Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, WSW swell with 5,383 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for our local break.
We’re starting off with a bit of a wait. The first proper surf doesn’t show up until Saturday the 1st of August, but when it arrives, it’s a big one. That’s about a day and a half of flat-ish conditions to sit through.
The standout for the whole period is the Saturday morning session, the 1st of August. We’ve got a solid 12ft groundswell rolling in from the WSW with a period of 13 seconds, packing a massive punch of energy (4595). The wind is a gentle offshore breeze from the east, making for clean, lined-up waves. This is not for the faint of heart – at this size, and with that much power, it’s strictly for experienced surfers only. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year.
Come Sunday morning, the 2nd of August, it’s still a good call. The swell drops to a more manageable 7ft from the SW (12 seconds), with light cross-offshore winds from the SSE. The energy is still moderate (1307), and the conditions are clean. It’s still big enough to be a handful for beginners, but for the experienced crew, it’s a beauty.
Later in the week, Wednesday the 5th of August looks magic. The morning brings a 7ft SW groundswell (14 seconds) with a light offshore breeze from the ENE. The energy is moderate (2011), and it’s clean. The afternoon session is even better – the swell drops to 6ft, still from the SW (13 seconds), but the wind goes glassy. Absolutely dead calm. That’s a rare treat, and the waves will be silky smooth. Again, this is for experienced surfers given the size.
The following week is a mixed bag. There’s a fun window on Saturday the 8th of August, with a 5ft W swell (9 seconds) and light cross-offshore winds. The energy is weak (537), but it’ll be clean and fun for a longboard or a twin fin. A bit of a lull hits after that, with some messy, onshore winds and building swell that’s just too big or too choppy for a good paddle. The 13th and 14th of August see some big, wild swells (up to 13ft) with strong cross-onshore winds, making it a pass for surfing but honestly, it looks like a better setup for the kite crew.
So, to wrap it up: the best windows are definitely the Saturday morning (1st August) and the Wednesday (5th August) sessions. The glassy afternoon on the 5th is the one that’ll stick in the memory.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri afternoon, calm by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Mon afternoon, calm by Wed afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | WNW 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1274 | 5461 | 4595 | 3611 | 2172 | 1208 | 806 | 808 | 1503 | 2205 | 2715 | 4580 | 3955 | 2577 | 1949 | 1308 | 689 | 410 | 209 | 489 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:22PM3.06m | 11:42AM2.97m | 11:59PM3.06m | 12:20PM2.96m | 00:36AM3.02m | 12:59PM2.91m | 1:14AM2.95m | 1:40PM2.84m | 1:55AM2.85m | 2:25PM2.77m | 2:43AM2.74m | 3:19PM2.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:18PM0.47m | 5:40AM0.41m | 5:55PM0.44m | 6:17AM0.39m | 6:33PM0.45m | 6:55AM0.40m | 7:12PM0.50m | 7:35AM0.45m | 7:55PM0.59m | 8:19AM0.53m | 8:44PM0.69m | 9:10AM0.62m | 9:43PM0.78m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | WSW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 1274 | 5461 | 4595 | 3611 | 2172 | 1208 | 806 | 226 | 1503 | 2205 | 2715 | 4580 | 3955 | 2577 | 1949 | 1308 | 689 | 410 | 134 | 489 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 23 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | WSW 21 | — | SW 11 | — | WSW 16 | — | — | WSW 18 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 22 | SW 12 | SW 13 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 21 | 18 | 99 | 98 | 45 | — | 182 | — | 1809 | — | — | 62 | 80 | 103 | 19 | 209 | 170 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | — | WSW 21 | SW 20 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | 44 | 66 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 8 | SW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NE 3 | NNE 3 |
| kJ | 649 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 808 | 891 | 435 | 790 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 49 | 49 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 90 | 213 | 332 | 236 | 147 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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