Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 20s period, WSW swell with 26,976 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 6.0m 20s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 20ft (6.0m) 20s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a wild ride, and honestly, we’ve got a long wait ahead for anything decent.
The main story is a massive, powerful swell train that’s just too big and messy for Karekare for most of the period. We’re looking at a solid week of waiting, with big, cross-onshore winds and lumpy, blown-out conditions. The combined swell energy is huge, like 3669, but the wind is all wrong. It’s just not worth paddling out for the first week.
The one bright spot, the standout, is Wednesday, September 9th. The early morning has a 6.2ft, 12-second swell from the WSW, but the real magic is the wind. It’s glassy, dead calm. Absolutely clean. That’s the window. The combined energy sits at 1171, so it’s got some life, but it’s still manageable. For the afternoon, the swell drops right off to a tiny 2ft, so don’t sleep in – the morning is the time.
After that, it’s back to the wild stuff. We get a terrifying 21.3ft to 24.6ft monster from the 11th to the 13th, with storm-force winds. The combined energy hits a massive 42480. That’s only for absolute experts, and even then, the wind is a nightmare. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It stays big and messy right through the second week, with a 14.8ft swell on the 19th. Honestly, the 9th of September is your only real shot for a decent, clean wave. The wait is long, but that Wednesday morning glass-off is a beauty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Fri afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 8 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3669 | 4267 | 4774 | 4822 | 5875 | 6022 | 6290 | 6541 | 4543 | 4219 | 4111 | 1742 | 2354 | 1340 | 1114 | 859 | 453 | 1480 | 1265 | 843 | 2593 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross |
High Tide | 2:58PM2.66m | 3:23AM2.52m | 4:09PM2.58m | 4:40AM2.44m | 5:28PM2.60m | 6:01AM2.48m | 6:45PM2.71m | 7:17AM2.63m | 7:53PM2.89m | 8:21AM2.83m | 8:49PM3.08m | 9:14AM3.02m | 9:37PM3.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:21PM0.79m | 9:48AM0.71m | 10:33PM0.87m | 11:01AM0.79m | 11:54PM0.86m | 12:23PM0.75m | 1:15AM0.72m | 1:40PM0.60m | 2:20AM0.49m | 2:41PM0.40m | 3:13AM0.27m | 3:31PM0.24m | |||||||||
 | |  |  | | |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — |
 | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — |
mm | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | WSW 12 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 2927 | 4267 | 4774 | 4822 | 5875 | 6022 | 6290 | 6541 | 4543 | 4219 | 4111 | 1742 | 2354 | 1340 | 1114 | 859 | 453 | 1480 | 651 | 608 | 2593 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 21 | W 13 | WSW 19 | SW 26 | WSW 24 | WSW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 165 | 193 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 749 | 176 | 138 | 86 | 218 | 440 | 475 | 26 | 220 | 1273 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | — | S 6 | WSW 22 | NW 8 | W 9 | — | SW 26 | — | WSW 21 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 112 | — | 22 | 47 | 16 | 59 | — | 26 | — | 2092 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 11 | WSW 8 | — |
| kJ | 3669 | 384 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 189 | 371 | 311 | — | 204 | — | — | — | — | — | 1265 | 843 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 319 | 335 | 103 | 77 | 236 | 236 | 359 | 319 | 319 | 319 | 127 | 49 | 49 | 86 | 77 | 6 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 90 | 90 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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