El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
11.0° C
2.1° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period, E swell with 453 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sun 12th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 13s
Best Surf 9PM (Sun 12th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 13s
Most Powerful12AM (Sun 12th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


Right then, Rusty here with a look at what's coming our way. We've got a bit of a slow start, but things eventually get interesting.

Right now, there's nothing really doing. The first sniff of a proper surf shows up on Friday the 10th of July at El Muelle. This spot is a beach/pier set-up, fully exposed to the swell. The water is sitting at 52°, which is a solid 4° warmer than what we'd normally expect for this time of year, so it's much warmer than average.

But that first day? Scratch it off. We're looking at a 6ft swell from the ESE with a period of 10 seconds, but it's blowing a cross-onshore wind at 12 mph, making it choppy. The wave energy is moderate (1197). It’s just messy, nothing to get excited about.

Saturday the 11th is a write-off too. The morning might have a tiny 4ft easterly swell with light onshore wind, but conditions are marginal. By the afternoon, the swell drops to a pathetic 2ft. Sunday and Monday don't pick up enough quality to matter either. The next week is a long stretch of weak, small surf with mostly poor conditions. The wind is often onshore or cross-shore, and the swell just lacks any punch. There are a few tiny windows with clean conditions, but the swell is tiny.

We're looking at a long gap of mostly flat or poor waves for over a week.

The real standout, and it's only for the experts, is way out on Monday the 20th of July. A good-sized pulse of swell from the SW arrives, hitting 8ft. The period is short, at just 7-8 seconds, but the wind turns clean with a strong cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is strong (517-628). This is going to be powerful and lumpy, but it will be clean. It’s not for beginners, but if you’re keen and know what you're doing, it could have some grunt.

The other moment to keep an eye on is Tuesday the 21st of July. The swell drops a bit to 4-4ft from the SSE, still a short 8 seconds, but we get a proper offshore wind. The afternoon session with a gentle 9 mph WNW offshore breeze and clean conditions will be the best pick for average surfers. The energy is moderate (244-285). It won't be pumping, but it'll be clean and rideable.

After that, the wheels fall off again. We get a massive swell on the 23rd and 24th of July, with the wave energy going through the roof (5806 at one point) and the swell hitting 13-16ft. But the wind is absolutely howling onshore and cross-onshore, making it a messy, dangerous washing machine. Those days are purely for looking at, not surfing. From the 24th onward, the swell starts to back off, but the wind stays cross-shore, keeping things ordinary.

So, to sum it up: there's a long stretch of nothing, then a couple of clean days around the 20th and 21st for the keen, but nothing that screams "drop everything and go."

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Fri night. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Fri afternoon, min 6°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Mon night, calm by Tue night).

Fri
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
ESE
10
1.3
E
10
1.2
E
10
0.7
ESE
14
1.1
E
14
0.9
ESE
13
0.9
ESE
13
0.9
ESE
12
1.3
ESE
12
0.8
ESE
12
0.9
ESE
11
0.8
ESE
11
0.7
ESE
11
0.7
ENE
6
0.6
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
7
0.4
SSW
10
0.7
E
12
0.6
E
11
0.6
E
11
1
ENE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
622
347
296
210
453
303
238
217
437
153
183
130
117
42
42
18
32
139
90
87
91
Wind (km/h)
20
E
20
ESE
10
SE
15
SSE
25
S
20
S
15
SSW
10
N
20
N
25
N
25
NNW
25
NNW
20
NW
10
WNW
5
NNE
20
NE
20
NNE
15
NNE
10
NE
15
NE
10
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
3:38AM1.03m
3:36PM1.30m
4:44AM1.01m
4:36PM1.39m
5:46AM1.00m
5:36PM1.47m
6:45AM0.99m
6:36PM1.54m
7:40AM1.00m
7:34PM1.59m
8:32AM1.01m
8:31PM1.59m
9:23AM1.03m
Low Tide
9:44PM0.23m
9:24AM0.52m
10:53PM0.15m
10:13AM0.53m
00:05AM0.08m
11:14AM0.53m
1:13AM0.02m
12:23PM0.50m
2:17AM-0.02m
1:34PM0.46m
3:14AM-0.03m
2:40PM0.40m
4:08AM-0.02m
light rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
cloud
light rain
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:06
8:06
8:06
8:04
8:04
8:03
8:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:46
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:49
5:50
5:51
 mm
1
10
4
2
1
1
Temp °C
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
7
8
10
9
11
12
12
12
13
12
14
15
13
16
Feels °C
4
5
6
6
4
3
4
5
2
3
3
5
7
9
9
9
8
12
14
12
14
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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