Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 3,014 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about El Muelle. The next week and a half is mostly a patience game, but there is some serious light at the end of the tunnel.
The water is a warm 51°F right now, which is about 4°F warmer than the usual for this time of year – you’ll feel that difference.
Right off the bat, we’re looking at a gap of small, poor surf. Wednesday the 2nd only has 3ft of weak, short-period ENE swell with a moderate offshore, but the energy is low at 121. Thursday the 3rd stays small and gets messy. Friday the 4th is still just marginal. The weekend of the 5th and 6th sees the size jump, but so do the winds. Saturday the 5th morning has an 8ft SSW swell with fresh cross-offshore winds, energy hitting 831. But the afternoon throws a 13ft S swell at us with near gale cross-onshore winds – completely blown out and dangerous. Sunday the 6th is still big and choppy, not worth it for a paddle.
We finally get a clean window on Monday the 7th morning. A 5ft SE swell with clean offshore winds from the NNW, energy at 365 – the first real chance to get wet. After that, it dries up again. Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th have barely any surf, with energy readings under 60.
The second week is quiet until the big show. On Monday the 16th of September in the afternoon, a meaty 10ft SSW groundswell with a very long 12-second period arrives, paired with clean offshore wind. The energy is a powerful 2174. That’s heavy, expert-only territory at that size. The long period will make it fat and fast at this beach break, so pick your peak wisely.
The sweet spot for a strong intermediate is Tuesday the 17th of September morning. The swell drops to 7ft from the south, still with a long 11-second period, and the winds are glassy light offshore. Energy is a solid 952, and conditions are rated as top shelf. That’s your best all-around day for the whole outlook.
So, bottom line: the next week is mostly a skip. Focus your energy on the second week, specifically Monday the 16th for the experts, and Tuesday the 17th morning for the best all-around session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Wed night, strong winds from the SSW by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 11°C on Mon afternoon, min 3°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SSW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the SE by Sun night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 7 | SSW 8 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 84 | 88 | 116 | 176 | 369 | 191 | 202 | 227 | 804 | 2663 | 2385 | 1374 | 690 | 447 | 304 | 197 | 113 | 34 | 22 | 8 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 11:05PM1.17m | 11:09AM1.28m | 11:57PM1.09m | 11:56AM1.31m | 00:53AM1.01m | 12:50PM1.33m | 1:57AM0.93m | 1:52PM1.34m | 3:06AM0.89m | 3:00PM1.35m | 4:15AM0.87m | 4:10PM1.38m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:30PM0.20m | 5:39AM0.43m | 6:22PM0.17m | 6:11AM0.48m | 7:19PM0.17m | 6:46AM0.52m | 8:23PM0.17m | 7:31AM0.55m | 9:34PM0.18m | 8:31AM0.56m | 10:48PM0.17m | 9:48AM0.54m | 11:56PM0.15m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:32 | — | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:35 | — |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | -4 | -7 | -5 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | NE 8 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | NE 6 | NE 6 |
| kJ | 84 | 88 | 116 | 141 | 112 | 80 | 52 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 3 | 1374 | 690 | 447 | 304 | 197 | 113 | 34 | 47 | 25 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 9 | — | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 9 | — | — | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | E 7 | ENE 5 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 37 | 18 | 6 | — | 4 | 11 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 3 | — | — | 268 | 166 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 24 | 22 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 | ENE 9 | SSW 8 | SE 9 | — | S 8 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | 11 | 59 | — | 5 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | W 4 | SW 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 7 | SSW 8 | S 9 | S 10 | ESE 8 | — | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | N 4 | N 5 | NW 4 | NNW 4 |
| kJ | 12 | 22 | 18 | 176 | 369 | 191 | 202 | 227 | 804 | 2663 | 2385 | 243 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 50 | 121 | 15 | 10 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 41 | 36 | 37 | 221 | 37 | 221 | 36 | 43 | 531 | 1343 | 613 | 79 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 444 | 454 | 443 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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