El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, Rusty here with a look at what's coming our way. We've got a bit of a slow start, but things eventually get interesting.

Right now, there's nothing really doing. The first sniff of a proper surf shows up on Friday the 10th of July at El Muelle. This spot is a beach/pier set-up, fully exposed to the swell. The water is sitting at 52°, which is a solid 4° warmer than what we'd normally expect for this time of year, so it's much warmer than average.

But that first day? Scratch it off. We're looking at a 6ft swell from the ESE with a period of 10 seconds, but it's blowing a cross-onshore wind at 12 mph, making it choppy. The wave energy is moderate (1197). It’s just messy, nothing to get excited about.

Saturday the 11th is a write-off too. The morning might have a tiny 4ft easterly swell with light onshore wind, but conditions are marginal. By the afternoon, the swell drops to a pathetic 2ft. Sunday and Monday don't pick up enough quality to matter either. The next week is a long stretch of weak, small surf with mostly poor conditions. The wind is often onshore or cross-shore, and the swell just lacks any punch. There are a few tiny windows with clean conditions, but the swell is tiny.

We're looking at a long gap of mostly flat or poor waves for over a week.

The real standout, and it's only for the experts, is way out on Monday the 20th of July. A good-sized pulse of swell from the SW arrives, hitting 8ft. The period is short, at just 7-8 seconds, but the wind turns clean with a strong cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is strong (517-628). This is going to be powerful and lumpy, but it will be clean. It’s not for beginners, but if you’re keen and know what you're doing, it could have some grunt.

The other moment to keep an eye on is Tuesday the 21st of July. The swell drops a bit to 4-4ft from the SSE, still a short 8 seconds, but we get a proper offshore wind. The afternoon session with a gentle 9 mph WNW offshore breeze and clean conditions will be the best pick for average surfers. The energy is moderate (244-285). It won't be pumping, but it'll be clean and rideable.

After that, the wheels fall off again. We get a massive swell on the 23rd and 24th of July, with the wave energy going through the roof (5806 at one point) and the swell hitting 13-16ft. But the wind is absolutely howling onshore and cross-onshore, making it a messy, dangerous washing machine. Those days are purely for looking at, not surfing. From the 24th onward, the swell starts to back off, but the wind stays cross-shore, keeping things ordinary.

So, to sum it up: there's a long stretch of nothing, then a couple of clean days around the 20th and 21st for the keen, but nothing that screams "drop everything and go."

Rusty.

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