Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Karekare over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, we're in a bit of a flat spell to kick things off. The surf is pretty ordinary from Monday through to Wednesday morning, with onshore winds and choppy conditions making it a write-off. Monday morning has a 10ft WSW swell at 16 seconds but with a NNW cross-on wind at 16 mph, it's a messy affair. The energy is massive though – over 4900 – but that doesn't help with the wind. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no real surprises there.

Things start to look a little more promising from Wednesday afternoon. On Wednesday afternoon, the wind swings to a light onshore WSW at 9 mph, and we've got a 5ft WSW swell at 12 seconds. It's only marginal, but the energy is down to 814, so it's not powerful. Still, it's a start.

Thursday is a write-off again with strong cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions. The swell is 7ft at 11 seconds, but the wind is 16-19 mph from the WNW – no good.

Now, here's the standout period: Friday the 11th of September. We've got a massive 16ft SW swell at 18 seconds rolling in. The energy is absolutely pumping at 18985. But here's the thing – this swell is too big for Karekare. It's an exposed beach break and with a 16ft swell, it's only for experts. The wind is cross-onshore SW at 22 mph, so it's lumpy. The wave comment says wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is just too big. If you're a seasoned charger, this might be your window, but for most of us, it's a no-go. This size continues into Saturday morning with an 18ft SW swell at 16 seconds and 15052 energy, but the wind is up to 25 mph from the SW – strong and messy.

After that, we've got a few days of poor surf through to the middle of the following week. The swell stays in the 10ft to 15ft range, but the wind is consistently cross-onshore from the SW, making it choppy. The energy drops off, but it's still moderate to strong. On Tuesday the 15th, we get a brief window of onshore wind at 12 mph from the WSW with a 8ft SW swell at 14 seconds – marginal, but the energy is still 2356. Not great.

The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. The swell stays between 6ft and 13ft, but the wind is always cross-onshore or onshore, with fresh to strong breezes. The energy is moderate to strong, but the conditions are consistently messy. There's no real standout here.

Overall, the best bet is Friday the 11th of September if you're an expert and can handle a big, powerful swell. But for everyone else, we're looking at a pretty poor run. The break is fairly consistent, so it's not a total blank, but the wind is going to be the main issue. It might be worth checking back as forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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