El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Right now, things are looking pretty grim at El Muelle. The water temp is sitting at 50°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small silver lining, I guess. But for the first few days, the surf is just a mess. Monday and Tuesday offer up tiny, weak swell around 3ft to 4ft, cross-onshore winds, and combined energy that’s barely registering (293 to 198). Not worth paddling out for.

Wednesday and Thursday are even smaller – we’re talking 1ft to 2ft, with clean offshore winds sure, but there’s no wave energy to work with (energy down to 30–97). That’s a total write-off.

Friday, the 21st, we see a jump in swell height to 7ft from the S, with periods around 10 seconds, and the energy climbs to 876. But the wind is cross-on and choppy, and the conditions are poor. It’s not surfable in any enjoyable way.

Saturday, the 22nd, is the standout – but it’s a tricky one. The swell ramps up to 12ft from the SSW, with periods of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is massive at 1742 to 1705. The wind is cross-off and clean, which is rare. But here’s the thing: that swell is too big for El Muelle. It’s a beach/pier setup, and anything over 8ft is only for experts. So if you’re a seasoned charger, this could be a deep, heavy session, but the average punter should stay well clear. The conditions are clean, but the size is a serious caveat.

Sunday the 23rd it’s back to messy and lumpy with 8ft swell and strong cross-onshore winds. Not good.

Then, finally, we get a real window. Monday the 24th morning delivers a clean, offshore wind from the NNW, with a 7ft swell from the SSE and a period of 10 seconds. The energy is 1384. The guidance says this is excellent for experienced surfers, and the swell direction (SSE) is bang on the optimum for El Muelle. It’s a solid, clean, powerful groundswell. This is the best on offer. The wind is light and offshore, so expect clean faces, but the period is moderate, so it’ll have some punch. It’s not for beginners, but if you’ve got the skills, this is the day.

Tuesday the 25th afternoon sees a drop to 4ft, with glassy conditions and a clean SSE swell, energy at 219. It’s a more relaxed, friendly wave – good for intermediates looking for a fun session.

The rest of the week into early September is a mixed bag of small, clean knee-to-waist high waves, with a few promising moments. Sunday the 30th afternoon has a 3ft SE swell, glassy, with 12-second period – that’s a long period, so it’ll have some shape and push, but the size is small. Energy is 346. It’s a nice little session.

Monday the 31st morning is another highlight: 4ft from the SE, 12-second period, gentle offshore wind from the NNW, and energy at 601. That’s clean, lined-up, and will offer some fun, well-shaped waves. The direction is still favorable for the break.

After that, the first of September sees a drop in period and quality, with wind coming more cross-off and the swell turning short and weak. The energy drops to 237–245. It’s closing out the window with a whimper.

So, the real standout is Monday the 24th of August morning – big, clean, powerful, and offshore. That’s the one to circle. The second best would be Monday the 31st of August morning – smaller, but clean and lined up with a nice long period.

Rusty.

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