El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 11 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.5°C
1.7° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 13 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSE swell with 1,046 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 13 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sun 13th Sep)5ft (1.5m) 11s
Best Surf 3AM (Sun 13th Sep)5ft (1.5m) 11s
Most Powerful 3AM (Sat 12th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for El Muelle.

Right off the bat, the start of this outlook is a bit of a bust. The Friday morning (11th September) is tiny with only 1ft of weak SSE swell and light cross-onshore wind, and the water, at 51°, feels a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. We’re looking at a long gap of almost nothing worth paddling out for until we get to the weekend.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Sunday, 13th September. The morning session is the standout of the whole run. We’ve got a clean 4ft S swell with a long 11-second period pushing through, and it’s glassing off with a light WNW cross-offshore wind. The energy is moderate at 443. This is the session to circle.

After that, the surf drops right off again for a few days. Monday morning (14th) has a fresh offshore blowing but only 2ft on offer. We’re in a dry spell until Wednesday, 16th September.

Now, Wednesday afternoon (16th September) is the other one worth noting. The swell jumps to a solid 6ft from the S, but the period drops to 10 seconds. The key here is the clean conditions with a light NE cross-offshore breeze. Wave energy is strong though, at 1029, so there’s plenty of push. This is excellent for experienced surfers, though the 8ft swell that morning might be a bit much for the groms. Crowds are sometimes a thing at El Muelle, so don't expect to have it to yourself.

The rest of the outlook is a mix of onshore wind and messy conditions. Thursday (17th) is clean but small, and we drop back to tiny surf through the following weekend. The 21st (Monday) morning has a 5ft ENE swell and a moderate offshore, but it’s only surfable and very ordinary.

For the long-range, Saturday 26th (morning) sees 6ft from the S again, but the onshore wind keeps things choppy. Nothing special there.

So, the pick is Sunday morning (13th September) for the cleanest, longest-period swell of the period. Wednesday afternoon (16th) is the second choice for the bigger, cleaner waves for the crew who can handle it. There's nothing else that really stands out. Grab it while it’s there.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 10°C on Fri afternoon, min 3°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SE on Fri night, calm by Sat night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds.

Fri
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSE
8
3
SSE
8
2.5
SSE
8
2.2
SSE
8
1.6
S
11
1.3
S
11
1.1
S
10
0.9
SSE
10
0.7
SSE
9
0.6
E
8
0.5
E
8
0.4
E
9
0.4
SSW
9
1.4
S
6
1.5
SSE
9
1.4
SSE
9
1
SSE
11
0.9
SSE
10
0.8
SSE
10
0.5
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
57
1001
804
569
588
381
240
137
88
46
33
24
29
148
375
308
242
171
120
51
Wind (km/h)
25
SSE
40
SE
35
SSE
25
S
15
SSE
10
W
10
E
25
N
30
NNW
25
NW
25
NW
20
W
25
S
20
SSE
15
ENE
25
NE
30
NNE
30
N
25
NNW
25
N
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
7:12PM1.43m
7:47AM1.11m
8:03PM1.39m
8:29AM1.18m
8:53PM1.33m
9:10AM1.24m
9:41PM1.25m
9:49AM1.26m
10:27PM1.17m
10:29AM1.26m
11:14PM1.08m
11:08AM1.24m
00:02AM0.99m
Low Tide
2:32AM0.14m
2:25PM0.27m
3:13AM0.19m
3:16PM0.21m
3:51AM0.25m
4:04PM0.17m
4:25AM0.33m
4:50PM0.16m
4:58AM0.40m
5:34PM0.18m
5:29AM0.47m
6:19PM0.21m
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:37
6:37
6:38
6:39
6:40
6:42
6:43
 mm
Temp °C
10
7
6
6
6
5
8
7
10
13
12
13
10
8
8
10
7
16
19
15
Feels °C
4
-2
-2
-1
1
2
4
1
3
8
6
7
4
3
3
4
0
10
14
11
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  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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