Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Friday 20 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
20.7° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Mar 21) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Mar 25) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Mar 21) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sat 21st Mar)1.5ft (0.5m) 14s
Best Surf 7PM (Thu 26th Mar)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 25th Mar)11ft (3.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Warm (max 20°C on Fri afternoon, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 84mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 18°C on Tue afternoon). Mainly strong winds.

Fri
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Monday
23
Tuesday
24
Wednesday
25
Thursday
26
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
3
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
E
0.5
N
0.5
E
0.5
N
0.5
N
0.4
NNE
0.4
NNE
0.4
NNE
0.3
NNE
0.8
ENE
1.8
ENE
2.3
ENE
2.4
ENE
2.5
NE
3.5
NE
3.5
NE
3.5
NE
3
NE
3
NNE
3
NNE
2.1
NE
Period(s) (?)111310131312121212878889999888
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)149924987865050462875306645741935159717221792156312891136574
Wind
(km/h)
20
SW
20
S
5
SSE
5
SSW
5
SSE
5
SE
5
E
10
ESE
20
ESE
25
ENE
30
E
35
E
35
E
40
ENE
40
ENE
45
NE
45
NE
35
NE
30
NNE
10
N
5
W
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
offcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crossglasscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
ononononcross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:57PM
2.11
10:13AM
2.19
10:41PM
2.15
10:55AM
2.18
11:26PM
2.15
11:40AM
2.13
12:14AM
2.11
12:28PM
2.04
1:06AM
2.04
1:22PM
1.93
2:05AM
1.95
2:23PM
1.82
3:11AM
1.88
Low Tide
/ height (m)
4:05AM
0.12
4:30PM
0.01
4:50AM
0.13
5:13PM
0.00
5:36AM
0.17
5:59PM
0.04
6:25AM
0.25
6:48PM
0.12
7:19AM
0.35
7:43PM
0.22
8:20AM
0.44
8:45PM
0.32
9:29AM
0.51
Fri
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Monday
23
Tuesday
24
Wednesday
25
Thursday
26
Sunrise--7:30--7:31--7:31--7:33--7:33--7:33--7:35
Sunset7:39--7:37--7:37--7:36--7:34--7:32--7:31--
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
light rain
cloud
heavy rain
mod rain
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
Rain (mm)
--------1---2163-57611-
Temp. °C201819201819201920201919191820202021222122
Feels °C (?)181620201719212018171514131315141418202223
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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