El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for El Muelle.

The forecast starts with a bit of a slow, disappointing spell. For the first few days, the swell is tiny and the winds are messy, so there’s nothing to get excited about straight away. We’ve got a gap of quiet, small surf for the first three days or so. The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Friday the 17th of July, with a small cross-offshore wind swinging in during the afternoon. The swell is weak, with combined energy at (211), and the water is sitting at 51° – a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, which is a nice little bonus.

The standout period kicks off on the morning of Wednesday the 22nd of July. El Muelle (a beach/pier setup) gets a clean window with light NNE cross-offshore wind at 9 mph, and the swell picks up to 3 ft from the ESE at 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (238), and the conditions are described as clean. The afternoon looks even better, with a solid 4 ft from the E at 6 seconds and clean cross-offshore breeze. The crowd factor is listed as “sometimes,” so it’s worth getting out there early for a quieter session.

The best of the whole run looks to be on Monday the 27th of July. The morning brings a light offshore breeze from the NW, with a 4 ft swell from the SSE at a very long period of 12 seconds. This is a proper groundswell, and the combined energy is strong (695). That long period will make for some proper, well-shaped waves at this break, but the long period can cause it to close out a bit on a beach break, so pick your peaks wisely. The afternoon hangs on too, with a 5 ft S swell, but the wind turns cross-onshore, so it’s not quite as clean.

There’s also a big spike in size around the 24th and 25th of July, with swell hitting 8 ft to 8 ft, mostly from the WSW and SSW. That’s big enough to be expert-only territory, and the winds are cross-off, but the condition comments are only “marginal,” so it’s a bit of a wildcard. The combined energy rockets into the four digits (1065–1107), which is very strong, but the period is short (7–9 seconds), so it’ll be a lumpy, powerful mess. Not the best for your average surfer – more of a kite surfing kind of day unless you’re a seasoned charger.

Because of the short period and big swell, those days around the 24th and 25th might be better suited to kite surfing than traditional paddle surfing at this beach setup.

So, to wrap it up: the best bet is Wednesday the 22nd of July for clean, fun, manageable waves, and the quality pick is Monday the 27th of July for that long-period groundswell with clean offshore wind. The rest of the window is a mixed bag of small, windy, or too big and messy.

Rusty.

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