El Muelle Surf Break

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

Issued: 8 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.9° C

1.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, ESE swell with 720 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.9m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Tue 7th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 10s
Best Surf12AM (Sat 11th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 10s
Most Powerful 9PM (Fri 10th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what we’ve got coming down the line for El Muelle. It’s a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, but there are a few little windows that should get the blood pumping.

We kick off on Tuesday the 7th of July with some marginal conditions. A moderate breeze is cross-offshore, which is a decent start with some clean waves in the morning. Not huge, but the energy in the water is moderate (352). Those early sessions might be worth a paddle if you’re keen and the tide cooperates. By Tuesday afternoon, it actually cleans up a touch more with moderate offshore wind, and a bit of a shift in the swell to the ESE at about 3ft with a 9-second period. The water temp is fairly average for this time of year, nothing too out of the ordinary.

The rest of the week into the weekend is a bit of a write-off, to be honest. Wednesday and Thursday are dominated by onshore and cross-onshore breezes, and the surf quality comment says it all. It’s going to be lumpy, choppy, and pretty ordinary. If you want to get wet, you'll be battling the elements.

Now, keep an eye on Saturday the 11th of July. It’s a proper standout. Saturday morning sees a shift with a cross-offshore breeze from the west and a wave period that jumps up to 15 seconds. That’s a proper long-period groundswell, arriving from the ESE at about 2ft. The energy is strong (509), and with light winds, it’s going to be clean and lined up. For a beach and pier break, that long period might mean it bends a little straighter, but expect some nice, drawn-out lines. Saturday afternoon gets a bit more size (about 4ft) but the wind picks up to a fresh breeze, making it a bit more challenging.

Then we have a solid run starting Monday the 13th. The morning is looking excellent – about 3ft of ESE swell on a 12-second period, with light winds and clean conditions. That’s a great combo. The energy is moderate (307) but the quality is there. Monday afternoon keeps the momentum with a gentle offshore from the NNW. Tuesday the 14th gets blown out a bit by fresh offshore winds, but the swell and period are still there.

Looking further out, the window around Friday the 17th is worth circling on the calendar. Friday morning looks mint – clear skies, a light offshore breeze from the NW, and the swell size lifts to about 6ft from the ENE. That’s a solid amount of juice for the more experienced crew. The period is a short 6 seconds, so it’ll be a bit more of a wind swell feel, but with glassy conditions it could still offer some fun, punchy walls. Energy is moderate (308). Friday afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-shore chop.

Right at the tail end, Sunday the 19th of July is something to keep an eye on as a long-range promise. Showers are possible, but the wind is light. There’s a decent E swell running at about 6-6ft with a 10-second period. The energy is strong to very strong (684-732). The only catch is a light cross-onshore wind that’ll introduce a few ripples, but it might still offer some size for those up for a paddle. The rest of the month looks pretty tough, with onshore winds and lumpy conditions taking over.

So, overall: Saturday the 11th morning is your best bet for quality over size, while Friday the 17th morning is the one for a bit more grunt and power. Sunday the 19th is a long-range looker for raw size.

Stay tuned, stay stoked.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 4°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Mon night, calm by Wed night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Fri night, fresh winds from the S by Sun morning).

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Mon
13
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SSW
6
1.2
SSE
8
0.9
ESE
9
0.8
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
9
0.8
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
10
0.9
E
10
0.9
E
10
1
E
10
1.8
ESE
10
1.9
ESE
10
0.6
ESE
15
1.2
E
11
0.9
ESE
13
0.8
ESE
13
0.8
ESE
13
1.1
E
13
0.9
ESE
12
0.9
ESE
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
190
173
156
156
135
126
128
131
161
161
202
663
706
172
326
295
222
186
392
236
232
Wind (km/h)
25
W
20
WNW
25
WNW
25
NW
15
WNW
10
NW
10
NE
25
ESE
25
E
20
ESE
15
E
20
ENE
10
NNE
15
W
30
WNW
30
SSW
35
S
25
S
10
S
10
W
15
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
off
High Tide
11:40PM1.21m
12:17PM0.99m
00:30AM1.17m
1:00PM1.05m
1:27AM1.12m
1:47PM1.13m
2:31AM1.07m
2:39PM1.21m
3:38AM1.03m
3:36PM1.30m
4:44AM1.01m
4:36PM1.39m
5:46AM1.00m
5:36PM1.47m
Low Tide
7:01AM0.32m
6:50PM0.44m
7:35AM0.37m
7:42PM0.38m
8:08AM0.43m
8:40PM0.30m
8:43AM0.48m
9:44PM0.23m
9:24AM0.52m
10:53PM0.15m
10:13AM0.53m
00:05AM0.08m
11:14AM0.53m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:06
8:06
8:06
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:46
5:47
 mm
5
1
2
Temp °C
7
9
13
12
13
15
13
10
9
10
10
11
11
10
12
10
9
9
9
8
11
Feels °C
0
2
7
4
8
12
11
5
3
7
7
8
9
7
5
3
1
3
5
5
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
E
9
1.2
SSE
8
0.9
ESE
9
0.8
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
9
0.8
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
10
0.9
E
10
0.9
E
10
1
E
10
1.8
ESE
10
0.5
S
8
1
E
7
1.2
E
11
1.1
E
8
0.9
SSE
6
0.9
E
8
1.1
E
13
0.9
ESE
12
0.9
ESE
12
Energy kJ
81
173
156
156
135
126
128
131
161
161
202
663
29
103
326
138
66
105
392
236
232
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
10
0.9
ESE
10
0.9
SSE
8
0.7
SSE
7
0.1
S
8
0.6
WSW
6
0.4
WSW
5
0.2
WSW
4
0.2
SSW
10
0.7
SSW
7
0.5
SSW
7
0.6
S
9
0.3
ESE
16
0.8
E
10
0.7
ESE
14
0.9
ESE
13
0.8
ESE
13
0.8
SSE
8
1
SE
8
0.7
SE
7
0.5
SE
7
Energy kJ
8
170
110
48
1
24
11
2
10
55
27
55
51
125
213
295
222
74
111
54
27
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
9
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
10
0.2
S
9
0.1
S
13
0.1
NE
6
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
11
0.1
NE
5
0.1
S
16
0.3
S
10
0.5
S
9
0.1
S
17
0.6
ESE
15
0.4
SSW
7
0.4
SE
9
0.8
E
8
0.8
ESE
13
0.3
S
12
0.3
S
10
0.3
S
9
Energy kJ
6
9
7
6
3
1
5
2
1
5
17
39
6
172
16
21
72
186
25
17
14
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SSW
6
0.7
W
4
0.6
W
4
0.8
W
4
0.8
WSW
6
0.2
NNW
3
0.4
SE
3
0.5
SE
5
1.1
SE
6
1.6
SE
6
1.9
ESE
10
1
S
7
0.9
SSE
7
1
SSE
6
0.5
N
3
0.8
N
4
Energy kJ
190
17
12
17
48
1
3
10
67
190
706
109
84
72
5
18
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
43
36
0
42
16
0
23
140
205
444
79
522
0
0
36
221
526
79
37
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
7
9
8
9
7
7
6
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
9
7
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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