El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got for the coming weeks.

Honestly, for most of the next two weeks, El Muelle is going to be a tough watch. There’s a big stretch of nothing special coming up, so if you’re keen, you’re gonna have to be patient. The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until Monday the 7th of September.

The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest wetsuit just yet.

So, starting off, it’s flat and poor. Tuesday the 1st and Wednesday the 2nd are pretty much write-offs with tiny swell and messy wind. Thursday the 3rd is more of the same – small, weak swell with a combined energy of just 164 and onshore slop. Friday the 4th sees a bit more push with 4ft to 5ft from the SW, but the period is a short 7 seconds and the wind is junk, making it a messy affair. The weekend is a write-off. Saturday the 5th gets proper chunky with 8ft to 10ft of SW swell, but that’s a no-go for normal surfing – it’s way too big and blown out by a strong breeze and near gale winds. The combined energy hits a massive 1047. That setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Sunday the 6th is still too big and lumpy.

Now, Monday the 7th of September is the first real bright spot. The swell drops to a manageable 5ft from the SE with a solid 10-second period and moderate combined energy of 595. The wind goes light and cross-offshore, which is a huge plus – expect very good, clean surf conditions. This is your best bet for the first week. The afternoon turns onshore though, so get it in the morning.

After that, we go flat again. Tuesday the 8th through Thursday the 10th is tiny, weak, and not worth paddling out for. There’s a big gap of a few days with zero recommendation.

Friday the 11th of September is a strange one. The models are calling for a massive 10ft S swell with strong energy and favorable wind, but it’s clearly flagged as too big for this break. That’s a hard pass for a paddle board – it’s a guaranteed beating. The weekend of the 12th and 13th stays big and onshore, so no good.

But here’s your standout for the second week. Sunday the 13th of September morning. The swell drops to a clean 6ft from the SE, with a solid 11-second period and good energy (817). The wind turns light and cross-offshore from the North. That is a recipe for clean, fun waves at El Muelle. This is the pick of the fortnight, but being a week and a half out, take it with a pinch of salt – the long-range call is promising but things can shift.

After that, it fades back to small and weak again for the rest of the window. The final morning on Wednesday the 16th shows a tiny 2ft ENE swell, but at least the wind is glassy. It’s a long wait for a couple of good sessions, but they are there.

Rusty.

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