Andicuri Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a tough stretch ahead at Andicuri. The forecast is a long, hard look at some persistent strong winds that are going to wreck any chance of decent surf for quite a while. The first real surf we see is on the 4th of August, but honestly, it’s not good.

Right from the get-go on Tuesday the 4th, we’re looking at a solid 7ft swell coming out of the east. That sounds promising, but the wind is the killer here. It’s howling from the east at 25 mph, putting it right across the wave or blowing onshore. This is creating messy cross-chop and just ugly conditions. The water temperature is sitting at 82°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least the water feels nice while you’re getting blown around.

The combined energy from that east swell is moderate, we’re talking values around 529 to 544, but with that short period of just 7 to 8 seconds and that brutal wind, it’s all just whitewater and chop. Wave comment after wave comment just says “poor surf conditions,” and for good reason. This same story plays out all week long and into the second week. We see a slight bump in size on the 7th, hitting 8ft with the energy climbing to 640, but the wind is still a strong cross-shore breeze. It’s not going to clean up.

The pattern doesn’t shift. Through the 10th, 11th, and 12th of August, we’re stuck in a rut: 7ft to 8ft of east swell, cross-shore winds from the east at 25 mph, and poor, lumpy surf. The combined energy stays in the moderate 400-500 range. It’s frustrating.

There’s one notable shift right around the 14th and 15th of August. The swell starts to really ramp up. We’re looking at 8ft on Friday the 14th, pushing to a very solid 10ft on Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th. The energy jumps right up to a strong level, hitting 1108 and even 1213. The direction ticks a bit more east-northeast, and the period stretches out to 8 and then 9 seconds. Now, this is serious power, and with that period, it’s getting into some groundswell territory. At 10ft, this is expert-only stuff, way too big for beginners. But here’s the heartbreaker: the wind is still screaming from the east around 28-31 mph. Saturday morning it’s a near-gale cross-shore, Sunday it’s still a strong cross-shore or cross-on. The waves will be huge and powerful, but a total mess. Honestly, with that much wind and that much swell at a beach break, this setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than for paddle surfing. Don’t be fooled by the size.

As we roll into the final days of the forecast, the 18th and 19th of August, the swell drops back slightly to 7ft-8ft, but the wind stays locked in from the east at 25-31 mph. Near gale force on the 19th. The surf remains blown out and unsurfable.

There are no standouts here. This is a blank run. Andicuri is very consistent, so when it’s poor here, it tends not to stay poor forever, but this 16-day window is a write-off for a paddle surfer. The only thing this forecast has to offer is a lot of wind and a lot of chop.

Rusty.

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