Whale Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, it’s your local surf reporter Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook for our region is a tough one. We’re looking at a 16-day window, but honestly, it’s a grim run for most of it. The only real glimmer of hope is at Whale Rock, and even that’s a tricky, inconsistent spot that only breaks for the advanced crew. The first solid recommendation doesn’t kick in until Monday morning, August 10th, and from there, we’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions.

Right, let’s start with the best of a bad bunch. The standout, and I mean the only real standout, is Whale Rock (reef break). On Monday, August 10th, the morning brings a 8 ft southerly swell, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is strong at (1106), but the wind is a cross-shore breeze from the south at 19 mph, making it lumpy. The water is sitting at 71°, which is just about average for this time of year. It’s not perfect, but it’s the only show in town. The afternoon sees a drop to 7 ft from the SSE, with a lighter 9 mph cross-shore breeze, but it’s still cross-chop.

Tuesday, August 11th, the morning swell is 6 ft from the south, with a longer period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is strong at (1257), but it’s cross-onshore and choppy with a 12 mph wind. The afternoon turns into a real mess – 7 ft from the SE, but a 19 mph onshore wind makes it a write-off.

From Wednesday, August 12th, right through to the end of the second week, it’s a desert. The swell drops, the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, and the conditions are consistently poor. We’ve got days of clean-offshore winds on the 19th, but the swell is a tiny 4 ft from the east, marginal and not worth the paddle. The 22nd of August offers a small glimmer with a 8 ft easterly swell and a clean cross-offshore wind, but again, the quality is marginal.

The long-range stuff later in the month, like the 21st and 22nd, shows some bump in swell size, but the wind is a howling 28 mph onshore, making it a complete mess. The only time the wind is clean is on the 22nd afternoon, with a light 6 mph cross-shore and a 7 ft swell, but it’s still a marginal call.

In short, if you’re an expert and you’re desperate, the Monday morning of the 10th is your best bet at Whale Rock. For the rest of us, it’s a waiting game. The breaks here are inconsistent, and a blank run like this is normal for the area. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because things can change.

Rusty.

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