Maeda Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Maeda Point has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Well, I gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is looking pretty bleak. We’re staring down a long, flat spell. From now until about the 9th of September, the surf is tiny, with wave heights barely scraping 2ft. The energy is weak, with values sinking as low as 1 (combined energy). The wind is blowing offshore or cross-off most of the time, which would be great if there was any swell to work with, but there just isn't. Water temps are sitting right around average for the time of year at 83°F.

The real story starts to change around the 10th of September. The combined energy jumps up noticeably, hitting 453 (moderate energy) on the Thursday morning. The swell starts to build, coming from the ENE at 3ft with a 13-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’s a little longer period, which usually means better shape. The wind is still cross-off from the ENE, keeping things clean. It’s still not a huge swell, but it’s the first sign of life in a long time and offers the best opportunity for a surf.

Then we get a bit of a spike on the 11th of September. The swell pushes up to 4ft from the north, but here’s the kicker: the wind swings around to the north and goes cross-shore. That’s going to chop it up and make it lumpy. The period is also shorter at 9 seconds, which is more of a windswell. It’s got more energy, sure, but the quality goes out the window. At 4ft, it's still a manageable size for most, but the onshore wind will make it a messy paddle.

For the final few days of the forecast, from the 12th, the wind goes onshore from the NNW and NW, blowing hard. The swell drops off again, and the energy fades. It just looks like a mess of wind and small, weak waves.

The Pick: If you're dying for a paddle, your best bet is the 10th of September (Thursday) . The break is Maeda Point. The swell is a small 3ft from the ENE, but it's got a nice 13-second period on it, so the waves will have a bit of push. The wind is cross-off from the ENE, which will keep the surface clean. The energy is moderate (453), so it’s the most surfable window in the whole outlook. The crowds are always a possibility here, so expect some company. It’s not a standout by any means, but it’s the only game in town.

Rusty.

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