Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. I’ve looked over the next 16 days for Nesika Beach, and the news isn’t what any of us want to hear. We’re staring down a long stretch of mostly poor conditions, with a few flickers of hope right at the very end.

The overall pattern is dominated by a persistent onshore to cross-onshore wind from the north-northwest. This is going to keep the surf messy and lumpy for the vast majority of the period. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, but that’s about the only piece of good news on the environmental front.

The first sniff of something rideable doesn’t come until Wednesday, August 5th. The afternoon shows a 6 ft swell from the northwest with a 9-second period, and the wave comment says it’s "marginal". The combined energy is moderate (547), but the wind is still onshore, straight from the NW at 9 mph. It’s not good, but it’s the best we’ve got after a week of absolute fluff.

Then, on Friday, August 7th, the morning sees a bigger pulse of swell at 7 ft from the NW, with a period of 10 seconds and a combined energy that jumps right up to a very strong 1351. This is the biggest swell of the whole outlook. But, and it’s a big but, the wind is onshore at 16 mph from the NNW. This is going to be a powerful, messy, washing machine. At 7 ft, this is expert territory only, and with that wind, it’s going to be a battle.

After that, the winds get even worse through the second week, swinging hard to a strong cross-onshore, with 25 mph winds becoming the norm. The swell drops back down, and the whole setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. There’s a tiny lifeline right at the very end on Thursday, August 13th, and Friday, August 14th, where the swell switches back to a long-period 2 ft from the SW (16 seconds) but the wind is still cross-onshore and choppy. The energy is still moderate, but the period is long, which would be great for a point break or reef, but at a beach break like Nesika, it’s just going to be a slow, close-out wall.

The standouts? Well, there aren’t any true standouts. If you’re desperate, the Wednesday afternoon on August 5th is your best bet for a cleanish wave, but keep your expectations on the floor. The Friday morning on August 7th has the most power, but you’ll be fighting the wind the whole time. This is a tough run for Nesika Beach. It’s a dry spell, and while it’s fairly consistent in the sense that there’s always swell, the quality is just not there.

Rusty.

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