Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with 5,067 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for our little stretch of coast.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is mostly a write-off. We've got a long gap of disappointing conditions ahead. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, or both. Don't bother paddling out until we get to the back half of the month.
The first real flicker of hope shows up on Tuesday, the 18th of August, in the afternoon. We’re looking at a tiny 4ft swell out of the SSW, but the wind swings light and cross-offshore. That'll clean things right up. It's a wave, but it's a small one and nothing to write home about. The combined energy is weak (215).
Then we get another big dead spell all the way through.
The one date that truly stands out, and I mean stands out, is Friday, the 21st of August. The surf forecast is all over the shop, but if you're an expert, this is your window. We've got a serious 12ft swell from the SSW, but here's the kicker: the forecast says it might be too big for El Muelle and the wind is going to be a problem in the morning. The afternoon session on the 21st, however, gets a "wind and tide favorable" call. The combined wave energy is enormous (2587). This is a big, powerful, long-period groundswell (10 seconds). It's going to be a freight train. Most of us should sit this one out, but the brave and the skilled might score a beast.
Saturday the 22nd morning is also a giant 10ft SSW swell (1994 energy, 11-second period) and clean with a cross-offshore breeze, but again, it's flagged as potentially too big for the break. This is serious, heavy water.
After that, the surf drops and gets messy again until Monday the 24th of August morning when a cleaner but dropping 8ft S swell (1436 energy) shows up with cross-offshore wind. It's a marginal call, but better than the rest.
So, to wrap it up: unless you're an absolute charger, there's nothing worth paddling for until the 21st. That Friday and Saturday are the only real standouts, but they are for experts only.
Stay safe out there.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sun night, calm by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 4°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the S by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
293 | 294 | 211 | 181 | 201 | 121 | 108 | 65 | 45 | 44 | 43 | 30 | 28 | 1255 | 2205 | 2573 | 2721 | 1994 | 2779 | 4842 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 10:01PM1.37m | 10:27AM1.19m | 10:52PM1.26m | 11:10AM1.21m | 11:42PM1.15m | 11:52AM1.21m | 00:34AM1.04m | 12:35PM1.19m | 1:29AM0.95m | 1:20PM1.16m | 2:29AM0.89m | 2:11PM1.13m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:25PM0.24m | 5:07AM0.20m | 5:16PM0.23m | 5:43AM0.29m | 6:05PM0.23m | 6:17AM0.38m | 6:54PM0.25m | 6:50AM0.46m | 7:42PM0.28m | 7:22AM0.53m | 8:34PM0.31m | 7:57AM0.58m | 9:31PM0.33m | |||||||
— | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 12 | -1 | -3 | -1 | -2 | 0 | -2 | -2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SW 7 | SW 6 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | SSW 11 | NE 8 | — | — |
293 | 294 | 211 | 181 | 201 | 83 | 108 | 49 | 35 | 24 | 43 | 30 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 2721 | 3 | — | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SE 8 | WSW 5 | NNE 4 | E 12 | — | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | — | — |
13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 121 | 103 | 65 | 45 | 44 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 3 | — | 7 | 7 | 3 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SW 6 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | 2 | — | — | — | 26 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | SW 3 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | — | — | NNW 2 | NW 3 | — | N 3 | N 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | — | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 |
1 | 2 | 52 | 90 | 96 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 5 | 11 | 11 | 1255 | 2205 | 2573 | — | 1994 | 2779 | 4842 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 37 | 37 | 79 | 824 | 79 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1270 | 34 | 444 | 1339 | 1343 | 43 | 483 | 574 | 221 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.











