Karekare Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 08 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
14.6°C
0.4° 

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 14,568 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Tue 8th Sep)6ft (1.9m) 13s
Best Surf 6AM (Fri 11th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 19s
Most Powerful12PM (Fri 11th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Karekare over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so grab a coffee and let’s walk through it.

We’ve got some proper muscle in the water early on, but the wind just won’t play ball for most of the run. The first real chance to get a wave comes on Wednesday, the 9th of September. The swell settles to a manageable 5ft from the WSW, with a period of 12 seconds – that's a nice, clean groundswell. The wind goes super light, turning glassy in the afternoon. It’s going to be clean, with combined swell energy sitting at a moderate 843 in the morning. This is where you wanna be.

Thursday the 10th starts with a weird one: a long-period 18-second swell at 4ft, but with a strong onshore wind. The morning is marginal at best, and the afternoon gets chopped up. Not a day for it.

Then we hit a massive wall of swell. From Friday the 11th right through to the middle of the following week, the ocean is just angry. We’re talking 13ft to 20ft swells from the SW and WSW, with combined energy readings soaring into the thousands and even hitting the five-digit mark – 17900 on Friday afternoon, for instance. This is purely for the experts, and even then, the onshore and cross-shore winds are howling at 22 to 31 mph. It’s messy, it’s dangerous, and honestly, it looks more like a kite surfing gig than a paddling session.

After that big blow, things start to settle down again. By Saturday the 19th, the swell is dropping back to 10ft, but it’s still too big and wobbly. You’ll have to wait until the 22nd of September, a Tuesday, for the real gem. On Tuesday morning, we get a clean 7ft swell from the WSW, with an offshore wind from the ESE at just 9 mph. The period is a solid 14 seconds, giving the waves real shape and power. The combined energy is a moderate 1768. This is excellent, clean surf for experienced surfers. Karekare can get crowded, so just a heads up – you might have some company out there. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no dramas there.

Wednesday the 23rd is still worth a look, with a cleaner 5ft swell, but it’s a little more marginal.

So, to sum it up: the standout is Wednesday the 9th of September for the clean, glassy surf, and Tuesday the 22nd of September is the absolute pick of the bunch for a proper, clean session on a solid swell. Everything in between is either too big, too windy, or too lumpy to bother with.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, strong winds from the SSW by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Fri morning). Mainly strong winds.

Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
4
3
3
3
1
0
2
0
!
0
0
0
!
0
0
0
0
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
WSW
14
1.7
SW
11
1.8
SW
12
1.5
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
12
1.8
WSW
11
1.2
WSW
18
2
WSW
11
2.2
SW
16
4.5
SW
19
4.5
SW
18
5
WSW
17
5
SW
16
4.5
SW
11
4.5
SW
16
4
WSW
16
4
WSW
17
4
SW
16
4
SW
16
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1699
652
918
575
491
800
862
891
2291
13831
13626
13891
12818
4607
8819
8335
8968
7797
7019
5581
4066
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
15
SSW
5
N
10
ENE
5
WSW
10
WNW
20
WNW
25
NW
30
SSW
40
S
35
SW
35
WSW
40
SW
35
SW
30
SW
35
WSW
35
WSW
30
WSW
20
SSW
25
SSW
15
SSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
glassy
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
7:53PM2.89m
8:21AM2.83m
8:49PM3.08m
9:14AM3.02m
9:37PM3.23m
10:00AM3.16m
10:20PM3.31m
10:42AM3.22m
11:00PM3.31m
11:21AM3.22m
11:36PM3.25m
11:56AM3.14m
00:10AM3.12m
Low Tide
1:40PM0.60m
2:20AM0.49m
2:41PM0.40m
3:13AM0.27m
3:31PM0.24m
3:58AM0.12m
4:14PM0.15m
4:39AM0.06m
4:55PM0.14m
5:17AM0.08m
5:32PM0.21m
5:54AM0.17m
6:09PM0.33m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
6:26
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:08
6:09
6:10
 mm
1
2
9
2
1
Temp °C
12
13
12
14
14
12
14
14
12
12
13
13
12
13
13
14
14
13
13
13
13
Feels °C
8
9
11
12
13
10
10
9
6
4
5
6
3
5
6
7
7
7
9
8
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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