Ketewel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on offer over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a rough stretch ahead for Ketewel. The entire 16-day window is a bit of a grind with no real windows of clean, quality surf. The wind is a major problem – it’s almost constantly blowing from the ESE or SE, keeping things cross-onshore and choppy. For a break that’s described as inconsistent and sheltered, this setup is a tough one. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The forecast kicks off on Tuesday, 14th July, but there’s nothing to get excited about. We’ve got a solid groundswell from the SSW pushing through with a long period of 17 seconds and a combined energy of 2589 – that’s a lot of power in the water. But with 12 mph cross-onshore winds, it’s just messy. The swell is coming in at 6 ft, which is a decent size, but the conditions are choppy and marginal. That same pattern of a big, powerful SSW swell (6 ft, 18 seconds) continues into the afternoon, but the wind is still cross-onshore, so it’s going to be a fight.

Wednesday through to the end of the month is pretty much a washout. The swell drops off and the wind stays stubbornly onshore or cross-onshore. The waves are mostly in the 3 ft to 4 ft range, but the gutless energy and constant chop mean there’s nothing worth paddling out for. The one thing that stands out – and it’s not a positive – is the consistency of the poor conditions. The forecast is showing scores of 0 across the board for most of this period.

There is a small pulse of energy around Monday, 20th July, with a 7 ft SSW swell and a period of 17 seconds – that’s moderate energy at 2313. But again, the wind ruins it. It’s a classic case of a solid swell getting shredded by the wrong wind direction. The best you could hope for is a choppy, bumpy ride.

The last few days of the outlook, from the 25th onwards, see the swell drop off significantly. You’re looking at waves around 2 ft to 3 ft with a weird, long-period SSW/SW pulse that’s inconsistent. For a spot like Ketewel, which is a reef break that rarely fires, this is a proper blank run.

Bottom line: there’s no standout session here. The wind is the enemy, and the swell window is poorly aligned. If you’re a kite surfer, the consistent cross-onshore wind and moderate swell might actually look interesting, but for paddle surfing, it’s a pass. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is a tough period for Ketewel.

Rusty.

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