El Muelle Surf Break

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

Issued: 8 pm 02 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
11.5° C

2.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 3 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 11s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, S swell with 713 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 3 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.7m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Fri 3rd Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 11s
Best Surf 6PM (Fri 3rd Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 11s
Most Powerful 3AM (Fri 3rd Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming our way for El Muelle. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, but there are some real moments to get excited about if you’re patient.

First up, the forecast kicks off with a bit of a slow start. The opening days aren't offering much to write home about. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real chance to paddle out comes on Sunday, July 5th. The morning is looking like the pick of the early period. We’ve got a 3 ft swell rolling in from the east, with a period of 9 seconds. The wind is glassy, and the conditions are expected to be good. The combined wave energy is moderate (237), so nothing too heavy, but it’ll be clean and fun. It’s not a standout for size, but it’s a nice little window of glassy conditions.

After that, things get a bit messy. Monday through to the middle of the following week is pretty ordinary, with poor conditions and stronger winds. We’re looking at a gap of several days with no real recommendations.

Now, for the real news. The standout by a long shot hits Tuesday, July 14th. The morning brings a solid 12 ft swell from the southwest, with a 10-second period. The wind is fresh and offshore from the northwest, which will keep it clean. The combined energy is massive (2191), but the file tells us this swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is one for the experts only, and even then, it’s a serious beast. The same big energy rolls through the 15th and 16th as well, with the 17th seeing a 13 ft southwest groundswell with a long 13-second period, and energy going through the roof (9232). Again, this is expert territory only.

Given the size of this swell and the setup, this is a prime time for the kite surfers to have a field day. The waves will be big and powerful, but the cross-offshore winds will keep it clean for those with the skills.

For the average surfer, the best bet in the whole window is that glassy Sunday morning (July 5th) or maybe the cleaner moments on Tuesday afternoon (July 7th) with a 3 ft east-southeast swell and gentle cross-offshore winds. It’s not huge, but it’ll be the most user-friendly.

So, to sum it up: a slow start, a few days of clean small surf, then a massive pulse of energy that’s too big for the break. Plan accordingly.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun afternoon. Mild temperatures (max 8°C on Sat afternoon, min 5°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 6°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Sun night, strong winds from the SW by Mon night).

Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thu
9
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
1
2
1
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
S
12
1.4
S
11
1.2
S
11
1
S
10
0.9
S
9
0.6
SSE
9
0.7
E
10
0.9
E
9
1
E
10
1
E
10
0.9
E
9
0.9
E
9
1.9
SSW
6
1.5
S
8
1
ESE
9
1.1
SE
10
0.8
E
9
0.8
ESE
9
0.7
ESE
9
0.8
ESE
10
1.3
SSW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
396
457
323
194
136
59
94
140
177
184
137
134
280
280
161
208
106
110
88
123
204
Wind (km/h)
20
SSW
10
SW
5
SE
5
NNE
5
NNW
10
ENE
10
NNE
5
SSW
5
SSE
15
SSW
30
SSW
35
SW
40
SW
25
WSW
15
W
15
NNW
20
NW
20
WSW
30
SSW
30
S
15
SSE
Wind State
cross-on
cross
on
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
High Tide
9:49AM0.89m
9:33PM1.29m
10:26AM0.89m
10:13PM1.28m
11:02AM0.91m
10:55PM1.25m
11:39AM0.94m
11:40PM1.21m
12:17PM0.99m
00:30AM1.17m
1:00PM1.05m
1:27AM1.12m
1:47PM1.13m
Low Tide
4:28AM0.19m
3:51PM0.53m
5:10AM0.21m
4:35PM0.52m
5:49AM0.23m
5:18PM0.51m
6:26AM0.27m
6:03PM0.48m
7:01AM0.32m
6:50PM0.44m
7:35AM0.37m
7:42PM0.38m
8:08AM0.43m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:42
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:44
5:45
5:45
 mm
1
12
4
2
2
Temp °C
7
6
7
6
6
8
8
8
8
8
9
9
9
8
11
10
14
13
10
8
7
Feels °C
1
2
4
4
3
5
5
6
6
5
2
1
-1
2
7
6
7
8
4
1
3
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
S
12
1.4
S
11
1.2
S
11
1
S
10
0.9
S
9
0.6
SSE
9
0.7
E
10
0.9
E
9
1
E
10
1
E
10
0.9
E
9
0.9
E
9
0.7
E
9
1.5
S
8
1.2
S
7
1.1
SE
10
0.8
E
9
0.8
ESE
9
0.7
ESE
9
0.8
ESE
10
0.9
E
10
Energy kJ
396
457
323
194
136
59
94
140
177
184
137
134
80
280
150
208
106
110
88
123
164
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ENE
8
0.6
SE
6
0.6
ESE
6
0.5
ESE
6
0.6
E
8
0.6
E
8
0.3
SSW
8
0.4
S
16
0.3
S
16
0.3
S
13
0.3
S
12
0.1
S
17
0.2
S
10
0.5
E
9
1
ESE
9
0.7
E
9
0.6
SSE
7
0.2
WSW
4
0.2
NNE
4
0.8
SW
9
0.1
S
14
Energy kJ
13
29
25
20
45
41
11
84
43
31
26
6
8
41
161
78
36
2
1
95
4
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
8
0.3
SSW
10
0.3
SSW
10
0.3
SSW
9
0.3
SSW
8
0.4
SSW
8
0.4
SE
7
0.3
SSE
8
0.3
SSE
8
0.2
S
10
0.2
SSW
9
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
16
0.2
WSW
3
0.1
S
9
0.2
SSE
7
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
16
0.1
NE
5
Energy kJ
17
20
18
16
14
25
14
13
11
8
8
5
5
5
1
2
5
5
5
1
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
S
8
0.5
SSE
3
0.9
SSE
4
1.3
S
5
1.9
SSW
6
0.8
WSW
5
0.5
W
4
0.3
NW
2
0.4
WNW
4
0.4
NNW
3
0.6
WSW
4
1
SSW
5
1.3
SSW
8
Energy kJ
317
6
26
80
280
28
9
1
6
3
10
61
204
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
79
43
79
0
0
34
0
0
37
46
43
526
488
221
0
0
0
43
79
79
79
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
1
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
9
5
6
8
5
9
7
5
9
9
8
6
5
9
9
9
5
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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