
Surf Forecasts:
Paco D 'arcos surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 10 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Paco D 'arcos this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Paco D 'arcos in the next 16 days are 0.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 9s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 17th Sep) | 0.5ft (0.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Paco D 'arcos over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into what's on the table for Paco D'arcos.
Honestly, this is a tough one. Looking at the whole 16-day window, the story is pretty much the same from start to finish: we're dealing with a real flat spell. There's no decent swell to speak of, and the energy levels are barely a whisper. The combined swell energy fluctuates but stays in the low single digits (3 to 10), which is about as weak as it gets. For a sheltered point like Paco D'arcos, that means the ocean is just resting. You’ll be scratching for a knee-high ripple at best, and that's if you’re lucky.
The water temp is sitting at 67°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, about 2°F off the average. So, you might want that extra layer, even if you’re not expecting to paddle much.
Kicking off on Saturday the 12th, the morning is glassy with a NNE wind at 3 mph, but there's only a 0.3 ft swell. The afternoon cleans up with a cross-off wind, but still, nothing to ride. This flat pattern just keeps going. We see glassy conditions and light offshores in the mornings right through the weekend, but it's all for nothing – the ocean is smooth as a lake. For instance, Sunday the 13th morning has light cross-on wind, but again, zip for waves.
Moving into the work week, we get a bit of wind. Tuesday the 15th afternoon has a fresh offshore NNW wind at 19 mph with a 0.3 ft south swell – that's just a groomed flatness. Wednesday the 16th is the same story but with a strong offshore breeze at 25 mph. It's clean, sure, but you'd be paddling into nothing, and that strong wind would make it a battle just to stay in position.
The pattern doesn't change much into the second week. Saturday the 19th morning has a gentle offshore, Sunday the 20th is clean, but it's all the same: knee-high dribble. The most promising-looking window is around the 25th and 26th of September. We see a few pulses of long-period swell pop up on Friday the 25th (0.3 ft from the SW at 15 seconds) and Saturday the 26th (0.3 ft from the SW at 14 seconds). Those are proper long-period groundswells, and that 15-second period on the Friday morning could give a little bit of push. The wind is looking good, too, with a light offshore from the N on Saturday morning. A point break like Paco D'arcos is actually the perfect spot for a long-period swell like this, as it won't just close out. Even though the energy is still tiny (max 10), that combo of a favorable direction and clean offshore wind makes the 26th the best—and possibly only—decent bet in the whole outlook. Even then, keep expectations really low.
This long, blank run is pretty normal for this spot when the swell is this sheltered. It just isn't picking up any of the ocean's energy. The forecasts can change, but as it stands, we’re in for a very quiet fortnight.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 21°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri morning, min 17°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Fri morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NW 13 | NW 12 | S 11 | NW 11 | S 11 | S 10 | NW 10 | S 10 | S 13 | S 13 | SW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:06PM3.07m | 4:26AM2.86m | 4:42PM2.95m | 5:00AM2.77m | 5:17PM2.76m | 5:34AM2.64m | 5:52PM2.53m | 6:08AM2.47m | 6:29PM2.29m | 6:46AM2.28m | 7:12PM2.05m | 7:34AM2.08m | 8:13PM1.85m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:17PM-0.02m | 10:27AM0.08m | 10:49PM0.11m | 11:02AM0.19m | 11:21PM0.28m | 11:37AM0.35m | 11:53PM0.48m | 12:14PM0.55m | 00:27AM0.70m | 12:56PM0.77m | 1:08AM0.92m | 1:51PM0.98m | 2:07AM1.10m | |||||||
— | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
7:51 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:40 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 24 | 24 | 19 | 25 | 25 | 22 |
Feels °C | 28 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 23 | 22 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 7 | WNW 9 | NW 13 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 11 | WNW 10 | S 13 | SW 13 | WNW 12 | NNW 9 | S 12 | SW 16 | NNW 9 | NW 14 | NW 15 |
111 | 65 | 250 | 330 | 478 | 233 | 162 | 98 | 74 | 33 | 83 | 3 | 6 | 294 | 781 | 3 | 10 | 821 | 128 | 1125 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | NW 15 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | S 11 | NNW 6 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | S 13 | S 13 | — | S 12 | NW 11 | S 16 | S 11 | NW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
68 | 83 | 49 | 42 | 2 | 23 | 39 | 39 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 476 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 18 | WNW 11 | W 9 | NW 8 | S 11 | WNW 9 | S 11 | S 10 | WNW 12 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | S 12 | — | — | SW 15 | S 11 | — |
12 | 12 | 40 | 32 | 2 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 9 | 2 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 7 | — | — | — | — | NNW 6 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | NNW 10 | NNE 2 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | — | NNW 9 | NNW 8 |
— | 97 | — | — | — | — | 12 | 4 | 4 | 56 | 550 | 1496 | 1621 | 1825 | 1 | 1088 | 1032 | — | 641 | 454 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 3 | 4 | 154 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 687 | 581 | 719 | 461 | 96 | 2 | 452 | 96 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lisboa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Paco D 'arcos Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Paco D 'arcos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Paco D 'arcos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Paco D 'arcos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Paco D 'arcos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Paco D 'arcos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Paco D 'arcos is 1 km (1 miles) from Paco de Arcos. If you plan a holiday in Lisboa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Paco de Arcos. Paco de Arcos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










