Surf Forecasts:
Carrizalillo surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period, SW swell with 1,591 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carrizalillo this week:
The surf forecast for Carrizalillo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Carrizalillo in the next 16 days are 1.8m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 9s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Thu 27th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carrizalillo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. This is a special one for us here at Carrizalillo. We’ve got a solid run of waves coming over the next couple of weeks, but it’s all about timing.
The water’s sitting at a warm 87°, which is a touch warmer than the usual for this time of year – feels like a bath, but in a good way.
The window opens up on Thursday the 27th of August. The morning session is the go, with a glassy 2ft SW swell. The period is a very long 18 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. It’s small, but the combined energy (418) is moderate for the size, and with zero wind, you’ll find some clean, lined-up little runners. The afternoon turns onshore, so get it early.
Things really start to build into a beautiful run. Friday the 28th of August morning is a standout with a clean 3ft SSW swell, period of 16 seconds, and glassy conditions. The energy jumps to 740, and it’s going to be very good. Saturday the 29th of August morning is where it gets serious for the experienced crew. You’re looking at 6ft of SW swell at 16 seconds, glassy with a slight air, and the energy is pumping at 1528. This is excellent, but it’s getting big enough that it’s for the advanced guys only. The mornings are the ticket; the afternoons all get a bit onshore and messy.
There’s a bit of a lull through the start of the week, but the mornings remain the cleanest windows. The consistency is fairly consistent, so you’ll find a wave.
The next big highlight is a serious one. On Friday the 4th of September, the morning is looking absolutely pumping. A 6ft SW swell with a 17-second period, glassy calm, and the energy is a massive 1863. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, and with the wind dead calm, it’s going to be a proper session. The following morning, Saturday the 5th of September, is nearly as good with a 6ft SSW swell and glassy conditions.
The second week tapers off a bit, but there are still windows. The mornings of the 7th, 8th, and 9th of September all offer clean, glassy conditions, with the 9th of September morning seeing a nice 5ft SW swell and strong energy (1134). Then, on Thursday the 10th of September morning, we get another excellent pulse for the experienced crew: 6ft SW swell, 16-second period, with a clean cross-off breeze. The energy is 1542, and it’s a ripper.
Overall, the best bets are the mornings of August 28th and 29th, and the clear standouts are the mornings of September 4th and 5th. Just remember, the afternoons are mostly a write-off with the onshore, so plan your sessions around the dawn patrol.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 32°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
181 | 171 | 249 | 316 | 268 | 447 | 1111 | 1436 | 1467 | 1193 | 953 | 846 | 752 | 564 | 525 | 406 | 400 | 341 | 346 | 290 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | cross | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:33AM0.71m | 2:02PM0.91m | 2:30AM0.78m | 2:50PM0.91m | 3:20AM0.86m | 3:35PM0.90m | 4:06AM0.94m | 4:17PM0.89m | 4:48AM1.02m | 4:58PM0.88m | 5:30AM1.08m | 5:37PM0.86m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:47PM0.31m | 7:26AM0.27m | 8:31PM0.27m | 8:28AM0.26m | 9:10PM0.24m | 9:25AM0.24m | 9:47PM0.19m | 10:16AM0.21m | 10:23PM0.15m | 11:04AM0.19m | 11:00PM0.10m | 11:49AM0.17m | 11:38PM0.06m | |||||||
— | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | |
6:45 | — | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:42 | — | — | 6:40 | — | — | 6:40 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | — | 2 | 10 | — | 2 | 1 |
Temp °C | 31 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 34 | 32 | 33 | 36 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
181 | 171 | 249 | 206 | 268 | 447 | 1111 | 1436 | 1467 | 1193 | 953 | 846 | 752 | 564 | 525 | 406 | 400 | 341 | 346 | 290 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSW 18 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 13 | S 9 | WSW 10 | SSE 9 | WSW 9 | S 7 | S 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 18 |
26 | 130 | 169 | 316 | 118 | 293 | 168 | 56 | 61 | 99 | 94 | 53 | 51 | 42 | 77 | 45 | 49 | 40 | 39 | 246 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 8 | S 8 | WSW 9 | SSE 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | S 7 | S 7 | SW 19 | S 6 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 9 |
47 | 25 | 23 | 22 | 32 | 46 | 44 | 7 | 44 | 76 | 63 | 59 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 58 | 7 | 155 | 154 | 38 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 6 | — | — | W 4 | — | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — |
1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | 5 | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1038 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 2 | 0 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1038 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oaxaca | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Carrizalillo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Carrizalillo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carrizalillo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carrizalillo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carrizalillo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carrizalillo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Oaxaca? If you are looking for accommodation near Carrizalillo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Oaxaca, consider staying in Puerto Escondido which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Other places in and around Oaxaca where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Nopala which is 29 km (18 miles) away and Miahuatlan de Porfirio Diaz, 73 km (45 miles) away.











