El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next 16 days at El Muelle are a real mixed bag, a proper test of patience. We’ve got a lot of junky, small, and wind-blown stuff to sift through, but there are a couple of windows where it’ll all come together. Don’t get too excited about the near-term, the real potential is further out.

We start this Saturday afternoon, the 29th, with tiny but rideable 3ft waves from the ENE. It’s completely glassy out there, which is a plus. The water is sitting at 51°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so a little bit of a gift. It’s surfable, but it’s not going to get your heart racing. The combined energy is a weak 134.

From there, it’s a proper flat spell. For the next four days, through to Wednesday the 2nd, there’s just nothing doing. Waves are under 2ft and the conditions are poor. Honestly, you’d be better off finding something else to do with your time.

Things start to stir slightly on Thursday the 3rd, with the swell pushing to 3ft from the ENE (energy 112-114). It’s still very ordinary, but at least it’s surfable. Friday the 4th sees a jump in size, up to 7ft from the SSW, but that’s where the good news ends. The period is short at 7 seconds, and Friday afternoon the wind howls from the SW at 25 mph, chopping it all up. On Saturday the 5th it gets bigger and worse, with 10ft of SSW swell and a near-gale cross-onshore wind. That’s a mess, and way too much for beginners anyway. The energy does spike to 1423, but it’s completely unmanageable.

Sunday the 6th settles down a bit with 5-6ft of SSW swell (energy 779-838), but it’s still cross-shore and basically poor. The standout window finally arrives on Monday the 7th. The swell is a clean 4ft from the SE, and with a light offshore from the N, the conditions are looking genuinely glassy. The combined energy is a solid 577. This is our first real chance for a decent session. There’s still a little bump of energy on Tuesday the 8th, with a 4-5ft SE swell that has a nice 11-14 second period, but the wind goes more cross-shore, taking some of the shine off it. Still, those mornings look the best.

The energy fades again after that, dropping back into the low 200s by Thursday the 10th, with the swell backing off to 3ft. The surf gods give it one more push the following week, but it’s less certain. There’s another SE swell on Saturday the 12th, with 5ft on the morning and clean conditions, but the wind swings onshore in the arvo. And then, on Monday the 13th, there might be a final pulse of SSW swell around 3ft, but it’s weak.

So, if you’re looking for the pick of the bunch, it’s all about Monday the 7th. That’s the day the stars align – clean conditions, decent little SE swell, proper period. Tuesday the 8th is a close second if you can handle a bit of cross-shore wind. The rest of the window is just about being patient or finding something else to do.

Be patient. It’s coming.

Rusty.

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