Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 21 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SSW swell with 1,567 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, listen up. Rusty here.
It’s a bit of a slow start for the next week or so. We’ve got a long, drawn-out period of small, mostly messy surf ahead with very little to get excited about. The first real window of opportunity doesn’t show up until the 23rd of August, and even then, we’re talking about a window that’s really only for the brave.
Let’s start with the near-term. Friday the 14th through Sunday the 16th of August is uninspiring. We’re looking at weak, short-period swell from the SSE and ENE, with heights barely scraping 4 ft. The wind is a mess, mostly cross-shore and bumpy, with the combined energy of all swells being a weak 184 to 338 (moderate wave energy). The water is sitting at 50°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, but you won’t be feeling it with the wind on it. Bottom line: it’s poor surf all around.
Next week, from Monday the 17th through to Thursday the 20th, is a write-off. The swell stays tiny, rarely cracking 4 ft, and the period is short. The wind stays onshore or cross-shore, keeping the surface lumpy or choppy. The combined energy of all swells directed here is a measly 79 to 326 (weak to moderate wave energy). It’s a real flat spell.
Then we have a glimmer. Friday the 21st of August sees a jump in swell, but it’s a short-period, wind-driven 8 ft to 8 ft SW swell. The wind is a problem, though. Friday morning has a fresh breeze, but by Friday afternoon it’s a near gale. The combined energy of all swells directed here jumps to 635 to 804 (moderate wave energy). This is a mess.
The real standout, and the only one worth talking about, is Sunday the 23rd of August. This is the best on offer. A proper S swell at 13 ft with a long period of 11 seconds is predicted. The combined energy of all swells directed here is a massive 3940 (strong to very strong wave energy). The wind is forecast to be a clean cross-offshore breeze from the WSW. El Muelle is a beach/pier setup that is exposed to this swell direction, and the optimum swell direction is SSE, so this S swell is close. The conditions are predicted to be wind and tide favorable, but the note says the swell is too big for this break. At 13 ft, this is a heavy, expert-only mission. It’s a big, powerful groundswell that will be a sight to behold, but you’ll need to be a solid surfer to handle it. Expect crowds to be likely here.
After that, the surf drops back down. Monday the 24th of August still has a solid 8 ft S swell, but the wind is a little stronger. Tuesday the 25th of August is smaller and onshore. The last few days of the month, from the 26th to the 29th, we’re back to small, weak ENE swell with clean cross-offshore winds, but it’s very ordinary. The combined energy of all swells directed here is 90 to 285 (weak to moderate wave energy). It’s not worth the paddle.
So, if you’re an expert, circle Sunday the 23rd of August. For everyone else, it’s a waiting game until the next pulse.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Sat afternoon, light winds from the W by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | SW 7 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
288 | 154 | 121 | 97 | 159 | 177 | 244 | 260 | 216 | 185 | 212 | 125 | 100 | 68 | 46 | 45 | 59 | 106 | 125 | 168 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 8:18PM1.52m | 8:59AM1.09m | 9:11PM1.46m | 9:44AM1.15m | 10:01PM1.37m | 10:27AM1.19m | 10:52PM1.26m | 11:10AM1.21m | 11:42PM1.15m | 11:52AM1.21m | 00:34AM1.04m | 12:35PM1.19m | 1:29AM0.95m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:45AM0.07m | 3:31PM0.28m | 4:27AM0.12m | 4:25PM0.24m | 5:07AM0.20m | 5:16PM0.23m | 5:43AM0.29m | 6:05PM0.23m | 6:17AM0.38m | 6:54PM0.25m | 6:50AM0.46m | 7:42PM0.28m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | |
6:14 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
Feels °C | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
288 | 154 | 121 | 82 | 42 | 177 | 244 | 260 | 216 | 185 | 212 | 125 | 59 | 31 | 46 | 45 | 59 | 106 | 125 | 112 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 8 | — | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 |
18 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | 169 | 105 | 100 | 68 | 26 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 9 | — | — | — | S 8 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | SSE 7 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SE 7 | SSW 6 | S 6 | SE 12 | SE 12 |
— | 16 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 47 | 23 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 4 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | — | SW 2 | SW 3 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 6 | — | WSW 3 | WSW 4 | SW 7 |
32 | 51 | 79 | 97 | 159 | — | 1 | 6 | 64 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 34 | 168 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 79 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 109 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 526 | 544 | 34 | 824 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 43 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.











