El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.2°C
1.7° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period, S swell with 205 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 0.9m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Sat 29th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 9s
Best Surf 9AM (Wed 2nd Sep)3ft (0.9m) 9s
Most Powerful 6PM (Fri 4th Sep)3ft (0.9m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for El Muelle (El-Muelle_1).

Right now, the water is sitting at 50°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a bit of a treat if you’re braving the chill.

The outlook starts with a bit of a gap. There’s nothing really worth paddling out for from Friday 28 August through to Monday 1 September. The swell is tiny, the energy is weak (values between 39 and 211), and the conditions are messy. Give it a miss.

Things start to look up on Wednesday 2 September. The morning is the standout early in the run. We’ve got a glassy surface, 3ft swell from the ENE at 9 seconds, and combined energy of 201 – moderate, but not huge. The glassy wind is a major positive, so you’ll get clean, lined-up waves. It’s not massive, but for a quiet session, it’s a good call.

The next real highlight is Sunday 6 September. The morning brings 4ft swell from the SSE with a 13-second period – that’s a long-period groundswell that’ll wrap in nicely. The energy jumps to 844 (strong), and the cross-offshore wind keeps things clean. The tide could be a factor, but for a point break or reef setup, this is the kind of swell that’ll give you proper shape. The afternoon holds similar energy (536) but with a bit more cloud.

Monday 7 September morning is also worth a mention – glassy again, 4ft swell from the SSE, 10-second period, and energy at 323. Clean, friendly surf.

Then we get to Wednesday 9 September – the swell jumps to 6ft from the SSW, but the period drops to 8 seconds and the wind is cross-shore. It’s a bit lumpy, and for a beach break, that’s not ideal. The afternoon gets even bigger at 7ft from the S, but with a short 7-second period and cross-chop – that’s more of a mess than a session.

The best on offer across the whole 16 days is Thursday 10 September. The morning is too big – 10ft from the SE with a long 11-second period and energy at 2400 – that’s for experts only, and even then it might be overwhelming. But the afternoon is sweet: 8ft from the ESE, 11-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and energy at 2262. Clean, powerful, and proper. This is a standout for experienced surfers only – beginners stay well clear. The longer period means it’ll be better on the point or reef, not so much on a beach break.

The following days, 11-12 September, stay solid with 6ft to 7ft swell from the E and ENE, periods around 7-11 seconds, and clean winds. The energy is strong (653-1783). Saturday 12 September morning has offshore wind and 7ft from the ENE – very good, but the short period (7 seconds) means it might be a bit fat and straight at the beach.

Overall, the two standouts are Wednesday 2 September morning for a clean, smaller session, and Thursday 10 September afternoon for the big, powerful, expert-level swell. The rest is a mix of clean but ordinary, or too big and messy. Keep an eye on the long-range – it’s promising, but not locked in yet.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Wed afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
10
0.6
ENE
9
0.6
ENE
9
0.6
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.6
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.7
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
10
0.7
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
9
0.8
S
8
0.7
E
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
137
111
84
105
65
61
58
64
41
40
58
39
38
61
124
132
88
86
92
112
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
15
N
15
WNW
10
NW
20
NNW
20
NNW
10
W
10
N
10
NNW
15
WSW
10
SSW
20
WNW
20
SW
10
SW
5
WSW
10
E
25
ENE
25
ESE
10
SSE
10
NE
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
High Tide
7:24PM1.30m
8:07AM0.95m
8:06PM1.32m
8:39AM1.02m
8:49PM1.31m
9:13AM1.09m
9:32PM1.28m
9:48AM1.17m
10:18PM1.23m
10:27AM1.23m
11:05PM1.17m
11:09AM1.28m
11:57PM1.09m
Low Tide
2:49AM0.22m
2:22PM0.43m
3:26AM0.23m
3:09PM0.36m
4:01AM0.26m
3:55PM0.30m
4:34AM0.31m
4:42PM0.24m
5:07AM0.37m
5:30PM0.20m
5:39AM0.43m
6:22PM0.17m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:18
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:11
7:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:25
6:25
6:27
6:28
6:29
6:30
6:30
 mm
1
5
15
1
Temp °C
16
14
16
19
16
15
18
15
16
18
11
12
11
10
8
7
8
8
8
7
Feels °C
13
12
13
16
12
11
15
13
12
14
7
6
5
6
6
4
3
3
5
4
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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