Karekare Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 03 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
14.0° C
0.4° 

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,375 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Wed 5th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Best Surf12AM (Wed 5th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Most Powerful12AM (Wed 5th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer at Karekare over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there’s a few genuine highlights to get excited about if you’re patient.

The first surf worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Wednesday morning, August 5, so you’ve got a couple of days of flat or poor conditions to sit through. Early on Monday and Tuesday, the swell is pushing through but the wind is a cross-on mess, making it choppy and ugly. Tuesday arvo sees a big 12 ft swell but short period and awful wind – not for the faint-hearted.

Now, Wednesday morning August 5 is the first standout. Karekare is a West Coast exposed beach, and the swell is coming from the SW at 10 ft, with a period of 14 seconds. That’s a solid groundswell, but it’s a big one – over 8 ft, so this is strictly for experts. The wind is SSE at 16 mph, cross-offshore, which will keep it clean. The combined energy is massive at 5495, so it’s pumping. The water temp is about 57°F, which is a touch cooler than average for this time of year, but not a shock.

If you want the absolute best of the forecast, look at Sunday morning August 9. The swell drops to a more manageable 8 ft from the WSW, period 10 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – WSW at just 3 mph. That’s a rare treat. The combined energy is still strong at 1816, and the break will be clean and lined up. This is for experienced surfers only, but it’s going to be magic.

Monday August 10 morning and afternoon are also excellent – swell 6-6 ft from the WSW, 13 seconds, with light cross-offshore winds from the east. Clean, smooth, and the energy is moderate at 1578-1678. Crowds are sometimes a thing here, so prepare for a few locals.

Later in the week, Thursday August 13 afternoon sees a big 7 ft WSW swell with a long 19-second period, but the wind is light cross-on, so it might be a bit bumpy. Friday August 14 morning is another good one – 7 ft, 16 seconds, cross-offshore SSE wind, clean and powerful. Energy is 2235.

After that, the second week gets a bit hit and miss. The swell sticks around but the wind turns cross-on or onshore, and the quality drops. A few days have moderate energy but the wind is messy. Nothing stands out as a standout after that first week.

To wrap it up, the best windows are Wednesday morning August 5 for the big, clean, expert-only session, and Sunday morning August 9 for the glassy, perfect conditions. Monday August 10 is also a winner for cleaner, smaller waves. Don’t bother with the first few days, and the second week is a gamble.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Sat afternoon).

Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
1
3
3
1
2
0
0
0
!
0
2
4
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
19
1.8
SW
19
2.2
SW
17
2
WSW
16
3.5
SW
10
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
1.9
SW
13
1.5
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
0.9
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.5
SW
14
1.5
WNW
6
3
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
8
2.3
W
8
2.4
WSW
10
2.2
WSW
10
1.3
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1519
2205
2715
2110
2124
4375
3234
1452
1191
656
403
240
167
89
159
1312
890
692
1088
990
653
Wind (km/h)
25
SW
30
SW
30
WSW
30
SSW
35
SSW
20
SSE
25
SSE
25
S
15
SSE
10
SE
10
SSW
5
NNW
10
NW
15
NW
15
NNW
20
NNW
30
NW
15
WSW
5
WSW
10
WNW
5
W
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
glassy
High Tide
12:59PM2.91m
1:14AM2.95m
1:40PM2.84m
1:55AM2.85m
2:25PM2.77m
2:43AM2.74m
3:19PM2.69m
3:43AM2.63m
4:26PM2.65m
4:55AM2.57m
5:41PM2.68m
6:12AM2.59m
6:55PM2.79m
Low Tide
7:12PM0.50m
7:35AM0.45m
7:55PM0.59m
8:19AM0.53m
8:44PM0.69m
9:10AM0.62m
9:43PM0.78m
10:11AM0.69m
10:51PM0.83m
11:19AM0.73m
00:06AM0.81m
12:34PM0.71m
1:22AM0.71m
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:42
 mm
2
1
12
Temp °C
14
14
14
13
12
10
9
10
10
9
10
10
11
13
13
13
12
13
14
14
13
Feels °C
8
9
8
6
4
2
2
4
5
6
7
9
7
8
9
7
6
11
13
12
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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