El Muelle Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, mate, Rusty here. Gotta say, lookin' at the charts for the next couple of weeks, it's a tale of two halves. The first week is all about snatching a few clean windows, while the second week is a whole lot of nothing really worth paddling out for. Let’s break it down.

The stand-out of the whole forecast is El Muelle. This exposed beach/pier set-up is a bit of a dark horse, and it's the only spot that's got any real consistency. The water's sitting around average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We kick off Tuesday the 8th with a small, clean day. A 2 ft S swell is running, pushed by a moderate offshore breeze from the NNW. The swell energy is weak (108), but the conditions are clean. The morning is the better bet, with those offshore winds grooming what’s out there. The 12-second period on the afternoon is a bit long for the beach break, so it might be a little too straight, but it's still surfable.

Wednesday the 9th looks very similar. Another 2 ft S groundswell, but this time the period is a proper 15 seconds. That’s a long period, which means more energy (170) and better shaped waves. The wind stays light offshore from the NW, so it’ll be glassy and clean. The long period might make it a bit tricky at the pier, but the points and reefs would be loving it. This is a solid morning session.

Thursday the 10th is the pick of the first week. The swell drops to 2 ft from the SSW, but the wind goes glassy in the afternoon. The wave energy is weak (90), but you can’t beat a glassy surface. The morning is still clean with a light offshore breeze. It’s small, but it’ll be perfect for a log or a funboard.

Now, Friday the 11th through Sunday the 12th is a write-off. The wind cranks up from the SSE, smashing the swell into a lumpy mess. The swell does push up to 10 ft on Friday afternoon, but with 25 mph winds and a 7-second period, it’s a complete washing machine. The combined energy hits 898, which is strong, but it’s all wind-slop. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddling.

After that stormy mess, Sunday the 13th offers a glimmer of hope. The swell drops to a clean 4 ft from the SSE, and the wind swings to a light WNW cross-offshore. The energy is moderate (392), and the conditions are clean. It’s a one-off, though, and the afternoon gets messy again.

The following week is a desert. From Monday the 14th right through to the end of the forecast on the 23rd of September, the surf is mostly small, weak, and either blown out or just too ordinary. There are a few moments on the 17th of September (Thursday) where the afternoon looks clean with a 4 ft S swell and light winds, but the energy is only moderate (229). It’s the only real option in that second week, and it’s a long way off, so don’t hold your breath. The rest of the time, the swell is below 3 ft, the period is short, and the wind is all over the place. It’s a proper flat spell, which is unusual for this spot, but it happens.

Overall, if you want a wave, nail the mornings of the 8th, 9th, and especially the 10th. Everything else is a gamble.

Rusty.

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