Whale Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks at Whale Rock. It’s gonna be a test of patience, that’s for sure.

Water temp is 70°, which is about normal for this time of year. Nothing crazy.

For the surf, the first stretch is a write-off. For days we’ve got cross and cross-on winds making a mess of things, with weak to moderate energy most of the time. The one bright spot early is Saturday afternoon, the 15th. The wind goes glassy and there’s a 5ft east swell with a 10-second period. That’s your chance for a clean, fun wave. Energy is moderate, and the direction isn’t ideal, but clean is clean. That’s the best you’re gonna get for a while.

Then it’s back to the poor stuff. Choppy and lumpy. There’s a little swell around the 21st and 22nd, but the wind keeps ruining it.

Now, for the main event. You need to circle Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th on your calendar. This is the big one. Sunday morning we’ve got 8ft of SSW groundswell at 16 seconds, with a strong energy reading of 4207. Monday morning is even bigger, hitting 10ft at 15 seconds and an energy of 4946. This is a serious, powerful groundswell. The direction is right for the reef, and even though the wind is cross-onshore, at this size and period, Whale Rock will be alive. This is only for experienced surfers. Anything over 8ft is expert territory, and this is well past that. It’ll be heavy, it’ll be powerful, and it’ll be crowded. This spot is inconsistent, so when it fires, everyone knows.

After that, the swell backs down pretty quickly. The 25th has a 5ft SSW swell, but the wind is back to being messy. The 26th and 27th are smaller and still onshore. By the 28th and 29th, it’s all but done, just weak pulses and poor conditions.

So, bottom line: Wait for the 23rd and 24th. That’s your window. It’s a long way out, so treat it as a promising lead, not a certainty, but it’s the only real swell of the period with any punch.

Rusty out.

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