El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty looking at the upcoming swell for your patch.

We’re looking at a pretty wild ride over the next couple of weeks here at El Muelle (beach/pier). The water is sitting at a relatively warm 51°F, which is a touch warmer than the long-term average for this time of year—nothing crazy, but it feels nice.

The first few days are a write-off. Thursday and Friday are just messy with onshore winds and weak, choppy swell. Not worth a second look. Saturday the 22nd actually looks clean with some cross-offshore winds, but hold your horses—the swell is pumping at 10ft to 12ft. That’s big, and the guidance says the wave energy is massive, with values around 1913 and 2192. That’s some serious power. For a beach/pier setup, this is expert-only territory. The swell is coming from the SSW, which isn't the optimum direction for this spot, so it’s going to be raw and heavy. If you're a charger, you might have a look, but the average surfer should sit this one out.

Sunday the 23rd gets even more intense with a 13ft SSW swell and a very long period of 15 seconds. The energy reading hits 7275, which is absolutely pumping. But the wind is onshore, so it’s going to be a heaving, choppy mess. Not a good day for paddle surfing; this setup looks more interesting for the kite crew.

Then we get a bit of a break. From Monday the 24th onwards, the swell drops. Monday morning is the real standout in the whole forecast. The swell is 8ft from the SSE—that’s bang on the optimum direction for El Muelle—with a solid 12-second period. The wind is light and cross-offshore, which means clean, lined-up waves. It’s still big enough for experienced surfers only, but the quality is excellent. This is your best bet.

After that, the rest of the week and into the start of September is pretty average. We get some clean, small waves from Tuesday onwards, but the energy is weak (between 179 and 892) and the swell is inconsistent. There are a few mornings with light offshore winds, like Wednesday the 26th and Thursday the 27th, but the waves are only 4ft to 5ft. Surfable for a longboard or a funboard, but nothing to get excited about. The period drops to 8 seconds on the 28th, which is short-period windswell—not great.

From the 29th through to the 4th of September, it’s mostly poor conditions with onshore winds and choppy surf. The swell tries to pick up again on the 4th of September, but with onshore winds and a cross-chop, it’s a no-go.

So, the standout is crystal clear: Monday morning, the 24th of August. 8ft of clean SSE groundswell with light cross-offshore winds. That’s the one to circle. The rest is a mix of either too big and messy, or too small and weak. There’s a bit of a gap there after that Monday, with a few days of average but clean surf, then a long stretch of poor conditions. Not a classic run, but that one morning makes it worth keeping an eye on.

Rusty, out.

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