El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 pm 10 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.5° C
2.1° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, SSW swell with 1,076 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 9s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Tue 11th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Best Surf 6AM (Tue 11th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Most Powerful 9PM (Mon 17th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here with a look at what’s on the cards.

We’ve got a bit of a slow burner this week, but there are definitely windows of clean surf if you time it right. The swell energy is moderate-to-strong early on, with combined energy readings in the three digits (1341). The first few days bring a solid, long-period S swell that’s got some push, but the winds are going to be the deciding factor. This spot, El Muelle, is a beach/pier setup, exposed to the south swell, and it cleans up best with NW winds.

Tuesday 11th August kicks off with the most size. The morning session sees a 6ft swell from the S with an 11-second period and a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is strong (1341). This is excellent for experienced surfers, but at 6ft it’s a bit much for beginners. The afternoon turns onshore and messy.

Wednesday 12th August morning is your standout. You’ve got a 6ft S swell with a glassy, dead calm surface. That is clean, open-faced surf. The energy reading is still high (949). This is the best window of the week – get on it. The afternoon drops in size and goes onshore.

Thursday 13th and Friday are largely a write-off as the wind swings onshore and the swell gets smaller and weaker, with cross-chop and messy conditions. The combined energy drops to the low hundreds (379-208).

Sunday 16th through Monday 17th sees the swell size bump up again, but the wind is howling onshore, creating poor, lumpy conditions. Not worth a paddle.

Here’s the promising long-range call. Tuesday 18th August morning looks very clean. A strong offshore wind from the NNW sets up a 6ft SSW swell with a period of 8 seconds. Combined energy is moderate (632). The description is “gentle offshore and clean,” which is exactly what you want. It’s a solid wave.

After that, the days go quiet again with smaller swell and onshore winds until Monday 24th August when a new 5-6ft S swell arrives, but it’s blown out again.

The real standout is Wednesday 12th August morning. The combo of a solid 6ft S swell and glassy wind is hard to beat. For the long-range, Tuesday 18th August morning is the one to circle on your calendar – it looks promising with clean offshore wind.

Crowds at El Muelle can be an issue, so for that Wednesday glass-off, get there early.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 8°C on Mon night, min 5°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
1
2
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
S
11
1.7
S
11
1.8
S
11
1.9
S
10
1.7
S
11
1.2
SSE
14
1.5
S
11
1.6
SSE
11
1.6
SSE
10
1.7
SSE
11
1.3
SSE
10
1.1
SSE
10
1
SSE
9
1.1
ENE
6
1.1
ENE
7
1
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1288
683
755
785
670
605
573
541
492
655
349
245
173
85
102
107
146
144
151
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
10
W
10
S
10
NE
5
W
10
SE
15
SE
15
E
20
ENE
10
ENE
15
NE
15
NE
20
NE
10
NE
15
NE
10
NE
10
SW
15
SSW
30
SSW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
glassy
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
5:31AM0.92m
5:24PM1.47m
6:29AM0.94m
6:26PM1.51m
7:23AM0.98m
7:24PM1.53m
8:12AM1.04m
8:18PM1.52m
8:59AM1.09m
9:11PM1.46m
9:44AM1.15m
10:01PM1.37m
Low Tide
00:02AM0.11m
10:59AM0.53m
1:08AM0.07m
12:20PM0.48m
2:06AM0.04m
1:31PM0.41m
2:58AM0.04m
2:34PM0.34m
3:45AM0.07m
3:31PM0.28m
4:27AM0.12m
4:25PM0.24m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:41
7:41
7:39
7:37
7:37
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:09
6:10
6:12
6:13
6:14
6:14
6:15
 mm
1
4
1
Temp °C
8
7
7
7
6
7
7
7
8
11
11
10
10
11
12
12
12
11
10
Feels °C
4
4
4
5
3
4
2
2
3
8
7
7
6
9
10
11
11
8
4
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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