Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Nesika Beach has cooking for us. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a pretty grim stretch ahead. For the next week and a half, the wind and the conditions are just not cooperating. The water is sitting at a chilly 52°, which is 4° colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good thick suit.

Right from Tuesday the 7th, we’ve got a small 2ft swell from the southwest with a long 20-second period, but the northwest wind is blowing onshore at 12 mph, and the whole setup is just a mess. The combined swell energy is moderate at 705, but the report says it’s poor, and I agree. This pattern just keeps repeating. Through Wednesday the 8th, Thursday the 9th, and Friday the 10th, the wind stays cross-onshore or onshore from the north-northwest, with the swell bouncing between 2ft and 5ft. The period drops into the short range, down to 9 seconds, which means weak, chopped-out waves. The combined energy dips as low as 310, which is weak.

Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th see the swell bump up to 6ft and 5ft from the northwest, but it’s still plagued by north-northwest winds at 15-19 mph. On Sunday morning, the energy hits 1041, which is strong, but with cross-onshore winds, it’s just a lumpy, blown-out mess. Not worth paddling out. This continues all through the second week, with the same story: north-northwest winds, cross-onshore, and poor surf quality. The swell stays around 4ft to 6ft, but the periods are mostly short, under 10 seconds, and the winds never clean up.

Now, here’s the first real glimmer of hope. It comes late, but it’s something. On Saturday the 18th, the wind finally drops. In the morning we get a light west-northwest breeze at 3 mph and a 3ft west swell with a 16-second period. The combined energy is 678 – moderate. But the afternoon is the standout. The wind goes glassy, dead calm at 3 mph from the west-northwest, and the swell jumps to 6ft from the northwest with an 8-second period. The energy ramps up to 887. The report says it expects very good surf conditions. This is the only window in the whole 16 days that looks clean. That glassy wind at Nesika Beach is a treat, and we might get some fun, punchy waves.

Sunday the 19th keeps some energy, with a 5ft to 6ft northwest swell, but the wind swings back onshore at 6-9 mph, and the conditions are only marginal. After that, Monday the 20th through Wednesday the 22nd, it’s back to strong, messy cross-onshore winds and poor surf.

So, to be honest, there’s a big, ugly gap of poor surf from now until the 18th. If you’re desperate, hold out for that Saturday afternoon. It’s a long way off, so don’t bank on it, but if the glassy wind holds, that’s your best shot. Otherwise, it’s a blank run, and that’s just how this spot can be.

Stay patient,
Rusty

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