Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about the next 16 days at Nesika Beach. It’s a grim stretch, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it. We’ve got a full 16-day window and almost every single session is a flat-out dud. There’s a long gap of poor conditions right from the start, with no real surf on offer until the very last day, and even that one is a big question mark.

We kick off Saturday, August 1st, with a tiny 2-foot SW swell, but a fresh NNW cross-onshore wind at 22 mph is just ruining it – lumpy, messy, and not worth a paddle. The water is sitting at 56°, which is about average for the time of year, so nothing weird there.

Moving through Sunday the 2nd into the week, we see a bit more size – 4 to 6 feet – but it’s all short-period NW windswell (8 seconds), and the wind is a constant cross-onshore, ranging from a moderate 19 mph up to a strong 25 mph. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th look the same: poor surf conditions, choppy, lumpy, and just plain ugly. Combined wave energy fluctuates between 284 and 587, which is weak to moderate, but the wind kills any chance of a clean wave.

Wednesday the 5th through to Monday the 10th offer no relief. The swell hangs around 3 to 6 feet, but it’s all cross-onshore wind, mostly fresh to strong breezes. The energy readings are moderate (191 to 491), but with that wind direction, every wave is blown out. The phrase “poor surf conditions” is repeated again and again. No crowd info is given, but with this quality, the beach should be empty.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th are still poor. On Wednesday afternoon, we get a weird blip: a 2-foot W swell with a very long 15-second period, but still a cross-onshore breeze. That long period groundswell would be better at a point or reef, but at a beach break like Nesika, it’ll just break too straight and be tricky. The energy is moderate (475), but it’s not enough to overcome the bad wind.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are the same story – fresh to strong cross-onshore winds, 2 to 4 feet, all poor. Saturday the 15th afternoon sees the swell bump to 6 feet with a strong 703 energy reading, but it’s another cross-onshore, fresh breeze. Unusable.

Now, the only glimmer comes on Sunday, August 16th. The morning session shows a 7-foot NNW swell with an 8-second period, and for the first time, the wind is listed as *offshore* from the NNW at 12 mph. The combined energy is a powerful 1225. The guidance says the break is exposed to NW swell and the optimum direction is NW, so this 7-foot NNW swell is a decent match. The wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” so it’s not a sure thing, but it’s the only option in the whole 16 days. The difficulty is intermediate, and with a 7-foot swell, it’s getting too big for beginners. The offshore wind should make it clean, but the short period (8 seconds) means it’s windswell, not groundswell, so it won’t have that deep, powerful push. Crowds are listed as “often,” so you’ll likely have company. The afternoon session drops to 6 feet with the same offshore wind, still decent.

The standout: Sunday, August 16th, morning. It’s the only day with a clean offshore wind and a solid 7-foot swell. It’s not perfect – the period is short and the tide might be a factor – but it’s the only show in town. If you’re desperate for a paddle, that’s your window.

Rusty.

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