Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Karekare’s got cooking. It’s a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

The water’s sitting at 57°, which is pretty average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real look comes on Tuesday the 18th, but it’s a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a 7ft swell from the southwest, with a 14-second period, carrying a lot of energy (1949). The problem is the cross-shore wind, especially in the morning. It’s rideable for the more experienced crew, but the chop will make it feel like a workout. The afternoon gets worse with a fresh breeze, so definitely not the pick.

Wednesday the 19th is a bit of a tease. The morning looks cleaner with a cross-off wind, and the swell drops slightly to 6ft from the southwest, but the energy is still pumping (2090). It’s the cleanest of the early week, but the wind is still a factor. The afternoon gets lumpy again.

Thursday the 20th is the standout of the first week. The morning has a light breeze with a 7ft southwest swell (2004 energy). It’s cross-shore, but with small ripples only. The afternoon is even better, with a 7ft swell from the west-southwest (1598) and very light cross-shore winds. This is the best bet for a decent session. It’s not perfect, but it’s the cleanest we’ll see for a while.

Then things go south. From Friday the 21st through to the end of the month, we’ve got a run of poor surf. The wind swings onshore, the swell gets messy, and the energy drops. The 22nd is a write-off, the 23rd has an 8ft wind-affected mess, and the 24th and 25th have massive 12ft and 10ft swells, but they’re too big and onshore. That’s only for the experts, and even then, it’s not going to be pretty. The 26th and 27th see a slight drop in swell, but the wind is still cross-onshore, making it choppy.

Now, the second week brings a glimmer of hope. The morning of the 31st is looking glassy. We’ve got a 3ft southwest swell, with an easterly breeze at 5 km/h, and the energy is low (496). It’s small, but it’s clean. The afternoon is even better – a dead calm, glassy ocean with a 3ft swell. This is a great little window for a longboard or a funboard. The water will be clean, and the crowd will be possible, so get there early.

Then we get a real spike. On the 1st of September, the morning has a 10ft northwest swell, but it’s too big for this break. The afternoon, however, is a gem. A 6ft west swell (1310 energy) with a clean cross-off wind. The report says excellent conditions for experienced surfers, and that’s the truth. The 2nd of September has a 7ft west-northwest swell, but it’s a bit cross-shore, so it’s not as good.

Overall, the best on offer is Thursday the 20th for a clean, solid session, and the 31st of August for a small, glassy morning. The 1st of September afternoon is the big one to watch, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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