Surf Forecasts:
Desperations surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, SSW swell with 2,578 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Desperations this week:
The surf forecast for Desperations over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 1.6m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Desperations in the next 16 days are 2.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (+12) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Desperations over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is a tough one to call. Let's be honest, Desperations is living up to its name for most of this outlook. We're looking at a real mixed bag here, with a lot of chop and wind messing things up, but there are a couple of windows where it could get really special.
The water temp is sitting at 78°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year – no surprises there.
The first few days are a write-off. Through to the end of the first week, it's mostly onshore slop. The swell is there, but the wind is just killing it. Tuesday morning the 1st sees a 4ft SSW swell but with a nasty 15 mph cross-onshore wind, it's just choppy junk. The combined wave energy is moderate at best (474). It doesn't get any better for a while. There's a lot of fresh breeze and cross-onshore conditions.
Now, there's a little glimmer on Sunday the 6th. The morning is still cross-shore and messy, but the afternoon swings around. We get a light 6 mph cross-offshore breeze from the north with a clean 4ft SSW groundswell (16-second period). That's the first sniff of something good. The energy is moderate (773), but the clean conditions make it worth a look. Crowds are possible here.
The real standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Saturday the 12th. The morning brings a light cross-offshore breeze and a clean 4ft SSW groundswell. That 18-second period is very long – this is proper groundswell energy pushing in at a solid 1003. It'll be great for a reef like this, but watch out, those long-period swells can make things a little walled-off at some spots. The afternoon gets even better: a clean 4ft SW groundswell (17 secs) with a 12 mph offshore breeze from the north-northeast. This is the best of the outlook. The waves will have real shape and power for experienced surfers. Expect crowds likely.
Don't get too excited about the following week, though. It looks like it'll be back to the onshore grind pretty quickly.
All in all, for this stretch, the pick of the litter is that Saturday the 12th. There's nothing else that comes close for a proper, clean session. The rest is just watching the horizon.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu afternoon, min 20°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Fri afternoon, min 21°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Fri night, calm by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 328 | 255 | 468 | 1667 | 2578 | 2169 | 2140 | 1877 | 1396 | 1074 | 850 | 640 | 389 | 330 | 789 | 691 | 674 | 592 | 886 | 1001 | 788 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 9:08PM1.59m | 9:38AM1.40m | 9:55PM1.56m | 10:38AM1.32m | 10:52PM1.52m | 11:50AM1.27m | 11:59PM1.50m | 1:08PM1.27m | 1:12AM1.51m | 2:22PM1.32m | 2:22AM1.55m | 3:25PM1.41m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 2:50PM0.33m | 3:30AM0.31m | 3:36PM0.41m | 4:25AM0.33m | 4:29PM0.49m | 5:30AM0.34m | 5:34PM0.55m | 6:43AM0.33m | 6:50PM0.57m | 7:56AM0.28m | 8:06PM0.54m | 9:02AM0.21m | 9:14PM0.46m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — |
 | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 20 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 21 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 328 | 216 | 468 | 1667 | 2578 | 2169 | 2140 | 1877 | 1396 | 1074 | 850 | 640 | 389 | 330 | 789 | 691 | 674 | 592 | 886 | 1001 | 788 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 17 | SW 20 | S 17 | S 14 | S 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSW 18 | S 12 | SSE 7 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 6 | — | SSW 19 |
| kJ | 127 | 255 | 136 | 196 | 20 | 19 | 51 | 97 | 205 | 136 | 113 | 46 | 42 | 223 | 24 | 60 | 9 | 9 | 29 | — | 325 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 10 | SSE 12 | SSW 18 | SSE 11 | — | S 19 | — | S 18 | SSE 5 | SW 18 | S 18 | S 16 | SW 19 | SSE 12 | NW 10 | S 11 | NW 9 | NW 9 | S 11 | — | E 8 |
| kJ | 4 | 47 | 377 | 23 | — | 7 | — | 60 | 16 | 81 | 57 | 21 | 89 | 46 | 4 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 9 | — | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 5 | ESE 5 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SSE 7 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 |
| kJ | 19 | 48 | 31 | 90 | 149 | 114 | 88 | 100 | 51 | 22 | 17 | 39 | 88 | 71 | 90 | 120 | 90 | 62 | 80 | 25 | 27 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 868 | 942 | 868 | 8 | 868 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 868 | 868 | 1275 | 2364 | 1242 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 868 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mamanucas | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Desperations Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Desperations provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Desperations can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Desperations surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Desperations) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Desperations may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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