El Muelle Surf Break

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

Issued: 8 pm 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
11.2° C

1.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 7s period, SSW swell with 588 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 2.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Tue 7th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 9s
Best Surf12PM (Tue 7th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 9s
Most Powerful 9PM (Mon 6th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what El Muelle is putting on the table.

Right now, the surf is dead flat. We're looking at a bit of a dry spell before anything happens. The first hint of a wave won't show up until Tuesday, July 7th, and even that's small.

The whole pattern is a slow one. We get a tiny window mid-week, then a long stretch of nothing, and finally a little pulse at the end. Let's get into it.

Tuesday, July 7th is your only real chance in the first week. The morning brings a small 4ft swell from the ESE with clean conditions thanks to a cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (413), so it'll have some life. But the afternoon is the real deal: the wind turns offshore from the NW, cleaning up a 3ft E swell (9-second period). Energy drops a little (290), but it's clean and rideable. That Tuesday afternoon session is the standout of the whole week – the best you're gonna get.

After that, it's a long, quiet stretch. Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th are poor with onshore winds and weak, choppy waves. Friday the 10th is a washout. Saturday the 11th sees a bump to 5ft, but it's onshore and messy. Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th get bigger (6ft) but are blown out with strong onshore winds. The ocean will have plenty of energy (764 on Sunday morning), but the quality is terrible. For five straight days, from Wednesday the 8th through Sunday the 12th, there's nothing to recommend.

Now, look ahead to the following weekend. Saturday, July 18th shows some real potential. The morning has a clean 4ft wave from the E with a gentle cross-offshore breeze and light energy (289). Then the afternoon gets even better: the swell jumps to 5ft from the E, the wind drops to almost nothing (3 mph), and we get glassy, clean conditions. Energy climbs to 374. That Saturday afternoon is your standout of the whole outlook. It's a long way off, so don't hold your breath, but that's the one to circle on the calendar.

Sunday the 19th is a write-off with heavy rain and strong onshore winds. Monday the 20th brings a much bigger (8ft), powerful swell from the E with a long 12-second period, but it's hammered by onshore winds. That's expert-only and blown out. The energy is massive (1649), but it's no good for us. Tuesday the 21st remains big (6ft) with a long period (12s) and cross-shore wind, making it a marginal call.

So, to sum it up: if you can get out Tuesday afternoon, July 7th, you'll snag a few clean ones. Otherwise, keep your eyes on Saturday, July 18th. That's the best this place has to offer.

Rusty, out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the S by Wed afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Wed night, min 7°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sun
12
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
E
10
0.9
E
10
1.8
SSW
6
1.8
SSE
8
1.1
ESE
10
1
E
9
0.6
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
9
0.9
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
11
0.8
E
10
1
E
10
0.9
E
10
0.9
E
10
1.4
SE
10
1.5
SE
10
1.3
SSE
10
1.3
SSE
10
1.8
SE
9
1.8
SE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
188
146
200
416
235
176
97
166
147
154
187
125
218
158
158
400
432
314
296
526
263
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
25
SW
40
SW
30
WSW
20
WNW
20
NW
30
WNW
20
W
10
SSW
15
SE
20
E
15
E
10
SE
10
SE
10
SE
10
SE
15
SE
20
ESE
10
ESE
20
SE
25
SE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
High Tide
10:55PM1.25m
11:39AM0.94m
11:40PM1.21m
12:17PM0.99m
00:30AM1.17m
1:00PM1.05m
1:27AM1.12m
1:47PM1.13m
2:31AM1.07m
2:39PM1.21m
3:38AM1.03m
3:36PM1.30m
4:44AM1.01m
4:36PM1.39m
Low Tide
6:26AM0.27m
6:03PM0.48m
7:01AM0.32m
6:50PM0.44m
7:35AM0.37m
7:42PM0.38m
8:08AM0.43m
8:40PM0.30m
8:43AM0.48m
9:44PM0.23m
9:24AM0.52m
10:53PM0.15m
10:13AM0.53m
cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:06
8:06
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:44
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:46
 mm
Temp °C
7
8
8
9
9
13
13
11
10
9
8
8
7
8
7
7
7
8
8
9
9
Feels °C
2
0
-1
1
3
8
5
5
7
6
4
4
3
4
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
E
10
0.9
E
10
0.8
E
10
1.8
SSE
8
1.2
SSE
8
1
E
9
0.7
ESE
9
0.9
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
9
0.9
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
11
0.8
E
10
1.1
S
8
0.9
E
10
0.9
SE
8
1.4
SE
10
1.5
SE
10
1.3
SSE
10
1.3
SSE
10
0.8
ESE
13
0.7
ESE
13
Energy kJ
188
146
113
416
173
176
84
166
147
154
187
125
141
158
88
400
432
314
296
225
173
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
S
13
0.3
S
12
0.1
S
17
0.5
E
9
1.1
ESE
10
0.9
SSE
8
0.6
ESE
11
0.1
S
8
0.1
S
7
0.6
SSW
6
0.7
SSW
6
0.8
SSW
7
1
E
10
0.7
SSW
8
0.9
E
10
0.8
E
10
0.8
E
10
0.7
E
11
0.9
E
13
0.2
S
13
0.2
S
12
Energy kJ
31
25
6
43
235
107
97
1
1
22
36
61
218
68
158
125
121
108
280
13
11
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
10
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
16
0.2
S
10
0.5
SSE
7
0.1
S
8
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
7
0.1
S
11
0.4
ESE
12
0.1
S
16
0.7
SSE
8
0.6
SSW
8
0.5
S
8
0.4
ESE
14
0.5
E
14
0.2
SSW
7
0.1
S
10
Energy kJ
7
5
5
7
26
1
4
1
2
50
5
50
49
29
70
106
5
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSE
7
1.2
S
5
1.8
SSW
6
1.2
SW
5
0.7
WSW
4
0.5
W
4
0.8
W
4
1
WSW
6
0.8
SW
6
0.5
SSE
6
0.5
SSE
6
0.4
ENE
3
0.4
ENE
3
0.6
E
4
0.6
E
4
0.9
E
4
1
E
5
1.8
SE
9
1.8
SE
6
Energy kJ
18
60
200
82
21
8
17
68
45
20
23
3
3
9
10
30
43
526
263
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
2
3
3
3
2
Distance (km)
37
205
526
221
36
0
33
41
37
79
454
309
79
79
79
79
79
1186
79
79
483
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
2
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
2
3
3
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
7
8
7
5
5
9
6
9
9
5
6
5
4
5
5
4
5
4
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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