Ambinanibe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the shores of Ambinanibe. Let's talk about the next two weeks.

We're lookin' at a stretch that starts with a bang, then gets a bit tricky, but finishes with some serious potential. The first few days of the forecast window are the real standouts, but we've got a long run of marginal conditions before the energy picks up again for the final week. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The real action kicks off Sunday morning, July 19th. Get down to Ambinanibe early. We've got a clean 6 ft SSW swell rollin' in with a nice 14-second period, and the wind is glassy out of the NNW. The combined energy is a solid 1530 (moderate wave energy), and it's set up for experienced surfers. This is the best of the first week, no question. Sadly, the afternoon turns dodgy with a cross-onshore wind, so make the most of the morning.

Monday morning, July 20th, is another cracker. The swell drops a touch to 7 ft from the S, but it's still got 12 seconds of period and that glassy W wind again. The energy is 1448 (moderate wave energy). Another top-notch session for the experienced crew. The wind goes onshore in the afternoon, so it's a morning-only play.

From Tuesday, July 21st, through to the end of the month, the conditions get messy. The wind becomes a problem, and the surf quality drops. There's a gap of about a week where the recommendations are low - you'll be fighting cross-shore winds and chop. Not worth paddling out for a proper session.

We get a little tease on Monday morning, July 28th. The wind is clean from the NNE, and we've got 5 ft SSW swell at 13 seconds. The energy is 1205 (moderate wave energy). It's a decent option for the experienced surfer, but it's not the standout it could be.

Now, hold onto your boards for Wednesday morning, July 29th. This is the one. The swell is 6 ft from the SSW, but the period is a massive 17 seconds. That's very long period groundswell. The wind is glassy out of the W, and the combined energy jumps to 2973 (strong wave energy). This is a serious, powerful swell that will be best handled by experienced surfers. It's a point-break kind of day, but it's the highlight of the whole two weeks. This is a chase-worthy morning.

The rest of the forecast after that is a mixed bag of onshore winds and smaller swells, right through to the end of the window on Monday, August 3rd. The Sunday and Monday entries (August 2nd and 3rd) at least have clean, cross-offshore winds, but the swell is smaller and less consistent.

So, to wrap it up: your two real standouts are Sunday morning, July 19th and Wednesday morning, July 29th. The 29th is the one with the most grunt and the longest period, but the 19th is a beautiful, clean start to the run. The rest of the time is a waiting game.

Rusty out.

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