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Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf Forecast
/ Northland (73 surf breaks) /
Surf Forecasts:
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand
12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 pm Friday 19 Sep 2025 NZST
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:
The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 25) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 12 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 26) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Thu 25th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Thu 25th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Thu 25th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days.
Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Fri night, fresh winds from the NNE by Mon morning). | Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 56mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue night, min 15°C on Mon afternoon). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the N on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the NNE by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 19 | Saturday 20 | Sunday 21 | Monday 22 | Tuesday 23 | Wednesday 24 | Thursday 25 | |||||||||||||||||
| PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |||
Rating (10 max) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||||
| Wave Height (m) & direction (?) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Period(s) (?) | 6 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | ||
Wave (?)Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ (?) | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 120 | 215 | 280 | 286 | 325 | 307 | 546 | 447 | 284 | 358 | 383 | 726 | 2193 | 1874 | 1849 | 646 | 238 | ||
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wind State (?) onshore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore offshore glassy | off | cross- off | cross- on | on | on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | on | cross | cross- off | cross- off | cross- off | ||
High Tide / height (m) | 6:04PM 1.93 | 6:24AM 1.83 | 6:51PM 1.98 | 7:11AM 1.89 | 7:33PM 2.03 | 7:53AM 1.95 | 8:11PM 2.05 | 8:33AM 1.99 | 8:47PM 2.04 | 9:11AM 2.00 | 9:23PM 2.01 | 9:48AM 1.99 | 9:58PM 1.96 | 10:25AM 1.95 | |||||||||
Low Tide / height (m) | 12:21AM 0.40 | 12:35PM 0.30 | 1:08AM 0.31 | 1:20PM 0.26 | 1:48AM 0.25 | 2:01PM 0.24 | 2:26AM 0.20 | 2:40PM 0.25 | 3:01AM 0.18 | 3:17PM 0.27 | 3:36AM 0.19 | 3:54PM 0.32 | 4:12AM 0.23 | ||||||||||
Fri 19 | Saturday 20 | Sunday 21 | Monday 22 | Tuesday 23 | Wednesday 24 | Thursday 25 | |||||||||||||||||
| Sunrise | - | - | 6:20 | - | - | 6:18 | - | - | 6:16 | - | - | 6:16 | - | - | 6:15 | - | - | 6:13 | - | - | 6:11 | ||
| Sunset | 6:21 | - | - | 6:22 | - | - | 6:22 | - | - | 6:22 | - | - | 6:23 | - | - | 6:24 | - | - | 6:24 | - | - | ||
 |  | | |  |  | |  |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | |||
Rain (mm) | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | - | 1 | 2 | - | ||
| Temp. °C | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 16 | ||
| Feels °C (?) | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | ||
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Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
Recent Eyeball Surf Reports for Northland
Continuing clean conditions at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point (light winds from the WSW at Tokerau Beach wx 33 km from Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point). 0.7m 6s windswell from the NNW with a 0.4m 14s groundswell, also from the NNW and a 0.2m 10s swell, also from the NW. 3 swells combining to make bigger set waves.
33 km away, 1 h 45 min ago
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.
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