Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 5,306 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
Alright surfers, here’s the lowdown for Karekare over the next couple weeks. Water temp is running about 59°F, normal for the season. We’ve got a two-part story: absolute gold early, then a long stretch of junk, with a possible comeback at the very end.
First standout: Saturday July 11. Morning brings offshore wind from the ESE at 6 mph, a solid 6ft swell from the WSW with a 15-second period. Energy reads 2267 (moderate-strong). That long period means groundswell with real push and shape – perfect for experienced surfers. Afternoon stays clean with a cross-off breeze. Crowds can show up sometimes, but the quality will be worth it.
Sunday July 12 is another gem. Morning offshore east wind at 6 mph, swell up to 7ft from the SW, 16-second period (energy 2291). Then the afternoon goes glassy – zero wind, dead calm. That’s as clean as it gets. Again, for the experienced crew – 7ft with that period will be lined up and powerful.
Then it gets rough. From Monday July 13 through late July, we see onshore winds, short-period chop, and oversize swell that’s just too big for this break. Energy numbers hit the 3000-5000 range, but with 3ft waves and cross-on or onshore wind, it’s a mess. There’s a long stretch of poor to marginal conditions from the 13th until around Thursday July 23. A few sessions might be rideable, but nothing special.
Way out at Saturday July 25 (more than a week away, so take it with a grain of salt), the afternoon looks glassy again with a light WNW breeze, 6ft swell from the WSW at 17 seconds, energy 3552 (strong). If it holds, that’ll be excellent for experienced surfers. Until then, the early weekend is your window.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 7°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 12 | WSW 20 | WSW 17 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4935 | 2687 | 1655 | 1500 | 2475 | 2291 | 1907 | 1409 | 947 | 626 | 313 | 465 | 238 | 898 | 1576 | 4753 | 4729 | 3754 | 4299 | 4314 | 3383 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:03PM2.77m | 6:32AM2.78m | 7:12PM2.89m | 7:40AM2.88m | 8:16PM3.04m | 8:43AM2.99m | 9:14PM3.17m | 9:40AM3.11m | 10:09PM3.28m | 10:33AM3.19m | 10:59PM3.34m | 11:23AM3.24m | 11:47PM3.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 00:27AM0.75m | 12:57PM0.65m | 1:36AM0.65m | 2:03PM0.57m | 2:40AM0.53m | 3:05PM0.47m | 3:39AM0.40m | 4:02PM0.37m | 4:32AM0.29m | 4:53PM0.30m | 5:21AM0.22m | 5:40PM0.27m | 6:06AM0.21m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 |
 | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | 5:23 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 12 | W 12 | WSW 17 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 4935 | 2687 | 1655 | 1500 | 2475 | 2291 | 1907 | 1409 | 947 | 626 | 313 | 465 | 238 | 898 | 902 | 4753 | 4729 | 3754 | 4299 | 4314 | 3383 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 6 | SSW 6 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 18 | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 86 | 60 | 915 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 225 | 199 | 327 | 1576 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 20 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 22 | WSW 20 | WSW 6 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 552 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48 | 160 | 4 | 545 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 4 | NW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 7 | SW 15 | — |
| kJ | 308 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 7 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 269 | 3671 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 332 | 14 | 6 | 49 | 6 | 6 | 295 | 6 | 122 | 144 | 49 | 86 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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