Surf Forecasts:
Mesa surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period, SSW swell with 201 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mesa this week:
The surf forecast for Mesa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mesa in the next 16 days are 0.6m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mesa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next 16 days at Mesa. Gotta be straight with you – this one’s a tough stretch.
The forecast shows a long, long wait for anything decent. The whole first week and a half is a write-off, with the models showing nothing but small, poor quality surf and persistent onshore or cross-onshore winds. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate at best, spending most of its time in the double digits (43 to 204) and the waves themselves are tiny, barely pushing 1.0 ft to 2 ft. Kite surfers might get a look, but for a paddle surfer, you’d be better off waxing your board at home.
The water at Mesa is running much warmer than normal for this time of year, about 7°F warmer than average, which is very unusual. It’s a nice thought for a swim, but the surf just isn’t there.
We finally get a tiny glimmer on Wednesday the 19th of August. The morning shows a glassy surface with hardly a breath of wind, and the swell ticks up just enough to be called “surfable.” The waves are still only 1.0 ft from the SSW, but with a period of 16 seconds, there’s a little bit of groundswell energy. The combined energy is still weak (115), but for a brief moment, it might be clean enough for a longboard to catch a few. It’s the only real standout in the whole run, and even then, it’s a very small window.
Thursday morning the 20th, the wind shifts back to cross-onshore and the energy drops again, so that Wednesday morning window is your one and only shot in this 16-day outlook. Expect a lot of empty beach days before that.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 20°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sat afternoon, min 22°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 18 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 32 | 32 | 51 | 27 | 40 | 63 | 146 | 145 | 174 | 174 | 147 | 201 | 125 | 121 | 120 | 105 | 60 | 68 | 55 | 80 | 121 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-off | cross-on | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 3:12PM1.62m | 5:11AM0.85m | 4:14PM1.70m | 7:19AM0.92m | 5:23PM1.80m | 8:21AM1.02m | 6:27PM1.92m | 9:00AM1.12m | 7:25PM2.03m | 9:35AM1.21m | 8:19PM2.11m | 10:09AM1.29m | 9:08PM2.12m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:59PM0.36m | 8:41AM0.75m | 00:22AM0.16m | 10:06AM0.86m | 1:24AM-0.04m | 11:45AM0.88m | 2:14AM-0.21m | 1:01PM0.82m | 2:58AM-0.32m | 2:01PM0.72m | 3:39AM-0.38m | 2:55PM0.62m | 4:18AM-0.37m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:51 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 23 | 26 | 28 | 22 |
Feels °C | 23 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | SW 14 | W 4 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 4 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 18 |
| kJ | 9 | 32 | 14 | 27 | 27 | 6 | 146 | 145 | 174 | 174 | 147 | 201 | 125 | 121 | 120 | 105 | 59 | 68 | 55 | 80 | 121 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | S 12 | SW 14 | W 4 | W 5 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 4 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 11 | W 5 | WNW 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 6 | WNW 8 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 32 | 12 | 51 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 44 | 42 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | W 4 | W 4 | SW 13 | W 4 | S 9 | SSW 12 | WNW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SSW 12 | W 6 |
| kJ | 5 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 63 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 39 | 60 | 59 | 33 | 28 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | W 6 | W 4 | — | — | — | — | SW 9 | W 4 | — | W 4 | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | — | 21 | 7 | — | 1 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 65 | 272 | 13 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 181 | 11 | 1 | 139 | 11 | 1 | 132 | 53 | 1 | 64 | 1 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Mesa surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Mesa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mesa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mesa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mesa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mesa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mesa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mesa is 5 km (3 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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