El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 pm 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.6° C
2.1° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, SSE swell with 740 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.9m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Wed 29th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 8s
Best Surf 3PM (Mon 3rd Aug)5ft (1.5m) 10s
Most Powerful12AM (Mon 3rd Aug)6ft (1.9m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s paddle out on this. Only one spot came up: El Muelle, a beach and pier setup. It’s been a slow start, and there’s a real dry spell before anything worth wetting a wetsuit for.

First few days: Wednesday the 29th through Friday the 1st of August, it’s flat. Swell is under 1ft, winds are switching, but the energy is pathetic – call it 179 or 35 – that’s barely a ripple. Clean, but empty.

Saturday the 1st of August bumps up to 4ft in the afternoon, but the wind is screaming at 25 mph from the southwest – that’s a washing machine. Not for paddling.

Sunday the 2nd of August is the first time the numbers look a little better. Morning has 4ft of SSW swell, 10 seconds, cross-shore wind, energy at 468 – it’s marginal, but it’s a start. Afternoon gets to 6ft but the wind is onshore, choppy.

Monday the 3rd of August is the standout. Morning has 6ft of SSE swell, 10 seconds, with offshore wind. Clean. Energy is 689 – moderate. The afternoon is even better: 5ft, 10 seconds, cross-offshore wind, energy 578. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions” – this is the call. Water temp is about average for the season.

Tuesday the 4th of August drops off: 4ft in the morning, clean, but weak. Afternoon gets a messy 7ft from the WSW with a short 7-second period – lumpy cross-shore chop.

Wednesday the 5th of August is a nice little session. Morning has 4ft, clean, cross-off wind. Afternoon has 3ft but with offshore wind and ESE swell at 10 seconds – clean and tidy. Energy is moderate (302, 307).

Then a big gap. From Thursday the 6th of August through the end of the first week, it’s small and windy. Energy drops to 171, 134 – not much.

Second week: the real story is the 8th of August onward. The waves get huge – but it’s too much for El Muelle. Saturday the 8th of August morning has 8ft of WSW swell, 8 seconds – that’s big. Energy is 1144, strong. The afternoon is 10ft from the SW, 10 seconds, energy 1713 – very strong. Wind is cross-off, but the wave is too big. Sunday the 9th of August: 16ft of SW swell, 12-13 seconds, offshore wind, energy readings of 6762 and 8133 – massive, but no-go for the pier. Monday the 10th is still 10-12ft, Tuesday the 11th is 8-10ft. All “too big for this break” – expert only, and even then, questionable.

The best session of the whole outlook is Monday the 3rd of August afternoon. Clean, solid 5ft, 10-second SSE swell, cross-offshore wind, moderate energy. That’s the window. The later big stuff is impressive to look at, but not for the average surfer.

This break is feast or famine – that’s normal for a beach/pier here. The 3rd of August is your best bet. After that, it’s either too small or too big.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the NNE by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri night, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Sat morning, light winds from the SSE by Mon morning).

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
3
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSW
7
1
SSW
8
0.5
S
14
0.7
S
13
0.7
S
11
0.7
S
10
0.5
S
9
0.4
SSE
9
0.3
SSE
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.8
SW
6
1.3
SW
7
1.3
SSW
10
1.7
S
11
1.9
SSE
10
1.7
SSE
10
1.5
SSE
10
1.4
SE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
78
120
96
163
116
98
41
26
14
191
190
248
144
363
649
740
578
448
350
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
5
W
15
SSW
5
E
15
NNE
35
NE
35
NNE
30
NNE
30
NNE
10
WSW
40
SW
35
SW
20
W
10
SSW
15
ESE
25
ENE
5
SSE
10
W
20
WSW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
7:27AM0.88m
7:05PM1.27m
8:07AM0.88m
7:49PM1.30m
8:43AM0.90m
8:30PM1.32m
9:18AM0.93m
9:11PM1.31m
9:51AM0.97m
9:52PM1.29m
10:25AM1.02m
10:35PM1.26m
Low Tide
1:53AM0.24m
1:05PM0.57m
2:39AM0.21m
1:57PM0.53m
3:22AM0.20m
2:45PM0.50m
4:02AM0.19m
3:31PM0.47m
4:39AM0.21m
4:16PM0.43m
5:15AM0.25m
5:01PM0.39m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:54
7:54
7:52
7:52
7:52
7:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:02
6:04
 mm
5
2
8
1
Temp °C
9
10
10
10
11
12
11
12
14
14
10
11
9
8
8
9
9
10
9
Feels °C
7
7
7
8
6
5
5
6
12
13
1
4
4
5
4
4
7
8
3
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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