El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for El Muelle (El-Muelle_1).

Right now, the water is sitting at 50°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a bit of a treat if you’re braving the chill.

The outlook starts with a bit of a gap. There’s nothing really worth paddling out for from Friday 28 August through to Monday 1 September. The swell is tiny, the energy is weak (values between 39 and 211), and the conditions are messy. Give it a miss.

Things start to look up on Wednesday 2 September. The morning is the standout early in the run. We’ve got a glassy surface, 3ft swell from the ENE at 9 seconds, and combined energy of 201 – moderate, but not huge. The glassy wind is a major positive, so you’ll get clean, lined-up waves. It’s not massive, but for a quiet session, it’s a good call.

The next real highlight is Sunday 6 September. The morning brings 4ft swell from the SSE with a 13-second period – that’s a long-period groundswell that’ll wrap in nicely. The energy jumps to 844 (strong), and the cross-offshore wind keeps things clean. The tide could be a factor, but for a point break or reef setup, this is the kind of swell that’ll give you proper shape. The afternoon holds similar energy (536) but with a bit more cloud.

Monday 7 September morning is also worth a mention – glassy again, 4ft swell from the SSE, 10-second period, and energy at 323. Clean, friendly surf.

Then we get to Wednesday 9 September – the swell jumps to 6ft from the SSW, but the period drops to 8 seconds and the wind is cross-shore. It’s a bit lumpy, and for a beach break, that’s not ideal. The afternoon gets even bigger at 7ft from the S, but with a short 7-second period and cross-chop – that’s more of a mess than a session.

The best on offer across the whole 16 days is Thursday 10 September. The morning is too big – 10ft from the SE with a long 11-second period and energy at 2400 – that’s for experts only, and even then it might be overwhelming. But the afternoon is sweet: 8ft from the ESE, 11-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and energy at 2262. Clean, powerful, and proper. This is a standout for experienced surfers only – beginners stay well clear. The longer period means it’ll be better on the point or reef, not so much on a beach break.

The following days, 11-12 September, stay solid with 6ft to 7ft swell from the E and ENE, periods around 7-11 seconds, and clean winds. The energy is strong (653-1783). Saturday 12 September morning has offshore wind and 7ft from the ENE – very good, but the short period (7 seconds) means it might be a bit fat and straight at the beach.

Overall, the two standouts are Wednesday 2 September morning for a clean, smaller session, and Thursday 10 September afternoon for the big, powerful, expert-level swell. The rest is a mix of clean but ordinary, or too big and messy. Keep an eye on the long-range – it’s promising, but not locked in yet.

Rusty.

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