El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 14 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.7° C
1.9° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with 216 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Thu 16th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Best Surf 3AM (Fri 17th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 8s
Most Powerful12PM (Tue 21st Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, grab a coffee, 'cause this one's a bit of a slog. Rusty here, and I'm not gonna sugarcoat it—the first ten days or so look pretty grim. A whole lot of nothing, or at least nothing worth paddling out for. Winds are all wrong, swells are small and messy, and the wave comments are a broken record of "poor surf conditions."

Tuesday, July 14th starts us off with a weak 3ft ESE swell, but that cross-off breeze from the NNW at 12 mph is just killing it. Water's a touch warmer than usual at 51°F, but that's about it. The energy is weak (136).

Then we hit a real dead zone. Wednesday, July 15th through to Sunday, July 19th is all tiny, knee-high junk, with swells barely reaching 1ft to 3ft. Winds are cross-off or cross-shore, and the energy is mostly pathetic (20 to 261). The only slight flicker is Thursday, July 16th morning, with a 3ft ENE swell at a short 7 seconds, and a light breeze (6 mph) from the north—still cross-off, but it's the only time the score isn't a zero. Hardly worth the effort.

Monday, July 20th through to Sunday, July 26th is more of the same. Swell stays small, usually under 3ft, with a few pulses up to 4ft or 5ft on Saturday, July 25th and Sunday, July 26th. The problem is the wind. On the 25th, we get a 4ft S swell, but it's cross-onshore. The energy jumps to strong (394) briefly, but it's still "poor conditions." On the 26th, we get a 5ft SSE swell, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore breeze from the NE (12-16 mph). The energy is strong (330-380), but the wave comment is still "poor." This setup looks more like a kiteboarding day than a surfing day, to be honest.

Then, finally, a glimmer. Monday, July 27th sees the swell holding at 5ft from the SSE, with a 9-second period and a gentle cross-shore breeze (9 mph). The energy is strong (378) and the comment edges up to "marginal." It's still not great, but it's the first non-zero score in days.

The only real standout, the one session you'd actually set an alarm for, is Tuesday, July 28th. Early morning, the wind goes completely glassy (0 mph from the SSE). The swell is a clean 3ft from the SSE, with a very long 14-second period, packing a massive 663 energy. The wave comment is "expect very good surf conditions." This is a proper groundswell. The direction is spot on the optimum (SSE), so the lines should be clean. With that long period, it might be a bit straight at this beach/pier setup, but glassy conditions make it the pick of the entire 16-day window. The afternoon fades with a cross-on wind, but that morning is the one.

Wednesday, July 29th is a step back, with a much smaller 2ft SSE swell and a strong 22 mph cross-off breeze.

So, there you have it. The best on offer is a short, glassy window on the morning of Tuesday, July 28th at El Muelle. Get up early if you can. The rest of the run is a long, flat, windy wait for that one clean session.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the SSW by Sat afternoon).

Tue
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.3
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
10
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
1
ENE
8
0.4
E
10
1
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
9
1
ENE
10
1
ENE
10
0.9
ENE
10
0.9
ENE
10
0.8
ENE
10
0.8
ENE
10
1.4
ESE
5
1.2
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
136
58
19
10
83
75
86
130
33
119
149
125
146
183
183
149
146
121
118
103
172
Wind (km/h)
20
NNW
20
N
15
N
20
N
15
N
10
N
15
NNE
15
NE
10
NNE
10
NE
5
S
25
SW
30
SSW
20
SSW
20
SSW
10
S
15
ENE
25
E
30
ESE
45
SE
45
SE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
High Tide
6:36PM1.54m
7:40AM1.00m
7:34PM1.59m
8:32AM1.01m
8:31PM1.59m
9:23AM1.03m
9:26PM1.55m
10:13AM1.06m
10:20PM1.46m
11:02AM1.10m
11:14PM1.35m
11:50AM1.12m
00:08AM1.23m
Low Tide
2:17AM-0.02m
1:34PM0.46m
3:14AM-0.03m
2:40PM0.40m
4:08AM-0.02m
3:42PM0.36m
4:57AM0.03m
4:41PM0.32m
5:43AM0.10m
5:37PM0.30m
6:25AM0.19m
6:33PM0.30m
7:05AM0.29m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:04
8:03
8:03
8:03
8:03
8:02
8:00
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:49
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:53
 mm
3
2
5
4
1
3
19
3
Temp °C
13
11
13
16
14
16
17
15
16
16
14
11
10
10
10
10
8
8
8
8
8
Feels °C
8
7
9
12
11
14
15
14
14
16
14
5
4
4
6
7
5
2
1
-1
-1
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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