El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 pm 23 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.6° C
2.0° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, SSW swell with 2,386 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3PM (Fri 24th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s
Best Surf 9PM (Tue 28th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 3AM (Wed 29th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for the coming stretch.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a frustrating start at El Muelle. The first few days are a write-off – small, weak swell with bumpy winds, not worth paddling out for. The water temperature is sitting at 51°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so at least it’s not freezing.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Friday afternoon, 24th July. The wind swings offshore from the NW, cleaning up a 2ft swell from the S. The period stretches out to a nice long 14 seconds, giving the waves some decent shape and energy. It’s not huge, but it’ll be fun and clean for a session.

The real standout, though, is shaping up for the first week of August. We’ve got a solid run starting Sunday morning, 2nd August. A 7ft swell from the E with a moderate 8-second period rolls in, and the wind is cross-off from the N. The combined wave energy is pumping at 893 (moderate to strong), and the conditions are clean. This is the best of the bunch – a proper, solid surf day.

Then Monday, 3rd August, is even better. Morning brings a 7ft ENE swell with light cross-off winds, and by the afternoon it goes glassy with a 8ft ENE swell. The energy is still strong, and the waves will be clean and well-shaped. This is a top-tier session for experienced surfers, as the size is getting up there.

By Tuesday, 4th August, the swell bumps up to 10ft from the ENE, but that’s getting too big for this break. The forecast says it’s too big for this spot, so only the hardcore crew should even think about it. Wednesday, 5th August, offers a last belter with a 8ft ENE swell and offshore NW winds, giving excellent conditions for those who know what they’re doing.

After that, the swell drops off and the wind turns messy again, so the first week of August is where your focus should be. If you’re looking for a time to pull the trigger, Sunday the 2nd through Wednesday the 5th are your windows. The Wednesday afternoon session with the offshore wind is the real highlight – that’s the one to get excited about.

Signing off, Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
NE
5
0.7
S
12
0.7
S
14
0.8
S
12
0.5
S
11
0.5
S
11
0.4
S
12
0.7
ENE
8
1.3
SW
6
1.1
SSW
7
1.4
SSW
10
1.3
SSW
10
0.9
SSW
9
1.6
SW
5
2.5
SW
8
2.5
SW
10
2.5
SSW
11
2.4
SSW
11
2.1
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
42
144
195
184
58
55
46
68
132
134
334
289
143
124
756
1363
1395
1267
900
Wind (km/h)
20
NNE
30
N
20
NW
20
NNW
15
NNW
20
N
25
NW
30
SW
15
SW
15
NE
25
NNE
15
NNW
15
WNW
20
W
30
SW
30
SSW
20
S
15
SSW
5
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
3:05AM0.94m
2:58PM1.14m
4:06AM0.90m
3:48PM1.14m
5:04AM0.88m
4:40PM1.16m
5:57AM0.87m
5:30PM1.19m
6:44AM0.87m
6:19PM1.23m
7:27AM0.88m
7:05PM1.27m
Low Tide
9:14PM0.32m
8:52AM0.54m
10:10PM0.32m
9:30AM0.59m
11:07PM0.31m
10:16AM0.61m
00:06AM0.29m
11:11AM0.61m
1:02AM0.27m
12:09PM0.60m
1:53AM0.24m
1:05PM0.57m
2:39AM0.21m
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:58
7:58
7:58
7:56
7:56
7:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:55
5:57
5:58
5:58
5:59
6:00
 mm
3
2
4
Temp °C
9
9
12
12
12
14
14
10
9
9
11
13
12
11
10
9
8
8
8
Feels °C
3
3
9
8
8
11
9
4
5
6
5
10
10
6
3
2
2
4
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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