Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 24 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 9,243 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
Well, straight up, I gotta be honest with you – it's a rough start and it's gonna be a long wait. The first real surf worth talkin' about is a full week away. We've got a solid gap from now, with nothing but messy, blown-out conditions and huge swell that's just too much for our spots. This is a stretch where you're better off stayin' home and watchin' the cams.
The first window that looks even half decent is on Friday, 28 August. The morning is the standout. At Karekare, we'll see a 5ft swell rolling in from the WSW with a long 12-second period, which means there's a bit of energy in the water (combined energy of 837). The wind is glassy – that's a magic word, mate. It'll be clean, smooth, and the vibe will be good. For an intermediate surfer, that's a ripper session. The water temp is around average for the time of year, nothing weird going on.
The Saturday morning, 29 August, is still worth a paddle. The swell drops to 3ft, but it's still from the WSW with a 13-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore. It'll be clean again, with a combined energy of 551. Smaller waves, but good quality if you're on a longboard or a fish.
Now, after that little window, it gets heavy again. The swell pumps up massive, over 11ft from the 30th of August onward, and the wind swings cross-on or onshore. The waves'll be big, but they'll be a choppy mess. For a beach break like Karekare, that's a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle-surfing one. On Monday, 1 September, the combined energy hits 14193 – that's a beast. Unless you're a pro and you don't mind a washing machine, steer clear.
The long-range stuff, say around Thursday, 4 September and Friday, 5 September, has some promise but it's still huge – 11ft to 13ft swells. The wind is looking lighter, even cross-shore at times, which is a good sign, but the size is still expert territory. Keep an eye on it, but don't book the day off work just yet.
So, the honest call: Friday, 28 August morning is the best on offer. Glassy, clean, 5ft of WSW groundswell. That's your window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Fri night, fresh winds from the NW by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | W 8 | W 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 934 | 752 | 318 | 219 | 756 | 2262 | 2915 | 8427 | 8092 | 5906 | 4585 | 3745 | 2838 | 2898 | 3372 | 2816 | 1944 | 1699 | 1044 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 4:27AM2.23m | 5:15PM2.33m | 5:44AM2.19m | 6:29PM2.37m | 6:57AM2.26m | 7:32PM2.50m | 7:55AM2.41m | 8:20PM2.66m | 8:41AM2.59m | 9:02PM2.83m | 9:22AM2.76m | 9:41PM2.98m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:28PM1.17m | 10:51AM1.12m | 11:43PM1.21m | 12:05PM1.13m | 1:03AM1.14m | 1:19PM1.04m | 2:05AM0.97m | 2:16PM0.87m | 2:49AM0.77m | 2:59PM0.68m | 3:26AM0.58m | 3:39PM0.51m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 6 | WSW 13 | WSW 17 | WSW 12 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 934 | 752 | 318 | 74 | 99 | 321 | 2915 | 8427 | 8092 | 5906 | 4585 | 3745 | 2838 | 2898 | 3372 | 2816 | 1944 | 1699 | 1044 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 6 | WSW 13 | WSW 19 | — | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | 51 | 219 | 146 | — | 283 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 203 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 24 | WSW 19 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 11 | 142 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 4 | NW 3 | NW 4 | W 8 | W 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 7 | 6 | 21 | 756 | 2262 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 123 | 132 | 335 | 319 | 335 | 332 | 236 | 236 | 236 | 236 | 236 | 236 | 236 | 222 | 236 | 147 | 48 | 121 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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