Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 5,853 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Rusty here again, same story, different units.
Karekare is looking at a rough start. Wednesday afternoon through Sunday morning it’s all big, onshore, and messy for a paddle board but maybe interesting for the kite crew. The wave heights hit 10 ft to 10 ft during that stretch, and the winds are cross-onshore or blowy – not the clean stuff you want. Water temp is about 58°, nothing wild for July.
Monday July 20th morning is the first real highlight. Swell runs 7 ft from the WSW with a 14-second period – that’s quality groundswell. Wind is offshore from the east at 12-13 mph, light enough to keep it clean. The energy is moderate, but it’s got enough push for experienced surfers. If you’ve got the skill, this is your morning.
Saturday July 25th afternoon is another gem. Swell at 7 ft from the WSW, glassy conditions – no wind, clean as a whistle. That’s rare and worth making time for.
There are fun smaller days between, but the two standouts are Monday July 20th morning and Saturday July 25th afternoon. Everything else either has too much wind, too much size for clean conditions, or just not enough push.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri night, min 7°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | W 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 241 | 865 | 1944 | 5131 | 4779 | 3803 | 3184 | 2598 | 2479 | 3417 | 4032 | 3733 | 3477 | 3051 | 5720 | 4342 | 3079 | 1929 | 1644 | 1367 | 946 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:09PM3.28m | 10:33AM3.19m | 10:59PM3.34m | 11:23AM3.24m | 11:47PM3.36m | 12:10PM3.24m | 00:32AM3.32m | 12:55PM3.20m | 1:15AM3.23m | 1:38PM3.10m | 1:57AM3.10m | 2:21PM2.97m | 2:40AM2.92m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:02PM0.37m | 4:32AM0.29m | 4:53PM0.30m | 5:21AM0.22m | 5:40PM0.27m | 6:06AM0.21m | 6:25PM0.29m | 6:50AM0.25m | 7:08PM0.37m | 7:34AM0.35m | 7:51PM0.50m | 8:17AM0.49m | 8:36PM0.65m | 9:03AM0.65m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 |
 | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | 5:27 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | W 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 232 | 865 | 1944 | 5131 | 4779 | 3803 | 3184 | 2598 | 2479 | 3417 | 4032 | 3733 | 3477 | 3051 | 5720 | 4342 | 3079 | 1929 | 1644 | 1367 | 946 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | WSW 18 | W 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | W 22 | W 21 | WSW 20 |
| kJ | 241 | 408 | 957 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1415 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 9 | 38 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 20 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 160 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 3 | — | E 3 | ESE 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | 4 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 77 | 13 | 101 | 318 | 147 | 132 | 122 | 77 | 49 | 77 | 49 | 49 | 77 | 90 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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