Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 6,702 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s coming for Karekare.
It’s going to be a rough stretch, I won’t lie. The first week is mostly blown out. There’s some serious swell on the charts, but the wind is all wrong for Karekare – cross-on or onshore most of the time.
The first date worth talking about is Saturday, 26 July. That’s the one to mark on your calendar. Morning has a light cross-off breeze from the ENE at 10 km/h (light breeze), so the waves will be clean. The swell is a solid 15ft from the WSW, with a 12-second period. The combined energy is strong (6558). That’s a big groundswell – for experts only, because anything over 8ft is too much for most. The afternoon is similar, with a 15ft swell and a SE wind at 12 km/h, still cross-off and clean.
Before that, Thursday 24 July morning might be a small window. The swell drops to 6ft from the WSW, with a light cross breeze from the north at 6 km/h. It’s a smaller, weaker swell (combined energy 878) with a 12-second period, but the light wind should keep it rideable. It’s marginal, but probably the cleanest you’ll see in the first week.
After the 26th, the wind turns nasty again. The 29th through the 31st have big swell running between 12ft and 13ft, but the wind is howling from the NW and WSW at 16-22 mph, making it messy and lumpy. That’s more of a kite-surfing day than a surf session.
Water temp at Karekare is about 58°F, close to average for this time of year.
If you want clean waves, sit tight for the 26th. The rest is a struggle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3326 | 2324 | 2305 | 3417 | 3979 | 3873 | 3615 | 6461 | 6026 | 4764 | 3297 | 2313 | 2121 | 1894 | 1903 | 1518 | 1129 | 607 | 421 | 364 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:47PM3.36m | 12:10PM3.24m | 00:32AM3.32m | 12:55PM3.20m | 1:15AM3.23m | 1:38PM3.10m | 1:57AM3.10m | 2:21PM2.97m | 2:40AM2.92m | 3:07PM2.81m | 3:25AM2.73m | 3:57PM2.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:40PM0.27m | 6:06AM0.21m | 6:25PM0.29m | 6:50AM0.25m | 7:08PM0.37m | 7:34AM0.35m | 7:51PM0.50m | 8:17AM0.49m | 8:36PM0.65m | 9:03AM0.65m | 9:24PM0.82m | 9:52AM0.82m | 10:18PM0.97m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 3326 | 2324 | 2305 | 3417 | 3979 | 3873 | 3615 | 6461 | 6026 | 4764 | 3297 | 2313 | 2121 | 1894 | 1903 | 1518 | 1129 | 607 | 421 | 205 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | — | WSW 20 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 287 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | 38 | 34 | 32 | 103 | 51 | 142 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 6 | SW 7 | SW 8 |
| kJ | — | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 92 | 244 | 364 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 122 | 6 | 49 | 77 | 49 | 49 | 49 | 99 | 90 | 90 | 90 | 132 | 122 | 95 | 6 | 129 | 193 | 193 | 319 | 185 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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