Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,864 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Let's break down the surf at Karekare for the next couple of weeks. It's a two-part story, so listen up.
The water temp is 57°, which is about average for the time of year.
The first few days are a bust. Things start to get real on Wednesday morning, August 5th. The swell is a solid 10ft from the SW, with a 14-second period. That's a heap of energy (3563), and the wind is a clean cross-offshore from the SSE. But be warned: that size is too big for the average Joe. It's a big-wave day for the experienced.
Thursday the 6th of August is a much better bet. The swell drops to a friendly 5ft, still from the SW with a 12-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SE, and the energy is moderate (778). Conditions are clean. This is a good, solid option for a catch-up session.
The real standout, the one that's got me frothing, is Monday the 10th of August. The swell is 4ft from the WSW, with a very long 16-second period. The energy is moderate (1241), but the wind is a clean 16 km/h offshore from the E. That's a beautiful, lined-up swell for the experienced crew. A top-shelf morning.
The rest of the week holds clean conditions until the 13th. But then the ocean turns on. From the 14th of August, we're looking at monster swell. We're talking 15ft to 16ft, with energy readings in the thousands and tens of thousands (like 22,244 on the 16th of August). The wind is mostly cross or offshore, so it will be clean, but this is big, dangerous, and expert-only territory. Karekare will be pumping, but stay safe.
So, to wrap it up: the best bet for a solid, manageable session is Thursday the 6th, but the absolute highlight for the experienced is that Monday the 10th morning. After that, it's a big-wave spectacle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 41mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WSW 18 | WNW 8 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2290 | 2033 | 4864 | 3563 | 2103 | 946 | 718 | 403 | 282 | 167 | 75 | 128 | 223 | 249 | 480 | 650 | 773 | 578 | 659 | 1230 | 1024 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | on | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 1:40PM2.84m | 1:55AM2.85m | 2:25PM2.77m | 2:43AM2.74m | 3:19PM2.69m | 3:43AM2.63m | 4:26PM2.65m | 4:55AM2.57m | 5:41PM2.68m | 6:12AM2.59m | 6:55PM2.79m | 7:26AM2.71m | 8:03PM2.95m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:55PM0.59m | 8:19AM0.53m | 8:44PM0.69m | 9:10AM0.62m | 9:43PM0.78m | 10:11AM0.69m | 10:51PM0.83m | 11:19AM0.73m | 00:06AM0.81m | 12:34PM0.71m | 1:22AM0.71m | 1:49PM0.61m | 2:31AM0.53m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  |  |  |  | | | | |
 | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — |
 | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
| kJ | 2290 | 1591 | 4864 | 3563 | 80 | 946 | 718 | 403 | 282 | 167 | 75 | 88 | 116 | 79 | 480 | 474 | 773 | 578 | 536 | 1230 | 1024 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 22 | WSW 21 | SW 21 | WSW 19 | WSW 14 | SW 10 | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | WSW 12 | WSW 19 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 16 | SW 8 | WSW 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 31 | 51 | 47 | 44 | 108 | 36 | 74 | 15 | 35 | 139 | 56 | 460 | 125 | 80 | 659 | 69 | 40 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 23 | — | — | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 18 | SW 10 | WSW 19 | SW 24 | — | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 18 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 37 | 22 | — | 63 | 147 | 283 | 46 | 47 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 10 | — | — | SW 13 | S 5 | S 4 | — | — | — | NNW 2 | WNW 10 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | N 10 | E 4 |
| kJ | 1677 | 2033 | — | — | 2103 | 23 | 13 | — | — | — | 1 | 128 | 223 | 249 | 382 | 650 | 223 | — | — | 48 | 13 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 144 | 90 | 6 | 6 | 95 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 238 | 0 | 0 | 317 | 127 | 101 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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