Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Monday 17 Nov 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
18.2° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Nov 18) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 12 days are 1.8m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Nov 19) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 4s period and expected on Monday (Nov 24) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Tue 18th Nov)4.5ft (1.3m) 10s
Best Surf10AM (Wed 19th Nov)6ft (1.8m) 10s
Most Powerful10AM (Wed 19th Nov)6ft (1.8m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 21°C on Wed morning, min 17°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 68mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 20°C on Thu morning, min 18°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NE by Sat afternoon).

Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.7
E
1.3
ENE
1.1
NE
1.3
ENE
1.2
NE
1.3
ENE
1.8
ENE
1.8
ENE
1.7
ENE
1.5
ENE
1.4
ENE
1.3
ENE
1.2
ENE
1.2
ENE
1.1
NE
1.1
NE
1.1
NE
1.2
NE
1.2
NE
1.4
NE
1.4
NE
Period(s) (?)996999101010101099999910101010
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)8727292288247305674674554448356266221221186211211262268373380
Wind
(km/h)
25
NE
25
ENE
25
NE
20
NE
15
NNE
10
E
10
WNW
15
W
5
WNW
5
ENE
10
NE
10
E
15
E
15
ESE
20
E
25
NE
30
NE
20
NNE
15
N
10
N
15
N
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
onononononcross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
glassoncross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
on
ononcross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:44PM
1.82
7:21AM
1.83
7:26PM
1.83
8:02AM
1.89
8:06PM
1.85
8:41AM
1.94
8:45PM
1.86
9:19AM
1.97
9:24PM
1.86
9:57AM
1.98
10:02PM
1.84
10:36AM
1.96
10:41PM
1.81
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:40PM
0.51
1:04AM
0.33
1:26PM
0.49
1:44AM
0.29
2:07PM
0.46
2:22AM
0.26
2:47PM
0.44
2:59AM
0.24
3:27PM
0.42
3:37AM
0.24
4:06PM
0.43
4:15AM
0.25
4:45PM
0.45
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Sunrise6:13--6:13--6:11--6:11--6:11--6:09--6:09--
Sunset-8:10--8:12--8:13--8:14--8:15--8:15--8:16-
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
heavy rain
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
thunderstorm
light rain
rain showers
Rain (mm)
-----1------11516131211222
Temp. °C191818191918212018202020181919191919201919
Feels °C (?)161516181919211919212022181918181717212020
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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