El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.4°C
1.9° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SSW swell with 1,842 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Wed 2nd Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Best Surf 3AM (Sat 5th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 3AM (Sat 5th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s get into it. The next 16 days at El Muelle are a real mixed bag, a proper test of patience. We’ve got a lot of junky, small, and wind-blown stuff to sift through, but there are a couple of windows where it’ll all come together. Don’t get too excited about the near-term, the real potential is further out.

We start this Saturday afternoon, the 29th, with tiny but rideable 3ft waves from the ENE. It’s completely glassy out there, which is a plus. The water is sitting at 51°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so a little bit of a gift. It’s surfable, but it’s not going to get your heart racing. The combined energy is a weak 134.

From there, it’s a proper flat spell. For the next four days, through to Wednesday the 2nd, there’s just nothing doing. Waves are under 2ft and the conditions are poor. Honestly, you’d be better off finding something else to do with your time.

Things start to stir slightly on Thursday the 3rd, with the swell pushing to 3ft from the ENE (energy 112-114). It’s still very ordinary, but at least it’s surfable. Friday the 4th sees a jump in size, up to 7ft from the SSW, but that’s where the good news ends. The period is short at 7 seconds, and Friday afternoon the wind howls from the SW at 25 mph, chopping it all up. On Saturday the 5th it gets bigger and worse, with 10ft of SSW swell and a near-gale cross-onshore wind. That’s a mess, and way too much for beginners anyway. The energy does spike to 1423, but it’s completely unmanageable.

Sunday the 6th settles down a bit with 5-6ft of SSW swell (energy 779-838), but it’s still cross-shore and basically poor. The standout window finally arrives on Monday the 7th. The swell is a clean 4ft from the SE, and with a light offshore from the N, the conditions are looking genuinely glassy. The combined energy is a solid 577. This is our first real chance for a decent session. There’s still a little bump of energy on Tuesday the 8th, with a 4-5ft SE swell that has a nice 11-14 second period, but the wind goes more cross-shore, taking some of the shine off it. Still, those mornings look the best.

The energy fades again after that, dropping back into the low 200s by Thursday the 10th, with the swell backing off to 3ft. The surf gods give it one more push the following week, but it’s less certain. There’s another SE swell on Saturday the 12th, with 5ft on the morning and clean conditions, but the wind swings onshore in the arvo. And then, on Monday the 13th, there might be a final pulse of SSW swell around 3ft, but it’s weak.

So, if you’re looking for the pick of the bunch, it’s all about Monday the 7th. That’s the day the stars align – clean conditions, decent little SE swell, proper period. Tuesday the 8th is a close second if you can handle a bit of cross-shore wind. The rest of the window is just about being patient or finding something else to do.

Be patient. It’s coming.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the WSW by Thu night).

Sat
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
ENE
10
0.6
ENE
9
0.4
SW
6
0.4
SW
5
0.7
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.6
ENE
9
0.6
ENE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.6
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
10
2.2
SSW
7
2.2
SSW
7
3.5
SSW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
105
65
8
7
65
41
40
59
55
39
54
86
88
103
96
96
123
467
437
1599
Wind (km/h)
5
N
15
WNW
20
NW
20
NW
5
NNW
15
NNW
5
W
5
SSW
15
WNW
15
SW
5
SSE
10
ESE
20
ENE
20
NE
20
NNE
25
NW
40
WSW
25
W
40
SW
35
SW
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
glassy
off
cross
on
on
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
8:06PM1.32m
8:39AM1.02m
8:49PM1.31m
9:13AM1.09m
9:32PM1.28m
9:48AM1.17m
10:18PM1.23m
10:27AM1.23m
11:05PM1.17m
11:09AM1.28m
11:57PM1.09m
11:56AM1.31m
00:53AM1.01m
Low Tide
3:26AM0.23m
3:09PM0.36m
4:01AM0.26m
3:55PM0.30m
4:34AM0.31m
4:42PM0.24m
5:07AM0.37m
5:30PM0.20m
5:39AM0.43m
6:22PM0.17m
6:11AM0.48m
7:19PM0.17m
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
light rain
light rain
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:25
6:27
6:28
6:29
6:30
6:30
6:31
 mm
4
2
5
5
3
3
1
Temp °C
19
17
16
18
15
15
17
12
14
15
12
7
8
10
12
16
12
11
9
9
Feels °C
17
14
11
14
14
11
15
8
9
10
9
4
3
7
9
12
5
2
0
0
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  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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