
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, SW swell with 2,476 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 8 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's get into it. The surf's been messy for the last few days, and honestly, it's looking pretty average overall for the next couple of weeks. There's a lot of wind and cross-chop to fight through, and most of the swell is junk – short period, onshore, or just too small to get excited about.
The water temp at El Muelle is sitting at 51°, which is a solid 4° warmer than usual for this time of year. That's noticeable – you can get away with a slightly thinner wetsuit.
Thursday and Friday are write-offs. Light rain and onshore winds are going to keep it lumpy, with waves around 2ft to 4ft. Not worth the paddle.
The weekend is where it gets frustrating. Saturday morning sees a jump in size to 7ft, but the wind is howling offshore at 19 mph. It's clean, but it's still sloppy with a short 7-second period. Then Saturday afternoon and Sunday morning the swell really jacks up – we're talking 12ft to 13ft from the SW with a 9-second period. That's a lot of energy – 2092 and then 2509 on those swells – but it's just too big for this break. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it's on the edge. It's going to be a washing machine out there. Sunday afternoon and Monday are back to poor, with cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions.
Now, hold on. Tuesday the 11th morning is where it gets interesting. The swell drops to a clean 5ft from the SSE with a long 12-second period. That's proper groundswell energy – 1286. The wind is light offshore from the west, and it's calling for clean conditions. This is the standout of the first week. It's an excellent wave for experienced surfers, and it's consistent. This is the one to circle.
After that, things get a bit quieter. Wednesday the 12th has some clean but weaker waves around 5ft, and Thursday the 13th morning looks good too – glassy with a 5ft S swell at 13 seconds. That's got some push to it, with energy at 843. Good shape, clean conditions, that's another decent option. But the afternoons are a bit iffy with onshore breezes.
The following weekend and into the next week is mostly poor. Small, short-period swells and cross-shore winds kill it. There's a day on Monday the 17th that has some size but it's onshore and choppy. Not worth it.
Then, towards the end of the window, on Tuesday the 18th morning, we get another flash of quality. A clean 5ft E swell with an 11-second period and light offshore winds. That'll be clean and have some power. The afternoon builds to 8ft but with a shorter period, so it gets a bit lumpy. That morning session is a solid pick for the second week, though it's far out and forecasts can shift, so keep an eye on it.
Overall, the best bets are Tuesday the 11th morning and Thursday the 13th morning. If you can only get out once, make it Tuesday.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Fri afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the NW on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the WSW by Sat afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Sun morning, min 4°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Sun morning, calm by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | SSE 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SE 9 | WSW 7 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SE 10 | SE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
29 | 28 | 299 | 156 | 87 | 71 | 413 | 2033 | 1792 | 2476 | 1309 | 737 | 574 | 384 | 755 | 647 | 518 | 441 | 362 | 371 | 446 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 12:24PM1.19m | 1:09AM1.07m | 1:13PM1.24m | 2:12AM1.00m | 2:10PM1.29m | 3:19AM0.95m | 3:13PM1.35m | 4:27AM0.92m | 4:19PM1.41m | 5:31AM0.92m | 5:24PM1.47m | 6:29AM0.94m | 6:26PM1.51m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:28PM0.26m | 7:21AM0.49m | 8:28PM0.22m | 7:57AM0.53m | 9:36PM0.18m | 8:43AM0.55m | 10:49PM0.15m | 9:44AM0.55m | 00:02AM0.11m | 10:59AM0.53m | 1:08AM0.07m | 12:20PM0.48m | 2:06AM0.04m | ||||||||
7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | |
— | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | |
mm | 12 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Feels °C | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -2 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | E 5 | E 7 | E 7 | SSW 6 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SW 9 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
29 | 13 | 24 | 9 | 87 | 71 | 65 | 59 | 40 | 33 | 60 | 102 | 314 | 330 | 755 | 606 | 449 | 441 | 362 | 371 | 369 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | ENE 7 | SE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | SW 6 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | NE 10 | E 10 | S 9 | SE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 16 |
14 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 327 | 660 | 647 | 518 | 288 | 115 | 25 | 446 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | ESE 8 | — | — | SE 10 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 10 | NE 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | NE 9 | E 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 |
6 | 7 | — | — | 4 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 384 | 3 | 33 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | WSW 6 | NW 4 | WSW 7 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
20 | 28 | 299 | 156 | 31 | 20 | 413 | 2033 | 1792 | 2476 | 1309 | 737 | 574 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 462 | 1343 | 1143 | 43 | 11 | 140 | 157 | 574 | 59 | 236 | 221 | 221 | 616 | 79 | 43 | 0 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.











