Karekare Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 30 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
14.0° C
0.5° 

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 6,460 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sat 1st Aug)13ft (4.0m) 14s
Best Surf 3AM (Sat 1st Aug)13ft (4.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 9AM (Sat 1st Aug)13ft (4.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Karekare over the next couple of weeks.

The pattern kicks off with a bit of a wait but when it comes, it comes in solid. We’ve got a real standout window in the first weekend of August that's looking absolute magic for the right crew. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

The first action worth paddling out for is on Thursday the 30th of July, morning. It’s 7ft of WSW groundswell with a long 14-second period, giving you solid, punchy lines. The wind is a light cross-off from the NNE at 9 mph, so that’ll keep the face clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but the combined wave energy is strong (1439), so it’s got some push. This is a good session for the confident surfer.

Friday the 31st is a write-off. Onshore winds whipping up to 22 mph and rain – just stay home and watch the cams.

Now, Saturday the 1st of August - this is the standout. Early morning it’s 13ft of WSW swell, period 14 seconds, and it’s glassy with an ENE breeze at only 3 mph. The combined energy is through the roof (6460). It’s clean, it’s powerful, and it’s big. This is for experts only – over 8ft, it’s serious. Crowds are possible here at Karekare, so get there early if you’re keen. The swell direction matches the optimum SW window perfectly. This is the best session on the board.

Sunday the 2nd stays clean and good. Morning sees 7ft SW swell with a light cross-off breeze. That’s a much more manageable size for intermediates, and the energy is still solid (1355). Nice one.

The middle of the week from Monday the 3rd to Tuesday the 4th is poor – strong onshore winds and rain, swell all chopped up. Don’t bother.

Wednesday the 5th is back in the game. Morning has 7ft SW swell, and a clean offshore from the ESE at 6 mph. That’s excellent. Afternoon stays clean with a cross-off, but the swell drops a touch to 6ft. Still very good.

The second week gets lighter and more inconsistent. Thursday the 6th has a small but fun 3ft WSW groundswell in the morning with clean conditions, but the energy is weak (545). Good for a longboard or a learner session in the small stuff. The afternoon jumps up to 8ft WNW, but the period drops to 9 seconds – short-period, less impressive shape.

From Friday the 7th through to the end, it’s a mixed bag. There are small windows, like Saturday the 8th with a 4ft W swell and offshore winds, or Tuesday the 11th afternoon with a clean 4ft WSW groundswell (16 seconds), but the consistent quality drops off. The energy levels are mostly moderate to weak, and wind starts to mess things up more often than not.

Overall: the clear standout is Saturday morning the 1st of August – huge, glassy, perfect direction. That’s the one to circle. Sunday the 2nd and Wednesday the 5th are your next best bets.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri afternoon, calm by Sat morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
1
1
0
0
0
!
!
!
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
4
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
13
1.6
WSW
14
3
W
15
4
WSW
14
4
WSW
14
4
WSW
14
3
WSW
13
2.2
SW
12
1.9
SW
11
1.5
SW
10
1.4
SW
19
1.7
WSW
18
2.2
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2
WSW
14
2.2
SW
14
1.9
SW
13
1.4
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1411
1126
472
955
4301
6101
6460
5560
2573
1256
894
424
1503
1760
2559
4056
3573
1690
1895
1269
679
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
15
NW
30
NNW
30
W
35
W
20
W
5
ENE
10
SE
10
E
5
SSE
15
S
10
WSW
20
WSW
25
SW
25
WSW
25
SW
20
WSW
20
SSW
10
ESE
15
NE
20
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
cross
on
on
on
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:26AM2.88m
10:45PM3.03m
11:04AM2.94m
11:22PM3.06m
11:42AM2.97m
11:59PM3.06m
12:20PM2.96m
00:36AM3.02m
12:59PM2.91m
1:14AM2.95m
1:40PM2.84m
1:55AM2.85m
2:25PM2.77m
2:43AM2.74m
Low Tide
4:41PM0.54m
5:04AM0.48m
5:18PM0.47m
5:40AM0.41m
5:55PM0.44m
6:17AM0.39m
6:33PM0.45m
6:55AM0.40m
7:12PM0.50m
7:35AM0.45m
7:55PM0.59m
8:19AM0.53m
8:44PM0.69m
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:20
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:37
5:38
 mm
3
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
Temp °C
15
15
13
14
13
13
12
12
11
10
11
13
13
13
13
14
14
13
10
12
11
Feels °C
12
11
8
8
6
6
10
9
8
5
8
10
9
8
8
9
10
10
7
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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