Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, S swell with 450 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at El Muelle.
Honestly, we’re looking at a pretty grim start to the forecast. The first week is a real write-off for surf, with nothing worth paddling out for until the tail end of the month. You’ll be staring at flat, choppy, or onshore junk for most of July. The first real chance of a wave doesn’t show up until Friday the 24th, and even then, it’s just ordinary conditions with small, weak swell.
The real standout, the one that’s got my heart racing, is Wednesday the 29th. This is the only time in the whole run that feels like a proper surf day. We’re looking at a solid 8ft (SSE) swell rolling in the morning, with a period of 10 seconds, pumping a massive 1483 units of combined energy. That’s serious power. The wind is offshore from the NW, so the lineup should be clean. Be warned, this is expert territory – the swell is well over 8ft, so don’t even think about it if you’re not comfortable in solid, powerful surf. The afternoon eases to 8ft but stays just as clean. This is the day to circle.
Thursday the 30th will still have some clean, offshore waves, but the size drops back to 4ft, so it’s more manageable for intermediates, but the real magic is gone.
Water temp at El Muelle is sitting at 51°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a slightly thinner wetsuit than usual.
It’s a long wait, but that Wednesday the 29th is a gem. Everything else is a pass.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri morning, fresh winds from the S by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon night. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | S 9 | SSW 9 | S 9 | E 5 | E 5 | ESE 6 | SSE 6 | ENE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 75 | 101 | 183 | 142 | 179 | 160 | 154 | 161 | 145 | 450 | 248 | 153 | 90 | 114 | 179 | 160 | 207 | 190 | 153 | 153 | 109 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 8:31PM1.59m | 9:23AM1.03m | 9:26PM1.55m | 10:13AM1.06m | 10:20PM1.46m | 11:02AM1.10m | 11:14PM1.35m | 11:50AM1.12m | 00:08AM1.23m | 12:37PM1.14m | 1:04AM1.11m | 1:23PM1.15m | 2:03AM1.01m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:40PM0.40m | 4:08AM-0.02m | 3:42PM0.36m | 4:57AM0.03m | 4:41PM0.32m | 5:43AM0.10m | 5:37PM0.30m | 6:25AM0.19m | 6:33PM0.30m | 7:05AM0.29m | 7:27PM0.30m | 7:42AM0.38m | 8:20PM0.31m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | |  |  |  | | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | 8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:03 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — |
 | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — |
mm | — | — | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | S 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SSE 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 9 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 11 | 40 | 183 | 142 | 179 | 160 | 154 | 161 | 145 | 107 | 248 | 153 | 90 | 72 | 56 | 160 | 207 | 190 | 117 | 153 | 109 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | E 11 | S 8 | E 10 | S 15 | S 13 | SW 4 | S 10 | E 6 | — | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | SE 8 | SSW 6 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 17 | 22 | 34 | 32 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 5 | — | 111 | 85 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 76 | 28 | 37 | 153 | 116 | 65 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | E 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 12 | S 12 | E 5 | — | SE 5 | — | S 8 | S 10 | S 12 | — | S 11 | S 11 | S 12 | S 10 | SSW 8 |
| kJ | 20 | 17 | 33 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 11 | 5 | — | 23 | — | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | 9 | 2 | 24 | 32 | 21 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | — | — | SW 4 | SSE 4 | S 5 | S 5 | S 9 | — | SE 5 | E 5 | E 5 | ESE 6 | SSE 6 | S 6 | SE 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 75 | 101 | — | — | — | 8 | 12 | 48 | 81 | 450 | — | 19 | 77 | 114 | 179 | 130 | 104 | 82 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 454 | 524 | 79 | 43 | 79 | 79 | 910 | 565 | 452 | 910 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 616 | 79 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.
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