
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period, SSW swell with 358 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with you—this outlook for the next couple of weeks is a bit of a slow burn. There’s a proper gap at the start with no real surf to get excited about, so we’re waiting a few days for anything worth paddling out for. The first real chance comes on Tuesday the 21st of July, but it’s nothing to write home about.
Alright, let’s get into it. The water at El Muelle is sitting at a warm 52°F – that’s 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s noticeably warmer than normal. Feels good, but the surf sure doesn’t. From Saturday the 18th right through to Monday the 20th, it’s poor. Cross-on winds, choppy, and weak energy. The combined energy on Saturday the 18th is only 260 (moderate), and it’s just not doing anything for us. Sunday the 19th morning gets a bit of onshore wind and a bigger 5ft swell from the SSW, but the period is 10 seconds and the energy is 565 (moderate-strong) – still poor conditions, rain, and a mess. Skip it.
Now, Tuesday morning the 21st of July is the first time you could even think about it. Swell drops to 2ft from the ENE, but the wind is glassy – dead calm, slight air. That’s a major positive for clean conditions. The energy is 183 (moderate) and it’s a long 9-second period, but the waves are just surfable, very ordinary. You’d be out there for a knee-high, clean paddle, but it’s not going to thrill you. The afternoon gets choppy again.
Wednesday the 22nd afternoon is a bit more promising. Swell 3ft from the ENE, period 8 seconds, combined energy 216 (moderate), and a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. That’s clean. The forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s still small, but if you’re desperate for a clean wave, that’s the call. Thursday the 23rd also has clean conditions, with a light offshore from the NW in the afternoon, 2ft from the SSW, period 8 seconds, energy 159 (moderate). Again, small, but clean.
Friday the 24th is a write-off – cross-on, chop, and a short 6-second period swell at 4ft. Energy 234 (moderate). Not worth it.
The best option on offer in the whole 16-day window comes at the very end. El Muelle on Sunday the 2nd of August. The afternoon is looking mint: 3ft swell from the S, 10-second period, combined energy 294 (moderate), and a light offshore wind from the NW. That’s clean, glassy-ish conditions. The forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s your standout. It’s a bit far out, so take it with a grain of salt, but it’s the one to circle on the calendar. The morning of the 2nd is also clean with a 4ft swell from the S, 11-second period, energy 327 (moderate-strong), but a moderate cross-offshore breeze – still good, but the afternoon is better.
One thing to note: the water temperature anomaly is only given for the first record, so I can’t say for the rest of the period. The surf is exposed to the swell here, and it’s a beach/pier setup. Crowds are “sometimes” an issue, so keep an eye out.
Overall, don’t rush out for the first week. The 22nd and 23rd of July offer clean, small waves. The real highlight is Sunday the 2nd of August – that’s the one to aim for. Everything else is either poor, choppy, or too small to get excited about. The setup is more interesting for a paddle than a kite, but with the bigger, windier days later in the month, keep an eye on the 29th and 30th of July for a stronger swell (7ft on the 29th afternoon, period 6 seconds, energy 439 (moderate-strong)) – that’s short-period, messy, and cross-shore, so it’s not great for surfing but could be fun for kiteboarding if that’s your thing.
Stay patient, and keep an eye on the 2nd of August.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 10°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Tue night, fresh winds from the SW by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 10 | SSW 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 12 | S 11 | S 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
262 | 358 | 254 | 177 | 130 | 84 | 98 | 50 | 75 | 105 | 88 | 106 | 68 | 37 | 41 | 52 | 137 | 62 | 268 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:20PM1.46m | 11:02AM1.10m | 11:14PM1.35m | 11:50AM1.12m | 00:08AM1.23m | 12:37PM1.14m | 1:04AM1.11m | 1:23PM1.15m | 2:03AM1.01m | 2:10PM1.15m | 3:05AM0.94m | 2:58PM1.14m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:43AM0.10m | 5:37PM0.30m | 6:25AM0.19m | 6:33PM0.30m | 7:05AM0.29m | 7:27PM0.30m | 7:42AM0.38m | 8:20PM0.31m | 8:17AM0.47m | 9:14PM0.32m | 8:52AM0.54m | 10:10PM0.32m | |||||||
— | 8:03 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 7 |
Feels °C | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 10 | SSW 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | NNE 5 | S 8 | S 12 | NE 5 | S 12 |
262 | 358 | 254 | 177 | 130 | 84 | 98 | 50 | 75 | 105 | 88 | 106 | 68 | 37 | 25 | 52 | 137 | 14 | 268 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 8 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 8 | NE 8 | ENE 5 | S 10 | ENE 5 |
23 | 349 | 143 | 114 | 78 | 56 | 45 | 50 | 43 | 18 | 21 | 75 | 37 | 28 | 22 | 18 | 15 | 51 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | — | — | — | E 6 | ESE 6 | SSW 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSW 8 | S 11 | NE 8 |
22 | — | — | — | 16 | 10 | 26 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 29 | 41 | 21 | 22 | 62 | 18 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | E 10 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | — | — | E 6 | — | — | — | WNW 2 | WNW 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | — | NE 5 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 |
24 | 277 | 23 | 17 | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 27 | — | 11 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 79 | 309 | 79 | 79 | 37 | 79 | 79 | 34 | 0 | 910 | 79 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 205 | 34 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.










