Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Thursday 29 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
20.2° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 29) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 12 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Feb 05) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Monday (Feb 02) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Thu 29th Jan)1ft (0.3m) 13s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 30th Jan)2.5ft (0.7m) 13s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 5th Feb)6ft (1.8m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 17°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Warm (max 23°C on Sun morning, min 17°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
29
Friday
30
Saturday
31
Sunday
01
Monday
02
Tuesday
03
Wed
04
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.3
E
0.3
E
0.3
E
0.3
ENE
0.7
NE
0.5
ENE
0.9
NNE
1
N
1
N
0.9
NNE
0.7
ENE
0.7
N
0.6
N
0.6
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.4
NE
1.4
E
1.8
E
Period(s) (?)101010127121211101010109999991367
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)1817172958812522382041508110461545353614945153330
Wind
(km/h)
10
ESE
15
ESE
5
SE
10
SSE
5
SE
5
E
5
E
5
E
10
ENE
5
NE
10
NE
10
NNE
15
N
15
NNW
15
WNW
20
SSW
20
SSE
15
SE
20
ESE
30
ESE
30
E
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscross-
on
crosscross-
off
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
glassononcross-
on
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
4:50AM
1.84
5:05PM
1.83
5:59AM
1.89
6:13PM
1.85
7:03AM
1.98
7:17PM
1.90
8:02AM
2.08
8:15PM
1.97
8:54AM
2.16
9:08PM
2.02
9:42AM
2.22
9:57PM
2.05
10:27AM
2.23
Low Tide
/ height (m)
10:26PM
0.30
11:01AM
0.53
11:33PM
0.28
12:12PM
0.49
12:38AM
0.22
1:17PM
0.41
1:38AM
0.15
2:16PM
0.32
2:33AM
0.08
3:09PM
0.23
3:23AM
0.04
3:57PM
0.17
4:09AM
0.04
4:43PM
0.14
Thursday
29
Friday
30
Saturday
31
Sunday
01
Monday
02
Tuesday
03
Wed
04
Sunrise-6:43--6:43--6:45--6:46--6:47--6:48--6:48-
Sunset--8:37--8:36--8:35--8:35--8:34--8:32--8:31
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
Rain (mm)
-------1-----41------
Temp. °C202121202021191820202323222222211919181819
Feels °C (?)202121212022201920212324232323221617131415
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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