Lakey Pipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We've got one spot on the radar for the next 16 days, and it's a classic: Lakey Pipe. This is a reef break, exposed to the swell, and it's looking pretty consistent for the whole run. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first few days, from Wednesday the 29th through to Friday the 1st of August, are a bit of a tease. The swell is there, coming in from the SSW, but it's not quite firing on all cylinders. We're looking at 3ft to 4ft surf with a nice long period (14 to 17 seconds), which is proper groundswell energy. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze, which keeps the faces clean, but the overall vibe is "marginal" – there's enough there to get wet, but you'll be working for the good ones. The combined energy is moderate (630 to 1300).

Then, things start to get interesting. From Friday the 31st afternoon, through the weekend and into the first week of August, the quality steps up. The swell bumps up to 5ft to 6ft, still that sweet SSW direction, and the period is long. The wind turns light and cross-off, which is a major positive. The combined energy is now strong (1215 to 1955). This is where the "excellent" calls come in. It's still not massive, but it's clean, consistent, and the reef will be shaping up those long-period lines nicely. Expect a crew out there, as it's a well-known spot.

Now, the real standout is building for the second week. Look at Saturday the 8th of August. The swell jumps to 8ft from the SSW, with a period of 16-17 seconds. The wind is light and cross-off. The combined energy is a massive 3874. This is serious groundswell. For a reef like Lakey Pipe, this is going to be a proper session. It's big, it's powerful, and it's clean. This is definitely for experienced surfers only – over 8ft on a reef is no joke. The morning of the 10th and 11th also hold solid 8ft to 8ft swell with clean conditions. The 13th of August morning also looks excellent with 7ft swell and light winds.

There are a few days, like the 9th and 11th afternoon, where the wind swings cross-shore, putting a bit of bump on the surface. It's still surfable, but not as pristine.

So, if you're looking for the pick of the litter, circle Saturday the 8th of August on your calendar. That's the one. The whole run is solid, but that day is the standout. Don't sleep on the 10th and 13th mornings either – they're right behind it.

Rusty.

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