Ketewel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down for Ketewel in feet and knots.

The outlook’s a bummer, folks. We’ve got plenty of swell rolling in from the SSW throughout the next couple of weeks, with periods running from 14 seconds up to 21 seconds – that’s real groundswell energy. The combined energy figures are through the roof, hitting four-digit numbers like 1828 on Wednesday afternoon and even climbing over 2800 by Monday of the second week. But that’s all wasted because the wind is a brutal cross-onshore from the SE or ESE, blowing 12 to 16 mph. It’s just tearing the surface up.

Starting Wednesday afternoon, July 8th, through the whole first week, it’s poor surf every session. The swell’s running 5 to 6 feet, but that wind has it chopped to bits. The water’s at 82°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothin’ special there.

Into the second week, and it’s more of the same. Monday morning, July 13th, we get a super long-period 21-second swell at 2 feet – the energy’s still strong at 1204, but it’s tiny and the wind is still there. Saturday morning, July 18th and Sunday morning, July 19th are the only times the score nudges up to a 1 or 2. That Sunday morning is actually your best chance: a light offshore wind from the south, swell at 4 feet from the SSW with a 14-second period and an energy of 1173. It’s marginal, but at least it’s clean. Ketewel is an inconsistent, sheltered reef, so it’s never a sure thing.

By Monday, July 20th, the swell ramps up big – 7 to 8 feet from the SSW with periods of 16 to 17 seconds. The energy readings are massive, hitting 2651 and 2816. But that’s overhead and a half, solidly in expert territory, and still with that moderate cross-onshore wind. That long-period groundswell on a reef might have some shape, but with the wind on it, it’ll be a bumpy, dangerous mess. If you’re into kite surfing, that setup probably looks fun, but for a paddle boarder? Not so much.

No true standouts in this whole 16-day window. If you’ve got to paddle, keep an eye on that Sunday morning, July 19th – it’s the only clean look we get. But with an inconsistent break, don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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