Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's size up what Nesika Beach has in store. I'll be honest, this is shaping up to be a rough stretch. We've got a long, brutal run of onshore and cross-onshore winds that are just going to ruin any swell that tries to show up. For the first 13 days, from Friday, July 3rd, all the way through to Tuesday, July 14th, the conditions are consistently poor. The wind is howling out of the north-northwest at 15 to 22 mph, sometimes stronger, just tearing the surface up. You won't want to paddle out for this; it looks more like a kite-surfing kind of window for most of it.

There is some swell energy in the water, like on Sunday, July 5th, afternoon when the combined energy hits 650, with a 6 ft swell from the northwest, but the wind is a brutal cross-onshore 19 mph. It's just a mess. A couple of mornings on July 6th and 7th see the wind ease slightly to a 9 mph onshore breeze, but the swell drops right down to 2 ft, with a very long 20-second period from the southwest. That long period groundswell is better for a reef or point, not an exposed beach break like Nesika.

Now, the water temperature here is only 52°F, which is 4°F colder than normal for this time of year. That's a seriously cold anomaly, so you'll need a thick wetsuit and probably booties, no question.

The only real glimmer of hope is at the very end of the forecast. On July 16th and 17th, we finally see the wind swing around to a light 6 mph cross-shore out of the southwest, or even a 3 mph breeze on Friday the 17th afternoon. The swell is small, only 2 ft to 3 ft from the west at a 16 to 17-second period, but the combined energy is still moderate in the 427-616 range. This is the only time the forecast looks marginal instead of outright poor, and it might give you some clean, small, long-period lines to grovel on. But don't get your hopes up too high; it's been a bleak run.

Stay patient, and keep checking back.

- Rusty

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