El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 am 12 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.4° C
2.0° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 12s period, SSE swell with 1,018 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.9m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Wed 12th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 11s
Best Surf 9AM (Wed 12th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 11s
Most Powerful 6PM (Thu 13th Aug)6ft (1.9m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at the waves ahead.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little bonus. The main player here is El Muelle, a beach/pier setup that’s consistently exposed to the SSE swell. The best window is a bit of a mixed bag overall, but there are two clear standouts.

The week kicks off with a real gem on the morning of Wednesday the 12th. We’ve got a solid 6ft Southerly swell, an 11-second period giving it some decent energy (combined energy of 949), and best of all – glassy conditions with the lightest WNW breeze. That’s clean surf, and the water is a bit warmer than usual. This is the pick of the bunch for the near term.

Later that afternoon, the wind shifts onshore and the swell drops, so don’t expect much.

Thursday and Friday get messy with cross-onshore winds, though there’s a small window on Friday morning with a 5ft SSE swell and a 10-second period, but the cross-shore wind will put a chop on it. The weekend is a write-off with poor conditions and rain.

We then hit a gap of a few days with no real recommendations until Tuesday morning, the 18th of August. That morning brings a 5ft SSE swell with an 8-second period, and the wind is cross-off from the NNW, keeping things clean. The energy is moderate (454), and it’s a solid option for a paddle.

Now, the real standout for the second week is Sunday, the 23rd of August. This is a big one for experienced surfers only. The swell is 8ft from the South, with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is strong (1334). The wind goes glassy in the afternoon, and the water is clean. This is a serious session if you’ve got the skill.

That carries into Monday morning, the 24th, with an 8ft swell from the SSE, 12-second period (very long period groundswell), and offshore wind from the WNW. The energy is very strong (1778), and the waves are clean. This is a point-break style setup by the feel of it, so the long period should wrap in nicely.

The following Tuesday morning, the 25th, also looks good with a 5ft SSE swell, 11-second period, and offshore wind from the NNW – clean, with moderate energy (642).

Don’t bother with the last few days of the outlook; the wind gets messy again.

So, to sum it up: the absolute best on offer is the glassy Wednesday morning the 12th for a fun, clean session, and the big Sunday/Monday on the 23rd and 24th for the experienced crew looking for size and power. The rest is mostly waiting for the wind to play nice.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 5°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
S
11
1.1
SSE
14
1.4
S
12
1.6
SSE
11
1.8
SSE
10
1.9
SSE
11
1.4
SSE
10
1.2
SSE
10
0.9
SSE
9
0.8
SSE
9
1.2
NE
6
1.3
ENE
6
1.1
ENE
7
1
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
9
1
ENE
9
2
S
7
2.2
S
8
1.6
SSE
8
1.5
SSE
8
1
SSE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
670
521
546
531
663
854
402
288
146
88
92
111
102
114
172
181
377
659
350
259
133
Wind (km/h)
5
WNW
10
SSE
15
SE
20
ESE
20
ENE
15
NE
15
NE
25
NE
25
NE
25
NE
25
NE
10
NNE
15
SW
20
SW
25
SW
25
S
20
S
5
N
15
NNW
15
NNE
15
N
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:26PM1.51m
7:23AM0.98m
7:24PM1.53m
8:12AM1.04m
8:18PM1.52m
8:59AM1.09m
9:11PM1.46m
9:44AM1.15m
10:01PM1.37m
10:27AM1.19m
10:52PM1.26m
11:10AM1.21m
11:42PM1.15m
Low Tide
12:20PM0.48m
2:06AM0.04m
1:31PM0.41m
2:58AM0.04m
2:34PM0.34m
3:45AM0.07m
3:31PM0.28m
4:27AM0.12m
4:25PM0.24m
5:07AM0.20m
5:16PM0.23m
5:43AM0.29m
6:05PM0.23m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:41
7:39
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:12
6:13
6:14
6:14
6:15
6:15
6:16
 mm
1
1
4
Temp °C
6
7
7
7
8
9
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
8
8
7
8
11
8
Feels °C
4
3
2
2
4
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
8
8
7
2
3
4
3
6
2
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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