Whale Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Whale Rock. It’s a tricky outlook, to be honest. This spot is a reef setup, and it’s inconsistent, so it doesn’t fire all the time. We’ve got a long stretch ahead with some real frustration, but a couple of windows that’ll get the blood pumping.

The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, coming in at 71°F on Tuesday morning, so you’ll be comfortable in a shorty or maybe even boardies if you’re hardy.

The first few days are a write-off. Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th are mostly a mess of cross-onshore winds and poor surf conditions. You’ll see the swell tick up, but the wind just ruins it. Thursday the 30th morning has a clean look with a cross-offshore breeze and a 8ft SE swell, but the energy is moderate (1917), and the quality is still marginal. I wouldn’t rush out.

The real standout for the first week is Friday morning, the 31st of July. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, with a nice 7ft swell from the ESE at a 9-second period. The energy is moderate (891), and the conditions are glassy. That’s the one to circle. It’s the best on offer in the near term. The swell is over 5ft, so it’s not for beginners, but for anyone comfortable on a reef, it’ll be clean.

Then we hit a long, dry spell. From Friday afternoon all the way through to Wednesday, the 6th of August, it’s basically a no-go. The wind is all over the shop, mostly cross-onshore, and the swell quality drops off a cliff. There’s a brief moment on Thursday morning, August 6th, with a glassy 2ft SSW groundswell, but it’s tiny and weak (120 energy). Not worth a paddle.

The next real highlight comes further out. On Friday, August 7th, the afternoon session looks promising. The wind goes glassy again, and there’s a 3ft SSW swell with a very long 14-second period. The energy is moderate (612), and the conditions are clean. It’s a small day, but that long period will wrap nicely into the reef. This is a long-range call, so don’t book the day off work just yet, but it’s got potential.

After that, a big, angry swell shows up for the second week. Sunday, August 9th morning, has a 7ft SSW groundswell with a 13-second period and cross-offshore wind. The energy is strong (2563), so there’s plenty of power, but it’s marginal quality. Then Monday, August 10th morning, is the biggest of the whole run: an 12ft SE swell, with a 9-second period, and a clean cross-offshore breeze. The energy is very strong (3319). That’s expert territory only. Anything over 8ft on a reef is serious, and the period is short, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and powerful. Not for the faint of heart.

The rest of the run fades out with a messy cross-shore wind and marginal conditions. The last interesting moment is Wednesday, August 12th, with a 5ft SSW groundswell at a very long 19-second period. The energy is moderate (1994), and the wind is just a gentle cross-shore. It’ll be a clean line-up, but with that period, expect long waits between sets. Great for the point break crowd.

So, to sum it up: Friday morning, July 31st, is your best bet in the first week. For the second week, keep an eye on Friday afternoon, August 7th, and the big Sunday and Monday mornings if you’re an expert. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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