Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period, E swell with 383 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks. This forecast is all about waiting for the right moment, because there's a long dry spell of poor conditions heading our way. We're looking at a week and a half of onshore and cross-shore winds that are going to keep things messy. Don't bother checking the cams every day; the combined swell energy will climb into the hundreds, but the quality just won't be there for a good ride.
So, let’s get to the one real bright spot. The session to circle on your calendar is Tuesday afternoon, July 21st, at El Muelle. This is our break. We're looking at a 1.5m swell pushing in from the South, with a 9-second period. That'll bring some decent lines. The water temp is about 51°F right now, which is a touch warmer than usual for the season, so a 4/3 will do you fine. But the main story here is the wind. We've got a light breeze from the WSW that's blowing cross-offshore. That means the surface is going to be glassy and clean, giving us some proper groomed waves. The total energy is moderate, clocking in at 414, so there's a good push. It's a consistent spot, exposed to the swell, so it'll pick up plenty. Just be aware that crowds are a possibility here sometimes, so plan your paddle-out accordingly.
Before that big day, it's pretty grim. From the 7th through the 20th, we've got a string of poor to marginal conditions. There is a brief glimmer on the Saturday afternoon, July 11th, with an offshore breeze and a 0.8m, 11-second period swell from the East. The energy is only 272, so it's tiny and clean, but far from a standout.
The worst of it hits around Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th. Swell builds to 2.1m and 2.2m from the ENE and SW. That’s getting into expert-only territory and is too big for beginners. The combined energy jumps to 584 and 678, so there's a lot of power out there. But with cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, and short-period swell, this beach and pier setup is going to look a heap better for the kite surfers than for us paddle guys. It'll be a choppy, bumpy mess.
The long and short of it is: be patient. The next week and a half is a write-off. Save your energy and your wax, and make sure you're free for that Tuesday afternoon the 21st of July down at El Muelle. That’s the one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 4°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Tue night, light winds from the W by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri night, strong winds from the SW by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 9 | E 11 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 167 | 159 | 238 | 137 | 126 | 131 | 128 | 92 | 210 | 198 | 227 | 167 | 139 | 143 | 299 | 290 | 225 | 186 | 164 | 158 | 154 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 12:17PM0.99m | 00:30AM1.17m | 1:00PM1.05m | 1:27AM1.12m | 1:47PM1.13m | 2:31AM1.07m | 2:39PM1.21m | 3:38AM1.03m | 3:36PM1.30m | 4:44AM1.01m | 4:36PM1.39m | 5:46AM1.00m | 5:36PM1.47m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:50PM0.44m | 7:35AM0.37m | 7:42PM0.38m | 8:08AM0.43m | 8:40PM0.30m | 8:43AM0.48m | 9:44PM0.23m | 9:24AM0.52m | 10:53PM0.15m | 10:13AM0.53m | 00:05AM0.08m | 11:14AM0.53m | 1:13AM0.02m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | | |  | | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — |
 | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Feels °C | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | ENE 5 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 11 |
| kJ | 123 | 159 | 238 | 137 | 126 | 131 | 128 | 92 | 210 | 198 | 128 | 167 | 139 | 28 | 299 | 290 | 225 | 118 | 79 | 54 | 154 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | SSE 8 | S 10 | S 8 | WSW 6 | SW 5 | S 11 | E 12 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | SSE 9 | S 14 | SE 8 | S 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | NE 6 |
| kJ | 167 | 92 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76 | 39 | 40 | 227 | 164 | 122 | 101 | 15 | 46 | 26 | 186 | 164 | 158 | 39 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 14 | S 13 | S 7 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 10 | E 16 | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | ESE 15 | E 11 | S 11 | S 13 | SSW 12 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | SSW 10 | S 14 |
| kJ | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 28 | 20 | 130 | 143 | 2 | 31 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 6 | — | — | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 7 | — | ENE 4 | NE 4 | — | SE 8 | SSE 6 | SSE 7 | — | N 3 | NNE 4 | NNW 4 |
| kJ | 28 | 18 | 36 | 52 | — | — | 15 | 35 | 73 | 137 | — | 11 | 26 | — | 244 | 113 | 143 | — | 11 | 41 | 12 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 41 | 0 | 182 | 33 | 0 | 33 | 461 | 574 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 43 | 205 | 1123 | 221 | 221 | 221 | 37 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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