
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, S swell with 1,904 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for us.
The short version is this: we’ve got a slow start, a couple of decent windows in the middle of the week, and then it mostly fades out again. The first real surf on offer is Monday morning, but it’s not going to be pretty. The water is sitting at 51°, which is a solid 4° warmer than normal for this time of year—that’s a notable jump, so you might not need the thickest hood.
So, Monday the 10th kicks things off with a 8ft SW swell at El Muelle, but the wind is a cross-shore mess at 25 km/h, and the energy is strong but all over the place. It’s a junky, lumpy day, not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate for a fight. The conditions don't improve much by the afternoon, with a similar 8ft swell and a cross-breeze.
Tuesday the 11th is where it starts to get interesting. The swell drops to 6ft from the south, and the wind swings around to a light cross-offshore in the morning. That’s the kind of clean-up we need. The energy is still solid, and it’s looking like a proper session for the experienced crew. The afternoon adds a touch more size at 6ft, but a cross-on wind kicks in, so the morning is the pick.
Wednesday the 12th morning is the standout of the first week. The wind goes completely glassy, dead calm, and we’ve got a clean 6ft S swell at 10 seconds. The energy is moderate, but the surface is going to be like a mirror. This is the one to circle. The afternoon drops off to 4ft and goes onshore, so definitely get out early.
From Thursday the 13th through the weekend, it’s a slide into the doldrums. Swell drops to chest-high or less, the wind turns onshore or cross-shore, and everything gets choppy. There’s a run of poor to marginal days. The 17th and 18th see a bit more size, but the wind is strong and cross-off, and the swell period is short and junky. It’s not worth the effort.
The next real glimmer is on Wednesday the 19th. A 4ft SSE swell with a moderate offshore wind early in the morning. It’s clean, but it’s small. The energy is weak, so it’s a longboard or a fish kind of day. The afternoon gets blown out by a fresh offshore.
After that, it’s pretty much a dead zone. The 20th drops to knee-high, and while the 22nd has a clean 3ft ENE swell, it’s still small. The final few days, from the 23rd onwards, are a write-off with strong winds and messy seas. The 25th has some 5-5ft S swell, but it’s accompanied by a 45 km/h cross-off wind, which is more about survival than style.
So, the call is: get out Wednesday morning the 12th. That’s your best bet. Tuesday morning the 11th is a close second. The rest is a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 8°C on Mon morning, min 5°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 11°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 14 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1205 | 1505 | 1288 | 694 | 755 | 785 | 633 | 521 | 573 | 551 | 463 | 622 | 394 | 282 | 173 | 77 | 92 | 65 | 66 | 89 | 96 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 4:19PM1.41m | 5:31AM0.92m | 5:24PM1.47m | 6:29AM0.94m | 6:26PM1.51m | 7:23AM0.98m | 7:24PM1.53m | 8:12AM1.04m | 8:18PM1.52m | 8:59AM1.09m | 9:11PM1.46m | 9:44AM1.15m | 10:01PM1.37m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:44AM0.55m | 00:02AM0.11m | 10:59AM0.53m | 1:08AM0.07m | 12:20PM0.48m | 2:06AM0.04m | 1:31PM0.41m | 2:58AM0.04m | 2:34PM0.34m | 3:45AM0.07m | 3:31PM0.28m | 4:27AM0.12m | 4:25PM0.24m | ||||||||
7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | |
— | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | ENE 6 | SSE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
836 | 1505 | 1288 | 694 | 755 | 785 | 633 | 434 | 573 | 551 | 463 | 622 | 394 | 282 | 173 | 44 | 92 | 59 | 66 | 89 | 96 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSE 12 | SE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | SSE 12 | E 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SE 9 | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
2 | 1063 | 614 | 658 | 233 | 19 | 280 | 521 | 18 | 12 | 217 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 16 | 77 | 59 | 65 | 38 | 26 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | E 9 | E 10 | SSW 10 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | S 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 11 |
— | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 24 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | — | — | — | — | SE 3 | S 4 |
1205 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | 44 | 36 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 13 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 37 | 221 | 36 | 0 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 34 | 34 | 526 | 565 | 11 | 0 | 79 | 79 | 462 | 43 | 37 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.











