Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, S swell with 3,844 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for El Muelle.
First off, the water temp is sitting at 50°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little bonus if you’re paddling out.
The first half of this forecast period is a real struggle. We’ve got a long gap with next to nothing on offer. From Monday afternoon, August 17th, right through until the morning of Saturday, August 22nd, the surf is tiny and mostly messy. There’s a brief moment on Tuesday afternoon, August 18th, where the swell drops to 3ft from the ENE and the wind goes glassy. That’s a clean, small-wave window, but the energy is weak (203) and the waves will be pretty gutless. It’s a scrap for the log, but not much else.
Then things get properly ugly. From Friday, August 21st, a big SSW swell starts to build, but it’s pinned by awful cross-onshore winds. By Saturday, August 22nd, the swell is hitting 10ft from the SSW, and the combined energy is massive (1564), but it’s a raw, lumpy mess. The wind is a fresh cross-shore, and the wave comment says it’s actually too big for this break. That’s a no-go for paddle surfing—this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than a standard surfboard.
The real standout, the only true highlight in this whole 16-day window, is Monday morning, August 24th. We’ve got a 8ft long-period groundswell from the SSE at 13 seconds, cracking in with a massive 2402 combined energy. The wind is light and cross-offshore, meaning clean conditions. This is the day for experienced surfers only – that’s a lot of water moving. The only catch is that the swell is from the SSE, and optimum swell here is from the SSE, so the direction is spot on. The sets will be fat and powerful, with long waits between them. It’s going to be a serious session for the crew who know what they’re doing.
After that, the surf drops off sharply. The rest of the week into the end of August and the start of September is a desert of tiny, weak waves with poor conditions. Nothing else really fires.
In short: sit tight through the first week, then get ready for one big, clean morning on the 24th. After that, it’s back to the waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, strong winds from the S by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Sat afternoon, min 6°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu night, light winds from the SSW by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 7 | WSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | S 6 | S 8 | S 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 13 | SSE 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 156 | 172 | 115 | 70 | 76 | 43 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 300 | 391 | 885 | 1518 | 1670 | 1479 | 1491 | 1600 | 3165 | 2774 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | off | off | off | off | off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 10:52PM1.26m | 11:10AM1.21m | 11:42PM1.15m | 11:52AM1.21m | 00:34AM1.04m | 12:35PM1.19m | 1:29AM0.95m | 1:20PM1.16m | 2:29AM0.89m | 2:11PM1.13m | 3:34AM0.84m | 3:07PM1.12m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:43AM0.29m | 6:05PM0.23m | 6:17AM0.38m | 6:54PM0.25m | 6:50AM0.46m | 7:42PM0.28m | 7:22AM0.53m | 8:34PM0.31m | 7:57AM0.58m | 9:31PM0.33m | 8:40AM0.61m | 10:35PM0.34m | |||||||
 |  | |  | |  | | | | |  | |  | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — |
 | 6:15 | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Feels °C | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 4 | -2 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | WSW 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | S 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 8 | — | S 13 | SSE 13 |
| kJ | 136 | 124 | 115 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 18 | 130 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 3165 | 2774 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 7 | ENE 9 | SW 6 | NNE 4 | SE 8 | S 11 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 156 | 172 | 107 | 66 | 1 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSE 6 | — | SE 14 | SE 14 | SSW 7 | SSE 7 | SSW 6 | SE 12 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 24 | — | 7 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 7 | — | NW 3 | WSW 7 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | W 4 | SW 5 | S 6 | S 8 | S 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 10 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 132 | — | 4 | 76 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 49 | 300 | 391 | 885 | 1518 | 1670 | 1479 | 1491 | 1600 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 79 | 79 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1339 | 1186 | 483 | 1186 | 1123 | 43 | 221 | 221 | 44 | 221 | 79 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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