
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 23 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 22 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, SSW swell with 1,487 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 22) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 7s period and expected on Monday (Sep 21) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Wed 23rd Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 22nd Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya with a full look at what’s on the table. The water temp is sittin’ at 51°F, which is a touch warmer than what we usually see this time of year, so the wetsuit might feel a little less brutal.
The first solid window of action opens up on Wednesday morning the 16th. El Muelle is where it’s at. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell rolling in from the SSE, with a 9-second period, and the wind’s a light 6 mph cross-off from the NNW. The swell energy’s moderate at 621, and the wave comment says it’s gonna be very good. That morning session is your standout for the first few days – it’s the best combo of size, shape, and wind on offer. The afternoon fades a bit with a stronger wind and a drop in score, so get it early.
Thursday the 17th is a bit of a letdown after that. The swell drops to under 3ft, and while the afternoon goes glassy with S wind at 3 mph and a tiny 2ft swell, it’s just too small to get excited about.
Then we hit a long stretch of pretty ordinary to poor conditions from Friday the 18th all the way through Monday the 21st. Swell heights bounce around between 0.7ft and 4ft, but periods are short and wind is mostly cross-off with moderate breeze. On the 21st, the wind cranks up to 25-31 mph, and the afternoon actually sees a 7ft WSW swell, but it’s coming with a near gale – more for kites than paddles. Not the spot for a surfboard that day.
Tuesday the 22nd brings a big pulse of energy from the SSW. The morning is 8ft at 10 seconds, but it’s a cross wind and looks a bit choppy. The afternoon though ... that’s where it gets serious. 12ft swell from the S, 13-second period, and the energy reading is 4933 – that’s a massive jump. Problem is, the reports say the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, and with a cross-on wind, it’s gonna be a wild, heavy beast. Only for the brave, and even then, I’d be cautious.
The next few days settle down a bit but stay solid. Wednesday the 23rd has a 8ft SSE swell with N wind and a clean look in the morning. Thursday the 24th is a real highlight for experienced surfers. The afternoon session is firing: 6ft swell from the SE, a long 14-second period, and a clean offshore wind from the NW at 12 mph. The wave comment says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” – long period groundswell like that will make for some proper, powerful lines at a pier. The swell energy is strong at 1119. That’s your second standout session of the forecast.
Saturday the 26th morning offers another good clean window with a 6ft SSW swell and a gentle offshore wind. It’s not the biggest, but the early session should be fun and clean.
The last week of September and into October sees some massive south swells. Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th have 10ft S swells with 14-second periods and energy readings over 2800-3500. The wind is favourable – offshore on the Tuesday morning – but again, the comments flag that the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s a lot of water moving, and El Muelle might just get overwhelmed. Only for the most experienced, and expect it to be big and intense.
Wednesday the 30th morning is a nice return to something more manageable: 5ft S swell, 12 seconds, clean offshore wind, and a good wave comment. A solid way to wrap up the month if you missed the earlier windows.
After that, from the 1st of October onward, it dribbles back to flat, poor conditions with tiny swell and nothing worth chasing.
Overall, the standout sessions are the morning of Wednesday the 16th for the clean, fun shoulder-high surf, and the afternoon of Thursday the 24th for the clean, long-period groundswell that’ll test your skills. Crowds are sometimes an issue at El Muelle, so the cleaner morning slots might be quieter.
This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Fri afternoon, min 3°C on Wed morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sat morning, strong winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | Tuesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | S 12 | SW 8 | NE 5 | S 9 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | WSW 6 | SW 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
315 | 343 | 208 | 166 | 65 | 22 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 26 | 34 | 50 | 44 | 64 | 180 | 81 | 193 | 358 | 1004 | 1172 | 482 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:29AM1.26m | 11:14PM1.08m | 11:08AM1.24m | 00:02AM0.99m | 11:49AM1.20m | 00:53AM0.91m | 12:34PM1.16m | 1:51AM0.85m | 1:26PM1.12m | 2:58AM0.80m | 2:26PM1.11m | 4:06AM0.79m | 3:30PM1.12m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:34PM0.18m | 5:29AM0.47m | 6:19PM0.21m | 6:01AM0.53m | 7:06PM0.26m | 6:35AM0.57m | 7:59PM0.31m | 7:15AM0.60m | 8:58PM0.34m | 8:03AM0.62m | 10:03PM0.36m | 9:01AM0.62m | 11:06PM0.34m | ||||||||
6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | 6:42 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 6 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
Feels °C | 1 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SE 9 | S 12 | SW 8 | SW 7 | ENE 5 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 |
315 | 343 | 208 | 166 | 53 | 22 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 180 | 81 | 127 | 92 | 70 | 1172 | 482 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | NNE 5 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 6 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 7 | E 14 | E 14 | E 12 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
299 | 188 | 54 | 32 | 65 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 45 | 50 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | — | E 8 | SSW 9 | NE 5 | SSW 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 9 | S 12 | SSW 6 | E 11 | E 10 | E 9 | S 7 | SSW 8 | S 10 | — | — | E 14 | E 12 | E 13 |
7 | — | 5 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | — | — | 4 | 25 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 3 | NNE 5 | NW 3 | — | NE 6 | NNE 5 | NNE 4 | NE 5 | NNW 3 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 | NE 7 | W 4 | WSW 6 | SW 8 | SSW 10 | — | NNE 3 |
— | 4 | 54 | 6 | — | 15 | 21 | 13 | 43 | 3 | 34 | 50 | 44 | 64 | 279 | 24 | 193 | 358 | 1004 | — | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 34 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 462 | 1351 | 1336 | 182 | 11 | 182 | 611 | 463 | 34 | 574 | 1225 | 1164 | 221 | 79 | 59 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.










