El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and let’s talk about what’s heading our way. This is a long-range look, so we’ve got some patience needed, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get the blood pumping.

El Muelle is the only spot on the radar, and it’s an exposed beach/pier setup. The water temperature is sitting at 51°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing wild, but you might notice it’s a little more comfortable than usual.

Right now, we’re in a flat spell. The first decent chance comes in on Saturday the 29th of August. The morning session is small, with 3 ft from east-northeast at 9 seconds, and the breeze is offshore and light from the west-northwest. The combined energy is weak (166), so it’s not a day to paddle out expecting power. The afternoon glassed off with a light north breeze, and the swell picked up a touch of period (10 seconds) but stayed small. Still, it’s clean and rideable for a longboard. Not going to be a standout.

Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st are pretty poor – small swell, messy winds, and low energy. The next flicker of life comes on Wednesday the 2nd of September. The morning has 3 ft from east-northeast, 9 seconds, with a cross-off breeze from the north-northeast. The energy climbs to moderate (121), and it’s clean. The afternoon holds similar with a little more energy (144). It’s surfable but ordinary.

The first real standout window is Thursday the 3rd of September. The afternoon is the pick – 4 ft from east-northeast, 9 seconds, with a cross-off breeze from the north-northeast. The energy is now moderate (302), and the conditions are clean. That’s shaping up to be a solid session for an intermediate surfer.

Friday the 4th of September drops back off – small and messy. But then we get a big pulse of swell from the south-southwest on Saturday the 5th of September. The morning is 15 ft at 10 seconds, but the wind is howling from the southwest at 25 mph, creating a cross-shore mess. The energy is huge (4604), but it’s blown out. The afternoon gets even bigger (18 ft, 7037 energy), but the wind stays strong. This is not a paddle day – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday the 6th of September has a massive 16 ft south swell at 14 seconds, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy. The energy is enormous (9191), but the break is predicted to be too big for El Muelle. This is experts-only territory, and even then, the wind is not friendly.

Monday the 7th of September is still big (10 ft from south-southeast, 12 seconds) but the wind is cross-shore and the conditions are rough. Too big and messy for most.

Tuesday the 8th of September is the standout of the whole forecast. The morning brings 5 ft from east-southeast with a 12-second period, combined with a light cross-off breeze from the north. The energy is moderate (792) and the conditions are clean. The swell direction is from the east-southeast, which is close to the optimum south-southeast direction for this spot. These are well-shaped, high-energy groundswell waves, and the long period will make the paddling easier. For a beach/pier setup, this is a very good day – clean, punchy, and not too crowded for the occasional crowd.

Wednesday the 9th of September morning is still decent (4 ft from southeast, 11 seconds, cross-off breeze) but the afternoon drops off.

From there, the surf tapers off into small, weak conditions until Sunday the 13th of September. That morning brings 8 ft from the east at 11 seconds, with a light offshore from the northwest. The energy is strong (1754) and the wind is clean. This is a session for experienced surfers only – the swell is solid and the period is good, but it’s a big wave day for El Muelle. The afternoon gets cross-onshore and messy.

So, the two best bets: Thursday the 3rd of September afternoon for a solid, clean intermediate session, and Tuesday the 8th of September morning for the best overall quality – clean, long-period groundswell, and good energy. The big swell in early September is for experts and kite surfers only.

Rusty.

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