Lakey Pipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it. We've got a solid run of swell on the cards for Lakey Pipe, so there's plenty to talk about.

The pattern kicks off on Tuesday, 28 July, with a clean, long-period groundswell. The swell is small at 3ft, but that 16-second period from the SSW is packing a decent punch. The combined wave energy is moderate (483). Winds are light and cross-offshore, keeping things tidy. The water is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. It's a small day, but for a long board or a fun log, you'll have a good time.

Wednesday, 29 July, sees a slight bump in size to 4ft, still with that long-period swell. The energy is picking up (630). Winds remain cross-off, keeping the surf clean. Thursday, 30 July, is similar in the morning, but the afternoon shows a real jump in energy to a strong 1166 with a 4ft swell. Friday, 31 July, is where things start to get proper. The afternoon session is a standout: 4ft of swell, 17-second period, and the energy is high at 1268. Winds are light cross-off, and the conditions are rated excellent for experienced surfers. This is a really good, clean window.

The best of the first week, and one of the true standouts of the whole outlook, is Saturday, 1 August. Morning has 5ft swell with a 16-second period, light cross-off winds, and energy is strong at 1491. The afternoon bumps up to 5ft from the SW. It's clean, it's consistent, and the wave quality is top-notch. Get on it.

Sunday, 2 August, is also a banger. The morning swell is 6ft and the energy is a massive 2006. It's still cross-off and clean. By the afternoon, the swell hits 7ft from the SSW with a 17-second period. This is getting into expert territory, but for the crew that can handle it, it's going to be pumping. The following days, Monday 3rd and Tuesday 4th, hold excellent conditions with solid 6ft to 6ft swell and moderate energy, still clean and cross-off.

Now, we get to a very interesting period. On Wednesday, 5 August, the swell period jumps to an incredible 21 seconds in the morning and 20 seconds in the afternoon. The energy is huge (2608 to 3114). This is a proper, very long period groundswell. At a reef break like Lakey Pipe, this is classic. The afternoon session on the 5th is a major standout, with a score that reflects the quality. The swell is 5ft, but the period is so long it will have incredible power and shape. Thursday, 6 August, is another massive day: 8ft of swell, 17-second period, and energy readings over 3600. This is big, powerful, and only for the experienced. The light winds keep it clean.

However, we hit a wall on Saturday, 8 August. The swell is predicted to be 10ft to 12ft, with energy readings over 7000. The wind is favorable, but the swell is too big for this break. It's a no-go zone for anyone. Sunday, 9 August, is the same story with 10ft swell. This is a gap of two days where the surf is just too heavy.

Things settle down from Monday, 10 August, returning to a more manageable 8ft, and then Tuesday, 11 August, and Wednesday, 12 August, finish the run with excellent, clean conditions, 6ft to 7ft of swell, light winds, and solid energy. It's a great way to wrap up the 16 days, but the absolute best windows are Saturday, 1 August, and the afternoon of Wednesday, 5 August. Those are the ones to circle on the calendar.

Crowds at Lakey Pipe are often a factor, so expect company when the surf is good. It's a consistent break, so you can usually find a wave.

Rusty.

Read more