El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line.

The next few days are pretty ordinary, with small swell and tricky winds to start. Things start looking up from Thursday, August 4th onward, and the real standout is Tuesday, August 11th, with clean conditions and a fun little groundswell.

Wednesday, July 29th kicks off with a small 3ft SSW swell (179 combined energy) and a light cross-offshore breeze, but the low period of 8 seconds means the waves are pretty weak – only just surfable. By the afternoon it drops to 2ft and gets messy.

Thursday, July 30th is another small day. A 2ft S swell with 11 seconds period in the morning, cross-off wind, so it's clean but weak (147 combined energy). The afternoon gets blown out by a 19 mph crosswind.

Friday, July 31st is frustrating – tiny 1ft to 1.0ft swell and strong winds. Not worth looking at.

Saturday, August 1st sees a jump in swell height to 4ft from the ENE, with moderate energy (214 to 240 combined), but strong cross-offshore winds at 25 mph. The conditions are clean but those winds are howling – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We then hit a decent wave pulse. Sunday, August 2nd brings a 4ft SSW swell in the morning, but the period is short at 8 seconds and it's cross-shore, so it’s choppy. The afternoon has a bigger 5ft S swell with a long 12-second period (813 combined energy), but onshore wind ruins it.

Monday, August 3rd comes in at 6ft SSE swell with 11 seconds (777 combined energy) and light cross-shore wind. There's some size and energy, but it's a bit lumpy and marginal.

Tuesday, August 4th is the first real bright spot. We’ve got a 5ft SE swell (410 combined energy) with 10 seconds and light offshore wind in the morning, going glassy by the afternoon with a 4ft SE swell (409 combined energy). This is clean, glassy, and surfable. It’s not massive, but with the good wind it will be fun.

After that, Wednesday, August 5th drops back down to 4ft and gets blown out by onshore winds. Thursday, August 6th is a no-go with severe gale-force winds of 50 mph.

Friday, August 7th through Saturday, August 8th is all strong winds and messy conditions. The swell stays around 5ft to 5ft but the chop is ugly.

Sunday, August 9th has a bigger 8ft SW swell (696 combined energy) in the morning with offshore wind – that’s for experts only as it’s over 8ft technically, but it's a solid, powerful groundswell with 8 seconds period. The morning could have some big, clean sets for the experienced crew.

Monday, August 10th is blown out again.

Now, Tuesday, August 11th – this is your pick of the 16-day window. The morning sees a 4ft S swell with 10 seconds (327 combined energy) and a light cross-offshore breeze. In the afternoon it goes glassy, same 4ft S swell (283 combined energy). Clean, lined-up waves, knee to waist-high with some chest-high sets. This is the one to aim for at El Muelle.

Wednesday, August 12th is more ordinary at 3ft, and Thursday, August 13th finishes small and clean but weak.

Overall, the water temperature is a notable 51°F at El Muelle, which is 4° warmer than normal – that’s much warmer than usual for this time of year. So you’ll need a thick suit, but it’s a bit less cold than you’d expect.

Keep your eyes on Tuesday, August 4th and especially Tuesday, August 11th for the cleanest windows.

Rusty.

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