El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 08 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.6° C
2.3° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, S swell with 1,771 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 8 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 10s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sat 8th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf 9PM (Sat 8th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 9PM (Mon 10th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, and we’ve got a wild ride ahead for the next couple of weeks at El Muelle. The swell forecast is a bit of a rollercoaster, with some huge energy and some real doldrums, so let’s break it down.

We’re starting off this Saturday afternoon, August 8th, with a massive pulse of swell. We’re looking at a solid 12 ft SW swell, but it’s packing a massive 2104 (strong wave energy) punch. The wind is a cross-off from the WSW at 28 mph. Look, the size and the wind are going to make it a real handful, and the data tells us it’s simply too big for this spot. This one is for absolute experts only, if anyone is mad enough to try.

Sunday, August 9th, keeps that same 12 ft SW swell rolling in the morning, with 19 mph W cross-off winds. Still way too big and on the edge of manageable. The energy is still high at 1874. By the afternoon, the swell drops a touch to 8 ft SW, but the wind swings to a strong cross-shore from the SSW at 25 mph, making a total mess of things. The surf quality is poor.

Monday, August 10th, sees the swell settle to around 8-8 ft from the SSW, but we’ve got cross and cross-onshore winds all day. The energy is still moderate at 1688 and 2376, but the conditions are marginal at best. It’s a write-off for a good session.

Now, here’s the real standout. Tuesday morning, August 11th. The swell drops to a much more manageable 6 ft from the S, with a period of 11 seconds, and the wind turns glassy from the WNW at just 3 mph. That’s a clean, cross-off breeze. The energy is still moderate at 1250, and the report calls it excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is the window. Get out there early for some clean, lined-up waves before the afternoon wind shifts.

The rest of that week into the weekend (Aug 12th-16th) is a real slow-down. Swell sizes drop under 5 ft, and the energy falls away to weak or low-moderate levels (843 and lower). Winds are a mix of onshore and light cross-off, but the surf quality is poor to marginal. There are a couple of moments on Friday morning, August 14th, with a 4 ft S swell and light N cross-off winds, but the energy is very weak at 305. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

Then we hit a real lull. From Saturday, August 15th, through to Tuesday, August 18th, the swell energy drops into the double digits (94-161) and the conditions are consistently poor. There’s a lot of onshore wind and very small, weak swell.

However, a massive pulse comes back in on Tuesday afternoon, August 18th, with a 10 ft SSW swell (period 11s) and a strong energy reading of 2412. The wind is a gentle cross-onshore from the ESE at 9 mph. Again, the data says it’s too big for this break, so that’s a no-go for paddle surfing unless you’re a pro. It’s a big, powerful, and dangerous swell.

After that, the surf drops off again. Wednesday and Thursday (Aug 19-20) see 4-7 ft swell with cross-on winds and marginal to poor conditions. Friday, August 21st, has a small 3 ft SSE swell with a clean cross-off wind, but the energy is weak. The final weekend (Aug 22-23) is back to small, weak, and choppy conditions. Not much to get excited about.

So, to wrap it up: The best and most reliable surf in this 16-day window is Tuesday morning, August 11th. The 6 ft S swell with glassy offshores at El Muelle is your ticket. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and rideable. The big swells on the 8th and 18th are just too much for this spot. Everything else is a gamble with weak swell or poor winds.

Stay frothy, and don’t miss that Tuesday morning window.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Sat afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Fri morning, min 6°C on Tue afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
!
0
0
2
1
3
4
2
2
2
1
2
0
1
3
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
9
3
SW
9
3.5
SW
9
2.5
SW
9
2.5
SSW
8
2.3
SSW
9
2.4
SSW
12
2.3
S
11
1.9
S
11
1.7
S
11
1.7
S
10
1.6
S
10
1.1
SSE
14
1.5
S
12
1.3
SSE
11
1.3
SSE
10
1.4
SSE
11
1.2
S
10
1.1
SSE
10
0.9
SSE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2033
1190
1735
1098
770
904
1437
1351
843
663
598
520
529
615
415
363
504
302
245
146
Wind (km/h)
45
WSW
30
W
30
W
40
SSW
35
SSW
20
SSW
15
SSW
10
SW
5
WNW
10
SSE
5
ENE
5
E
10
SE
10
E
15
SE
15
E
10
NNE
10
N
15
NE
20
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
3:19AM0.95m
3:13PM1.35m
4:27AM0.92m
4:19PM1.41m
5:31AM0.92m
5:24PM1.47m
6:29AM0.94m
6:26PM1.51m
7:23AM0.98m
7:24PM1.53m
8:12AM1.04m
8:18PM1.52m
Low Tide
9:36PM0.18m
8:43AM0.55m
10:49PM0.15m
9:44AM0.55m
00:02AM0.11m
10:59AM0.53m
1:08AM0.07m
12:20PM0.48m
2:06AM0.04m
1:31PM0.41m
2:58AM0.04m
2:34PM0.34m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:43
7:43
7:41
7:41
7:39
7:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:10
6:12
6:13
6:14
 mm
Temp °C
9
7
9
8
8
8
8
8
6
6
6
7
7
7
7
7
7
9
12
11
Feels °C
-1
-1
-1
-2
-1
2
3
5
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
5
8
8
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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