Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, S swell with 7,627 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for our local stretch.
We’ve got a pretty wild ride ahead, but it’s not all good news. The first real surfable action is a massive, powerful swell that’s just too big for the spot. After that, things settle down, and we get a few windows of clean, manageable waves, but the second week drops off into tiny, weak dribble. There’s a stretch from the end of August right through the first few days of September with very little to get excited about.
El Muelle is the only game in town, and it kicks off with a bang on Saturday the 22nd of August. We’re looking at a solid 12ft swell from the SSW, with a period of 10 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving around, and the combined energy is a massive 2149. But here’s the catch – it’s simply too big for this beach and pier setup. The wind is a cross-offshore from the west at 22 mph, so it’s not a complete washout, but only the most experienced, serious crew should even be looking at it. The water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is a decent 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so at least you won’t freeze your ears off.
By Sunday the 23rd, the swell is even bigger, hitting 13ft from the south with a long 15-second period. The combined energy is through the roof at 7627. The wind swings onshore from the SSW, and the report says poor surf conditions – this one is a total write-off for paddling. If you’ve got a kite, this is your moment.
The real standout of the whole forecast comes on Monday the 24th of August. The swell drops to a much more manageable 7ft from the south, period a solid 11 seconds, and the combined energy is a strong 1186. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNE at 6 mph, and the report says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. This is your best shot. The waves will have some grunt, but the clean conditions will sort it out. It’s a bit big for beginners, but for the intermediates and up, this is the morning to be in the water.
Monday afternoon the swell drops to 7ft from the SSE, still clean cross-off wind, but the report flags it as marginal. The tide might be playing tricks. Tuesday the 25th sees the swell drop right off to 4ft, and it stays small and clean for the rest of the week. Wednesday the 26th picks up a little to 5ft from the SE, and the Wednesday afternoon session looks the best of the small stuff – a gentle offshore breeze from the NNW making it clean.
From Thursday the 27th onwards, the swell drops below 3ft, and the combined energy falls into the weak hundreds. The period stays decent, but the size just isn’t there. There’s a real flat spell from around the 29th of August through to the 3rd of September, with waves barely reaching 3ft and energy levels down in the double digits. The wind is mostly clean, but there’s nothing to push you into.
Saturday the 5th of September throws another curveball – a 10ft SSW swell appears, but the cross-shore wind is fresh and lumpy, and it’s again too big for the break. The Sunday the 6th is messy onshore with an 8ft swell. Not a good note to end on.
So, your best bet is Monday morning the 24th of August at El Muelle. It’s the only day that combines real size with clean conditions for the experienced surfer. After that, it’s a long wait for the next proper swell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Sat morning, min 4°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 5°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Tue morning, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 11 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 16 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2149 | 2436 | 3329 | 7627 | 4651 | 2221 | 1186 | 867 | 304 | 229 | 411 | 1119 | 933 | 827 | 600 | 286 | 200 | 119 | 72 | 37 | 64 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:11PM1.13m | 3:34AM0.84m | 3:07PM1.12m | 4:37AM0.82m | 4:07PM1.14m | 5:33AM0.82m | 5:03PM1.17m | 6:19AM0.83m | 5:54PM1.22m | 6:59AM0.86m | 6:41PM1.27m | 7:34AM0.90m | 7:24PM1.30m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:31PM0.33m | 8:40AM0.61m | 10:35PM0.34m | 9:32AM0.62m | 11:40PM0.33m | 10:35AM0.61m | 00:38AM0.29m | 11:40AM0.59m | 1:27AM0.26m | 12:39PM0.54m | 2:10AM0.23m | 1:32PM0.49m | 2:49AM0.22m | ||||||||
7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
— | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:25 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 15 |
Feels °C | -1 | -2 | -3 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | — | — | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 |
3 | — | — | 7627 | 4651 | 2221 | 1186 | 867 | 304 | 229 | 251 | 1119 | 933 | 827 | 600 | 286 | 200 | 69 | 54 | 69 | 64 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 10 | E 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SE 16 | S 9 | — | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SE 11 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SE 10 |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 200 | 121 | 411 | 2 | — | 40 | 26 | 30 | 44 | 119 | 38 | 19 | 15 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 9 | SE 13 | SE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 6 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SW 6 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 61 | 166 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | 72 | 37 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 11 | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NNE 6 | NE 6 | — | W 3 | WSW 5 | — | NNW 3 | — | NE 3 |
2149 | 2436 | 3329 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 34 | 43 | 123 | 55 | 66 | — | 3 | 19 | — | 3 | — | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 221 | 613 | 531 | 79 | 79 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 79 | 80 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.











