El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 am 14 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.3°C
1.5° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, S swell with 1,102 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 21) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Mon 14th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Best Surf 3AM (Wed 16th Sep)5.5ft (1.7m) 9s
Most Powerful 9PM (Tue 15th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let's get into it. Rusty here, with the full rundown on what's coming our way for the next couple of weeks.

It’s been a slow start, no doubt about it. The first few days are looking pretty grim for any decent surfing, with the wind and swell just not lining up. We’re looking at a bit of a lull until Wednesday the 16th.

Things finally start to turn on Wednesday morning the 16th at El Muelle. That's when we get our first real chance. A clean 5 ft SSE groundswell, with a solid 10-second period, pushing in with some moderate wave energy (801). The wind will be light and cross-offshore from the NNW, leaving the surface clean. This is a proper morning session, with a touch of class to the waves. The water temp is sitting at 51°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so a bit of a bonus. It's a consistent spot, so expect waves to keep coming.

Wednesday afternoon holds onto that clean texture with 5 ft SSE swell, but the energy backs off a bit (623). It’s still a good option for an afternoon surf, just not the standout of the week.

The Thursday 17th sees the swell drop back a bit, with 3 ft SSE swell and moderate offshore winds in the morning. It's clean, but ordinary—nothing to write home about.

Then we hit a big gap. From Friday the 18th all the way through to Monday the 21st, the surf turns poor. Swell sizes are tiny, and the energy is weak. The wind is mostly cross-offshore, keeping it clean, but there’s just not enough wave to get excited about. This is a proper flat spell.

Tuesday the 22nd is the other standout in this forecast. Tuesday morning brings a solid 6 ft S groundswell with a 10-second period and substantial energy (682). The wind will be light and cross-offshore from the WNW, making for some clean, punchy waves. This is the pick of the bunch for the whole outlook—best swell size, good period, and clean conditions. Get on it if you can.

Tuesday afternoon the wind swings cross-shore, and the quality drops off. The rest of the week into the following Monday the 28th is a mixed bag of poor surf, with onshore winds and messy conditions dominating. There's a brief chance on Tuesday the 29th with a 5 ft S swell and light winds, but the cross-onshore element keeps it from being a true standout. The energy is there (592), but the wind direction is just off.

So, to sum it up: the window is tight. Wednesday the 16th morning is your first call, and Tuesday the 22nd morning is the main event. Outside of that, you’re looking at a lot of flat, blown-out, or just ordinary days. Keep an eye on that Tuesday the 22nd—that's the one.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 3°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue morning, calm by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSE
9
0.8
WSW
6
0.4
ENE
8
2.1
SSW
6
2.5
SSW
8
2
SSW
10
1.6
SSE
10
1.5
SSE
10
1.2
SSE
9
1
SSE
9
0.9
SSE
8
0.4
SSE
9
0.2
S
12
0.2
S
11
0.9
NE
5
0.6
NE
5
0.8
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
0.9
ENE
6
1
ENE
7
1
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
88
44
22
346
955
726
502
428
237
154
103
33
11
10
43
22
36
77
65
111
119
Wind (km/h)
30
NW
30
WNW
25
NW
50
SSW
35
S
15
SSE
10
NNW
20
N
30
N
25
NNW
15
NW
15
NNW
10
NNW
20
N
20
NNE
20
N
20
NNE
20
NNE
20
N
20
N
15
NW
Wind State
off
off
off
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
9:10AM1.24m
9:41PM1.25m
9:49AM1.26m
10:27PM1.17m
10:29AM1.26m
11:14PM1.08m
11:08AM1.24m
00:02AM0.99m
11:49AM1.20m
00:53AM0.91m
12:34PM1.16m
1:51AM0.85m
1:26PM1.12m
2:58AM0.80m
Low Tide
4:04PM0.17m
4:25AM0.33m
4:50PM0.16m
4:58AM0.40m
5:34PM0.18m
5:29AM0.47m
6:19PM0.21m
6:01AM0.53m
7:06PM0.26m
6:35AM0.57m
7:59PM0.31m
7:15AM0.60m
8:58PM0.34m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
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rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:39
6:40
6:42
6:43
6:44
6:45
6:45
 mm
5
Temp °C
9
14
11
7
6
6
6
11
10
16
21
20
18
20
17
18
19
16
19
22
15
Feels °C
1
8
5
-2
-3
-1
1
6
5
12
19
17
15
17
13
15
16
13
16
19
15
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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