
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period, S swell with 177 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.1m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for El Muelle over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the first week and a half of this forecast is pretty grim. We’re looking at a solid stretch of poor surf conditions from Sunday the 19th right through to the end of July. There’s a bit of swell around, but the wind is just all wrong, mostly cross-on or onshore, and it’s making a mess of things. The water temp is sitting at a very unusual 52°F – that’s a massive 4°F warmer than average for this time of year, so you won’t need the thickest wetsuit, but you’ll need patience. The combined wave energy stays moderate at best, with values like 419 (Sunday afternoon) and 219 (Monday morning), but it’s not doing you any favours with the wind.
The real problem is that from July 19th through to the 31st, nearly every session is rated as poor or marginal. There are a few clean mornings with cross-offshore winds around the 23rd to the 27th, but the swell is tiny – 1ft to 2ft – and just doesn’t have the power. The combined energy drops to as low as 22 on the 28th afternoon. That’s weak. It’s a real dry spell.
Then, as we flip the calendar to August, things start to look up. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd are the standouts in this whole outlook. We’ve got a nice ESE groundswell moving in with a period of 11 to 13 seconds, which is proper long-period energy. The swell height is around 3ft, and the key here is the wind: it’s offshore from the NW, light to gentle breeze. That’s glassy, clean conditions. The combined energy jumps to 381 on Saturday afternoon and 458 on Sunday morning – that’s moderate to strong energy, and it’s gonna feel good. The swell direction from the ESE is a perfect match for El Muelle’s optimum SSE direction, so the wave quality should be there.
This is the best on offer, no doubt. Saturday August 1st morning through Sunday August 2nd afternoon. It’s a bit of a wait, but it’s worth holding out for. The surf will be clean, lined up, and with that long period, expect some nice shaped waves. It’s not huge, so it’s good for intermediates and up. Crowds are possible here, especially when it’s clean, so get in early.
The Monday the 3rd still has offshore wind and a decent 3ft swell, though the wind picks up to a moderate breeze and the energy drops a bit.
So, the short story: suffer through the first week and a half, then get ready for a proper session on the 1st and 2nd of August. The forecast is more reliable that close in, so I’m confident about that weekend.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Mon morning, min 7°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 5°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | SSW 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | SSE 12 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 14 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
254 | 177 | 130 | 84 | 75 | 118 | 88 | 103 | 88 | 69 | 82 | 66 | 45 | 116 | 50 | 128 | 146 | 116 | 45 | 66 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 11:14PM1.35m | 11:50AM1.12m | 00:08AM1.23m | 12:37PM1.14m | 1:04AM1.11m | 1:23PM1.15m | 2:03AM1.01m | 2:10PM1.15m | 3:05AM0.94m | 2:58PM1.14m | 4:06AM0.90m | 3:48PM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:37PM0.30m | 6:25AM0.19m | 6:33PM0.30m | 7:05AM0.29m | 7:27PM0.30m | 7:42AM0.38m | 8:20PM0.31m | 8:17AM0.47m | 9:14PM0.32m | 8:52AM0.54m | 10:10PM0.32m | 9:30AM0.59m | 11:07PM0.31m | |||||||
— | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | |
5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 8 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 7 |
254 | 177 | 130 | 84 | 45 | 118 | 88 | 103 | 88 | 69 | 67 | 66 | 45 | 116 | 33 | 128 | 146 | 116 | 45 | 15 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 6 | S 9 | SSW 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 10 | SSW 8 | ENE 5 | NNE 5 | ENE 9 | SSE 14 |
143 | 167 | 78 | 56 | 75 | 51 | 43 | 18 | 13 | 38 | 82 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 25 | 66 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 6 | E 6 | SSW 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 10 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | SSE 12 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 5 | SSW 11 |
— | — | 11 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 27 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 35 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 50 | 19 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 23 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SE 4 | — | — | E 6 | E 4 | — | SSE 7 | SE 4 | SSE 5 | NE 2 | N 3 | N 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 5 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | — | NE 4 |
22 | 4 | — | — | 16 | 7 | — | 25 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 22 | 3 | 3 | — | 13 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 79 | 37 | 37 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 34 | 37 | 526 | 79 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 80 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.










