El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty with your local surf outlook for El Muelle.

It’s a bit of a mixed bag for the next couple of weeks, to be honest. We’ve got a lot of ordinary, small days ahead, but the end of the road is looking absolutely massive. The water here is sitting at 51.1°F currently, which is a solid 3.8°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a proper treat if you’re quick on the draw.

The first real window we’re looking at is Tuesday morning. We’ve got a clean 3.0ft swell from the SSW, with a period of 9 seconds and a light 9.3 mph cross-offshore wind. The wave energy is weak at 158, so it’s not going to be pumping, but it’s a clean surfable wave. The afternoon goes downhill fast with a stronger cross-onshore, so hit it early.

Wednesday morning is a repeat performer: 3.3ft from the SSW, light cross-off, and a moderate energy of 164. It’s surfable, but nothing to crow about. Wednesday afternoon gets tiny at 1.6ft, but that 14-second period is interesting. That’s a long period groundswell, which means long lulls, but the shape should be better. The wind is almost glassy, so it’ll be clean.

Thursday and Friday are a bit of a write-off, with small cross-off waves and poor conditions. The swell drops to a pathetic 1.3ft on Friday morning, but Friday afternoon picks up a little with a 4.3ft wave from the ENE, albeit with a short 7-second period. It’s clean, but it’ll be a bit of a mess.

The first weekend of August is ugly. Onshore winds and lumpy conditions. The wind is blowing 21.7 mph, which is more kite territory than paddle surfing. The swell is small and messy.

The standout action is way down the line, and it’s a big one. Mark your calendars for Saturday, August 8th. The morning starts with a massive 11.5ft swell from the SW, and it’s clean with a 18.6 mph cross-offshore wind. The wave energy is massive at 1711. The afternoon gets even bigger at 14.8ft from the SSW with a 12-second period, and energy hits 4995. The wind is strong, but it’s cross-off, so it stays clean. Sunday, August 9th, is even bigger in the morning, 13.1ft from the SSW with a 14-second period and energy of 5676. The wind is light and variable. This is big, thick groundswell with a very long period, so it’s going to be peaky and powerful. It’s a game for experts only, and it might be too straight for the beach break, but if you’re on a point or a reef, it’s going to be a full-on day.

The following week sees the swell drop but remain sizeable, with 8.2ft to 6.6ft waves from the S and SSW, but the wind is onshore and cross, making it lumpy. The energy is still strong (over 1000), but the quality is marginal.

Honestly, the best bet on offer is the Tuesday morning and Wednesday morning of this week for a gentle, clean paddle. The real winner is the massive, clean swell on Saturday, August 8th and Sunday, August 9th, but only if you’re an expert. Crowds are a possibility as the word gets out.

Read more