Karekare Surf Break

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Issued: 11 pm 02 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
14.8° C

Normal for this time of year

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 11s period, W swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 9,849 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 3 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 8s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Fri 3rd Jul)2ft (0.6m) 13s
Best Surf 6AM (Mon 6th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 11s
Most Powerful 9PM (Mon 6th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, folks, Rusty here again, turning the dials over to imperial for you.

Let’s break down what’s brewing at Karekare over the next couple of weeks.

It’s a slow start, no doubt about it. We have some tiny, clean waves on Friday the 3rd, but it’s barely a ripple. Then we get a stretch of real nasty weather and some proper, scary size that will close the place out. The one shining window is all the way out in the second week, so you'll need to hold your horses.

Starting out on Friday morning, July 3rd, we have 2ft of swell from the SW with a long 13-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 166, and with a light cross-offshore breeze from the ENE, it'll be glassy clean. Friday afternoon the wind goes completely calm and glassy, and the swell drops to 2ft. You could take a longboard out, maybe.

Saturday the 4th is a write-off with 12 mph cross-offshore winds and tiny waves.

Sunday the 5th sees the swell jump to 7ft from the W on the morning, with a short 10-second period. The wind is a cross-onshore from the NW at 9 mph. The energy is already strong (1338), but it's lumpy and uninviting. By the afternoon, the swell drops to 3ft but the period stretches to a very long 17 seconds from the WSW, with a light onshore breeze. That kind of long period swell doesn't do this beach break any favors.

Monday the 6th is a complete danger zone. We are looking at 15ft of swell on the morning with a strong 19 mph onshore wind. The energy is insane at 5582. Stay on the sand. Tuesday the 7th is much the same – the wind goes offshore from the E at 12-16 mph, and the waves would be picture-perfect clean, but the swell is a massive 12ft to 10ft from the WSW with a very long 16-second period. This is strictly for the most experienced chargers, and even then, it might be too much.

Wednesday the 8th is the first day things look doable. The morning has 8ft from the SW with a 14-second period, cross-shore wind from the S at 9 mph, but it is only marginal. The afternoon is where we get our first real window. The swell drops to a more manageable 8ft from the SW, the period is still a solid 13 seconds, and the wind goes cross-offshore from the SSE at 9 mph. The energy is strong at 2050, and the notes say "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers". This is the first one to mark on the calendar.

Now, for the absolute standout of this forecast. Let's talk about the morning of Monday, July 13th. We have a clean 5ft of swell from the WSW. The period is a solid 14 seconds, the wind is glassy from the SSE at only 3 mph, and the energy is moderate at 1113. The commentary says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That Monday morning glass-off is the total winner. Perfect conditions, great size for a solid intermediate to expert session.

Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th also offer clean windows with offshore winds. On Wednesday the 15th, we see a 4ft swell from the WSW with a very long 20-second period and a clean offshore wind from the ENE at 16 mph. The energy is moderate at 1223. That long period will deliver some nice, well-formed lines, but the long lulls between sets are a guarantee.

After that, the wind turns onshore and howls again, so the surf will be blown out from Thursday the 16th right through to the end of the forecast on Saturday the 18th. The 18th is a total mess with 25 mph winds.

So, my call: be patient and wait for the glassy 5ft swell on Monday morning, July 13th. The afternoon of Wednesday, July 8th, is also a solid pick for the experienced guys when the swell is a touch bigger. The rest is either too small, too big, or too messy to bother with.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun night, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Sun night, fresh winds from the WNW by Mon afternoon).

Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thu
9
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
3
0
0
!
!
!
!
2
4
1
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.6
WSW
14
0.5
SW
13
0.8
W
11
2.4
WNW
9
2.1
W
10
1
WSW
17
2.2
WNW
10
4.5
W
11
4
W
13
4
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3
WSW
16
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
13
2.5
SW
11
1.9
SW
12
3
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
190
136
85
136
87
166
1012
809
563
935
5285
5395
9388
5461
4605
3536
2703
2012
1613
1112
3976
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
5
ENE
0
NE
15
NE
20
NE
20
NNE
20
NNW
15
NW
10
WNW
20
NNE
30
WNW
30
WNW
15
NE
20
E
25
E
15
SE
15
S
15
SSE
35
S
35
S
35
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
11:45PM2.98m
12:02PM2.90m
00:22AM2.96m
12:41PM2.87m
1:00AM2.92m
1:22PM2.83m
1:40AM2.87m
2:05PM2.77m
2:25AM2.81m
2:53PM2.72m
3:15AM2.76m
3:49PM2.69m
4:15AM2.72m
4:54PM2.70m
Low Tide
6:01AM0.65m
6:17PM0.63m
6:38AM0.64m
6:55PM0.64m
7:18AM0.64m
7:35PM0.68m
8:00AM0.67m
8:20PM0.73m
8:47AM0.70m
9:12PM0.78m
9:42AM0.73m
10:12PM0.81m
10:44AM0.74m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:17
5:19
5:19
 mm
5
1
4
11
Temp °C
11
13
14
13
15
15
14
15
14
14
12
12
10
12
12
11
12
12
13
12
12
Feels °C
10
12
13
10
11
11
11
12
12
9
5
5
6
6
7
6
8
9
8
5
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.6
WSW
14
0.5
SW
13
0.8
W
11
0.4
SW
16
2.1
W
10
1.8
W
9
2.2
WNW
10
4.5
W
11
4
W
13
4
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3
WSW
16
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
13
2.5
SW
11
1.9
SW
12
3
SW
16
Energy kJ
190
136
85
136
87
166
69
809
517
935
5285
5395
9388
5461
4605
3536
2703
2012
1613
1112
3976
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
18
0.2
WSW
18
0.4
SW
16
0.1
W
10
0.4
W
13
0.4
SW
13
0.3
WSW
20
0.9
WSW
18
1
WSW
17
1.4
WSW
15
0.6
WSW
21
1.5
WSW
19
1.5
NW
8
0.9
NW
9
0.9
SSW
10
0.1
SW
21
0.2
WSW
20
0.7
SW
18
1.2
SW
16
0.4
WSW
22
Energy kJ
6
30
67
2
54
42
75
486
563
902
297
1632
297
110
167
18
38
327
786
181
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
7
0.2
W
9
0.2
WSW
18
0.8
SW
6
0.7
WSW
11
0.1
W
24
0.3
S
9
0.8
SSW
10
0.4
NW
8
Energy kJ
2
6
30
43
119
11
15
141
22
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
2
0.6
N
4
0.9
NNW
5
2.4
WNW
9
0.6
NE
4
0.6
ENE
3
1.1
SE
4
1.4
SSE
5
1.5
S
9
Energy kJ
1
10
34
1012
8
9
45
91
388
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
3
2
1
1
4
1
1
8
4
4
5
4
4
1
4
1
Distance (km)
0
0
0
0
101
319
49
49
49
101
49
103
48
13
13
6
6
0
78
240
86
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
4
4
5
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
5
7
5
8
5
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
5
9
5
7
5
5
9
7
7
6
9
8
6
6
7
9
7
7
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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