Lakey Pipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here with your surf outlook for Lakey Pipe. The swell window’s wide open and it’s looking like a solid run of groundswell, so if you’ve got the time, this is the spot to be.

Right from Thursday the 3rd of September, we’ve got a nice pulse of SW groundswell rolling in at 6 ft with a period of 16 seconds – that’s proper long-period energy. The wind is a cross-off from the ESE at 12 mph, which will keep things clean. The combined swell energy is sitting at 1545 (moderate to strong) and the water temp is 80°F, which is about average for this time of year. Thursday afternoon drops a fraction to 5 ft, still with clean conditions.

Friday the 4th eases a little, with SW swell around 5 ft and a period of 14 seconds. The wind is still a cross-off from the SE at 9 mph, and the morning is clean while the afternoon turns to a cross-shore – still surfable, but not quite as lined up.

Now, Saturday the 5th is where it starts getting serious. Saturday morning we’ve got 6 ft of SSW swell at 14 seconds, and by the afternoon it’s pushing 7 ft with a 16-second period. The wind is a gentle cross-off from the SSE at 9 mph – clean, clean, clean. The combined energy jumps to 1832 (strong). Sunday the 6th keeps that energy with 7 ft SSW swell in the morning, but the afternoon gets a bit cross-chop with the wind turning cross-shore at 9 mph, and the swell bumps up to 8 ft at 17 seconds – that’s some real power (2987 combined energy), but it’ll be a bit tricky with the chop.

Monday the 7th through to Wednesday the 9th is the standout stretch. Monday morning: 7 ft SSW at 14 seconds, clean cross-off. Tuesday: 6 ft SSW at 13 seconds in the morning, then a stunner in the afternoon with 5 ft at 18 seconds (2855 combined energy). Wednesday the 9th is the absolute gem – 8 ft SSW at 16 seconds, clean cross-off wind, and the highest combined energy of the whole run at 3152. That’s serious groundswell, so this is one for the experienced crew. The long period means these waves will be powerful and best handled on a reef setup like Lakey Pipe.

Thursday the 10th stays solid at 6 ft SSW through the day, with a clean morning and a moderate breeze in the afternoon. Friday the 11th delivers 7 ft SW at 16 seconds, light wind in the morning, and the run of clean conditions continues through to Sunday the 13th.

We get a bit of a lull from Sunday the 13th afternoon, with SSW swell dropping to 4 ft on the 13th in the afternoon, and it stays around 5 ft to 5 ft through to the 18th. But hold onto your board because Monday the 14th is another banger: 7 ft SW at 17 seconds in the morning, 8 ft in the afternoon, combined energy over 3000. That’s a proper long-period groundswell and the cross-off wind will have it glassy. Tuesday the 15th keeps the pace with 8 ft SW at 15 seconds all day.

Wednesday the 16th brings 7 ft SSW, and things taper through the 17th and 18th, with the final day on the 18th showing a risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon, so keep an eye on the sky.

The best on offer is Wednesday the 9th with that 8 ft SSW groundswell and clean conditions, and Monday the 14th as a close second with 8 ft SW and perfect winds. Both are for experienced surfers only – this is not a beginner’s window. The long period will have the sets rolling in deep, and with Lakey Pipe being a consistent reef, it’ll be holding shape through the whole run. Crowds are often here, but with this much swell, it’ll spread out.

Overall, this is a classic West Sumbawa run. The swell energy is moderate to strong throughout, and the water is warm and average for the season. No complaints from this end.

Rusty.

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