El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 20 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.4° C
1.8° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, S swell with 7,228 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Fri 21st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf 6PM (Fri 21st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 6AM (Sun 23rd Aug)13ft (4.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty looking at the upcoming swell for your patch.

We’re looking at a pretty wild ride over the next couple of weeks here at El Muelle (beach/pier). The water is sitting at a relatively warm 51°F, which is a touch warmer than the long-term average for this time of year—nothing crazy, but it feels nice.

The first few days are a write-off. Thursday and Friday are just messy with onshore winds and weak, choppy swell. Not worth a second look. Saturday the 22nd actually looks clean with some cross-offshore winds, but hold your horses—the swell is pumping at 10ft to 12ft. That’s big, and the guidance says the wave energy is massive, with values around 1913 and 2192. That’s some serious power. For a beach/pier setup, this is expert-only territory. The swell is coming from the SSW, which isn't the optimum direction for this spot, so it’s going to be raw and heavy. If you're a charger, you might have a look, but the average surfer should sit this one out.

Sunday the 23rd gets even more intense with a 13ft SSW swell and a very long period of 15 seconds. The energy reading hits 7275, which is absolutely pumping. But the wind is onshore, so it’s going to be a heaving, choppy mess. Not a good day for paddle surfing; this setup looks more interesting for the kite crew.

Then we get a bit of a break. From Monday the 24th onwards, the swell drops. Monday morning is the real standout in the whole forecast. The swell is 8ft from the SSE—that’s bang on the optimum direction for El Muelle—with a solid 12-second period. The wind is light and cross-offshore, which means clean, lined-up waves. It’s still big enough for experienced surfers only, but the quality is excellent. This is your best bet.

After that, the rest of the week and into the start of September is pretty average. We get some clean, small waves from Tuesday onwards, but the energy is weak (between 179 and 892) and the swell is inconsistent. There are a few mornings with light offshore winds, like Wednesday the 26th and Thursday the 27th, but the waves are only 4ft to 5ft. Surfable for a longboard or a funboard, but nothing to get excited about. The period drops to 8 seconds on the 28th, which is short-period windswell—not great.

From the 29th through to the 4th of September, it’s mostly poor conditions with onshore winds and choppy surf. The swell tries to pick up again on the 4th of September, but with onshore winds and a cross-chop, it’s a no-go.

So, the standout is crystal clear: Monday morning, the 24th of August. 8ft of clean SSE groundswell with light cross-offshore winds. That’s the one to circle. The rest is a mix of either too big and messy, or too small and weak. There’s a bit of a gap there after that Monday, with a few days of average but clean surf, then a long stretch of poor conditions. Not a classic run, but that one morning makes it worth keeping an eye on.

Rusty, out.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 10°C on Sat afternoon, min 5°C on Fri night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 4°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the N by Wed morning).

Thu
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
0
0
0
!
4
2
2
1
3
1
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
5
2.4
S
8
3
SSW
9
3
SSW
9
3
SSW
9
3
SSW
10
3
SSW
10
3.5
S
11
4
S
15
3.5
S
14
3
S
12
2.5
SSE
12
2.2
SSE
11
1.9
SSE
11
1.6
SSE
11
1.9
SE
14
1.7
SE
13
1.4
SE
13
1.3
SE
13
1.1
SE
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
106
653
1188
1270
1499
1980
1970
3035
6932
4736
2297
1586
1152
869
550
1426
991
643
504
411
Wind (km/h)
35
SSW
35
S
35
SSW
35
SW
30
WSW
30
W
40
WSW
40
SSW
30
S
25
S
10
SSE
5
WNW
15
ENE
25
NNE
25
N
25
NNE
30
NNE
25
NNW
25
N
20
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
1:29AM0.95m
1:20PM1.16m
2:29AM0.89m
2:11PM1.13m
3:34AM0.84m
3:07PM1.12m
4:37AM0.82m
4:07PM1.14m
5:33AM0.82m
5:03PM1.17m
6:19AM0.83m
5:54PM1.22m
Low Tide
7:42PM0.28m
7:22AM0.53m
8:34PM0.31m
7:57AM0.58m
9:31PM0.33m
8:40AM0.61m
10:35PM0.34m
9:32AM0.62m
11:40PM0.33m
10:35AM0.61m
00:38AM0.29m
11:40AM0.59m
1:27AM0.26m
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:19
6:20
6:20
6:21
6:22
6:22
6:23
 mm
1
4
4
Temp °C
9
7
8
8
8
8
10
8
7
7
6
5
8
6
9
12
9
9
11
11
Feels °C
1
-2
-1
-1
0
-1
0
-1
-1
0
1
2
3
0
3
6
3
3
7
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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