El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 am 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.4°C
1.8° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 13 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SSE swell with 1,318 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Mon 7th Sep)4ft (1.2m) 8s
Best Surf12AM (Sun 13th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Most Powerful 6AM (Sat 12th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s give it to you straight for our stretch of coast. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, so you gotta pick your moments. Right now, there’s a bit of a lull to start, but the ocean’s got some plans for later on.

This Monday morning at El Muelle (Cantabria) is where we kick things off. The water’s sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, about 50.7°. So that’s a little bonus. We’ve got a clean 3.9ft of swell rolling in from the southeast, and the wind’s blowing offshore from the northwest at 12 mph. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and lined up. The energy is a bit weak at 286, but for a Monday morning session, you could do a lot worse.

The afternoon cleans up a touch more, with a glassy surface and a slightly smaller 3ft from the southeast, but the period stretches out to 10 seconds, keeping some push in it. It’s a good, honest little day to get the shoulders warmed up.

Tuesday, though, it just fades away. Swell drops to nothing, down around 1.6ft in the morning and 1ft in the afternoon. The energy just dies, only hitting 93 and 65 respectively. The wind is offshore, but there’s nothing to ride. A couple of days to get other stuff done.

Wednesday brings a whisper of life back. A 2.3ft south swell at 15 seconds shows up with a moderate energy of 218. That long period is a sign of some distant groundswell, but it’s small and the afternoon changes the wind to a cross-offshore. It’s clean, but a bit average. Not a day to cancel plans for.

Thursday and Friday we are going to see a bit of a pulse, but it comes with messy conditions. Thursday turns glassy, but the swell stays small and mostly disorganized. Then Friday, the wind whips up from the southeast, howling at 25-28 mph and hitting the coast onshore. The swell does jump up a bit—from 3.6ft to 7.2ft—but with that wind on it, it’s going to be a washing machine out there. The energy starts getting serious at 460, but it’s useless for us. Saturday gets even worse; we’re looking at a 9.8ft southeast swell on the morning, but with a 22 mph onshore wind. The energy is pumping at 1229, but you’d need a death wish to paddle out in that. The afternoon drops to 8.2ft and goes cross-onshore, with a 997 energy. That’s not a surf day, that’s a stay-on-the-beach-and-watch day.

But hold on. Sunday the 13th is where it starts to get interesting. The wind swings around to a light offshore from the NNW, and that big, raw energy from the storm settles down into a clean 4.3ft of south swell, with a moderate 535 energy. The morning is looking clean. But the afternoon is the real standout. The wind comes from the north as a light cross-offshore, and the swell wraps in from the east at 4.6ft, with a 730 energy. It’s got some push and it’s going to be clean. This is the pick of the first week. El Muelle is a consistent beach/pier set-up, and it’s going to be firing on all cylinders.

Monday the 14th is still fun, but a notch down. The morning is a little uncertain, with some cloud cover and a 3.9ft east swell at 11 seconds. The wind is a cross-offshore from the NNW. It’s clean, but the tide might play a trick on you. The afternoon is better, with a solid 3.6ft and offshore NW wind at 16 mph, keeping the conditions clean. It’s a solid option.

Then we get to the big one. On Thursday the 17th, the ocean just goes off. The swell is massive, coming from the SSE. We’re talking 11.5ft of pure power, and the combined energy is a staggering 4445 in the morning and 4020 in the afternoon. The wind is light and cross-offshore, which would be perfect… but it’s simply too big for this spot. This is not a day for beginners; it’s only for the most experienced big-wave chargers. You’d be looking at a washing machine close to the pier. This is a boat day or a spectator day, not a paddle-out day.

After that, the week settles down. The surf drops back to a more manageable 5.2-6.2ft on Friday, but the wind is up again, keeping things a bit lumpy. It’s marginal. The weekend is a letdown, with weak, short-period swells and poor winds.

The long range, the second week, it just goes quiet. There’s a little blip on the morning of the 19th, with a clean 3ft south-southeast swell and a light offshore wind

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 3°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Tue night, light winds from the SW by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the SSE by Fri morning).

Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
3
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SE
8
0.9
SE
10
0.9
S
8
0.4
SE
10
0.3
S
12
0.4
S
11
0.7
S
15
0.6
S
13
0.7
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.5
SSW
10
0.5
SSW
10
1.1
S
4
2.2
S
7
2.5
S
8
3
SSE
8
2.5
SSE
8
1.6
S
8
1.3
S
9
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
211
154
115
33
25
40
205
115
94
51
54
54
43
440
923
1222
913
346
264
369
340
Wind (km/h)
20
NW
20
NNW
20
N
25
NNW
20
NNW
30
NNW
25
NW
15
WNW
10
WNW
10
WNW
5
SE
10
E
40
SSE
45
SSE
40
SSE
35
SSE
20
SSE
5
SE
10
NNW
15
N
30
N
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
glassy
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
3:00PM1.35m
4:15AM0.87m
4:10PM1.38m
5:18AM0.90m
5:16PM1.41m
6:13AM0.96m
6:16PM1.43m
7:02AM1.03m
7:12PM1.43m
7:47AM1.11m
8:03PM1.39m
8:29AM1.18m
8:53PM1.33m
Low Tide
10:48PM0.17m
9:48AM0.54m
11:56PM0.15m
11:12AM0.50m
00:56AM0.13m
12:26PM0.43m
1:47AM0.12m
1:29PM0.35m
2:32AM0.14m
2:25PM0.27m
3:13AM0.19m
3:16PM0.21m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:03
7:03
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:34
6:35
6:36
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:38
 mm
Temp °C
7
10
10
11
14
13
16
19
13
15
16
14
7
6
7
6
6
5
7
10
8
Feels °C
1
4
4
5
8
8
11
16
10
14
15
11
-2
-4
-2
-3
-1
1
3
5
2
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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