El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 am 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.6° C
1.8° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period, SSW swell with 274 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.3m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Thu 16th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Best Surf 3PM (Fri 17th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 8s
Most Powerful 6AM (Sun 19th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for El Muelle.

The forecast starts with a bit of a slow, disappointing spell. For the first few days, the swell is tiny and the winds are messy, so there’s nothing to get excited about straight away. We’ve got a gap of quiet, small surf for the first three days or so. The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Friday the 17th of July, with a small cross-offshore wind swinging in during the afternoon. The swell is weak, with combined energy at (211), and the water is sitting at 51° – a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, which is a nice little bonus.

The standout period kicks off on the morning of Wednesday the 22nd of July. El Muelle (a beach/pier setup) gets a clean window with light NNE cross-offshore wind at 9 mph, and the swell picks up to 3 ft from the ESE at 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (238), and the conditions are described as clean. The afternoon looks even better, with a solid 4 ft from the E at 6 seconds and clean cross-offshore breeze. The crowd factor is listed as “sometimes,” so it’s worth getting out there early for a quieter session.

The best of the whole run looks to be on Monday the 27th of July. The morning brings a light offshore breeze from the NW, with a 4 ft swell from the SSE at a very long period of 12 seconds. This is a proper groundswell, and the combined energy is strong (695). That long period will make for some proper, well-shaped waves at this break, but the long period can cause it to close out a bit on a beach break, so pick your peaks wisely. The afternoon hangs on too, with a 5 ft S swell, but the wind turns cross-onshore, so it’s not quite as clean.

There’s also a big spike in size around the 24th and 25th of July, with swell hitting 8 ft to 8 ft, mostly from the WSW and SSW. That’s big enough to be expert-only territory, and the winds are cross-off, but the condition comments are only “marginal,” so it’s a bit of a wildcard. The combined energy rockets into the four digits (1065–1107), which is very strong, but the period is short (7–9 seconds), so it’ll be a lumpy, powerful mess. Not the best for your average surfer – more of a kite surfing kind of day unless you’re a seasoned charger.

Because of the short period and big swell, those days around the 24th and 25th might be better suited to kite surfing than traditional paddle surfing at this beach setup.

So, to wrap it up: the best bet is Wednesday the 22nd of July for clean, fun, manageable waves, and the quality pick is Monday the 27th of July for that long-period groundswell with clean offshore wind. The rest of the window is a mixed bag of small, windy, or too big and messy.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 10°C on Mon night, min 8°C on Sun afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the SSE by Mon night).

Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
10
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
9
1.1
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
10
1.3
SSW
9
1.1
SSW
8
0.8
ENE
10
0.8
ENE
10
0.8
ENE
10
1.6
SE
6
0.9
ENE
8
1.2
E
8
1.1
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
19
10
81
73
81
150
131
163
160
140
197
159
249
184
135
114
118
175
92
195
161
Wind (km/h)
15
N
15
N
15
N
15
NNE
20
NNE
25
N
10
ENE
5
NW
20
SSW
25
SSW
25
SW
30
SSW
15
SSW
20
S
20
ESE
30
ESE
25
ESE
35
SSE
30
SSE
20
S
5
NE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
7:34PM1.59m
8:32AM1.01m
8:31PM1.59m
9:23AM1.03m
9:26PM1.55m
10:13AM1.06m
10:20PM1.46m
11:02AM1.10m
11:14PM1.35m
11:50AM1.12m
00:08AM1.23m
12:37PM1.14m
1:04AM1.11m
Low Tide
1:34PM0.46m
3:14AM-0.03m
2:40PM0.40m
4:08AM-0.02m
3:42PM0.36m
4:57AM0.03m
4:41PM0.32m
5:43AM0.10m
5:37PM0.30m
6:25AM0.19m
6:33PM0.30m
7:05AM0.29m
7:27PM0.30m
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clear
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light rain
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cloud
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part cloud
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mod rain
heavy rain
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:04
8:03
8:03
8:03
8:03
8:02
8:00
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:53
 mm
3
2
3
1
8
20
Temp °C
13
15
15
16
17
15
17
18
13
9
9
9
9
9
8
9
9
10
9
9
9
Feels °C
9
12
12
13
14
11
15
19
11
3
3
2
5
4
5
3
4
3
2
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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