Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SW swell with 1,802 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for this stretch.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a quiet start, but don’t be fooled—there’s some serious juice coming later. The first few days are a write-off, with messy wind and tiny, weak swell. From Tuesday the 4th of August through to well into the next week, it’s mostly a story of onshore gunk, lumpy cross-chop, and just generally poor conditions. You’ll be better off waiting.
The first real glimmer comes on the morning of Wednesday the 12th of August. El Muelle is looking like the standout. It’s a beach/pier setup, and it’s consistent. The swell is out of the south at 5 ft, with a solid 10-second period, and the wind is blowing light offshore from the NNW. That’s clean lines all morning. The combined swell energy is moderate at 562, and it’s the best clean surf we’ll see for a while. Water temp is about 51°F with a positive anomaly of 4°—that’s much warmer than you’d expect for this time of year, so the wetsuit might feel a bit more forgiving.
Now, the weekend of the 8th to 9th August sees a massive pulse of swell—10 ft and 12 ft out of the SW with long, powerful periods. The combined energy is through the roof (1424 and 1823), but honestly, that’s way too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, the cross-off wind is strong. It’s more of a spectacle than a session.
The second week offers a few more options, but nothing that truly lights up the board. The morning of Monday the 17th of August has a 8 ft ENE swell with clean cross-off wind from the west, but again, that’s big and the conditions are marginal. The best of the back half is probably the morning of Wednesday the 19th of August: offshore wind from the NW, clean conditions, and a 4 ft east swell with a 10-second period. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and rideable. Combined energy is moderate at 380.
Overall, if you’re picking one session, make it the morning of Wednesday the 12th of August at El Muelle. That’s your best bet. The rest is either too big, too messy, or just not worth the paddle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the S by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 11°C on Fri afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Mainly strong winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SW 6 | S 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | SSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 10 | SSW 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 188 | 130 | 84 | 67 | 39 | 30 | 36 | 263 | 77 | 24 | 17 | 490 | 1373 | 1107 | 1802 | 1149 | 686 | 1145 | 1026 | 754 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 11:21PM1.20m | 11:40AM1.13m | 00:12AM1.14m | 12:24PM1.19m | 1:09AM1.07m | 1:13PM1.24m | 2:12AM1.00m | 2:10PM1.29m | 3:19AM0.95m | 3:13PM1.35m | 4:27AM0.92m | 4:19PM1.41m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:46PM0.35m | 6:20AM0.37m | 6:35PM0.30m | 6:50AM0.43m | 7:28PM0.26m | 7:21AM0.49m | 8:28PM0.22m | 7:57AM0.53m | 9:36PM0.18m | 8:43AM0.55m | 10:49PM0.15m | 9:44AM0.55m | 00:02AM0.11m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | |  | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 4 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Feels °C | 13 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -2 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SW 5 | SW 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | SSW 5 | SSW 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 |
| kJ | 188 | 130 | 84 | 67 | 16 | 24 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 24 | 17 | 52 | 51 | 19 | 21 | 35 | 30 | 65 | 1026 | 754 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | SW 5 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | S 8 | SE 6 | SE 7 | S 8 | — | — | — | E 11 | E 11 | NE 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 |
| kJ | 26 | 1 | 32 | 37 | 31 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 16 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 64 | 411 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 4 | — | ENE 4 | SSW 6 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | — | SE 7 | E 7 | S 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 39 | 18 | 7 | — | 2 | 4 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 8 | NNW 3 | WSW 3 | — | SSE 4 | S 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | NW 2 | NW 4 | WSW 7 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 51 | 3 | 1 | — | 13 | 36 | 263 | 77 | 1 | 52 | 490 | 1373 | 1107 | 1802 | 1149 | 686 | 1145 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 34 | 80 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 565 | 522 | 1153 | 43 | 36 | 157 | 205 | 574 | 43 | 221 | 205 | 44 | 43 | 1164 | 43 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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