
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, SW swell with 4,018 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surf’s up… or it’s trying to be. Let’s break down what’s happening at El Muelle over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, the ocean is running warmer than usual for this time of year, about 4°F above average. That’s a noticeable bump, so you might want to leave the thick rubber at home.
The opening days are a bit of a grind. Monday afternoon kicks things off with a cross-onshore breeze and a weak, jumbled 5ft SE swell. The energy is moderate at best (519), and it’s messy and not worth getting excited about. Tuesday cleans up a touch with lighter winds, but the swell drops to around 4ft and the period is short, so it’s still pretty average.
Wednesday is small and weak, and by Thursday the whole thing just fades into onshore chop. You’re looking at a real lull here, a few days of nothing that’s worth paddling out for.
Then things get interesting. Friday morning, a big pulse of WSW groundswell hits, but it’s accompanied by a near-gale-force cross-offshore wind. The energy is massive (2369), but it’s not rideable for most. Saturday is the big one. The swell peaks at 15ft with a long 10-second period from the WSW, and the energy is through the roof (4154), but it’s just too big for this spot. This is expert-only, and even then, it’s risky. The wind is clean, but the size is the story.
We’ll still be dealing with solid, powerful swell on Sunday and into Monday, but the winds turn onshore and chop it up, so it’s not a good call. You’re better off waiting for the energy to settle.
And it does settle, right around Tuesday the 11th. That’s the standout of the whole period. Early morning you’ve got a clean, glassy 5ft SSE groundswell with an 11-second period. The energy is solid (977), and it’s going to be clean. This is your window. The swell direction is a touch off the optimum, but the combination of size, period, and glassy conditions makes it the best we’re going to see for a while. It’s a Monday, so hopefully the crowds aren’t too bad, but you never know.
The rest of that week is smaller, in the 3ft range, with mixed winds. There’s a glimmer on Thursday morning with a clean 3ft S swell, but it’s nothing special.
The second week is pretty quiet. The swell just fades out and the onshore winds take over. The energy drops, the waves get small, and it’s not worth your time. Around the 18th there’s a hint of a rebound, with some cleaner, cross-offshore winds and a small 4ft ENE groundswell, but it’s a long way out and nothing you should book your life around.
So, bottom line: the big Saturday event is for the brave and the crazy. The real gem is Tuesday morning, the 11th. Mark it down.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 54mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 11°C on Thu afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Mainly gales. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ENE 4 | SSE 4 | S 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SE 10 | WSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
467 | 368 | 261 | 188 | 130 | 84 | 67 | 39 | 27 | 58 | 3704 | 2350 | 509 | 616 | 3804 | 3020 | 2150 | 653 | 681 | 831 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 10:35PM1.26m | 11:01AM1.07m | 11:21PM1.20m | 11:40AM1.13m | 00:12AM1.14m | 12:24PM1.19m | 1:09AM1.07m | 1:13PM1.24m | 2:12AM1.00m | 2:10PM1.29m | 3:19AM0.95m | 3:13PM1.35m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:01PM0.39m | 5:48AM0.30m | 5:46PM0.35m | 6:20AM0.37m | 6:35PM0.30m | 6:50AM0.43m | 7:28PM0.26m | 7:21AM0.49m | 8:28PM0.22m | 7:57AM0.53m | 9:36PM0.18m | 8:43AM0.55m | 10:49PM0.15m | |||||||
— | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | |
6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 44 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Feels °C | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 8 | -6 | -1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ENE 7 | SW 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 7 | E 8 | SSW 8 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 |
467 | 368 | 261 | 188 | 130 | 84 | 67 | 34 | 11 | 37 | 4 | 19 | 509 | 616 | 350 | 202 | 233 | 475 | 592 | 831 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ENE 7 | — | — | SE 10 | E 9 | — | — | — | E 11 | E 11 | NE 10 |
50 | 47 | 28 | 26 | 16 | 39 | 37 | 39 | 18 | 18 | — | — | 396 | 6 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | WSW 5 | SW 4 | SW 5 | S 8 | S 11 | SW 5 | S 9 | S 7 | — | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | — | — | — | N 4 | WSW 7 | SW 6 | — | ENE 4 | SSE 4 | S 9 | SSW 9 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 8 |
1 | — | — | — | 17 | 17 | 16 | — | 27 | 58 | 3704 | 2350 | 157 | 282 | 3804 | 3020 | 2150 | 653 | 681 | 653 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 34 | 468 | 37 | 526 | 1336 | 1345 | 435 | 483 | 613 | 205 | 43 | 221 | 43 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.











