Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 12s period, SSE swell with 984 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.9m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, checking the local lineup. The water’s sitting at 51°F, which is a touch warmer than we usually get this time of year, so that’s a nice bonus.
The opening act is Wednesday morning down at El Muelle. It’s a beach and pier setup, and it’s got a clean 6 ft swell rolling in from the south with an 11-second period. The wind is glassy, light out of the west, and the combined wave energy is moderate at 949. This is a solid, clean start – the kind of morning that gets you out of bed early. The swell direction is a good match for the spot’s optimum, and it’s a consistent break, so you’ll find waves.
Wednesday afternoon, the wind swings around to a cross-on from the SSE, and the swell drops to 4 ft. It gets a bit lumpy, so I’d call it a morning session only.
Thursday and Friday are a write-off. Thursday is all choppy cross-on wind, and Friday has a bit of size but the wind is messy. Saturday and Sunday are small and weak, with energy dropping below 200, not worth paddling out for.
Monday the 17th gets a bit of size but the wind is a fresh cross-shore, making it lumpy. The real turn comes on Tuesday, 18th August. That morning, we’ve got a clean 7 ft swell from the SSW, a 12 mph offshore wind from the WNW, and the wave energy is strong at 709. This is a standout session for experienced surfers – the swell is solid, the wind is clean, and the break is consistent. It’s a bit big for beginners, but if you’ve got the skill, it’s your best call in the first week.
That afternoon stays clean but a bit smaller at 6 ft, still good.
After that, the energy drops right off through Wednesday and Thursday, with a messy 28 mph cross-wind on Thursday afternoon making for a blown-out scene.
Now, here’s the real promise, but it’s a long way out. Friday, 21st August morning, we’ve got an 8 ft swell from the SSW with a 10-second period, clean cross-off wind, and the energy jumps to 1175. That’s a lot of power. But it’s a smaller window, and the afternoon gets too windy and messy.
Then Saturday, 22nd August – the swell is predicted to be 13 ft from the SSW. That is massive, and the combined energy is 3310, which is very strong. The wind is offshore and clean in the morning, but the forecast says it’s simply too big for this break. Only absolute experts should even look at it, and even then, it’s going to be a washing machine. Sunday is similar, with a 10 ft to 12 ft swell and energy over 5000. This is heavy, serious water.
The real standout in the second week is Monday, 24th August. The morning brings a 8 ft swell from the south with a 13-second period, a light offshore wind from the WNW, and the energy is 1883. This is a long-period groundswell, which means it’s going to be powerful and well-shaped, especially for a point or reef setup. At El Muelle, a beach and pier, that long period might make the waves break a bit straight, but the wind is clean and the size is manageable for experienced surfers. It’s an excellent session for those with the skills.
Tuesday, 25th August, keeps the fun going with 6 ft from the south and clean cross-off winds, both morning and afternoon. That’s a solid, consistent day for intermediates.
The final days of the forecast fade out. Wednesday, 26th, is glassy and clean but small, and by Thursday, 27th, the energy is under 100 and the wind is onshore. It’s done.
So, if you’re picking one session, it’s Tuesday, 18th August morning for the clean offshore and solid size. For the long-range, keep an eye on Monday, 24th August – it’s promising but a long way off, so don’t lock it in yet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 6°C on Wed afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat night, fresh winds from the SW by Mon afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 14 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | NE 5 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 8 | SW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
521 | 546 | 531 | 461 | 757 | 402 | 288 | 143 | 74 | 110 | 127 | 132 | 128 | 203 | 235 | 197 | 285 | 133 | 101 | 74 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 6:26PM1.51m | 7:23AM0.98m | 7:24PM1.53m | 8:12AM1.04m | 8:18PM1.52m | 8:59AM1.09m | 9:11PM1.46m | 9:44AM1.15m | 10:01PM1.37m | 10:27AM1.19m | 10:52PM1.26m | 11:10AM1.21m | 11:42PM1.15m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:06AM0.04m | 1:31PM0.41m | 2:58AM0.04m | 2:34PM0.34m | 3:45AM0.07m | 3:31PM0.28m | 4:27AM0.12m | 4:25PM0.24m | 5:07AM0.20m | 5:16PM0.23m | 5:43AM0.29m | 6:05PM0.23m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 |
434 | 546 | 531 | 461 | 757 | 402 | 288 | 143 | 58 | 62 | 40 | 132 | 128 | 203 | 235 | 197 | 166 | 133 | 101 | 74 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 14 | SSW 9 | SSW 11 | SSE 12 | NE 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 8 | — | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
521 | 29 | 39 | 206 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 16 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | 218 | 131 | 100 | 71 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 9 | NE 8 | SSW 10 | — | — | — | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | — | E 14 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 7 |
2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | — | — | — | 16 | 7 | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 86 | 40 | 20 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | ENE 4 | — | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | — | SW 3 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SW 5 | SSW 8 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 8 | — | 25 | 29 | 51 | 74 | 110 | 127 | — | 2 | 6 | 24 | 98 | 285 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 79 | 79 | 79 | 522 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 0 | 37 | 37 | 43 | 483 | 1111 | 43 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.











