Cuyagua Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what we’ve got for Cuyagua.

Right from the get-go, it’s a grim picture. Over the next two weeks and a bit, there’s nothing that’s going to get a surfer out of bed early. The pattern is consistent: messy, short-period slop (all 6-7 seconds) coming out of the ENE and NE, and the wind is rarely your friend. For days on end, it’s either a cross-offshore or a cross-shore breeze that keeps the surface bumpy, or it’s got that onshore chop. The combined swell energy fluctuates between weak and moderate (values range from 88 to 537), but the quality just isn’t there.

Let’s run through it. Thursday the 10th kicks off with a risk of thunderstorms and a 5 ft NE windswell, but the cross-shore ENE wind at 9 mph makes it a chop fest. Friday the 11th sees the swell bump up to 6 ft ENE in the morning with a clean offshore N wind at 6 mph – that’s your one real look. *Cuyagua* is a reef break here, and with that offshore wind, the 6 ft (combined energy 297) should offer some clean, fun corners, but the period is only 7 seconds. It’s “marginal” at best, so don’t expect perfection. That afternoon the storm risk and cross-shore wind ruin it again.

From Saturday the 12th right through to Thursday the 19th, it’s mostly poor. The swell sticks around 4 ft to 8 ft, but the cross-onshore and cross-shore winds just chew it up. There are several mornings with a light offshore N or NNW breeze (like Sunday 13th, Monday 14th, Tuesday 15th) but the swell is small and weak, and the water temp is a normal 84°F for this time of year. The only glimmer comes early on Saturday the 20th – glassy conditions, a rare treat – but the swell is a tiny 4 ft ENE windswell (6 seconds) with weak energy (111). Surfable, but barely worth the paddle.

There’s a similar moment on Thursday morning the 24th and again that afternoon: glassy conditions with a 4 ft to 5 ft ENE swell (7 seconds). It’s surfable, but not a standout. The whole period is a write-off for any quality waves.

If the swell ever got over 8 ft and the wind lined up, it’d be different, but it doesn’t. The only real “standout” is Friday morning the 11th, and even that’s average.

Stay patient. Sometimes it’s just like this. Forecasts can shift.

Signing off,
Rusty.

Read more