Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s look at what Karekare has to offer over the next two weeks. It’s a mixed bag, no doubt, but there are a couple of windows where it’ll be firing.

The first real highlight is Thursday morning, the 20th. The swell is coming in at 8ft from the southwest, with a long 14-second period. That’s proper groundswell, and the water temp is right around 57°F, which is about normal for this time of year. The wind is a light 10 km/h cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean and lined up. This is a big day—not for beginners—but for the experienced crew, this is the one. The combined energy is strong, around 2265, so there’s plenty of push. The afternoon will drop a bit in size and get more cross-shore, so make the most of the morning.

From Friday through the weekend, it’s a mess. Friday the 21st is onshore and junky, and the weekend is a complete write-off. Saturday the 22nd drops off, and Sunday sees a 10ft pulse but with a short 9-second period and strong onshore wind. That’s just a lumpy, blown-out ocean—better for kites than surfboards. Monday the 24th is still onshore and way too big, with a 10ft, 16-second swell and over 5000 in energy. Karekare can’t handle that much water. This poor stretch runs right through to the 29th.

Now, for the second week, the long-range models are looking better. The big standout is Monday the 31st of August. The swell pumps back up to around 7ft from the WSW with a 15-second period. The wind is offshore in the morning, and by the afternoon it goes totally glassy with a 5 km/h breeze. That’s about as clean as it gets. The energy is solid, around 1804, and this is the best on offer for the entire two weeks. It’s still a ways out, so treat it as promising, not certain.

Sunday the 30th might be worth a look as well. It’s smaller in the morning, around 4ft, but with light cross-offshore winds and a very long 18-second period. That long period will make it fast and powerful, but at a beach break like this, it might be a bit straight. The afternoon picks up to 6ft with more energy, so if you find a good bank, there’ll be some juice.

After that, we’ve got another massive swell hitting on the 2nd and 3rd of September. The 3rd is looking huge—12ft from the southwest with a 16-second period and a massive 10497 energy value. That’s a serious, powerful groundswell, but it’s just too big for Karekare. The wind will be light, so it’ll be clean, but this is expert-only territory and probably closing out.

So, to sum it up: your best windows are Thursday morning the 20th, and that glassy session on Monday the 31st. There’s a long lull from the 22nd to the 28th, so if you’re keen, be patient and wait for the good ones.

Rusty out.

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