El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checking the local lineup. The water’s sitting at 51°F, which is a touch warmer than we usually get this time of year, so that’s a nice bonus.

The opening act is Wednesday morning down at El Muelle. It’s a beach and pier setup, and it’s got a clean 6 ft swell rolling in from the south with an 11-second period. The wind is glassy, light out of the west, and the combined wave energy is moderate at 949. This is a solid, clean start – the kind of morning that gets you out of bed early. The swell direction is a good match for the spot’s optimum, and it’s a consistent break, so you’ll find waves.

Wednesday afternoon, the wind swings around to a cross-on from the SSE, and the swell drops to 4 ft. It gets a bit lumpy, so I’d call it a morning session only.

Thursday and Friday are a write-off. Thursday is all choppy cross-on wind, and Friday has a bit of size but the wind is messy. Saturday and Sunday are small and weak, with energy dropping below 200, not worth paddling out for.

Monday the 17th gets a bit of size but the wind is a fresh cross-shore, making it lumpy. The real turn comes on Tuesday, 18th August. That morning, we’ve got a clean 7 ft swell from the SSW, a 12 mph offshore wind from the WNW, and the wave energy is strong at 709. This is a standout session for experienced surfers – the swell is solid, the wind is clean, and the break is consistent. It’s a bit big for beginners, but if you’ve got the skill, it’s your best call in the first week.

That afternoon stays clean but a bit smaller at 6 ft, still good.

After that, the energy drops right off through Wednesday and Thursday, with a messy 28 mph cross-wind on Thursday afternoon making for a blown-out scene.

Now, here’s the real promise, but it’s a long way out. Friday, 21st August morning, we’ve got an 8 ft swell from the SSW with a 10-second period, clean cross-off wind, and the energy jumps to 1175. That’s a lot of power. But it’s a smaller window, and the afternoon gets too windy and messy.

Then Saturday, 22nd August – the swell is predicted to be 13 ft from the SSW. That is massive, and the combined energy is 3310, which is very strong. The wind is offshore and clean in the morning, but the forecast says it’s simply too big for this break. Only absolute experts should even look at it, and even then, it’s going to be a washing machine. Sunday is similar, with a 10 ft to 12 ft swell and energy over 5000. This is heavy, serious water.

The real standout in the second week is Monday, 24th August. The morning brings a 8 ft swell from the south with a 13-second period, a light offshore wind from the WNW, and the energy is 1883. This is a long-period groundswell, which means it’s going to be powerful and well-shaped, especially for a point or reef setup. At El Muelle, a beach and pier, that long period might make the waves break a bit straight, but the wind is clean and the size is manageable for experienced surfers. It’s an excellent session for those with the skills.

Tuesday, 25th August, keeps the fun going with 6 ft from the south and clean cross-off winds, both morning and afternoon. That’s a solid, consistent day for intermediates.

The final days of the forecast fade out. Wednesday, 26th, is glassy and clean but small, and by Thursday, 27th, the energy is under 100 and the wind is onshore. It’s done.

So, if you’re picking one session, it’s Tuesday, 18th August morning for the clean offshore and solid size. For the long-range, keep an eye on Monday, 24th August – it’s promising but a long way off, so don’t lock it in yet.

Rusty.

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