El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 am 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.4°C
1.9° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, SSW swell with 4,588 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Sat 29th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Best Surf12AM (Sat 5th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 9AM (Sat 5th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, grab your board and let’s talk about what’s heading our way. This is a long-range look, so we’ve got some patience needed, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get the blood pumping.

El Muelle is the only spot on the radar, and it’s an exposed beach/pier setup. The water temperature is sitting at 51°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing wild, but you might notice it’s a little more comfortable than usual.

Right now, we’re in a flat spell. The first decent chance comes in on Saturday the 29th of August. The morning session is small, with 3 ft from east-northeast at 9 seconds, and the breeze is offshore and light from the west-northwest. The combined energy is weak (166), so it’s not a day to paddle out expecting power. The afternoon glassed off with a light north breeze, and the swell picked up a touch of period (10 seconds) but stayed small. Still, it’s clean and rideable for a longboard. Not going to be a standout.

Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st are pretty poor – small swell, messy winds, and low energy. The next flicker of life comes on Wednesday the 2nd of September. The morning has 3 ft from east-northeast, 9 seconds, with a cross-off breeze from the north-northeast. The energy climbs to moderate (121), and it’s clean. The afternoon holds similar with a little more energy (144). It’s surfable but ordinary.

The first real standout window is Thursday the 3rd of September. The afternoon is the pick – 4 ft from east-northeast, 9 seconds, with a cross-off breeze from the north-northeast. The energy is now moderate (302), and the conditions are clean. That’s shaping up to be a solid session for an intermediate surfer.

Friday the 4th of September drops back off – small and messy. But then we get a big pulse of swell from the south-southwest on Saturday the 5th of September. The morning is 15 ft at 10 seconds, but the wind is howling from the southwest at 25 mph, creating a cross-shore mess. The energy is huge (4604), but it’s blown out. The afternoon gets even bigger (18 ft, 7037 energy), but the wind stays strong. This is not a paddle day – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday the 6th of September has a massive 16 ft south swell at 14 seconds, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy. The energy is enormous (9191), but the break is predicted to be too big for El Muelle. This is experts-only territory, and even then, the wind is not friendly.

Monday the 7th of September is still big (10 ft from south-southeast, 12 seconds) but the wind is cross-shore and the conditions are rough. Too big and messy for most.

Tuesday the 8th of September is the standout of the whole forecast. The morning brings 5 ft from east-southeast with a 12-second period, combined with a light cross-off breeze from the north. The energy is moderate (792) and the conditions are clean. The swell direction is from the east-southeast, which is close to the optimum south-southeast direction for this spot. These are well-shaped, high-energy groundswell waves, and the long period will make the paddling easier. For a beach/pier setup, this is a very good day – clean, punchy, and not too crowded for the occasional crowd.

Wednesday the 9th of September morning is still decent (4 ft from southeast, 11 seconds, cross-off breeze) but the afternoon drops off.

From there, the surf tapers off into small, weak conditions until Sunday the 13th of September. That morning brings 8 ft from the east at 11 seconds, with a light offshore from the northwest. The energy is strong (1754) and the wind is clean. This is a session for experienced surfers only – the swell is solid and the period is good, but it’s a big wave day for El Muelle. The afternoon gets cross-onshore and messy.

So, the two best bets: Thursday the 3rd of September afternoon for a solid, clean intermediate session, and Tuesday the 8th of September morning for the best overall quality – clean, long-period groundswell, and good energy. The big swell in early September is for experts and kite surfers only.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 6°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
10
0.6
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
9
0.6
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
8
0.7
ENE
8
0.6
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
8
0.6
SW
7
0.6
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
1.1
ENE
9
1.3
ENE
9
0.6
ENE
9
0.7
E
10
0.6
E
10
3
SSW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
84
105
65
68
59
65
41
62
59
39
38
53
84
88
88
168
233
65
92
67
1116
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
5
N
15
WNW
20
NNW
20
NW
15
N
15
N
5
W
5
SW
15
WNW
25
SW
10
SSE
10
NNE
10
NNE
15
NE
20
NE
15
NNE
10
S
15
W
25
WSW
20
WSW
Wind State
off
glassy
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:06PM1.32m
8:39AM1.02m
8:49PM1.31m
9:13AM1.09m
9:32PM1.28m
9:48AM1.17m
10:18PM1.23m
10:27AM1.23m
11:05PM1.17m
11:09AM1.28m
11:57PM1.09m
11:56AM1.31m
00:53AM1.01m
Low Tide
2:22PM0.43m
3:26AM0.23m
3:09PM0.36m
4:01AM0.26m
3:55PM0.30m
4:34AM0.31m
4:42PM0.24m
5:07AM0.37m
5:30PM0.20m
5:39AM0.43m
6:22PM0.17m
6:11AM0.48m
7:19PM0.17m
clear
clear
thunderstorm
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:18
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:25
6:27
6:28
6:29
6:30
6:30
6:31
 mm
6
1
4
4
1
8
Temp °C
16
19
16
16
18
16
16
18
12
14
12
11
6
8
8
9
11
11
14
16
11
Feels °C
13
17
12
11
14
14
12
16
9
9
6
7
3
5
5
4
8
9
10
11
7
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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