Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Nesika Beach has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – it's a bit of a slow burn. We're looking at a few days of small, average surf before the weekend brings a proper window of clean waves. The water is running at 51°, which is a whopping 6° colder than usual for this time of year. That’s a seriously chilly anomaly, so a thick wetsuit is non-negotiable.

The first couple of days (Wednesday 22nd and Thursday 23rd July) are pretty marginal. The swell is small, mostly around 2 feet, coming from the NW and then SW with a long period of 14 seconds on Thursday – that groundswell energy is there, but the size just isn't. Winds are cross or cross-off, giving us "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" with weak energy levels (92 to 263). It’s not a complete blank, but it’s not worth paddling out for either.

Now, Friday afternoon (24th July) is where things start to look up. The combined swell energy jumps right up to a solid 777, and the forecast is for "very good surf conditions". The swell picks up to 2 feet from the SW with a very long period of 24 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, which will wrap in nicely. With a light cross-off breeze from the SSW, the waves should be clean. Keep in mind that a period this long tends to make beach breaks a bit too straight, but Nesika Beach being exposed to the NW should handle this SW groundswell decently. This is a standout session for the patient surfer.

Saturday (25th July) is the absolute pick of the entire forecast. Saturday afternoon is looking world-class for this spot. We’ve got a 3 foot SW swell, still with a long period of 21 seconds, and to top it off, the wind swings to a glassy W at 3 mph. That’s as good as it gets for conditions. The wave energy is pumping at 794. If you can only get in the water once, this is the session. Saturday morning is also very clean with a cross-off wind.

Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th see the swell hold around 3 feet from the SW with good energy levels (877-1040), but the wind turns onshore from the NW. The quality drops into "marginal" territory. The waves will be there, but the wind will chop them up. It’s still surfable, but it won’t be the silky smooth lines of Saturday.

From Tuesday the 28th of July onwards, it’s a downward slide. The wind stays onshore and actually starts to howl from the NNW, ramping up to 19-25 mph. The swell drops back to 3 feet, and by the end of the month and into August, we’re looking at a solid stretch of "poor surf conditions" with strong cross-onshore winds. The waves will be lumpy, messy, and not worth the drive. From the 31st of July right through to the 6th of August, the forecast is just a write-off for clean surfing. The swell energy stays moderate but the wind ruins it. At 6 feet on the 2nd of August with that wind, this is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

Summary: Your golden window is Friday afternoon (24th) through Saturday (25th). Saturday afternoon is the absolute gem with glassy conditions and a nice long-period SW groundswell. Friday afternoon is the next best choice. After that, the onshore winds take over and the quality fades fast into a long stretch of messy, blown-out conditions.

Stay warm, and see you out there for that glassy Saturday session.
Rusty

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