Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Friday 28 Nov 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
19.5° C
(Which is 1.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Nov 29) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 12 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Dec 03) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Dec 04) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sat 29th Nov)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 29th Nov)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Most Powerful 7PM (Wed 3rd Dec)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Warm (max 23°C on Fri morning, min 17°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 37mm), heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Mon morning, min 16°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the WSW by Wed night).

Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
01
Tuesday
02
Wednesday
03
Thursday
04
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.2
ENE
1
ENE
0.9
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.9
NNW
1.2
NNW
1.9
N
1.7
N
2.2
NNW
1.4
NNW
0.3
NNE
0.5
N
0.5
N
Period(s) (?)1010109999991010106668911201817
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)2632051631158686866565104100727010429932074045275160146
Wind
(km/h)
15
W
20
WNW
15
WNW
10
SW
15
SW
10
W
20
NW
10
NW
25
NW
15
NW
25
NW
10
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNE
20
NNW
35
NW
40
WNW
45
WSW
35
WSW
35
SW
20
SW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
offoffcross-
off
crosscrosscrosscrosscrosscross-
on
crosscross-
on
crosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
offoffoff
High Tide
/ height (m)
2:13PM
1.83
2:37AM
1.63
3:06PM
1.83
3:39AM
1.66
4:01PM
1.86
4:42AM
1.74
4:58PM
1.91
5:42AM
1.85
5:55PM
1.97
6:40AM
1.98
6:51PM
2.03
7:34AM
2.10
7:45PM
2.09
Low Tide
/ height (m)
8:37PM
0.51
8:45AM
0.50
9:33PM
0.46
9:45AM
0.50
10:30PM
0.37
10:46AM
0.48
11:26PM
0.27
11:48AM
0.42
12:21AM
0.16
12:47PM
0.35
1:14AM
0.06
1:44PM
0.27
2:07AM
-0.02
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
01
Tuesday
02
Wednesday
03
Thursday
04
Sunrise6:07--6:07--6:07--6:07--6:07--6:07--6:07--
Sunset-8:22--8:22--8:23--8:24--8:24--8:25--8:27-
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
mod rain
heavy rain
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
3-4--172421181294-----
Temp. °C232320212118212120222220212021222017181817
Feels °C (?)232120212018212119222421202021191410111112
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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