Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period, S swell with 846 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 2.3m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 21) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's talk about El Muelle.
We've got a mixed bag on the horizon. For the next 16 days, it’s not going to be flat, but there are some big windows of time where the surf just isn't worth paddling out for.
The first few days are a write-off. Tuesday morning and afternoon are a mess with strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions. That's a no-go.
The real bright spot, the one to circle on your calendar, is Wednesday the 16th. We’ve got clean morning surf with a light N breeze giving us cross-offshore wind. The swell is a modest 5 ft coming from the SSE with a period of 9 seconds. The water is sitting at 51°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. The combined swell energy is moderate (621). It's not huge, but for El Muelle, with those clean conditions, it's the best on offer. Get on it early because it doesn't last.
Thursday the 17th has some clean, small waves if you're desperate. A 3 ft SSE swell with moderate offshore wind in the morning. It's surfable, but don't expect much.
Then we hit a long, dry spell. From Friday the 18th all the way through to Tuesday the 24th of September, the surf is almost non-existent or just too small and weak to bother with. A long, flat gap where the energy just disappears.
Things try to kick off again around Wednesday the 25th with a bit more energy, but the conditions are still poor.
Now, late in the window, around the 27th and 28th of September, we see some real size coming in. We're talking 7 ft to 8 ft swell from the South with long periods reaching 11-12 seconds. That is serious groundswell energy, with combined swell energy reading a meaty 1492. But here's the kicker – the wind is cross-onshore and choppy, making the whole thing a mess. That size with those winds? That's not for a paddle board; that set-up looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Especially since a long period S swell at El Muelle, a beach/pier set-up, can break a bit straight. It’s only for experts anyway at that size.
For the last couple of days of September, the wind turns onshore and the quality drops off. Overall, if you want a wave, your best bet is Wednesday morning, the 16th. The rest of the time, the conditions are fighting against the swell.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Thu afternoon, min 3°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue morning, light winds from the NNW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 21°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri night, strong winds from the SW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 12 | SW 8 | SW 7 | S 9 | ENE 6 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 7 | S 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 270 | 636 | 606 | 315 | 299 | 162 | 132 | 81 | 33 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 67 | 11 | 6 | 138 | 8 | 103 | 78 | 119 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 9:49AM1.26m | 10:27PM1.17m | 10:29AM1.26m | 11:14PM1.08m | 11:08AM1.24m | 00:02AM0.99m | 11:49AM1.20m | 00:53AM0.91m | 12:34PM1.16m | 1:51AM0.85m | 1:26PM1.12m | 2:58AM0.80m | 2:26PM1.11m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:50PM0.16m | 4:58AM0.40m | 5:34PM0.18m | 5:29AM0.47m | 6:19PM0.21m | 6:01AM0.53m | 7:06PM0.26m | 6:35AM0.57m | 7:59PM0.31m | 7:15AM0.60m | 8:58PM0.34m | 8:03AM0.62m | 10:03PM0.36m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | |  | | |  | |
 | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | — | 6:40 | — | — | 6:42 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | -3 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SW 8 | SW 7 | NE 6 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 7 | S 11 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SW 7 |
| kJ | 23 | 14 | 606 | 315 | 299 | 162 | 132 | 81 | 33 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 31 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 169 | 103 | 78 | 77 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | S 13 | SSE 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | NNE 5 | NE 5 | S 9 | S 12 | S 11 | S 9 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 2 | 13 | 266 | 299 | 188 | 54 | 30 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 119 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | — | SSE 10 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 12 | S 9 | E 11 | — | S 12 | SSW 7 | SW 7 | SW 7 | E 14 | SSW 9 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 14 | 7 | — | 62 | 24 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | — | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 42 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SSW 8 | — | — | NE 3 | NNE 5 | NW 4 | — | NE 6 | NNE 5 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NNW 3 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | — | W 3 | SW 5 | — |
| kJ | 270 | 636 | — | — | 4 | 56 | 6 | — | 15 | 21 | 16 | 62 | 3 | 67 | 85 | 59 | 138 | — | 8 | 70 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 524 | 641 | 43 | 0 | 34 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1239 | 1351 | 182 | 34 | 2 | 41 | 34 | 34 | 2 | 43 | 11 | 34 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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