
Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,375 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer at Karekare over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there’s a few genuine highlights to get excited about if you’re patient.
The first surf worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Wednesday morning, August 5, so you’ve got a couple of days of flat or poor conditions to sit through. Early on Monday and Tuesday, the swell is pushing through but the wind is a cross-on mess, making it choppy and ugly. Tuesday arvo sees a big 12 ft swell but short period and awful wind – not for the faint-hearted.
Now, Wednesday morning August 5 is the first standout. Karekare is a West Coast exposed beach, and the swell is coming from the SW at 10 ft, with a period of 14 seconds. That’s a solid groundswell, but it’s a big one – over 8 ft, so this is strictly for experts. The wind is SSE at 16 mph, cross-offshore, which will keep it clean. The combined energy is massive at 5495, so it’s pumping. The water temp is about 57°F, which is a touch cooler than average for this time of year, but not a shock.
If you want the absolute best of the forecast, look at Sunday morning August 9. The swell drops to a more manageable 8 ft from the WSW, period 10 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – WSW at just 3 mph. That’s a rare treat. The combined energy is still strong at 1816, and the break will be clean and lined up. This is for experienced surfers only, but it’s going to be magic.
Monday August 10 morning and afternoon are also excellent – swell 6-6 ft from the WSW, 13 seconds, with light cross-offshore winds from the east. Clean, smooth, and the energy is moderate at 1578-1678. Crowds are sometimes a thing here, so prepare for a few locals.
Later in the week, Thursday August 13 afternoon sees a big 7 ft WSW swell with a long 19-second period, but the wind is light cross-on, so it might be a bit bumpy. Friday August 14 morning is another good one – 7 ft, 16 seconds, cross-offshore SSE wind, clean and powerful. Energy is 2235.
After that, the second week gets a bit hit and miss. The swell sticks around but the wind turns cross-on or onshore, and the quality drops. A few days have moderate energy but the wind is messy. Nothing stands out as a standout after that first week.
To wrap it up, the best windows are Wednesday morning August 5 for the big, clean, expert-only session, and Sunday morning August 9 for the glassy, perfect conditions. Monday August 10 is also a winner for cleaner, smaller waves. Don’t bother with the first few days, and the second week is a gamble.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WNW 6 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1519 | 2205 | 2715 | 2110 | 2124 | 4375 | 3234 | 1452 | 1191 | 656 | 403 | 240 | 167 | 89 | 159 | 1312 | 890 | 692 | 1088 | 990 | 653 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | glassy |
High Tide | 12:59PM2.91m | 1:14AM2.95m | 1:40PM2.84m | 1:55AM2.85m | 2:25PM2.77m | 2:43AM2.74m | 3:19PM2.69m | 3:43AM2.63m | 4:26PM2.65m | 4:55AM2.57m | 5:41PM2.68m | 6:12AM2.59m | 6:55PM2.79m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:12PM0.50m | 7:35AM0.45m | 7:55PM0.59m | 8:19AM0.53m | 8:44PM0.69m | 9:10AM0.62m | 9:43PM0.78m | 10:11AM0.69m | 10:51PM0.83m | 11:19AM0.73m | 00:06AM0.81m | 12:34PM0.71m | 1:22AM0.71m | ||||||||
7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 10 |
1519 | 2205 | 2715 | 2110 | 1591 | 4375 | 2261 | 1452 | 1191 | 656 | 403 | 240 | 167 | 89 | 121 | 84 | 108 | 480 | 362 | 674 | 472 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 22 | WSW 21 | SW 21 | WSW 19 | SW 10 | W 10 | WSW 18 | WSW 19 | WSW 12 | WSW 19 | NW 7 | WSW 14 |
182 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 80 | 52 | 47 | 44 | 108 | 36 | 36 | 8 | 66 | 137 | 96 | 332 | 17 | 653 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 23 | — | — | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 18 | — | — | SW 24 | WSW 12 | NW 7 | — | WSW 18 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | 4 | 4 | 34 | — | — | 22 | 96 | 34 | — | 283 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SW 10 | — | SW 14 | S 6 | S 5 | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | WNW 6 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | — |
430 | 708 | 1006 | 1499 | 2124 | — | 3234 | 92 | 36 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 159 | 1312 | 890 | 692 | 1088 | 990 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 132 | 172 | 172 | 144 | 108 | 6 | 90 | 107 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 95 | 129 | 127 | 308 | 49 | 48 | 0 | 95 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











