El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for El Muelle over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming up. The early part of the week shapes up nicely with some clean, fun-sized waves and good winds, but then things get wild. Towards the end of the first week and into the second, we’re looking at a massive pulse of swell that’s simply too big for this spot to handle. It’s a real shame, because the energy is there, but it’ll be a close-out mess. After that, it fades away into tiny, poor conditions.

The Best of It

The standout window is Monday, August 3rd. Sunday morning the 2nd is a decent warm-up, but Monday is where it’s at. We’ve got a solid 5ft swell rolling in from the SSE, with a period of 10 seconds, giving it some punch. The combined wave energy is a solid moderate (556). The real magic though, is the wind. Monday morning is a clean cross-offshore breeze from the north at just 3 mph, and then Monday afternoon turns absolutely glassy with calm, zero wind. That’s as good as it gets for clean conditions. The water’s sitting at 51°F, which is a couple of degrees warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a nice bonus.

The Full Breakdown

Sunday, August 2nd: A gentle start. The morning offers 3ft swell from the ENE with a cross-offshore breeze. It’s surfable and clean, but nothing to write home about. The afternoon goes a bit more marginal with a cross-shore wind and a small 2ft swell.

Monday, August 3rd: This is the call. As I said, 5ft of SSE swell, and the wind is a dream. Morning is a clean cross-off, and the afternoon goes dead calm and glassy. The combined energy is ramping up well (575). This is the session to aim for.

Tuesday, August 4th: Still a good option. The swell drops a touch to 4ft from the SE, but the wind is offshore in the morning and glassy in the afternoon. Very clean, user-friendly waves.

Wednesday, August 5th: The swell is fading fast, down to 2ft in the morning and 2ft in the afternoon. The winds are good, offshore and glassy, so it’s a clean little wave, but you’ll be working for it.

Thursday, August 6th to Friday, August 7th: Things go flat and poor. The swell drops to tiny 1ft with weak energy, and the wind is up. Friday afternoon gets a bit crazy though – a 10ft swell from the WSW shows up, but it’s accompanied by a near gale-force wind of 34 mph. Just a messy, blown-out situation. Not for paddling.

Saturday, August 8th to Tuesday, August 12th: This is the big, ugly stretch. The swell pumps up to 13ft from the SW on Saturday morning, with a combined energy of 2926, and it stays huge through to Tuesday. The problem is, the forecasts say it’s simply too big for this break. The crowd factor is also a "sometimes" issue here, but with this size, it’s only for absolute experts, and even they’ll be struggling. The wind is either fresh or strong, so it’s going to be a washing machine. This setup is honestly more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle surfers.

Wednesday, August 13th to Friday, August 15th: The swell finally starts to drop back, but the conditions are still "marginal." We’re looking at 4ft to 5ft swell from the SSE, with clean offshore winds in the mornings. The energy is moderate (750 down to 379). It’s surfable, but the quality is questionable, likely due to tides. It’s not the same as the clean Monday session.

Saturday, August 16th onwards: The window closes. The swell drops to 2ft and smaller, with weak energy. The wind is still around, but the waves are just about gone. The last few days of the forecast show tiny, poor surf.

So, the call is clear: Monday, August 3rd is the standout. Get in the water early or enjoy the glassy afternoon. After that, it’s a long wait for the big stuff to pass, and then a trickle of smaller, average waves to finish.

Rusty.

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