Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 11s period, S swell with 3,648 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here with the long-range look at what’s heading our way. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming up, so let’s get into it.
Things are going to be pretty quiet for a while. The first real chance of a wave doesn’t show up until Thursday the 22nd of August, but even then it’s a raw, powerful beast. The water temperature is sitting at 10°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t be freezing your toes off.
The standout window is the morning of Saturday the 22nd of August at El Muelle. We’ve got a solid 12 ft swell rolling in from the SSW, with a period of 9 seconds. That’s a lot of energy out there – the combined energy reads a massive 1723 – and with a clean cross-off wind from the WSW, it’s going to look absolutely perfect. But listen, this is a lot of water. With that size, this is strictly for the experts. It’s too big and powerful for anyone else. The afternoon is even bigger, hitting 13 ft from the S, but the wind picks up a bit, making it a serious mission.
Before that, from now until the 21st, the swell is either tiny or blown out. The mornings of the 19th and 20th offer clean, tiny waves, but they’re barely surfable. The 21st sees a jump in size but it’s a messy, onshore 10 ft from the SSW with strong wind – a total write-off.
After that big Saturday, things settle down but stay inconsistent. The morning of Monday the 24th of August sees a more manageable 6 ft from the S with a clean cross-off wind, so that’s a good option for intermediates. Tuesday the 25th morning also offers clean 4 ft from the S. The final interesting window is the morning of Monday the 31st of August, with a 4 ft swell from the SE at a very long period of 14 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, with a combined energy reading of 1162, but it’s crossing up a bit with the wind. That long period will hold up well at a point or reef, but it might close out a bit at a beach setup.
So, to sum it up: the big one is the 22nd of August for experts only. The 24th and 25th look best for the rest of us. Keep an eye on the charts, but that’s the story for now.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun morning, min 6°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sun night, light winds from the ENE by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 5°C on Fri night). Mainly near gales. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 4 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | S 10 | S 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 208 | 293 | 254 | 211 | 177 | 169 | 102 | 88 | 65 | 45 | 44 | 42 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 1003 | 939 | 907 | 1716 | 3529 | 2811 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 9:44AM1.15m | 10:01PM1.37m | 10:27AM1.19m | 10:52PM1.26m | 11:10AM1.21m | 11:42PM1.15m | 11:52AM1.21m | 00:34AM1.04m | 12:35PM1.19m | 1:29AM0.95m | 1:20PM1.16m | 2:29AM0.89m | 2:11PM1.13m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:25PM0.24m | 5:07AM0.20m | 5:16PM0.23m | 5:43AM0.29m | 6:05PM0.23m | 6:17AM0.38m | 6:54PM0.25m | 6:50AM0.46m | 7:42PM0.28m | 7:22AM0.53m | 8:34PM0.31m | 7:57AM0.58m | 9:31PM0.33m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 0 | -3 | -2 | -1 | -2 | -1 | -5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | — |
| kJ | 208 | 293 | 254 | 211 | 177 | 128 | 96 | 88 | 65 | 45 | 42 | 42 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 7 | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 7 | — | ENE 10 | S 8 | SW 7 | SSW 7 | SSE 8 | ENE 9 | SE 8 | SW 6 | WSW 5 | SE 7 | — | — | ENE 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 17 | 6 | 6 | 2 | — | 169 | 11 | 47 | 31 | 36 | 44 | 31 | 9 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 27 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | S 8 | SSE 7 | SSW 6 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 33 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 3 | SW 3 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | — | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 2 | — | SSW 4 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | S 10 | S 11 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 4 | 59 | 100 | — | 102 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 29 | 1003 | 939 | 907 | 1716 | 3529 | 2811 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 37 | 0 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 824 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 612 | 1339 | 1343 | 221 | 574 | 616 | 859 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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