El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at the local stretch around El Muelle. It’s a consistent beach-and-pier setup that’s exposed to swell, and it’s best when the swell comes from the SSE. Water temps are feeling about average for this time of year, nothing wild.

The week kicks off with a bit of a tease. Thursday morning the 27th of August is where it’s at early on. We’ve got a clean 4 ft SE swell rolling in with a 12-second period, and a gentle offshore breeze from the WNW. The combined energy is moderate (423), and conditions are looking good. This is the standout for the first few days. By Thursday afternoon, the wind swings SW and goes cross-shore, the swell drops to 3 ft, and it gets messy – not worth paddling out.

Friday the 28th offers a couple of clean windows. Morning brings a smaller 3 ft ENE swell with a 9-second period and light cross-offshore winds, so it’s clean. Afternoon goes glassy with no wind at all, same 3 ft ENE swell – really nice if you’re after a smooth, small-wave session. The energy is weak (209-211), but it’s clean.

Saturday the 29th is ordinary. Swell drops to 3 ft from the ENE, period short at 8 seconds, and though the wind is clean, the energy is weak (127-149). It’s surfable but nothing to get excited about. From Sunday morning the 30th right through Tuesday morning the 1st of September, the surf goes pretty flat. Swell heights hover around 2 ft to 2 ft, energy drops below 100, and while winds are clean, there’s just not enough push. It’s a solid gap of a few days with no real recommendations.

Then things get a bit chaotic. Tuesday afternoon the 1st of September, the swell jumps to 6 ft but it’s a short-period SW windswell (6 seconds) with a strong breeze blowing 40 km/h cross-offshore. The energy is moderate (319), but with that period and wind, it’s going to be a lumpy, blown-out mess – not one for the paddle crew. Wednesday the 2nd is still marginal with a 5 ft SSW swell at 7 seconds, onshore in the afternoon. Thursday the 3rd is poor despite offshore winds – the swell is small and weak.

Finally, a return to form. Friday morning the 4th of September looks promising. A 3 ft SSW swell with a 10-second period, light WNW cross-offshore breeze, and clean conditions. The combined energy jumps back to moderate (319). Saturday the 5th has a bit more size – 5 ft SSE swell with an 11-second period, but the wind is cross-offshore from the NNE. The energy is strong (612), and it’s marginal but could offer some fun waves if you’re keen. This is the best of the second week, but it’s a bit of a gamble.

From Sunday the 6th through Tuesday the 8th, the swell is mostly ENE and short-period, with onshore or strong winds making it poor. The energy is weak to moderate. Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th are similar, though Thursday afternoon the 10th sees a 4 ft ESE swell with a 9-second period and a gentle offshore from the NNW – clean and good energy (328). Then Friday morning the 11th of September wraps it up with a 5 ft ESE swell at 10 seconds, light cross-offshore winds, and strong energy (483). That’s another solid, clean option if you’re patient.

So, if you’re picking your moment, Thursday morning the 27th of August is the clear standout for the near term. For the long-range punt, keep an eye on Saturday the 5th of September and Friday the 11th of September – both have decent size and clean windows, but the further out you go, the less certain it gets.

Rusty.

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