Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 496 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at the surf coming our way. Honestly, I’ve gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window is a tough one for El Muelle. The wave energy is there at times, but the wind and conditions are just not playing ball for a proper session.
Looking at the whole period, the first real sniff of anything surfable is on Monday, July 13th. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the ESE with a solid 12-second period, which is a nice long-period groundswell. The combined energy is moderate (453). The water is a touch warmer than normal at 51°F. But the problem is the wind. It’s a cross-offshore breeze, which is better than onshore, but it’s blowing at 12 mph in the morning and ramping up to 19 mph in the afternoon. That’s just too much punch to keep the surface clean, and the model says it’s a marginal call. The afternoon is a write-off.
Tuesday the 14th is a no-go. The swell drops to 3ft. The wind is still strong from the NNW. Only the Tuesday afternoon session gets a slight nod with a 3ft swell and a moderate offshore wind, but the energy is weak (136) and the waves are described as very ordinary. Wednesday the 15th through to the end of the first week is a flat spell with tiny waves and poor conditions.
The second week picks up a bit in size, but it’s mostly a mess. On Monday, July 20th, we see a 5ft ESE swell with a 10-second period and moderate wave energy (736), but it’s a cross-shore to cross-onshore situation with a fresh breeze and lumpy chop. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session. Tuesday the 21st is a real head-scratcher – we get a 5ft swell from the SE (785 energy), but the wind is howling from the W at 37-40 mph. The model says it’s “clean” but that’s gale force, folks. Unless you’re a complete animal, that’s not surfable.
The only other time the dial moves toward a potential session is on Sunday, July 26th. We’ve got a 3ft ESE swell, a nice 11-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. The wave energy is moderate (269 in the morning, 359 in the afternoon). The model calls it “marginal.” It’s a long way out, so don’t book the trip yet, but it’s the only period in the entire 16 days where the stars might align for a small, clean wave at El Muelle. The rest of the time, it’s either flat, blown out, or just too rough.
To sum it up: the best and really the only shot here is the morning of July 26th for a small, clean groundswell. Everything else is a washout. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but don’t get your hopes up.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 4°C on Mon morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ENE 8 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 437 | 343 | 202 | 161 | 136 | 58 | 19 | 32 | 72 | 91 | 101 | 113 | 106 | 91 | 105 | 96 | 143 | 158 | 211 | 287 | 414 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:36PM1.47m | 6:45AM0.99m | 6:36PM1.54m | 7:40AM1.00m | 7:34PM1.59m | 8:32AM1.01m | 8:31PM1.59m | 9:23AM1.03m | 9:26PM1.55m | 10:13AM1.06m | 10:20PM1.46m | 11:02AM1.10m | 11:14PM1.35m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:14AM0.53m | 1:13AM0.02m | 12:23PM0.50m | 2:17AM-0.02m | 1:34PM0.46m | 3:14AM-0.03m | 2:40PM0.40m | 4:08AM-0.02m | 3:42PM0.36m | 4:57AM0.03m | 4:41PM0.32m | 5:43AM0.10m | 5:37PM0.30m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 8:06 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — |
 | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 6 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
Feels °C | -1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | SSE 7 | SE 8 | ENE 10 | SE 9 |
| kJ | 437 | 343 | 202 | 161 | 136 | 58 | 59 | 32 | 7 | 91 | 101 | 113 | 32 | 91 | 105 | 96 | 143 | 114 | 211 | 105 | 414 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSW 12 | NE 5 | S 13 | NE 6 | ENE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | E 10 | E 10 | S 12 | SSW 5 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 9 | 14 | 42 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 33 | 18 | 32 | 18 | 3 | 36 | 158 | 172 | 52 | 109 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | W 4 | SW 6 | SW 5 | SW 5 | S 11 | SSW 7 | S 14 | E 10 | S 11 | S 7 | S 12 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 31 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NNE 4 | NNW 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | NNE 6 | — | NE 3 | NE 6 | — | — | — | ENE 8 | — | SW 4 | SSW 6 | — | E 3 | — | SE 9 | — |
| kJ | 2 | 20 | 28 | 52 | 9 | 24 | — | 5 | 72 | — | — | — | 106 | — | 31 | 63 | — | 5 | — | 287 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 34 | 435 | 2 | 443 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 463 | 0 | 34 | 16 | 34 | 34 | 37 | 524 | 36 | 79 | 79 | 565 | 565 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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