Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Sunday 18 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
21.4° C
(Which is 1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 12 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jan 22) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Thu 22nd Jan)13ft (4.0m) 10s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 22nd Jan)13ft (4.0m) 10s
Most Powerful10AM (Thu 22nd Jan)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 49mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 22°C on Tue afternoon, min 19°C on Sat night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 87mm), heaviest during Wed afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Wed night, min 20°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Tue night, near gales from the NE by Wed night).

Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Sat
24
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
!
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.1
NE
2.4
E
3
E
2.5
E
2.4
E
2.5
E
2.5
E
2.5
ENE
2.3
ENE
2.3
ENE
3
ENE
3
ENE
4
ENE
4
NE
2.5
NNE
2
N
1.5
N
1.2
N
1
ENE
0.9
ENE
0.8
ENE
Period(s) (?)98998998888891011111111999
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)1976361283109580297711138716866889741280259335601547994536338158113101
Wind
(km/h)
15
SE
40
ESE
40
ESE
35
ESE
40
E
40
E
35
ENE
30
ENE
20
ENE
15
ENE
25
NE
45
NE
55
NE
35
W
30
W
20
W
20
WSW
30
SW
30
SSW
25
SSW
25
SSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
ononononcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
offoffoffoffcross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
8:36AM
1.88
8:40PM
1.79
9:18AM
1.95
9:22PM
1.83
9:56AM
2.01
10:03PM
1.87
10:34AM
2.06
10:43PM
1.89
11:11AM
2.08
11:24PM
1.90
11:48AM
2.08
12:07AM
1.89
12:28PM
2.06
Low Tide
/ height (m)
2:12AM
0.34
2:44PM
0.51
2:55AM
0.27
3:26PM
0.44
3:35AM
0.22
4:07PM
0.38
4:14AM
0.19
4:47PM
0.32
4:53AM
0.18
5:26PM
0.28
5:33AM
0.21
6:07PM
0.25
6:14AM
0.25
6:49PM
0.24
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Sat
24
Sunrise-6:31--6:33--6:33--6:35--6:35--6:37--6:37-
Sunset--8:42--8:42--8:42--8:40--8:40--8:39--8:39
cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
mod rain
heavy rain
mod rain
rain showers
thunderstorm
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
---3692191255129--------
Temp. °C201919191919212122222222232222212221191920
Feels °C (?)201313141414182022242118191919191917141415
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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