Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on the cards for Karekare over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, Monday the 27th is a write-off for paddling. The swell is a thumping 10ft from the WSW, with a 13-second period, and the combined wave energy is absolutely pumping at 2627 (moderate to strong). But that’s a beast for another day – it’s way too big and the wind is cross, making it a messy, blown-out nightmare. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year.

The real standout window kicks off on Tuesday the 28th. The morning is where it’s at. We’ve got a clean 7ft WSW swell, period of 12 seconds, and light cross-offshore winds from the SSE. The energy is solid at 1132 (moderate), and the conditions are clean. That’s your best bet for the first week – a proper groundswell with good shape, but it’s pushing 7ft, so it’s more for the experienced crew. The afternoon drops a touch to 6ft, but the wind goes cross, so not as good.

Wednesday the 29th is a nice little run of cleaner, smaller waves. Morning and afternoon both see 5ft to 4ft from the WSW, with light cross-offshore breezes and clean conditions. Energy is low (around 481 to 560), so it’s a bit weak, but perfect for a longer board or a SUP if you just want to get wet.

Thursday the 30th gets a bit messy. The swell bumps back up to 7ft in the morning, but the wind swings cross, and the energy is up to 1425 (moderate). The afternoon turns cross-onshore, so it’s choppy and not worth the paddle.

Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st of August are a total loss. Friday afternoon sees a raw 15ft W swell with a short 9-second period and howling 22 mph onshore winds – that’s a kite-surfing session, not a surf session. Saturday is even worse: a massive 20ft WSW swell (energy of 14882 – that’s very strong) with fresh onshore winds. Stay out of the water.

Sunday the 2nd of August has a 10ft WSW swell with 12-second period, but the wind is cross and the energy is high (2482). It’s a bit too big and messy, so not a standout.

The second week has a few glimmers, but the reliable stuff is further out. On Wednesday the 5th of August, the morning delivers a clean 5ft WSW swell with 15-second period and light cross-offshore winds. Energy is 1960 (moderate). That’s a long-period groundswell, so it’ll have some good push but long gaps between sets. It’s a promising window for experienced surfers.

Then, on Monday the 10th of August, the morning and afternoon both look solid: 6ft SW swell, 16-second period, with light cross-offshore winds. The energy is in the 2300 to 2700 range (moderate to strong). This is a long-range standout – clean, good size, and a long period groundswell that will work well at Karekare’s exposed beach. It’s a bit far out to lock in, but it’s got the makings of a proper session.

Tuesday the 11th of August also has a clean 6ft morning with 14-second period and light cross-offshore winds. Energy is 1390 (moderate). Another decent option.

Overall, the best of the bunch is Tuesday the 28th of July morning, and the long-range promise of Monday the 10th of August. Crowds are “sometimes” an issue at Karekare, so on the good days, expect a few others out there.

Rusty out.

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