Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SW swell with 2,247 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s cut to it – the next couple of weeks at El Muelle are a bit of a waiting game. The first few days are flat and pretty ordinary, so if you’re looking to get wet, you’ll need some patience. Wednesday morning sees a weak 2ft swell from the SE, but it’s nothing special. The water’s at 51°, which is a few degrees warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least it’s not freezing.
The first proper swell shows up on Saturday the 8th, with 8ft from the SW, but it’s already too big for this spot. By the afternoon, it’s pushing 10ft, and the energy is through the roof – way too much for a comfortable session. Sunday the 9th is even bigger, with 10ft to 12ft swells. This is expert-only territory, and for most of us, it’s a day to sit it out.
Monday the 10th drops to around 8ft, but the wind goes onshore, so it’s choppy and poor. Not worth it.
The first real window of opportunity comes on Wednesday the 12th. The swell is around 6ft from the S, but the wind goes glassy and offshore, and the energy is solid. This is the standout of the first week – clean, groomed, and with a long period, it’ll have some push. Thursday the 13th is also good, with 5ft from the south and clean conditions. Friday the 14th eases to 3ft, still clean, but it’s fading.
The weekend of the 15th and 16th is a write-off – the wind swings onshore and builds, and the surf gets messy. The 17th sees a big pulse of 10ft, but it’s accompanied by strong cross-shore winds, so it’s blown out.
The biggest swell of the run hits on Tuesday the 18th, with 8ft to 10ft from the SE, and the energy is massive. But at this size, it’s still too big for El Muelle, and the long-range forecast is less certain. After that, it fades quickly.
So, mark your calendar for Wednesday the 12th. That’s your best chance for clean, manageable waves. Thursday the 13th is a solid backup. The bigger stuff later on is for the brave, but don’t bank on it just yet. The gaps in between are long, so don’t expect much in the early days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 6°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the SSW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Sat afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the S by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | S 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 6 | SE 7 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 84 | 67 | 39 | 74 | 33 | 148 | 69 | 38 | 13 | 838 | 1147 | 1585 | 1312 | 2247 | 1310 | 942 | 808 | 696 | 821 | 563 | 450 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 11:40AM1.13m | 00:12AM1.14m | 12:24PM1.19m | 1:09AM1.07m | 1:13PM1.24m | 2:12AM1.00m | 2:10PM1.29m | 3:19AM0.95m | 3:13PM1.35m | 4:27AM0.92m | 4:19PM1.41m | 5:31AM0.92m | 5:24PM1.47m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:35PM0.30m | 6:50AM0.43m | 7:28PM0.26m | 7:21AM0.49m | 8:28PM0.22m | 7:57AM0.53m | 9:36PM0.18m | 8:43AM0.55m | 10:49PM0.15m | 9:44AM0.55m | 00:02AM0.11m | 10:59AM0.53m | 1:08AM0.07m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — |
 | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — |
mm | — | — | 11 | 7 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Feels °C | 12 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -2 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | ENE 7 | SW 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSW 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 |
| kJ | 84 | 67 | 31 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 10 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 46 | 696 | 821 | 563 | 450 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SW 6 | ENE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | S 9 | SSE 5 | SW 5 | N 5 | — | — | — | — | NE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 |
| kJ | 37 | 37 | 21 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 142 | 356 | 258 | 131 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | SSW 6 | SE 9 | S 9 | E 4 | — | E 8 | E 7 | SE 7 | S 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 2 | 4 | 39 | 6 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 12 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 93 | 41 | 68 | 66 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | SW 5 | — | SE 8 | S 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | NW 3 | NW 4 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 5 | 6 | — | 74 | 33 | 148 | 69 | 1 | 37 | 838 | 1147 | 1585 | 1312 | 2247 | 1310 | 942 | 808 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 2 | 462 | 1351 | 1143 | 11 | 11 | 182 | 435 | 524 | 221 | 44 | 221 | 221 | 221 | 79 | 37 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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