El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 am 12 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.9° C
2.0° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, ESE swell with 437 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.3m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sun 12th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 13s
Best Surf 9PM (Sun 12th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 13s
Most Powerful 9AM (Mon 13th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here. Let's look at what we've got for El Muelle.

Bottom line? It's a pretty bleak 16-day window. We're going to have a long, slow grind with very little to get excited about. For the first week and a half, the surf is just too small and weak to be worth a paddle. The first real chance at anything rideable doesn't show up until around the 22nd of July, but even that comes with some serious warnings.

Let's break it down. We start off on Sunday the 12th with a weak 3ft east swell creeping in at 13 seconds, but it's ruined by a cross-onshore wind. It’s just choppy and messy. This pattern of small, short-period east swells and poor winds continues for days. The wave energy is barely registering, mostly values under 200 (weak), with a few brief bumps into the low hundreds (moderate). You'll see clean conditions here and there, like Monday morning the 13th with a 4ft swell, but the swell period is short and the wave comment just calls it "marginal." Not worth suiting up for.

The real tease is the 19th and 20th of July. The wind turns truly ugly, with strong onshore and cross-onshore winds hitting over 22 mph. For a beach/pier setup, that’s a no-go zone for surfing. Honestly, with those winds and that choppy, messy water, a kite surfer would be having a much better time than a paddle surfer.

Things change, but not for the better, around the 22nd of July. We get a bomb of a swell hitting. Wednesday morning the 22nd we see a 12ft SSW swell with a combined energy reading of 2860 (very strong wave energy). That's a massive jump. But here’s the catch: that’s serious, heavy water. Over 8ft, it’s for experts only. The wind is blowing strong offshore, which will make for an incredibly raw and powerful face. This isn't a beginner wave; it's a big, scary, powerful day for experienced chargers only. The period is 9 seconds, so it's not a classic long-period groundswell, but there's just a mountain of water moving. The afternoon sees a strong cross-shore chop, ruining the clean morning. The 23rd of July stays big, around 7ft to 8ft, but the wind stays cross-onshore, making it a choppy, messy close-out.

After that, it fades out quickly. The last week of July drops back into the tiny, weak stuff with poor conditions. There is one bright spot on the 26th of July – a morning with a tiny 2ft swell from the east and clean offshore wind. It's practically flat, but it might be a glassy, knee-high option for a longboard if you're desperate.

The Standout
If you are an expert surfer looking for a challenge, the Wednesday morning of the 22nd of July at El Muelle is your window. That 12ft swell from the SSW won't be for the faint-hearted, but with the offshore wind, it could offer some serious, hollow waves for those who can handle them. For everyone else, the rest of the forecast is one to sleep in for.

Stay patient, go for a swim, and check back closer to the time.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 4°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
E
13
0.9
ESE
13
0.9
ESE
12
1.3
ESE
12
1.1
ESE
12
1
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.8
ENE
8
0.6
ENE
8
0.6
ENE
8
1
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
7
0.5
E
10
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
350
238
217
437
343
218
158
136
56
66
45
45
104
81
88
113
86
48
101
92
88
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
15
SSW
10
N
20
N
30
N
30
NNW
25
NNW
20
NNW
10
N
15
N
20
NNE
15
NNE
10
N
10
N
15
NE
15
NE
15
NE
5
N
5
NNE
30
SW
15
WSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
4:36PM1.39m
5:46AM1.00m
5:36PM1.47m
6:45AM0.99m
6:36PM1.54m
7:40AM1.00m
7:34PM1.59m
8:32AM1.01m
8:31PM1.59m
9:23AM1.03m
9:26PM1.55m
10:13AM1.06m
10:20PM1.46m
Low Tide
10:13AM0.53m
00:05AM0.08m
11:14AM0.53m
1:13AM0.02m
12:23PM0.50m
2:17AM-0.02m
1:34PM0.46m
3:14AM-0.03m
2:40PM0.40m
4:08AM-0.02m
3:42PM0.36m
4:57AM0.03m
4:41PM0.32m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
8:06
8:06
8:04
8:04
8:03
8:03
8:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:51
 mm
1
3
2
1
Temp °C
7
7
7
7
9
8
11
13
11
12
14
13
15
17
14
15
15
15
14
12
11
Feels °C
2
2
5
0
2
2
5
8
8
8
10
10
14
16
12
13
14
16
14
7
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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