Lakey Pipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Lakey Pipe.

We’ve got a solid run of swell lined up, starting Monday afternoon and rolling through the next two and a half weeks. The water is sitting at 79°, which is pretty average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The opening act kicks off Monday afternoon with a clean 6 ft SSW swell, period around 15 seconds. That’s a nice, long-period groundswell pushing in with moderate energy (1181). The wind is a light ESE cross-off, so the faces will be tidy. This is intermediate territory – solid enough for a good session, but not too big to handle.

Tuesday and Wednesday keep the same vibe. Swell holds around 5 ft from the SW, period staying in the 14 to 15-second range. Winds are light and cross-off from the SSE and SE, keeping things clean. Energy picks up a bit Wednesday afternoon to 1371, so there’s a bit more push. Consistent waves, no crowds mentioned yet, which is a bonus.

Now, Thursday through Saturday is where the real muscle shows. Thursday morning sees the swell jump to 7 ft, with a 7 ft on the way by afternoon. Periods stretch to 17-18 seconds, and the energy ramps up into the 2400-2600 range – that’s strong, powerful surf. The wind stays cross-off, but it’s a bit stronger at 12 mph, so it’s still clean but with a bit of a breeze. This is expert territory now. Anything over 8 ft, and you’re looking at Friday afternoon: 8 ft from the SSW, 16-second period, energy hitting 3549. That’s the standout of the whole run. Clean, powerful, and a proper challenge for the experienced crew.

Saturday stays big, around 8-8 ft, with light SSE winds again. Sunday drops a little to 7-7 ft, still clean, still fun. The following Monday and Tuesday, 10th and 11th of August, are absolute crackers. Monday afternoon sees a 8 ft SSW swell at 18 seconds, energy at 3887 – that’s the biggest energy reading of the whole period. Tuesday morning keeps it up with 8 ft at 16 seconds. Light winds, excellent conditions. This is the real highlight.

The second week settles a bit. From the 12th onward, we’re looking at 5 ft to 7 ft SW swells, periods around 14-17 seconds. Winds stay light and cross-off most of the time. Energy drops back to the 1100-2200 range, so it’s still good, just not as pumping. The 14th of August Friday morning has a nice 7 ft, 17-second swell with light winds – worth a paddle. The 17th and 18th keep the 6-6 ft SW swell going, still clean, still consistent.

The only small hiccup is the 11th afternoon and the 16th, where the wind goes a little cross-shore, maybe a bit of texture on the surface. But honestly, for a reef break like Lakey Pipe, that’s rarely a dealbreaker.

Overall, this is a fantastic run. The standout is Friday the 7th afternoon and Monday the 10th afternoon through Tuesday the 11th morning – that’s the big, clean, powerful stuff. Get on it.

Rusty.

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