Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period, S swell with 414 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 7s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk surf for the next couple weeks at our local spot.
Right out of the gate, it’s pretty quiet. The water is at 51°F, a little warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s nice.
It’s Thursday 16 July and we’ve got a weak 3 ft swell from the ENE, short period of 7 seconds, with a cross-offshore breeze. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. Swell energy is weak (123). The afternoon bumps to 3 ft but gets messy with stronger wind.
Friday 17 July shows some hope. Morning swell is 4 ft from the ENE, still short period, but with a light cross-off and moderate energy (202). It should be fun. The afternoon stays around 4 ft, very light wind, and the energy climbs to 216. That’s your first real window.
Saturday and Sunday are blown out. Onshore wind ruins both days. By Sunday, the swell picks up to 5 ft from the SSW, but the wind is cross-onshore and it’s choppy. The energy is high (473), but for a beach/pier break like this, that’s kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing.
Monday 20 July through the next week is mostly poor. Onshore or cross-onshore winds stick around, and the quality is just not there.
The one to circle is Tuesday 28 July. After a long stretch of dud days, the morning brings a 6 ft east swell with a 10-second period, light cross-offshore wind from the NNW, and strong wave energy (659). It’s clean, it’s got punch, and it’s the best wave of the whole outlook. The afternoon holds at 5 ft with a clean offshore wind from the NW.
Wednesday 29 July morning keeps the energy going at 5 ft, clean but a bit tricky on the tide. The rest of that week stays in the 4 ft to 5 ft range, mostly clean, but nothing else hits that Tuesday high.
So if you’ve got a free day, make it Tuesday 28 July. Crowds can show up here at El Muelle (beach/pier) sometimes, so get in early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the S by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | E 10 | E 5 | ESE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 7 | SE 8 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 75 | 108 | 183 | 150 | 168 | 157 | 188 | 201 | 175 | 307 | 281 | 171 | 230 | 126 | 156 | 171 | 202 | 142 | 235 | 258 | 246 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | on | glassy | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:31PM1.59m | 9:23AM1.03m | 9:26PM1.55m | 10:13AM1.06m | 10:20PM1.46m | 11:02AM1.10m | 11:14PM1.35m | 11:50AM1.12m | 00:08AM1.23m | 12:37PM1.14m | 1:04AM1.11m | 1:23PM1.15m | 2:03AM1.01m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:40PM0.40m | 4:08AM-0.02m | 3:42PM0.36m | 4:57AM0.03m | 4:41PM0.32m | 5:43AM0.10m | 5:37PM0.30m | 6:25AM0.19m | 6:33PM0.30m | 7:05AM0.29m | 7:27PM0.30m | 7:42AM0.38m | 8:20PM0.31m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — |
 | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — |
mm | — | — | 3 | 3 | 7 | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | S 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 7 | SSE 7 | SE 8 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 11 | 40 | 183 | 150 | 168 | 157 | 188 | 201 | 175 | 307 | 281 | 171 | 105 | 63 | 56 | 76 | 202 | 142 | 235 | 258 | 246 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | E 11 | S 8 | E 10 | S 15 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 7 |
| kJ | 17 | 22 | 34 | 32 | 38 | 29 | 23 | 18 | 36 | 137 | 114 | 86 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 49 | 154 | 120 | 54 | 24 | 38 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | E 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | SE 5 | ESE 6 | SSW 8 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | ESE 8 | SW 6 | SW 8 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 20 | 17 | 33 | 20 | 10 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 20 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 1 | 15 | 18 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | — | — | SW 4 | S 5 | S 6 | S 5 | SE 5 | — | — | E 10 | E 5 | ESE 6 | SSE 6 | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 |
| kJ | 75 | 108 | — | — | — | 14 | 53 | 96 | 119 | 29 | — | — | 230 | 126 | 156 | 171 | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 454 | 444 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 565 | 565 | 410 | 79 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 522 | 1204 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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