El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The only game in town for the next 16 days is El Muelle, and honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag, so don’t expect a non-stop party.

We start off with a bit of a slow cooker. The first real action worth paddling out for is on Tuesday, August 4th. The morning is your window. We’ve got a 4 ft swell rolling in from the southeast, with a period of 10 seconds, giving the waves a bit of shape. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the north, so it’ll be clean. The energy is moderate at 291, so there’s some push behind it. The morning looks good, but by afternoon the wind swings to a cross-shore and the quality drops off. Don’t sleep on that Tuesday morning session.

After that, things get real ugly. From Wednesday the 5th right through to the end of Sunday the 16th, it’s a write-off. We’re looking at strong winds, onshore slop, and rain. The swell is there, but the wind is just ruining everything. There’s a brief moment on Saturday, August 8th, where the swell bumps up to 7 ft, but it’s from the southwest with a short period and the wind is howling at 35 km/h. It’s too big and messy for a beginner, and the wind is just going to make it a battle. For the experienced crew, it might be worth a look if you’re desperate for a big, windy paddle, but frankly, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Then, just when you’re about to hang up your wettie, the forecast gets interesting. Sunday, August 9th is the real standout. The morning session is a monster. We’re talking a solid 10 ft swell from the southwest, with a 9-second period. The wind is a clean 30 km/h cross-offshore. The combined energy is a massive 1508, which is strong. This is serious, heavy stuff. The file says it’s predicted to be too big for this break, so this is for experts only. If you’re not comfortable in big, powerful waves, give this one a wide berth. The afternoon sees the swell drop back to 7 ft, but the wind turns cross-shore, so the morning is the only window.

After that big Sunday, the swell settles down. Monday, August 10th morning brings a 5 ft swell from the southeast, but the period stretches to 11 seconds, which is decent. Light cross-off wind from the west keeps it clean. The energy is still moderate at 805. It won’t be as punchy as Sunday, but it’ll be a good, clean day for intermediates.

The week of the 11th is a bit of a mixed bag. Tuesday, August 11th has a 6 ft swell from the south-southeast, but the wind is onshore, so it’s messy. The real keeper is Wednesday, August 12th, morning session. The wind goes glassy, literally dead calm, and the swell is a clean 5 ft from the south-southeast with a 10-second period. The energy is 487. That’s a beautiful, clean morning with some decent size. Energy is moderate, but with glassy conditions, the waves will be perfect.

Thursday, August 13th morning is another absolute gem. The wind is glassy again, with a 4 ft swell from the south-southeast. The energy is moderate at 547. This is a very good, clean option for intermediates. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

We hit another dry patch from Friday the 14th through Sunday the 16th. The swell drops to tiny, the wind is howling onshore, and it’s just not worth it.

The forecast picks up again on Monday, August 17th with a 5 ft swell from the south, but the wind is cross-offshore, so it’s clean. The energy is moderate at 379. It’s a marginal call, but the morning session is worth a look. Tuesday, August 18th afternoon sees a similar setup, with a 5 ft swell and a clean cross-offshore wind. The energy is 332. It’s not a classic, but it’s something to wet the line.

So, to wrap it up. The two true standouts are Sunday, August 9th for the big-wave crew (10 ft, expert only) and Wednesday, August 12th morning for the clean, glassy, intermediate-friendly session. Don’t get too excited about the long-range stuff on the 17th and 18th; it’s promising, but we’re a week out, so it’s less certain.

Rusty, signing off.

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