El Muelle Surf Break

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

Issued: 8 am 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
11.2° C

1.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period, E swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, E swell with 430 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Sun 5th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 10s
Best Surf 3AM (Sun 5th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 10s
Most Powerful 3AM (Sat 11th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here with the lowdown on what's brewing.

The first few days are nothing to write home about. On Saturday the 4th, we got a small 3-foot S swell with a messy wind – surfable but ordinary. Sunday the 5th is the bright spot early. Glassy conditions in the morning with a 3-foot E swell, 10-second period. The afternoon is even cleaner with a 3-foot E swell and glassy wind. That's about as good as it gets for the first week.

Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th get blown to bits by strong cross and offshore winds. Swell stays small. Wednesday the 8th is flat with tiny 2-foot waves and almost no push. By Thursday the 9th, a crummy 5-foot S swell shows up but it's short-period and blown out. Friday the 10th is bigger and uglier with cross-on wind. So the first week is mostly a write-off.

Now for the second week – that's where the juice comes in. Monday the 13th is the first real standout. A solid 5-foot SW swell with light offshore wind from the NNW in the morning. The energy is pumping. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 6-foot SSW with a cross-off breeze. That's a good day.

Tuesday the 14th keeps a 5-foot SSW swell going with offshore wind. Into Thursday the 16th, things go nuclear. A massive 12-foot SSW swell rolls in with light offshore wind. The energy is off the charts. Friday the 17th stays enormous with a 13-foot SSE swell. This is expert-only territory and hardly paddleable. The break will be a mess for most.

By Saturday the 18th, it backs down to 8-foot SE with a long period, but still powerful. Then Sunday the 19th is the real cherry. A clean 8-foot ESE groundswell with a very long 12-second period and a cross-off breeze from the NNW. That's excellent for experienced surfers. Crowds are sometimes a factor at this spot, so expect some company on what shapes up to be the best day of the whole outlook.

Starting water temp is around 52°F, which is about 3°F warmer than usual for this time of year – your hands will notice the difference at El Muelle.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Tue morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
S
9
0.6
S
9
0.7
E
10
0.9
E
10
1
E
10
1
E
10
1
E
10
0.8
E
10
1
S
6
0.7
E
10
0.8
ESE
9
0.6
ESE
10
0.5
E
9
0.5
E
9
0.5
E
10
1.4
S
6
1.5
S
7
0.9
SSW
8
1.4
ESE
8
1.6
ESE
8
1.6
E
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
136
55
94
148
184
188
183
113
81
92
108
74
43
45
47
156
245
116
284
346
422
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
5
ENE
10
N
5
NNW
5
S
5
SSW
20
SW
30
SW
25
W
20
WNW
25
NW
25
WNW
15
WNW
20
WSW
35
SSE
25
SSE
20
SE
15
SE
15
ESE
15
E
20
NNE
Wind State
off
cross
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
10:26AM0.89m
10:13PM1.28m
11:02AM0.91m
10:55PM1.25m
11:39AM0.94m
11:40PM1.21m
12:17PM0.99m
00:30AM1.17m
1:00PM1.05m
1:27AM1.12m
1:47PM1.13m
2:31AM1.07m
2:39PM1.21m
Low Tide
4:35PM0.52m
5:49AM0.23m
5:18PM0.51m
6:26AM0.27m
6:03PM0.48m
7:01AM0.32m
6:50PM0.44m
7:35AM0.37m
7:42PM0.38m
8:08AM0.43m
8:40PM0.30m
8:43AM0.48m
9:44PM0.23m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
 mm
2
4
1
Temp °C
5
7
7
7
7
7
8
9
8
10
13
13
13
14
9
9
9
9
9
10
9
Feels °C
2
4
3
5
5
2
2
2
1
3
7
6
8
9
3
3
4
4
4
6
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
S
9
0.6
S
9
0.7
E
10
0.9
E
10
1
E
10
1
E
10
1
E
10
0.8
E
10
1
S
6
0.8
SSE
7
0.8
ESE
9
0.6
ESE
10
0.7
WSW
6
0.5
E
9
0.6
SW
5
0.5
E
10
0.5
E
10
0.9
SSW
8
1.4
ESE
8
1.6
ESE
8
1.6
E
9
Energy kJ
136
55
94
148
184
188
183
113
81
63
108
74
35
45
18
46
49
116
284
346
422
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
E
8
0.5
E
8
0.3
SSW
8
0.4
S
16
0.3
S
16
0.3
S
13
0.3
S
12
0.6
SSE
5
0.6
E
9
0.7
E
10
0.6
S
7
0.6
SSE
8
0.5
E
9
0.4
SE
7
0.5
E
10
0.2
SSW
11
0.4
SSW
9
0.6
E
9
0.7
SSW
9
0.7
SSW
8
0.6
SSW
8
Energy kJ
28
31
11
84
43
31
25
17
60
92
33
42
43
13
47
11
33
57
82
73
49
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
8
0.4
SSW
8
0.4
SE
8
0.3
SSE
8
0.2
SSE
8
0.2
S
10
0.2
SSW
8
0.3
S
12
0.2
S
10
0.4
SE
12
0.5
E
10
0.2
SSW
9
0.4
SE
7
0.1
S
7
0.1
S
16
0.1
N
6
0.4
SSE
7
0.2
S
17
0.2
S
16
0.6
SSE
8
Energy kJ
14
25
14
13
6
7
7
24
8
34
46
8
14
1
5
1
17
22
19
43
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSE
7
0.7
SSW
4
1.1
SW
4
1
WSW
5
0.8
W
4
0.7
WNW
4
1
W
6
0.4
NNW
3
0.7
SW
6
0.8
SSE
5
1.4
S
6
1.5
S
7
1.2
SE
6
0.7
SSE
7
Energy kJ
10
11
45
42
21
15
84
5
40
25
156
245
109
55
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
Distance (km)
0
11
0
0
0
37
37
221
43
0
0
41
3
36
868
1111
526
79
79
34
34
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
9
7
5
5
8
7
5
5
9
7
9
5
7
5
5
4
8
4
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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