
Surf Forecasts:
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, N swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, N swell with 567 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:
The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Aug 14) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 39mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue night, min 13°C on Sun afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the ENE by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
368 | 564 | 383 | 257 | 218 | 163 | 235 | 288 | 383 | 217 | 150 | 88 | 86 | 86 | 110 | 132 | 96 | 59 | 62 | 79 | 88 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 4:22PM1.87m | 4:37AM1.83m | 5:29PM1.96m | 5:43AM1.89m | 6:29PM2.06m | 6:44AM1.96m | 7:24PM2.16m | 7:40AM2.03m | 8:14PM2.24m | 8:32AM2.08m | 9:01PM2.27m | 9:21AM2.10m | 9:45PM2.25m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:56AM0.30m | 10:35PM0.51m | 11:02AM0.25m | 11:43PM0.43m | 12:05PM0.17m | 00:44AM0.32m | 1:02PM0.09m | 1:40AM0.22m | 1:55PM0.03m | 2:30AM0.13m | 2:44PM0.01m | 3:18AM0.08m | 3:31PM0.03m | ||||||||
7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
— | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | |
mm | 11 | 24 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | — | 1 | 8 | 10 | 5 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 14 | NE 13 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | E 11 | NE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | E 6 | E 5 | NNW 6 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
8 | 7 | 383 | 257 | 218 | 163 | 235 | 288 | 2 | 217 | 150 | 88 | 86 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 96 | 59 | 62 | 79 | 88 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 13 | W 19 | NE 12 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | W 20 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NE 10 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 11 |
3 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 132 | 28 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 19 | — | E 12 | E 12 | W 16 | W 16 | W 14 | — | N 12 | E 11 | N 12 | NW 11 | NW 9 | — | N 12 | E 5 | E 15 | NNW 7 | E 7 | NNW 11 | E 13 |
7 | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | SE 3 | — | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | — | W 4 | W 4 | — | SW 2 | SSW 3 |
368 | 564 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 383 | — | — | — | — | 86 | 110 | — | 13 | 6 | — | 1 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 157 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 37 | 17 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 265 | 383 | 0 | 66 | 8 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.











