Desperations Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag for Desperations. We’ve got some real size coming early on, but it’s going to be too much of a good thing for this spot. Then it backs right off, and we’re in for a flat spell before things start to build again towards the end. The water’s sitting right around 78 degrees, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We kick things off this Saturday morning, the 8th. There’s some proper swell in the water, pushing 8ft from the southeast, with a moderate cross-shore breeze. The wave energy is strong, hitting 1656. The problem is, it’s just too big for this reef break. It’s going to be a washing machine. The afternoon doesn't get much better, still over 8ft and lumpy. If you’re not an expert, give it a miss.

Sunday the 9th is a total reset. The swell drops right off to 4ft from the SSE with an 11-second period. The energy is weak-moderate at 395. Sunday morning is glassy, dead calm, and clean. It’s small, but it's the cleanest it’s going to be for a few days. This is about as good as the small stuff gets.

Monday the 10th stays small, around 3-4ft, but the period jumps up to 15-16 seconds. That long-period groundswell might be a bit too straight for a beach break, but this being a reef, it could still offer up some shape. The morning is clean, but it's still marginal. Tuesday the 11th is smaller again, around 3ft, but there’s a nice cross-offshore wind in the morning and a 12-second period. It’ll be clean, but tiny. The energy is still weak at 629.

From Wednesday the 12th through to Friday the 14th, it’s a proper flat spell. We’re looking at ankle-biters, 1ft to 2ft, with some long 16-19 second periods. The energy drops way down, bottoming out around 204. Some glassy moments, sure, but there’s nothing to get excited about. This is a gap of several days with no real surf on offer.

Saturday the 15th sees the wind pick up out of the ESE at 15-18 mph, and it’s rainy and chopped up. The swell is still tiny, so it’s a complete write-off. Sunday the 16th brings a bit more size, 5-5ft from the SW, and the energy jumps back up to 1210. The morning is still a bit lumpy, but the afternoon cleans right up with a light cross-offshore breeze and a 12-second period. It’s pushing head-high and a bit of power behind it. This is looking like the best of the bunch so far.

Now, for the real standout. Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th. The swell fills in properly. We’re talking 6ft to 7ft from the SSW, with a long 17-22 second period. The energy is strong, hitting 3242. The winds are a bit messy on Monday, but Tuesday afternoon, the 18th, is the one. The wind drops to glass, the swell is a solid 7ft, and the energy is pumping at 2382. This is a serious groundswell, big and powerful. It’s going to be a heavy, expert-only session. This is the standout. The long period and the size will make it a real freight train.

After that, the swell backs off a touch but stays fun. Wednesday the 19th has a glassy afternoon with 5ft swell and a 14-second period. Energy is moderate at 921. Thursday the 20th sees the wind swing offshore and pick up, but the swell is down to 4-4ft. Friday the 21st is interesting. It’s small in the morning, 3ft, but the afternoon sees a pulse of 6ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, and the wind is blowing fresh offshore from the NNE. That’s clean, offshore, and a decent size. It’s a good option, definitely a solid runner-up.

The final weekend, Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd, gets a bit messy again. The wind swings onshore and picks up, and the swell gets chopped up. It’s not worth the drive.

So, to sum it up. The standout is Tuesday afternoon, the 18th – big, clean, and powerful, experts only. The next best is probably Sunday the 16th afternoon, which offers up a clean, solid head-high wave. And keep an eye on Friday the 21st afternoon for some clean offshore conditions. The rest is either too big, too small, or too windy.

Rusty out.

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