El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. It’s been a bit of a slow start, but there’s some light at the end of the tunnel. We’re looking at a 16-day window, and I gotta be honest, the first few days are not going to get you stoked. There’s a gap of no real quality surf from Monday the 27th right through to the end of the week. You’ll be waiting until Wednesday the 29th for anything that’s actually worth paddling out for.

Let’s talk about El Muelle. It’s a beach and pier setup, and it’s consistent, so it’s usually got something to offer. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing to write home about there.

First up, Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are a write-off. The swell is small, winds are messy, and the energy is weak. We’re looking at 3ft to 3ft of bumpy, short-period swell from the SSW. The combined energy is just 77 on Monday morning, barely a ripple. You’re better off staying home.

Now, Wednesday the 29th is the first real standout. We’re waking up to a clean 5ft SSW swell, and the wind is dead flat – glassy, zero mph. That’s a beautiful thing. The swell period is a solid 9 seconds, giving the waves some shape, and the combined energy is up to 375 (moderate). The afternoon stays glassy with a 4ft swell. This is the best surf on offer in the first week, no question. It’s an intermediate-friendly size, but it’s clean and fun.

Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st are back to poor conditions. Small, onshore wind, and the energy drops off a cliff. Not worth your time.

Saturday the 1st of August has a bit of size, with 5ft from the ENE, but the wind is a strong cross-off at 25 mph in the afternoon. That’s a battle, and the surf quality is poor. The combined energy is 284 (moderate), but it’s not clean.

Sunday the 2nd of August gets a bit interesting. The morning shows a 6ft SSW swell, with a period of 10 seconds and a combined energy of 789 (strong). That’s real energy. But the wind is light and cross-shore, and the report calls it marginal. The afternoon gets bigger at 8ft from the SSE, but the wind swings hard onshore and the energy jumps to 1223 (very strong). That’s a lot of power, but it’s going to be a choppy mess. This is more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day.

The real standout of the whole forecast is Monday the 3rd of August. Morning session at El Muelle with a 6ft SE swell, 9-second period, combined energy of 619 (moderate-strong), and a light offshore wind from the west at 6 mph. The report says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s the pick of the trip. It’s a solid size, clean, and the offshore wind will hold it up perfectly. If you can only surf one day, this is it.

The rest of the first week of August is a mixed bag. Tuesday the 4th has a clean 5ft from the east with light offshore wind, but it’s a bit shorter period. Still fun. The weekend of the 9th and 10th of August looks small again, with a 4ft SSW swell on Monday the 10th that has light cross-off winds and decent energy. It’s a good option for a clean, smaller day.

The last few days of the forecast, from the 7th of August onward, are generally smaller and less energetic. The swell drops back to below 4ft, and while there are some clean windows, the energy is low. The 11th of August Tuesday morning has a 4ft SE swell with a 10-second period, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph, which will make it a tough paddle.

Bottom line: Don’t bother paddling out until Wednesday the 29th of July. That’s your first fun, glassy day. The absolute best session is Monday the 3rd of August – that 6ft SE swell with offshore wind is a ripper. After that, there are a few smaller, cleaner days but nothing that will blow your mind.

Rusty.

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