El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the only game in town for this forecast period: El Muelle. It’s a beach and pier setup, and over the next two weeks, it’s mostly going to be a battle between the swell and the wind.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a rough start. For the 31st of July and all the way through to the morning of the 2nd of August, the surf is tiny or just a mess. There’s practically nothing worth paddling out for. We’re talking about a 3-day dry spell right at the beginning here.

Things finally show a pulse of life on Sunday the 2nd of August in the afternoon. We’ve got a clean 4 ft swell rolling in from the south with a period of 12 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, carrying some decent energy (515). The wind is a cross-offshore, which will keep the faces looking alright. This is the first real chance to wet a line, but the morning of that same day is still a write-off with a cross-shore wind.

The Standout

Honestly, the one window that looks genuinely good for everyone is Monday morning, the 3rd of August. We’ve got 5 ft of swell from the SSE with an 11-second period. That’s a nice, solid head-high wave with plenty of push and a moderate energy reading (630). The wind is a light 6 mph from the west, making it a clean, cross-offshore breeze. The water is about average for this time of year. For a spot like this, that combo is as good as it gets. It’s not too big for the intermediates, but beginners might find it a bit much.

From Tuesday the 4th onward, it gets pretty average again. There are glimmers: Tuesday morning is clean and rideable with 3 ft of swell, but nothing else really fires until we get to Friday the 9th of August. That morning pushes 6 ft from the south, but the onshore wind from the SW is going to hack it up, making it more of a windsurfing or kiting show than a surfing one. The same goes for the weekend after that, with big, lumpy, and messy surf that’s really only going to appeal to the experts looking for a challenge in choppy conditions. There’s a pulse of 8 ft on Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th of August, but it’s short period (7 seconds) and cross-shore. The energy jumps up (1276 on the 15th), but with that wind, it’s going to be a grindy, frustrating day.

So, to wrap it up: if you can only get in the water once, make it Monday morning, the 3rd of August. That's the one. The rest of the run is a waiting game with a lot of close-outs and wind.

Rusty.

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