El Muelle Surf Break

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

Issued: 8 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
11.2° C

1.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 4 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, SSW swell with 318 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sat 4th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 10s
Best Surf 3AM (Sat 4th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 10s
Most Powerful12AM (Fri 10th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards.

The forecast kicks off with a pretty flat start. The first few days are a real mixed bag, nothing really worth paddling out for until Sunday the 5th. Expect a couple of days with very ordinary conditions before we get a decent window.

Saturday 4th July – El Muelle is small and pretty average. The morning is surfable but nothing to write home about, with a 3ft S swell at 9 seconds, weak wave energy (178). Light NNW wind is offshore, so it’s trying to be clean, but the swell just doesn’t have the guts. Afternoon drops right off, poor surf on the cards.

Sunday 5th July – This is where it picks up. Sunday morning is the standout of the first week. Glassy conditions with zero wind, a 3ft E swell at 10 seconds – that’s a nice, clean, lined-up wave for the beach/pier setup. Moderate energy (245) and light offshores. This will be the best session of the early run, with clean peelers and not much crowd hassle at El Muelle. Afternoon still looks okay but gets a bit more marginal as light onshore SSE wind creeps in.

Monday 6th July through Thursday 9th July – A patch of poor conditions. Strong winds from the SW and SSW pick up, blowing cross or cross-on, making for ugly, choppy surf. Swell sizes stay around 2ft to 4ft, but with wind like that, it’s a write-off.

Friday 10th July – Another good window blows in. Friday morning brings glassy conditions again, with a 4ft S swell at 8 seconds (short period) and moderate energy (307). It’ll be fun, fast and clean, but the short period means it might be a little crumbly at low tide. Still, with zero wind, it’s a solid morning session.

Saturday 11th through Monday 13th July – A real building phase. Saturday and Sunday look poor with strong N/NNW winds making a mess of small swell. Then on Monday 13th July the swell explodes. A massive 10ft SW swell moves in, but it’s far too big for El Muelle – a serious, expert-only beast with very high energy (1346). If you’re a highly experienced charger, this could be on, but for most of us, it’s a stay-on-the-beach day. That size with short period (8 seconds) and strong cross-off winds is powerful and dangerous.

Tuesday 14th July – The swell eases to 7ft SSW, still big and chunky with moderate energy (980). Tuesday afternoon looks a bit better as the wind goes offshore from the WNW, and wave shape improves, but it’s still a big, powerful swell. That’s expert territory again.

Wednesday 15th through Thursday 16th July – Even bigger! Swell reaches 15ft and then 13ft with very high energy (up to 6382). These days are simply too big for El Muelle, with strong cross-off winds. It’ll be survival only.

Friday 17th July – The swell drops back to a more manageable 7ft S swell at 11 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell, long period. Energy is still solid (1155). The wind is cross, so not perfect, but for big-wave surfers this will be a solid, well-shaped session.

Saturday 18th and Sunday 19th July – The final days settle down. Saturday morning has a clean 3ft S swell at 10 seconds with light offshore NNW wind (246 energy). A nice, fun day to finish. Sunday morning the period stretches to 12 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell, but the N wind is cross-off, so not glassy. Still, 3ft of long-period S swell will produce some good, peeling lines.

Overall – The standout sessions are Sunday morning 5th July and Friday morning 10th July – both have glassy or near-glass conditions and clean, rideable swell. For the real experienced crew, Monday 13th July and Friday 17th July offer big, challenging waves, but that’s not for everyone. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual to report.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the SW by Mon afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue night, min 5°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Fri
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
S
10
0.9
S
9
0.6
S
9
0.7
E
10
0.9
E
10
1
E
10
1
E
10
1.1
E
10
0.9
E
10
1.2
SSE
6
0.9
SSE
7
0.7
ESE
10
0.7
ESE
10
0.6
E
10
0.8
ESE
9
0.7
ESE
9
1.2
SSW
6
1.3
SSW
6
1.6
SSW
8
1.3
S
8
1.1
S
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
194
136
55
94
148
184
184
220
143
127
87
83
102
67
96
92
99
127
318
198
130
Wind (km/h)
5
NNW
5
NNW
5
ENE
10
N
0
WNW
5
SSE
10
SSW
20
SSW
30
SW
25
WSW
20
WNW
20
NW
30
WNW
25
WNW
30
SW
25
S
25
S
20
S
15
SSE
0
ESE
15
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross
High Tide
9:33PM1.29m
10:26AM0.89m
10:13PM1.28m
11:02AM0.91m
10:55PM1.25m
11:39AM0.94m
11:40PM1.21m
12:17PM0.99m
00:30AM1.17m
1:00PM1.05m
1:27AM1.12m
1:47PM1.13m
2:31AM1.07m
2:39PM1.21m
Low Tide
5:10AM0.21m
4:35PM0.52m
5:49AM0.23m
5:18PM0.51m
6:26AM0.27m
6:03PM0.48m
7:01AM0.32m
6:50PM0.44m
7:35AM0.37m
7:42PM0.38m
8:08AM0.43m
8:40PM0.30m
8:43AM0.48m
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
 mm
2
5
Temp °C
6
5
7
7
7
8
7
8
9
8
8
13
14
13
13
9
7
7
7
5
6
Feels °C
4
2
4
4
6
5
4
3
2
1
2
7
6
6
6
2
1
2
2
3
2
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
S
10
0.9
S
9
0.6
S
9
0.7
E
10
0.9
E
10
1
E
10
1
E
10
1.1
E
10
0.9
E
10
1.2
SSE
6
0.9
SSE
7
0.7
SSE
7
0.7
ESE
10
0.6
E
10
0.8
ESE
9
0.7
ESE
9
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
10
1.3
S
8
1.1
S
7
Energy kJ
194
136
55
94
148
184
184
220
143
127
77
47
102
67
96
92
71
68
65
198
130
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
ESE
6
0.5
E
8
0.5
E
8
0.3
SSW
8
0.4
S
16
0.3
S
16
0.3
S
13
0.3
S
11
0.6
SE
5
0.7
E
9
0.7
E
9
0.6
E
10
0.7
SSE
8
0.5
SE
7
0.7
WSW
6
0.1
S
16
0.1
NE
6
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
14
0.7
E
10
0.6
E
10
Energy kJ
19
28
31
11
84
43
31
23
23
81
87
65
58
22
29
5
1
2
4
106
71
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ENE
8
0.3
SSW
8
0.4
SSW
8
0.4
SE
8
0.3
SSE
8
0.2
SSE
8
0.3
SSE
7
0.2
S
12
0.3
S
12
0.2
S
10
0.2
S
8
0.7
ESE
10
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
9
0.1
NE
4
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
14
0.1
E
16
0.1
S
12
0.5
SSE
10
Energy kJ
13
14
25
14
13
6
10
12
24
8
5
83
2
2
1
5
4
4
5
3
54
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
3
0.8
SSW
4
1.1
SW
5
1.1
SW
5
0.6
W
4
0.5
W
4
0.7
W
4
0.8
W
4
0.4
NW
3
0.8
WSW
6
1.2
SSW
6
1.3
SSW
6
1.6
SSW
8
Energy kJ
2
15
47
55
13
7
13
17
3
49
99
127
318
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
Distance (km)
0
0
34
0
0
37
43
37
43
44
11
0
44
2
482
462
526
526
309
0
34
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
5
9
7
7
5
8
7
5
6
9
8
9
8
5
5
5
4
9
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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