Whale Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about what we’re working with for the next couple of weeks.

The start is a bummer. The first couple of days are a total mess. Tuesday's got a weak, short-period swell with shocking conditions – not worth paddling out for. The water's at 69°F, which is right where it should be this time of year.

Wednesday gets a little more size, but a strong cross-shore wind is gonna chop it up. It's just not clean. Thursday’s more of the same, too much cross-shore wind, and the swell is backing off. It’s a frustrating stretch.

Then Friday the 4th, we get a spike in size. That SSE swell is pushing close to 15 feet with a fresh cross-onshore wind and rain. That’s a lot of water moving around, but it's going to be lumpy and poor. Too much wind, too raw. It's a blowout, not a surf day.

The weekend keeps the onshore wind, but the swell drops. It’s still messy, and the period drops off, making it junky. Monday the 7th is the one that will get the heart rate up. That south groundswell is arriving with a 16-second period and energy readings are way up there (5559). But, the wind is howling at 25 mph from the northeast. That’s a strong cross-shore and it's going to make a mess of things. There’s a ton of power in the water, but it's going to be unruly. Big, raw and probably more of a battle than a pleasure.

As we head into the middle of the week, the swell fades out. The surf gets smaller and smaller, and the winds keep messing it up. We get a bit of a glassy window on Wednesday the 9th, but the swell’s tiny, only 2 feet, so it’s not doing anything.

There's a gap in any real surf for several days after that. It’s small, or blown out, with nothing to get excited about. The energy is just weak.

The following week only offers a marginal look on the 15th – a light cross-shore with a 4-foot south swell, but it’s not going to be any good. It’s small and questionable.

Honestly, the standout is that Monday the 7th, but as I said, those winds are going to murder it. For a reef break like Whale Rock, which is exposed and needs the right direction, this looks more like a day for a kite surfer, not a paddler. It's powerful as hell, but we need it calm and that’s just not in the cards. The potential is there, but you’ll be fighting the whole way. A rare break like this needs conditions to be right, and this isn't it.

Keep it on the radar, but don't plan your week around it.

Rusty.

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