Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SSE swell with 1,951 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.
We’ve got a slow start ahead, unfortunately. There’s a real dry patch at the beginning with nothing worthwhile on offer for the first few days. The first decent-looking surf doesn’t show up until Monday the 7th, so you’re looking at a gap of about a day and a half of flat or poor conditions right from the get-go.
The best of the early action comes Monday the 7th. The wind is clean offshore from the NNW, blowing at 12-16 mph, which is going to tidy up El Muelle nicely. The swell is small though, around 4ft from the SE with a short 8-second period, so it’s not packing much power. The combined wave energy is moderate (263). It’s a clean, easy session for intermediates, not a standout for size, but the conditions will be fun. The water temperature is 51°F – a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s not as cold as you might expect.
Tuesday the 8th drops right off – waves get tiny, and the energy is weak. Not worth a paddle.
There’s a small window Sunday the 13th that looks tidy. Light offshore to near-glass winds, with swell around 4-4ft from the S. It’s short-period stuff (8 seconds) so not a lot of grunt, but combined energy is still solid (350-440). The setup is clean, small, and good for a cruisy session. Crowds can happen at El Muelle sometimes, but with these sizes, it shouldn’t be too bad.
Now, if you’re an experienced surfer, circle Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th on your calendar. On the 16th, we’ve got a big 10ft S swell arriving, but the note says it’s predicted to be too big for this break – that’s expert-only territory, and even then, the cross-shore wind might mess with it. But Thursday the 17th is the real standout. The swell drops slightly to 7-8ft from the S, with periods hitting 10-11 seconds, giving it good shape and power. Combined energy is very strong (1130-1241). Winds are offshore from the NNW in the morning, going N in the afternoon – clean, lined up, and punchy. This is excellent surf, but at over 8ft it’s only for experienced surfers. The offshore wind will make for some beautiful, peeling walls. This is the best on offer in the whole 16-day window.
After that, the month fades out. The 18th has a small, clean morning with 5ft and offshore winds, but energy is dropping. From the 19th onward, it’s mostly small, weak, or onshore junk. Nothing more worth chasing.
In short: get out Monday the 7th for a clean, small session, and lock in Thursday the 17th for a proper big-wave day if you’ve got the skill.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 4°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Sun night, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, strong winds from the SE by Fri afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 8 | SE 10 | S 9 | SE 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 14 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 5 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 413 | 258 | 211 | 154 | 117 | 34 | 25 | 39 | 264 | 110 | 96 | 51 | 54 | 56 | 98 | 877 | 1819 | 1532 | 1018 | 360 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 3:06AM0.89m | 3:00PM1.35m | 4:15AM0.87m | 4:10PM1.38m | 5:18AM0.90m | 5:16PM1.41m | 6:13AM0.96m | 6:16PM1.43m | 7:02AM1.03m | 7:12PM1.43m | 7:47AM1.11m | 8:03PM1.39m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:34PM0.18m | 8:31AM0.56m | 10:48PM0.17m | 9:48AM0.54m | 11:56PM0.15m | 11:12AM0.50m | 00:56AM0.13m | 12:26PM0.43m | 1:47AM0.12m | 1:29PM0.35m | 2:32AM0.14m | 2:25PM0.27m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | |  |  | |
 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — |
 | 6:32 | — | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 7 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Feels °C | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 7 | -3 | -3 | -3 | 0 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 8 | SE 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 11 | S 14 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | NE 8 | S 8 |
| kJ | 413 | 258 | 211 | 154 | 117 | 34 | 22 | 39 | 264 | 110 | 96 | 47 | 54 | 56 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 360 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | S 8 | SE 10 | SE 11 | S 12 | SSW 8 | NNE 5 | S 10 | SW 4 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 280 | 134 | 50 | 69 | 68 | 29 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 73 | 5 | 51 | 46 | 42 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 52 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 11 | E 9 | SSW 7 | E 8 | S 13 | SE 11 | S 16 | SE 9 | NE 5 | SSE 11 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 40 | 2 | 36 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 9 | 20 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | WNW 4 | WSW 5 | — | — | NE 8 | — | S 5 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | — | — | 4 | 3 | 18 | 28 | 12 | 28 | 19 | 15 | — | — | 14 | — | 98 | 877 | 1819 | 1532 | 1018 | 258 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 182 | 59 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 79 | 11 | 1336 | 1351 | 1111 | 824 | 1341 | 37 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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