Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 pm Sunday 14 Sep 2025 NZST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
15.7° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 18) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 12 days are 1.5m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 22) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Sep 15) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Thu 18th Sep)3ft (0.9m) 6s
Best Surf 6PM (Thu 18th Sep)3ft (0.9m) 6s
Most Powerful12AM (Mon 22nd Sep)5ft (1.5m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sun afternoon, light winds from the W by Tue night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Thu morning, calm by Fri night).

Sun
14
Monday
15
Tuesday
16
Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.2
ENE
0.2
ENE
0.1
E
0.1
E
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
NE
0.1
N
0.1
NE
0.4
NW
1.1
NW
1.3
NNW
1.5
NW
0.6
NNW
0.3
NNW
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.2
N
1
N
Period(s) (?)12111111131312121135666613131312125
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)1312553565554710115629646331145
Wind
(km/h)
30
WSW
25
SW
20
SW
25
SW
15
SW
20
SW
20
SW
5
W
15
WNW
20
WNW
25
NW
35
NW
30
W
25
SW
30
SSW
25
SSW
10
SE
10
NNE
15
NNE
20
N
25
N
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
offoffoffoffoffoffoffcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
offoffcross-
off
crossoncross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
12:56AM
1.89
1:42PM
1.90
2:01AM
1.78
2:52PM
1.84
3:13AM
1.72
4:03PM
1.83
4:25AM
1.72
5:08PM
1.87
5:29AM
1.76
6:04PM
1.93
6:24AM
1.83
6:51PM
1.98
7:11AM
1.89
Low Tide
/ height (m)
6:52PM
0.39
7:19AM
0.27
7:57PM
0.49
8:25AM
0.36
9:10PM
0.54
9:35AM
0.40
10:22PM
0.54
10:44AM
0.39
11:27PM
0.48
11:44AM
0.35
12:21AM
0.40
12:35PM
0.30
1:08AM
0.31
Sun
14
Monday
15
Tuesday
16
Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunrise--6:26--6:26--6:24--6:22--6:22--6:20--6:18
Sunset6:16--6:17--6:19--6:20--6:20--6:21--6:22--
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
------------4--------
Temp. °C151415151415151415161516151414141213141517
Feels °C (?)9910101111121312131110111088910101112
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

Eyeball surf reportRecent Eyeball Surf Reports for Northland

  1. weather stationWind Update Cross-off wind 30 km from Tauranga Bay has become light (light winds from the WSW at Kerikeri Aero Automatic Weather Station). Waves should be turning clean at Tauranga Bay. 0.3m 12s groundswell from the ENE to make surfable waves.

    Tauranga Bay
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33 km away, 1 h 33 min ago

5 km/h
SW
0.0
15.7
Air / Water (°C)
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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