Surf Forecasts:
Ambinanibe surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, S swell with 2,377 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ambinanibe this week:
The surf forecast for Ambinanibe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ambinanibe in the next 16 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EAT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ambinanibe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
We’ve got a real mixed bag coming up at Ambinanibe over the next 16 days, so let’s break it down. The first real nod goes to Monday morning, July 20th. That’s the standout session early on – clean, glassy conditions with a light W wind at 3 mph, and a solid 7 ft S swell rolling in at 12 seconds. The energy is strong at 1424, but at this size, it’s definitely one for the experienced crew. Beginners might want to sit this one out. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild.
The rest of that week and into the next is a tough slog. Tuesday morning, July 21st, still has a decent 7 ft S swell, but the cross-shore wind from the ENE at 3 mph makes it a bit messy. From Wednesday onward, we see the wind picking up, with cross-shore and cross-on conditions, and the swell drops off. The energy stays moderate (three-digit values), but the quality just isn’t there for a great paddle session.
Now, the real monster appears on the radar for Sunday, July 26th. The morning brings a massive 10 ft S swell, very long period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy is a huge 3826. That’s some serious power, but the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy. The forecast notes it might be too big for this break. This is strictly for experts only, and even then, it’s going to be a handful. The afternoon cleans up a bit in size but stays choppy.
The following week stays small and inconsistent. The standout window after that big swell is Wednesday, July 29th morning – a clean 3 ft S swell with light NE winds. It’s small, but it’s clean. The energy is weak (455), so don’t expect much push. After that, we see a bit of a spike in size around July 30th and 31st, but with rain and strong cross-shore winds, the quality is poor. The last few days into early August drop off into tiny surf, with the energy falling below 200 on August 3rd.
Overall, the best bet is Monday morning, July 20th for the clean, glassy conditions and solid swell. The Sunday, July 26th morning is a big-wave prospect for the brave, but it’s messy. The rest of the period is mostly a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 18°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1751 | 1424 | 1369 | 1095 | 1155 | 1240 | 1125 | 807 | 614 | 512 | 463 | 491 | 427 | 390 | 390 | 454 | 570 | 872 | 1965 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 11:17PM0.38m | 11:26AM0.26m | 11:39PM0.34m | 11:58AM0.24m | 11:56PM0.30m | 12:34PM0.22m | 00:01AM0.25m | 1:40PM0.19m | 11:37PM0.22m | 6:49PM0.21m | 5:44AM0.17m | 7:24PM0.24m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:52AM0.07m | 5:12PM0.07m | 6:16AM0.08m | 5:41PM0.10m | 6:43AM0.09m | 6:12PM0.14m | 7:16AM0.11m | 6:47PM0.17m | 8:19AM0.13m | 3:13AM0.16m | 12:21PM0.12m | 2:39AM0.13m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  |  |  |  | |
 | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Temp °C | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 24 | 25 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 |
Feels °C | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | E 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | E 7 | SSW 13 | S 10 |
| kJ | 1751 | 1424 | 1369 | 1095 | 1155 | 1240 | 1125 | 807 | 614 | 512 | 337 | 491 | 427 | 127 | 390 | 454 | 34 | 96 | 1965 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 13 | ESE 7 | E 6 | S 22 | E 7 | SSW 18 |
| kJ | 69 | 51 | 36 | 34 | 21 | 21 | 101 | 85 | 98 | 117 | 463 | 280 | 226 | 390 | 63 | 68 | 9 | 25 | 469 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | E 8 | E 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | ENE 9 | — | — | SSE 10 | ENE 6 | SSE 10 | SW 22 | SSW 21 | E 8 |
| kJ | 69 | 51 | 35 | 21 | 48 | 73 | 21 | 12 | 90 | 201 | 27 | — | — | 125 | 32 | 57 | 19 | 84 | 22 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | E 4 | ESE 4 | E 5 | E 4 | E 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | NNE 5 | — | SW 4 | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 18 | 34 | 25 | 30 | 49 | 75 | 109 | 52 | — | 27 | 570 | 872 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 959 | 0 | 8 | 959 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 364 | 960 | 364 | 364 | 960 | 0 | 9 | 959 | 959 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Madagascar - East | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Madagascar | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ambinanibe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ambinanibe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ambinanibe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ambinanibe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ambinanibe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ambinanibe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Madagascar - East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ambinanibe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Madagascar - East, consider staying in Fort Dauphin which is 9 km (6 miles) away. Other places in and around Madagascar - East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Ahalandravy which is 19 km (12 miles) away, Amboasary and Ambovombe.
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