El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards.

The forecast kicks off with a pretty flat start. The first few days are a real mixed bag, nothing really worth paddling out for until Sunday the 5th. Expect a couple of days with very ordinary conditions before we get a decent window.

Saturday 4th July – El Muelle is small and pretty average. The morning is surfable but nothing to write home about, with a 3ft S swell at 9 seconds, weak wave energy (178). Light NNW wind is offshore, so it’s trying to be clean, but the swell just doesn’t have the guts. Afternoon drops right off, poor surf on the cards.

Sunday 5th July – This is where it picks up. Sunday morning is the standout of the first week. Glassy conditions with zero wind, a 3ft E swell at 10 seconds – that’s a nice, clean, lined-up wave for the beach/pier setup. Moderate energy (245) and light offshores. This will be the best session of the early run, with clean peelers and not much crowd hassle at El Muelle. Afternoon still looks okay but gets a bit more marginal as light onshore SSE wind creeps in.

Monday 6th July through Thursday 9th July – A patch of poor conditions. Strong winds from the SW and SSW pick up, blowing cross or cross-on, making for ugly, choppy surf. Swell sizes stay around 2ft to 4ft, but with wind like that, it’s a write-off.

Friday 10th July – Another good window blows in. Friday morning brings glassy conditions again, with a 4ft S swell at 8 seconds (short period) and moderate energy (307). It’ll be fun, fast and clean, but the short period means it might be a little crumbly at low tide. Still, with zero wind, it’s a solid morning session.

Saturday 11th through Monday 13th July – A real building phase. Saturday and Sunday look poor with strong N/NNW winds making a mess of small swell. Then on Monday 13th July the swell explodes. A massive 10ft SW swell moves in, but it’s far too big for El Muelle – a serious, expert-only beast with very high energy (1346). If you’re a highly experienced charger, this could be on, but for most of us, it’s a stay-on-the-beach day. That size with short period (8 seconds) and strong cross-off winds is powerful and dangerous.

Tuesday 14th July – The swell eases to 7ft SSW, still big and chunky with moderate energy (980). Tuesday afternoon looks a bit better as the wind goes offshore from the WNW, and wave shape improves, but it’s still a big, powerful swell. That’s expert territory again.

Wednesday 15th through Thursday 16th July – Even bigger! Swell reaches 15ft and then 13ft with very high energy (up to 6382). These days are simply too big for El Muelle, with strong cross-off winds. It’ll be survival only.

Friday 17th July – The swell drops back to a more manageable 7ft S swell at 11 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell, long period. Energy is still solid (1155). The wind is cross, so not perfect, but for big-wave surfers this will be a solid, well-shaped session.

Saturday 18th and Sunday 19th July – The final days settle down. Saturday morning has a clean 3ft S swell at 10 seconds with light offshore NNW wind (246 energy). A nice, fun day to finish. Sunday morning the period stretches to 12 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell, but the N wind is cross-off, so not glassy. Still, 3ft of long-period S swell will produce some good, peeling lines.

Overall – The standout sessions are Sunday morning 5th July and Friday morning 10th July – both have glassy or near-glass conditions and clean, rideable swell. For the real experienced crew, Monday 13th July and Friday 17th July offer big, challenging waves, but that’s not for everyone. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual to report.

Rusty.

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