Karekare Surf Break

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Issued: 11 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
14.6° C

Slightly cooler than normal

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 9,433 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Sun 5th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf12AM (Sun 5th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful12AM (Tue 7th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Karekare over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, it’s flat out rough and not worth getting wet. Saturday the 4th is a write-off with weak 2ft to 3ft SW swell, cross-off winds, and the wave energy is feeble (155). Honestly, it’s just a mess of poor conditions. Sunday the 5th isn’t much better – that 7ft WNW swell on Sunday morning might sound big, but the period is a short 9 seconds and it’s cross-on, so it’s lumpy and weak for the size. You’d be fighting a closeout. Don’t bother.

Now, things get interesting – and heavy – from Monday the 6th. We see a proper southwest groundswell building, with the period jumping to 13 seconds and the energy reading hitting a strong 3844. But here’s the catch: the swell is 10ft on Monday morning and climbing to 12ft by Monday afternoon. That’s expert territory, way too big for anyone but the most experienced crew. Same story Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday – constant 10ft to 12ft SW to WSW swell with long periods (13 to 17 seconds), and clean offshore or cross-off winds on a few of those windows. The energy readings are off the charts, 6506 (very strong) on Tuesday morning. But unless you’re charging heavy water at Karekare on a proper big-wave day, you’re gonna be sitting on the beach. The water temp anomaly is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.

We finally get a drop on Friday the 10th, but it’s still 5ft to 6ft WSW swell with 17-18 second periods and fresh cross-shore winds creating lumpy chop – not great.

The first real standout for skilled surfers comes Saturday the 11th morning. The swell drops to a manageable 6ft from the WSW, period a solid 16 seconds, and we’ve got gentle SSE winds keeping it clean. Energy is still strong (2205). This is excellent for experienced surfers. The crowd factor at Karekare is “sometimes,” so you might have a few out but nothing mental. Sunday the 12th morning is another cracker – 5ft WSW, 15-second period, light ESE cross-off winds, clean. That morning window is your best bet. The energy is moderate (1262).

Early the following week, Monday the 13th is a solid option for intermediate to experienced surfers: 5ft WSW swell with 14-second period, light offshore east wind, clean. Tuesday the 14th starts to drop back (3ft, 13 seconds), and from the 15th we fade into smaller, weaker swell until Thursday the 16th.

Now, Thursday the 16th morning is a major standout. The swell jumps back to a solid 8ft from the WSW, 15-second period, and we’ve got moderate ENE offshore winds keeping it clean. Energy is strong (3451). This is excellent for experienced surfers, but it’s still just under the “too big” threshold, so a few skilled chargers will have a blast. Crowds are possible, but the quality should make it worth the paddle.

After that, the 17th and 18th turn ugly again – big onshore slop, strong winds, and messy conditions. The final days drop off into poor, blown-out surf. So if you're looking for the pick, lock in Saturday the 11th morning or Sunday the 12th morning for clean, long-period groundswell, and keep an eye on Thursday the 16th morning for a bigger, more powerful session.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 31mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun morning, strong winds from the WNW by Sun night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSE on Tue night, light winds from the SSE by Wed night).

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Fri
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
!
3
2
3
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
2
2
3
!
0
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
WSW
14
0.5
SW
13
0.8
W
12
3
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
1
WSW
17
2.3
WNW
10
3
WSW
13
3.5
WSW
13
4.5
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
10
1.3
WSW
17
3
SW
16
2
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
18
1.9
WSW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
136
87
171
1254
669
563
1086
3556
3890
9433
6418
5220
3673
2952
2221
1365
952
4295
1690
1448
2113
Wind (km/h)
15
ENE
20
NE
20
NNE
15
NNE
5
NW
15
NW
25
NNE
30
N
15
NNE
20
E
35
ESE
35
ESE
35
SSE
20
SSE
20
S
15
S
20
SSE
35
S
35
S
30
S
30
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
00:22AM2.96m
12:41PM2.87m
1:00AM2.92m
1:22PM2.83m
1:40AM2.87m
2:05PM2.77m
2:25AM2.81m
2:53PM2.72m
3:15AM2.76m
3:49PM2.69m
4:15AM2.72m
4:54PM2.70m
5:22AM2.72m
Low Tide
6:38AM0.64m
6:55PM0.64m
7:18AM0.64m
7:35PM0.68m
8:00AM0.67m
8:20PM0.73m
8:47AM0.70m
9:12PM0.78m
9:42AM0.73m
10:12PM0.81m
10:44AM0.74m
11:19PM0.81m
11:50AM0.71m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
heavy rain
light rain
thunderstorm
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
 mm
13
15
2
1
4
2
1
Temp °C
12
14
15
14
15
15
13
12
12
10
11
12
12
13
14
13
13
12
12
12
12
Feels °C
10
10
11
12
13
12
9
6
8
6
4
5
5
9
10
10
7
5
5
6
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
WSW
14
0.5
SW
13
0.8
W
12
2.5
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
1.5
WNW
9
1.3
WSW
16
3
WSW
13
3.5
WSW
13
4.5
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3
SW
14
0.1
SW
22
0.2
WSW
20
2.5
SW
10
1.9
SW
11
3
SW
16
2.4
SSW
9
1.7
WSW
14
1.9
WSW
17
Energy kJ
136
87
171
1026
669
328
806
3556
3890
9433
6418
5220
3673
18
38
1365
891
4295
900
1143
2113
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
10
0.4
W
13
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
16
0.9
WSW
18
1
WSW
17
0.1
SW
24
0.6
WSW
21
1.5
WSW
18
0.2
S
9
0.9
NW
8
0.5
NW
8
1.5
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
17
0.5
SW
22
2
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
18
1.3
WSW
12
Energy kJ
2
54
44
69
486
563
22
288
1530
6
88
28
680
952
227
1690
1448
414
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
7
0.2
W
9
0.2
WSW
18
0.3
WSW
20
0.7
WSW
11
0.1
W
24
0.9
SW
18
0.1
SW
24
1.1
SW
20
Energy kJ
2
6
30
75
123
11
475
22
872
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
NNE
2
0.6
N
3
1
NNW
5
3
WNW
9
2.3
WNW
10
0.8
SE
4
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
1.4
S
7
3
SSW
9
3.5
SSW
9
Energy kJ
1
8
44
1254
1086
17
2952
2221
203
1376
1667
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
4
2
1
4
2
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
0
18
245
14
13
104
251
127
48
14
48
95
95
6
48
6
49
78
86
86
99
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
4
3
5
4
4
1
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
6
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
4
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
9
9
5
6
6
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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