El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 am 26 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.5° C
1.9° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, E swell with 647 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Mon 27th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 10s
Best Surf 6PM (Mon 27th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 3PM (Sun 2nd Aug)7ft (2.1m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for El Muelle.

Alright, things are looking pretty quiet to start. For the next few days, there’s just not much to get excited about. Sunday through Tuesday we’ve got tiny, weak swell and cross-shore winds that are just making a mess of it. The water is sitting at 51°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only upside right now.

Wednesday morning, the 29th of July, we finally see a little something. The swell picks up to 4ft from the SSW, with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind goes glassy. That’s a big deal – clean conditions make everything better. The combined energy is moderate at best (203), but for a morning session, it’ll be rideable. Afternoon cleans up with a light offshore, but the swell drops off a bit.

Thursday and Friday, the wind turns against us again, and the swell gets messy. Not a good run.

Now, if you’ve got patience, the real action is way out in the second week. Tuesday, the 4th of August, is one to circle. We get a solid 8ft swell from the east, with a period stretching to 10 seconds, and it’s clean with a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is strong (1400). That’s a proper groundswell, and it’s going to be powerful. This is one for experienced surfers only – at 8ft, it’s too big for beginners. The morning is the pick, with excellent conditions.

Then Wednesday the 5th of August, the swell holds at 8ft but the period jumps to 13 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell. The energy is huge (2501). Offshore wind is blowing at 19 mph, which will keep the faces clean, but with that period, the waves will be lined up and powerful. Again, experts only. It’s a standout, but a challenging one.

After that, the swell slowly drops through the rest of the week, with cleaner conditions returning on Friday the 7th, but smaller again.

The best of the whole window? It’s a toss-up between Tuesday morning and Wednesday morning, August 4th and 5th. I’d lean toward Wednesday morning for the sheer power and the offshore wind, but if you’re after a bit more manageable size, Tuesday is your day. Both are for the experienced crew.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Mon morning, calm by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Thu afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
S
12
0.6
ENE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.8
SSW
7
0.9
SSW
8
0.9
SSW
9
0.7
SSW
9
0.6
SSW
8
1.2
SSW
8
1.1
SSW
8
0.9
SSW
8
0.9
SSW
7
1.7
SSW
8
1.5
SSW
8
1.4
S
9
0.9
S
8
1.2
NE
5
1.1
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
7
1.3
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
42
48
32
59
125
116
82
54
170
165
105
93
402
246
299
95
85
69
62
86
191
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
10
SSW
15
NNE
25
NNE
20
N
15
WSW
10
WSW
20
SSW
10
SE
5
SE
10
NNW
20
WSW
25
SSE
15
E
25
NE
20
NE
25
NE
15
NE
15
SSW
20
SW
20
SSW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-on
High Tide
4:40PM1.16m
5:57AM0.87m
5:30PM1.19m
6:44AM0.87m
6:19PM1.23m
7:27AM0.88m
7:05PM1.27m
8:07AM0.88m
7:49PM1.30m
8:43AM0.90m
8:30PM1.32m
9:18AM0.93m
9:11PM1.31m
Low Tide
10:16AM0.61m
00:06AM0.29m
11:11AM0.61m
1:02AM0.27m
12:09PM0.60m
1:53AM0.24m
1:05PM0.57m
2:39AM0.21m
1:57PM0.53m
3:22AM0.20m
2:45PM0.50m
4:02AM0.19m
3:31PM0.47m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:58
7:56
7:56
7:54
7:54
7:52
7:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:58
5:58
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:01
 mm
2
Temp °C
10
10
9
11
15
14
10
10
9
10
14
9
7
7
8
11
12
11
11
11
9
Feels °C
6
7
5
5
11
11
8
5
5
8
11
4
1
2
2
6
7
7
8
7
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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