Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 11s period, SSW swell with 4,844 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a bit of a wild stretch ahead at El Muelle, and honestly, the first week is pretty grim if you’re chasing anything decent. There’s a patch of poor surf and onshore junk that’ll have you checking your gear for cobwebs. The first real window doesn’t open up until the 24th, so don’t get too fired up for the early days.
The outlook kicks off on the 15th, but to be honest, it’s a write-off. Light rain and a moderate cross-shore breeze with a cross-chop on a tiny 3ft SSE swell. It’s weak, messy, and the energy is right down at 166. Don’t bother. The next day and a half stays locked in the doldrums. There’s a bit more size on Sunday the 16th (around 5ft ENE), but that cross-off wind is the only good thing about it. The swell is weak. By the afternoon, it’s all over the place. Monday and Tuesday follow the same sad pattern: fresh breezes, cross-onshore, lumpy conditions. You’ll be battling a solid chop for nothing. The water’s sitting at 50°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but with that kind of surf, you’ll still be shivering.
Late on Wednesday the 19th, the wind drops to glassy and we get a tiny 2ft ENE pulse. It’s surfable, but only just. The energy is basically nothing (102). Thursday’s swell drops even more, down to 1ft. It’s clean offshore, but there’s not enough juice to push you over the foam ball.
Then things get seriously out of hand. On Friday the 21st, a big SSW swell arrives, absolutely jacking the wave heights to 12ft, with a strong cross-off breeze. On paper it looks like a washing machine, but the commentary says the wind and tide are favorable—unfortunately, it’s just too big for the break. Same story for Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd. We’re looking at a solid 15ft swell from the SSW with massive energy readings (4000+ to 6000+). This is way out of anyone’s comfort zone here. Forget paddle surfing; this is kite territory or just a full-on spectator event. It’s way over 8ft, so leave it to the experts, and even they’ll be scratching their heads. The period is building from 8 to 14 seconds, which is long and powerful, but it’s just too much movement.
Now, the standout. Monday the 24th, early morning, is your window. We’ve got a clean 8ft S swell with a 12-second period, cross-off wind, and light breeze. The energy is still very strong at 1857, but it’s manageable. For experienced surfers, this is the best of the whole run. Big, clean lines, proper groundswell, and a friendly offshore. You need to be on it early. The afternoon on the 24th gets a bit questionable with an onshore wind. The 25th is still a good option with 5ft from the S and light cross-off winds, but the swell starts to ease.
The second week mixes it up. The 26th is cut short by a fresh ENE cross-shore that chops it all up. The 27th is small and weak. The 28th brings in some wind and a messy 5ft ENE swell, which gets chopped again. Then on the 29th, things look promising once more: a 5ft E swell, clean, light cross-off breeze, and it’s firing. A bit less size on the 30th, but it’s still rideable, and you’ll have the place to yourself if you’re an early bird.
So, if you’re locking in a date, it’s the 24th. Big, clean, and perfect for a confident surfer. The 29th is a solid backup for a long weekend. Just don’t sleep on it, because the first week is a total loss.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun afternoon, min 6°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the SSW by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SW 6 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
82 | 127 | 203 | 349 | 294 | 211 | 177 | 163 | 121 | 107 | 68 | 48 | 47 | 46 | 32 | 31 | 348 | 1194 | 1884 | 3289 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:11PM1.46m | 9:44AM1.15m | 10:01PM1.37m | 10:27AM1.19m | 10:52PM1.26m | 11:10AM1.21m | 11:42PM1.15m | 11:52AM1.21m | 00:34AM1.04m | 12:35PM1.19m | 1:29AM0.95m | 1:20PM1.16m | 2:29AM0.89m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:31PM0.28m | 4:27AM0.12m | 4:25PM0.24m | 5:07AM0.20m | 5:16PM0.23m | 5:43AM0.29m | 6:05PM0.23m | 6:17AM0.38m | 6:54PM0.25m | 6:50AM0.46m | 7:42PM0.28m | 7:22AM0.53m | 8:34PM0.31m | |||||||
— | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | |
mm | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Feels °C | 6 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 5 | -2 | -2 | -1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | SW 6 | SW 6 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 8 |
82 | 42 | 203 | 349 | 294 | 211 | 177 | 163 | 121 | 77 | 68 | 30 | 30 | 46 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 3 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 9 | — | — | S 8 | ENE 10 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SW 6 | SSE 7 | NE 4 | SE 12 | — | — | — |
5 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 107 | 30 | 48 | 47 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 8 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | SE 7 | — | — | — | S 8 | SSE 7 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 12 | SE 7 | — | — | — | — |
— | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | ENE 6 | — | — | SW 3 | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | — | — | WNW 3 | — | NNW 3 | WNW 4 | W 5 | SW 6 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 11 |
79 | 127 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 107 | 153 | 102 | — | — | 6 | — | 3 | 17 | 19 | 348 | 1194 | 1884 | 3289 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 79 | 79 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 109 | 1143 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 531 | 1153 | 221 | 221 | 157 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.











