Surf Forecasts:
Ambinanibe surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 19s period, S swell with 15,830 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ambinanibe this week:
The surf forecast for Ambinanibe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ambinanibe in the next 16 days are 4.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 10) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EAT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ambinanibe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a 16-day look at Ambinanibe, and it’s a bit of a slow burner. The water is sitting at 69°, which is a hefty 4° colder than normal for this time of year, so factor that in if you’re paddling out - it’s notably chilly.
The first few days are a write-off. Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th offer nothing but poor surf conditions. There’s a couple of days of small, mixed-up swell to start, and the wind is on it or cross-on, making a mess of things. We don't get any sort of decent opportunity until the middle of the following week.
Now, if you're an expert looking for a serious challenge, keep your eyes on Tuesday the 8th. The swell is predicted to come up big – we’re talking 13ft from the S on Tuesday morning, with a truly massive amount of energy behind it (10899). It’s hauling and the wind is cross-shore, but honestly, this is way too big for this break and it’s going to be a washing machine. It’s an expert-only situation and it's a "too big" warning, so you'd have to be a lunatic to paddle out.
The real standout, the one that should get the blood pumping, comes later. Look at Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th. On Saturday the 12th morning, we've got 3ft groundswell coming from the SSW with a long 19-second period and light, clean cross-offshore winds from the NE. This is the best combination of the whole run. The swell is solid, the wind is off it, and the conditions are described as "expect very good." Sunday morning the 13th is similar – 5ft of SSW swell, 14-second period, and again that clean cross-offshore wind. Those two mornings are your window, and they're the only real standout sessions in the whole 16 days. The following week, from the 16th onwards, drops right off into nothingness with poor conditions and tiny swell.
So, there it is. A long, flat start, one massive but dangerous spike mid-week, and then a couple of gorgeous mornings over the weekend before it all fades away again.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 25°C on Sat morning, min 19°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Thu morning, min 18°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | S 12 | SSW 24 | S 15 | S 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSE 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 12 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 367 | 367 | 264 | 544 | 639 | 1197 | 898 | 1068 | 6029 | 10743 | 5034 | 2609 | 1106 | 678 | 550 | 364 | 313 | 259 | 167 | 140 | 104 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:37AM0.22m | 9:47PM0.21m | 10:59AM0.18m | 7:31PM0.24m | 8:02AM0.18m | 7:18PM0.29m | 7:42AM0.22m | 7:32PM0.34m | 7:53AM0.25m | 7:52PM0.38m | 8:10AM0.28m | 8:14PM0.41m | 8:30AM0.31m | 8:37PM0.43m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:28PM0.17m | 4:13AM0.12m | 1:30PM0.17m | 2:33AM0.11m | 12:56PM0.13m | 2:12AM0.08m | 1:14PM0.10m | 2:19AM0.05m | 1:36PM0.06m | 2:34AM0.03m | 2:00PM0.04m | 2:50AM0.01m | 2:24PM0.02m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:00 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
Feels °C | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 15 | S 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | S 11 | SSE 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 12 | S 11 |
| kJ | 288 | 255 | 246 | 389 | 577 | 1197 | 898 | 628 | 6029 | 10743 | 5034 | 2609 | 1106 | 565 | 550 | 364 | 313 | 259 | 167 | 140 | 59 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSE 10 | S 16 | S 16 | SSW 21 | S 13 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 367 | 367 | 196 | 414 | 639 | 400 | 520 | 710 | 2622 | 156 | 711 | 599 | 496 | 678 | 294 | 191 | 225 | 43 | 84 | 123 | 104 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 16 | S 16 | S 15 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 12 | SSE 15 | SSW 21 |
| kJ | — | 100 | 264 | 544 | 166 | 134 | 111 | 1068 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 78 | 116 | 68 | 56 | 14 | 21 | 90 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 4 | — | — | — | S 6 | SSE 6 | E 9 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | 176 | 117 | 113 | 388 | 360 | 374 | 479 | 493 | 606 | 569 | 653 | 589 | 473 | 514 | 437 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 959 | 0 | 8 | 959 | 368 | 959 | 965 | 959 | 960 | 961 | 960 | 364 | 960 | 364 | 364 | 959 | 367 | 364 | 959 | 20 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Madagascar - East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Madagascar | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ambinanibe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ambinanibe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ambinanibe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ambinanibe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ambinanibe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ambinanibe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Madagascar - East? If you are looking for accommodation near Ambinanibe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Madagascar - East, consider staying in Fort Dauphin which is 9 km (6 miles) away. Other places in and around Madagascar - East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Ahalandravy which is 19 km (12 miles) away, Amboasary and Ambovombe.
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