Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. This is a tough one to call.

Alright, so we’re looking at Nesika Beach, and I gotta be straight with you – the next two weeks are a real mixed bag, and mostly a frustrating one. We’ve got a serious case of the "almosts" here. The swell is around, but it’s fighting a losing battle with the wind for most of the period.

Right now, and for the rest of this week, it’s a write-off. The wind is howling out of the NNW, blowing straight onshore or cross-onshore, just trashing everything. Even though there’s some moderate swell energy (414 in the mix on Sunday the 16th), the conditions are just poor. The 3 ft to 3 ft swell we’re looking at is all wind-affected and messy. You’d be better off staying home.

We get a bit of a tease on Thursday the 20th. The wind drops right out, going light and cross-shore, and the swell ticks up to 4 ft from the WNW. The energy bumps up to 450, but it’s still only rated as marginal. The wind is light, so the surface will be okay, but it's not going to be the kind of day you call in sick for.

Now, Friday the 21st is the one bright spot, and it’s a real shame it’s only a half-day deal. The early morning, it goes glassy. Dead calm. The swell is a clean 2 ft from the SW (good for the break) with a long period of 14 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and the energy is still solid at 330. This is the session to point for. It’s the only time in the whole forecast where we get that "glassy" word and a decent score. It’s going to be clean, fun, and rideable. Get on it early because by the afternoon the wind swings back onshore and the party is over.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. The wind cranks up again, and we get a pulse of short-period, wind-driven slop over the weekend of the 23rd and 24th. The swell jumps to 5 ft on the 23rd, but it’s from the NW with a period of just 7 seconds. That’s pure wind chop. The energy is (436), but it’s ugly, messy, and strong cross-onshore. Honestly, with that much wind and that kind of short-period swell, Nesika Beach looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

The final week of August and into the 31st stays pretty bleak. The wind stays on the gas, and the swell is a mix of very long-period, small SW groundswell (18 seconds on the 24th!) but it’s all blown out. That kind of long period needs a clean, offshore wind to work its magic, and it’s not getting it here.

So, the bottom line: The whole 16-day window is a frustrating one. There’s only one, clear standout: Friday morning, the 21st of August. Set your alarm, because that’s the only time you’ll find clean, glassy 2 ft surf from a nice SW groundswell. The rest is a waiting game. The area is fairly consistent in terms of swell, so it won’t be poor forever, but this forecast is a lean one.

Keep your chin up, check the cams, and I’ll see you in the water on the 21st.

Rusty

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