Andicuri Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let me level with you straight up. I’ve had a good look at what’s coming our way over the next couple of weeks, and honestly, it’s a tough one to call. We’ve got a solid flow of swell on the cards, but the wind is going to be our biggest enemy here. It’s gonna be a battle for a clean wave.

Looking at the whole picture, we’re staring down a block of surf that is persistent but messy. The winds are stubbornly out of the east, blowing cross-shore to cross-onshore nearly every day, and at a good clip—22 to 28 mph—that’s going to chop everything up. The swell energy is actually moderate to strong, with values hanging around 280 to 724, so there’s plenty of water moving. But all that power is coming from the east with short periods of 6 to 8 seconds, which makes for a lumpy, disorganized sea state.

The only break we’ve got in the forecast is Andicuri. It’s a very consistent spot for intermediates, exposed to the northerly swell direction, but the optimum swell direction here is from the north, and we’re getting all this east energy. That’s a miss. The water temp is sitting at 81.7°F, which is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

Right, let’s walk through it day by day.

Starting on Monday, July 20th, it’s a no-go. We’ve got 6.9 ft of east swell at 8 seconds in the morning, dropping slightly to 6.2 ft in the afternoon, but with a fresh 22 mph cross-shore wind, it’s just lumpy cross-chop. Absolutely poor conditions. That sets the tone.

Tuesday, July 21st, is more of the same. Swell around 6.2 ft to 5.6 ft, still from the east, and the wind hasn’t let up. Fresh cross-onshore winds are ruining any chance of a clean face. Forget it.

Wednesday, July 22nd, a bit of variety with 5.9 ft swell and cross-shore winds, but the periods are dropping to 6 seconds in the afternoon. That’s just weak, short-period wind swell on top of a messy ocean. The wind actually picks up to a strong breeze (25 mph) in the afternoon. Not worth paddling out.

Thursday, July 23rd, the swell bumps up to 7.5 ft, and the combined energy jumps to 553 in the morning, then 568 in the afternoon. That’s moderate energy, but the period is still a short 7 seconds. The wind is a strong 25-28 mph, cross-shore then cross-onshore. It’s going to be a washing machine out there. The size is getting into intermediate territory, but with that chop, it’s a messy, blown-out mess.

Friday, July 24th, we peak a bit more. 7.9 ft in the morning from the east, 8-second period, and combined energy hits 657. That’s the strongest energy of the whole run so far. But again, a strong 25 mph breeze is making it cross-shore and messy. For a beach break setup, this kind of short-period, strong wind scenario just turns into a closeout. Honestly, if you’ve got a kite, this might look fun—the wind is consistent and the swell is there. But for a paddle surfer? Brutal.

Saturday, July 25th, the swell drops back to 6.6 ft, then 6.2 ft, winds are still strong. It’s the same story, just a bit smaller. No relief.

Sunday, July 26th through to Monday, July 27th, it’s a rinse and repeat pattern. Swell sizes fluctuate between 5.6 ft and 6.9 ft, always short period. The wind remains a relentless fresh to strong breeze from the east or east-northeast. Cross-shore and cross-onshore winds dominate. Everything is described as “poor surf conditions.”

Now, here’s a glimmer. Saturday, August 2nd and Sunday, August 3rd are still cross-shore and messy. But then we get to Tuesday, August 4th—that’s the standout in the whole run. We’ve got the biggest swell of the forecast, 7.9 ft from the east at 8 seconds, and the combined energy is the second highest at 724. The morning wind is a strong 28 mph cross-shore, so it’s still messy. The afternoon it relaxes slightly to 25 mph cross-onshore. It’s still not clean, but if you were going

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