Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period, E swell with 453 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about El Muelle – it’s a real rollercoaster of a forecast, with one big payoff for the brave at the end of the run. The water’s about 52°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus for the early sessions.
We kick off Saturday morning, July 11th, with a weak 4ft east swell, but it’s cross-on with a moderate breeze and only moderate energy (474). The waves are just poor, so don’t waste your time. That theme carries through Sunday and Monday – the surf is tiny, mostly under 3ft, and winds are messy. Monday morning, July 13th, sees a clean window with a 3ft ESE swell, but it’s really marginal.
Tuesday, July 14th, gets a bit cleaner with offshore winds from the NNW, but the swell is still small – 3ft at best – and the energy drops off (165). It’s surfable but ordinary. The rest of that week remains flat and clean but tiny, with nothing over 2ft until Thursday afternoon, July 16th. That’s a glimmer of hope: a 2ft east swell with a 12-second period and a light northerly breeze. The energy climbs to 239, and it’s clean. Small, but the best of a pretty average run.
The weekend of July 18th and 19th is a write-off. Saturday afternoon sees a 5ft ENE swell but with a short, weak 6-second period, so it’s messy. Sunday gets hammered by a 22 mph cross-wind, so it’s lumpy. Then Monday morning, July 20th, is a tease – glassy, 3ft ENE swell with a 9-second period, and moderate energy (222). That’s a fun little window.
Now, the big news. Tuesday, July 21st, the swell kicks up, but it’s not clean. By Wednesday, July 22nd, we’ve got a massive 13ft to 15ft SSW swell, but the report says it’s too big for this break, and the winds are cross-onshore. That’s kite territory. Thursday, July 23rd, is the real gem. The swell drops to 10ft from the south, but the magic is Thursday afternoon: glassy, 8ft SSE swell with a 12-second period, and the energy is very strong (2015). This is excellent for experienced surfers only – big, clean, and powerful.
Friday, July 24th, morning holds a 5ft SSE swell with clean offshore winds, so it’s a good follow-up session. The weekend after that drops back to smaller, cleaner conditions, but nothing special.
So, the standout is Thursday afternoon, July 23rd – that’s the one. Big, clean, glassy waves for the experienced crew. The rest of the run is mostly small or blown out, so pick your moments. It’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 10°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 10 | E 12 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 249 | 216 | 453 | 303 | 238 | 267 | 158 | 211 | 206 | 161 | 141 | 59 | 29 | 63 | 67 | 49 | 132 | 59 | 137 | 102 | 94 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:36PM1.30m | 4:44AM1.01m | 4:36PM1.39m | 5:46AM1.00m | 5:36PM1.47m | 6:45AM0.99m | 6:36PM1.54m | 7:40AM1.00m | 7:34PM1.59m | 8:32AM1.01m | 8:31PM1.59m | 9:23AM1.03m | 9:26PM1.55m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:24AM0.52m | 10:53PM0.15m | 10:13AM0.53m | 00:05AM0.08m | 11:14AM0.53m | 1:13AM0.02m | 12:23PM0.50m | 2:17AM-0.02m | 1:34PM0.46m | 3:14AM-0.03m | 2:40PM0.40m | 4:08AM-0.02m | 3:42PM0.36m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | |  | |
 | 8:06 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — |
 | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — |
mm | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 7 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 5 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 249 | 216 | 453 | 303 | 238 | 267 | 91 | 211 | 206 | 161 | 141 | 59 | 29 | 63 | 67 | 36 | 25 | 59 | 137 | 102 | 94 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ENE 5 | E 6 | E 7 | SE 7 | ESE 12 | E 7 | ENE 5 | S 13 | NE 6 | ESE 10 | ENE 8 | SW 7 | SSW 9 | S 10 | E 12 | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 |
| kJ | 126 | 210 | 10 | 29 | 66 | 57 | 158 | 58 | 36 | 3 | 32 | 41 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 132 | 58 | 53 | 39 | 54 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | S 13 | SSE 7 | ENE 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | S 8 | S 8 | W 4 | SW 4 | SW 7 | ESE 10 | SW 6 | E 12 | SSW 9 | S 8 | SSW 8 | S 7 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 17 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 36 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 43 | 65 | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SSW 6 | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | NW 4 | NW 3 | — | — | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 5 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 82 | 64 | 62 | 78 | 15 | — | 4 | 18 | 36 | 73 | 6 | 2 | — | — | 22 | 35 | 42 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 236 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 37 | 0 | 34 | 435 | 410 | 443 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 16 | 34 | 34 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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