
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, SSE swell with 590 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.8m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty with your local surf outlook for El Muelle.
It’s a bit of a mixed bag for the next couple of weeks, to be honest. We’ve got a lot of ordinary, small days ahead, but the end of the road is looking absolutely massive. The water here is sitting at 51.1°F currently, which is a solid 3.8°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a proper treat if you’re quick on the draw.
The first real window we’re looking at is Tuesday morning. We’ve got a clean 3.0ft swell from the SSW, with a period of 9 seconds and a light 9.3 mph cross-offshore wind. The wave energy is weak at 158, so it’s not going to be pumping, but it’s a clean surfable wave. The afternoon goes downhill fast with a stronger cross-onshore, so hit it early.
Wednesday morning is a repeat performer: 3.3ft from the SSW, light cross-off, and a moderate energy of 164. It’s surfable, but nothing to crow about. Wednesday afternoon gets tiny at 1.6ft, but that 14-second period is interesting. That’s a long period groundswell, which means long lulls, but the shape should be better. The wind is almost glassy, so it’ll be clean.
Thursday and Friday are a bit of a write-off, with small cross-off waves and poor conditions. The swell drops to a pathetic 1.3ft on Friday morning, but Friday afternoon picks up a little with a 4.3ft wave from the ENE, albeit with a short 7-second period. It’s clean, but it’ll be a bit of a mess.
The first weekend of August is ugly. Onshore winds and lumpy conditions. The wind is blowing 21.7 mph, which is more kite territory than paddle surfing. The swell is small and messy.
The standout action is way down the line, and it’s a big one. Mark your calendars for Saturday, August 8th. The morning starts with a massive 11.5ft swell from the SW, and it’s clean with a 18.6 mph cross-offshore wind. The wave energy is massive at 1711. The afternoon gets even bigger at 14.8ft from the SSW with a 12-second period, and energy hits 4995. The wind is strong, but it’s cross-off, so it stays clean. Sunday, August 9th, is even bigger in the morning, 13.1ft from the SSW with a 14-second period and energy of 5676. The wind is light and variable. This is big, thick groundswell with a very long period, so it’s going to be peaky and powerful. It’s a game for experts only, and it might be too straight for the beach break, but if you’re on a point or a reef, it’s going to be a full-on day.
The following week sees the swell drop but remain sizeable, with 8.2ft to 6.6ft waves from the S and SSW, but the wind is onshore and cross, making it lumpy. The energy is still strong (over 1000), but the quality is marginal.
Honestly, the best bet on offer is the Tuesday morning and Wednesday morning of this week for a gentle, clean paddle. The real winner is the massive, clean swell on Saturday, August 8th and Sunday, August 9th, but only if you’re an expert. Crowds are a possibility as the word gets out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the NE by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Sat morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | S 14 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
121 | 78 | 78 | 120 | 96 | 163 | 116 | 98 | 43 | 24 | 147 | 155 | 153 | 137 | 124 | 304 | 474 | 511 | 365 | 170 | 147 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 6:19PM1.23m | 7:27AM0.88m | 7:05PM1.27m | 8:07AM0.88m | 7:49PM1.30m | 8:43AM0.90m | 8:30PM1.32m | 9:18AM0.93m | 9:11PM1.31m | 9:51AM0.97m | 9:52PM1.29m | 10:25AM1.02m | 10:35PM1.26m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:09PM0.60m | 1:53AM0.24m | 1:05PM0.57m | 2:39AM0.21m | 1:57PM0.53m | 3:22AM0.20m | 2:45PM0.50m | 4:02AM0.19m | 3:31PM0.47m | 4:39AM0.21m | 4:16PM0.43m | 5:15AM0.25m | 5:01PM0.39m | ||||||||
7:56 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | |
— | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 12 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | ENE 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 8 |
121 | 26 | 78 | 120 | 68 | 163 | 116 | 98 | 43 | 24 | 147 | 155 | 153 | 137 | 124 | 304 | 474 | 511 | 365 | 170 | 147 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | S 12 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | S 14 | SW 7 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 12 | S 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
25 | 12 | 24 | 21 | 96 | 22 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 105 | 78 | 47 | 31 | 138 | 86 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | SE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 7 | ENE 8 | SSW 7 | S 11 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 12 | SSE 13 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 |
12 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 30 | 27 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 8 | — | — | — | NNE 2 | NNE 3 | NE 4 | NE 6 | NE 7 | — | SSE 3 | SSW 3 | SW 4 | SW 5 | — | — | ESE 2 | — | — | — |
— | 78 | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 45 | 284 | 234 | — | 2 | 7 | 34 | 51 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 1111 | 36 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 565 | 1239 | 79 | 0 | 37 | 524 | 859 | 37 | 79 | 565 | 455 | 79 | 11 | 37 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.










