Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, S swell with 3,785 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, but in feet and miles for the numbers.
Mates, it's a long, slow start at El Muelle. The first week and a half is mostly a bust, with small, wind-affected slop and no real juice. But there’s a couple of windows if you can wait it out and pick your moment.
The water temp is about 50°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. Not a big deal.
Tuesday the 18th is a washout. A tiny 3ft swell from the ENE with a cross-onshore breeze from the SSW at 6 mph. Wave energy is moderate (407), but the conditions are poor. Don’t bother.
Wednesday the 19th has clean offshore winds in the morning, but the swell is only 3ft with a short period (7 seconds). The energy is weak (110). It’s surfable but very ordinary.
Thursday the 20th is flat and clean in the morning, with the swell barely 1ft and energy at 38. It’s a glass-off, but no waves. Afternoon gets lumpy.
Friday the 21st sees a jump to 6–7ft swell from the S, but the wind is howling from the SSW at 18 mph, making it choppy and messy. Energy is moderate to strong (517–768), but the quality is poor.
Saturday the 22nd shows promise. Morning brings an 8ft SSW swell with clean conditions and a cross-offshore wind. Energy is strong (1108). But 8ft is big for this break, pushing into expert-only territory. The afternoon gets bigger at 10ft with a lumpy cross-shore. For the brave only.
Sunday the 23rd is huge—12ft in the morning and 10ft in the afternoon, with a very long period of 12–13 seconds. The energy is massive (3785 and 2816). But the morning has cross-onshore wind, and the afternoon is too big for El Muelle. The forecast says it’s too big for the break. Not for the faint-hearted.
Monday the 24th backs off to a 7ft S swell with clean conditions and moderate energy (851). It’s a marginal call, and the afternoon gets messy.
From the 25th of August through the 31st, it’s a long, flat, and poor stretch. Swell sizes drop under 3ft, with very low energy and mostly poor winds. A full week of doldrums.
The standout is Tuesday, the 1st of September. The morning brings a clean 8ft SSW swell with a gentle cross-offshore breeze at 9 mph. Energy is moderate (779), and the conditions are described as “expect very good surf.” The crowd factor is “sometimes,” so you might see a few others, but it’s not packed. The swell direction (SSW) lines up well with the break’s optimum (SSE). This is the session to target for experienced surfers.
Wednesday the 2nd of September has 10–12ft SSW swell, but it’s too big for this break. Energy is very high (1289–2145). Experts only, and even then, it’s a maybe.
Bottom line: be patient. The best surf of the window is the morning of Tuesday, 1st September. Clean, solid, and well-shaped.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the S by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Sat afternoon, min 3°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Fri morning, light winds from the ENE by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 7 | SW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 6 | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
172 | 107 | 70 | 61 | 44 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 273 | 517 | 755 | 1102 | 1102 | 1372 | 1629 | 3785 | 2816 | 1465 | 851 | 584 | 328 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | off | off | off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:10AM1.21m | 11:42PM1.15m | 11:52AM1.21m | 00:34AM1.04m | 12:35PM1.19m | 1:29AM0.95m | 1:20PM1.16m | 2:29AM0.89m | 2:11PM1.13m | 3:34AM0.84m | 3:07PM1.12m | 4:37AM0.82m | 4:07PM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:05PM0.23m | 6:17AM0.38m | 6:54PM0.25m | 6:50AM0.46m | 7:42PM0.28m | 7:22AM0.53m | 8:34PM0.31m | 7:57AM0.58m | 9:31PM0.33m | 8:40AM0.61m | 10:35PM0.34m | 9:32AM0.62m | 11:40PM0.33m | ||||||||
7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | |
— | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 8 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
Feels °C | 6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SW 7 | WSW 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 |
124 | 96 | 70 | 61 | 21 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | 2816 | 1465 | 851 | 584 | 328 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | WSW 6 | SSW 6 | SE 8 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 11 | NE 10 | E 10 | SSW 10 |
172 | 107 | 66 | 45 | 44 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 14 | S 7 | SW 7 | SSE 7 | SE 12 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 9 |
— | — | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 4 | SW 4 | S 6 | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | S 13 | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NNE 5 |
111 | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 273 | 517 | 755 | 1102 | 1102 | 1372 | 1629 | 3785 | — | — | — | 5 | 54 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 37 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 611 | 1164 | 1143 | 1339 | 1339 | 43 | 43 | 221 | 44 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 3 | 79 | 455 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.











