Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s chew over what’s coming for Nesika Beach.

It’s a bit of a mixed bag of a forecast. The opening days have some real promise, but then it flatlines for a long time. The water is sitting at 54°, which is a whopping 4° colder than usual for this time of year – that’s a serious bite, so you’ll want a thick suit and booties. It’s gonna feel like winter snuck in early.

The action starts on Thursday morning, September 3rd, with a 6ft swell from the WNW at 10 seconds. It’s a bit lumpy with a cross-off breeze from the south at 9 mph, but the wave energy is moderate (900). The afternoon sees the swell push up to 7ft from the same direction, period stretching to 11 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 1231 – that’s a solid moderate push. But the wind swings to 12 mph from the south with rain showers, so it’ll be messy. This is not the one.

Now, Friday morning, September 4th, is the highlight. You’ve got a 6ft swell from the WNW, period a touch under 11 seconds, but the wind is a sweet offshore from the SSE at 9 mph. The energy is 973, and the conditions will be clean and lined up. This is the best on offer. The swell is big enough for a proper session but not too heavy for an intermediate, and that offshore wind will groom the faces beautifully. Get out there early.

Friday afternoon fades. The swell drops to 3ft, but the period jumps to 18 seconds – a proper long-period groundswell. The wind goes cross-off from the SSW at 9 mph, and it’s clean. The energy is 795. It’s surfable, but the size is small, and that long period will make it a bit straight at this beach break. Still, for a late session on a longboard, you could find a few.

Saturday, September 5th, through to Wednesday, September 9th, is a write-off. Onshore winds from the NW, dropping swell, and poor surf conditions. The energy dips below 100, and the wave heights are tiny. You’re looking at about four days of flat, messy nothing.

There’s a flicker of life on Thursday, September 10th, with a glassy afternoon and a 3ft swell from the SW at 17 seconds. The energy is 413, and it’s clean, but it’s small and inconsistent. It’s a marginal session for the keen.

The other standout is Friday, September 11th, in the afternoon. The swell pulses back up to 6ft from the SW at 13 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – dead calm. The combined energy is a strong 1265. This is a proper groundswell with good period, and it’s going to be clean and powerful. This one is for the experienced surfers, as that 6ft swell with that energy will be pushing hard. Mark it in your calendar.

After that, it’s a long, bleak stretch. From Saturday, September 12th, all the way through to Friday, September 18th, the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, often fresh to strong, and the swell is weak and jumbled. The energy is mostly in the 200-600 range, but the wind ruins everything. There are days of poor surf conditions with no redeeming qualities. The second week is a total loss, with lumpy, choppy, blown-out waves. For a solid week, you’re better off doing something else.

The bottom line: Your best bet is Friday morning, September 4th, for the best combo of size, clean offshore wind, and moderate energy. The second pick is Friday afternoon, September 11th, for the glassy, powerful swell, but that’s for the rippers. Everything else is a long wait.

Rusty, signing off.

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