Blokken Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. I’ve been staring at the charts for Blokken and honestly, it’s a tough run. The models are showing a long stretch of pretty average conditions, with a few flickers of hope way out in the distance.

Right now, we’re in a flat spell. The first recommendation we get isn’t until July 15th, and even then, it’s not looking great. The south-east offshore wind is supposed to be there, but the swell is tiny at 2ft from the north, with a short period of only 5 seconds. The water is a very unusual 70°F (much warmer than average for this time of year), but with that weak wave energy (26) and a messy cross-shore wind, it’s just not worth paddling out for. The rest of that week is a write-off – small, weak swells, and the wind is mostly cross-onshore, making everything choppy and lumpy.

We finally see a bit of a pulse around July 18th. The swell picks up to 4ft from the NNW, and the period stretches to 7 seconds. The wind goes offshore, which is a major positive. The wave energy is moderate (102) but the surf quality is still a no-go according to the models. It’s frustrating because the ingredients are there for a clean wave, but it’s just not clicking.

The next notable event is on July 25th – Saturday. There’s a big jump in swell, with 6ft on the morning from the NNW, and a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is strong at 356. The wind is light offshore from the NW, which should make for some clean conditions. This is the best window in the whole run. The swell direction is solid for Blokken, and with light winds, it could be worth a look. Keep in mind, at 6ft, this is a proper size that might be a bit much for beginners, but it’s still manageable for intermediates. By the afternoon, the swell is hitting 8ft, which is expert territory, and the wind swings cross-onshore, so it gets messy.

After that, July 26th (Sunday) is still big at 6ft, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-onshore, so it’s going to be lumpy. The energy is still strong (316), but the quality will be poor. The following days see the swell drop and the wind gets nasty, with strong breezes making conditions messy and unappealing.

So, the honest truth? There’s a long gap of poor surf from now until July 25th. The standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of Saturday, July 25th. You’ve got a 6ft NNW swell, offshore light breeze, and decent energy. It’s the only real window. For everything else, you’re better off staying home. The setup at Blokken is a beach, so when the wind gets up as it does here, it makes more sense for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Stay tuned, things can change. Rusty.

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