought a kite. Sunday is similar – 5ft swell but with a short 8-second period and onshore wind.

Moving into the following week, the pattern holds steady. From the 20th to the 27th of July, we’re looking at tiny swells – mostly 2ft to 4ft – with persistent onshore or strong cross-onshore winds. The wave energy varies from moderate to strong (up to 1080), but without clean wind, that energy is just going to translate into lumpy, bumpy, unrideable surface conditions. There’s a period on the afternoon of the 24th where a 2ft swell from the SW has a 24-second period, which is incredibly long, but with onshore wind, it’ll just be a massive, slow-moving chunk of whitewater. Not worth it.

The final few days of the month, from the 28th of July on, are the same story: strong, gusty NNW winds, cross-onshore, with tiny 3ft SW swells. The ocean will be a mess of wind chop.

Honestly, looking across this entire 16-day window, there isn't a single recommended session here. Every single forecast slot is classified as poor or marginal. The onshore and cross-onshore winds are relentless, and the wave quality is just not there. This is one of those stretches where you’re better off leaving the boards in the van, having a coffee, and waiting for a better pattern. The forecasts can always change, but right now, it’s a total blank run.

Rusty.

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