
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period, S swell with 199 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 0.8m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for El Muelle.
It’s a quiet start to the outlook. The first few days through to the end of July are mostly a write-off with small, weak swell and funky wind directions. The wave energy is weak, barely breaking 110 at best, and the swell periods are all over the place. You’re not missing much out there.
The first real sign of life shows up on the morning of Wednesday, July 30th. It’s still small, with a 3ft swell from the SE, but the wind is light and cross-offshore from the N, making for clean conditions. The energy is still modest (137) but it’s rideable and the vibe is much better than the previous days.
Now, hold onto your leash – Friday, July 31st afternoon brings a glassy moment. The wind drops to almost nothing from the NNE, and the swell bumps up to 5ft from the ENE. The energy is moderate (230) and the surface is totally glassy. It’s a short window, but if you can sneak out then, it’s the best the first week has to offer.
Then things get wild. Saturday, August 1st, a big pulse of SW groundswell slams in, hitting 13ft in the morning and 12ft in the afternoon. The energy is massive (2535 and 2655), but the wind is howling from the WSW at 34 mph, then SW at 31 mph. For a beach/pier setup like El Muelle, that’s a mess. Unless you’re towing in or on a kite, stay on the sand.
Sunday, August 2nd is still huge, with 8ft to 10ft ESE swell, but the wind is cross-onshore and the forecast says it’s simply too big for this break. For the experts only, and even then it’s sketchy.
The standout, and I mean the real standout, is Monday, August 3rd. The morning brings a clean 7ft ESE groundswell with a 12-second period, light offshore NNE wind at 6 mph, and the energy is pumping (1117). The waves are going to be well-shaped, powerful, and clean. This is for experienced surfers only – it’s over 5ft, so it’s not for beginners. The period is long, so it’ll be better shaped with longer lulls between sets, making the paddle out easier for those who know what they’re doing. The crowd factor is a consideration here – El Muelle can get busy, so you might have some company on the peak.
The quality holds through Tuesday, August 4th with 4ft ESE swell, clean cross-offshore wind, and good energy (525). A solid, fun day for intermediates and above.
The rest of the first week of August offers smaller but clean conditions on Wednesday and Thursday mornings, with 3ft to 3ft swell and offshore winds, but nothing that matches the power of the 3rd.
In short, the best bet is the morning of Monday, August 3rd. Get on it if you can handle the size. The glassy afternoon on July 31st is a nice little bonus if you’re around.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 4°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Wed night, fresh winds from the N by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat night, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | S 7 | SSE 13 | S 12 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | ENE 8 | SW 8 | S 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
68 | 50 | 40 | 56 | 144 | 198 | 184 | 55 | 40 | 73 | 92 | 94 | 75 | 157 | 197 | 143 | 72 | 167 | 150 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:03AM1.01m | 2:10PM1.15m | 3:05AM0.94m | 2:58PM1.14m | 4:06AM0.90m | 3:48PM1.14m | 5:04AM0.88m | 4:40PM1.16m | 5:57AM0.87m | 5:30PM1.19m | 6:44AM0.87m | 6:19PM1.23m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:17AM0.47m | 9:14PM0.32m | 8:52AM0.54m | 10:10PM0.32m | 9:30AM0.59m | 11:07PM0.31m | 10:16AM0.61m | 00:06AM0.29m | 11:11AM0.61m | 1:02AM0.27m | 12:09PM0.60m | 1:53AM0.24m | |||||||
— | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:56 | — | — | 7:56 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 6 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Feels °C | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | S 7 | S 9 | S 12 | NE 5 | S 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 9 |
68 | 50 | 40 | 42 | 144 | 45 | 184 | 39 | 39 | 25 | 92 | 94 | 75 | 78 | 197 | 143 | 54 | 57 | 56 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 8 | NE 8 | S 14 | ENE 5 | S 11 | S 11 | ENE 8 | S 12 | WSW 6 | SW 5 | SW 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 12 | S 11 |
63 | 38 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 198 | 18 | 55 | 35 | 38 | 45 | 23 | 13 | 11 | 73 | 73 | 72 | 3 | 10 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 9 | S 9 | SSE 13 | SSW 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 6 | SSE 14 | S 12 | SSW 10 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | ENE 4 | S 9 | S 8 | S 11 |
35 | 22 | 14 | 56 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 3 | 40 | 73 | 10 | 37 | 34 | — | — | 7 | 7 | 12 | 10 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNE 3 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NW 3 | NW 2 | WNW 3 | NNE 3 | NW 3 | W 5 | — | — | ENE 8 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | SW 5 | SW 8 | S 7 |
— | 3 | 5 | 51 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | — | — | 157 | 24 | 9 | 117 | 167 | 150 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 34 | 30 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 41 | 43 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 34 | 0 | 157 | 910 | 1270 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.










