
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, SSE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period, SSE swell with 870 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.9m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 7s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line.
The next few days are pretty ordinary, with small swell and tricky winds to start. Things start looking up from Thursday, August 4th onward, and the real standout is Tuesday, August 11th, with clean conditions and a fun little groundswell.
Wednesday, July 29th kicks off with a small 3ft SSW swell (179 combined energy) and a light cross-offshore breeze, but the low period of 8 seconds means the waves are pretty weak – only just surfable. By the afternoon it drops to 2ft and gets messy.
Thursday, July 30th is another small day. A 2ft S swell with 11 seconds period in the morning, cross-off wind, so it's clean but weak (147 combined energy). The afternoon gets blown out by a 19 mph crosswind.
Friday, July 31st is frustrating – tiny 1ft to 1.0ft swell and strong winds. Not worth looking at.
Saturday, August 1st sees a jump in swell height to 4ft from the ENE, with moderate energy (214 to 240 combined), but strong cross-offshore winds at 25 mph. The conditions are clean but those winds are howling – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
We then hit a decent wave pulse. Sunday, August 2nd brings a 4ft SSW swell in the morning, but the period is short at 8 seconds and it's cross-shore, so it’s choppy. The afternoon has a bigger 5ft S swell with a long 12-second period (813 combined energy), but onshore wind ruins it.
Monday, August 3rd comes in at 6ft SSE swell with 11 seconds (777 combined energy) and light cross-shore wind. There's some size and energy, but it's a bit lumpy and marginal.
Tuesday, August 4th is the first real bright spot. We’ve got a 5ft SE swell (410 combined energy) with 10 seconds and light offshore wind in the morning, going glassy by the afternoon with a 4ft SE swell (409 combined energy). This is clean, glassy, and surfable. It’s not massive, but with the good wind it will be fun.
After that, Wednesday, August 5th drops back down to 4ft and gets blown out by onshore winds. Thursday, August 6th is a no-go with severe gale-force winds of 50 mph.
Friday, August 7th through Saturday, August 8th is all strong winds and messy conditions. The swell stays around 5ft to 5ft but the chop is ugly.
Sunday, August 9th has a bigger 8ft SW swell (696 combined energy) in the morning with offshore wind – that’s for experts only as it’s over 8ft technically, but it's a solid, powerful groundswell with 8 seconds period. The morning could have some big, clean sets for the experienced crew.
Monday, August 10th is blown out again.
Now, Tuesday, August 11th – this is your pick of the 16-day window. The morning sees a 4ft S swell with 10 seconds (327 combined energy) and a light cross-offshore breeze. In the afternoon it goes glassy, same 4ft S swell (283 combined energy). Clean, lined-up waves, knee to waist-high with some chest-high sets. This is the one to aim for at El Muelle.
Wednesday, August 12th is more ordinary at 3ft, and Thursday, August 13th finishes small and clean but weak.
Overall, the water temperature is a notable 51°F at El Muelle, which is 4° warmer than normal – that’s much warmer than usual for this time of year. So you’ll need a thick suit, but it’s a bit less cold than you’d expect.
Keep your eyes on Tuesday, August 4th and especially Tuesday, August 11th for the cleanest windows.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the NNE by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat morning, calm by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | S 14 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SW 7 | SSW 8 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
120 | 96 | 163 | 116 | 98 | 44 | 24 | 12 | 291 | 213 | 237 | 233 | 230 | 519 | 851 | 698 | 613 | 400 | 341 | 341 | 275 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | cross |
High Tide | 7:05PM1.27m | 8:07AM0.88m | 7:49PM1.30m | 8:43AM0.90m | 8:30PM1.32m | 9:18AM0.93m | 9:11PM1.31m | 9:51AM0.97m | 9:52PM1.29m | 10:25AM1.02m | 10:35PM1.26m | 11:01AM1.07m | 11:21PM1.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:05PM0.57m | 2:39AM0.21m | 1:57PM0.53m | 3:22AM0.20m | 2:45PM0.50m | 4:02AM0.19m | 3:31PM0.47m | 4:39AM0.21m | 4:16PM0.43m | 5:15AM0.25m | 5:01PM0.39m | 5:48AM0.30m | 5:46PM0.35m | ||||||||
7:54 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | |
— | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SW 7 | SSW 8 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 |
120 | 68 | 163 | 116 | 98 | 44 | 24 | 12 | 291 | 213 | 237 | 169 | 230 | 519 | 851 | 698 | 613 | 400 | 341 | 341 | 275 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | S 14 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 12 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 9 | — | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
36 | 96 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 186 | 135 | 194 | — | 49 | 25 | 58 | 67 | 67 | 34 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SE 8 | S 9 | — | — | SSE 15 | S 13 | ENE 9 | — | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | WSW 4 | S 10 |
23 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | — | 23 | 119 | 100 | — | 30 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NE 7 | NE 4 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | — | SW 5 | WSW 6 | SW 7 | — | — | ENE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 |
— | — | — | 9 | 23 | 297 | 287 | 340 | — | 94 | 176 | 233 | — | — | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 565 | 1164 | 1336 | 526 | 0 | 221 | 205 | 36 | 36 | 34 | 565 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.










