Desperations Surf Break

Lat Long: 17.82° S 177.13° E

Desperations Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 20 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Desperations sea temperature is
25.6° C
0.3° 

Desperations surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Desperations surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, SSW swell with 2,615 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Desperations this week:

The surf forecast for Desperations over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Desperations in the next 16 days are 2.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (+12) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Tue 21st Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s
Best Surf12AM (Fri 24th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 10s
Most Powerful12PM (Mon 27th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Desperations over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks at Desperations.

Well, it's a bit of a slow cooker, this one. We've got a solid pulse of SSW groundswell aiming at this exposed reef break, but the wind is going to be the main character in this story, and for a lot of the time, it's not a friendly one. The water is a warm 78°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real window opens up on Monday the 20th. We've got a clean 6ft swell from the SSW with a very long period of 18 seconds pushing in. The combined energy is a massive 3120, so there's plenty of punch. The wind is glassy offshore from the NNW, which will groom that reef perfectly. This is legit, proper surf for experienced surfers. The sets will be long and clean, but that long period means it'll be a bit wonky on a beach break; here at the reef, it's going to be a thing of beauty. Do expect a few guys out, though, as it's known to get crowded.

Tuesday the 21st starts off clean again with a 5ft SSW swell, period dropping to 16 seconds, and glassy ESE winds. The energy is still strong at 1377. This is another solid morning for the experienced crew. The afternoon gets a bit messy as the wind swings onshore, so call it a half-day.

We hit a rough patch from Wednesday the 22nd right through to Sunday the 26th. The swell drops, and the wind turns onshore and picks up, creating choppy, lumpy, and poor conditions. The focus here shifts from surfing to windsports – if you've got a kite, this is your window.

Now, here's where it gets interesting again. Monday the 27th sees a new pulse of 7ft to 8ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, so it's going to be a washing machine. Not worth it.

The standout for the whole period, and it's a bit of a gamble because it's far out, is Tuesday the 28th of July. The morning shows a 7ft SSW swell with a 15-second period, and the wind is a moderate cross-shore from the SE. The combined energy is a beefy 2049. The data says the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell might be too big for this break. For a surfer's ears, that means it's going to be big, powerful, and only for the experts. This is the one to circle on your calendar, but keep an eye on the wind.

After that, we get a few more days of average to poor conditions, with a final tease on Saturday the 1st of August. The morning shows a clean 5ft SSW, 17-second swell with light offshore winds. That's a nice, clean session for the experienced surfer, but the energy is lower at 1408. Sunday the 2nd also starts with a glassy 5ft SSW swell, a solid way to finish the outlook.

So, to wrap it up: this week is a write-off from Wednesday onwards. The absolute best bet, if you're experienced and can handle some size, is the morning of Tuesday the 28th of July. The backup plan is the early glass on Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st. It's a two-week forecast, so treat that big Tuesday with some caution, but it has the potential to be the best of the bunch.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 24°C on Mon night, min 21°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the SE by Thu afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Fri morning, min 21°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Thu night, calm by Fri morning).

Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
3
2
3
1
0
0
!
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
SSW
17
1.6
SSW
16
1.4
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
15
1.2
SSW
14
1
SSW
14
1.1
SSW
13
2.3
S
11
1.9
S
10
2.1
SSE
10
1.3
S
10
1.6
SSE
9
1
S
9
1.3
SSE
9
0.8
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
19
0.6
SSW
18
1
SSW
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1589
1230
1003
752
602
379
396
1165
766
838
307
415
154
286
222
145
139
211
735
Wind (km/h)
10
E
5
E
5
SSE
5
SSE
10
S
5
SSE
15
SSE
30
SE
35
SSE
25
SE
20
ESE
15
SSE
15
SE
15
SE
25
S
30
SE
20
SE
15
SSE
0
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
11:31PM1.53m
11:56AM1.31m
00:23AM1.48m
1:01PM1.24m
1:16AM1.44m
2:06PM1.20m
2:09AM1.42m
3:07PM1.20m
3:00AM1.42m
4:00PM1.22m
3:48AM1.45m
4:46PM1.26m
Low Tide
5:51AM0.44m
5:54PM0.47m
6:53AM0.46m
6:50PM0.56m
7:55AM0.45m
7:49PM0.61m
8:53AM0.42m
8:46PM0.62m
9:45AM0.38m
9:38PM0.61m
10:30AM0.33m
10:25PM0.57m
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:41
6:41
6:41
6:39
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
5:53
5:53
5:53
5:54
5:54
 mm
1
2
1
Temp °C
24
23
24
24
22
21
22
23
22
22
23
23
22
23
23
22
22
23
23
Feels °C
25
24
26
25
23
23
22
20
18
19
24
22
21
22
20
19
20
22
24
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Desperations Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Desperations provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Desperations can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Desperations surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Desperations) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Desperations may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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