Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for Nesika Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a rough stretch. We’re looking at a solid 7-day stretch of poor surf conditions starting now, through the 16th of July. It’s going to be a persistent northerly wind regime that’s just trashing any chance of clean waves. Don’t even think about paddling out for the next week unless you love a beating.

For Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th, the swell is small, around 2 ft to 4 ft, from the SW and WNW, but with a moderate to fresh onshore NW breeze, it’s going to be bumpy and uninviting. Combine that with weak to moderate wave energy (384 to 482), and it’s a hard pass.

Sunday the 12th through Tuesday the 14th, the wind goes a bit stronger from the NNW, with swell sizes struggling between 2 ft and 5 ft. The period drops to a short, weak 8 to 9 seconds on the 12th and 13th so the waves will lack any real punch and be fully wind-affected. The combined energy is still only moderate, peaking at around 717 on Sunday morning but with those onshore conditions, it’s all chop.

Then from Wednesday the 15th through Thursday the 16th, the wind really cranks up, going cross-onshore from the NNW at 19 to 25 mph. This is when the setup starts looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The swell is tiny on the 15th (1 ft to 2 ft) but with a very long period – 18 to 20 seconds – it’s a total tease with that wind. On the 16th, the swell jumps to a messy 5 ft, but it’s short period (8 seconds) and cross-onshore, so just a lumpy, blown-out mess. Energy is moderate on the 15th (423) and ramps up to moderate-strong on the 16th (575), but it’s absolutely useless for a clean surf.

Now, there might be a tiny glimmer on Friday, July 17th. The morning shows a 2 ft swell from the W with a long period of 17 seconds and a lighter NW breeze at 9 mph. It’s rating as marginal, and the energy jumps to 906 – that’s strong wave energy on the way. But it’s a long way off, so don’t get your hopes up too much yet. A long-period groundswell like that can be tricky on a beach break, breaking a bit too straight, so it’s a cautious maybe.

After that, from the 18th through the 25th, it’s back to the same old story. Consistent onshore or cross-onshore NNW winds, small to moderate swell around 2 ft to 5 ft, and mostly poor conditions. The wind will be a constant issue, and the waves will be messy. Forget about any standout days in that second week.

Honestly, this forecast is a bummer. Nesika Beach isn’t giving us anything clean to work with for a solid week and a half. The water temp is about average for this time of year, not that it matters if you can’t surf it. The only real hope is for that Friday the 17th, and even that is a long shot this far out.

Stay patient, check the charts closer to the day, and maybe bring a kite if the wind keeps up.

Rusty.

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