El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 pm 03 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.7° C
2.3° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SW swell with 1,914 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 11s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Tue 4th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 11s
Best Surf12AM (Sun 9th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 6AM (Sun 9th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The only game in town for the next 16 days is El Muelle, and honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag, so don’t expect a non-stop party.

We start off with a bit of a slow cooker. The first real action worth paddling out for is on Tuesday, August 4th. The morning is your window. We’ve got a 4 ft swell rolling in from the southeast, with a period of 10 seconds, giving the waves a bit of shape. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the north, so it’ll be clean. The energy is moderate at 291, so there’s some push behind it. The morning looks good, but by afternoon the wind swings to a cross-shore and the quality drops off. Don’t sleep on that Tuesday morning session.

After that, things get real ugly. From Wednesday the 5th right through to the end of Sunday the 16th, it’s a write-off. We’re looking at strong winds, onshore slop, and rain. The swell is there, but the wind is just ruining everything. There’s a brief moment on Saturday, August 8th, where the swell bumps up to 7 ft, but it’s from the southwest with a short period and the wind is howling at 35 km/h. It’s too big and messy for a beginner, and the wind is just going to make it a battle. For the experienced crew, it might be worth a look if you’re desperate for a big, windy paddle, but frankly, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Then, just when you’re about to hang up your wettie, the forecast gets interesting. Sunday, August 9th is the real standout. The morning session is a monster. We’re talking a solid 10 ft swell from the southwest, with a 9-second period. The wind is a clean 30 km/h cross-offshore. The combined energy is a massive 1508, which is strong. This is serious, heavy stuff. The file says it’s predicted to be too big for this break, so this is for experts only. If you’re not comfortable in big, powerful waves, give this one a wide berth. The afternoon sees the swell drop back to 7 ft, but the wind turns cross-shore, so the morning is the only window.

After that big Sunday, the swell settles down. Monday, August 10th morning brings a 5 ft swell from the southeast, but the period stretches to 11 seconds, which is decent. Light cross-off wind from the west keeps it clean. The energy is still moderate at 805. It won’t be as punchy as Sunday, but it’ll be a good, clean day for intermediates.

The week of the 11th is a bit of a mixed bag. Tuesday, August 11th has a 6 ft swell from the south-southeast, but the wind is onshore, so it’s messy. The real keeper is Wednesday, August 12th, morning session. The wind goes glassy, literally dead calm, and the swell is a clean 5 ft from the south-southeast with a 10-second period. The energy is 487. That’s a beautiful, clean morning with some decent size. Energy is moderate, but with glassy conditions, the waves will be perfect.

Thursday, August 13th morning is another absolute gem. The wind is glassy again, with a 4 ft swell from the south-southeast. The energy is moderate at 547. This is a very good, clean option for intermediates. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

We hit another dry patch from Friday the 14th through Sunday the 16th. The swell drops to tiny, the wind is howling onshore, and it’s just not worth it.

The forecast picks up again on Monday, August 17th with a 5 ft swell from the south, but the wind is cross-offshore, so it’s clean. The energy is moderate at 379. It’s a marginal call, but the morning session is worth a look. Tuesday, August 18th afternoon sees a similar setup, with a 5 ft swell and a clean cross-offshore wind. The energy is 332. It’s not a classic, but it’s something to wet the line.

So, to wrap it up. The two true standouts are Sunday, August 9th for the big-wave crew (10 ft, expert only) and Wednesday, August 12th morning for the clean, glassy, intermediate-friendly session. Don’t get too excited about the long-range stuff on the 17th and 18th; it’s promising, but we’re a week out, so it’s less certain.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 36mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Thu afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, near gales from the S by Thu afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the S on Thu night, moderate winds from the WNW by Sat night).

Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
!
!
0
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SE
11
1.1
SE
10
1
SE
10
0.8
SE
10
0.7
SE
9
0.7
ENE
8
0.5
SE
9
1.1
SE
4
1.7
SSE
6
2.5
S
7
1.4
SSE
7
1.3
SE
8
1.1
SE
9
2.2
SW
8
2.4
SW
8
3
SW
9
3
SW
9
2
SSW
8
1.2
SE
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
368
261
188
130
84
67
39
43
171
703
202
210
225
603
682
1209
1404
500
389
Wind (km/h)
15
NE
10
N
15
NE
15
NNE
5
NW
15
SSW
10
E
20
ESE
45
SSE
50
SSW
30
WSW
30
W
45
WNW
35
W
30
WSW
25
W
30
W
25
SW
15
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
10:35PM1.26m
11:01AM1.07m
11:21PM1.20m
11:40AM1.13m
00:12AM1.14m
12:24PM1.19m
1:09AM1.07m
1:13PM1.24m
2:12AM1.00m
2:10PM1.29m
3:19AM0.95m
3:13PM1.35m
Low Tide
5:48AM0.30m
5:46PM0.35m
6:20AM0.37m
6:35PM0.30m
6:50AM0.43m
7:28PM0.26m
7:21AM0.49m
8:28PM0.22m
7:57AM0.53m
9:36PM0.18m
8:43AM0.55m
10:49PM0.15m
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:50
7:48
7:47
7:46
7:45
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:07
6:08
 mm
1
12
23
3
1
Temp °C
12
12
14
13
15
14
11
10
8
8
9
12
10
8
10
6
7
8
8
Feels °C
9
10
12
11
14
11
7
6
-1
-3
2
5
0
0
2
0
-2
1
2
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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