
Surf Forecasts:
Carrizalillo surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 21s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 21s period, SW swell with 1,868 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carrizalillo this week:
The surf forecast for Carrizalillo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Carrizalillo in the next 16 days are 1.4m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 11s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 21s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carrizalillo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for our little corner of the coastline.
We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead. There’s a bit of a quiet start, but don’t let that fool you – this forecast has some absolute gems tucked in there. The standout sessions are going to be on the mornings of Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th of July, with some serious energy rolling in.
Let’s kick things off at Carrizalillo. This spot is a classic beginner-friendly setup, fairly exposed to the swell and it’s fairly consistent. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.
We start with a nice little pulse on Sunday morning, July 19th. It’s only 3 ft of swell from the SW, but that’s a long-period groundswell at 17 seconds, and the wind is glassy. The energy is moderate (515). It’s a small, clean wave – perfect for a longboard or a funboard. There’s often a crowd here, so expect some company in the water. The afternoon gets a bit of an onshore breeze, so it’s worth wrapping up by lunch.
Monday morning, July 20th is similar – 4 ft of SW swell, 16-second period, and glassy. The energy picks up a touch (653). Another beautiful morning, but the same story: the afternoon gets messy.
Tuesday morning, July 21st is more of the same goodness – 4 ft, SW, 15 seconds, and glassy. This is a great little run of clean, small surf.
The swell drops off from Wednesday the 22nd through Friday the 24th, with mornings offering only small, weak waves (energy down to 145 at one point). Not worth rushing for.
But then, Friday morning, July 24th, the energy jumps up to 881 and the swell period stretches out to 24 seconds. It’s only 3 ft, but that’s a very long period groundswell. The wind is glassy, and conditions are clean. For a morning session, this could be surprisingly fun.
Saturday morning, July 25th is a bit of a mixed bag. The swell is 3 ft from the SSW with a 21-second period, but there’s a light cross-onshore breeze. The energy is decent (792), but it’s not the cleanest.
Now, here’s the real deal. Sunday morning, July 26th, we see 5 ft of SW swell with an 18-second period. The energy is strong (1567), and the wind is glassy. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. It’s a bit much for beginners at over 5 ft, but if you’ve got the skill, this is the best morning of the run so far.
Monday morning, July 27th is even bigger. 6 ft of SW swell, 18 seconds, and glassy. The energy is very strong (2269). This is a serious swell. It’s excellent for experienced surfers only. The afternoon gets a bit of a wind shift, so get out early.
Tuesday morning, July 28th holds the size at 7 ft from the SSW, with a 17-second period. The wind is a clean cross-offshore. The energy is massive (2482). This is solid, challenging surf – expert territory.
Wednesday morning, July 29th is still pumping with 6 ft SSW swell, and the wind is glassy again. The energy is still very strong (1777). Afternoon looks clean too, with a glassy wind. This is another fantastic day for experienced surfers.
From Thursday, July 30th onwards, the swell starts to ease. The mornings get a bit bumpy, but the afternoon of the 30th looks clean with a cross-offshore breeze and 5 ft waves. Friday, July 31st sees a strong cross-offshore wind, but it’s a bit windy and the swell is dropping.
The first week of August sees a return to smaller, cleaner conditions. Saturday morning, August 1st is glassy with 3 ft SSW swell, and Sunday morning, August 2nd is glassy again with 4 ft from the SW. Monday morning, August 3rd rounds it out with a glassy 4 ft from the SSW. Good, clean fun for the longboard.
So, the pick of the bunch? No question: Sunday morning, July 26th and Monday morning, July 27th at Carrizalillo. Big, clean, long-period groundswell with glassy conditions. That’s the stuff.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 31°C on Wed morning, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 26 | SSW 13 | SW 24 | SSW 23 | SW 21 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
165 | 505 | 499 | 655 | 653 | 719 | 733 | 558 | 422 | 352 | 261 | 234 | 157 | 132 | 263 | 113 | 801 | 365 | 1868 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | glassy |
High Tide | 6:26AM1.08m | 6:33PM1.00m | 7:18AM1.09m | 7:20PM0.93m | 8:06AM1.09m | 8:05PM0.86m | 8:53AM1.06m | 8:50PM0.79m | 9:40AM1.03m | 9:35PM0.72m | 10:26AM1.00m | 10:22PM0.67m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:04AM0.00m | 12:34PM0.14m | 00:49AM0.01m | 1:29PM0.18m | 1:32AM0.04m | 2:22PM0.22m | 2:13AM0.08m | 3:14PM0.26m | 2:53AM0.12m | 4:07PM0.28m | 3:34AM0.15m | 5:00PM0.31m | |||||||
— | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 32 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | S 13 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 24 | SE 10 | SW 21 |
240 | 272 | 499 | 655 | 653 | 719 | 733 | 558 | 422 | 352 | 261 | 234 | 157 | 132 | 136 | 113 | 801 | 142 | 1868 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 17 | S 11 | S 14 | S 12 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 8 | WSW 8 | SSW 8 | SE 11 | SSW 23 | SSE 11 |
165 | 505 | 114 | 394 | 187 | 340 | 281 | 196 | 202 | 141 | 100 | 100 | 61 | 19 | 24 | 22 | 94 | 365 | 325 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | WSW 10 | S 13 | WSW 11 | W 10 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | SW 19 | SW 19 | WSW 8 | SSW 26 | SW 18 | SW 13 | WSW 11 | W 10 |
104 | 10 | 85 | 91 | 70 | 41 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 22 | 20 | 59 | 58 | 13 | 263 | 109 | 80 | 65 | 49 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 8 | — | — | S 8 | W 7 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | — | — | 30 | 17 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 0 | 0 | 1237 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oaxaca | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Carrizalillo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Carrizalillo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carrizalillo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carrizalillo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carrizalillo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carrizalillo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Oaxaca? If you are looking for accommodation near Carrizalillo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Oaxaca, consider staying in Puerto Escondido which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Other places in and around Oaxaca where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nopala which is 29 km (18 miles) away and Miahuatlan de Porfirio Diaz, 73 km (45 miles) away.










