Cañaveral Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

Cañaveral (Canaveral)

Honestly mate, it’s a bit of a slow start. We’ve got a solid run of surf on the way, but the first couple of days are pretty average. Tuesday morning the 28th is small, with a weak 4 ft NE swell bumping in at a short 7 seconds. The wind is cross-on from the ENE, so it’s a bit messy – not worth paddling out for. The combined energy is only 124, so it’s weak. That afternoon is a little better but still marginal.

Wednesday the 29th sees a jump in size to 7 ft, but the wind picks up to 12 mph from the ENE, making it cross-on and choppy. Not good. The energy jumps to 381, but the conditions are poor. Thursday the 30th has the same size around 7 ft to 8 ft, but the wind drops to a light breeze. The energy is climbing into the moderate range (624-754), and with the swell period stretching to 8 seconds, it’s starting to look a bit more promising. Still, the wind is cross-on, so it’s not clean.

Now, Friday the 31st – this is where things start to look interesting. Morning sees a 8 ft NE swell with a 9-second period and a light cross-on breeze. The energy is strong at 1065. This is a solid, powerful swell for the region. The afternoon drops a bit to 7 ft, but the wind goes onshore, so it’s not as good. Saturday the 1st of August drops back to 6 ft, and the energy fades.

There’s a bit of a lull through Sunday the 2nd, with 5 ft to 5 ft, but the wind is light and variable. The best window from the first week is actually Thursday the 30th through Friday the 31st. The swell is solid, and if the wind holds, it could be fun. This is a beginner-friendly break, so 8 ft is on the bigger side for learners, but for the average surfer, it’s good.

The second week starts to build again. Monday the 3rd of August through Tuesday the 4th has 6 ft to 8 ft swells, with light cross-on winds. The energy is moderate. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th see a slight drop, but then Thursday afternoon the 6th has a moment of glory – glassy conditions with a 5 ft NE swell. The wind is calm, and the energy is 327. That’s the standout in the second week. The swell is clean, and the conditions are perfect for a session.

Friday the 7th of August and Saturday the 8th see a jump to 10 ft, but the wind is cross-on and it’s too big for this break. The energy is extreme (1261-1285). This is only for experts, and even then, the wind is messy. It’ll be a washing machine. After that, it drops back to 7 ft to 8 ft through the 9th and 10th, with moderate energy.

The real highlight is Tuesday the 11th of August. We’ve got a 10 ft NE swell with a 9-second period, light cross-on wind, and massive energy at 1447. But again, it’s too big for this spot. The afternoon is even bigger at 1688. This is a heavy, powerful swell that’s going to close out the beach. It’s a kite surfer’s dream, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a no-go.

So, the best bet for a solid session is Thursday the 30th of July and Friday the 31st of July, with a clean, glassy window on Thursday the 6th of August. The water temp is 82°F, which is about average for this time of year. Not cold, not warm, just normal.

Rusty, signing off.

Read more