El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 am 21 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.7° C
2.2° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, S swell with 7,474 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Fri 21st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf 9PM (Fri 21st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 9AM (Sun 23rd Aug)13ft (4.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Imperial Units

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what's cooking.

First thing's first: the first few days are a write-off. Friday and Saturday, we've got swell running a solid 8ft to 11ft-plus from the SSW, mixed up with a nasty onshore or cross wind. It's a washing machine out there. Don't even think about it.

The real window opens up on Monday morning, August 24th. The wind goes glassy offshore from the NW, and the swell settles down to a powerful 8ft from the SSE. The wave energy is pumping at (1613), and it's a proper long-period groundswell at 12 seconds. You'll get clean, lined-up waves, but the power is real. This is for experienced surfers only. It's a genuine standout for the crew that can handle it.

From there, the week tones down. Tuesday and Wednesday see the SSE swell ease back to 4ft to 5ft with clean conditions and light offshore breezes. It's not big, but it's nice and smooth for a longboard or a funboard.

Then we hit a flat spell. From late August into the first week of September, the swell just vanishes, down to 2ft or less, with energy readings in the low hundreds or even below 100. It's a classic quiet period for the area.

But there's light at the end of the tunnel. Keep an eye on Saturday, September 5th. A new SSW swell is forecast to come through at about 5ft, with a decent 10-second period and light offshore winds. The energy jumps back up to (543), and the notes are saying it should be good. It's a long way out, so don't book your flights yet, but that's the one you're waiting for.

Bottom line: skip the weekend mess. Smash Monday morning if you've got the nerve. Then wait and watch for that first Saturday in September. The flat spells are normal here, but the good stuff always comes back.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Sat afternoon, min 4°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 4°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
!
!
!
0
0
0
!
4
1
2
0
1
1
2
3
3
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSW
9
3
SSW
9
3
SSW
9
3
SSW
10
3.5
SSW
10
3.5
S
11
4
S
15
3.5
S
14
3
S
12
2.4
SSE
12
2.2
SSE
11
1.7
SSE
11
1.4
SSE
10
1.1
SE
14
1.6
SE
13
1.2
SE
12
1.5
SE
13
1.3
SE
13
1.1
SE
13
1
SE
12
0.8
SE
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1156
1291
1631
2101
2090
2912
7474
5477
2501
1437
1086
643
402
453
821
403
778
609
357
281
193
Wind (km/h)
40
SSW
40
SW
30
WSW
35
W
40
WSW
35
S
30
S
20
SSW
5
SSE
5
NNW
20
E
25
NNE
25
NNE
25
N
30
N
25
N
10
N
15
NW
25
WNW
20
W
15
NW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
High Tide
1:20PM1.16m
2:29AM0.89m
2:11PM1.13m
3:34AM0.84m
3:07PM1.12m
4:37AM0.82m
4:07PM1.14m
5:33AM0.82m
5:03PM1.17m
6:19AM0.83m
5:54PM1.22m
6:59AM0.86m
6:41PM1.27m
Low Tide
8:34PM0.31m
7:57AM0.58m
9:31PM0.33m
8:40AM0.61m
10:35PM0.34m
9:32AM0.62m
11:40PM0.33m
10:35AM0.61m
00:38AM0.29m
11:40AM0.59m
1:27AM0.26m
12:39PM0.54m
2:10AM0.23m
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:20
6:20
6:21
6:22
6:22
6:23
6:24
 mm
1
1
1
3
1
Temp °C
8
8
8
7
9
9
7
7
6
5
7
6
9
12
9
10
14
12
15
17
13
Feels °C
-1
-2
0
-2
-1
1
-1
1
1
2
2
-1
2
6
4
7
11
10
10
12
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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