El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what El Muelle has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, not going to lie.

The big news is actually right now. We’ve got a solid pulse of groundswell hitting the coast today and tomorrow. This is a proper southeast swell pushing in. On Tuesday the 25th, we’re seeing waves around 5 ft from the SSE with a period of 10 seconds, so there’s some decent energy in the water (493). The wind is a cross-offshore from the north, and it’s blowing at 12 mph, which should keep things fairly clean for a beach/pier setup. It’s not perfect, but it’s rideable.

The real standout of the week looks to be Wednesday the 26th. The swell ramps up a notch – we’re talking 6 ft from the SE with a 15-second period. That's a proper long-period groundswell, pumping some serious energy into the water (1697). The wind is still cross-off from the NNE at 12 mph. This is going to produce some meaty, well-shaped waves. It’s a bit big for beginners, but for any intermediate and above, this is the session to target. The afternoon on the 26th will still be good, coming in at 6 ft, but the energy drops slightly to 1355. Thursday morning the 27th cleans right up with lighter westerly winds and the swell still a fun 4 ft.

After that, things really wind down. We’ve got a long run of small, weak surf starting from the 28th of August. For Friday the 28th, the swell drops to under 3 ft. The highlight of this period is Friday afternoon – the wind goes completely calm, and we get a glassy 3 ft wave from the ENE. It’s small, but if you want some clean, uncrowded fun on a log or a fish, that’s your window. From Saturday the 29th all the way through to the 1st of September, it’s just tiny. We’re looking at 3 ft to 3 ft waves from the ENE with periods around 9 seconds. The energy is weak, with values like 105 to 128. It’s basically flat with a ripple in the water.

There’s a bit of a hopeful bump on the 2nd of September with a fresh offshore wind, but the swell is still tiny. The next real change comes on the 3rd of September, but it’s bad news. We get a jump in size to 6 ft from the SSW, but it’s a short-period, wind-affected mess (7-second period, 376 energy). By the afternoon, the wind is a near gale hitting 34 mph from the SSW. That’s a blow-out. The following few days continue that theme: lumpy, onshore, and not worth the hassle with winds over 18 mph.

The tail end of the forecast around the 7th and 8th of September looks like more of the same small, clean but weak conditions. The morning of the 7th might offer a tiny clean wave if the wind holds, but it’s nothing to get excited about. The 9th of September shows a bit more energy (305) from the ENE with a 10-second period and a gentle cross-shore, but it’s still marginal.

Best Bet: Without a doubt, get out for Wednesday the 26th of August. The southeast swell at 6 ft with a 15-second period and a manageable cross-offshore wind will be the best waves of the whole outlook. Aim for the morning session. The water temperature anomaly isn’t given here, so we’ll just say it feels like a normal late summer water temp.

If you can’t make Wednesday, the glassy Friday afternoon the 28th is your only other clean option for a surf, even though it’s tiny.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty.

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