El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 am 11 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.5° C
2.1° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 11s period, SSE swell with 800 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.8m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 9s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Wed 12th Aug)6ft (1.9m) 10s
Best Surf12AM (Wed 12th Aug)6ft (1.9m) 10s
Most Powerful 9PM (Thu 13th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it, because this run at El Muelle has got some serious moments if you time it right. Water temp is sitting at 51° right now, which is a whole 4° warmer than average for this time of year – you won’t need the thickest wetsuit, that’s a nice little bonus.

The setup here is a beach and pier break, consistent, and it’s fully exposed to the south. It wants the swell from SSE direction for best shape, and we get that. The week kicks off properly on Tuesday morning the 11th. We’ve got a solid 6 ft S swell with a period of 11 seconds (good groundswell energy) and the combined energy is dialled right up at 1341 (strong). Wind is a light W cross-off at 10 km/h. That’s clean, that’s the real deal – excellent for experienced surfers. This is your standout of the whole run. Wednesday morning the 12th is glassy – NW wind at just 5 km/h, dead flat water, 6 ft S swell (949 combined energy). Those early windows are the ones you want to be in the water for.

Things go a bit south from Thursday morning the 13th through Saturday the 15th – cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions kill the quality. The swell hangs around but it’s messy. Then Sunday the 16th morning brings a little relief – glassy conditions with a tiny 4 ft ENE short-period swell (6 seconds, 167 energy) – it’s surfable but very ordinary. Not what you’d drive for.

Now, skip ahead to Tuesday morning the 18th – clean again, NW offshore wind at 10 km/h, 5 ft SSW swell (585 combined, moderate energy). Good shape, good vibes, intermediate-friendly. Then there’s a bit of a dry spell with poor options and small surf through to the 24th. But keep your eye on Tuesday the 25th – that morning shows a 7 ft S groundswell (12-second period) and 1222 combined energy. That’s a proper pulse, though the wind is light cross-shore so expect a little texture. That’s expert territory at that size.

Wednesday morning the 26th finishes strong with glassy conditions again, 6 ft S swell and 12-second period. Clean lines, plenty of energy. That’s your second standout if you miss the Tuesday morning the 11th. All in all, two real windows worth chasing: Tuesday the 11th morning and Wednesday the 26th morning.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 10°C on Thu night, min 5°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Sun night).

Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
2
3
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
S
11
1.8
S
11
1.9
S
10
1.7
S
11
1.1
SSE
14
1.4
S
12
1.3
SSE
11
1.6
SSE
10
1.7
SSE
11
1.3
SSE
10
1.2
SSE
10
0.9
SSE
9
0.7
SE
9
0.8
SSE
8
1.3
ENE
5
1.3
ENE
6
1.2
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
9
1.7
SSE
6
1.9
SSW
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
683
755
785
670
521
546
392
482
667
349
288
146
77
80
103
136
121
187
213
208
390
Wind (km/h)
10
W
10
S
5
ENE
5
NW
10
SSE
10
SE
20
ESE
20
ENE
15
NE
20
NE
25
NE
25
NE
20
NE
20
NE
15
NE
5
SE
15
S
30
SSW
30
S
25
S
10
SSE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
High Tide
5:24PM1.47m
6:29AM0.94m
6:26PM1.51m
7:23AM0.98m
7:24PM1.53m
8:12AM1.04m
8:18PM1.52m
8:59AM1.09m
9:11PM1.46m
9:44AM1.15m
10:01PM1.37m
10:27AM1.19m
10:52PM1.26m
Low Tide
10:59AM0.53m
1:08AM0.07m
12:20PM0.48m
2:06AM0.04m
1:31PM0.41m
2:58AM0.04m
2:34PM0.34m
3:45AM0.07m
3:31PM0.28m
4:27AM0.12m
4:25PM0.24m
5:07AM0.20m
5:16PM0.23m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:41
7:41
7:39
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:10
6:12
6:13
6:14
6:14
6:15
6:15
 mm
2
1
1
Temp °C
6
7
7
6
7
7
7
8
10
12
13
11
12
12
11
12
11
10
7
7
7
Feels °C
3
4
4
4
4
2
2
3
6
7
8
6
8
8
8
12
8
6
0
1
2
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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