
Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period, W swell with 11,071 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 9s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Karekare over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a pulse of serious size coming through, but it’s not for the faint-hearted. The first couple of days offer a lot of raw power, but you’ll need to be sharp to handle it. Monday the 6th kicks off with a 8ft swell from the WSW, but it’s a cross-off breeze and the water’s sitting at 59°, which is pretty much average for this time of year. The energy is huge (3889), but it’s a messy, marginal outlook. The real standout is forecast for Tuesday the 7th, with a 10ft SW groundswell, a long 16-second period, and clean offshore east winds all day. The water’s a bit cooler than average, but that’s not the story – this is a big, clean, powerful swell. The combined energy is massive (5027), and it’s glassy offshore. That said, at 10ft, this is expert-only territory, and the consistent offshore will make it look amazing, but it’s a real handful. Karekare (Auckland) is an exposed beach, so that long period will make it a bit walled-up, but the wind is the key. It’s the best on offer.
Wednesday the 8th gets messy with strong cross-onshore winds and a deteriorating swell, so skip it. Thursday the 9th has another huge 10ft SW swell, but the wind is lighter and cross-off, so it’s still clean, but again, it’s too big for most. The energy is enormous (3307). Friday the 10th sees a 7ft WSW groundswell, but the wind is a fresh 30 km/h cross-off, making it a bit of a battle. The energy is still high (5194), but the wind is a factor.
By Saturday the 11th, the swell drops to a more manageable 6ft from the SW, with a light offshore east wind. The period is 15 seconds, so there’s still plenty of push. The combined energy is 1917, and it’s clean. This is a solid day for experienced surfers, and the water is still cool. Sunday the 12th is even more promising: 7ft SW swell, 16 seconds, and a light offshore again. The energy is 2305, and it’s clean. The wind is glassy. That’s a really good day, and the crowds are only sometimes there, so you might get some space.
We then hit a gap. From Monday the 13th onward, the swell drops away. Monday the 13th has a 5ft WSW swell, but the energy is low (1057), and the wind is cross-off. It’s clean but small. Tuesday the 14th is a write-off with a tiny 3ft swell and strong onshore winds. Wednesday the 15th sees a 8ft WNW windswell with a short 10-second period, onshore wind, and a messy cross-chop – not worth it. Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th are marginal, with 7ft and 6ft swells, but the winds are light and the conditions are so-so. The energy is moderate.
Saturday the 18th sees a big return of size: 10ft WSW groundswell, 16 seconds, and offshore east winds. The energy is huge (4894), and it’s clean. But again, it’s too big for most, and the wind is strong. Sunday the 19th is even bigger, with 13ft swells and strong offshore winds – that’s a serious session for experts only. Monday the 20th is a mixed bag with a 7ft swell but a near gale cross-off wind in the morning, then a glassy 8ft swell in the afternoon – that afternoon window is excellent for experienced surfers, and the energy is massive (4203). Tuesday the 21st is a write-off with strong cross-onshore winds.
So, the standout here is Tuesday the 7th, with its clean, offshore east wind, big 10ft groundswell, and that long 16-second period. It’s expert-only, but it’s the best of the bunch. The second best is Sunday the 12th, with a bit less size and a glassy offshore wind – that’s a proper session for the crew. There’s a noticeable gap in quality from the 13th to the 17th, where the swell is small or messy. The promising stuff in the second week (the 18th to 20th) is big and clean, but it’s for the brave.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Mon morning, light winds from the ESE by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu night, light winds from the S by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | W 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2499 | 6000 | 8856 | 4877 | 3822 | 2313 | 1970 | 2609 | 3090 | 2039 | 5974 | 5164 | 2703 | 5968 | 2007 | 1492 | 1220 | 2058 | 2291 | 1809 | 1488 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:05PM2.77m | 2:25AM2.81m | 2:53PM2.72m | 3:15AM2.76m | 3:49PM2.69m | 4:15AM2.72m | 4:54PM2.70m | 5:22AM2.72m | 6:03PM2.77m | 6:32AM2.78m | 7:12PM2.89m | 7:40AM2.88m | 8:16PM3.04m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:20PM0.73m | 8:47AM0.70m | 9:12PM0.78m | 9:42AM0.73m | 10:12PM0.81m | 10:44AM0.74m | 11:19PM0.81m | 11:50AM0.71m | 00:27AM0.75m | 12:57PM0.65m | 1:36AM0.65m | 2:03PM0.57m | 2:40AM0.53m | ||||||||
7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | |
mm | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 11 | SW 16 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 |
2499 | 1689 | 8856 | 4877 | 3822 | 2313 | 1970 | 99 | 460 | 2039 | 5974 | 1004 | 2703 | 3074 | 2007 | 1492 | 1220 | 2058 | 2291 | 1809 | 1488 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | WSW 18 | S 10 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 21 | — | — | WSW 16 | SW 22 | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | WSW 19 | SSW 5 | S 5 | SSW 5 | — |
326 | 1836 | 50 | 138 | 72 | 16 | 18 | — | — | 886 | 227 | — | — | — | 22 | 208 | 470 | 30 | 14 | 8 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 8 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 24 | SW 22 | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | WSW 19 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | 227 | — | — | — | — | 102 | 319 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | W 13 | E 4 | ESE 4 | SE 4 | SSE 5 | SSW 6 | SW 14 | SW 12 | S 9 | — | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — |
1064 | 6000 | 12 | 22 | 36 | 57 | 185 | 2609 | 3090 | 327 | — | 5164 | 2491 | 5968 | 252 | 115 | 54 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 332 | 127 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 86 | 86 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 107 | 107 | 78 | 78 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










