Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Saturday 27 Dec 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
20.1° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Dec 27) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 12 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Dec 30) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sat 27th Dec)2.5ft (0.8m) 6s
Best Surf10PM (Tue 30th Dec)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 4PM (Tue 30th Dec)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 17°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, strong winds from the NE by Tue morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Wed morning, min 18°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu night).

Sat
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
31
Thursday
01
Friday
02
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
NNE
0.7
N
0.5
NE
0.6
NNE
1.3
ENE
1.6
E
1.9
NE
1.9
NNE
3.5
NNE
3.5
NNE
3
N
2.5
N
1.9
N
1.3
N
0.8
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.8
ENE
Period(s) (?)6677678991098888888888
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)5538253610926152260617742177133184446618786758886867375
Wind
(km/h)
15
WNW
10
WSW
10
E
20
E
30
E
30
SE
10
E
15
N
45
NE
45
N
30
NNW
25
NW
25
NW
15
NW
10
NW
10
WNW
5
WSW
0
SW
5
NW
0
ENE
10
NE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
crosscrosscrosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
glassglassglasson
High Tide
/ height (m)
2:09AM
1.73
2:29PM
1.92
3:07AM
1.75
3:23PM
1.90
4:09AM
1.79
4:23PM
1.89
5:13AM
1.85
5:25PM
1.91
6:16AM
1.94
6:28PM
1.94
7:16AM
2.05
7:28PM
1.99
8:13AM
2.14
Low Tide
/ height (m)
8:05PM
0.37
8:14AM
0.44
8:57PM
0.34
9:11AM
0.48
9:53PM
0.31
10:14AM
0.49
10:53PM
0.26
11:20AM
0.48
11:53PM
0.20
12:26PM
0.42
12:53AM
0.13
1:28PM
0.35
1:50AM
0.06
Sat
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
31
Thursday
01
Friday
02
Sunrise--6:13--6:15--6:15--6:16--6:16--6:18--6:18
Sunset8:42--8:42--8:43--8:43--8:43--8:44--8:44--
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
----61-152--1--------
Temp. °C191819191818201920201921211921211920211921
Feels °C (?)171717161414211614141417181821211921222021
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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