Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Nesika Beach.

Honestly, I’m looking at the next 16 days and it’s a tough stretch. The first week is pretty much a write-off, with a real lack of quality. The wind is mostly onshore from the north or northwest, and the swell is either too small or has a short period, so it’s mostly messy and blown out. We’re talking about a solid 7 days of poor surf conditions from the start. The first glimmer of anything worth paddling out for shows up on Friday the 17th. That morning, we get a light cross-shore breeze from the west-southwest at 6 mph, with a 2ft swell from the west at a long 17-second period. The combined energy is moderate (595). It’s a marginal call though, and the afternoon is similar with a light cross-onshore wind. Saturday the 18th is the same sort of story – light cross-onshore wind, small 2ft west swell with a long period, and moderate energy (519). It’s not great, but it’s the best we’ll see for a while.

After that, we go straight back into a poor run. From Sunday the 19th all the way through to Tuesday the 28th, it’s a long stretch of onshore and cross-onshore winds, mainly from the northwest, blowing 15 to 25 mph. The swell picks up a bit, with heights around 5ft to 6ft, but the wind is just ruining it. The period is short, mostly 8-9 seconds, so it’s just choppy, lumpy, and not worth the paddle out. The combined energy does get up into the moderate to strong range (values like 592, 530, 779) but it’s all for nothing with that wind. A couple of these days, like the 21st and 22nd, the swell is over 5ft, so it’s a bit big for the beginners anyway, but the real issue is the wind.

The standout here, if you can call it that, is the Friday 17th and Saturday 18th. The swell is small, but that long period (16-17 seconds) means there’s some shape and energy, and the light wind on the 17th morning is the cleanest we’ll see. The break is a beach setup, so with that long period swell, it might be a bit straight, but it’s better than nothing. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no need for a thick wetsuit.

So, bottom line: the first week is a write-off, then a couple of very marginal, small-window days, then another long stretch of wind-affected, poor surf. It’s one of those periods where you’re better off fixing your board or watching the forecast for something better to show up. It doesn’t tend to stay this poor for long, so keep your eyes peeled.

Rusty.

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