Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the ocean’s got for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down.

The surf window starts off a bit slow, with the first few days being pretty marginal. We’re looking at a couple of days of onshore breezes and cross-chop, with the swell a bit jumbled. The water temp is sitting around 56°F, which is just about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.

The first real chance to get excited about is Tuesday, August 11th. The wind swings around to the east-northeast, and it’s light, making for clean conditions. The swell is a touch under 4ft, coming from the west-southwest with a nice long 14-second period. The energy is moderate, with a combined value of 872. It’s not a massive day, but it’s clean and should be fun for a paddle.

Things go a bit quiet again on Wednesday with the swell dropping, but then we get a standout on Thursday, August 13th. The wind goes completely glassy in the afternoon, with the swell picking back up to 4ft from the west-southwest at an 18-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, which is going to groom the lines nicely. The energy is moderate at 1205. This is looking like the cleanest, most classic conditions we’ll see in the first week. This is one of the top picks.

We get a bit of a pulse on Friday, with the swell pushing up to 7ft in the afternoon, but the wind is cross-offshore. It’s still clean, but the size is getting more serious. The energy is getting stronger too, at 1988. That’s a good size for a solid intermediate, but it might be pushing it for beginners.

Then the ocean turns a bit nasty. Saturday, August 15th the wind goes strong onshore from the west-southwest and the swell jumps to 10ft. That’s a messy, blown-out mess, and the energy is strong at 3656. This is not a day for a paddle; it looks more like a day for the kite surfers to have a field day. Sunday is even bigger, with 12ft swell and strong onshore winds, and the energy is very strong at 4828. Monday the 17th looks even bigger again, with 13ft surf and strong onshore winds. This is big, unruly, and just for the experts if they’re keen, but the wind is going to make it pretty tough. The energy is through the roof, hitting 5761 on Monday morning.

After that big pulse, things start to settle down. Tuesday, August 18th the wind goes light and cross-offshore, with the swell backing down to a much more manageable 7ft. The energy is still strong at 1661, but the conditions are much cleaner. This would be a good day for experienced surfers to get out there while the swell is still solid.

The rest of that week looks pretty consistent. Wednesday, August 19th the wind goes glassy again, with the swell at 5ft. It’s clean, but the energy is moderate. The following days see the swell pulse up and down, but the wind stays mostly light or offshore. The latter part of the week into the weekend and the following week looks like a period of clean, consistent waves, with the wind mostly from the east and offshore, keeping the surf clean. The swell stays in the 3ft to 6ft range, with periods around 13-15 seconds. The energy is moderate. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and should be fun.

The standout from this whole stretch is probably Thursday, August 13th for the clean, glassy conditions and the long-period swell. The other one to keep an eye on is Tuesday, August 18th for the bigger, cleaner swell after the storm blows through. Both days are looking like the best on offer. The long-range stuff looks promising, but as always, it’s less certain.

Alright, that’s the look. Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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