Ketewel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – the outlook for our little corner here is a bit of a mixed bag. The first week and a half is looking pretty average, with a lot of onshore wind messing things up. The swell is there, but the conditions just aren't playing ball. We're looking at a long stretch of days where it's just not worth paddling out. There's a lot of "poor surf conditions" in the forecast, so don't be in a rush to wax up just yet.

The real standout, and the only time I'd really get excited, is around Tuesday the 14th into Wednesday the 15th. We get a solid bump in swell energy, with the combined energy hitting a strong 2194 and 2485. That's a proper SSW groundswell pushing through 6 ft to 7 ft, with a long period of 17 to 18 seconds. That's the kind of energy that gets the reef at Ketewel working. But here's the kicker – the wind is stubbornly cross-onshore from the SE. It's a light breeze, but it's still going to chop things up. The forecast calls it "marginal," and I'd have to agree. It's the best we've got, but it's not the clean, glassy perfection we dream of.

After that, the swell hangs around for a bit, but the wind stays a problem. We get another pulse of energy around the 20th and 21st, with the swell hitting 7 ft, but it's paired with a moderate cross-onshore breeze and even some rain showers. That's a lot of power for a spot that's "inconsistent" and best for advanced surfers. At 7 ft, this is expert-only territory, and with the chop, it's going to be a battle.

For the last few days of the month, from the 24th to the 26th, there's another dose of long-period SSW swell, but it's the same story – cross-onshore wind and a risk of thunderstorms. It's a shame, because the energy is there, but the wind just won't cooperate.

So, to wrap it up: if you're desperate for a paddle, Tuesday the 14th is your best bet, but keep your expectations in check. The rest of the window is a write-off for clean, quality waves. The water temp is sitting at a warm 82°, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least you won't be cold while you're getting frustrated.

Rusty.

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