Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Thursday 15 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point sea temperature is
21.3° C
(Which is 1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point this week:

The surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point in the next 12 days are 4.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jan 16) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Fri 16th Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 22nd Jan)13ft (4.0m) 11s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 22nd Jan)15ft (4.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Warm (max 23°C on Thu morning, min 18°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 61mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 18°C on Sun afternoon). Mainly strong winds.

Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
0.8
NNE
0.7
NE
0.7
NE
0.8
NE
1.1
NE
1.1
NE
1.1
NE
2
ENE
2.5
E
2.5
E
2.5
E
3
E
3
E
3
ENE
3
E
3.5
ENE
3.5
ENE
4
ENE
4.5
ENE
Period(s) (?)88888910999999999999911
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)172274556111420821219958611211064113813011454133214461791223625314135
Wind
(km/h)
15
NNW
20
NNW
10
W
10
SW
20
SW
15
SSW
10
SE
10
SSE
15
ESE
25
ESE
35
ESE
45
ESE
40
ESE
45
ESE
40
E
40
E
40
E
40
E
25
ENE
30
ENE
55
E
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
crosscross-
off
offoffcross-
off
crosscross-
off
crosscross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:15PM
1.65
7:04AM
1.74
7:07PM
1.68
7:52AM
1.81
7:55PM
1.73
8:36AM
1.88
8:40PM
1.79
9:18AM
1.95
9:22PM
1.83
9:56AM
2.01
10:03PM
1.87
10:34AM
2.06
10:43PM
1.89
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:16PM
0.69
12:37AM
0.46
1:10PM
0.65
1:26AM
0.40
1:59PM
0.58
2:12AM
0.34
2:44PM
0.51
2:55AM
0.27
3:26PM
0.44
3:35AM
0.22
4:07PM
0.38
4:14AM
0.19
4:47PM
0.32
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Sunrise6:28--6:30--6:31--6:31--6:33--6:33--6:35--
Sunset-8:43--8:43--8:43--8:42--8:42--8:42--8:40-
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
light rain
heavy rain
mod rain
mod rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
mod rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
Rain (mm)
111-----154117761119102070
Temp. °C232321212119212120211818191920202020212122
Feels °C (?)222222191917212121191410141315161516201923
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Ngataki Beach and Paxton Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 7 km (4 miles) away.

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