Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, SW swell with 3,324 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Rusty here. Looking at the El Muelle forecast. Right now, it's pretty flat. We've got a solid run of nothing until we get to the tail end of the first week, where things finally start to wake up.
The main action is a significant SSW swell that builds into the second week. Water temps are about average for this time of year.
Starting off, Thursday (August 8th) and Friday (August 9th) see a massive surge of SW swell. We're talking 10ft to 13ft of swell, but the wind is howling out of the WSW at 31 mph. That's a full-on near gale. The combined swell energy is absolutely cranking, (1346 to 3406), but with winds like that, it's a complete mess. This is strictly for the hardcore crew with big guns, and even then, it's dangerous. For a standard surfer, this is a kite session if anything.
The real standout window, and probably the best on offer, arrives on Sunday, August 10th (Monday afternoon). The swell is still big at 8ft, coming from the SSW with a long 11-second period. The wind is a gentle 9 mph from the WSW, which is cross-offshore. That will keep the face clean. The combined energy is still strong (1544). The only catch is the size; 8ft is pushing it for all but experienced surfers. For the crew that can handle it, Monday afternoon at El Muelle is the pick.
Tuesday morning, August 11th, offers a drop in size to 6ft from the S with a 10-second period. The wind is offshore out of the NW at 12 mph, which should provide some clean, decent walls. The combined energy is moderate (706). This is a good call for the intermediate crew who missed the Monday session.
After that, the surf fades fast. Wednesday (12th) through the end of the forecast gets onshore and small. There's a little bump around the 15th and 16th of August, with 5ft to 6ft ENE swell, but the period is short (7-9 seconds) and the wind is cross-off. It’s not going to be anything special, but for a morning paddle, it might be all we have left.
So, to sum it up: the lake period is now through Wednesday. The main event is the big SSW groundswell from the 8th to the 11th. If you're experienced, lock in Monday afternoon, August 10th. For everyone else, Tuesday morning, August 11th, looks like the most manageable clean session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, near gales from the WSW by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SSW 7 | S 8 | S 8 | SW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 183 | 135 | 104 | 505 | 511 | 480 | 348 | 284 | 188 | 147 | 86 | 68 | 40 | 46 | 56 | 57 | 20 | 40 | 363 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:11PM1.31m | 9:51AM0.97m | 9:52PM1.29m | 10:25AM1.02m | 10:35PM1.26m | 11:01AM1.07m | 11:21PM1.20m | 11:40AM1.13m | 00:12AM1.14m | 12:24PM1.19m | 1:09AM1.07m | 1:13PM1.24m | 2:12AM1.00m | ||||||
Low Tide | 4:39AM0.21m | 4:16PM0.43m | 5:15AM0.25m | 5:01PM0.39m | 5:48AM0.30m | 5:46PM0.35m | 6:20AM0.37m | 6:35PM0.30m | 6:50AM0.43m | 7:28PM0.26m | 7:21AM0.49m | 8:28PM0.22m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |  | | |
 | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — |
 | 6:01 | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 7 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | NE 5 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 183 | 135 | 57 | 505 | 511 | 480 | 348 | 284 | 188 | 147 | 86 | 45 | 32 | 30 | 20 | 57 | 20 | 30 | 17 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 7 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ENE 7 | S 8 | S 8 | E 7 |
| kJ | 65 | 73 | 100 | 56 | 70 | 50 | 40 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 54 | 68 | 40 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 40 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SSE 13 | S 12 | SW 6 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 8 | SW 6 | SW 5 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | — |
| kJ | 3 | 59 | 104 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 5 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNE 3 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | SW 4 | — | WNW 2 | WNW 3 | SW 5 | SW 6 | SW 6 | — | NE 7 | SW 7 | SW 7 |
| kJ | — | — | 4 | 23 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 3 | 42 | 46 | 56 | — | 36 | 29 | 363 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 33 | 34 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 34 | 462 | 79 | 574 | 1111 | 1123 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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