
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period, SSW swell with 312 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s is also forecast. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta level with you – the next couple of weeks at El Muelle are a real mixed bag, and you’ll be waiting a while for anything worth paddling out for. The first week is pretty much a write-off. We’re looking at a stretch of days with poor surf conditions and hardly any energy. It’s not until the last few days of the month and into the start of August that things start to wake up.
The big standout is Thursday the 30th of July. The morning starts with a clean 7ft swell from the south, with a long period of 11 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is strong at 1101, so there’s plenty of push. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the north, making for tidy lines. This is big – over 7ft – so it’s really for experienced surfers only. Then in the afternoon, it gets even better: the wind swings to a clean offshore from the NNW at 16 mph, and the swell is still a solid 6ft from the south with that same long 11-second period. The energy is still very strong (878). That afternoon session is the pick of the whole forecast – expect very good surf conditions.
The other day worth a mention is Wednesday the 29th of July. The swell jumps to 8ft from the south in the morning, but the period is short at 8 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s a bit messy. The energy is high (804), but it’s a big, lumpy one – only for the brave. The afternoon drops to 8ft, still short period, and the wind is onshore, so it’s not as clean.
Earlier in the week, there’s a tiny glimmer on Tuesday the 21st of July morning. Just 3ft from the SSW, but the wind is a light cross-offshore from the WNW, and the conditions are clean. The energy is weak (151), so it’s surfable but very ordinary. Not worth rushing for.
The water temperature is 52°F, which is a whopping 4°F above normal for this time of year – much warmer than you’d expect, so you can go a bit thinner on the rubber.
For the rest of the second week, into the start of August, we see a few cleaner days with waist-to-chest high swell, but nothing that screams “go now.” The Sunday the 2nd of August has a clean 5ft from the ENE with a moderate 10-second period and light cross-offshore winds, but the energy is moderate (427). It’s a decent option, but not a standout.
Signing off, Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 10°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 10°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Wed afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 10 | SSW 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | NE 5 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
197 | 210 | 175 | 312 | 254 | 233 | 107 | 64 | 54 | 73 | 78 | 81 | 148 | 62 | 119 | 105 | 82 | 138 | 76 | 79 | 133 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 10:13AM1.06m | 10:20PM1.46m | 11:02AM1.10m | 11:14PM1.35m | 11:50AM1.12m | 00:08AM1.23m | 12:37PM1.14m | 1:04AM1.11m | 1:23PM1.15m | 2:03AM1.01m | 2:10PM1.15m | 3:05AM0.94m | 2:58PM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:41PM0.32m | 5:43AM0.10m | 5:37PM0.30m | 6:25AM0.19m | 6:33PM0.30m | 7:05AM0.29m | 7:27PM0.30m | 7:42AM0.38m | 8:20PM0.31m | 8:17AM0.47m | 9:14PM0.32m | 8:52AM0.54m | 10:10PM0.32m | ||||||||
8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | |
— | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | SSW 6 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 |
197 | 210 | 175 | 312 | 254 | 181 | 107 | 64 | 29 | 73 | 78 | 81 | 64 | 62 | 119 | 105 | 82 | 138 | 76 | 30 | 133 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 10 | SSW 5 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 7 | ENE 10 | SSE 8 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 10 | S 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | SSW 8 | S 7 | SSW 10 |
23 | 8 | 30 | 209 | 233 | 233 | 34 | 54 | 32 | 48 | 31 | 18 | 19 | 57 | 82 | 61 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 27 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | S 12 | SSW 8 | — | — | — | ENE 10 | E 6 | ENE 10 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | — | ENE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 9 | E 7 | S 12 | SSE 12 | E 12 |
2 | 11 | 22 | — | — | — | 75 | 19 | 54 | 30 | 19 | 12 | — | 45 | 29 | 13 | 15 | 4 | 26 | 52 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 4 | S 5 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | — | — | — | E 7 | — | — | — | S 6 | SE 5 | SE 5 | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 6 |
16 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 13 | — | — | — | 21 | — | — | — | 148 | 43 | 21 | — | — | 9 | 32 | 79 | 161 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 79 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 444 | 79 | 37 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 910 | 565 | 79 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.










