El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s shaking on the water for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag. The first few days are a write-off for anything decent, with a messy combo of onshore winds and small, weak swell. But hang tight, because there’s a solid window of clean, powerful surf shaping up around the middle of next week, and a few other glimmers worth knowing about.

The standout by a long shot is Monday, August 24th at El Muelle. That morning, we’re looking at a clean 8ft SSE groundswell with a 12-second period pushing in from the preferred direction. The wind is light and offshore out of the north, keeping things glassy. This is proper, serious wave energy (combined energy of 1669) – strong enough that it’s really only for experienced surfers. It’s a consistent setup, so expect sets to keep coming, but that long period means the gaps between them will be a little longer, making the paddle out feel a bit easier. The afternoon drops a touch to 7ft but stays clean. Crowds are a possibility here, so get in early.

The build-up to that is a bit of a slog. Thursday, August 20th through to Sunday, August 23rd are dominated by a massive, overpowering swell that’s just too big for this break, with rough, cross-shore winds. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing freaky.

After the main event, we get a few more decent sessions. Tuesday, August 25th afternoon sees a cleaner 4ft SSE swell with offshore wind, but the energy is weak (414). Wednesday, August 26th is much better – a 5ft, 14-second SE groundswell with clean, offshore conditions all day. The energy is moderate (876), and the waves will have some real shape and push. Thursday, August 27th also offers clean, offshore conditions with a 3-4ft SE swell, but it’s on the smaller side.

From Friday, August 28th onward, the energy drops right off. The surf becomes small, weak, and mostly blown out or onshore. There’s a long dry spell from the 29th of August all the way through to the end of the forecast on the 4th of September, with only tiny, poor waves and unfavorable winds. The only hint of life is a marginal 3ft SSE swell on the morning of Tuesday, September 1st, but it’s not worth getting excited about – the wind is questionable.

So, bottom line: the real gold is Monday, August 24th morning. If you’re experienced and can handle a solid 8ft swell, that’s your window. Wednesday the 26th is a good backup for a smaller, clean day. After that, it’s time to wax the longboard or pick up a different hobby for a while.

Rusty.

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