
Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,436 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it for Karekare.
We've got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way over the next couple of weeks. There's a slow start, then some real promise, before things get a bit rowdy and messy. The standout window is definitely that Wednesday and Thursday slap in the middle of the first week.
The first real action kicks off on Sunday, the 2nd of August. The morning is looking the cleanest with a 6.6ft SW swell running at 12 seconds and a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the SSE. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a decent 4/3mm steamer will do you fine. The combined energy is strong (1136), so there's plenty of grunt in the water, but it's not too wild. The afternoon gets a bit cross-choppy, so hit the dawny.
Monday and Tuesday, the 3rd and 4th, are a write-off. Unsurfable. The wind cranks up from the WSW, smashing the swell apart. A 18.6 mph breeze and 5.9ft of lumpy chop? No thanks. Those days are for fixing dings or watching the footy.
Now, here's the good stuff. Wednesday morning, the 5th of August. This is it. The wind swings to a light SSE cross-offshore, grooming a solid 7.5ft SW swell at 14 seconds. The combined energy is pumping at 2171. This is excellent, powerful surf. It's a bit too big for beginners, but for experienced surfers, this is a firing session. Expect some proper walls.
Thursday morning, the 6th of August, is a different kind of magic. The swell drops to 4.3ft from the WSW, but the wind goes completely glassy from the NNE. Absolutely dead calm. The combined energy is moderate (560), but with that clean, 12-second groundswell, the waves will be lined up perfectly. A real treat for logging or a mid-length.
The second week from the 7th onwards is a story of clean, smaller waves and persistent offshore winds. From Friday the 7th right through to Wednesday the 12th, the wind is almost constantly offshore from the E or ESE. The swell hangs around the 2.0ft to 4.3ft mark, with periods mostly in the 13-16 second range. It's clean, it's consistent, but it's small. Good for a longboard or a fish, but not blowing the doors off. The combined energy stays in the moderate range, mostly between 312 and 805.
The standouts in that second week are Saturday the 8th and Monday the 10th. Saturday morning has a clean 5.6ft WNW swell, and Monday has a solid 4.3ft WSW swell, both with perfect offshore winds.
Things take a turn late in the period. The morning of Saturday the 15th of August looks magical – glassy, with a 5.9ft NW swell that has serious energy (1130). But then the wind absolutely howls from the SW in the afternoon, ruining it. Then Sunday the 16th brings a massive 6.9ft WSW swell with a very long 18-second period, but the cross-shore winds will make it a beast to manage. The energy is huge (4221), but it's a messy, challenging beast for experts only. The 17th of August is a 9.8ft onshore mess. Not worth it.
Bottom line: Wednesday morning the 5th is the absolute pick of the fortnight. Big, clean, powerful SW groundswell with a light offshore. If you're an experienced surfer, don't miss it. Thursday morning the 6th is your second-best bet for a glassy, user-friendly session.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 19 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
2138 | 1037 | 875 | 734 | 1519 | 2205 | 2715 | 2110 | 2007 | 3436 | 2171 | 1452 | 891 | 513 | 330 | 212 | 114 | 419 | 574 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:59PM3.06m | 12:20PM2.96m | 00:36AM3.02m | 12:59PM2.91m | 1:14AM2.95m | 1:40PM2.84m | 1:55AM2.85m | 2:25PM2.77m | 2:43AM2.74m | 3:19PM2.69m | 3:43AM2.63m | 4:26PM2.65m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:17AM0.39m | 6:33PM0.45m | 6:55AM0.40m | 7:12PM0.50m | 7:35AM0.45m | 7:55PM0.59m | 8:19AM0.53m | 8:44PM0.69m | 9:10AM0.62m | 9:43PM0.78m | 10:11AM0.69m | 10:51PM0.83m | |||||||
— | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | WNW 8 |
2138 | 1037 | 875 | 734 | 1519 | 2205 | 2715 | 2110 | 2007 | 3436 | 2171 | 1452 | 891 | 513 | 330 | 212 | 114 | 99 | 574 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | WSW 18 | SW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 22 | WSW 21 | SW 21 | W 9 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
18 | 99 | 98 | 226 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 80 | 52 | 47 | 44 | 108 | 60 | 57 | 147 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | — | — | W 7 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | — |
— | — | — | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | 4 | 92 | 34 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 4 | — | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 9 | SW 10 | SW 10 | — | — | — | SE 7 | NE 2 | NE 3 | NNE 2 | NNW 5 | WNW 8 | — |
— | — | 17 | — | 440 | 634 | 1072 | 1488 | 1343 | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 46 | 419 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 6 | 6 | 90 | 132 | 172 | 172 | 108 | 147 | 48 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











