El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, so the start of the period is a bit of a write-off. We’re looking at a few days of poor conditions with strong onshore winds and messy, lumpy swell. The first real chance to get wet is Monday morning, September 7th. That’s when things start to clean up.

Monday morning, September 7th is the standout window early on. The swell drops to around 4ft from the SE, with a 9-second period, and the wind goes offshore from the NNW. That’s a clean, moderate offshore breeze, so the lines will be tidy at El Muelle. The combined energy is moderate (253), and with the water temp sitting at 51°, which is a solid 4° warmer than normal for this time of year, you won’t need a full suit right away. It’s a Tuesday morning commute special, but it’s the best we’ve got. The session will be a bit small, but clean.

After Monday, the surf drops right off. From Tuesday the 8th through to the end of the week, we’re looking at tiny, weak waves – a lot of days with combined energy in the double digits. It’s a proper flat spell, so don’t bother checking the cams. That quiet stretch runs for about three or four days.

Now, looking further ahead, there’s something promising but a bit more uncertain. The end of the second week, around Thursday morning, September 17th, shows a bigger pulse. Swell jumps to 7ft from the S, with a long 14-second period. That’s groundswell, and it’ll have some punch. Wind is cross-off from the NNW, so the surface will be fairly clean. The combined energy is strong (1602), which means there’s real power in the water. That’s a serious session, but with that long period groundswell, you’ll want to be aware that it can be a bit straight at the beach. On the plus side, the longer gaps between sets make paddling out easier. The water is still that warm anomaly.

Just be aware, the day before that, on the 16th, is small and marginal. The 17th is the real target, but it’s a long-range call, so keep your fingers crossed. After that, the 18th holds some size but with shorter period E swell, and the 19th looks like it gets blown out again with a strong cross-onshore. So, the best bet is that Monday the 7th for a clean, small session, and keep an eye on that Thursday the 17th for the bigger stuff.

Crowds are possible at El Muelle, so get in early if you can.

Rusty.

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