El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a 16-day window of surf ahead, but it’s a real slow start. The first proper recommendation isn’t until the morning of Monday, the 3rd of August, so plan for a quiet couple of days.

The standout for the whole period is El Muelle on Monday morning, the 3rd of August. We’re looking at a clean 5-foot swell from the SSE with a period of 10 seconds, and a light NNW wind that’s blowing cross-offshore. The combined energy is moderate at 547. That’s a solid, surfable wave with good shape. The water temp is an unusual 51°, which is a massive 4° warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit.

Things get a bit messy after that. Tuesday morning, the 4th sees a smaller 4-foot SE swell (10 seconds) with a clean offshore WNW wind, but the energy drops to 326. It’s a decent option, but not a standout. The afternoon glass-off with 3-foot SE swell and zero wind is a nice window for a quiet session, but again, not a barnstormer.

From Wednesday the 5th onwards, it’s mostly ordinary. The swell fades into the 2-foot range with poor wind conditions, and by Thursday the 6th, the energy is weak (43). The weekend of the 7th and 8th gets blown out with strong SW winds and messy 7-foot cross-shore slop. That’s a write-off.

The second week has a couple of moments, but they come with serious caveats. On Sunday the 9th, the swell jumps to a massive 10-foot from the SW, with a combined energy of 1076. That’s a strong swell, but it’s too big for this break. This is a beach/pier setup, and with that size and a fresh cross-offshore breeze, it’s more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfers. Monday the 10th is even bigger – 16-foot from the SSW with a period of 12 seconds and an energy reading of 6901. That’s very strong, and again, too big for the break. Only for experts, and even then, it’s a serious call.

The promising long-range call is Sunday the 16th in the afternoon. A 4-foot ENE swell with an 8-second period, combined with a clean, moderate offshore NNW wind at 12 mph. The energy is 213, so it’s moderate, but that offshore wind is a major positive. It’s a nice prospect, but it’s deep in the second week, so treat it as promising but not locked in. Crowds are a possibility here sometimes, so keep that in mind.

In short, Monday the 3rd morning is your best bet. The rest is a mixed bag of junk, too-big swell, or a distant hope for the 16th.

Rusty.

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