El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer at El Muelle.

To be honest, the first week and a half or so is pretty flat and messy. From Sunday morning the 12th right through to the morning of Wednesday the 22nd, it’s mostly poor surf conditions with onshore or cross-shore winds and weak, choppy waves. There’s a few windows where the wind goes clean and cross-offshore, like Monday morning the 13th with a 4ft easterly swell at 12 seconds, but the scores are still marginal. The combined energy sits around 453 (moderate) on that Monday morning, but it’s not enough to get excited about. A couple of afternoons around the 14th and 15th have clean conditions but the swell drops to under 3ft, so it’s really just small and ordinary. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Now, the real standout comes on Thursday morning the 24th. That’s when we see a solid pulse of 10ft swell from the south-southwest, with a short period of 8 seconds, and the wind is light and cross-off from the west-northwest. The combined energy rockets up to 1105 (very strong wave energy). Now, this is a big one – 10ft is far too big for beginners, and even for most intermediates that’s heavy. This is one for the experts only. The break is a beach/pier setup, so with that short-period, steep swell, it’ll be powerful and dumping. The following afternoon, Friday the 24th, is still excellent for experienced surfers: 8ft from the south, glassy conditions with light northwesterly wind, and combined energy of 1038 (very strong). That Friday afternoon glassy session is pure quality – clean, head-high plus, and no wind bump. Crowds are possible here, as it’s a consistent spot that’s exposed to the swell, but with sizes that big, the lineup will thin out.

Saturday morning the 25th offers another good session: 5ft from the south, 8 seconds, light offshore wind, and combined energy of 652 (strong). That’s still a solid wave for experienced surfers, clean and punchy. As we head into Sunday the 26th, the swell holds around 5ft to 6ft, with clean conditions and light offshore or cross-off winds, and combined energy in the 533 to 690 range (strong). That Sunday is a great run of surf for those who can handle it.

The last few days of the outlook, Monday the 27th, get messy again with strong onshore winds, so the window closes. The best of the whole 16 days is hands-down the Thursday to Friday (24th and 25th) – that’s a proper swell with clean, glassy conditions for the experts. If you’re a strong paddler, don’t miss it.

Rusty.

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