Lakey Pipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a solid run of swell headed our way, starting Sunday the 2nd of August, and it’s looking like a great stretch for experienced surfers out at Lakey Pipe. This is a reef break that’s exposed to the swell, and it’s got a consistent track record. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual there.

The action kicks off Sunday morning with a clean 6.2 ft SSW swell, period of 16 seconds – that’s proper groundswell with plenty of energy (combined energy of 1922). The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the ESE, keeping the face glassy. This is prime for the experienced crew. The afternoon holds similar, with a touch more size at 6.6 ft and a 17-second period (2126 energy). The wind stays offshore, so expect clean lines all day.

Monday the 3rd keeps the quality going. Morning sees a 5.6 ft SSW swell, 15-second period (1245 energy), with a light offshore breeze from the ESE. The afternoon is even cleaner, with the wind going light easterly at 10 km/h. The swell holds at 5.6 ft. This is still excellent.

Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th see the swell back off a touch to 5.2 ft, but the direction shifts slightly to SW, with periods around 14-15 seconds. The cross-offshore wind keeps things clean. The energy is still in the moderate range (985-1359). It’s very good, but not the standout.

Now, the real standout window opens Thursday the 6th into the weekend. Thursday afternoon brings a 7.5 ft SSW swell with a 17-second period (2987 energy). That’s a lot of power. Friday the 7th holds 7.5 ft to 8.2 ft, and by Saturday the 8th, we’re looking at 8.2 ft SSW swells, 16-second periods, and energy over 3800. This is heavy, powerful reef surf. It’s only for experts. The wind stays cross-offshore, so the waves will be well-shaped, but with that size and period, it’s going to be a serious paddle and a serious drop. The best day of the whole run is likely Saturday the 8th, with the morning session seeing the most consistent energy (3834). Crowds are likely here as it’s "often" busy, but for waves like that, it’s worth a few extra guys out.

Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th remain excellent, with swell around 6.6 ft to 7.5 ft, and the wind easing to light or gentle breezes. The energy stays high (2359-2945). Still a top-tier option.

There’s a big spike on Tuesday the 11th of August. The morning shows a 9.8 ft swell from the SSW, 17-second period, and energy of 4155. That’s too big. The file says it’s too big for this break. Only the absolute nutters should even look at it. The afternoon drops to 8.2 ft, but the wind goes cross-shore, creating a bit of chop. Not the best.

The rest of the outlook from Wednesday the 12th through to Monday the 17th is still very good, but the energy drops off. Swell ranges from 4.3 ft to 6.2 ft, with periods between 14 and 16 seconds. The wind is mostly cross-offshore, keeping it clean. The best of this later period is Friday the 14th through Sunday the 16th, with 5.2 ft to 5.9 ft SSW to SW swells, and gentle breezes. It’s a solid, surfable run, but the peak was definitely that first Saturday and Sunday.

The standout: Without a doubt, Saturday the 8th of August. That 8.2 ft SSW groundswell, 16-second period, with a cross-offshore breeze, is as good as it gets here for the experienced surfer. The energy is massive (3834). Get on it.

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