Ketewel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, but this time in feet and knots for you.

So, Ketewel is looking like a bit of a quiet stretch for the next couple of weeks. For a spot that’s known to be inconsistent, this run is especially quiet. We’ve got a solid 16 days of the forecast period to look at, but for the first week, from July 6th through to July 12th, there’s just no good surf to be had. The conditions are plagued by persistent cross-onshore winds, mostly from the ESE to SE, blowing at 9 to 15 knots. That’s keeping the surface choppy and messy, and the wave quality is rated as "poor" every single session. The swell is there, and it’s mostly a long-period SSW groundswell, but the wind is just destroying any chance of a decent wave. The swell energy through this first week ranges from moderate to strong, with readings from 429 to 1991, but it’s all for nothing with that wind.

You’ll need to wait until July 13th before things even start to look a little bit interesting. Even then, it’s marginal stuff. On Monday the 13th, the afternoon shows a 6ft SSW swell with a very long 19-second period, pushing the energy up to 2274. That’s a lot of power, but the cross-onshore breeze is still there, so it’s still fairly choppy. The real potential starts to peek through towards the end of the run.

The standout window is the weekend of July 18th and 19th. On Saturday the 18th, the morning kicks off with a 5ft SSW swell at 17 seconds, a solid moderate energy reading of 1670, and the wind drops right back to a light 6 knots from the SE. That’s a light cross-onshore, but it’s manageable. Then, in the afternoon, the wind actually swings around to the SSE at that same light breeze, which is technically "on" wind for Ketewel, meaning it’s offshore! That cleans things up massively. The 6ft SSW swell at 16 seconds is still plenty powerful (1571). This is the best we’ll see.

Then Sunday the 19th keeps that promise going. With a light 6-knot wind from the SSW, it’s a light cross-onshore both sessions, giving you a clean surface on top of a 5-6ft SSW swell with a 15-second period. Look, this is a reef break for advanced surfers, and it’s inconsistent and tends to get crowded when it’s good. But for this whole forecast, Saturday the 18th afternoon is the clear winner. It’s not perfect, and it’s promising but not a guarantee, but that’s your window. After that, it fades back into marginal stuff.

Stay patient. Rusty.

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