Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m looking at the run for our area. Honestly, it’s a bit of a tough stretch. We’ve got a small window of clean surf early on, but then the wind is going to be a problem for a lot of days. The good news is that the swell direction is mostly out of the southwest, which is what this break likes, and we’ve got a few windows where the wind is light or offshore. Let’s get into it.

The water is sitting at 58°F, which is about average for this time of year, nothing weird there.

Wednesday, August 26th afternoon – This is the gem of the whole forecast. Nesika Beach is looking good. Swell is a small 2ft out of the southwest, but it’s a long-period groundswell of 16 seconds. That’s quality. The wind is light from the SSW at 5 km/h, just a cross-off breeze, and the conditions are described as clean. Wave energy is weak (275), but the combination of that long period and clean wind means it’ll be fun on a log or a fish. This is the standout.

Thursday, August 27th – Thursday morning has onshore NW wind at 10 km/h, and the surf is already marginal. Afternoon turns worse with stronger NNW wind at 15 km/h. Skip it.

Friday, August 28th through Wednesday, September 3rd – This is a long stretch of poor to marginal surf. The wind is mostly onshore from the north-northwest, often moderate to fresh breeze (20-30 km/h). The swell stays small, around 2ft to 3ft, but the energy starts to creep up. On Sunday, August 30th, the swell picks up to 3ft, but the wind is howling at 25-30 km/h from the NNW, making it choppy and onshore. Not worth paddling out.

Tuesday, September 1st – Things shift a bit in the afternoon. The swell changes to 4ft from the northwest with a shorter period of 9 seconds, and the wind goes light out of the NW at 5 km/h. The energy is moderate (643). The forecast calls it marginal, but that lighter wind is a glimmer.

Wednesday, September 2nd afternoon – The wind drops to glassy out of the WSW at 5 km/h, and the swell is 3ft from the west-northwest. The period is short (9 seconds), so it won’t have much push, but glassy conditions are rare and worth noting. Energy is weak (196). It’s ordinary, but if you’re desperate, it’s surfable.

Thursday, September 3rd – The swell builds. Morning sees 5ft from the WNW with a period of 11 seconds and energy of 752 (moderate). Afternoon hits 7ft from the same direction, period still 11 seconds, and energy jumps to 1276 (strong). But the wind is onshore from the NW at 10 km/h both sessions. This is a big swell for the area, but the wind is going to chop it up. For experienced surfers, there might be something to find, but it won’t be clean.

Friday, September 4th through Sunday, September 6th – The wind stays onshore from the north-northwest, and the swell is a mix of short-period slop. Not good.

Monday, September 7th morning – Light cross-off wind from the WSW at 5 km/h, but the swell is small at 2ft from the southwest with a long period of 14 seconds. Energy is moderate (395). It’s another marginal call, but with light wind, you might get a few clean ones.

Tuesday, September 8th – The afternoon has a 1ft swell from the southwest with a very long period of 19 seconds, energy moderate (405). But the wind is onshore from the NW at 15 km/h. That period is insane, but without better wind, it’s a tease.

Wednesday, September 9th and Thursday, September 10th – The swell picks up again, with 6ft to 6ft from the WNW on Wednesday, but the wind is onshore and strong (15-25 km/h). Thursday has 5ft from the northwest, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy. Too windy for clean surf.

Alright, the best bet is Wednesday, August 26th afternoon. That’s the only real standout. After that, it’s a long wait for windows of lighter wind, and even then, the swell is small or the wind is wrong. If you’re a beginner, the 5ft+ days might be too much, and the 7ft day on September 3rd is for experts only, and not clean.

If you’re looking at some of those bigger, windier days, especially with that onshore wind and moderate energy, it’s more of a kiteboarder’s window than a clean paddle session.

Keep an eye on the forecasts, because this area can turn around. But right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty

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