El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 am 05 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.6°C
2.0° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with 1,365 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Mon 7th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 9s
Best Surf12AM (Mon 7th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 9s
Most Powerful 6AM (Sun 6th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it for the local stretch.

We've got a bit of a slow start across the board, but there's some light at the end of the tunnel. The first real hope I'm seeing is a bit of a wait.

El Muelle is the only game in town, but honestly, for the first week, it's a struggle. Saturday the 5th kicks off with some lumpy, cross-on mess from a southerly swell – 7ft at 8 seconds, but that wind is just ruining it. The water’s a touch warmer than normal at 51°, about 4° above average, which is notable. The energy is middling (638) but it's just not rideable. That trend of poor, onshore conditions sticks around. We get a bit of a clean-up Monday the 7th with a lighter cross-offshore breeze, but the swell drops right out to barely 3ft, so it's not really worth suiting up. There's a long gap here with basically no surf recommendations from the 5th right through the middle of the month.

Now, for the standouts. You'll want to circle Sunday the 13th of September. That morning at El Muelle, the wind is a light northerly, clean, and we've got a chest-high 4ft SSE swell wrapping in. The combined energy is a solid 467 – that's a proper push. It’s not huge, but the conditions should be clean, making for a really fun, user-friendly session. The afternoon holds up too with a similar 4ft from the ENE. This is the best on offer for the whole period.

Looking further ahead to the end of the second week, we get another little pulse. Thursday the 17th of September is worth a mention. We're back to a clean 4ft southerly swell with a gentle cross-offshore breeze. It’s not a blockbuster, but after a long dry spell, a clean, waist-high day with light winds is a welcome sight. The following Friday the 18th brings a short-period 4ft ENE swell with a fresh offshore breeze, which could offer some punchy but manageable waves for those who know the bank.

Overall, it's a lean outlook. The first week is a write-off, but that Sunday the 13th is your genuine window. The good news is the breaks here are generally consistent, so it won't stay flat forever. Keep an eye on the forecasts.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Sat afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Sun afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the SE by Thu night).

Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SSW
8
2.4
S
8
3
S
8
2.1
SSE
10
1.7
SSE
9
1.3
SSE
9
1.1
SE
8
1
SE
10
0.9
S
9
0.5
S
8
0.4
S
12
0.3
S
11
0.6
S
14
0.6
S
11
0.7
S
11
0.5
S
10
0.5
SSW
10
0.7
SSW
7
1.7
SSE
6
1.8
SSE
7
1.9
S
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
536
743
1090
782
497
258
180
181
122
33
44
22
146
83
110
50
54
57
201
298
1098
Wind (km/h)
30
S
40
S
35
S
20
S
15
S
15
N
25
NNW
25
NNW
25
N
25
NNW
20
NNW
25
NNW
15
W
15
SSW
5
SE
15
N
10
WSW
20
S
35
SE
40
SE
40
SE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
on
High Tide
12:50PM1.33m
1:57AM0.93m
1:52PM1.34m
3:06AM0.89m
3:00PM1.35m
4:15AM0.87m
4:10PM1.38m
5:18AM0.90m
5:16PM1.41m
6:13AM0.96m
6:16PM1.43m
7:02AM1.03m
7:12PM1.43m
Low Tide
8:23PM0.17m
7:31AM0.55m
9:34PM0.18m
8:31AM0.56m
10:48PM0.17m
9:48AM0.54m
11:56PM0.15m
11:12AM0.50m
00:56AM0.13m
12:26PM0.43m
1:47AM0.12m
1:29PM0.35m
2:32AM0.14m
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:07
7:05
7:03
7:03
7:01
7:00
6:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:31
6:32
6:34
6:35
6:36
6:37
6:37
 mm
2
1
Temp °C
8
7
6
6
6
5
8
12
10
12
15
13
15
15
12
16
19
10
6
6
7
Feels °C
-1
-3
-4
-1
1
1
1
7
4
6
11
8
11
11
9
13
16
6
-2
-4
-3
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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