Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 12s period, SSE swell with 950 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.9m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let's get into it for our local stretch. The water's sitting at a cool 51°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so that's a small bonus.
For now, it's a total bust. We're looking at a long run of poor surf conditions from today, Thursday the 13th, right through the week. Don't even think about suiting up.
The first real sign of life doesn't show until Saturday, August 22nd. Saturday morning brings a solid 8ft swell from the SSW, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined swell energy is strong at 1028. The wind is blowing cross-offshore, so the lineup will be clean. But 8ft is getting into serious territory, so this is for the experienced crew only. Go for the morning session before the wind changes.
Sunday the 23rd is a total mess. The swell jumps to a massive 10ft from the South, with a 12-second period. That's heavy-duty. The combined energy is huge at 2229, but it's simply too big for this spot, and the cross-onshore wind will make it a choppy, dangerous mess.
The real standout of the whole run is Tuesday morning, August 25th, and especially Wednesday morning, August 26th. On Tuesday, we've got a 10ft SSE swell with a 12-second period and a combined energy of 2100. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the North. The swell direction lines up perfectly with what works best, and the long period means longer, more powerful set waves. It's still expert-level at that size, but the conditions will be primo.
The absolute prize is Wednesday morning, August 26th. The swell drops a bit to 8ft, but the period stretches out to a very long 15 seconds, pushing the combined energy to a massive 3123. This is a proper groundswell, coming from the SSE with a clean cross-offshore wind. It's only for experienced surfers at this size, but the wave quality at El Muelle will be absolutely top-shelf. The long period means powerful, lined-up walls. That's the morning to mark on your calendar. Just remember, this far out, it's a hopeful forecast, not a guarantee.
After that, it all drops away again into poor conditions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 6°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Mon morning, light winds from the ESE by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 531 | 461 | 839 | 402 | 288 | 154 | 121 | 90 | 100 | 136 | 147 | 203 | 181 | 247 | 344 | 187 | 183 | 85 | 47 | 46 | 37 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | off | off | glassy | off |
High Tide | 7:24PM1.53m | 8:12AM1.04m | 8:18PM1.52m | 8:59AM1.09m | 9:11PM1.46m | 9:44AM1.15m | 10:01PM1.37m | 10:27AM1.19m | 10:52PM1.26m | 11:10AM1.21m | 11:42PM1.15m | 11:52AM1.21m | 00:34AM1.04m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:31PM0.41m | 2:58AM0.04m | 2:34PM0.34m | 3:45AM0.07m | 3:31PM0.28m | 4:27AM0.12m | 4:25PM0.24m | 5:07AM0.20m | 5:16PM0.23m | 5:43AM0.29m | 6:05PM0.23m | 6:17AM0.38m | 6:54PM0.25m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 7 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 531 | 461 | 839 | 402 | 288 | 154 | 121 | 90 | 41 | 136 | 147 | 203 | 181 | 156 | 125 | 187 | 183 | 85 | 41 | 46 | 32 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSE 12 | NE 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 |
| kJ | 39 | 206 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 6 | — | — | — | 106 | 77 | 49 | 47 | 28 | 37 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | SSW 10 | — | — | — | SSW 9 | — | — | — | S 8 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SSW 7 | WSW 5 |
| kJ | 1 | 10 | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 22 | 20 | 17 | 7 | 19 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 4 | — | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | — | SW 3 | SW 3 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | — | — | N 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | — |
| kJ | — | 7 | — | 25 | 29 | 48 | 62 | 62 | 100 | — | 3 | 6 | 151 | 247 | 344 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 79 | 469 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 0 | 36 | 37 | 11 | 859 | 1336 | 37 | 37 | 79 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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