Lakey Pipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s on the cards for Lakey Pipe over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a solid run of swell, so let’s get into it.

The pattern is setting up real nice with a long fetch of SW groundswell. The first real action is kicking off on Monday afternoon, the 17th of August. It's not huge, coming in at 5ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, and that cross-off breeze from the SE is keeping things clean. The water is sitting at 80°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The combined energy is a moderate 1029, but it’s a promising start.

Tuesday the 18th sees the swell settle a touch to 4ft in the morning, but the period jumps to a very long 16 seconds. This is pure groundswell. For a reef like Lakey Pipe, that kind of period is magic. The energy is strong (1897). Afternoon bumps up to 6ft from the SW with that same long 16-second period, and the wind goes light from the SE at just 6 mph. This afternoon session is clean as a whistle.

Now, Wednesday the 19th is where it starts getting serious. Wednesday morning has 8ft of SW swell with a 19-second period. That is a proper groundswell, the combined energy is a whopping 3878. The wind is a light cross-off. This is expert territory at that size, but the wave quality will be insane. Wednesday afternoon it holds at 8ft, but the wind picks up to a moderate breeze.

Thursday the 20th morning is the stand-out of the first week. We’ve got 10ft of SW swell—that’s big and powerful (energy is 4190). The wind is light from the ESE, keeping it glassy. This is not a day for the faint of heart; this is one for the experienced crew only. The afternoon drops back to 8ft but with a bit more breeze.

The weekend (22nd-23rd August) settles into a consistent 6ft to 8ft range with those long-period SW swells. The wind stays favorable, a gentle cross-off breeze. It's consistently clean and offering excellent conditions for those who can handle it.

Looking further out, the second week keeps the goods coming. Monday the 24th through to the end of the month holds steady with nice 5ft to 7ft SW swell. The period stays in the sweet spot of 15-16 seconds. Winds remain light and cross-off for most of it. The real cherry on top is Monday the 31st of August and Tuesday the 1st of September. The 31st has a 6ft swell from the SW with a massive 21-second period and a combined energy of 3974. The 1st of September morning bumps back up to 8ft with an 18-second period and a strong energy of 4689. These ones are a little further out, so less certain, but the models are looking mouth-watering.

Overall, the pick of the entire window is the morning of Thursday, 20th August for the experienced surfer looking for size, but for the best combination of size, period, and light winds, the afternoon of Tuesday the 18th is a real standout. Lakey Pipe will be busy—crowds are often here—but when it’s this good, it’s worth the company.

Rusty.

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