Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 23 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 23 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SSE swell with 2,774 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 23) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 21) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Wed 23rd Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 23rd Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. We're looking at a stretch ahead that has one real moment of magic for El Muelle, but you're gonna have to be patient for it. The first week is a write-off for any decent surfing.
Right now, into Wednesday the 16th, we actually have something on. Wednesday morning sees a clean 5ft SSE swell with a solid 9-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze, and the water is a bit warmer than usual for this time of year. The waves are carrying a solid moderate energy (621). For a beach/pier setup, that's a decent start.
But don't get too excited because that falls away fast. By Thursday the 17th, the swell drops off a cliff down to 3ft and then 2ft. The rest of that week and the following week? It's a flat spell. From Friday the 18th all the way through Tuesday the 24th of September, there's barely a ripple. We're talking tiny windswell with periods under 8 seconds and weak energy (as low as 2). The winds are howling and the surf quality is junk. It’s a brutal run of poor conditions that lasts for days on end.
Now, here's the one you've been waiting for. Wednesday the 23rd of September starts to rumble. Morning sees a jump to a 8ft SSE groundswell with a very long 13-second period. The combined energy is a strong 1913 – you'll feel that bank moving. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze keeping things tidy. That swell is big, edging towards expert territory, and at a beach break that long period can make it a bit tricky. But by the afternoon, the magic sets in. The wind swings fully offshore from the NNW at 19 mph, and the swell settles to a still-serious 6ft with a 12-second period. That's clean, powerful surf.
The real standout, however, is the forecast for Wednesday the 30th of September. The swell is predicted to hit a massive 10ft from the SW, but the period is short at 8 seconds. The wind is light offshore from the WSW. The data warns this is too big for El Muelle, and with that short period it’ll be a heavy, dumping beast. That is strictly for the big-wave crew and even then, you'd want your wits about you. For the everyday surfer, the clear winner is Wednesday the 23rd. Get that window marked.
So, to sum it up: suffer through a week and a half of flatness, but target that Wednesday the 23rd of September for El Muelle. The morning has the power, the afternoon has the clean offshore glass. That's your session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 3°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Tue night, fresh winds from the NNW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Sun night, strong winds from the SW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | S 12 | S 11 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | S 8 | S 11 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | WSW 7 | SW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 606 | 315 | 363 | 208 | 166 | 65 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 24 | 49 | 68 | 1 | 10 | 160 | 68 | 244 | 324 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 10:27PM1.17m | 10:29AM1.26m | 11:14PM1.08m | 11:08AM1.24m | 00:02AM0.99m | 11:49AM1.20m | 00:53AM0.91m | 12:34PM1.16m | 1:51AM0.85m | 1:26PM1.12m | 2:58AM0.80m | 2:26PM1.11m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:58AM0.40m | 5:34PM0.18m | 5:29AM0.47m | 6:19PM0.21m | 6:01AM0.53m | 7:06PM0.26m | 6:35AM0.57m | 7:59PM0.31m | 7:15AM0.60m | 8:58PM0.34m | 8:03AM0.62m | 10:03PM0.36m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | 6:40 | — | 6:42 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 6 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 9 |
Feels °C | -1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 20 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SE 9 | NE 5 | S 11 | SW 6 | ENE 5 | S 9 | S 8 | NE 6 | S 11 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 606 | 315 | 363 | 208 | 166 | 53 | 22 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 61 | 10 | 160 | 68 | 90 | 92 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | NE 5 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 6 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | E 14 | E 14 |
| kJ | 272 | 299 | 188 | 54 | 25 | 65 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | E 8 | SSW 9 | NNE 5 | SSW 9 | S 12 | SW 8 | S 12 | S 9 | SW 6 | S 10 | S 7 | S 7 | SW 6 | SW 8 | — | — |
| kJ | 14 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNE 5 | NW 4 | — | NNE 6 | NNW 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NNW 3 | NE 6 | NE 6 | — | NE 7 | W 3 | WSW 4 | WSW 7 | SW 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 50 | 8 | — | 21 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 3 | 49 | 68 | — | 116 | 4 | 31 | 244 | 324 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 43 | 0 | 34 | 444 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 462 | 1351 | 1339 | 140 | 2 | 41 | 34 | 544 | 0 | 182 | 221 | 574 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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