Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break this down in feet and degrees.

The start of this outlook is a bummer. Friday the 28th through the end of August is a total no-go. There’s a stiff NNW wind blowing straight onshore, tearing apart the small SW swell. Water temp is 57°, which is about 1° cooler than average—not a huge deal, but you’ll feel it if you’re out there for long. The wave energy is weak to moderate (291 on Friday morning), and the reports scream poor conditions. Don’t bother.

Saturday and Sunday the 29th and 30th don’t get much better. Swell stays around 2–3 ft from the SW on Sunday, with energy hitting moderate levels (677), but those cross-onshore winds keep it choppy and ugly.

Monday the 31st offers a tiny window—wind eases to a light breeze onshore, and there’s a marginal 3 ft SW swell. The energy is weak (326). You might get a few if you’re desperate, but it’s a long shot.

Tuesday the 1st of September is your first real chance. Morning brings light cross-offshore winds from the SW and a clean 3 ft swell from the WNW, period around 10 seconds. Wave energy is moderate (341). The conditions are clean, and the break is fairly consistent. Nesika Beach can get crowded “often,” so you might have company. The swell direction matches the optimum NW exposure, so it’s a solid call for intermediates.

Wednesday the 2nd sees the swell push to 5 ft out of the WNW in the afternoon, with a moderate period of 9 seconds and energy at 470. It’s a bit bigger, but it’s rated marginal, so don’t expect perfection.

The big highlight is Thursday the 3rd of September. A serious swell arrives: 7 ft from the WNW in the morning, building to 8 ft by afternoon, with a solid 12-second period. Wave energy jumps into the strong range (1715–2187). This is proper groundswell with plenty of power. The period is over 11 seconds but under 15, so it won’t be too straight for a beach break, but it’s going to be a heavy, consistent day. With size over 8 ft, this is expert territory only. Beginners, stay on the sand. The wind is light onshore (6–9 mph), so it should stay reasonably clean. This is the standout of the whole 16 days.

Friday the 4th drops to 6 ft from the W at 10 seconds, with strong energy (1086). Still a good option, but the onshore wind makes it a bit messier. Thursday is the day to circle.

Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th ease back to 3–3 ft from the SW, with great 15–16 second intervals. Saturday morning has offshore wind, giving you clean, tidy little waves. Perfect for a longboard.

From Monday the 7th to Wednesday the 9th, it’s back to small, choppy NW windswell with periods as low as 6 or 7 seconds. Winds are up, waves are messy, and energy is weak to moderate (165–419). Not a good stretch.

Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th see things improve. By Friday afternoon, the wind goes glassy—dead calm—with a 3 ft SW swell rolling in at a long 16 seconds. Energy is moderate (531). The report says “expect very good surf conditions.” That long period groundswell will offer clean lines, but at a beach break, it can be a bit straight and fat. Still, with glassy conditions, you’ll find some fun ones.

Saturday the 12th ends the forecast with 3–4 ft SW swell, cross-offshore winds, and moderate energy (450–566). A clean, solid finish.

Bottom line: Thursday the 3rd of September is your big day—8 ft WNW groundswell, powerful, for experts only. Friday the 11th of September afternoon is your go-to for a glassy, cruisy session on a long period swell. The first week is a slow burn, but it pays off if you’re patient.

– Rusty

Read more