
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period, S swell with 189 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 0.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, grab a cuppa and let’s have a look at this stretch ahead. We’re at El Muelle, a beach and pier set-up, and honestly, the first week is a bit of a grind. The water is sitting at 51°F, which is a massive 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a real anomaly, you’ll notice the difference as soon as you get in. The swell energy is weak (245) for the first few days, and we’ve got onshore winds messing up the shape. It’s a slow start.
Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are pretty flat and messy. Small stuff around 2 ft to 3 ft from the ENE, but with a SE wind blowing straight onshore, it’s just lumpy and poor. Not worth paddling out for. Wednesday the 22nd is more of the same, with the wind picking up a bit. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th morning see the wind shift to a cross-offshore, cleaning the surface, but the swell drops to a tiny 2 ft-2 ft and the energy is weak (99-110). Still, the clean conditions are a tease.
Then, Friday afternoon the 24th, things finally spark up. We get a 2 ft swell from the S with a lovely long period of 13 seconds, and the wind goes offshore from the NNW. The energy jumps to 204 (moderate), and the wave comment says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s the standout in the first week. The long period means more push and shape, but it might break a bit straight at the beach on the sets. Still, with glassy offshore wind, that’s your best chance for a session.
Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th stay clean with light winds, but the swell drops back to 2 ft - 3 ft and the energy fades. The 1.0 ft on Sunday morning is a write-off, but Sunday afternoon has a 3 ft ENE swell with a gentle offshore that’s at least surfable. Nothing to get too excited about.
The following week, from Monday 27th July to Thursday 30th, is mostly small and clean but with weak energy (145-197). The swell stays around 3 ft - 3 ft from the ENE, but the wind is cross-offshore, so the surface is okay. Nothing special, just ordinary waves.
Now, Wednesday 29th July morning is a sneaky good one. The swell picks up to 4 ft from the SW, energy hits 225 (moderate), and it’s clean with a cross-offshore wind. The period is short at 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit choppy and quick, but it’s the best of that week. The afternoon gets too cross-shore and messy.
The first few days of August bring a bigger swell but with terrible wind. Friday 31st July afternoon sees a 5 ft ENE swell with 8-second period and energy of 335 (moderate), but it’s marginal due to tide and with a cross-shore wind. Then Saturday 1st August has a 6 ft swell from the ENE with energy spiking to 947 (strong), but it’s a fresh cross-shore wind at 19 mph, making it lumpy and choppy. That’s not for a paddle board; it’s more of a kite-surfing day if you’re into that. The rest of the first week of August is all onshore or cross-shore wind with swell around 3 ft, so it’s a write-off.
The real gem in the long range is Saturday 1st August. The swell is solid at 6 ft from the ENE, the energy is a thumping 947, and it’s a long period swell. But the wind is a problem. If the wind forecast changes, that could be a cracking day, but as it stands, it’s too rough. Keep an eye on it.
Best bet: Friday afternoon the 24th for a clean, offshore session with that long-period groundswell. That’s your winner. Wednesday 29th July morning is a secondary option for a quick, fun wave if you’re keen.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Mon morning, min 6°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 5°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 11 | S 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
133 | 102 | 113 | 98 | 75 | 111 | 87 | 75 | 72 | 49 | 50 | 46 | 41 | 173 | 151 | 118 | 72 | 38 | 26 | 82 | 111 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:50AM1.12m | 00:08AM1.23m | 12:37PM1.14m | 1:04AM1.11m | 1:23PM1.15m | 2:03AM1.01m | 2:10PM1.15m | 3:05AM0.94m | 2:58PM1.14m | 4:06AM0.90m | 3:48PM1.14m | 5:04AM0.88m | 4:40PM1.16m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:33PM0.30m | 7:05AM0.29m | 7:27PM0.30m | 7:42AM0.38m | 8:20PM0.31m | 8:17AM0.47m | 9:14PM0.32m | 8:52AM0.54m | 10:10PM0.32m | 9:30AM0.59m | 11:07PM0.31m | 10:16AM0.61m | 00:06AM0.29m | ||||||||
8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | |
— | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | S 10 | E 8 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
105 | 84 | 85 | 98 | 75 | 111 | 87 | 75 | 65 | 48 | 50 | 46 | 35 | 173 | 151 | 118 | 72 | 25 | 64 | 82 | 111 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 6 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSE 7 | SSW 6 | S 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | S 8 | ENE 8 | S 9 | NE 4 | ENE 9 | E 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 12 | S 11 | SW 7 |
133 | 102 | 23 | 51 | 43 | 18 | 8 | 40 | 72 | 49 | 29 | 28 | 41 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 40 | 36 | 26 | 37 | 13 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 10 | SE 8 | SE 5 | SE 9 | S 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | ENE 9 | SSW 10 | NE 4 | WSW 4 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 8 | SSW 10 |
7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 31 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 23 | 14 | 20 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 8 | SE 7 | — | — | SE 8 | SSE 4 | — | N 3 | NNE 3 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 2 | W 4 | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 |
— | — | 113 | 54 | — | — | 54 | 13 | — | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 79 | 79 | 910 | 79 | 79 | 37 | 526 | 79 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.










