Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 13s period, S swell with 330 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.
The whole 16 days is a bit of a mixed bag: a rough start, some near-misses, and then a real payoff in the second week if you’re patient. The swell isn’t huge, but when the wind plays ball, it’ll be worth the wait.
The only spot on the radar is El Muelle, a beach and pier setup. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.
The first few days are a total write-off. Monday the 20th through Wednesday the 23rd are full of junky onshore winds and weak, messy swell. The combined energy is moderate, around 157 to 263, but the wind is just ruining everything. Don’t bother.
Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th stay tiny, with waves around 1ft to 3ft from the SSE. The wind finally goes cross-offshore, cleaning things up, but the energy is weak (127 to 170). You’ll find a ripple if you’re desperate, but it’s not worth the effort.
We start to see something on Sunday the 26th of July. The afternoon brings a 3ft swell from the ENE with a moderate offshore wind out of the NW. The combined energy is 154 (moderate), and the conditions are clean. This is the first real, surfable window. It’s small, but it’s clean.
The highlight of the whole forecast is the Thursday the 30th of July. We’ve got a 5ft to 5ft swell from the SSW, with a period of 8-9 seconds. The wind goes glassy offshore from the WNW and NW, dropping to just 3 mph in the afternoon. The combined energy jumps to 453 (strong) to 458 (strong). This is proper, clean surf. The swell direction is a little off the optimum SSE, but with that glassy offshore wind, El Muelle will be running clean and fun. It’s a standout. Because it’s a beach and pier, that short period (8-9 seconds) will keep the waves bowling a bit more, so it won’t be too straight.
The 1st of August also looks reasonable. The Saturday afternoon brings a 4ft swell from the SSW, with a light cross-offshore breeze and a combined energy of 210 (moderate). Clean, but not as strong as Thursday.
The 2nd of August (Sunday) afternoon is another good call. A 5ft swell from the SSW with a longer 11-second period, combined energy of 497 (strong), and a gentle offshore breeze. This is a solid groundswell, and with that period, it’s going to have some push. Keep in mind, at a beach break, that longer period can make it a bit straight, but the offshore wind will help.
The 4th of August (Tuesday morning) also shows a clean 4ft swell from the ENE with a light cross-offshore breeze and combined energy of 226 (moderate). A nice bonus.
The best calls of the whole 16 days are the Thursday the 30th of July and the Sunday the 2nd of August. The Thursday is the cleaner of the two, with that glassy, light wind, while the Sunday has a bit more size and power. Keep an eye on the forecast, because the long-range stuff is promising but less certain.
Stay patient, and don’t waste your energy on the early days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 10°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 4°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | ENE 10 | S 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 7 | S 6 | SSW 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 12 | S 12 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 177 | 133 | 84 | 85 | 76 | 88 | 98 | 43 | 171 | 106 | 84 | 42 | 64 | 51 | 110 | 330 | 163 | 75 | 64 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:14PM1.35m | 11:50AM1.12m | 00:08AM1.23m | 12:37PM1.14m | 1:04AM1.11m | 1:23PM1.15m | 2:03AM1.01m | 2:10PM1.15m | 3:05AM0.94m | 2:58PM1.14m | 4:06AM0.90m | 3:48PM1.14m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:25AM0.19m | 6:33PM0.30m | 7:05AM0.29m | 7:27PM0.30m | 7:42AM0.38m | 8:20PM0.31m | 8:17AM0.47m | 9:14PM0.32m | 8:52AM0.54m | 10:10PM0.32m | 9:30AM0.59m | 11:07PM0.31m | |||||||
 |  | | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 6 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | SSW 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 12 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 177 | 105 | 84 | 32 | 76 | 88 | 98 | 43 | 54 | 106 | 84 | 42 | 64 | 43 | 110 | 330 | 163 | 75 | 64 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | SSW 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | SSE 10 | S 8 | SSW 7 | NE 9 | NE 5 | ENE 9 | S 10 |
| kJ | 167 | 133 | 77 | 85 | 51 | 43 | 18 | 33 | 27 | 63 | 27 | 28 | 35 | 33 | 16 | 20 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 8 | E 6 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SSW 10 | ESE 10 | SSE 5 | ENE 8 | E 7 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | NE 8 | — | NE 9 | S 11 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | — | 7 | 11 | 45 | 30 | 27 | 18 | 19 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 16 | 34 | 51 | 18 | — | 20 | 2 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | ESE 6 | — | ESE 3 | — | — | — | S 6 | S 6 | — | NNE 2 | NNE 3 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NNW 3 | NE 5 | N 3 |
| kJ | 3 | 12 | — | 7 | — | — | — | 39 | 171 | — | 1 | 3 | 28 | 36 | 44 | 52 | 3 | 29 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 37 | 79 | 79 | 910 | 79 | 80 | 0 | 221 | 79 | 34 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 34 | 34 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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