
Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 6,460 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Karekare over the next couple of weeks.
The pattern kicks off with a bit of a wait but when it comes, it comes in solid. We’ve got a real standout window in the first weekend of August that's looking absolute magic for the right crew. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.
The first action worth paddling out for is on Thursday the 30th of July, morning. It’s 7ft of WSW groundswell with a long 14-second period, giving you solid, punchy lines. The wind is a light cross-off from the NNE at 9 mph, so that’ll keep the face clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but the combined wave energy is strong (1439), so it’s got some push. This is a good session for the confident surfer.
Friday the 31st is a write-off. Onshore winds whipping up to 22 mph and rain – just stay home and watch the cams.
Now, Saturday the 1st of August - this is the standout. Early morning it’s 13ft of WSW swell, period 14 seconds, and it’s glassy with an ENE breeze at only 3 mph. The combined energy is through the roof (6460). It’s clean, it’s powerful, and it’s big. This is for experts only – over 8ft, it’s serious. Crowds are possible here at Karekare, so get there early if you’re keen. The swell direction matches the optimum SW window perfectly. This is the best session on the board.
Sunday the 2nd stays clean and good. Morning sees 7ft SW swell with a light cross-off breeze. That’s a much more manageable size for intermediates, and the energy is still solid (1355). Nice one.
The middle of the week from Monday the 3rd to Tuesday the 4th is poor – strong onshore winds and rain, swell all chopped up. Don’t bother.
Wednesday the 5th is back in the game. Morning has 7ft SW swell, and a clean offshore from the ESE at 6 mph. That’s excellent. Afternoon stays clean with a cross-off, but the swell drops a touch to 6ft. Still very good.
The second week gets lighter and more inconsistent. Thursday the 6th has a small but fun 3ft WSW groundswell in the morning with clean conditions, but the energy is weak (545). Good for a longboard or a learner session in the small stuff. The afternoon jumps up to 8ft WNW, but the period drops to 9 seconds – short-period, less impressive shape.
From Friday the 7th through to the end, it’s a mixed bag. There are small windows, like Saturday the 8th with a 4ft W swell and offshore winds, or Tuesday the 11th afternoon with a clean 4ft WSW groundswell (16 seconds), but the consistent quality drops off. The energy levels are mostly moderate to weak, and wind starts to mess things up more often than not.
Overall: the clear standout is Saturday morning the 1st of August – huge, glassy, perfect direction. That’s the one to circle. Sunday the 2nd and Wednesday the 5th are your next best bets.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri afternoon, calm by Sat morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | W 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1411 | 1126 | 472 | 955 | 4301 | 6101 | 6460 | 5560 | 2573 | 1256 | 894 | 424 | 1503 | 1760 | 2559 | 4056 | 3573 | 1690 | 1895 | 1269 | 679 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross | on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:26AM2.88m | 10:45PM3.03m | 11:04AM2.94m | 11:22PM3.06m | 11:42AM2.97m | 11:59PM3.06m | 12:20PM2.96m | 00:36AM3.02m | 12:59PM2.91m | 1:14AM2.95m | 1:40PM2.84m | 1:55AM2.85m | 2:25PM2.77m | 2:43AM2.74m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:41PM0.54m | 5:04AM0.48m | 5:18PM0.47m | 5:40AM0.41m | 5:55PM0.44m | 6:17AM0.39m | 6:33PM0.45m | 6:55AM0.40m | 7:12PM0.50m | 7:35AM0.45m | 7:55PM0.59m | 8:19AM0.53m | 8:44PM0.69m | ||||||||
7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | |
— | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | |
mm | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 12 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | — | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
1411 | 1126 | 472 | 955 | — | 6101 | 6460 | 5560 | 2573 | 1256 | 894 | 424 | 1503 | 1760 | 2559 | 4056 | 3573 | 1690 | 1895 | 1269 | 679 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | W 24 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 12 | WSW 11 | SW 11 | — | — | — | SW 10 | WSW 18 | — | WSW 16 |
— | 126 | 412 | 326 | — | — | — | 11 | 18 | 99 | 98 | 212 | 219 | 182 | — | — | — | 446 | 31 | — | 26 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 |
— | — | — | 356 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 226 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 7 | W 9 | W 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
28 | 40 | 449 | 749 | 4301 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 449 | 335 | 403 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 49 | 128 | 49 | 49 | 49 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 90 | 90 | 213 | 343 | 236 | 236 | 172 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










