El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming up for El Muelle.

Alright, the next two weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a pretty slow start, a real flat spell in the middle that'll test your patience, but then a proper pulse of swell arrives late in the game that could make it all worthwhile. The first week is mostly small and messy, but if you're keen on a sneaky session, Thursday morning has some potential. The real standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is the first weekend of August. That's the one to get excited about.

So, for the next few days, it's a bit of a grind. Wednesday, the 22nd, is a write-off with onshore wind and weak, short-period swell. The combined swell energy is a weak 122, so don't bother. Thursday the 23rd morning is our first real glimmer. It's a clean, clear morning with a light offshore breeze from the north. The swell is tiny, only 2 feet from the ENE with a period of 8 seconds, and the energy is still low at 117. It's surfable, but you'll be working for every wave. The afternoon gets a bit gusty. Friday the 24th is more of the same, small and messy for the most part, though the afternoon sees a spike in energy to 354 from a longer period, 14-second swell coming from the south, but it's still only 3 feet. Saturday morning the 25th is your best bet in this first stretch. Gentle offshore wind from the NNW, clean conditions, and a tiny 2 feet south swell with 11-second period. The energy is a low 135, so it's a longboard or a funboard session if you're desperate.

Then we hit a wall. From Sunday the 26th right through to the end of the month, the surf is pretty much non-existent. Sunday morning has a tiny clean wave, but it's barely breaking. There's a spike in wind on Monday afternoon that'll ruin anything. The 28th and 29th offer nothing of substance. The 30th and 31st are a bit of a tease with some energy but poor conditions, and the morning of the 31st even gets a "good" rating, but it's a short, 6-second period swell for 5 feet, so it'll be a bit of a lumpy mess. All in all, that's a solid week of waiting.

Now, the first of August is when things change. Saturday morning the 1st sees a solid 8 feet ENE groundswell arrive, with a 9-second period and a massive energy jump to 937. The wind is cross-off from the WNW, so it'll be clean. It's a big one, but the tide could be a factor. The afternoon, however, is the real winner. The same 8 feet swell from the ENE, the period is still 9 seconds, the energy rockets up to 2180, and the wind is gentler from the west. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. It's big, powerful, and clean. If you're not an expert, stay out of the water. This is a standout.

Sunday the 2nd of August keeps the fun going. The swell drops slightly to 7 feet from the east, but the period stretches to 11 seconds, giving it even more power. The wind is a moderate offshore from the NNW, making for a clean, well-shaped wave. The energy is 1096, and it's described as excellent for experienced surfers. Monday the 3rd is still good, with a 6 feet east swell and a gentle offshore wind, but it's a step down in size. The wind stays good for the rest of the week, but the swell slowly fades, so by Wednesday the 5th, it's back to marginal conditions.

The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing to write home about.

So, the pick of the fortnight is undoubtedly the afternoon of Saturday the 1st of August through to Sunday the 2nd at El Muelle. It's big, powerful, clean, and for the experienced crew only. It's also a beach/pier setup, so with that size and the long period, keep an eye on how it's breaking. It might be a bit too straight for the beach, but the pier could offer a better line. The crowds are listed as "sometimes", so with a swell this good, you can expect plenty of company. Get on it if you've got the skills.

Rusty.

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