Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer.

To be straight with you, this is a pretty grim outlook for Nesika Beach. We've got a long dry spell with nothing worth paddling out for. The first week and a half is basically a write-off. From Saturday the 8th right through to the morning of Monday the 17th, every session is rated as poor. That's a solid nine days of strong, messy cross-onshore winds and choppy, lumpy conditions. Don't bother.

The water temp is sitting at 53°F with an anomaly of -5°F, which is much colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll be needing a thick steamer just to sit out there in the slop. The combined wave energy is mostly moderate, ranging from 143 to 460, but it's all wind-affected junk.

Now, things finally start to look a bit more interesting on Tuesday the 18th. The afternoon session shapes up as the first decent opportunity in a long time. We've got a 4ft swell from the West with a period of 8 seconds, but the wind goes glassy. That's a major positive, and it's the first time all forecast that the conditions are described as "expect good surf conditions." The combined energy is a solid 383. It won't be epic, but it'll be clean and rideable.

The real standout, however, is Wednesday the 19th. This is the pick of the whole 16-day window. Wednesday morning shows a 6ft swell from the West with a 12-second period, giving a combined energy of 1046 – that's strong. The wind is light cross-shore, so it'll be a bit textured but still good. The afternoon session is even cleaner, with a 5ft West swell at 11 seconds, but the wind goes glassy. That's "expect very good surf conditions." This is groundswell energy, and at that size, it's getting into intermediate territory, but with those light winds, it'll be the best waves we see. The period is long enough to have proper shape, but it's a beach break, so it might stand up a bit straight. Still, it's the one to aim for.

After that, the window closes again. Thursday the 20th through to the end of the forecast on Sunday the 23rd drops back into poor conditions with moderate onshore winds. The swell drops off and the quality goes with it.

So, to sum it up: Don't even think about paddling out until Tuesday the 18th. Tuesday afternoon is your first chance for clean, small waves. But make your plans for Wednesday the 19th – especially the afternoon glass-off. That's the only true standout in this forecast. After that, it's back to the waiting game.

Rusty.

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