Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, S swell with 4,933 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk surf. This is all about El Muelle, a beach/pier setup. We’ve got a dry spell right off the bat.
The first week is a real bummer. From Wednesday, August 19th, through the end of the month, it’s mostly tiny, weak surf with crappy winds. The swell energy is mostly in the double digits, way under 100 (like 133 on Wednesday morning, dropping to 35 and 89 on Thursday) – that’s weak. The water’s sitting at about 50°F – a touch warmer than average for this time of year.
The only time it gets a pulse is around the 21st and 22nd, but the wind blows it out. On Friday, August 21st, we get some size – 7ft to 8ft from the south, with a 9-second period. The energy jumps into the hundreds (773 and 930) – that’s moderate. But the wind is a fresh cross-onshore breeze of 18-19 mph, making it lumpy and ugly. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session. Saturday the 22nd has 7ft to 8ft SSW swell, with a solid 10-second period, and energy over 1000 (1010 and 1256). The wind is cross-off in the morning but strong cross in the afternoon. It just doesn’t come together clean.
Sunday, August 23rd, sees a massive pulse – 12ft in the morning and 10ft in the afternoon, from the south, with a very long 13-second period. The energy is huge: 4240 and 3499 – that’s strong to very strong. That’s way too big for anyone but experts. The wind finally goes light onshore in the afternoon, but at that size, it’s dangerous for most.
Then it’s back to small and ordinary through the end of August. The real standout window, if you’re willing to wait, is the start of September. On Tuesday, September 1st, and Wednesday, September 2nd, the swell drops to a much friendlier 4ft to 5ft, with a decent 9-10 second period from the east and southeast. The wind is light, cross-off, and clean in the mornings – that’s the good stuff. The swell energy is moderate (328 to 468). This is the best bet for a proper session. Just keep in mind, crowds can be a thing here sometimes, so get there early.
If I’m picking one standout, it’s Wednesday morning, September 2nd at El Muelle. The swell is 4ft from the ESE, with a light NNE breeze at 9 mph, cross-off and glassy. Not the biggest, but the cleanest conditions of the whole run. Tuesday morning, September 1st is a close second – similar size and same clean vibe.
Don’t bother with the first ten days. The good stuff is waiting in September.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the S by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Mon afternoon, min 2°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | SE 12 | SW 5 | S 8 | SSW 8 | S 9 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 13 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 78 | 44 | 28 | 6 | 76 | 707 | 851 | 950 | 980 | 1086 | 1422 | 1763 | 4551 | 4474 | 2139 | 1274 | 911 | 561 | 308 | 194 | 111 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:52AM1.21m | 00:34AM1.04m | 12:35PM1.19m | 1:29AM0.95m | 1:20PM1.16m | 2:29AM0.89m | 2:11PM1.13m | 3:34AM0.84m | 3:07PM1.12m | 4:37AM0.82m | 4:07PM1.14m | 5:33AM0.82m | 5:03PM1.17m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:54PM0.25m | 6:50AM0.46m | 7:42PM0.28m | 7:22AM0.53m | 8:34PM0.31m | 7:57AM0.58m | 9:31PM0.33m | 8:40AM0.61m | 10:35PM0.34m | 9:32AM0.62m | 11:40PM0.33m | 10:35AM0.61m | 00:38AM0.29m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 5 | -3 | -1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | WSW 6 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 10 | NE 8 | NE 8 | S 13 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 45 | 19 | 28 | 35 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 1086 | 2 | 3 | 4551 | 4474 | 2139 | 1274 | 911 | 561 | 308 | 194 | 111 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | ENE 9 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | SSE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 9 | S 10 | NE 6 | NE 6 |
| kJ | 4 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 202 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 29 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | SSW 7 | SSE 7 | SE 12 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | ENE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 9 |
| kJ | 8 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | — | NNW 3 | W 4 | SW 5 | S 8 | SSW 8 | S 9 | S 10 | — | SSW 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | N 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 5 | N 6 | NW 3 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | 78 | — | 3 | 13 | 76 | 707 | 851 | 950 | 980 | — | 1422 | 1763 | — | — | — | 4 | 16 | 80 | 88 | 3 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 3 | 11 | 1164 | 612 | 1225 | 1339 | 1339 | 43 | 43 | 221 | 221 | 79 | 79 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 80 | 0 | 36 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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