Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Thursday 25 Dec 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
19.8° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Dec 25) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 12 days are 1.7m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Dec 26) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Dec 31) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 25th Dec)1.5ft (0.4m) 13s
Best Surf 7PM (Thu 25th Dec)4.5ft (1.4m) 6s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 26th Dec)5.5ft (1.7m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 16°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wed
31
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.5
N
0.4
NNE
1.3
NNW
0.8
NNW
0.3
NNE
1.7
NNW
1
N
0.8
NNE
0.7
NNE
0.7
NNE
0.6
NNE
0.5
NE
0.5
NNE
0.4
NE
0.4
ENE
0.7
NE
0.5
NE
0.4
NNE
0.7
NNE
0.7
NE
0.7
NE
Period(s) (?)1312661367767666777711889
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)89501235134205895044473120221219532541706777
Wind
(km/h)
5
SSW
5
E
10
NW
10
WNW
15
NNW
25
NNW
5
W
5
WSW
15
SSW
5
SSW
0
SE
5
WNW
10
SSW
5
SSE
5
NNW
10
WSW
10
WNW
20
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
10
NNW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
offglasscrosscross-
off
cross-
on
crosscross-
off
offcross-
off
offglassglasscross-
off
cross-
off
glasscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross
High Tide
/ height (m)
11:44PM
1.78
12:15PM
1.98
12:28AM
1.76
12:56PM
1.96
1:16AM
1.74
1:40PM
1.94
2:09AM
1.73
2:29PM
1.92
3:07AM
1.75
3:23PM
1.90
4:09AM
1.79
4:23PM
1.89
5:13AM
1.85
5:25PM
1.91
Low Tide
/ height (m)
5:55AM
0.29
6:32PM
0.41
6:37AM
0.33
7:17PM
0.39
7:23AM
0.38
8:05PM
0.37
8:14AM
0.44
8:57PM
0.34
9:11AM
0.48
9:53PM
0.31
10:14AM
0.49
10:53PM
0.26
11:20AM
0.48
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wed
31
Sunrise-6:11--6:13--6:13--6:13--6:15--6:15--6:16-
Sunset--8:40--8:42--8:42--8:42--8:43--8:43--8:43
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
thunderstorm
heavy rain
mod rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
Rain (mm)
2---131210------------2
Temp. °C191920192121191717161919181920182020182020
Feels °C (?)202021202119191815151918171820171716161819
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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