Lakey Pipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for Lakey Pipe. This is a reef break that's exposed to the SW, and the guidance tells us it's a spot that likes a solid SW swell, which is exactly what we're seeing. Over the next two and a half weeks, we've got a consistent pulse of groundswell, but don't expect perfect conditions every day. The first real standout to circle on your calendar is Saturday morning, the 14th of September, with Sunday the 15th of September offering another cracker.

The Pattern

The action kicks off on Wednesday morning, 2nd of September, with a clean 7 ft SW groundswell (moderate energy 2561). It's a little marginal with a cross-off wind, but it's a start. We'll have similar, slightly smaller surf over the next couple of days. The real quality starts to settle in on Friday morning, the 4th, with a cleaner 5 ft SW swell, and we start seeing some better conditions.

The water temperature sits around 81°F with a small anomaly of 0.9°F, so it's about what you'd expect for this time of year—warm and tropical.

The Standout Sessions

Hold on for Saturday morning, the 14th of September. This is the one. We've got a very clean 10 ft SW groundswell pumping in from an 18-second period. That's a proper, long-period groundswell, and the combined energy is a full-on 5419—that's strong. The wind is a light cross-offshore at 9 mph. This is serious, expert-level stuff. That 10 ft is well over the 8 ft mark, so it's for experienced surfers only. The kooks should sit this one out and watch from the beach. The following morning, Sunday the 15th, is a close second. It's another clean morning with an 8 ft SW swell at 15 seconds (energy at 3301), with light cross-offshore wind. Fantastic, high-quality surf.

The Rest of the Run

From the 4th through the 12th of September, there's a good solid run of chest to head-high SW swell, mostly in the 5 ft to 7 ft range. Most afternoons get a bit of a cross-shore breeze, but the mornings are consistently clean thanks to the cross-offshore wind from the SSE or SE. The crowd factor here is "often," so expect company, but the consistency on offer means there will be plenty of waves to go around. The 2nd week, starting around the 10th, keeps offering clean, solid morning surf, with the swell hanging in around 6 ft to 8 ft. It's a reliable pattern.

A quick note on the 12th of September: the Saturday afternoon session sees the swell dip to 5 ft but the period jumps to 21 seconds. The combined energy is still 3312, so there's plenty of power there, but a period that long can make a reef break like this a bit fat and straight. Still worth a look, early.

Later in the forecast, the 16th of September brings another solid morning with an 8 ft SW swell at 17 seconds, and the 17th of September (Thursday) serves up a clean 8 ft – 8 ft SW groundswell with very light wind. The pattern holds strong.

Make no mistake, Lakey Pipe is on. The first wave is on Wednesday, 2nd September, and the best window is locked in for the morning sessions, especially the 14th, 15th, and 17th.

Rusty, signing off.

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