Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Tuesday 20 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
21.4° C
(Which is 1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 12 days are 2.1m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jan 24) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 22nd Jan)7ft (2.1m) 8s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 22nd Jan)7ft (2.1m) 8s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 22nd Jan)7ft (2.1m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 95mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 23°C on Wed night, min 20°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Tue night, fresh winds from the NNE by Wed night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 16°C on Sat night). Mainly strong winds.

Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Mon
26
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.9
ENE
1.7
ENE
1.5
E
1.4
E
1.2
E
2
ENE
1.5
E
2.1
N
1.9
N
1.6
N
1.2
N
0.9
N
0.7
N
0.6
N
0.5
E
0.4
ENE
0.2
N
0.2
N
0.3
N
0.4
E
0.3
NNE
Period(s) (?)99999688101110101011991615151213
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)586427355311225247295601655610305171948742262017384735
Wind
(km/h)
20
E
15
E
20
E
10
ENE
25
ENE
20
E
35
NNE
25
SW
35
WSW
25
W
25
WSW
25
WSW
30
WSW
35
SW
30
SW
40
SW
30
WSW
30
WSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
onoffcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
offoffoffoffcross-
off
cross-
off
offoff
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:56AM
2.01
10:03PM
1.87
10:34AM
2.06
10:43PM
1.89
11:11AM
2.08
11:24PM
1.90
11:48AM
2.08
12:07AM
1.89
12:28PM
2.06
12:53AM
1.88
1:11PM
2.02
1:43AM
1.85
1:59PM
1.96
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:35AM
0.22
4:07PM
0.38
4:14AM
0.19
4:47PM
0.32
4:53AM
0.18
5:26PM
0.28
5:33AM
0.21
6:07PM
0.25
6:14AM
0.25
6:49PM
0.24
6:59AM
0.31
7:35PM
0.25
7:49AM
0.39
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Mon
26
Sunrise-6:33--6:35--6:35--6:37--6:37--6:39--6:39-
Sunset--8:42--8:40--8:40--8:39--8:39--8:38--8:38
heavy rain
mod rain
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
Rain (mm)
226-23114011-------------
Temp. °C212122212121232322202121191818161819182020
Feels °C (?)21222423212121211917181716111281213131616
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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