Surf Forecasts:
Chicama - El Cape / Keys surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period, SSW swell with 581 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Chicama - El Cape / Keys this week:
The surf forecast for Chicama - El Cape / Keys over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Chicama - El Cape / Keys in the next 16 days are 1.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (-05) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Chicama - El Cape / Keys over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Yo, Rusty here. Let's talk about the only spot on the menu, Chicama - El Cape / Keys. It's a point break, beginner-friendly, and fairly consistent, but this forecast is a bit of a grind.
Right now, we're looking at a stretch of poor surf conditions that lasts from the start of the forecast through to the end of July. The onshore wind is the main culprit, blowing from the SSE and S, mostly 9-16 mph, which is just wrecking the surface. The swell is there – a solid SW groundswell with a period around 12-14 seconds, pushing combined energy in the moderate range (450-614). But with that wind, it's all chop and no shape. The water temp is a balmy 70°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won't be cold while you're getting blown off the face.
The first real glimmer of hope pops up on Saturday, July 25th. The morning session sees a light breeze, 6 mph from the S, and the swell drops a touch to 5 ft from the SSW with a 9-second period. The combined energy is still strong (740), and the wind is just light enough to maybe make it rideable. The model calls it marginal, but for a longboard or a funboard, that morning window might be your best shot. Lighter winds also show on Sunday, July 26th morning, with a clean 4 ft SSW swell and a nice 11-second period, but the energy is a bit lower (613). It's still a marginal call.
Now, look further out to Wednesday, July 29th. The swell bumps up to 5-5 ft from the SW, with a very long period of 15 seconds. That's a proper groundswell. The combined energy skyrockets to 1193-1246, pumping some serious power. But the wind is still onshore at 9-16 mph. For a point break like this, a long period SW swell is the dream, but only if the wind cooperates. That day is a big "if" – it's a promising setup, but the wind is a deal-breaker as it stands. Keep an eye on it, because if that wind shifts, El Cape could turn on.
So, the honest truth? There's a lot of waiting for a clean window. The best bet is the early morning of July 25th, when the wind is lightest. For the rest, it's a game of patience. Get yourself a log and be ready for the early sessions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 20°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SSW 10 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 453 | 299 | 444 | 495 | 205 | 488 | 535 | 529 | 543 | 513 | 435 | 341 | 306 | 292 | 560 | 511 | 433 | 268 | 177 | 286 | 320 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:10PM1.17m | 5:19AM1.50m | 5:03PM1.17m | 6:06AM1.51m | 5:55PM1.16m | 6:50AM1.49m | 6:48PM1.14m | 7:33AM1.43m | 7:42PM1.09m | 8:15AM1.34m | 8:40PM1.04m | 8:56AM1.23m | 9:44PM1.00m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:46AM0.38m | 10:37PM-0.04m | 11:36AM0.34m | 11:25PM-0.03m | 12:24PM0.32m | 00:11AM0.03m | 1:11PM0.32m | 00:56AM0.14m | 1:57PM0.32m | 1:42AM0.27m | 2:44PM0.34m | 2:29AM0.40m | 3:31PM0.37m | 3:21AM0.54m | |||||||
 | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 |
Feels °C | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | WSW 13 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 453 | 299 | 444 | 495 | 205 | 488 | 535 | 529 | 543 | 513 | 435 | 341 | 306 | 292 | 560 | 511 | 433 | 268 | 177 | 118 | 320 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | SW 16 | S 8 | SW 9 | SW 14 | W 11 | W 11 | SW 22 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | — | SW 17 | WSW 18 | S 6 | SW 16 | S 6 | S 6 | W 21 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 3 | 91 | 18 | 3 | 195 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 35 | — | 46 | 31 | 22 | 67 | 50 | 33 | 8 | 40 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 12 | W 12 | W 12 | W 12 | W 12 | W 19 | — | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | NW 10 | W 10 | W 17 | — | NW 10 | WSW 16 | W 22 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | W 21 | W 20 |
| kJ | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | — | 4 | 26 | 9 | 85 | 134 | 8 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 4 | S 4 | S 4 | S 4 | S 7 | SSE 3 | S 4 | S 4 | S 4 | S 4 | S 5 | S 6 | S 6 | — | S 6 | — | — | SSW 10 | S 6 |
| kJ | 44 | 57 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 31 | 22 | — | 29 | — | — | 286 | 41 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 493 | 2 | 2 | 257 | 2 | 2 | 541 | 2 | 56 | 563 | 2 | 2 | 563 | 2 | 257 | 257 | 2 | 2 | 257 | 2 |
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Information about the Chicama - El Cape / Keys Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Chicama - El Cape / Keys provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Chicama - El Cape / Keys can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Chicama - El Cape / Keys surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Chicama - El Cape / Keys) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Chicama - El Cape / Keys may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Chicama - El Cape / Keys is 18 km (11 miles) from Paijan. If you plan a holiday in La Libertad and Lambayeque, look for hotels and other accommodation in Paijan. Paijan has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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