Karekare Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 30 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
14.1°C
0.0° 

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 9,254 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Wed 2nd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Best Surf 9AM (Wed 2nd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 9PM (Mon 31st Aug)16ft (5.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. It’s a quiet scene for the next week or so at Karekare, but there’s a window worth watching. The first solid surf doesn’t really show up until around Wednesday 2nd September, when a big south-west groundswell starts rolling in. Before that, the coast is pretty much closed out by messy and dangerous conditions.

Now, on Wednesday 2nd September morning, we start to get something a little more promising. The swell comes up to 10 ft from the west-southwest with a long 14-second period – proper groundswell. The wind is light and offshore from the west at 9 mph, which is about as clean as it gets. However, you need to be an expert to paddle out in this – that’s heavy water. The combined energy is strong at 3701. That morning looks like the real standout in the whole range, with glassy conditions and a lot of power. But keep in mind, the crowds can show up here sometimes, and with that long period, the sets will be fat and straight at times; a point or reef would handle it better, but on the day, it’ll be a mighty sight.

Later that same afternoon, the wind picks up a bit and the clean window closes – still big, but getting bumpy.

Heading into the weekend, Saturday 5th September has another clean-ish morning with light cross-onshore wind and a 10 ft west-southwest swell, but it’s still too big for most. The water temperature sits around 57°F currently, which is about average for this time of year – no anomaly worth mentioning.

The following week, Monday 7th September, sees another big pulse – 15 ft west-northwest swell with offshore winds and clean conditions, but again, that’s only for the brave. The energy reading soars to 13256 that afternoon – very strong wave energy. Not a beginner’s day.

Things actually start to ease off around Wednesday 9th September. The swell drops to 6 ft from the west-southwest, but the wind is cross-shore and light – the surf is weak and marginal, with combined energy down to 990. Not worth the paddle.

By Saturday 12th September the wind swings offshore from the east at 9 mph, with a 10 ft west swell but long period – too much size for most, and only experts will be sliding.

If there’s one standout session, make it Wednesday 2nd September morning – light offshore, solid southwest groundswell, and clean. After that, the rest of the forecast window is either too big or too messy for a good paddle. There’s a big gap of quiet, small surf from the 9th onward.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Tue afternoon). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Wed morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
8
3
SW
8
3.5
WSW
12
4.5
WSW
13
4.5
WSW
14
5
WSW
14
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3
WSW
14
3
WSW
14
3
WSW
14
1.9
WSW
14
3
WSW
12
3
WSW
10
2.4
WSW
14
3
WSW
13
3
WSW
15
3
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
15
4
WSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
842
1407
3653
6235
8645
9126
8382
8295
5465
3448
2934
2848
1368
2243
2206
2160
2458
3909
4170
5224
6375
Wind (km/h)
35
SW
40
SW
40
WSW
35
WSW
40
WSW
35
WSW
35
SW
35
SW
25
WSW
15
W
20
W
30
WNW
30
WNW
35
WNW
30
WNW
30
WNW
25
WSW
15
WSW
20
WSW
15
WSW
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
11:20AM3.03m
11:36PM3.14m
11:58AM3.02m
00:13AM3.08m
12:37PM2.97m
00:52AM2.98m
1:17PM2.88m
1:32AM2.84m
2:02PM2.77m
2:20AM2.68m
2:58PM2.66m
3:23AM2.52m
4:09PM2.58m
Low Tide
5:32PM0.27m
5:54AM0.21m
6:10PM0.30m
6:32AM0.25m
6:51PM0.39m
7:12AM0.34m
7:34PM0.51m
7:56AM0.46m
8:23PM0.65m
8:47AM0.59m
9:21PM0.79m
9:48AM0.71m
10:33PM0.87m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:46
6:45
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:39
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:02
6:04
 mm
2
1
1
1
3
Temp °C
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
14
14
14
15
15
15
15
15
13
14
14
12
Feels °C
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
7
10
10
9
10
10
10
11
11
10
10
11
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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