Whale Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about what’s on offer at Whale Rock.

First up, the water temp is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there. The forecast kicks off with a bit of a slow start though. For the first few days, we’ve got some swell, but the wind is just not playing nice, making it a bit of a struggle.

Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th have some waist-to-chest high stuff, around 6ft to 7ft, coming from the East. But with a cross or cross-onshore wind, it’s going to be choppy and messy. Not the best for a paddle out.

Thursday the 16th morning is where it starts to get interesting. The wind drops right off – glassy conditions – and we’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the East with a period of 11 seconds. The energy is moderate (723), and it’s looking like a fun session for those who can handle the reef. This is probably the best bet in the early part of the run.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th see the swell drop and the wind turns ugly again. Saturday even gets a bit of a bump from the south, but that moderate cross-onshore wind will ruin it. Not worth it.

Then we get a big gap of nothing much until Monday the 20th. And man, is it worth the wait. On Monday the 20th, the morning is a standout. We’re looking at a solid 10ft groundswell from the SSW, with a period of 13 seconds. The energy is very strong (3472), and the wind is glassy. This is serious, experienced-surfer territory – over 8ft, so it’s for experts only. That long period will make for some powerful, well-shaped waves at this reef, but the sets will be a bit less frequent. Absolutely the best on offer in this whole outlook.

The rest of that week cools down a bit. Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd mornings have some clean, smaller waves, but nothing like that Monday peak. The afternoon winds pick up, so get out early.

The following week, from the 23rd onwards, looks pretty poor. The swell gets small, the wind is all over the place, and there’s nothing to get excited about. There’s a glimmer on Saturday the 25th morning with a clean 5ft wave from the ENE, but it’s a really short period (6 seconds), so the energy is weak. It’s a long shot.

So, to sum it up: the first few days are a write-off due to wind. Thursday the 16th morning is a solid, clean option. But the absolute highlight, the one you’ve got to circle on your calendar, is Monday the 20th morning. It’s big, it’s clean, and it’s powerful – only for the experienced crew. After that, the window slams shut.

Rusty.

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