El Muelle Surf Break

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

Issued: 2 am 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
11.2° C

1.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 11s period, SE swell with 249 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.1m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Sun 5th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Best Surf 6AM (Sun 5th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Most Powerful 9AM (Sat 11th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for El Muelle.

The next couple of days are a bit of a write-off – we’re getting small, short-period swell, but the wind is all over the place, especially Sunday afternoon and through Monday into Tuesday. There is a short window of nice conditions on Sunday morning, with glassy winds and a bit of knee‑high energy from the east. After that, we’re looking at a few days of moderate to fresh cross‑shore winds and choppy sea state that’s just not worth paddling out for.

The first real standout comes on Saturday, July 11th. The morning will be glassy with 3ft of east‑southeast swell, and the afternoon turns clean with 4ft from the same direction, period pushing 11 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (338 in the morning, 353 in the afternoon). This is a solid, clean day for intermediate surfers – no crowds mentioned, so you should have the place to yourself. The water temp is about average for the time of year – no big anomaly.

Then, on Sunday, July 12th, the afternoon really fires up. Swell jumps to 7ft from the west-southwest, period a short 7 seconds, but it’s blowing offshore from the northwest at 15 mph. The combined energy gets into the moderate-to-strong range (707). Wave heights are in the head‑high to overhead zone, so this is for experienced surfers. The surf quality is elevated – clean, offshore, and the pier will be working. This is the best session on offer.

After that, we get a block of choppy onshore days from the 13th to the 17th. The swell sticks around, but strong cross‑onshore winds spoil the shape. There’s a second pick-up on Saturday, July 18th when the wind turns light offshore in the afternoon, and we get 5ft from the south (10s period) with clean lines – worth a late sesh.

Looking into the second week, Sunday, July 19th morning has a powerful 8ft swell from the south‑southeast (13s period) with clean cross‑offshore wind from the west, but at 22 mph it’s blowing hard. The combined energy hits 2135 – that’s very strong. This is expert territory only, and the strong wind will make it bumpy. There’s also a chance of size on Monday the 20th, but with cross‑shore wind and lumpy conditions, it’s more for kites than paddle boards.

Summary: Best window is Saturday July 11th and Sunday afternoon July 12th. The Sunday 12th afternoon is the real gem – clean offshore, solid 7ft. After that, you’re waiting until Saturday 18th afternoon for another clean session.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Sun morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 6°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Thu morning, calm by Fri morning).

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
E
10
1
E
10
1
E
10
0.9
E
10
0.8
E
9
1.4
SSE
7
0.9
ESE
10
1.1
SE
9
1
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
9
0.7
ESE
10
1.5
S
6
1.4
SSW
7
1.4
SSE
7
1.1
S
8
0.9
SSW
9
1
SE
8
1.1
SE
11
0.9
SE
10
0.8
SE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
148
184
188
146
111
191
154
208
216
129
118
115
160
183
220
161
137
119
249
154
93
Wind (km/h)
5
WSW
5
SSW
10
SW
25
SW
30
SW
25
WSW
20
WNW
20
NW
30
WNW
15
WNW
10
SW
20
SSE
30
SE
25
SE
15
ESE
0
SW
5
SE
5
N
10
NNE
15
NNW
20
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
on
on
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:02AM0.91m
10:55PM1.25m
11:39AM0.94m
11:40PM1.21m
12:17PM0.99m
00:30AM1.17m
1:00PM1.05m
1:27AM1.12m
1:47PM1.13m
2:31AM1.07m
2:39PM1.21m
3:38AM1.03m
3:36PM1.30m
Low Tide
5:18PM0.51m
6:26AM0.27m
6:03PM0.48m
7:01AM0.32m
6:50PM0.44m
7:35AM0.37m
7:42PM0.38m
8:08AM0.43m
8:40PM0.30m
8:43AM0.48m
9:44PM0.23m
9:24AM0.52m
10:53PM0.15m
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:06
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:43
5:44
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
 mm
1
Temp °C
5
7
7
8
8
7
10
13
13
13
13
9
9
8
7
7
8
8
7
9
9
Feels °C
2
3
3
1
0
0
4
7
5
8
10
5
2
2
2
6
6
5
4
5
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
E
10
1
E
10
1
E
10
0.9
E
10
0.8
E
9
1.4
SSE
7
0.9
SSE
7
1.1
SE
9
1
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
9
0.7
ESE
10
0.6
E
10
1.4
SSW
7
1.4
SSE
7
1.1
S
8
1
SE
8
1
SE
8
1.1
SE
11
0.9
SE
10
0.8
SE
9
Energy kJ
148
184
188
146
111
191
79
208
216
129
118
115
68
183
220
161
129
119
249
154
93
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
S
16
0.3
S
16
0.3
S
13
0.3
S
12
0.3
S
12
0.6
E
9
0.9
ESE
10
0.7
E
9
0.2
N
4
0.1
S
8
0.1
S
16
0.2
SSW
11
0.6
E
10
0.7
E
10
0.9
SE
8
0.9
SSW
9
0.6
SSW
8
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.6
SE
12
Energy kJ
84
43
31
25
24
60
154
81
1
1
5
12
75
100
112
137
51
67
64
84
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSE
8
0.2
SSE
8
0.2
SSW
10
0.2
S
12
0.1
S
18
0.2
S
11
0.2
ESE
11
0.2
S
10
0.2
S
8
0.1
S
7
0.1
S
17
0.1
S
16
0.2
SSW
11
0.1
E
16
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
10
0.6
E
9
0.5
SSW
8
0.4
SE
12
0.5
E
11
Energy kJ
13
6
9
11
6
9
12
7
5
1
6
5
12
5
70
65
64
34
47
55
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
S
7
0.8
S
4
1.2
SSW
5
0.9
WSW
5
0.7
W
4
0.6
W
4
0.8
W
4
0.9
W
5
0.8
WSW
6
0.7
SSW
4
1.5
S
6
1
SE
6
0.8
NNE
4
Energy kJ
9
19
72
39
14
10
19
45
51
16
160
66
17
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
Distance (km)
0
0
37
37
43
526
43
0
0
44
0
868
868
462
309
0
37
221
221
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
1
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
5
5
5
8
7
6
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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