Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 12s period, WNW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period, W swell with 10,763 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 7s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, same story, but in feet and degrees Fahrenheit for my imperial crew.
We’re starting off with nothing much. The ocean’s flat, barely a ripple. Saturday afternoon has a 3 ft W swell with a 12-second gap and a cross-off from the NNE, but it’s marginal, tide-dependent, and energy is low (273). Water temp is 58°, right where it should be for this time of year. Sunday morning picks up to 7 ft from the WNW but the wind is cross-on and the surface gets choppy. Energy climbs to moderate (1198), but it’s not clean.
Monday, 6 July morning – that’s the big one. 18 ft of WNW groundswell at 12 seconds, energy reading of 8424. That is a powerful, heavy west coast set, and the break is too small for it. Karekare is a beach, so these long-period slabs will pitch hard. Expert-only, absolute send territory. The rest of Monday stays huge at 13 ft. Tuesday, 7 July, has 10 ft WSW with a 16-second period, offshore easterly winds, and the ocean is clean. But 10 ft on a beach break is still serious. Only for the crew who eat that.
Wednesday, 8 July, drops to 8 ft but the wind turns cross-shore and it gets lumpy. Skip it. Thursday and Friday are onshore junk – not worth the drive.
The standout window hits Saturday, 12 July morning. 7 ft WSW, 16-second period, cross-off breeze from the SE. Clean water, lined-up sets, and the energy is high at 2587. The comment says “excellent for experienced surfers,” and that’s the truth. This is the session to aim for. Monday, 13 July morning is a touch smaller at 6 ft but still clean and good.
The second week settles down. Wednesday, 15 July afternoon turns glassy with a tiny 2 ft WSW groundswell at 15 seconds. Perfect for a longboard day. Thursday, 16 July, brings back 5 ft WSW (15s) with clean offshore ENE winds. Nice, fun waves.
Then Friday, 17 July afternoon into Saturday, 18 July, it blows up again with 16 ft and 15 ft swells – those energy readings are 13192 and 7739. Charge time for the big-wave crew only. Sunday, 19 July, fades with onshore chop.
Best bets overall: Monday, 6 July morning is a big-wave special, but for the right mix of size, cleanliness, and power, aim for Saturday, 12 July morning and Monday, 13 July morning. Expect some company – Karekare draws a crowd when it’s clean and solid.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Mon afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the NNW by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Wed night, light winds from the SSW by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WSW 17 | W 10 | WNW 12 | W 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 12 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 171 | 748 | 712 | 563 | 882 | 8136 | 5316 | 8153 | 5026 | 3822 | 2155 | 2253 | 1764 | 2248 | 2158 | 2663 | 3647 | 2608 | 2283 | 1765 | 1655 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 1:00AM2.92m | 1:22PM2.83m | 1:40AM2.87m | 2:05PM2.77m | 2:25AM2.81m | 2:53PM2.72m | 3:15AM2.76m | 3:49PM2.69m | 4:15AM2.72m | 4:54PM2.70m | 5:22AM2.72m | 6:03PM2.77m | 6:32AM2.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:55PM0.64m | 7:18AM0.64m | 7:35PM0.68m | 8:00AM0.67m | 8:20PM0.73m | 8:47AM0.70m | 9:12PM0.78m | 9:42AM0.73m | 10:12PM0.81m | 10:44AM0.74m | 11:19PM0.81m | 11:50AM0.71m | 00:27AM0.75m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | |  | | |  | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 |
 | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | 5:21 |
mm | — | 6 | — | 1 | 14 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | — | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | W 10 | WSW 21 | W 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 10 | SW 18 | SW 12 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 12 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
| kJ | 171 | 748 | 712 | 422 | 882 | 288 | 5316 | 8153 | 5026 | 3822 | 2155 | 2253 | 1764 | 460 | 2158 | 2663 | 3647 | 2608 | 2283 | 1765 | 1655 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | — | WSW 18 | S 9 | WNW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 10 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | — | WSW 11 | SW 21 |
| kJ | 44 | 69 | 486 | 563 | 688 | — | 1513 | 15 | 211 | 132 | 18 | 18 | 98 | 460 | 786 | 1029 | 863 | 1859 | — | 200 | 117 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 18 | WSW 20 | — | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 24 | SW 22 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 30 | 75 | — | 75 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | 227 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 5 | NNE 4 | — | NW 8 | NE 4 | WNW 12 | NNW 8 | ENE 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | SSE 6 | — | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | SSW 12 | S 7 | S 7 |
| kJ | 28 | 17 | — | 201 | 8 | 8136 | 367 | 14 | 38 | 61 | 163 | — | — | 2248 | — | — | — | — | 1715 | 427 | 366 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 224 | 248 | 49 | 49 | 231 | 80 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 147 | 68 | 86 | 77 | 90 | 49 | 48 | 6 | 77 | 86 | 86 | 48 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Karekare surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest