Nahr Brahim Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you — this outlook is a tough one to write. Honestly, for the next 16 days at Nahr Brahim, there’s not a single good surf option on the cards. The finder keeps spitting out "poor surf conditions" for every session, so I’m not going to pretend otherwise.

The first recommendation doesn’t even kick in until the 5th of August, and even then it’s a no-go. We’re looking at a river break that rarely breaks anyway, and when it does, it’s tiny. Wednesday morning, the 5th, we’ve got a weak 1 ft swell from the west with a short period of 6 seconds, and the combined energy is a measly 11 — that’s barely a ripple. The wind is cross-on from the WSW at 6 mph, so it’s messy and small. The water temperature is a very warm 85°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year — over 4° above average, so you’ll be sweating in your wettie.

The whole week runs the same sad story. Thursday the 6th, same deal: 1 ft, cross-on, 11 energy. Friday the 7th, we get a tiny bump to 2 ft, but the wind picks up to 9 mph and it’s chop city. The combined energy climbs to just 18 — still weak. Saturday the 8th, 2 ft in the morning, 2 ft in the afternoon, but again cross-on wind and short period. The energy hits 31 in the arvo, but that’s still low.

Sunday the 9th is the best-looking lump of the whole run, and that’s saying something. Morning swell is 2 ft from the west, period 7 seconds, and the wind drops to a light breeze at 6 mph cross-on. The combined energy gets to 45 — still weak, but it’s the highest we’ll see. Still, the comment says poor surf conditions. It’s just not enough.

From Monday the 10th through to the 20th of August, the pattern holds. Swell hovers between 0.7 ft and 3 ft. The 14th of August (Friday) has a 3 ft swell from the WSW in the afternoon, but period is only 6 seconds and the wind is a moderate 12 mph cross-on — choppy and weak. Energy hits 65. That’s the biggest energy number, but it’s still moderate at best, and the conditions are poor.

There’s a gap of several days here with no real hope. The 15th to the 20th roll on with tiny swell, short periods, and mostly cross-on or onshore wind. The morning of the 20th has a light 3 mph onshore wind and 2 ft, but still no quality.

So here’s the bottom line: if you’re a kite surfer, there might be something to play with on the 14th when the wind is up and the swell reaches 3 ft, but for paddle surfing, this is a blank run. It’s not unusual for this area — Nahr Brahim rarely breaks and when it does, it’s not built for this kind of tiny, short-period, wind-affected stuff. Stay patient, check back later. The forecast can change, but right now, it’s a solid 16-day miss.

Rusty.

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