Desperations Surf Break

Lat Long: 17.82° S 177.13° E

Desperations Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Desperations sea temperature is
25.5° C
0.0° 

Desperations surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Desperations surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SSW swell with 1,230 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Desperations this week:

The surf forecast for Desperations over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Desperations in the next 16 days are 1.6m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 12s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (+12) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Thu 16th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 8s
Best Surf 6AM (Thu 16th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 8s
Most Powerful 3PM (Mon 13th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Desperations over the next 16 days.


Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Desperations. It’s a reef break that’s exposed to the SSW swell, and it’s been pretty consistent over the years. The water temp is about normal for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The outlook starts on Sunday the 12th of July, but honestly, it’s a rough start. The first couple of days are a write-off. We’ve got a solid 6ft SSW swell on Sunday morning with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 1461, but it’s cross-shore wind and they’re calling it “marginal” at best. Sunday afternoon gets worse. Monday the 13th is no better – a 3ft swell with a super long 18-second period, but that cross-shore wind just chops it up. Tuesday the 14th is a total loss too. So we’re looking at a gap of a few days with nothing worth paddling out for.

Then we get a glimmer on Thursday the 16th. The morning session is a 6ft SE swell, but it’s only 8 seconds and cross-offshore, which is clean. The real standout, though, is Thursday afternoon. The wind drops to zero – glassy – and a 2ft SW groundswell rolls in with a 20-second period. The energy is 676, which is moderate, but that glassy surface and that long-period groundswell make it look really special. The optimum swell direction for Desperations is SSW, so this SW swell is a perfect match. It’s a reef break, so that long period will wrap in nicely. Keep an eye on the tide, but this could be a real gem.

Friday the 17th morning is still a bit messy with cross-shore wind, but Friday afternoon shapes up as a second highlight. A 4ft SW swell, 15-second period, and light east wind blowing cross-offshore. That’s clean. Crowds are sometimes a thing here, but on a weekday, you might get lucky.

Saturday the 18th is another good one. Morning has a 3ft SSW swell at 16 seconds with light cross-offshore wind – clean. Then Saturday afternoon, the wind swings to a nice NNE offshore, moderate breeze, and the same 3ft SW swell. That’s a sweet setup. The energy is still moderate around 675, but the quality is there.

After that, things drop off. Sunday the 19th has a small 2ft swell with fresh offshore wind, but it’s light rain and a risk of thunderstorms, so it’s a bit sketchy. From Monday the 20th onwards, it’s a long run of poor surf with cross-onshore wind and lumpy conditions. The swell gets small and the wind stays wrong right through to the end of the outlook on Monday the 27th of July. That last day has a 4ft SSW swell with 18-second period and 1000 energy, but it’s fresh cross-onshore and lumpy – not worth it.

So, if you’ve got a window, Thursday the 16th afternoon is the absolute best on offer: glassy, clean, long-period groundswell. Friday afternoon and Saturday are solid backups. The rest of the outlook is a bit of a washout, but that’s how it goes sometimes. Keep an eye on the forecasts, though.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Tue morning, min 21°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 21°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ESE on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon).

Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Sat
18
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
!
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2
2
3
2
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SSW
13
1.7
SSW
12
1.5
SSW
12
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
18
1.6
SSW
16
1.2
SSW
16
1
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
1.4
SE
8
1.5
SSE
8
1.8
SE
7
1.8
SE
8
0.7
SW
20
0.8
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
17
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1510
876
644
387
497
1230
649
443
357
239
288
287
340
406
388
418
735
530
587
452
362
Wind (km/h)
20
SE
15
SE
25
SSE
20
SE
25
SE
35
SSE
30
SE
30
SE
25
SE
15
ESE
35
ESE
30
SE
20
ESE
15
E
0
ESE
20
ESE
25
ESE
10
E
10
ESE
10
ESE
20
NNE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
High Tide
3:41AM1.71m
4:39PM1.45m
4:38AM1.77m
5:36PM1.52m
5:33AM1.82m
6:29PM1.58m
6:26AM1.84m
7:21PM1.62m
7:19AM1.82m
8:12PM1.64m
8:11AM1.76m
9:02PM1.64m
9:04AM1.66m
Low Tide
9:24PM0.43m
10:22AM0.10m
10:24PM0.39m
11:17AM0.00m
11:22PM0.34m
12:10PM-0.06m
00:17AM0.30m
1:01PM-0.08m
1:11AM0.28m
1:50PM-0.06m
2:05AM0.29m
2:38PM0.01m
2:58AM0.32m
3:26PM0.11m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
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cloud
cloud
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cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:41
6:41
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:50
5:51
5:51
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:52
 mm
Temp °C
22
22
23
22
23
23
22
24
24
22
24
25
22
23
23
22
24
24
23
24
25
Feels °C
19
21
20
18
20
18
18
21
21
19
19
20
18
24
24
20
22
24
22
26
24
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Desperations Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Desperations provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Desperations can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Desperations surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Desperations) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Desperations may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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