El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for El Muelle.

First off, the water is sitting at a warm 51°F right now, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 4°F above the average. You’ll notice it.

The next week and a half is a bit of a mixed bag. We kick off on Friday the 31st of July but it’s a write-off: just 1ft of weak, short-period swell from the south, with a fresh 19 mph cross-off wind from the NNE and moderate rain. Not worth paddling out for.

Saturday the 1st of August stays poor. We’ve got a bit more size – 4ft from the ENE – but the wind swings to a cross-shore 19 mph from the SW, chopping it up. Same story Sunday the 2nd: the swell drops to 3ft, and although the wind is a lighter cross-off, the wave energy is still moderate (238) and the conditions are only marginal.

Monday the 3rd of August offers a little more swell at 5ft from the SSE, period around 10 seconds, and moderate wave energy (465). But it’s light cross-shore wind and rain. Again, just marginal.

The first real glimmer comes on Tuesday the 4th of August in the afternoon. The wind drops to a glassy 3 mph from the SW, the swell is 3ft from the SE, period 10 seconds, and energy is still moderate (195). It’s clean, but very ordinary – small and weak. Not a standout.

Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th of August are back to poor conditions. On Thursday the 6th, the swell jumps to 7ft, but it’s a short-period 6-second wind swell from the WSW, and the wind is a strong 28 mph cross-shore. That’s messy, choppy, and more suited to a kite than a surfboard.

Now, Friday the 7th of August is where things get interesting. The morning brings 8ft from the SSW with a 9-second period, strong wave energy (1043), and a cross-off wind. It’s clean, but at 8ft that’s big – only for experienced surfers. The afternoon is slightly smaller at 7ft, but the wind drops to a gentle 9 mph cross-off from the WSW, keeping it clean. This is the best session on offer for the first week. Good, solid groundswell, clean conditions, and the swell direction from the SSW lines up nicely with the optimum SSE direction. Crowds are possible here – it’s a beach break, so it might get a bit busy.

Saturday the 8th of August is also good. In the afternoon we see 5ft from the south, period lifting to 11 seconds, moderate energy (580), and a gentle cross-off breeze. Clean, fun, and very surfable.

Sunday the 9th of August looks messy again – 8ft from the SSE with a long 13-second period, but the wind is a cross-on shore from the south at 16 mph, making it choppy. Not your day.

Monday the 10th of August is a real standout. Morning brings 6ft from the SSE, 12-second period, strong wave energy (927), and a light offshore wind from the WNW. That’s clean, long-period groundswell, and the direction is spot on. This is the pick of the bunch. The afternoon is also very good at 6ft with a light cross-off breeze.

Tuesday the 11th of August morning is okay – 7ft from the ESE but only a 6-second period, so it’s fat and weak. The afternoon jumps to 10ft from the ESE, but that’s too big for this break – only for the brave and experienced.

Wednesday the 12th of August is massive: 13ft from the SE, but again, way too big for a beach break, with a cross-shore wind. Thursday the 13th of August afternoon is special – 7ft from the east, 10-second period, and glassy conditions. That’s excellent for experienced surfers, with strong wave energy (1038).

After that, the swell drops off through the 14th and 15th of August, with small 3ft to 5ft waves and clean but ordinary conditions. Nothing to get excited about.

So, the real standouts are Friday the 7th of August afternoon and Monday the 10th of August morning. The 10th is the best of the whole run – clean offshore, long-period groundswell, good size, and the swell direction matches the optimum. Get out there.

Rusty.

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