El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 03 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.7°C
2.1° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, S swell with 733 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Mon 7th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Best Surf12AM (Mon 7th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Most Powerful 3AM (Sun 6th Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about El Muelle.

Alright, so we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming up over the next 16 days. There’s a lot of swell on the cards, but the winds and conditions are going to play games with us. For the most part, we’ll be scratching around for a window, but there are a couple of days that stand out as real beauties if you time it right.

We’re kicking off on Thursday, September 3rd, but honestly, it’s a write-off. Waves around 3ft from the ENE, but the wind is a messy cross-off and the overall energy is weak (142). Water temp is sitting at 51°, which is a solid 4° warmer than average for this time of year – that’s properly noticeable, you’ll be in a spring suit at most. But the surf is just poor.

Friday the 4th isn’t much better. We get a knee-high 4ft from the SSW with a short period of 7 seconds. Combined energy is moderate (277), but the winds are cross and cross-off, making it a messy one. Not worth paddling out.

Then on Saturday the 5th, the swell kicks up to 8ft from the SSW, but it’s a rain shower day with a fresh 19 mph cross-off wind. The energy gets a solid kick (936), but the quality is still only marginal. It’s not clean enough to get excited about, and the short period means it’ll be lumpy.

Come Sunday the 6th, we’ve got a solid 8ft south swell (1041 energy) but it’s blowing straight onshore from the SSE at 16 mph. That’s a washing machine. Not good for surfing.

The first half of the next week – Monday 7th through to Thursday 10th – is a proper flat spell. Swells drop below 2ft with barely any energy. The water goes glassy on the 9th, but with only 1ft of ENE swell, you’d be bobbing around on a lake. A real dead patch for about four days.

Things start flickering back to life on Saturday, September 12th. This is where it gets interesting. By the afternoon, we’ve got 6ft from the south, a light WSW breeze at only 6 mph, and the energy is pumping (895). The setup is clean and the wind is cross-off. This is the first real standout of the period – waves will be clean, steep, and packing some punch.

Sunday the 13th stays clean but runs smaller at 5ft from the SSE, with moderate north winds. The energy is still strong (665). It’s a decent follow-up day.

Monday the 14th has potential. The afternoon swings into a fresh offshore breeze from the NW at 19 mph, with a solid 7ft south swell. The energy is very strong (754). The offshore wind will make for some beautiful, groomed lines, but this is expert territory with that swell height. Not for beginners.

Tuesday the 15th sees a drop in wind to a light breeze, and 4ft from the SSW in the afternoon. Energy is moderate (435), and conditions are clean. A nice, more relaxed option.

Now, the real highlight looks to be Wednesday, September 16th. The afternoon brings 7ft of swell from the south with a long period of 12 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. The wind is a cross-off from the west, and the combined energy hits a very strong 1085. The wave quality is excellent – expect long, powerful walls. This is a day for your step-up board and a keen eye on the tides. Perfect for a point break style setup.

Thursday, September 17th is a mess. We get a massive 8ft south swell (3605 energy) but it’s howling onshore from the SSW at 25 mph. That’s strong cross-onshore wind and messy – more suited to kite surfers than paddle surfers.

Finally, Friday, September 18th finishes strong. The morning has 5ft from the SSE with a 12-second period and a moderate offshore wind from the NW (773 energy). The afternoon holds at 5ft with 11 seconds and the same offshore breeze (525 energy). Clean, lined up, and very good. A great way to end the forecast.

To wrap it up, the best on offer is that Wednesday the 16th afternoon session, with the Saturday the 12th afternoon as a close runner-up. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too gnarly for the casual paddle.

Stay salty, Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 6°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Fri night, light winds from the SSE by Sun morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 4°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Thu
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
ENE
10
1.8
SSW
7
1.4
SSW
7
1.4
SW
7
1.6
SW
6
2.2
SSW
8
1.9
SSW
9
2.3
S
8
1.7
SSW
10
1.5
SSW
9
1.3
SE
8
1
SE
8
1
SE
8
0.7
SE
10
0.4
S
8
0.2
S
12
0.2
S
12
0.2
S
14
0.2
S
13
0.4
SW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
173
325
202
178
207
635
566
675
586
375
232
132
142
92
25
11
11
16
14
25
Wind (km/h)
35
SW
25
WSW
20
W
25
SW
25
WSW
25
SW
30
SSE
35
S
20
SSE
10
SSE
15
N
20
NNW
25
N
25
N
30
NNW
30
NNW
20
NNW
15
NW
15
NNW
15
N
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
11:57PM1.09m
11:56AM1.31m
00:53AM1.01m
12:50PM1.33m
1:57AM0.93m
1:52PM1.34m
3:06AM0.89m
3:00PM1.35m
4:15AM0.87m
4:10PM1.38m
5:18AM0.90m
5:16PM1.41m
Low Tide
6:22PM0.17m
6:11AM0.48m
7:19PM0.17m
6:46AM0.52m
8:23PM0.17m
7:31AM0.55m
9:34PM0.18m
8:31AM0.56m
10:48PM0.17m
9:48AM0.54m
11:56PM0.15m
11:12AM0.50m
00:56AM0.13m
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:09
7:07
7:05
7:03
7:03
7:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:30
6:31
6:31
6:32
6:34
6:35
6:36
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
10
9
11
12
9
8
8
6
6
6
5
7
11
8
12
15
14
17
19
17
Feels °C
2
4
5
5
4
1
-1
-3
0
1
1
0
4
2
4
9
10
14
16
14
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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