Surf Forecasts:
Melnrage surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period, W swell with 419 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Melnrage this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Melnrage in the next 16 days are 2.0m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Melnrage over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be honest with you right off the bat: the next 16 days at Melnrage are a total write-off. I’m looking at the board and there’s just nothing to get excited about. The forecast is a long, flat stretch of poor surf conditions, with only a couple of fleeting moments that might get your heart rate up, but they’re not worth paddling out for.
The trouble starts now and runs deep. We’ve got a whole lot of nothing happening. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the wave energy is in the gutter. The first real bump in the road comes on Friday the 7th of August, with a 6ft swell from the W, but it’s a total mess. The wind is howling at 25 mph, cross-onshore, and the combined energy hits 319 (moderate), but it’s just a stormy, blown-out wall of water. This is not a surf day; it’s a kite-surf day if anything. The swell drops a bit on Saturday the 8th (4ft to 5ft, W), but the wind is still howling onshore at 19 mph, so forget clean waves.
We get a slight reprieve on Tuesday the 11th of August. The afternoon shows a tiny 4ft NW swell with a period of only 4 seconds (short, weak windswell), but the wind goes light and offshore from the ESE at 6 mph. The combined energy is a pathetic 44 (weak). It’ll be clean as a whistle, but you’ll be scratching for knee-high lumps. A beginner might get a few wobbles, but it’s inconsistent and just not worth the effort.
Honestly, the rest of the run is a desert. There are multiple days with zero swell or barely a ripple. We see a glassy afternoon on Thursday the 13th of August, but with no swell at all. The next real pulse shows up on Sunday the 16th of August, with a 5ft W swell at 6 seconds (average period), but the wind is onshore at 12 mph. The energy is 182 (moderate), but the onshore wind will shred it. It’s a frustrating pattern. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing special.
So, what’s the call? There are no standouts. The best you could say is Tuesday the 11th of August afternoon, when the wind goes offshore, but it’s just a tiny, weak wave. For a spot that’s inconsistent and exposed to NW swell, we’re just not getting the right push. It’s a blank run, plain and simple. Keep the board waxed and wait for the next storm track to line up. Forecasts change, and it won’t be this poor forever.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 23°C on Wed night, min 16°C on Fri afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Wed night, strong winds from the W by Fri morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 17°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sat night, light winds from the SE by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | WNW 4 | W 5 | W 5 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | WNW 5 | SW 5 | SW 5 | W 5 | W 5 | NW 4 | NNW 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 5 | 13 | 90 | 319 | 418 | 254 | 150 | 148 | 143 | 91 | 38 | 7 | 41 | 58 | 20 | 12 | 44 | 47 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:56AM0.03m | 5:27AM0.03m | 6:27AM0.03m | 1:41AM0.03m | 8:08AM0.03m | 1:38AM0.03m | 9:41AM0.03m | 1:54AM0.03m | 10:56AM0.03m | 2:10AM0.03m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 1:49PM0.01m | 3:07PM0.00m | 4:13PM0.00m | 4:08AM0.03m | 5:08PM-0.00m | 5:32AM0.03m | 5:53PM-0.00m | 6:17AM0.02m | 6:36PM-0.00m | ||||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | 9:34 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:21 |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 24 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 4 | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | W 5 | W 5 | — | NNW 6 |
| kJ | — | 5 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | 20 | 12 | — | 47 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 6 | — | W 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | — | — | W 5 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | S 3 | SW 5 | SW 5 | — | — | NW 4 | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | 90 | 319 | 418 | 254 | 150 | 148 | 143 | 91 | 38 | 7 | 41 | 58 | — | — | 44 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1425 | 1777 | 1369 | 763 | 701 | 1303 | 918 | 1124 | 1722 | 787 | 1324 | 992 | 1482 | 1481 | 1459 | 787 | 1418 | 1500 | 809 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baltic | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Lithuania | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Melnrage Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Melnrage provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Melnrage can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Melnrage surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Melnrage) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Melnrage may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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