Nahr Brahim Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for our local stretch, and I gotta tell ya, it’s a flat spell. We’re talking a long, quiet period with hardly a wave worth paddling for.

The first chance of any surf shows up on Wednesday the 22nd of July, but it’s a real weakling. We’re looking at a tiny 0.6m swell from the west-southwest, with a short 5-second period. The combined energy is a measly 19 (weak energy), and the wind is a cross-onshore breeze at 15 km/h, so the surface is a choppy mess. It’s what we call "poor surf conditions" – not worth getting wet for.

Things stay pretty rough through the week. On Friday the 24th of July, the swell bumps up a bit, hitting 1.3m in the afternoon from the west-southwest, with the energy climbing to 104 (moderate wave energy). But the wind is cross-onshore and fresh at 30 km/h, making it lumpy and blown-out. The period is still short at 6 seconds, so the waves are weak and sectiony. Still poor.

Saturday the 25th of July brings the biggest swell of the whole stretch, with 1.4m from the west, an 8-second period, and energy hitting 245 (moderate wave energy). The wind is a moderate cross-onshore at 25 km/h, so it’s choppy but maybe a little more manageable. Even so, it’s still not clean. The wave comment says "poor surf conditions." For a beginner, 1.4m is pushing it, and with the chop, it’s not ideal.

From Sunday the 26th of July onward, the swell drops off again. The morning has only 0.8m from the west, but the wind turns onshore (west-southwest at 15 km/h), which is a slight improvement. The combined energy is 57 (weak energy). The afternoon gets a little longer period at 9 seconds from the west, with 99 (weak energy), but it’s still inconsistent. The rest of the month and into the first week of August is a long, flat gap. From Monday the 27th of July through to Wednesday the 5th of August, the swell is mostly below 0.6m, often with short periods of 4–7 seconds and weak energy (7–73). The wind is usually a light cross-onshore or onshore, so the water is flat or rippled. There’s a tiny pulse on the 31st of July with 1.0m from the west at 6 seconds, but the energy is still low at 76 and the waves are poor.

The break here is Nahr Brahim, a river mouth that rarely breaks. It’s a beginner spot that’s fairly exposed to the swell, but it’s inconsistent. With the predominant cross-onshore wind and the small, weak swell, this setup doesn’t look attractive for a paddle. To be honest, with the wind and the small, weak swell, it might be more interesting for a kite surfer than a traditional surfer.

There’s simply no standout session in the whole forecast. The best you could hope for is the Saturday afternoon (25th July) with 1.4m, but even then it’s just a mediocre, choppy wave. There are no glassy mornings, no clean offshore winds, no long-period groundswell to get excited about. It’s a long, blank run. For this area, that’s not unusual when the river mouth is inconsistent and the swell is lacking.

Keep your eyes peeled for changes in the forecast. For now, it’s a good time to fix your dings and wait.

Rusty

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