Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, WSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 9,426 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. So for Karekare, the story starts with a little glimmer before it turns into a long stretch of big, messy swell and onshore winds. Water temp’s pretty normal for the season.
Friday the 28th of August gets things going with some cross-off wind and a 1.5m swell from the WNW, 11-second period. The combined energy sits at 1266 – moderate. It’s a marginal session, nothing to write home about. It drops off in the arvo.
Saturday the 29th of August morning is a bit cleaner. You’ve got a 1.0m swell from the WSW, 13-second period, light ESE wind, combined energy 577. It’s clean, just small.
Now from Sunday the 30th, it’s all downhill. The swell jumps to 3.0m and higher, with strong cross-onshore winds. The combined energy rockets into the thousands (1718 up to 9426). The period is short to moderate, so it’s just blown-out, lumpy, and dangerous. Honestly, this stretch looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
But there are two real standouts if you’re an experienced surfer. Saturday the 5th of September morning: light onshore wind, 3.0m swell from the WSW, 14-second period, combined energy 3479. Conditions are clean, wind and tide favorable – but the swell is too big for Karekare. Expert only.
Then Wednesday the 9th of September morning: light cross-off wind from the SSE, 3.5m swell from the SW, 14-second period, combined energy 4550. Again, clean and favorable – but way too big for this spot. That’s the best on offer, and it’s only for the brave.
After that, the swell drops off through the 10th and 11th, but the wind stays messy, and the last session on Saturday the 12th of September is just a poor 1.0m with fresh cross-onshore wind. A long gap of nothing much from the 30th onward, aside from those two big, clean windows.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 36mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Fri night, fresh winds from the WSW by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Sun night, light winds from the W by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | WNW 11 | WSW 14 | NW 9 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 20 | SW 8 | SW 8 | WSW 16 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1019 | 531 | 419 | 379 | 346 | 277 | 427 | 1107 | 1285 | 7489 | 6509 | 9426 | 8241 | 8107 | 7121 | 4509 | 3584 | 2993 | 3037 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 9:41PM2.98m | 10:02AM2.90m | 10:20PM3.08m | 10:41AM2.99m | 10:58PM3.14m | 11:20AM3.03m | 11:36PM3.14m | 11:58AM3.02m | 00:13AM3.08m | 12:37PM2.97m | 00:52AM2.98m | 1:17PM2.88m | 1:32AM2.84m | ||||||
Low Tide | 4:03AM0.41m | 4:16PM0.37m | 4:39AM0.29m | 4:54PM0.29m | 5:16AM0.22m | 5:32PM0.27m | 5:54AM0.21m | 6:10PM0.30m | 6:32AM0.25m | 6:51PM0.39m | 7:12AM0.34m | 7:34PM0.51m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 3 | 17 | 11 | 4 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 8 | NW 9 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 20 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 14 |
| kJ | 1019 | 531 | 197 | 287 | 346 | 277 | 336 | 609 | 751 | — | — | — | — | 22 | 22 | 4509 | 3584 | 644 | 3037 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WNW 8 | WSW 10 | NW 9 | NW 8 | WSW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | WSW 20 | — | — |
| kJ | 103 | 469 | 419 | 362 | 114 | 157 | 12 | 2 | 229 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 117 | 253 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 24 | WSW 22 | WSW 11 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 11 | 50 | 117 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | NW 7 | NNE 3 | NW 9 | — | S 3 | SW 6 | SW 8 | SW 8 | WSW 16 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | — |
| kJ | 9 | 266 | 4 | 379 | — | 7 | 427 | 1107 | 1285 | 7489 | 6509 | 9426 | 8241 | 8107 | 7121 | 3971 | 3102 | 2993 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 295 | 332 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 86 | 90 | 175 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 132 | 335 | 132 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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