El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 pm 20 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.8° C
2.2° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period, S swell with 232 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 0.8m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Thu 23rd Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Best Surf 9PM (Fri 24th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 12s
Most Powerful 3PM (Fri 24th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's check the surf for the next sixteen days. We're looking at just one spot, so I'll keep it straight.

Honestly, the first chunk is mostly a write-off. From Tuesday the 21st through Wednesday morning the 23rd, it's onshore wind and weak, short-period slop. Not worth getting wet – the energy is weak, reading under 200. You're just battling wind-chop.

Thursday morning the 23rd finally shows a pulse: a 2ft swell from the ENE with an 8-second period, cleaned up by a cross-offshore NNE breeze at 9 mph. It’s surfable, but just barely. Don't get your hopes up.

Friday the 24th has a bit more grunt in the morning – a 2ft south swell with a longer 12-second period, pushing the energy to 248. Wind stays cross-offshore and clean from the NNE at 12 mph. Still a marginal call with possible tide issues.

Our first real window comes on Sunday the 26th. The morning is clean with a NW offshore at 12 mph and a 2ft, 8-second ENE swell hitting an energy of 170. But the standout is Sunday afternoon. We get a gentle offshore from the NW at 9 mph, making for a glassy surface, a 3ft, 8-second ENE swell, and the energy climbs to 212. The call is "expect good surf conditions." El Muelle will be your spot – clean and offering lines. That’s your best bet in the first week.

Monday the 27th holds moderate offshores with surfable waves, but nothing special.

Looking deeper into the forecast, Thursday the 30th of July sees a spike in size. Swell hits 6ft with an 8-second period and energy over 500, but it’s blown out by a fresh to strong breeze from the NNE at 19 to 25 mph. That much wind on a beach setup like El Muelle will create bumpy, lumpy conditions. Better for kites than a surfboard.

The only other potential epic comes on Monday the 3rd of August. We get a 6ft, 9-second south-southwest swell with an energy reading of 568, and the wind is dead calm – glassy conditions. The call is "expect very good surf conditions." That's your second standout, but it's two weeks away, so keep your fingers crossed. After that, it fades into cross-shore breezes and choppy junk.

So, the bottom line: hit Sunday afternoon the 26th of July for the cleanest, funnest waves in the near term. Keep an eye out for Monday the 3rd of August – if that glassy forecast sticks, it could be the best day of the month.

Stay stoked,
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 11°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSE
8
0.7
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
9
0.8
E
7
0.9
E
8
0.8
ENE
8
0.7
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
8
1.1
NE
5
0.7
S
12
0.8
S
14
0.7
S
12
0.6
S
11
0.9
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
85
76
75
49
68
92
77
62
82
59
144
232
136
87
83
71
105
105
75
Wind (km/h)
20
ESE
15
SE
10
SSE
15
SE
20
SE
15
E
15
NNE
15
NNE
25
NNE
20
N
20
NNE
30
N
25
WNW
20
WNW
10
WNW
20
NNW
20
NW
15
NW
20
N
Wind State
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
00:08AM1.23m
12:37PM1.14m
1:04AM1.11m
1:23PM1.15m
2:03AM1.01m
2:10PM1.15m
3:05AM0.94m
2:58PM1.14m
4:06AM0.90m
3:48PM1.14m
5:04AM0.88m
4:40PM1.16m
Low Tide
7:05AM0.29m
7:27PM0.30m
7:42AM0.38m
8:20PM0.31m
8:17AM0.47m
9:14PM0.32m
8:52AM0.54m
10:10PM0.32m
9:30AM0.59m
11:07PM0.31m
10:16AM0.61m
00:06AM0.29m
light rain
cloud
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part cloud
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part cloud
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cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:00
8:00
8:00
7:58
7:58
7:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:53
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:57
5:58
 mm
2
5
2
Temp °C
8
8
8
8
6
7
7
9
11
11
12
12
11
10
11
10
13
16
13
Feels °C
4
4
5
4
1
3
3
4
6
6
7
6
7
4
8
6
8
13
9
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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