Ixtapa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. The long-range picture for Ixtapa shows we've got a slow start, but there's some real potential hiding in the mornings if you play it right. Right now, it's looking like the afternoons are mostly going to be a write-off with onshore breezes and messy conditions, so your best bet is to get up early and catch the glass.

For the first couple of days, Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th, the surf is pretty underwhelming. We're looking at small, weak swell around 2ft to 3ft, and the energy is nothing to write home about. The water is 89° with the anomaly being much warmer than normal, so it feels like a bath out there. Saturday afternoon is a no-go, but Sunday morning has that glassy wind and a bit of a pulse, but it's still small. It's more of a longboard or a foamie kind of session if you're desperate.

Now, here's where it starts to get interesting. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th, the mornings are looking clean with light offshore or glassy conditions. The swell bumps up slightly to 3ft to 4ft, and the period stretches out to 17-18 seconds. That's some proper groundswell, and it's going to make the waves feel a lot more solid than the size suggests. The energy is climbing into the moderate range, around 572 to 897. This is where you want to be out there on the points and reefs, because that long period stuff can get a bit straight at the beach break. Tuesday morning is a standout for the early part of the week.

The middle stretch, from Wednesday the 16th through Friday the 18th, keeps the morning windows decent. Swell holds around 4ft to 4ft with a period that drops back to 14-16 seconds. It's still surfable, and the mornings are consistently glassy. The afternoons remain pretty average with cross-onshore winds, so stick to the dawn patrol. This isn't world-class, but it’s consistent.

Then we get to the good stuff. Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st are the highlights of this whole forecast. On the 20th, you've got a clean 4ft southwest swell with a 19-second period, and light cross-offshore winds. The energy jumps to 1069, which is a solid jump. This is looking like the pick of the week. Then Monday the 21st rolls in with 4ft of southwest swell, 17-second period, and glassy conditions in the morning. Energy is even higher at 1139. The winds are light and variable, and it should be all-time for the area. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

After that, the energy starts to fade a bit as we get into the following week. The mornings from the 23rd to the 25th still have some clean windows, but the swell drops back to around 4ft, and the period shortens to 13-15 seconds. It's still fun, but the power is waning. The last couple of days, the 26th and the 27th, see the swell dip down to 2ft to 3ft, though the period recovers to 17-19 seconds on the 26th afternoon and 27th. It’s small but clean in the mornings, so a longboard will be your friend to finish out the run.

Overall, the standout is definitely the Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st mornings. Get on it early. The crowds aren't always a problem, but I'd expect some company if the waves are as good as they look.

Rusty

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