Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Wednesday 17 Dec 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
19.4° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Dec 17) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 12 days are 0.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Dec 20) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Dec 20) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Wed 17th Dec)2.5ft (0.7m) 8s
Best Surf10AM (Wed 17th Dec)2.5ft (0.7m) 8s
Most Powerful 1AM (Sat 20th Dec)1.5ft (0.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri morning, min 16°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 17°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sat morning, calm by Sun night).

Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tue
23
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.3
N
0.5
ENE
0.4
N
0.3
N
0.4
N
0.4
N
0.5
N
0.5
N
0.5
N
0.5
N
0.5
N
0.5
N
0.5
N
0.4
NNE
0.4
NNE
0.4
NNE
1.1
NW
1.2
NW
Period(s) (?)788139111615151514141413131312121255
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)6251472943384669681129498938686804847465183
Wind
(km/h)
25
SW
25
SW
25
SW
10
SSW
15
SSW
20
SW
10
SW
15
W
20
W
20
W
30
WNW
20
SW
20
SW
10
SW
15
W
10
W
15
NW
20
WNW
20
NW
30
NW
30
WNW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
offoffoffcross-
off
offoffoffcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
offoffoffcross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
crosscrosscross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:48AM
1.76
6:51PM
1.73
7:33AM
1.82
7:36PM
1.76
8:16AM
1.87
8:19PM
1.78
8:58AM
1.92
9:01PM
1.81
9:38AM
1.95
9:42PM
1.82
10:18AM
1.98
10:22PM
1.82
10:57AM
1.99
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:25AM
0.40
12:52PM
0.60
1:10AM
0.37
1:39PM
0.57
1:53AM
0.33
2:23PM
0.53
2:35AM
0.29
3:05PM
0.49
3:16AM
0.26
3:47PM
0.46
3:56AM
0.24
4:28PM
0.44
4:35AM
0.24
5:08PM
0.43
Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tue
23
Sunrise-6:09--6:09--6:09--6:09--6:09--6:11--6:11-
Sunset--8:37--8:37--8:37--8:38--8:38--8:39--8:39
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
----------11---------
Temp. °C181818171818171919181920181818172121192222
Feels °C (?)161313131413141616161518151615162019191919
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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