Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Karekare’s looking like the main event for this whole stretch, so we’ll be focused right there.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. Thursday afternoon is a write-off – poor conditions, a bit of a mess. But don’t let that fool you, because Friday morning, August 7th, is where it starts to get interesting. We’re looking at a glassy, clean 3ft SW swell with a 12-second period rolling in. The combined energy is moderate, coming in at 203 – not huge, but the wind is absolutely dead calm. That’s a major plus for clean lines. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

Saturday morning, the 8th, keeps the good vibes going with a clean 2ft from the WSW, 13-second period, and light cross-offshore winds. The energy is still moderate at 205. It’s a nice, clean little wave, perfect for a long session without the crowds.

Now, Sunday morning the 9th is where we see a jump. The swell picks up to 8ft from the NW, but the period drops to 10 seconds – that’s a shorter period, so it’ll be a bit more crumbly and less powerful than you’d hope for at that size. The combined energy is strong, blasting through at 3106. The wind is cross-offshore, keeping it clean, but the quality is marginal due to the tide and the swell shape. This one’s more for the experienced crew.

Monday the 10th is the real standout. Morning brings a glassy 5ft WSW swell with a 13-second period, and the combined energy is a solid 1385. The wind is glassy, the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. This is the best on offer in the first week. The water is still average for the season, so just a wetsuit and you’re good.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th are more of a holding pattern – 3ft to 4ft, clean but marginal, with energy dropping back into the moderate range. Nothing to write home about, but still surfable for the keen.

Now, Thursday the 13th brings a big one. Morning shows a 10ft W swell, but the forecast says it’s too big for this break. The combined energy is a massive 2731, and the wind is light and cross-offshore, but the swell is just too much for Karekare. Afternoon drops to 8ft, still big, but the wind stays clean. This is expert-only territory.

Friday the 14th is a drop back to 4ft to 5ft, but the wind is howling from the NE at 19 mph, blowing cross-offshore. The energy is still strong at 1755 to 2016, but the wind is fresh, making it a bit of a battle. The waves are there, but the chop is a factor.

Saturday the 15th is a straight-up no-go. 16ft and 15ft with strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. The energy is extreme at 9986 and 8898.

Sunday the 16th is even more insane – 25ft and 23ft WSW swell, with the combined energy peaking at 42685. The wind is light, but the swell is way too big. This is a spectacle, not a session.

Monday the 17th brings a 13ft and 12ft swell, but now we get offshore winds from the E at 16 mph. That’s a clean, powerful, and completely oversized wave. Only for the brave and the very experienced.

Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th settle back to 7ft to 8ft, with moderate energy and clean conditions. Still a good size, but more manageable.

Then, Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st are the late-week gems. Thursday morning is glassy with a 6ft WSW swell and a 15-second period, excellent for experienced surfers, with the combined energy at 1506. Friday morning is glassy again, with a 5ft swell and 13-second period, very good conditions. The wind is dead calm both mornings. This is the best of the second week, and it’s promising, but being a week and a half out, keep an eye on it.

Overall, the standout is Monday the 10th for the first week, and Thursday the 20th for the second week, but the glassy mornings on the 21st are a close second. The water is average for the season, so no surprises there.

Rusty.

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