El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 pm 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.9° C
2.0° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, ESE swell with 437 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.3m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sun 12th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 13s
Best Surf 9PM (Sun 12th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 13s
Most Powerful 9AM (Mon 13th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer at El Muelle.

To be honest, the first week and a half or so is pretty flat and messy. From Sunday morning the 12th right through to the morning of Wednesday the 22nd, it’s mostly poor surf conditions with onshore or cross-shore winds and weak, choppy waves. There’s a few windows where the wind goes clean and cross-offshore, like Monday morning the 13th with a 4ft easterly swell at 12 seconds, but the scores are still marginal. The combined energy sits around 453 (moderate) on that Monday morning, but it’s not enough to get excited about. A couple of afternoons around the 14th and 15th have clean conditions but the swell drops to under 3ft, so it’s really just small and ordinary. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Now, the real standout comes on Thursday morning the 24th. That’s when we see a solid pulse of 10ft swell from the south-southwest, with a short period of 8 seconds, and the wind is light and cross-off from the west-northwest. The combined energy rockets up to 1105 (very strong wave energy). Now, this is a big one – 10ft is far too big for beginners, and even for most intermediates that’s heavy. This is one for the experts only. The break is a beach/pier setup, so with that short-period, steep swell, it’ll be powerful and dumping. The following afternoon, Friday the 24th, is still excellent for experienced surfers: 8ft from the south, glassy conditions with light northwesterly wind, and combined energy of 1038 (very strong). That Friday afternoon glassy session is pure quality – clean, head-high plus, and no wind bump. Crowds are possible here, as it’s a consistent spot that’s exposed to the swell, but with sizes that big, the lineup will thin out.

Saturday morning the 25th offers another good session: 5ft from the south, 8 seconds, light offshore wind, and combined energy of 652 (strong). That’s still a solid wave for experienced surfers, clean and punchy. As we head into Sunday the 26th, the swell holds around 5ft to 6ft, with clean conditions and light offshore or cross-off winds, and combined energy in the 533 to 690 range (strong). That Sunday is a great run of surf for those who can handle it.

The last few days of the outlook, Monday the 27th, get messy again with strong onshore winds, so the window closes. The best of the whole 16 days is hands-down the Thursday to Friday (24th and 25th) – that’s a proper swell with clean, glassy conditions for the experts. If you’re a strong paddler, don’t miss it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Sat
18
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
E
14
1
E
13
0.9
ESE
13
0.9
ESE
12
1.3
ESE
12
1.2
ESE
12
1
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.8
ENE
8
0.7
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
1
ENE
10
1.1
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
5
1.2
ENE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
377
350
238
217
437
361
218
195
136
57
69
65
130
113
95
87
89
205
153
80
103
Wind (km/h)
25
S
20
S
15
SSW
10
N
20
N
30
N
30
NNW
30
NNW
25
NNW
15
N
15
N
15
N
10
NNE
5
NNE
10
ESE
10
E
10
E
20
ENE
20
ENE
20
ENE
10
E
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
High Tide
4:44AM1.01m
4:36PM1.39m
5:46AM1.00m
5:36PM1.47m
6:45AM0.99m
6:36PM1.54m
7:40AM1.00m
7:34PM1.59m
8:32AM1.01m
8:31PM1.59m
9:23AM1.03m
9:26PM1.55m
10:13AM1.06m
Low Tide
10:53PM0.15m
10:13AM0.53m
00:05AM0.08m
11:14AM0.53m
1:13AM0.02m
12:23PM0.50m
2:17AM-0.02m
1:34PM0.46m
3:14AM-0.03m
2:40PM0.40m
4:08AM-0.02m
3:42PM0.36m
4:57AM0.03m
4:41PM0.32m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:06
8:06
8:04
8:04
8:03
8:03
8:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:51
 mm
1
1
2
2
Temp °C
9
8
7
7
7
9
9
11
13
12
12
15
13
15
15
13
13
14
13
16
17
Feels °C
4
3
2
5
0
2
4
4
8
8
8
11
10
15
14
12
11
12
9
14
16
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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