Ketewel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here again, this time in feet and miles per hour. Lookin’ at Ketewel for the next 16 days, and I gotta say, it’s a rough outlook. There’s no standout session in the whole forecast period. The wind’s gonna be a persistent cross-onshore mess, and the swell angle is just off for this sheltered reef.

Starting Saturday, 12 September, the combined swell energy is already strong at 1475, but the wind is blowing 9 mph from the SE – cross-on – and the waves are labeled “poor”. That sets the tone. Swell heights run from about 5 ft to 7 ft, all from the SSW, with periods between 14 and 18 seconds, so there’s some long-period groundswell in there, but it’s all chopped up by the wind. Even on the 20th of September, when the swell hits 7 ft and the energy is over 2200, the wind’s still cross-on or onshore. Just “marginal” at best.

Late in the run, on Saturday 26 September afternoon, the swell drops to 3 ft but the period jumps to a very long 19 seconds – real clean groundswell energy (907) – but the wind switches onshore, and it’s “poor”. No dice.

Into the second week, from the 20th onward, nothing changes. Swell stays 5 ft to 7 ft from the SSW, wind hangs in from the SE or ESE at 6 to 9 mph. The energy stays moderate to strong (1400 to 2000), but that cross-on flow ruins it. The 23rd of September morning shows 6 ft with energy at 2054, but again, cross-on.

The water temp is a comfy 80°, about average for the time of year. But for a surfer, the whole 16 days is a wash. The wind and swell angle just don’t line up for this spot. If you’re into kiting, the steady cross-onshore breeze and solid wave heights might be fun, but for paddle surfing, it’s a blank stretch. That’s normal for this area sometimes.

Keep an eye on it, forecasts can turn.

Rusty.

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