Lakey Pipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's cooking for the Lakey Pipe region over the next couple of weeks.

The water is sitting at a warm 82°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a solid groundswell running, but it's coming from the SSW with a long period of 15 to 16 seconds, which is good for a reef like this. The problem is the wind is mostly a moderate cross-offshore, which is okay but not perfect. The wave energy is moderate to strong (1693 on Friday morning), but the conditions are described as marginal, so it's not the time to get too excited. Saturday morning is similar, but by Saturday afternoon, the wind drops to a gentle breeze and the swell is still a clean 5 ft from the SW. That's a solid intermediate wave but nothing to write home about. Sunday actually sees some offshore wind (ESE), which is a big positive, but the swell drops to 4 ft. The energy is way down (477), so it'll be clean but small.

A real standout comes on Tuesday, 14 July. The swell bumps up to 6 ft from the SSW, with a very long period of 18 seconds. The energy is strong (2284), and the wind is a gentle cross-off. This is proper groundswell – long, powerful lines that will be peeling beautifully down the reef. The period is so long it might be a bit too straight for a beach break, but at a reef like Lakey Pipe, that's a dream. It's a consistent break, so you'll get plenty of waves. Be aware it can get crowded here, so expect company.

The next real highlight is the Monday, 20 July session. The morning has 6 ft from the SW with a 16-second period, and the energy is right up there (2220). By the afternoon, it's even better: 7 ft from the SSW. That's getting into expert territory, but the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. The wind is just a light breeze, so it will be glassy and clean. The energy is massive (2567), so you'll be feeling the power. This is the best of the lot.

The week that follows looks very promising too. We see a lot of light winds and clean conditions, with swell hanging around the 5 ft to 5 ft mark. The two days that stand out late in the run are Thursday, 24 July and Saturday, 25 July. On the 24th, the afternoon has a 4 ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, light offshore wind, and the energy is strong (1148). The 25th has a similar setup: 5 ft from the SSW, light offshore winds, and a solid 970 energy. With the offshore winds and that consistent reef, you'll be getting some beautiful, clean waves.

So, the call is clear. For the absolute best, look at Tuesday, 14 July for that powerful, long-period groundswell, and then lock in Monday, 20 July for the biggest, cleanest swell of the window. The second week has some lovely, cleaner days, but the 20th is the standout.

Rusty.

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