
Surf Forecasts:
El Muelle surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 9s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, SW swell with 3,784 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Muelle this week:
The surf forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Muelle in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Muelle over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for El Muelle over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming up. The early part of the week shapes up nicely with some clean, fun-sized waves and good winds, but then things get wild. Towards the end of the first week and into the second, we’re looking at a massive pulse of swell that’s simply too big for this spot to handle. It’s a real shame, because the energy is there, but it’ll be a close-out mess. After that, it fades away into tiny, poor conditions.
The Best of It
The standout window is Monday, August 3rd. Sunday morning the 2nd is a decent warm-up, but Monday is where it’s at. We’ve got a solid 5ft swell rolling in from the SSE, with a period of 10 seconds, giving it some punch. The combined wave energy is a solid moderate (556). The real magic though, is the wind. Monday morning is a clean cross-offshore breeze from the north at just 3 mph, and then Monday afternoon turns absolutely glassy with calm, zero wind. That’s as good as it gets for clean conditions. The water’s sitting at 51°F, which is a couple of degrees warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a nice bonus.
The Full Breakdown
Sunday, August 2nd: A gentle start. The morning offers 3ft swell from the ENE with a cross-offshore breeze. It’s surfable and clean, but nothing to write home about. The afternoon goes a bit more marginal with a cross-shore wind and a small 2ft swell.
Monday, August 3rd: This is the call. As I said, 5ft of SSE swell, and the wind is a dream. Morning is a clean cross-off, and the afternoon goes dead calm and glassy. The combined energy is ramping up well (575). This is the session to aim for.
Tuesday, August 4th: Still a good option. The swell drops a touch to 4ft from the SE, but the wind is offshore in the morning and glassy in the afternoon. Very clean, user-friendly waves.
Wednesday, August 5th: The swell is fading fast, down to 2ft in the morning and 2ft in the afternoon. The winds are good, offshore and glassy, so it’s a clean little wave, but you’ll be working for it.
Thursday, August 6th to Friday, August 7th: Things go flat and poor. The swell drops to tiny 1ft with weak energy, and the wind is up. Friday afternoon gets a bit crazy though – a 10ft swell from the WSW shows up, but it’s accompanied by a near gale-force wind of 34 mph. Just a messy, blown-out situation. Not for paddling.
Saturday, August 8th to Tuesday, August 12th: This is the big, ugly stretch. The swell pumps up to 13ft from the SW on Saturday morning, with a combined energy of 2926, and it stays huge through to Tuesday. The problem is, the forecasts say it’s simply too big for this break. The crowd factor is also a "sometimes" issue here, but with this size, it’s only for absolute experts, and even they’ll be struggling. The wind is either fresh or strong, so it’s going to be a washing machine. This setup is honestly more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle surfers.
Wednesday, August 13th to Friday, August 15th: The swell finally starts to drop back, but the conditions are still "marginal." We’re looking at 4ft to 5ft swell from the SSE, with clean offshore winds in the mornings. The energy is moderate (750 down to 379). It’s surfable, but the quality is questionable, likely due to tides. It’s not the same as the clean Monday session.
Saturday, August 16th onwards: The window closes. The swell drops to 2ft and smaller, with weak energy. The wind is still around, but the waves are just about gone. The last few days of the forecast show tiny, poor surf.
So, the call is clear: Monday, August 3rd is the standout. Get in the water early or enjoy the glassy afternoon. After that, it’s a long wait for the big stuff to pass, and then a trickle of smaller, average waves to finish.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, near gales from the WSW by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ENE 7 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | WSW 7 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SW 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
135 | 104 | 505 | 502 | 523 | 453 | 261 | 217 | 154 | 84 | 67 | 39 | 20 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 912 | 3315 | 2926 | 2199 | 2967 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | off | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:51AM0.97m | 9:52PM1.29m | 10:25AM1.02m | 10:35PM1.26m | 11:01AM1.07m | 11:21PM1.20m | 11:40AM1.13m | 00:12AM1.14m | 12:24PM1.19m | 1:09AM1.07m | 1:13PM1.24m | 2:12AM1.00m | 2:10PM1.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:16PM0.43m | 5:15AM0.25m | 5:01PM0.39m | 5:48AM0.30m | 5:46PM0.35m | 6:20AM0.37m | 6:35PM0.30m | 6:50AM0.43m | 7:28PM0.26m | 7:21AM0.49m | 8:28PM0.22m | 7:57AM0.53m | 9:36PM0.18m | ||||||||
7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | |
— | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 11 |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
Feels °C | 5 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | -1 | -2 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | SSW 7 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SW 6 | ENE 7 | NE 5 | ENE 7 | — | — | — | SSE 10 |
135 | 57 | 505 | 502 | 523 | 453 | 261 | 217 | 154 | 84 | 67 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 | — | — | — | 335 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | SW 6 | ENE 6 | S 9 | — | — | — | — |
73 | 100 | 75 | 45 | 50 | 40 | 28 | 26 | 16 | 23 | 39 | 39 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 6 | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | S 12 | SW 6 | ENE 5 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | WSW 4 | SW 6 | NNE 3 | WSW 5 | SW 7 | SW 6 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — |
59 | 104 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | — | — | — | WSW 5 | — | N 3 | W 3 | — | — | — | ENE 7 | NE 5 | W 4 | WSW 7 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SW 10 |
— | 2 | 18 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | 34 | 35 | 23 | 912 | 3315 | 2926 | 2199 | 2967 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 910 | 1111 | 1111 | 43 | 182 | 524 | 157 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Provincia de Buenos Aires | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Argentina | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Muelle Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Muelle provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Muelle can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Muelle surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Muelle) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Muelle may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Provincia de Buenos Aires? If you are looking for accommodation near El Muelle, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Provincia de Buenos Aires, consider staying in Mar del Plata which is 41 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Provincia de Buenos Aires where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Quequen which is 79 km (49 miles) away and Necochea, 84 km (52 miles) away.











