Whale Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at how the surf’s shaping up for Whale Rock over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag on the cards. The first proper nod for a paddle comes Tuesday morning, 14 July. That’s where the week starts to look a little interesting. Tuesday morning is the standout – clean, glassy conditions with a 7ft easterly swell, period around 9 seconds, and the combined energy hitting 734 (moderate). The wind is glass, so the surface will be a dream. That’s the best window across the whole outlook, no question.

The swell is a bit short-period, so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but for a reef break like Whale Rock, that’s still going to push through with some shape. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is about average for this time of year, no surprises there.

Tuesday afternoon stays clean on the surface but the wind shifts cross-on, so it won’t be as tidy. Wednesday morning (15 July) has a similar size swell coming from the east at 6ft, period 10 seconds, and a cross-off breeze – clean enough to ride, but the scores say it’s marginal. The energy is moderate (581). Thursday has a similar story, drop in size to 5ft, still east, still light cross-on breeze.

Friday (17 July) drops right off. Swell fades to 4ft by the morning and 2ft by the afternoon, and the wind gets messy. Saturday (18 July) sees a spike in swell – 8ft from the south with a 14-second period, energy 2222 (strong) – but the wind is howling onshore at 22 mph, making it a total washout. That’s kite-surfing territory, not a paddle.

Sunday and Monday (19-20 July) are quiet, with small swell and mediocre conditions. Then Tuesday 21 July has a tiny 2ft south swell but with a very long 19-second period – that’s a groundswell, but it’s barely there, and the wind is cross. The energy is weak (343).

Wednesday 22 July afternoon is another highlight: glassy, 5ft from the SSW with a 15-second period, energy 943 (moderate). That’s a clean, long-period swell – perfect for a reef like this. The conditions are ideal, no wind ripples. That’s your second-best window.

After that, it’s mostly a write-off. Strong winds, onshore, choppy, and small swell dominate from 23 July through to 27 July. There’s a gap of about four days with nothing worth getting excited about.

Then we get a final glimpse on Tuesday morning, 28 July – a 6ft swell from the southwest, 10-second period, glassy, energy 910 (moderate). That’s a promising but distant call – it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it. The afternoon turns messy again.

Whale Rock is an advanced reef break and it’s inconsistent, so when you get a clean window like Tuesday morning or Wednesday afternoon, you’ve got to jump on it. Crowds are possible here, but with the inconsistency, you might have it to yourself.

Rusty.

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