El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. The surf's been messy for the last few days, and honestly, it's looking pretty average overall for the next couple of weeks. There's a lot of wind and cross-chop to fight through, and most of the swell is junk – short period, onshore, or just too small to get excited about.

The water temp at El Muelle is sitting at 51°, which is a solid 4° warmer than usual for this time of year. That's noticeable – you can get away with a slightly thinner wetsuit.

Thursday and Friday are write-offs. Light rain and onshore winds are going to keep it lumpy, with waves around 2ft to 4ft. Not worth the paddle.

The weekend is where it gets frustrating. Saturday morning sees a jump in size to 7ft, but the wind is howling offshore at 19 mph. It's clean, but it's still sloppy with a short 7-second period. Then Saturday afternoon and Sunday morning the swell really jacks up – we're talking 12ft to 13ft from the SW with a 9-second period. That's a lot of energy – 2092 and then 2509 on those swells – but it's just too big for this break. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it's on the edge. It's going to be a washing machine out there. Sunday afternoon and Monday are back to poor, with cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions.

Now, hold on. Tuesday the 11th morning is where it gets interesting. The swell drops to a clean 5ft from the SSE with a long 12-second period. That's proper groundswell energy – 1286. The wind is light offshore from the west, and it's calling for clean conditions. This is the standout of the first week. It's an excellent wave for experienced surfers, and it's consistent. This is the one to circle.

After that, things get a bit quieter. Wednesday the 12th has some clean but weaker waves around 5ft, and Thursday the 13th morning looks good too – glassy with a 5ft S swell at 13 seconds. That's got some push to it, with energy at 843. Good shape, clean conditions, that's another decent option. But the afternoons are a bit iffy with onshore breezes.

The following weekend and into the next week is mostly poor. Small, short-period swells and cross-shore winds kill it. There's a day on Monday the 17th that has some size but it's onshore and choppy. Not worth it.

Then, towards the end of the window, on Tuesday the 18th morning, we get another flash of quality. A clean 5ft E swell with an 11-second period and light offshore winds. That'll be clean and have some power. The afternoon builds to 8ft but with a shorter period, so it gets a bit lumpy. That morning session is a solid pick for the second week, though it's far out and forecasts can shift, so keep an eye on it.

Overall, the best bets are Tuesday the 11th morning and Thursday the 13th morning. If you can only get out once, make it Tuesday.

Rusty

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