Nahr Brahim Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s your old mate Rusty here. I’ve had a good look at the charts for our local spot, and I’ve got to be straight with you – it’s a pretty grim run for the next 16 days. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing really worth paddling out for, so let’s get into it.

Right now, starting from Thursday the 10th, we’ve got tiny, weak swell at 0.7 ft from the west with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is a measly 8, which is pretty much flat. The water temp is sitting at 86°, which is a solid 5° warmer than usual for this time of year – feels like bathwater, but with no waves to enjoy it in. The wind is light and offshore, but it’s wasted on this dribble.

The situation doesn’t really improve. Through Friday and Saturday the 11th and 12th, we’re still looking at 1.0 ft swell with periods of 5-6 seconds and energy readings in the single digits. It’s poor surf conditions across the board. You’ll get a few glassy moments on the mornings, like Friday and Saturday morning, but the swell is so tiny it’s barely a ripple.

Sunday the 13th isn’t any better. A tiny 1 ft swell from the west-northwest with a 5-second period and energy of 9. The morning is glassy, but again, it’s just not enough to do anything with. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are the same story – small, short-period slop.

We finally see a bit of a bump around Wednesday the 16th, with swell hitting 3 ft from the west. The period is still short at 6 seconds, but the energy climbs to 44. Still, the conditions are poor, with cross-onshore winds adding some chop. This pattern of small, weak, wind-affected swell hangs around all the way through to the end of the month. The energy peaks on Thursday the 24th with a 3 ft west swell, an 8-9 second period, and energy hitting 123 – the highest we’ll see. But again, it’s wind-affected and still considered poor surf. The period is too short for any real quality.

The standout, if you can call it that, is the period around Thursday the 24th. The swell is 3 ft from the west, with a period of 9 seconds and moderate energy of 123. It’s the biggest swell of the whole run, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the break is a river mouth that rarely breaks anyway. It’s inconsistent, and with the short period, the waves will be weak and crumbly. Not worth a special trip.

To be honest, this is a blank run. There are no good surf options in this 16-day window. The consistent theme is tiny, weak swell with poor conditions. For a river break that rarely breaks, this kind of flat spell is pretty normal. Don’t bother checking the forecast for a while; it’s time to wax the longboard and wait for a better window. The combined swell energy is very weak, mostly in the single and double digits, until the 24th where it hits a moderate 123, but the quality just isn’t there.

Rusty.

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