El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s look at what’s cookin’ at El Muelle.

First thing: the water is running a touch warmer than usual for this time of year – about 10°, which is about 2° above the norm, so you won’t be freezin’ out there.

Honestly, the first week is a tough slog. From Saturday the 25th, it’s mostly poor surf. Swell is tiny – 2 ft to 2 ft most days, with weak energy (61 to 102). The wind is cross-off or cross, but the waves are just not there. The period is short, often 8 seconds or less, so it’s weak and crumbly. The best of a bad lot is Monday afternoon the 27th, when the swell hits 3 ft from the SSW with a 10-second period and energy of 229. The wind is cross-off from the NNE, so it’s clean, but still nothin’ special.

Wednesday the 29th morning brings 6 ft from the S, with energy of 447, but the period is a short 9 seconds, and the wind is onshore from the ESE – lumpy and messy. The afternoon drops to 4 ft, cross-on from the SSE, still marginal.

Thursday the 30th morning is your first real chance. Swell is 4 ft from the S, 9-second period, moderate energy of 243, with light cross-off wind from the W. It’s clean and surfable – that’s the best of the first week.

The second week, startin’ August 1st, doesn’t look much better. Saturday the 1st has a 5 ft easterly swell in the morning, but the wind is cross-on from the E and the period is a short 6 seconds – messy. The afternoon shows a long-period 14-second swell from the S at 3 ft, with energy of 396, but it’s cross-on again and barely breaking. That long period means the sets will be spaced out, and at a beach/pier like El Muelle, the waves could be too straight.

The standout window is Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th. Tuesday morning has 6 ft from the E, 10-second period, strong energy (646), and clean cross-off wind from the W. That’s the biggest, cleanest swell of the whole 16 days. The afternoon holds at 5 ft with similar conditions. That’s over 5 ft, so it’s not for beginners – intermediate to expert territory. The wind is offshore or cross-off, so the waves should be well-shaped.

Wednesday the 5th morning drops to 4 ft from the ENE, still with a 10-second period, clean cross-off from the N. Not as powerful, but rideable. After that, the energy fades, and by Thursday the 6th we’re back to small, low-energy swell around 3 ft to 4 ft through the rest of the week.

Keep in mind, El Muelle is a consistent spot, but it’s exposed to swell from the south and east, and the optimum direction is SSE. Most of the swell is from the south or east – okay, but not perfect. The best session on Tuesday the 4th has swell from the east, a bit off the sweet spot, but the size and wind make up for it.

Overall, don’t get too excited for the first 10 days. The only real standout is Tuesday August 4th – that morning with 6 ft, clean offshore wind, and solid energy (646) is your best chance for a proper wave. The rest is either too small, too short-period, or too windy. Crowds are likely here – it’s a well-known, consistent spot, so expect company on any decent day.

Rusty

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