Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 17,908 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 7.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 7.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey everyone, Rusty again. Let's break down the same forecast for Karekare, but in feet and miles.
Alright, the first few days are a mess. Starting on Saturday the 25th, we're looking at waves of 13ft to over 21ft from the west with howling onshore winds. The total wave energy is monstrous. Don't even think about it.
Sunday the 26th is a cruel tease. We've got 13ft of long-period (15-second) WSW groundswell, and the morning goes glassy. But the forecast says it's actually too big for this spot. Afternoon brings some cross-chop on 12ft surf. Not ideal.
Monday the 27th is similar story: 10ft to 8ft surf with crosswinds. A pass.
Now, pay attention. Tuesday the 28th is your first genuine opportunity. Swell drops to a much more manageable 6ft from the WSW, period at 12 seconds, and a clean, cross-offshore breeze in the morning. The combined energy is moderate. This is a solid, fun session.
Wednesday the 29th is small and clean, but tiny with 4ft surf. Not a highlight.
Here's the crown jewel: Thursday the 30th. We get a clean 6ft groundswell from the WSW, a long 14-second period, and a light cross-offshore wind. The combined energy sits at 1178. This is the best of the whole 16 days—clean, powerful lines for experienced surfers. Don't miss it.
Friday the 31st: morning is a bit lumpy, but the afternoon turns glassy clean on 8ft of WSW swell. It's got more grunt but still clean. Good for the solid intermediates.
The second week is a rollercoaster. Saturday the 1st of August has 10ft of swell with clean offshore wind in the morning, but it's pushing the limit. Sunday is messy. Then from Monday the 3rd to Thursday the 6th, we're in the danger zone: 13ft-plus waves with strong, messy crosswinds. Combined energy readings are off the charts. That's big-wave or kite-surfing stuff only.
The final stretch, from Friday the 7th through the 9th, sees the swell fade below 5ft. Winds turn light offshore or cross-offshore, and the ocean cleans up. It's small, but it's clean. Combined energy is low. Fun on a small board.
Bottom line: Thursday the 30th is your best bet by a mile. Tuesday the 28th is a solid backup. Everything else is either too big, too messy, or too small. Pick your window wisely.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat morning, calm by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | WSW 12 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | W 12 | WSW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2581 | 13128 | 14105 | 7670 | 4456 | 3388 | 2588 | 2052 | 1089 | 972 | 686 | 458 | 311 | 305 | 429 | 1178 | 998 | 903 | 1332 | 2160 | 3843 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:06PM2.53m | 7:31AM2.44m | 8:02PM2.62m | 8:23AM2.54m | 8:48PM2.74m | 9:07AM2.66m | 9:29PM2.86m | 9:47AM2.78m | 10:07PM2.96m | 10:26AM2.88m | 10:45PM3.03m | 11:04AM2.94m | 11:22PM3.06m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:48PM1.05m | 1:30AM1.06m | 1:49PM1.00m | 2:27AM0.96m | 2:41PM0.89m | 3:12AM0.83m | 3:25PM0.77m | 3:51AM0.70m | 4:04PM0.64m | 4:28AM0.58m | 4:41PM0.54m | 5:04AM0.48m | 5:18PM0.47m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | |  |  | |
 | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — |
mm | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2 |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | W 25 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 7670 | 4456 | 3388 | 2588 | 2052 | 1089 | 972 | 686 | 458 | 311 | 305 | 234 | 1178 | 998 | 903 | 1040 | 2160 | 13 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | — | W 7 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 11 | 26 | 47 | 119 | 429 | — | 126 | 559 | — | 124 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | WSW 12 | WSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | — | — | — | N 3 | W 12 | SSW 5 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 2581 | 13128 | 14105 | — | — | — | — | — | 61 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | 1332 | 99 | 3843 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 125 | 259 | 90 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 48 | 77 | 48 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 121 | 127 | 0 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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