El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming up for El Muelle.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a flat start. The first surf worth talking about doesn’t show up until Friday afternoon, July 24th. Before that, there’s nothing worthwhile. So, we’re looking at a quiet couple of days to kick things off.

Friday afternoon, July 24th, the wind finally swings offshore from the NW and the swell is a modest 2ft from the south, with a 14-second period giving it some real push. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 51°F – that’s a couple of degrees above what you’d expect for this time of year, so it’s a pleasant surprise. The combined energy is moderate (209). It’s clean, it’s rideable, but it’s not going to blow your mind.

The pattern over the next few days is pretty ordinary. Saturday and Sunday are a write-off with messy winds and short-period, weak swell. Monday morning, July 27th, offers a clean 4ft from the SSW at 10 seconds, but the energy is moderate (235) and the wind is cross-off, so it’s a marginal session at best. Tuesday morning, July 28th, gives you a tiny 3ft with a light breeze, but it’s really just a grovel.

Now, the first real standout comes on Thursday morning, July 30th. We’ve got glassy conditions – zero wind from the ESE – and a clean 5ft swell from the south with a 9-second period. The combined energy is strong (464). This is the kind of morning you set an alarm for. The beach/pier setup at El Muelle should be clean and offering some fun, head-high waves. Keep in mind crowds are possible here, so get in early.

The second week brings a serious uptick in size, but the wind is a problem. August 1st and 2nd see building swell, but it’s mostly cross or cross-on with lumpy conditions. By Monday morning, August 3rd, there’s a clean 5ft from the ENE with a 9-second period (450 energy), but it’s still only marginal.

The absolute best of the entire 16-day window is shaping up for Wednesday, August 5th. Wednesday morning we’ve got a 6ft easterly swell with an 11-second period, offshore wind from the WNW, and very good surf conditions predicted. The combined energy is strong (809). The water is clean, the sets will have some push, and it’s a proper groundswell. That’s the day to circle. Thursday afternoon, August 6th, is also a standout for experienced surfers – 8ft from the ESE with a 10-second period, offshore wind, and excellent conditions (1551 energy). That’s big, powerful, and clean, but at that size, it’s only for the crew who know what they’re doing.

After that, the wind turns onshore and the quality drops off for the rest of the forecast. It’s a classic case of the first week being small and clean, the second week delivering the goods on a couple of days, and then fading.

Keep your eyes on Wednesday, August 5th, and Thursday, August 6th. That’s where the magic is.

Rusty.

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