Surf Forecasts:
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast from 14 Oct 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 15 Oct, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 7s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 15 Oct, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 7s period, NNW swell with 479 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 15 Oct, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 7s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:
The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 15) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 16 days are 2.3m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 15) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Friday (Oct 16) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 15th Oct) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 15th Oct) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Thu 15th Oct) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Wed morning, fresh winds from the W by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 14 | Thursday 15 | Friday 16 | Saturday 17 | Sunday 18 | Monday 19 | Tuesday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 10 | E 7 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 41 | 41 | 54 | 479 | 89 | 23 | 24 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 35 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:54AM2.04m | 11:03PM1.93m | 11:34AM1.98m | 11:43PM1.84m | 12:16PM1.89m | 00:26AM1.75m | 1:02PM1.80m | 1:12AM1.66m | 1:53PM1.73m | 2:06AM1.58m | 2:50PM1.67m | 3:07AM1.54m | 3:50PM1.66m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:03PM0.33m | 5:16AM0.22m | 5:43PM0.41m | 5:57AM0.31m | 6:26PM0.50m | 6:40AM0.40m | 7:13PM0.59m | 7:27AM0.49m | 8:06PM0.65m | 8:21AM0.56m | 9:06PM0.69m | 9:21AM0.59m | 10:09PM0.67m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:45 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NE 10 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NE 9 | NE 10 | E 7 | E 6 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | ENE 9 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 41 | 41 | 16 | 249 | 89 | 23 | 23 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 35 | 11 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | N 11 | NE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 10 | N 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NW 6 | ESE 6 | NE 9 | NE 10 | ESE 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | NE 11 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | N 13 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 23 | 38 | 24 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 13 | — | W 16 | N 12 | — | — | N 6 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NE 13 | NE 13 | N 16 | N 16 | N 16 | N 15 | N 15 | N 14 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | — |
| kJ | 3 | — | 5 | 3 | — | — | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | W 4 | WNW 5 | SW 4 | SW 4 | S 3 | SE 4 | — | — | — | SW 3 | S 3 | — | WSW 3 | SSW 3 | — | — | S 3 |
| kJ | 1 | 4 | 54 | 479 | 23 | 109 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 190 | 157 | 0 | 66 | 426 | 0 | 46 | 51 | 75 | 0 | 38 | 50 | 46 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 50 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.
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