Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next stretch. To be honest, it’s a bit of a tough watch out there at Nesika Beach. The models are showing us a whole lot of nothing good for the next 16 days. I’m not gonna sugarcoat it; the wave quality is looking poor right through the whole window, and that wind is just a constant problem. There’s no standout day, no hidden gem, just a whole lot of chop and lump.

We start now, and there’s a gap right away. The first real surf on offer isn’t until Sunday, August 2nd. So you’re looking at a couple of days of flatness or dribble. When it does show up, it’s not pretty. The swell jumps up a bit to about 6 feet, but it’s coming from the NW with a short period of 8 seconds. That, combined with a fresh cross-onshore wind at 19 mph, is just a mess. It’s what we’d call junky. The energy is moderate, coming in at 713, but it’s all that onshore wind blowing it apart.

The pattern just doesn’t let up. All through the first week, from that Sunday right through the following Saturday, it’s the same story. Cross-onshore winds, mostly fresh breezes, sometimes strong, with swell heights hovering anywhere from 4 feet up to 6 feet. The swell period stays short, around 8 to 9 seconds, which means it’s just lacking any real push or shape. This is not a time for the beginner crew. You’re looking at conditions that are well over 5 feet at times, and with that wind, it’s going to be a battle. Honestly, it’s looking more like a day for the kite surfers to have a play than for anyone wanting a clean paddle.

The middle of the week, say the 5th and 6th of August, sees the swell energy pick up a bit – hitting 871 on the Thursday morning – but the wind is still just killing it. It’s that classic case of plenty of water moving, but not a single decent wave to show for it.

Going into the second week, the wind stays on it, but things do start to drop in size. The swell backs off, but the period remains short and it’s still cross-onshore. There’s a bit more variety in the swell direction, swinging around to the SW with some longer periods – we see a 15-second period on the 12th and a 16-second period on the 13th. But even then, the wind is just wrecking it. It’s like getting a nice groundswell in the forecast but having it delivered in a blender. It’s still poor surf.

The energy through the whole run is mostly moderate, with those three-digit numbers, but it’s all just wasted. There are no big, clean lines. No real opportunities. The water temp at the start is around 57°, which is about normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only thing that’s normal. Everything else is out of whack.

So, here’s the deal. If you’re desperate, maybe, just maybe, you could find something on the 13th or 14th when the swell direction swings around to the southwest and the period gets long, but that wind... it’s still cross-on. It’s a long shot. This is one of those stretches where you might be better off waxing your board and staring at it, because the ocean isn't offering anything up. It’s a tough stretch, plain and simple.

Rusty.

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