Karekare Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.2° 

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 15,381 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 2.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Mon 7th Sep)8ft (2.4m) 14s
Best Surf12PM (Fri 11th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 19s
Most Powerful12PM (Fri 11th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a good hard look at what Karekare's got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – this is a tale of two forecasts, and you're gonna have to pick your window carefully.

The first thing I'm looking at is that massive swell forecast for Monday the 7th. We've got a WSW groundswell pumping in at 10ft with a 16-second period from the southwest, packing serious energy (5519) – that's proper power. But here's the kicker: it's just too big for this break, and the wind is a messy cross-shore. The water's sitting at 58°, pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Monday arvo goes from bad to worse with stormy winds.

We get a little glimmer on Wednesday morning the 9th. The swell drops to a more manageable 5ft from the WSW, and here's the magic word: glassy conditions. That light SSE breeze at 3 mph will have the surface as smooth as a mirror. The period's still a solid 12 seconds so there's some punch, but with that combined energy at 930, it's not going to be a world-beater – just a nice, clean session for an intermediate. The crowds are *sometimes* an issue here, so get there early.

After that, it all turns to custard. From Thursday the 10th right through to at least the 15th of September, we are looking at a solid run of onshore and cross-onshore winds blowing out everything. The swell stays in the 6ft to 15ft range, but it's all junk. Kite-surfing weather, not paddle-surfing weather.

The second week is a write-off for quality surfing. The 16th, 17th, and 18th are dominated by strong to gale-force winds with massive, blown-out swell. You’d be mad to paddle out.

There is one very long-range standout worth noting, way out on Sunday the 20th of September. The afternoon shows a massive 18ft WSW groundswell with a 17-second period – that's some serious water moving around (15744 energy). The model says the wind and tide could be favorable, but again, that size is just too big for Karekare. It's got "experts only" written all over it, and even then, it'll be a battle. For the rest of us, it's a day for the camera, not the board.

To sum it up: your only real window for a clean wave is the morning of Wednesday, 9th of September. Lock it in. Everything else is either blown out or way too big for this spot.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Thu morning, strong winds from the S by Fri morning).

Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
0
4
0
0
4
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
WSW
16
2.5
WSW
15
2
WSW
14
2.1
WSW
14
2.2
SW
11
1.9
SW
12
1.6
WSW
12
1.4
WSW
10
1.5
WSW
11
1.2
WSW
18
1.8
WSW
11
2.1
WSW
16
4.5
SW
19
4.5
SW
18
4.5
WSW
18
4.5
SW
16
2.5
WSW
16
4
SW
16
4
SW
16
4
WSW
16
4
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4340
3348
1560
1699
1060
1064
686
417
563
835
745
2178
13119
14292
13067
11182
3647
8484
8265
7354
8122
Wind (km/h)
15
N
25
NW
15
SSE
30
SSW
25
SSW
5
SW
5
SSE
15
WSW
15
W
20
W
30
NW
35
SSW
45
S
30
SW
35
WSW
35
SSW
30
SW
30
WSW
30
WSW
35
SW
25
SW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
6:45PM2.71m
7:17AM2.63m
7:53PM2.89m
8:21AM2.83m
8:49PM3.08m
9:14AM3.02m
9:37PM3.23m
10:00AM3.16m
10:20PM3.31m
10:42AM3.22m
11:00PM3.31m
11:21AM3.22m
11:36PM3.25m
Low Tide
12:23PM0.75m
1:15AM0.72m
1:40PM0.60m
2:20AM0.49m
2:41PM0.40m
3:13AM0.27m
3:31PM0.24m
3:58AM0.12m
4:14PM0.15m
4:39AM0.06m
4:55PM0.14m
5:17AM0.08m
5:32PM0.21m
rain showers
thunderstorm
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
cloud
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:06
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:08
6:09
 mm
4
3
3
1
1
8
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
15
14
13
12
13
12
14
14
12
14
13
12
12
12
13
13
12
13
14
13
13
Feels °C
10
10
13
6
8
10
12
11
9
9
7
9
3
5
6
5
5
7
8
6
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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