El Chinchorro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for El Chinchorro.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but don’t write the week off just yet. The first few days from Saturday the 25th through Monday the 27th are looking pretty marginal. There’s some SW swell rolling in, but it’s nothing to write home about—around 3ft to 4ft with moderate energy levels (721 to 888). The wind is light offshore, which is a good sign, but the wave quality just isn’t there for a proper session. You’ll be waiting for the sets to line up more than you’ll be riding them.

Now, Tuesday morning the 28th is where things get interesting. This is a real standout. We’ve got a clean 5ft SW swell with a solid 15-second period, and the wind is glassy. That’s a rare combo. The combined energy hits 1205, so you’ll feel the push. The water temp is 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—nothing crazy, but it’s a nice little bonus. The break is exposed to the SW, and that’s exactly where the swell is coming from, so it’s going to be well-shaped and consistent. Just a heads up, it’s a beginner-friendly spot, but at this size and with that period, it’s really for the experienced crew. If you’re a beginner, it might be a bit punchy.

After that, Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th see the swell bump up to 6ft but the wind shifts to a light offshore cross, and the quality drops back to marginal. The energy is still there (1248 on Wednesday), but it’s not as clean as Tuesday.

We hit a bit of a lull from Friday the 31st of July into the weekend. The swell drops to 3ft–4ft, though the wind goes glassy again on Friday morning and Sunday morning. If you’re itching for a glide, those are your best bets for a clean but small wave.

Then things get interesting again in the second week. Monday the 4th of August brings a nice 5ft SW swell with moderate energy (1040), and the wind is light offshore. It’s not the biggest, but it’s clean. Tuesday the 5th of August sees a jump to 7ft with a 15-second period, and the energy surges to 2621. That’s a proper groundswell. The wind is still offshore, so it’ll be powerful and lined up. But at 7ft, it’s getting into expert territory—definitely not for beginners.

The 9th of August is a monster. The forecast shows 10ft SSW swell with a 15-second period, and the energy is a massive 3953. The wind is light offshore, so it’s going to be pumping. But here’s the thing—the data says it’s too big for this break. Unless you’ve got a death wish and a gun, give it a miss. It’s a full-on big-wave session for the elite.

Overall, your best bet is Tuesday morning the 28th of July. Glassy, clean, 5ft SW, and the break is dialed in. If you’re after a bigger, more powerful session, circle Tuesday the 5th of August—but be ready for a serious paddle.

Rusty.

Read more