Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 1,896 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 10s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's talk about the next couple of weeks at El Muelle.
It’s a bit of a slow burner to start. There’s some swell around, but the wind is just wrecking it. We’re looking at Sunday afternoon with 10ft of lumpy SSW swell and a strong cross-shore breeze. That’s a mess, not a surf. The water is a balmy 51°, which is 4° warmer than usual for this time of year - that’s a nice little gift, but you won’t feel it with that wind in your face.
Monday stays pretty average with 8-8ft of SSW swell but still cross-shore winds. It’s not until Tuesday morning that things start to clean up. We’ve got 6ft of S swell dropping, light offshores, and it’s looking clean. That’s your first real window, a proper surf for the experienced crew.
Wednesday morning is the standout of this first week though. Glassy conditions, 6ft of S swell, and the energy is moderate at 900. That's going to be clean, lined-up, and fun. Don't sleep on that one. The rest of that week just fades away as the swell drops. There’s a period of a few days with not much on offer. By Friday the 14th, we’re down to a weak 3ft and it's just not worth suiting up for. That poor stretch runs right through to the 17th, with a couple of days of knee-high dribble. A bit of a flat patch – that’s normal for this place.
Now, for the second week, things get interesting again. The swell fills back in, but there’s a catch. By the 22nd we’ve got a big 10ft SSW groundswell, and it’s forecast to be too big for El Muelle. That’s only for the experienced, and even then, it might be a washing machine. The energy is strong (1669-2293), but the size is just pushing it for this break.
The real highlight, the one I’d circle on the calendar, is the 24th. We’ve got a solid 8ft S swell with a long 13-second period. The energy is pumping at 3308 in the morning, which is strong. The wind is cross-shore, so it won't be perfect, but with that much size and period, there’s going to be some serious power. This is a promising day, but it's a week away, so we'll see how it shapes up. That’s the one you want to be looking at.
So, to keep it simple: get on it Wednesday morning. Then keep your eyes on the Monday the 24th for the big one. It’s not looking like a classic stretch, but there are a couple of proper windows in there.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Sun night, calm by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 10°C on Fri night, min 6°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 965 | 1212 | 1505 | 1442 | 778 | 755 | 785 | 551 | 1463 | 573 | 392 | 294 | 410 | 306 | 240 | 177 | 134 | 70 | 78 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross |
High Tide | 4:27AM0.92m | 4:19PM1.41m | 5:31AM0.92m | 5:24PM1.47m | 6:29AM0.94m | 6:26PM1.51m | 7:23AM0.98m | 7:24PM1.53m | 8:12AM1.04m | 8:18PM1.52m | 8:59AM1.09m | 9:11PM1.46m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:49PM0.15m | 9:44AM0.55m | 00:02AM0.11m | 10:59AM0.53m | 1:08AM0.07m | 12:20PM0.48m | 2:06AM0.04m | 1:31PM0.41m | 2:58AM0.04m | 2:34PM0.34m | 3:45AM0.07m | 3:31PM0.28m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — |
 | 6:08 | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:14 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | -1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 205 | 836 | 1505 | 1442 | 778 | 755 | 785 | 551 | 1463 | 573 | 392 | 294 | 410 | 306 | 240 | 177 | 134 | 64 | 71 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | E 10 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 15 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 11 | SSE 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | E 6 | ENE 7 | SE 8 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 4 | 2 | 1026 | 403 | 568 | 263 | 19 | 402 | 10 | 18 | 59 | 58 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 19 | 74 | 70 | 78 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | SE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 9 | NE 8 | SSW 10 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | S 8 | SSW 8 |
| kJ | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 30 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | SSW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 2 | — | E 3 | — | E 4 | — | SSW 3 | SSW 3 | — |
| kJ | 965 | 1212 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | 4 | — | 2 | 4 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 221 | 37 | 157 | 36 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 79 | 34 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 34 | 37 | 79 | 34 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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