Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, S swell with 393 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get real about the forecast at El Muelle.
Right now, the outlook is looking pretty grim. The first surf you’d want to even consider won’t show up until Tuesday the 21st of July, and even then, it’s barely a whisper. The week ahead is a write-off, with really poor conditions day after day. The wind is mostly cross-onshore, the swell is small and weak, and the water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 51°F.
The first mention of anything surfable comes on Tuesday morning the 21st. It’s clean with a light WNW wind, but the swell is only 2ft from the ENE. The combined energy is weak (145). It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Tuesday afternoon is a no-go, and Wednesday the 22nd is messy with cross-shore winds and poor conditions. Thursday the 23rd stays clean but tiny.
The only real standout in this whole 16-day window is Friday the 24th of July. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Friday morning, El Muelle is going to be pumping with a solid 8ft SSW swell, period at 11 seconds. The combined energy is strong (1871). Wind is a light W/SW cross-offshore, keeping it clean. This is expert territory, folks. That’s a big swell for a beach/pier setup, and it’s going to be a handful. For experienced surfers only. Friday afternoon the wind swings onshore, making it marginal.
Saturday the 25th still has some decent size, with 6ft from the S, but the wind gets messy by the afternoon. After that, the swell backs right off into the following week. There’s a brief moment on Wednesday the 29th of July with glassy conditions and a 2ft, 12-second long-period SE swell, but it’s weak and small. The rest of the run into early August is small, weak, and mostly poor.
So, to sum it up: wait for Friday the 24th. That’s the best, and really the only, session worth chasing. Everything else is a dice roll with slim odds.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 11°C on Fri night, min 7°C on Sun afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSE on Sat afternoon, light winds from the E by Mon afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | S 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | SSW 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 203 | 197 | 210 | 179 | 282 | 240 | 116 | 82 | 52 | 50 | 49 | 76 | 81 | 68 | 158 | 132 | 64 | 65 | 59 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:26PM1.55m | 10:13AM1.06m | 10:20PM1.46m | 11:02AM1.10m | 11:14PM1.35m | 11:50AM1.12m | 00:08AM1.23m | 12:37PM1.14m | 1:04AM1.11m | 1:23PM1.15m | 2:03AM1.01m | 2:10PM1.15m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:57AM0.03m | 4:41PM0.32m | 5:43AM0.10m | 5:37PM0.30m | 6:25AM0.19m | 6:33PM0.30m | 7:05AM0.29m | 7:27PM0.30m | 7:42AM0.38m | 8:20PM0.31m | 8:17AM0.47m | 9:14PM0.32m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | |  | | | |
 | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 6 | E 7 | SSW 8 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | S 6 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 203 | 197 | 210 | 179 | 269 | 216 | 116 | 82 | 31 | 36 | 44 | 76 | 58 | 56 | 158 | 132 | 64 | 57 | 46 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | S 5 | SSW 5 | ENE 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | S 8 |
| kJ | 29 | 23 | 28 | 18 | 245 | 240 | 111 | 31 | 52 | 50 | 49 | 29 | 81 | 48 | 65 | 48 | 46 | 65 | 50 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 7 | S 10 | SSW 11 | — | — | — | ENE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | S 10 | SE 8 | SE 9 | S 10 | E 9 | S 9 |
| kJ | 4 | 1 | 8 | 22 | — | — | — | 77 | 51 | 32 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 68 | 25 | 12 | 48 | 39 | 59 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 4 | S 4 | — | ESE 4 | E 10 | S 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | — | — | — | — | E 6 | E 6 | SE 4 | E 4 | NE 3 | NNE 3 | NE 4 |
| kJ | 6 | 17 | — | 24 | 282 | 13 | 103 | 17 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 410 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1186 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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