Whale Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Whale Rock.

We’ve got one spot to talk about, and it’s a tricky one. Whale Rock is an advanced reef break, but it’s inconsistent, so you can’t just rock up and expect waves. The water is sitting at 72°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a game changer, but nice.

The first few days are a write-off. Tuesday and Wednesday are offering tiny, weak swell with poor conditions. Tuesday morning sees a 2 ft SW swell with a light cross-shore, but the energy is low (149). That’s not worth paddling out for.

Thursday 9th July finally shows some life. The morning bumps up to 6 ft SW swell with a cross-offshore wind, and the combined energy jumps to 1219. It’s a moderate swell, but it’s still on the fence for quality. The afternoon gets bigger at 7 ft but gets lumpy with a cross-shore.

Now, Friday 10th July morning is the first standout. We’re looking at a solid 10 ft SSW groundswell with a period of 15 seconds – that’s very long-period energy. The combined energy is 3820, which is strong. The wind is light cross-on, but keep in mind, a long-period swell like this tends to break straight at a reef spot. It’s for experienced surfers only at this size. Crowds are possible here.

Saturday 11th July morning is the pick of the first week. Glassy conditions with a 6 ft SSW swell, period of 13 seconds, and combined energy at 1269. That’s clean, offshore wind, good shape potential. It’s an excellent window for advanced surfers.

Sunday 12th July morning pushes up to 12 ft S swell, but the period drops to 9 seconds – so it’s windswell, less organised. Still big, but choppy.

Monday 13th July fades. Swell drops, winds turn fresh, and it’s not worth it.

Tuesday 14th July morning brings another glassy session with a 8 ft SW swell, period of 9 seconds – clean but not as much grunt as the Saturday morning.

From the 15th through the 18th, there’s a lull. Waves get small and weak. The 18th Saturday afternoon sees a spike to 10 ft S swell, but it’s short-period at 7 seconds and messy. More of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.

The second week gets bigger again. Sunday 20th July morning fires up with a 12 ft SE swell, period of 10 seconds, combined energy 3324. It’s moderate-to-strong, but the cross-shore wind chops it up. Not the cleanest.

The absolute standout of the whole forecast is Tuesday 22nd July afternoon. 13 ft SSW groundswell with an 11-second period, and combined energy of 4185 – that’s strong, solid, powerful. The wind is a cross-shore, but at that size, it’s for experts only. Crowds are possible.

Overall, the best bets are Saturday 11th July morning for clean, manageable size, and Tuesday 22nd July afternoon for sheer power. The long-range one is promising but less certain.

Rusty, signing off.

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