El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya with a full look at what’s on the table. The water temp is sittin’ at 51°F, which is a touch warmer than what we usually see this time of year, so the wetsuit might feel a little less brutal.

The first solid window of action opens up on Wednesday morning the 16th. El Muelle is where it’s at. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell rolling in from the SSE, with a 9-second period, and the wind’s a light 6 mph cross-off from the NNW. The swell energy’s moderate at 621, and the wave comment says it’s gonna be very good. That morning session is your standout for the first few days – it’s the best combo of size, shape, and wind on offer. The afternoon fades a bit with a stronger wind and a drop in score, so get it early.

Thursday the 17th is a bit of a letdown after that. The swell drops to under 3ft, and while the afternoon goes glassy with S wind at 3 mph and a tiny 2ft swell, it’s just too small to get excited about.

Then we hit a long stretch of pretty ordinary to poor conditions from Friday the 18th all the way through Monday the 21st. Swell heights bounce around between 0.7ft and 4ft, but periods are short and wind is mostly cross-off with moderate breeze. On the 21st, the wind cranks up to 25-31 mph, and the afternoon actually sees a 7ft WSW swell, but it’s coming with a near gale – more for kites than paddles. Not the spot for a surfboard that day.

Tuesday the 22nd brings a big pulse of energy from the SSW. The morning is 8ft at 10 seconds, but it’s a cross wind and looks a bit choppy. The afternoon though ... that’s where it gets serious. 12ft swell from the S, 13-second period, and the energy reading is 4933 – that’s a massive jump. Problem is, the reports say the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, and with a cross-on wind, it’s gonna be a wild, heavy beast. Only for the brave, and even then, I’d be cautious.

The next few days settle down a bit but stay solid. Wednesday the 23rd has a 8ft SSE swell with N wind and a clean look in the morning. Thursday the 24th is a real highlight for experienced surfers. The afternoon session is firing: 6ft swell from the SE, a long 14-second period, and a clean offshore wind from the NW at 12 mph. The wave comment says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” – long period groundswell like that will make for some proper, powerful lines at a pier. The swell energy is strong at 1119. That’s your second standout session of the forecast.

Saturday the 26th morning offers another good clean window with a 6ft SSW swell and a gentle offshore wind. It’s not the biggest, but the early session should be fun and clean.

The last week of September and into October sees some massive south swells. Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th have 10ft S swells with 14-second periods and energy readings over 2800-3500. The wind is favourable – offshore on the Tuesday morning – but again, the comments flag that the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s a lot of water moving, and El Muelle might just get overwhelmed. Only for the most experienced, and expect it to be big and intense.

Wednesday the 30th morning is a nice return to something more manageable: 5ft S swell, 12 seconds, clean offshore wind, and a good wave comment. A solid way to wrap up the month if you missed the earlier windows.

After that, from the 1st of October onward, it dribbles back to flat, poor conditions with tiny swell and nothing worth chasing.

Overall, the standout sessions are the morning of Wednesday the 16th for the clean, fun shoulder-high surf, and the afternoon of Thursday the 24th for the clean, long-period groundswell that’ll test your skills. Crowds are sometimes an issue at El Muelle, so the cleaner morning slots might be quieter.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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