Caballeros Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s take a good, hard look at what’s coming our way over the next couple of weeks for Caballeros.

Honestly, this is one of those outlooks where you have to be patient. The whole 16-day window is littered with “marginal” and “poor” labels, so there’s no true red-letter day, but there is a shimmer of hope right at the very end. The swell energy is all cross-on or onshore for the vast majority of the run, which keeps things messy.

For the opening week, from July 26th right through to August 3rd, it’s pretty flat and average. Swell heights hover from 3 ft up to 5 ft, but that persistent cross-onshore wind from the SSW or SW keeps the surface rippled and choppy. The combined energy figures are moderate, jumping up to 1383 on the 27th afternoon, but it’s wasted on rough conditions. The water temp here is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual to report. We get a bit of a pulse on August 4th and 5th where the swell bumps up to 6 ft with longer 14 to 15 second periods, but that SSW and WSW wind stays onshore or cross-on, killing any real quality. Those bigger swells come with energy readings in the four-digit range (like 1788 and 1862), but the wind is just not our friend.

Now, the one standout, and the reason to keep the board in the car, comes on Monday, August 10th. The morning session is where it’s at. We’re looking at 4 ft of swell coming from the SSW with a very long 19 second period. That’s proper groundswell with real punch and shape. The combined energy is a strong 1706. But the real kicker is the wind: it’s glassy. The file says "glass" with a "Slight air." For a reef break like Caballeros, glassy conditions with long-period SW groundswell is as good as it gets for experienced surfers. The optimum swell direction for this spot is SSW, which is exactly what we have. It’s a fairly consistent break, meaning it will be breaking cleanly. Because it’s a quality setup with excellent conditions for experienced surfers, you might want to share the peak, as crowds are possible here. That morning is the only genuine highlight in the entire 16-day run. Prior to that, it’s a long, flat, and choppy grind.

Signing off, Rusty.

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