Lakey Pipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you—the next few days at Lakey Pipe are a bit of a tease. We’ve got a steady pulse of SSW swell, but the wind’s hanging in that cross-off zone the whole time, which keeps things from getting truly glassy. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.

Thursday 23rd July kicks off with some 4ft SSW swell at 14 seconds, but the cross-off SE breeze keeps the score just marginal. Moderate energy (568) but it’s clean enough to scratch an itch. Friday 24th drops a touch to 4ft, then a smaller 3ft Friday afternoon with a gentler breeze—still cross-off though, and the energy drops to (507). That “expect very good surf conditions” tag on the afternoon is promising, but the wave height is a bit skinny.

Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th are similar stories: 4ft to 3ft of SSW swell, mostly clean but never truly offshore. Energy sits around (644) on Saturday morning, then drops to (462) by Sunday. The period jumps to 15 seconds on Saturday morning, which is a nice long groundswell—great for the reef setup here at Lakey Pipe, but it can make for longer waits between sets.

Monday 27th through Wednesday 29th July stay in the 2ft to 4ft range, with gentle to moderate cross-off breezes. The standout in this first week is Wednesday 29th July morning: 4ft SSW swell at 14 seconds, with (643) energy and the “very good surf conditions” tag. It’s not huge, but clean and lined up.

Now, the real fire comes in the second week. Thursday 30th July afternoon is the first big shift: 3ft SSW groundswell, but check the period—19 seconds, giving (1319) energy. That’s a very long period groundswell, super clean conditions with a gentle breeze. This is expert-only territory as it builds. Saturday 1st August is the pick of the lot. The morning holds 5ft SW swell at 17 seconds, but the afternoon jumps to 6ft SW at 17 seconds, combined energy (1782), and a light 6 mph breeze. That’s excellent, clean surf—top quality. Sunday 2nd August goes bigger: 7ft SSW at 16 seconds in the morning, energy (2309), and glassy conditions with a light ESE breeze. This is serious size for Lakey Pipe—expert surfers only. The swell direction is SSW, right in the optimum SW range for the break. Crowds are often here, so expect plenty of company.

Beyond that, the week of 3rd to 7th August holds consistent 5ft to 7ft SSW swells, with Monday 3rd and Wednesday 5th afternoons looking crisp. Thursday 6th August afternoon is another standout: 7ft SSW at 18 seconds, energy (3063), with a gentle cross-off breeze. That’s powerful, clean, and very long period—best handled by experienced crew.

If you’re a beginner, stay out of the water from 1st August onward—over 5ft and up to 7ft is not for you. For the rest, the first week is a slow warm-up, but from 30th July through 7th August, Lakey Pipe is delivering real quality. The best of the best is Saturday 1st August afternoon and Sunday 2nd August morning.

Rusty.

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