Nesika Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Nesika Beach has got cookin’ for us. I gotta be straight with you – the first week and a half is a tough slog. We’re lookin’ at a lot of grovelly, wind-affected slop before any real hope shows up on the horizon.

The water is sittin' at 56°F right now, which is about 1°F cooler than normal for this time of year – nothing too wild, just a touch of autumn chill creepin’ in.

From Monday the 7th right through to the middle of the month, it’s a pretty bleak run. The wind is mostly cross-onshore or onshore, and the waves are small and weak. The combined energy barely gets into triple digits on some days, with a reading of 74 on Monday morning – that’s barely a ripple. The swell is a mix of short-period windswell and longer-period but tiny groundswell, but the wind just ruins the shape. The afternoon of Tuesday the 8th sees a bump to 4ft from the NW, but with a 7-second period and cross-onshore 16 mph winds, it’s just a choppy mess.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Saturday the 12th. The morning is a bit dicey with 3ft SW swell and rain showers, but the wind swings cross-offshore. By the afternoon, the wind turns light and cross-offshore, and the combined energy bumps up to 497. The setup is clean, and for a moment, the wave quality is considered “good”. It’s still small at 3ft, but if you’re desperate, that Saturday afternoon is the only window in the first week that’s worth paddling out.

Then we hit a second dry spell until the real standout appears. The best on offer by a long shot is Sunday the 20th. The morning looks clean with some clouds and light cross-offshore wind from the SSW, steering a 2ft SW swell. But the afternoon is where it’s at: the swell bumps to 2ft from the SW, the period stretches to 19 seconds – that’s proper groundswell – and the combined energy hits 654. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze, and the forecast says “very good surf conditions”. For Nesika Beach, this is your session. The long period means the waves will have some real shape and push, but it’s small enough that it won’t be too heavy. Just keep in mind that with long-period swell like this, it can sometimes break straight at a beach break, but with the clean wind, it’s worth the gamble.

There’s a heavy pulse forecast for Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd, with swell heights over 6ft and 7ft from the west, and combined energy readings over 1000, even hitting 1797 on Tuesday morning. But the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the quality is poor to marginal. For expert surfers only if you’re desperate, but for the average bloke, that’s a messy, blown-out situation.

So, to wrap it up: the first nine days are mostly a write-off. Saturday the 12th afternoon offers a tiny, clean wave for the dedicated. The real standout is Sunday the 20th afternoon – that’s your best bet for clean, long-period fun. Beyond that, the big swell at the end looks rough.

Rusty out.

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