Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Alright, we’ve got a solid run of swell on the cards for Karekare, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag when it comes to conditions. The water temp is sitting at 58.6°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year. The combined swell energy is strong across the weekend, hitting values like 2338 and 2146 – there’s plenty of juice out there.

Let’s start with this Saturday morning, 11 July. Karekare is pulling in a 6.2 ft swell from the SW with a period of 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, long and powerful. Wind is light from the SE at 6 mph, which is cross-offshore and will keep things clean. Water temp is normal for the season. The energy is strong at 2338. This is a great window for experienced surfers; the long period means it’ll be well-shaped but watch for bigger sets. Crowds are only sometimes an issue here, so you might get a few out. The morning is standout – glassy and clean with decent size.

Saturday afternoon holds steady: 5.6 ft from the SW, 14-second period, and a slight SSE air at 3 mph keeping it clean. Energy drops a little to 2146 but it’s still solid. Good, manageable size for intermediates who are keen.

Sunday 12 July morning sees a step up: 7.2 ft from the SW, 16-second period, and ENE winds at 6 mph blowing offshore – clean surf. Energy is 2291. This is another excellent session for experienced crew. The afternoon gets glassy with 6.6 ft from the WSW, 15-second period, and light E winds at 3 mph turning it glassy – pure magic.

Monday 13 July morning drops a bit to 4.9 ft from the WSW, 14-second period, but NE winds at 9 mph cross-offshore keep it clean. Energy is 951 – moderate. Still very good surf, just smaller. By afternoon, the wind picks up from the NNE at 12 mph, cross-off, dropping the swell to 4.3 ft and energy to 635 – marginal, but still rideable.

Tuesday 14 July is messy. Morning has 5.6 ft from the WNW but the period drops to 8 seconds – short period junk – and NNW winds at 9 mph are cross-onshore, making it choppy. Energy is 587. Not worth it. Afternoon is even worse: 2.6 ft, onshore W wind at 6 mph, and only 562 energy. Skip it.

Wednesday 15 July morning is intriguing: 5.2 ft from the WSW with a massive 18-second period – very long groundswell – and light N winds at 6 mph, cross-shore. Energy jumps to 2577. This is powerful and clean, but that long period means it’ll be better for a point or reef setup. Karekare is a beach break, so it might close out or get shifty. Still, for the patient surfer, there’ll be gems. The afternoon is a beast: 9.8 ft from the WSW, 16-second period, but NW winds are cross-onshore. Energy is 4372 – very strong. This is expert territory; too big for most.

Thursday 16 July morning is glassy but pumping 9.8 ft from the WSW, 15-second period, ENE wind at 3 mph – glassy and clean – but 9.8 ft is only for experts. Energy is 4060. The afternoon is still big at 8.2 ft with onshore WNW wind, tricky.

Friday 17 July and Saturday 18 July are poor. Cross-onshore SW winds at 9-16 mph, 7.2 ft to 9.8 ft, and energy still high (2008 to 3213), but the wind ruins it. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday 19 July sees a huge 11.5 ft SW swell with a 17-second period and offshore ENE wind at 3 mph in the morning – glassy and clean, but only for experts. Energy is a massive 7798. The afternoon is still 9.8 ft and glassy. Again, expert-only.

Monday 20 July is where it comes back for the rest of us: 7.2 ft from the WSW, 14-second period, and E winds at

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