Lakey Pipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checking in on the stretch ahead for our little slice of the world.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid run of long-period groundswell heading our way, and it’s going to be sticking around for a good while. The water is sitting at a balmy 80°, which is pretty average for this time of year – nothing to write home about, just your usual tropical warmth.

The standout session that has me buzzing is Saturday, September 20th. That Sunday afternoon slot is looking proper. We’ve got a 7ft swell hammering in from the SW, pushing serious energy, and with a 16-second period on it. Winds are light and cross-off from the SSE, so Lakey Pipe is going to be clean and lined up. This is the one to circle. The morning of the 21st is also a top pick, with 7ft SW swell at 15 seconds and light offshore winds – it’s going to be a ripper, but expect company because this spot gets crowded often.

The early part of the run, starting Tuesday the 15th through the 19th, is all about consistent, clean, intermediate-friendly surf. Swells hang around the 4ft to 7ft range, with light to gentle cross-off breezes. The energy is moderate to strong, and those 14-15 second periods are giving the waves a real push. It’s not giant, but it’s quality. The morning of Wednesday the 16th with 6ft and light winds is a sneaky good one.

After that first big weekend, we’ve got a pulse that carries through the next week. The 23rd of September is another heavy hitter: a 7ft SSW groundswell on Wednesday afternoon, with massive energy. Winds are cross-off, so it’ll be clean. Just keep in mind that with a 16-second period, the sets might be a little fat on the take-off, but the power is there. The 24th and 25th offer slightly smaller but still excellent conditions for experienced surfers.

Now, a word of warning for Sunday, September 27th. The swell is forecast to hit 10ft from the SSW with an 18-second period – that’s a proper mountain of water. For this break, that’s too big for anyone but experts, and even then, it’s pushing the limit. If you’re not solid, give it a miss.

The very end of the month, the 29th and 30th, sees the size easing back to a more manageable 5ft to 6ft, still with clean conditions. It’s not the big show, but it’s a fun, mellow way to finish the run.

Overall, we’re spoiled for choice. If I have to pick one absolute standout, it’s Sunday, September 20th afternoon – that SW groundswell at 7ft with light winds is the whole package. Don’t sleep on the morning of the 23rd either, even though it’s a touch bigger. Grab your board and get after it.

Rusty.

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