El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about El Muelle. This is your classic exposed beach/pier set-up, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing to complain about there. The first few days are a bit of a write-off, I’m not going to lie. We have some small, weak swell coming in from the ESE with moderate cross-off winds. It’s clean but just not enough push. Expect combined swell energy in the weak range (453) through Monday morning, dropping off into the week. The waves are small, around 3ft to 3ft, with short, weak periods. Honestly, it’s poor conditions for the first few days.

We’ve got a bit of a blank run from Wednesday the 16th through to Monday the 20th of July. No real recommendations in there, just small, weak, and messy waves, with winds switching around to cross-off and cross-on. The energy is low, and the quality just isn’t there.

Now, hold on to your horses, because things look interesting from Tuesday the 21st of July. That’s the one to circle. We’re looking at a proper pulse of swell coming in from the SSE. The combined energy jumps right up into the strong range (903). I’m expecting surf pushing 6ft with a nice 12-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is light and cross-off, which will leave it glassy and clean. That’s a real standout session. The break is consistent, so it should be offering up some good peaks. Fair warning though, crowds are a possibility here, so get in early.

The next potential highlight is the Wednesday morning of the 22nd of July. It’s a different pulse, this time from the SSW. We’ll see similar sized swell at 6ft, but the period is much shorter at 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit more of a windswell feel. Still, with light cross-off winds from the N, it’ll be clean. The combined energy is in the strong range (620), so worth a look if you missed Tuesday.

After that, the weekend of the 24th and 25th of July gets a bit sloppy. There’s a couple of metres of swell coming in, but the winds are cross-on from the S and SSW, making for choppy, lumpy conditions. The energy is moderate to strong, but the quality isn’t there. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest.

Into the final days of the month, we’re back to small, weak swell with unfavourable onshore winds. The long-period swell on the 27th and 28th is from the SSE and S, but the winds are a mess. The waves are small but period is long at 15 seconds, but with cross-on winds, it’s just not going to produce a clean wave at this beach.

Honestly, Tuesday the 21st of July morning is your best bet. Good size, clean, solid energy. Get it.

Rusty.

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