
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 10s period, ESE swell with 598 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 1.7m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
G’day, I’m Rusty. Alright, let’s be straight with you: the outlook for the next 16 days is a bit of a mixed bag, and honestly, there’s a lot of mediocrity to wade through. The best session in the whole window is a short-lived window, and after that, the surf turns pretty average for a long stretch.
We’re looking at El Muelle (beach/pier) for the whole forecast. The water is sitting at 51°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a big deal, but you’ll notice it’s a bit more comfortable than usual.
The only real standout comes on the morning of Monday, July 13. We’ve got a clean-looking setup with a 4ft swell rolling in from the ESE at a nice 12-second period. The combined energy is moderate (388), and the wind is light and offshore from the NNW, so the face should be glassy and the waves will have some shape. This is a groundswell, so the gaps between sets will be a bit longer, making the paddle out a little easier. This is the pick of the bunch – get it while it’s good.
The rest of the first week is a write-off. Thursday July 9 through to Sunday July 12 are all poor surf conditions, with a mix of cross-on to onshore winds and sub-3ft swell. The combined energy is weak to moderate (277 to 482), but the wind state just ruins it.
After that Monday morning session, the surf drops off sharply. From Monday afternoon July 13 right through to the end of the window on July 24, the options are either marginal or poor. The swell size stays small, the period drops short, and the wind is almost always cross-on or onshore.
There’s a brief pulse on the 20th and 21st of July with a 6ft to 6ft swell from the S and SSE, but the wind is a fresh cross-shore or cross-onshore, so it’s just a choppy, messy mess. The combined energy gets up to moderate (504), but the quality is poor. For a spot like this, with a beach/pier setup and that much wind, it’s honestly more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.
For the rest of the second week, from July 22 onwards, the swell drops back to 2ft to 5ft, period is short, and the wind stays onshore. It’s a long, dry spell. The surf is just not good enough to recommend.
So, for the whole 16-day window: your one clear window is the morning of Monday, July 13. After that, it’s a long run of poor conditions. That’s the reality of it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 10°C on Fri night, min 8°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 11 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 14 | E 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | WSW 8 | SW 6 | SW 6 | NE 4 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
220 | 223 | 206 | 522 | 353 | 296 | 218 | 447 | 350 | 294 | 217 | 371 | 256 | 222 | 164 | 150 | 77 | 66 | 31 | 20 | 12 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:31AM1.07m | 2:39PM1.21m | 3:38AM1.03m | 3:36PM1.30m | 4:44AM1.01m | 4:36PM1.39m | 5:46AM1.00m | 5:36PM1.47m | 6:45AM0.99m | 6:36PM1.54m | 7:40AM1.00m | 7:34PM1.59m | 8:32AM1.01m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:40PM0.30m | 8:43AM0.48m | 9:44PM0.23m | 9:24AM0.52m | 10:53PM0.15m | 10:13AM0.53m | 00:05AM0.08m | 11:14AM0.53m | 1:13AM0.02m | 12:23PM0.50m | 2:17AM-0.02m | 1:34PM0.46m | 3:14AM-0.03m | ||||||||
— | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:03 | |
5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — | 5:50 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 14 |
Feels °C | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 11 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 14 | E 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | E 10 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 |
220 | 223 | 206 | 522 | 353 | 296 | 218 | 447 | 350 | 294 | 217 | 371 | 256 | 222 | 164 | 150 | 77 | 49 | 31 | 20 | 5 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 14 | SSE 7 | S 13 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | S 11 | SSE 6 | S 6 | S 7 | W 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ESE 10 | E 8 | S 9 |
10 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 50 | 210 | 46 | 28 | 66 | 65 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | S 14 | SSW 8 | S 9 | SSW 8 | ESE 15 | SE 7 | SSW 8 | S 10 | SSW 9 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 13 | S 12 | SW 6 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 10 | E 7 |
10 | 4 | 19 | 7 | 21 | 126 | 54 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 7 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 7 | — | — | NNW 2 | N 3 | NNE 5 | N 5 | N 5 | NW 3 | WSW 8 | — | NE 3 | NE 4 |
37 | 100 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | 71 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 54 | 77 | 45 | 6 | 66 | — | 9 | 12 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 444 | 524 | 463 | 79 | 34 | 79 | 79 | 79 | 59 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 79 | 443 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 1204 | 1239 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.











