Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, WSW swell with 5,612 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk Karekare in feet and fahrenheit.
The first few days are a total washout. Friday the 31st is a mess – 30 km/h winds hammering onshore with rain, waves around 5ft but it’s all chop and no shape. Combined wave energy is high (2030) but it’s wasted.
Saturday the 1st of August is a big one. A solid 12ft swell from the WSW, 13-second period, and the wind is light offshore in the morning. That’s a massive 4595 of energy. But it’s too big for this break. Only for the experts. The morning is glassy clean, but it’s a beast.
The standout is Sunday the 2nd of August. That morning you’ve got a 7ft SW swell, 12-second period, and a light SSE cross-off breeze. Combined energy is 1307, and the water is 57°, which is about average for this time of year. It’s clean, powerful, and excellent for experienced surfers. Crowds can show up, but it’s worth it.
Then we hit a long gap of poor conditions. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th are chopped up by strong cross-onshore winds. The 4th has a 10ft swell but the wind is wrong – big and ugly.
Thursday the 6th of August is a better day. The morning has a light offshore breeze and a 4ft SW groundswell (492 energy). The afternoon gets better with a 6ft WNW swell, 8-second period, and a cross-off breeze. Very clean.
Friday the 7th of August is another solid call: 8ft to 8ft W swell, 11-12 second period, light cross-off winds. Clean and powerful – for the experienced crew.
The following week is more mixed. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th have clean conditions but the swell drops to 6ft and then 3ft. The 9th has a very long 18-second period swell, but it’s small. Then from the 10th of August onwards, we get into a run of marginal conditions with small, inconsistent swell and moderate energy. The last few days, from the 13th to the 15th, are poor with strong onshore winds and choppy seas.
So, your best bet is Sunday the 2nd of August morning. Clean, solid, and just right. Friday the 7th of August is your second pick. The rest is a mixed bag.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri afternoon, calm by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the E by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 955 | 1274 | 5461 | 4595 | 3611 | 2172 | 1208 | 806 | 794 | 1519 | 2228 | 2715 | 4580 | 2291 | 2746 | 1949 | 1308 | 679 | 347 | 524 | 738 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:04AM2.94m | 11:22PM3.06m | 11:42AM2.97m | 11:59PM3.06m | 12:20PM2.96m | 00:36AM3.02m | 12:59PM2.91m | 1:14AM2.95m | 1:40PM2.84m | 1:55AM2.85m | 2:25PM2.77m | 2:43AM2.74m | 3:19PM2.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:18PM0.47m | 5:40AM0.41m | 5:55PM0.44m | 6:17AM0.39m | 6:33PM0.45m | 6:55AM0.40m | 7:12PM0.50m | 7:35AM0.45m | 7:55PM0.59m | 8:19AM0.53m | 8:44PM0.69m | 9:10AM0.62m | 9:43PM0.78m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — |
mm | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 955 | 1274 | 5461 | 4595 | 3611 | 2172 | 1208 | 806 | 794 | 1519 | 2228 | 2715 | 4580 | 2291 | 2746 | 1949 | 1308 | 679 | 347 | 184 | 167 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 18 | — | — | — | W 24 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | WSW 18 | — | SW 11 | — | — | SW 10 | — | — | SW 18 | WSW 16 | W 9 | WSW 21 | SW 21 |
| kJ | 326 | — | — | — | 11 | 18 | 99 | 98 | 226 | — | 209 | — | — | 673 | — | — | 80 | 51 | 6 | 44 | 108 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | WSW 22 | WSW 15 | W 14 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 47 | 21 | 34 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 11 | SW 8 | SW 9 | SW 10 | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NW 6 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 749 | 624 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 821 | 470 | 841 | 887 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 92 | 524 | 738 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 49 | 49 | 49 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 90 | 213 | 332 | 236 | 95 | 233 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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