El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks at El Muelle.

We’ve got a real mixed bag coming. The water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is much warmer than what’s normal for this time of year – a solid 4°F above average, so you can leave the thickest rubber at home. The first few days are a write-off, I'm not gonna lie. We’ve got a rough patch of strong cross-shore winds and messy conditions from Friday the 21st through Sunday the 23rd. Friday morning sees 10-foot SSW swell with a 25 mph cross-breeze—total chop city. That carries on through a big, lumpy Sunday with a 13-foot S groundswell that’s way too strong and onshore. Honestly, not worth paddling out.

But then, the real standout window appears on Monday the 24th of August. Blue sky turn in the clouds? No, we get clean conditions. The wind flips to a light NNE cross-offshore at just 3 mph in the morning. Swell drops to a manageable 8 feet from the south, with a long 11-second period. That’s proper, lined-up energy – with the swell being over 8 feet only for the experts, but at 8 feet that’s still a big, punchy day for strong intermediates. The combined energy is sitting at 1340 (moderate to strong), but with that glassy texture, El Muelle is going to offer some excellent, clean waves.

Monday afternoon stays clean with a 7-foot SSE swell, and the following morning on Tuesday the 25th we have a smaller 5-foot SSE swell and more clean cross-off winds. The energy drops to 397 (weak to moderate), but it’s surfable and clean. That 5-foot SE swell comes back around on Wednesday the 26th with a longer 12-second period, giving some nice shape again. Thursday the 27th stays clean too, with light winds and a 4-foot SE groundswell (period 13 seconds).

Things get smaller into the weekend. By Saturday the 29th, it’s down to 2-foot ENE windswell with very low energy (95), so you’re looking at a longboard or a day off. There’s a period through the end of the month and into early September where we see tiny swell (2 to 3 feet) and mostly clean but weak conditions – the kind of days you take the log out or go for a paddle.

Best on offer: That Monday the 24th is the clear winner. The Saturday the 22nd has 10-foot SSW swell and clean-looking conditions on paper, but the notes say it’s predicted to be too big for this break, which is a real buzzkill for most. So, stick with Monday the 24th morning for the best shot at big, clean, powerful waves.

Oh, and on Wednesday the 2nd of September (that's over a week away), we get a brief flash: a 5-foot SSW swell with glassy conditions and a light WNW breeze. That’s a promising little window if you’re patient, but it’s a long way off, so keep an eye on the charts.

All in all, the first week is a write-off, then we hit a sweet goldmine on Monday the 24th. The second week has dribbles and drabs of clean small stuff, but nothing that’ll blow your hair back.

Stay stoked.
Rusty.

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