Whale Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Whale Rock over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a slow start. The first recommendation isn’t until Saturday the 18th, so Friday is a write-off – marginal conditions and a score that’s barely worth a paddle. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The real standout window kicks off Saturday morning, the 18th. We’re looking at a glassy 3 ft swell from the south with a long 13-second period. That’s clean, lined-up, and the energy is moderate. It’s a reef break, so that long period groundswell will wrap in nicely. The wind is dead calm – glass. That’s a proper session. It’s an advanced spot that’s inconsistent and can get crowded sometimes, but on a morning like this, you’ll be sharing it with folks who know what they’re doing.

Saturday afternoon bumps up to 5 ft from the south, period holding at 12 seconds, and the wind swings cross-offshore. That’s clean, pushy, and the energy jumps. This is the best on offer in the first week – bigger, cleaner, and with more punch. If you can only get one session, make it Saturday arvo.

Sunday the 19th morning is another glassy one, 3 ft from the southeast with a 14-second period. Very clean, but a touch smaller. The energy is still strong, so it’ll be fun but not as meaty as Saturday.

From Monday the 20th onward, things get more mixed. Monday morning pushes 5 ft from the southeast, but the wind is cross-shore and the quality is only marginal. That afternoon the wind swings cross-onshore and it turns choppy – not worth it.

There’s a decent pulse midweek, Wednesday the 22nd afternoon, with 6 ft from the SSW at 13 seconds, but the wind is onshore and the conditions are a bit of a mystery. The energy is strong, but with onshore wind, it’s going to be a mess.

The second week has a couple of promising but less certain windows. Friday the 24th has a very long period SSW swell – 5 ft at 16 seconds, energy through the roof. But the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s a gamble. If the wind plays ball, that could be a ripper, but it’s a long way out.

Saturday the 25th sees a big jump – 7 ft from the SSW at 16 seconds, but the wind is a strong 25 mph cross-offshore. That’s a lot of water moving, and at that size, it’s expert-only. The energy is enormous, but it’s going to be heavy and tough. Sunday the 26th is still big (7 ft), but with a moderate cross-onshore, it’s choppy and messy.

After that, it fades quickly. From Monday the 28th onward, the swell drops below 3 ft and the wind stays messy. The last few days of July and into August are mostly poor, with small, weak, and choppy conditions. By the 1st of August, we’re seeing a jump back up to 7 ft, but with a strong cross-onshore wind – that’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle one.

So to sum it up: your best bet is Saturday the 18th afternoon, followed closely by Sunday morning the 19th. The second week has potential on the 24th and 25th, but it’s a long way off and the wind is a question mark. Don’t sleep on Saturday.

Rusty.

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