Blokken Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me give it to you in feet and miles per hour for the metric-averse.

Right, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s a pretty bleak run for the most part. We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions with very little to get excited about, so patience is going to be key.

Blokken is the only spot in the picture, and the first sixteen days are mostly a write-off. From Saturday, 11 July right through to Sunday, 19 July, it’s grim. The swell is tiny – we’re talking 0.7ft to 4ft of short-period, weak slop, with combined energy rarely cracking triple figures. Winds are mostly cross or cross-onshore, often fresh to strong, leaving the water lumpy, choppy and messy. There are a few brief windows of clean conditions around the 15th and 16th of July, but the swell is so weak (energy as low as 2 to 10) you’d be better off staying on the beach. Even the water temp is a staggering 69°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 8°F above the average. That’s unusual.

The outlook doesn’t improve much through the second week. The 20th and 21st of July tease a bit. On the morning of Monday, 20 July, we see a jump in swell height to 5ft from the NNW with a period of 8 seconds and a combined energy of 277. The wind is light offshore from the SSW, so it’ll be clean. It’s still only a marginal call – the sort of day where you might get a few if you’re really keen, but don’t expect much quality. After that, the wind swings onshore and ruins it.

Then we hit a real ramp-up in size. On Saturday, 25 July, the swell pushes to 7ft from the WSW, but the period is short at 7 seconds and the wind is strong cross to cross-onshore, well over 25 mph. The combined energy is high at 433, but it’s a messy, blown-out affair – this is expert-only territory at best, and honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Sunday, 26 July brings a similar story: 7ft swell from the WNW with a period of 9 seconds, combined energy of 674, but again cross and cross-onshore winds in the fresh to strong range. It’s powerful but rough.

The real standout, and I mean the *only* real standout in this whole outlook, comes on Friday, 24 July. Both morning and afternoon see a 4ft to 3ft groundswell from the NNW, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is solid at 183 in the morning and 104 in the afternoon. Best of all, we’ve got moderate offshore winds from the SSE and SE, keeping the surf clean with a moderate offshore feel. It’s not perfect, but it’s the cleanest, most surfable window in the whole 16 days. The swell direction lines up fairly well with Blokken’s optimum of NNW, and with that offshore flow, it’ll be the pick of the bunch. Crowds are listed as *sometimes*, so expect a few others to have the same idea.

Rusty.

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