Kugenuma Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Kugenuma Rivermouth.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but it’s the first real pulse of the forecast period. Thursday morning, 6th August is the pick of the whole two weeks, so don’t sleep on it. We’re looking at a solid 6 ft swell from the SSE, with a 13-second period. That’s a proper groundswell with some real push behind it—the combined energy is right up there at 1131 (moderate wave energy). The wind is a cross-off from the NE at 9 mph, keeping things clean. It’s a river mouth break, so it’s exposed and handles that S direction well. The water is sitting at 82°, a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The swell is 6 ft, so it’s a bit meaty for beginners, but it’s not a beast. Crowds are often here, so expect company. That Thursday morning is the standout.

After that, the surf drops away fast. That 6 ft swell drops to 5 ft on Friday morning, but the wind swings cross-on from the SSE, so it’s messy. The combined energy drops to 974 (moderate). By Friday afternoon it’s onshore and rubbish. The weekend gets smaller and weaker, and by Sunday the swell is down to 2 ft, with poor conditions. From Monday 10th August through to the end of the first week, we’re in the doldrums. Swell heights hover around 2 ft to 1 ft, with combined energy values dropping to two digits (weak wave energy). There are occasional offshore or cross-off winds, but the waves are tiny and ordinary. Even the Wednesday 12th has a bit of a cross-off, but the swell is only 2 ft. It’s a real flat spell.

The second week doesn’t offer much hope either. From 13th to 17th August, it’s mostly 1.0 ft to 1 ft swell, with a few days of clean offshore winds, but the energy is just too low. The combined energy is often under 50 (weak wave energy). There’s a little bump on the 18th, with a 1 ft swell from the SE, period 12 seconds, and a clean cross-off, but it’s still tiny. By the 19th and 20th, the swell tries to pick up to 2 ft, with a 15-second period on the 19th morning—very long period, but only 1.0 ft of height. That’s a lot of period with no power. The 20th Thursday afternoon has a gentle offshore from the NE, and the swell is 2 ft from the S with a 12-second period, combined energy 93 (weak). It’s surfable but very ordinary. The 21st Friday has a similar story: 2 ft from the S, 12-second period, light cross-off wind, and energy of 111 (weak). It’s the best of a bad bunch in the second week, but it’s still a long way off and not exactly firing.

Honestly, if you’re keen, get out there Thursday morning 6th August. After that, it’s a long wait for anything worth paddling for. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of this period.

Rusty.

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