El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Look, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag for the next 16 days at El Muelle. The surf is on and off, with a few windows where it’ll be worth a paddle, but a lot of junk in between. The water is sittin’ at 51.4°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus if you’re getting in.

The first real chance to get wet comes up on Thursday morning, the 9th of July, but honestly, don’t bother. Swell’s only 2.6 ft from the ESE with a combined energy of just 137, and that SE wind is blowing straight onshore. It’s poor, mate. The afternoon doesn’t get any better – 3.0 ft swell but the period jumps to 12 seconds, which is a nice long groundswell, but that onshore wind at 12 mph will ruin it.

Friday, the 10th, is still a write-off. 3.3 ft swell in the morning, cross-onshore wind at 12 mph, and it’s choppy. The afternoon bumps up to 5.2 ft from the ESE with a 10-second period, and the combined energy hits 540 – moderate energy, but the wind is still cross-onshore and the conditions are marginal. Not worth a look.

Now, Saturday the 11th of July is where it’s at. This is the standout. Early morning, we’ve got a light rain but the wind swings offshore from the NW at just 3 mph. The swell is 4.3 ft from the east, 10-second period, with a combined energy of 519. That’s clean, glassy conditions, and the forecast says very good surf. This is your window. The break is a beach/pier setup, exposed, so that east swell will wrap in nicely. The water’s still that touch warmer than normal. Saturday afternoon drops off a bit to 3.3 ft, but still clean with a light cross-offshore breeze. Crowds can be a thing here sometimes, so get in early.

Sunday the 12th goes back to rubbish. 3.3 ft swell in the morning, cross-onshore, and the period is 13 seconds – that’s a long period groundswell, but with the wind chop, it’s a mess. The afternoon is sideways wind at 12 mph. Leave it.

Monday the 13th of July has a brief window. Morning brings a clean 2.6 ft from the ESE with a 12-second period, offshore NNW wind at 9 mph, and a combined energy of 235. That’s small but surfable and clean. The afternoon gets windier with a cross-offshore breeze, but it’s still clean. Might be worth a look if you’re desperate, but it’s not the standout.

Tuesday the 14th is tiny – 2.3 ft dropping to 1.6 ft. Offshore wind, but the energy is weak (123 down to 67). Not worth the paddle.

Wednesday the 15th has a bit of a pulse in the afternoon: 3.6 ft from the WSW, but it’s a short period windswell at 7 seconds, combined energy 191. The wind is offshore from the NW at 16 mph, so it’s clean, but the waves will be ordinary. Surfable, but nothing to write home about.

Thursday the 16th is glassy in the morning – 2.0 ft from the SW, 7-second period, but the energy is a measly 43. It’s a flat spell.

Friday the 17th is weird. 3.9 ft from the NE in the morning, 5-second period, cross-offshore wind, combined energy 111. It’s clean but short period junk. The afternoon gets messy with onshore wind.

From the 18th of July through to the 21st, it’s a long run of poor surf. The swell hangs around 3.0 ft to 3.9 ft, but the wind is either cross-onshore or onshore, and it’s choppy and lumpy. The combined energy climbs a bit, but the conditions are just bad. Probably a solid 4-day gap with no real recommendations.

Then we get a glimmer on Wednesday morning the 22nd of July. 3.9 ft from the ESE, 9-second period, light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE at 6 mph, combined energy 314. The forecast says good surf conditions. It’s clean, but the afternoon goes lumpy again with a 5.2 ft windswell from the SW at 7 seconds.

The last few days, the 23rd and 24th, have some size but poor conditions. Thursday the 23rd morning has a 3.6 ft from the south, 10-second period, combined energy 469, but the wind is cross-shore and it’s marginal. Friday the 24th has 6.2 ft swell from the south, then SSE, with a long period of 11 seconds and combined energy up to 898 – that’s strong wave energy. But the wind is cross-onshore and it’s choppy. The swell is over 5 ft, so it’s getting into the

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