
Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with 6,954 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
Righto, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Karekare. We're in for a bit of a wild ride, with some serious, powerful swells rolling through, but you've got to pick your moments. The water's sitting at a comfortable 59°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises there.
The first few days are a write-off, honestly. The action kicks off Thursday morning, but it's not good news. We've got a massive 13ft SW groundswell, with a long 16-second period, pushing in. The combined energy is a whopping 7294, and while the wind is cross-off, this swell is just too big for this break. It's the same story Thursday afternoon, 13ft and 7115, with a stronger cross-off. This is expert territory at best, and even then, it's a grim paddle. Friday's not much better, with a drop in size but messy cross-shore winds and a drop in form. We're looking at a few days of this, so hold tight.
The first real standout window hits on Saturday the 11th, morning. The swell has dropped to a more manageable 7ft from the SW, with a nice 15-second period. The wind is light offshore from the East, and the whole thing is clean. The energy is still strong at 3109, but it's a far cry from the chaos of the last few days. This is excellent for experienced surfers. Saturday afternoon is even cleaner, with a 6ft SW swell and glassy conditions. This is the pick of the early run.
Sunday the 12th keeps the good vibes going with a clean 7ft SW swell and offshore winds, and Monday the 13th sees the swell drop to a more friendly 5ft, still clean. This is a solid run of quality surf.
Now, we hit a bit of a flat spot. Tuesday and Wednesday see the winds turn onshore and the quality drops right off. It's a couple of days of nothing much.
The next notable window is Friday the 17th. The morning has a clean 7ft SW swell with offshore winds, a solid option for the experienced. But the absolute standout, the one you should be circling on the calendar, is Saturday the 18th. We’re looking at a 5ft WSW swell, and the wind is glassy. That's right, glassy. The energy is a moderate 760, but when the ocean goes flat like that, and the conditions are perfect, it’s a rare treat. The afternoon is a little cross-shore, but the morning is the magic moment.
After that, the run continues with clean, offshore conditions through to Monday the 21st, with the swell holding around the 5ft mark. The energy is low, but the quality is high. The last really big call is a return of the big stuff on Thursday the 23rd of July, with a 15ft SW swell and 7020 in the morning. It's cross-on and way too big for this spot again.
So, to sum it up: the standout is the glassy morning of Saturday the 18th. Don't sleep on the mornings of the 11th, 12th, and 17th either. Just be ready for the big, messy days in between.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSE on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WSW 13 | W 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
7239 | 5077 | 5775 | 2363 | 3339 | 2178 | 2102 | 1203 | 2475 | 2291 | 1907 | 1279 | 785 | 586 | 229 | 486 | 333 | 499 | 1061 | 1055 | 2982 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:54PM2.70m | 5:22AM2.72m | 6:03PM2.77m | 6:32AM2.78m | 7:12PM2.89m | 7:40AM2.88m | 8:16PM3.04m | 8:43AM2.99m | 9:14PM3.17m | 9:40AM3.11m | 10:09PM3.28m | 10:33AM3.19m | 10:59PM3.34m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:44AM0.74m | 11:19PM0.81m | 11:50AM0.71m | 00:27AM0.75m | 12:57PM0.65m | 1:36AM0.65m | 2:03PM0.57m | 2:40AM0.53m | 3:05PM0.47m | 3:39AM0.40m | 4:02PM0.37m | 4:32AM0.29m | 4:53PM0.30m | ||||||||
7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | |
— | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 6 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 15 |
7239 | 1811 | 1004 | 2363 | 3339 | 2178 | 2102 | 1203 | 2475 | 2291 | 1907 | 1279 | 785 | 586 | 229 | 486 | 333 | 197 | 1061 | 629 | 2982 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 24 | SW 22 | — | WSW 18 | — | SSW 7 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 20 |
55 | 227 | — | 1199 | — | 154 | 552 | 915 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 232 | 215 | 499 | 432 | 1055 | 186 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | WSW 22 | WSW 20 | SW 18 | WSW 22 | WSW 21 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 455 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 48 | 158 | 327 | 181 | 297 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | — | ESE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 5077 | 5775 | 1601 | 427 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 16 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 86 | 213 | 213 | 86 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 101 | 48 | 77 | 95 | 48 | 122 | 48 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










