Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.72° S 173.08° E

Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 24 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
15.9° C
0.2° 

Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, NW swell with 141 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Mon 27th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 10s
Best Surf 6PM (Mon 27th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 10s
Most Powerful12AM (Sat 25th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Fri night, light winds from the S by Mon morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
NNW
5
1.3
NW
6
0.7
NNW
7
0.5
E
12
0.3
NW
15
0.9
NW
6
0.4
NNW
8
0.3
E
14
0.3
E
13
0.4
E
12
0.3
E
13
0.3
E
13
0.3
E
13
0.4
E
14
0.4
E
13
0.4
E
13
0.4
E
13
0.4
E
13
0.3
E
12
1.4
NNW
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
117
141
46
67
39
54
23
36
30
46
30
30
32
57
56
56
54
50
26
102
Wind (km/h)
30
NW
35
W
40
WSW
45
SW
25
WSW
30
WSW
30
WSW
25
S
20
S
20
S
20
SSW
15
SSW
15
S
10
E
5
ENE
10
NE
15
NNE
15
N
25
NNW
25
NNW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
3:52PM1.68m
3:59AM1.65m
4:50PM1.69m
4:55AM1.64m
5:44PM1.72m
5:49AM1.66m
6:34PM1.78m
6:39AM1.71m
7:19PM1.85m
7:24AM1.76m
8:01PM1.92m
8:07AM1.81m
8:40PM1.98m
Low Tide
9:57PM0.68m
10:22AM0.49m
10:56PM0.69m
11:17AM0.47m
11:51PM0.66m
12:08PM0.43m
00:42AM0.60m
12:55PM0.37m
1:28AM0.53m
1:38PM0.31m
2:10AM0.46m
2:19PM0.26m
2:51AM0.40m
light rain
thunderstorm
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:44
 mm
2
3
2
4
1
1
3
Temp °C
15
15
13
13
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
14
14
14
15
15
15
Feels °C
10
11
4
3
9
8
8
7
7
7
8
9
9
9
11
11
11
11
10
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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