El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 21 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.7° C
2.2° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, S swell with 8,316 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Fri 21st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf 9PM (Fri 21st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 9AM (Sun 23rd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks at El Muelle.

We’ve got a real mixed bag coming. The water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is much warmer than what’s normal for this time of year – a solid 4°F above average, so you can leave the thickest rubber at home. The first few days are a write-off, I'm not gonna lie. We’ve got a rough patch of strong cross-shore winds and messy conditions from Friday the 21st through Sunday the 23rd. Friday morning sees 10-foot SSW swell with a 25 mph cross-breeze—total chop city. That carries on through a big, lumpy Sunday with a 13-foot S groundswell that’s way too strong and onshore. Honestly, not worth paddling out.

But then, the real standout window appears on Monday the 24th of August. Blue sky turn in the clouds? No, we get clean conditions. The wind flips to a light NNE cross-offshore at just 3 mph in the morning. Swell drops to a manageable 8 feet from the south, with a long 11-second period. That’s proper, lined-up energy – with the swell being over 8 feet only for the experts, but at 8 feet that’s still a big, punchy day for strong intermediates. The combined energy is sitting at 1340 (moderate to strong), but with that glassy texture, El Muelle is going to offer some excellent, clean waves.

Monday afternoon stays clean with a 7-foot SSE swell, and the following morning on Tuesday the 25th we have a smaller 5-foot SSE swell and more clean cross-off winds. The energy drops to 397 (weak to moderate), but it’s surfable and clean. That 5-foot SE swell comes back around on Wednesday the 26th with a longer 12-second period, giving some nice shape again. Thursday the 27th stays clean too, with light winds and a 4-foot SE groundswell (period 13 seconds).

Things get smaller into the weekend. By Saturday the 29th, it’s down to 2-foot ENE windswell with very low energy (95), so you’re looking at a longboard or a day off. There’s a period through the end of the month and into early September where we see tiny swell (2 to 3 feet) and mostly clean but weak conditions – the kind of days you take the log out or go for a paddle.

Best on offer: That Monday the 24th is the clear winner. The Saturday the 22nd has 10-foot SSW swell and clean-looking conditions on paper, but the notes say it’s predicted to be too big for this break, which is a real buzzkill for most. So, stick with Monday the 24th morning for the best shot at big, clean, powerful waves.

Oh, and on Wednesday the 2nd of September (that's over a week away), we get a brief flash: a 5-foot SSW swell with glassy conditions and a light WNW breeze. That’s a promising little window if you’re patient, but it’s a long way off, so keep an eye on the charts.

All in all, the first week is a write-off, then we hit a sweet goldmine on Monday the 24th. The second week has dribbles and drabs of clean small stuff, but nothing that’ll blow your hair back.

Stay stoked.
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Sat afternoon, min 4°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 4°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
!
!
!
0
0
0
!
4
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SSW
9
3
SSW
9
3.5
SSW
10
3.5
SSW
10
4
S
11
4.5
S
15
4
S
14
3
S
12
2.4
SSE
11
2.1
SSE
11
1.4
SE
10
1.1
SE
14
1.6
SE
13
1.5
SE
12
1.4
SE
13
1.4
SE
13
1.2
SE
12
1.1
SE
12
0.9
SE
12
0.8
SE
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1319
1418
2162
2245
3485
8316
5726
2460
1387
990
370
404
878
624
653
623
437
319
236
158
Wind (km/h)
40
SW
30
WSW
35
W
40
WSW
35
SSW
30
SSW
20
SSW
5
S
5
ENE
15
NE
25
NNE
25
NNE
25
NNE
25
N
25
N
20
N
10
NNW
15
W
15
WSW
15
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
2:29AM0.89m
2:11PM1.13m
3:34AM0.84m
3:07PM1.12m
4:37AM0.82m
4:07PM1.14m
5:33AM0.82m
5:03PM1.17m
6:19AM0.83m
5:54PM1.22m
6:59AM0.86m
6:41PM1.27m
Low Tide
8:34PM0.31m
7:57AM0.58m
9:31PM0.33m
8:40AM0.61m
10:35PM0.34m
9:32AM0.62m
11:40PM0.33m
10:35AM0.61m
00:38AM0.29m
11:40AM0.59m
1:27AM0.26m
12:39PM0.54m
2:10AM0.23m
part cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
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cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:28
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:20
6:20
6:21
6:22
6:22
6:23
6:24
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
8
8
8
9
8
7
7
5
5
7
6
8
11
9
12
15
13
15
16
13
Feels °C
-2
0
0
-1
-1
-1
0
0
1
3
0
1
5
2
7
11
10
12
13
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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