El Muelle Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° S 57.86° W

El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 am 31 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Muelle sea temperature is
10.6°C
2.0° 

El Muelle surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Muelle surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SSE swell with 1,331 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:

The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 9s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Wed 2nd Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Best Surf 6AM (Fri 4th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 10s
Most Powerful12AM (Sun 6th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, ol' mate Rusty here. Let's cut through the noise and talk about what's on offer.

It's a bit of a slow start for us, with the first week looking pretty grim. We’ve got a lot of small, weak energy and wind that just won't play nice. The water’s sitting at 51°F at the start, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so that's something.

For the first few days, from the 31st of August through to the 6th of September, it's a write-off. The swell is tiny, the period is short, and the wind is mostly cross or onshore. On the 5th, the swell bumps up to 6 ft from the SW, but the wind is a fresh 30 km/h from the SSW, which just turns it into a lumpy mess. It's not worth paddling out for.

There’s a bit of a gap there, but things finally start to look up on the 7th of September. The Monday morning at El Muelle is a real standout. We've got a glassy 4 ft swell from the SE with a 10-second period, and the wind is a light Easterly at 5 km/h. The combined energy is moderate (394), and the conditions are clean. This is your window for a proper session.

After that, it drops right back off again. The 8th, 9th, and 10th are all poor with small waves and lousy wind. But then, the real gem of the outlook pops up on the 11th of September. Friday morning and afternoon at El Muelle are looking very good. The swell is 5 ft to 6 ft from the SSW, with a 9-second period, and the wind is light and offshore (NW) or variable. The combined energy jumps up to strong (556 to 862). This is a solid, clean swell with good shape. The rest of the 16-day run on the 12th, 13th, and 14th is marginal at best, with small, ordinary waves.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total dud. Your best bet is the glassy morning of the 7th of September, but the real standout is the 11th of September, with the SSW swell and clean offshore winds. If you can wait, that's the day to be on the water.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 11°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
ENE
8
0.7
ENE
8
0.7
ENE
9
0.6
ENE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.8
SW
7
0.6
ENE
8
0.6
ENE
8
0.7
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
9
0.9
ENE
10
1.1
S
7
1
SSW
7
1.4
SSW
6
1.9
SW
8
2.5
S
8
3
SSE
9
2.1
SSE
9
1.9
SE
8
1.5
SE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
64
62
67
55
39
57
57
57
64
82
106
184
124
105
136
479
853
1331
669
523
390
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
10
SSW
10
SSW
10
WNW
10
SW
5
NNE
20
NNE
15
NE
15
W
20
WSW
25
SSW
15
SW
15
W
15
SSW
20
WSW
25
SW
30
SW
30
SSE
25
SSE
20
SE
10
ESE
Wind State
off
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
on
on
on
on
High Tide
9:13AM1.09m
9:32PM1.28m
9:48AM1.17m
10:18PM1.23m
10:27AM1.23m
11:05PM1.17m
11:09AM1.28m
11:57PM1.09m
11:56AM1.31m
00:53AM1.01m
12:50PM1.33m
1:57AM0.93m
1:52PM1.34m
Low Tide
3:55PM0.30m
4:34AM0.31m
4:42PM0.24m
5:07AM0.37m
5:30PM0.20m
5:39AM0.43m
6:22PM0.17m
6:11AM0.48m
7:19PM0.17m
6:46AM0.52m
8:23PM0.17m
7:31AM0.55m
9:34PM0.18m
cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:15
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
7:07
7:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:28
6:29
6:30
6:30
6:31
6:31
6:32
 mm
1
2
2
3
3
6
Temp °C
15
16
11
13
16
11
9
13
13
11
11
8
10
11
10
8
7
7
6
7
6
Feels °C
12
14
7
9
13
7
4
10
11
7
5
3
6
7
6
1
-1
-1
-1
1
1
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.

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