Nahr Brahim Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window is a tough one. We’re looking at Nahr Brahim, a river mouth setup that rarely breaks, and for the whole run, it’s just not happening. The conditions are consistently poor, so there’s no real surf to get excited about.

Let’s walk through it. Starting Friday, 7 August, the swell is tiny, around 1ft to 2ft from the WNW and W, with a short, weak period of 5 to 6 seconds. The wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. The combined swell energy is weak, between 12 and 40, so there’s no power behind it. This flat, choppy pattern drags on through the weekend and into the next week.

By Monday, 10 August, the swell drops even lower, down to 1ft, with energy readings as low as 11. The wind stays cross-onshore, but it’s light, so the water’s only got small wind ripples. Still, there’s no wave to ride. Tuesday and Wednesday are more of the same – tiny swell, weak energy, and poor surf quality. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The gap in any decent surf stretches on for days. Thursday, 13 August, sees the swell bottom out at 0.7ft, with energy at just 5. It’s flat. Thursday afternoon a tiny 1ft bump from the north appears, but it’s choppy again. The whole first week is a write-off.

Heading into the second week, from 15 August onward, we see a slight lift. Saturday morning brings 2ft from the west, but the period is a weak 4 seconds, and the energy is still only 13. The wind is cross-onshore, so it’s not clean. Sunday, 16 August, has a similar 2ft in the morning, but the afternoon picks up to 3ft from the WSW, still with a short period and a moderate cross-onshore breeze making it choppy. Energy nudges up to 26, but it’s not enough.

The best chance, if you can call it that, comes on Monday, 17 August. The morning has 2ft, but the afternoon pushes to 4ft from the west, with a period of 7 seconds and energy hitting 150. That’s moderate energy, but the wind is still cross-onshore from the SW at 20 km/h, so it’s choppy. The break is a river mouth, so it’s inconsistent and rarely breaks anyway, which is a big caveat. Then Tuesday, 18 August, has 3ft to 4ft in the morning and afternoon, with energy up to 101, but the wind is stronger, 25 km/h from the SW, making it even choppier. The swell is from the west and WSW, but the optimum direction for this spot is WSW, so direction is okay, but the wind kills it.

After that, it fades again. Wednesday, 19 August, is 3ft to 3ft, with energy dropping to 60, and the wind stays strong and cross-onshore. By Thursday, 20 August, we’re back to 2ft and weak energy. The last few days, Friday to Saturday, 22 August, are flat with tiny 1ft to 2ft swells and onshore winds.

So, the honest truth: there’s nothing here to recommend. The entire 16-day window is a bust. Nahr Brahim rarely breaks, and when it does, the wind and swell quality are just poor. The combined wave energy is too low for any real ride, and the constant cross-onshore winds mean it’s always choppy. If you’re desperate, the 17th and 18th of August have the most size, but it’s still messy and inconsistent. This area is known for these blank runs, so it’s normal.

Stay hopeful – forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the board at home.

Rusty.

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