El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 am 14 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.3°C
1.5° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with 1,135 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Mon 14th Sep)2.5ft (0.7m) 9s
Best Surf 3AM (Wed 16th Sep)5.5ft (1.7m) 9s
Most Powerful 3PM (Tue 15th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s shaping up for El Muelle over the next couple of weeks. Honestly, the first week is a real mixed bag, and you’ll have to be patient. The standout windows are few, but they’re there.

The overall pattern starts slow and a bit messy. The first few days have some size but the wind is chewing things up. Keep your eye on Wednesday the 16th for the first real window.

So, Monday the 14th is a write-off. We’ve got a fresh offshore breeze, but the swell is tiny – only 2ft from the SSE with a combined energy of just 167 (weak). The wave quality is poor. Tuesday the 15th sees a bump in size, hitting 6ft in the morning and 8ft in the afternoon from the SSW, but the wind is a strong cross-onshore, making it a messy, lumpy mess. Not worth paddling out.

Now, Wednesday the 16th is your first real chance. The morning is looking clean – a light cross-off breeze with 5ft swell from the SSE at a 9-second period. The combined energy is 615 (moderate), and the conditions are expected to be very good. This is a solid, clean option. The afternoon drops off a bit with a more marginal tide call, so get on it early.

Thursday the 17th brings a fresh offshore wind again, but the swell drops to 3ft. Clean, but small.

After that, we hit a long gap. From Friday the 18th right through to Monday the 21st, the swell drops right out. We’re looking at tiny waves, mostly under 2ft, with very low combined energy (between 17 and 105). Clean conditions, but you’ll be floating. Tuesday the 22nd looks more promising on paper with 5ft swell from the SSW, but the forecast is marginal due to tide issues. Definitely a spot to watch but not a strong call.

The second week remains mostly small and wind-affected. From Wednesday the 23rd to the end of the period, the swell is generally below 3ft, with a few pulses of 5ft on the 25th but with poor onshore wind. The best bet in that second week is Tuesday the 22nd, but it’s not a guarantee. Overall, Wednesday the 16th morning is the standout – clean, waist-to-chest high waves with a decent period. Don’t expect a crowd at El Muelle, as it’s a consistent spot, but the crowds are listed as sometimes, so you might have company.

El Muelle is a beach/pier setup, and the SSE swell direction is right on the money for its optimum. For the first week, the water temperature feels about average for the time of year.

Get out there Wednesday morning if you can. Beyond that, it’s a waiting game. Forecasts can change, but right now it looks like a lot of small, clean days and a couple of blown-out pulses.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 3°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Tue morning, calm by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Thu morning, light winds from the N by Thu night).

Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSE
9
0.8
WSW
6
0.7
WSW
8
1.9
SSW
6
3
SSW
9
2.3
S
9
1.5
SSE
10
1.4
SSE
10
1
SSE
9
1
SSE
9
0.8
SSE
9
0.5
SE
9
0.4
ENE
6
0.3
S
11
0.4
SSW
8
0.8
NE
5
1
NE
5
1.1
NE
6
0.3
SSE
10
1.3
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
88
44
51
235
1135
904
428
370
144
158
99
41
12
22
23
35
49
76
21
168
188
Wind (km/h)
30
NW
30
WNW
25
NW
40
S
35
S
10
SSE
10
N
20
N
30
N
30
NNW
15
W
10
E
10
N
20
NE
20
NNE
20
N
25
NNE
20
NNE
25
N
25
N
5
NW
Wind State
off
off
off
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
9:10AM1.24m
9:41PM1.25m
9:49AM1.26m
10:27PM1.17m
10:29AM1.26m
11:14PM1.08m
11:08AM1.24m
00:02AM0.99m
11:49AM1.20m
00:53AM0.91m
12:34PM1.16m
1:51AM0.85m
1:26PM1.12m
2:58AM0.80m
Low Tide
4:04PM0.17m
4:25AM0.33m
4:50PM0.16m
4:58AM0.40m
5:34PM0.18m
5:29AM0.47m
6:19PM0.21m
6:01AM0.53m
7:06PM0.26m
6:35AM0.57m
7:59PM0.31m
7:15AM0.60m
8:58PM0.34m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:39
6:40
6:42
6:43
6:44
6:45
6:45
 mm
10
Temp °C
9
14
11
7
7
6
6
11
10
18
21
15
19
20
16
18
19
16
20
23
15
Feels °C
1
8
5
-3
-2
0
1
6
4
14
19
12
16
16
13
14
15
13
17
20
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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