Blokken Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's cookin' for the next couple of weeks around Blokken. I've got to be straight with you—this forecast is lookin' pretty grim for a long stretch. The good news is there might be one small window of hope way down the track, but you're gonna have to be patient.

Right now, we're in a tough spot. From Thursday the 10th right through to Thursday the 24th, it's a desert out there for decent waves. The whole setup is just wrong: messy winds, mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and tiny, weak swells with poor surf conditions. The water at Blokken is a balmy 68°, which is over 5° warmer than usual for this time of year—really notable, that warm water hanging around. But it doesn't help when the surf is flat and choppy. There's a few pulses of energy, like Sunday the 13th morning with a 4 ft swell from the west, but it's just blown out. Even when the swell ticks up a bit, like on Wednesday the 16th with a 4 ft swell and combined energy hitting 103, the onshore gale rips it to shreds.

Then on Thursday the 17th, we finally see some real energy with combined energy up to 192, and swell at 4 ft from the NNW—but again, it's cross-onshore and choppy. This is a beach break setup, and with strong winds and messy conditions, honestly, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The one standout, and I mean the *only* one worth marking on your calendar, is Friday the 25th of September. It's a long way off, so take it with a grain of salt, but the early morning session at Blokken looks special. We've got a solid 7 ft swell rolling in from the west. That's big enough that beginners should sit it out—this one's for the experienced crew. What makes it magic is the glassy conditions, with the wind going dead calm (a slight air at 5 km/h from the SE). The water will be clean, no chop, no bumps. The combined energy is pumping at 492, so there's plenty of push. That's a proper groundswell with a 7-second period, so it'll be a bit more punchy than lined up, but with glassy conditions, you'll find some fun ones. The downside? The wind swings onshore by the afternoon and messes it up, and crowds are possible here, so get out early.

Apart from that Friday morning window, the whole 16-day run is a write-off. A blank run like this is pretty normal for the area when the wind patterns lock in unfavourable. Still, a window like that on the 25th is worth waiting for. So keep your eyes on the horizon, but for now, it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

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