El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 16 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.1° C
1.6° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with 5,067 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3PM (Tue 18th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 10s
Best Surf 3PM (Fri 21st Aug)11ft (3.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 3AM (Sun 23rd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for our little stretch of coast.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is mostly a write-off. We've got a long gap of disappointing conditions ahead. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, or both. Don't bother paddling out until we get to the back half of the month.

The first real flicker of hope shows up on Tuesday, the 18th of August, in the afternoon. We’re looking at a tiny 4ft swell out of the SSW, but the wind swings light and cross-offshore. That'll clean things right up. It's a wave, but it's a small one and nothing to write home about. The combined energy is weak (215).

Then we get another big dead spell all the way through.

The one date that truly stands out, and I mean stands out, is Friday, the 21st of August. The surf forecast is all over the shop, but if you're an expert, this is your window. We've got a serious 12ft swell from the SSW, but here's the kicker: the forecast says it might be too big for El Muelle and the wind is going to be a problem in the morning. The afternoon session on the 21st, however, gets a "wind and tide favorable" call. The combined wave energy is enormous (2587). This is a big, powerful, long-period groundswell (10 seconds). It's going to be a freight train. Most of us should sit this one out, but the brave and the skilled might score a beast.

Saturday the 22nd morning is also a giant 10ft SSW swell (1994 energy, 11-second period) and clean with a cross-offshore breeze, but again, it's flagged as potentially too big for the break. This is serious, heavy water.

After that, the surf drops and gets messy again until Monday the 24th of August morning when a cleaner but dropping 8ft S swell (1436 energy) shows up with cross-offshore wind. It's a marginal call, but better than the rest.

So, to wrap it up: unless you're an absolute charger, there's nothing worth paddling for until the 21st. That Friday and Saturday are the only real standouts, but they are for experts only.

Stay safe out there.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sun night, calm by Tue afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 4°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the S by Thu night).

Sun
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
9
1.1
ENE
9
1
ENE
9
1
ENE
10
0.9
ENE
9
0.8
ENE
10
0.6
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
9
0.5
ENE
9
0.4
ENE
9
0.4
ENE
8
3
SSW
8
3.5
SSW
9
3.5
SSW
10
3.5
SSW
11
3
SSW
11
3.5
SSW
11
4
SSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
293
294
211
181
201
121
108
65
45
44
43
30
28
1255
2205
2573
2721
1994
2779
4842
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
20
WSW
30
SSW
30
SSW
20
S
10
S
5
WSW
20
NNW
15
NW
15
NW
20
NNW
15
NNW
15
WSW
45
S
40
SSW
30
SW
25
W
30
W
40
SW
35
SSW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
10:01PM1.37m
10:27AM1.19m
10:52PM1.26m
11:10AM1.21m
11:42PM1.15m
11:52AM1.21m
00:34AM1.04m
12:35PM1.19m
1:29AM0.95m
1:20PM1.16m
2:29AM0.89m
2:11PM1.13m
Low Tide
4:25PM0.24m
5:07AM0.20m
5:16PM0.23m
5:43AM0.29m
6:05PM0.23m
6:17AM0.38m
6:54PM0.25m
6:50AM0.46m
7:42PM0.28m
7:22AM0.53m
8:34PM0.31m
7:57AM0.58m
9:31PM0.33m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:15
6:15
6:16
6:17
6:19
6:20
6:20
 mm
2
1
3
Temp °C
11
11
8
8
7
8
9
9
12
15
13
14
16
8
7
8
6
7
8
7
Feels °C
8
8
2
2
2
5
7
4
8
11
9
10
12
-1
-3
-1
-2
0
-2
-2
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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