Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, S swell with 1,170 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 7s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the only joint worth your time in this region: El Muelle.
Honestly, the next week and a half is a bit of a struggle. We’ve got a real dry spell to start. The first couple of days are offering tiny, weak swell with a messy cross-shore wind, so don’t even bother. It’s not until Friday morning, September 4th that we see a slight nudge, with swell bumping up to 5ft but that’s a short period SSW windswell and still not clean enough to get excited about.
We then hit a proper dirty patch from the 5th through the 6th. The combined energy ramps up hard (788 to 1160) but that’s from a solid, poorly directed SSW/S swell getting torn up by nasty cross-onshore winds up to 25 mph. That’s a recipe for a mess – if you’ve got a kite, that might be more your speed than a paddle board.
The one true standout in the entire run comes on Monday morning, September 7th. The sun’s out, the wind swings west and goes light at just 9 mph, blowing cross-offshore. That will clean up the 5ft swell from the SE with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 552 (moderate), and conditions are described as very good. The swell direction is a solid match for the break’s optimum. This is the one session to target – small but clean, and you won’t be fighting the wind.
After that, the surf tails off fast again. From Tuesday the 8th right through the following weekend, it’s all small, short-period junk or strong onshore winds spoiling any bigger swell that tries to show up. The water temperature on the 1st of September was 51°, which is 4° warmer than normal for the time of year – that’s much warmer than usual, so at least you won’t need a steamer on that Monday morning session.
September 12th and 13th bring a big, long-period SSW groundswell (11 seconds). The energy values hit 2144 and 1156, but the size jumps to 10ft and 7ft. At El Muelle, a beach/pier set-up, this is expert territory, mate. The wind stays clean on the Saturday morning, but 10ft with that period will be closing out and dangerous for the average punter. Sunday morning still has clean, cross-off wind and 7ft S swell, but it’s big, powerful, and only for the well-experienced crew.
In the end, for the average surfer, the Monday morning, September 7th window is your only real chance for a good, crowd-friendly wave in the next 16 days. Get on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, fresh winds from the SW by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 11°C on Fri afternoon, min 3°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Sat night, light winds from the SW by Mon morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | SW 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 54 | 56 | 75 | 84 | 88 | 143 | 180 | 281 | 192 | 120 | 98 | 717 | 1123 | 997 | 941 | 604 | 328 | 407 | 353 | 273 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:18PM1.23m | 10:27AM1.23m | 11:05PM1.17m | 11:09AM1.28m | 11:57PM1.09m | 11:56AM1.31m | 00:53AM1.01m | 12:50PM1.33m | 1:57AM0.93m | 1:52PM1.34m | 3:06AM0.89m | 3:00PM1.35m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:42PM0.24m | 5:07AM0.37m | 5:30PM0.20m | 5:39AM0.43m | 6:22PM0.17m | 6:11AM0.48m | 7:19PM0.17m | 6:46AM0.52m | 8:23PM0.17m | 7:31AM0.55m | 9:34PM0.18m | 8:31AM0.56m | 10:48PM0.17m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | |  | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | 6:29 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:32 | — | — | 6:34 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Feels °C | 11 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | -2 | -4 | -5 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | SW 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 9 | S 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 54 | 56 | 75 | 84 | 88 | 143 | 180 | 150 | 77 | 73 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 16 | 15 | 304 | 328 | 407 | 353 | 273 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | ENE 8 | SW 8 | SSW 7 | ENE 5 | SW 6 | — | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 11 | E 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 9 | E 9 | SE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 |
| kJ | 19 | 54 | 46 | 37 | 17 | 10 | — | 4 | 11 | 21 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 262 | 137 | 63 | 18 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | S 7 | — | — | SW 7 | S 9 | — | — | — | NE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | — | — | NE 9 | E 9 | SE 10 | ENE 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | — | 23 | 6 | — | — | — | 15 | 8 | 8 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 108 | 8 | 22 | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNE 3 | NE 4 | W 2 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | — | — | — | NE 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 4 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 281 | 192 | 120 | 98 | 717 | 1123 | 997 | 941 | 604 | — | — | — | 35 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 33 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 37 | 221 | 37 | 43 | 59 | 43 | 531 | 1343 | 221 | 613 | 79 | 37 | 0 | 79 | 16 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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