
Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 5,006 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
Alright mate, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Karekare's got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.
The opening act is a beauty. Sunday the 12th is looking like the standout of the whole run. We've got a solid 7ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 16 second period, and the wind is light offshore from the ENE in the morning, going glassy in the afternoon. That's as clean as it gets. The wave energy is pumping at 2291, so there's plenty of push. This is proper experienced surf, though – it's powerful, and the size will be a handful.
Monday the 13th sees the swell drop a notch to 5ft from the WSW, but the wind shifts to a cross-offshore NNE, keeping it clean. The energy drops to 963, so it's still surfable but not as punchy. The rest of that week gets messy. The wind turns onshore or cross-onshore from Tuesday the 14th through to the weekend, and the swell is a mixed bag of short-period windswell and bigger but wind-affected SW groundswell. By Wednesday the 15th, the swell jumps to 10ft, but it's cross-onshore and choppy – that's a washing machine for experts only, if they're keen on a battle.
There's a long gap of average to poor conditions from the 15th through to the 19th, with onshore winds and lumpy seas. Not worth paddling out for.
Then, hang on. Monday the 20th flips the script. A light ESE breeze, clean conditions, and a 5ft SW groundswell with a 14 second period. The energy is 1030, and the waves have shape. It's a solid, clean session for a confident intermediate.
But the real second standout is brewing for the following weekend. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are looking absolute magic. Saturday has glassy conditions with a 5ft WSW groundswell and a very long 19-20 second period. That's a dreamy, long-period groundswell that will wrap in perfectly. The energy is strong at 2857. Sunday the 26th is even better – 8ft SW groundswell at 16 seconds with a light offshore ENE breeze. 3052 energy. That's a big, clean, powerful swell. For the experts, it's a top-tier window. The 27th keeps it going with a similar 7ft swell and clean cross-offshore winds.
So, the pick of the forecast is Sunday the 12th for the first week, and the whole weekend of the 25th-27th for the second week. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so you'll want a decent spring suit.
Oh, and Karekare can get crowded sometimes, so for those standout days, especially the weekend ones, get there early.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Sat 18 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2475 | 2291 | 1907 | 1409 | 947 | 626 | 313 | 708 | 352 | 826 | 1471 | 4662 | 4792 | 3953 | 3371 | 2542 | 1874 | 1735 | 1390 | 1347 | 1487 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | cross |
High Tide | 7:40AM2.88m | 8:16PM3.04m | 8:43AM2.99m | 9:14PM3.17m | 9:40AM3.11m | 10:09PM3.28m | 10:33AM3.19m | 10:59PM3.34m | 11:23AM3.24m | 11:47PM3.36m | 12:10PM3.24m | 00:32AM3.32m | 12:55PM3.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:36AM0.65m | 2:03PM0.57m | 2:40AM0.53m | 3:05PM0.47m | 3:39AM0.40m | 4:02PM0.37m | 4:32AM0.29m | 4:53PM0.30m | 5:21AM0.22m | 5:40PM0.27m | 6:06AM0.21m | 6:25PM0.29m | 6:50AM0.25m | ||||||||
— | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | |
— | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WNW 8 | WSW 13 | W 13 | W 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 |
2475 | 2291 | 1907 | 1409 | 947 | 626 | 313 | 708 | 206 | 826 | 957 | 4662 | 4792 | 3953 | 3371 | 2542 | 1874 | 1735 | 1390 | 1347 | 1487 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | WSW 13 | WSW 20 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | W 24 | WNW 6 | SW 20 | SW 18 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 225 | 160 | 283 | 1471 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 11 | 4 | 188 | 826 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 22 | — | WSW 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 21 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48 | — | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | — | WNW 8 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 16 | 20 | 124 | — | 352 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 332 | 6 | 49 | 101 | 95 | 318 | 6 | 127 | 122 | 6 | 49 | 49 | 49 | 49 | 86 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











