Karekare Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
14.7° C
0.1° 

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 5,006 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sun 12th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 16s
Best Surf 3PM (Wed 15th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 6PM (Wed 15th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


Alright mate, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Karekare's got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.

The opening act is a beauty. Sunday the 12th is looking like the standout of the whole run. We've got a solid 7ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 16 second period, and the wind is light offshore from the ENE in the morning, going glassy in the afternoon. That's as clean as it gets. The wave energy is pumping at 2291, so there's plenty of push. This is proper experienced surf, though – it's powerful, and the size will be a handful.

Monday the 13th sees the swell drop a notch to 5ft from the WSW, but the wind shifts to a cross-offshore NNE, keeping it clean. The energy drops to 963, so it's still surfable but not as punchy. The rest of that week gets messy. The wind turns onshore or cross-onshore from Tuesday the 14th through to the weekend, and the swell is a mixed bag of short-period windswell and bigger but wind-affected SW groundswell. By Wednesday the 15th, the swell jumps to 10ft, but it's cross-onshore and choppy – that's a washing machine for experts only, if they're keen on a battle.

There's a long gap of average to poor conditions from the 15th through to the 19th, with onshore winds and lumpy seas. Not worth paddling out for.

Then, hang on. Monday the 20th flips the script. A light ESE breeze, clean conditions, and a 5ft SW groundswell with a 14 second period. The energy is 1030, and the waves have shape. It's a solid, clean session for a confident intermediate.

But the real second standout is brewing for the following weekend. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are looking absolute magic. Saturday has glassy conditions with a 5ft WSW groundswell and a very long 19-20 second period. That's a dreamy, long-period groundswell that will wrap in perfectly. The energy is strong at 2857. Sunday the 26th is even better – 8ft SW groundswell at 16 seconds with a light offshore ENE breeze. 3052 energy. That's a big, clean, powerful swell. For the experts, it's a top-tier window. The 27th keeps it going with a similar 7ft swell and clean cross-offshore winds.

So, the pick of the forecast is Sunday the 12th for the first week, and the whole weekend of the 25th-27th for the second week. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so you'll want a decent spring suit.

Oh, and Karekare can get crowded sometimes, so for those standout days, especially the weekend ones, get there early.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Sat
18
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
2
2
0
2
2
3
2
!
!
!
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
SW
16
2.2
SW
16
2
WSW
15
1.8
WSW
15
1.5
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
0.9
WSW
13
2.2
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.6
W
13
1.6
WSW
18
3
WSW
16
3
WSW
15
3
WSW
15
2.5
WSW
15
2.4
WSW
15
2.1
WSW
14
2.1
WSW
14
2
WSW
14
1.9
SW
14
2
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2475
2291
1907
1409
947
626
313
708
352
826
1471
4662
4792
3953
3371
2542
1874
1735
1390
1347
1487
Wind (km/h)
5
ENE
10
ENE
5
ESE
15
NE
15
NNE
10
NNW
20
NNW
10
NNW
10
W
10
NNW
15
NNW
15
WNW
10
N
15
WNW
10
SW
15
SSW
10
SW
15
WSW
20
W
20
W
30
SSW
Wind State
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
on
on
cross
High Tide
7:40AM2.88m
8:16PM3.04m
8:43AM2.99m
9:14PM3.17m
9:40AM3.11m
10:09PM3.28m
10:33AM3.19m
10:59PM3.34m
11:23AM3.24m
11:47PM3.36m
12:10PM3.24m
00:32AM3.32m
12:55PM3.20m
Low Tide
1:36AM0.65m
2:03PM0.57m
2:40AM0.53m
3:05PM0.47m
3:39AM0.40m
4:02PM0.37m
4:32AM0.29m
4:53PM0.30m
5:21AM0.22m
5:40PM0.27m
6:06AM0.21m
6:25PM0.29m
6:50AM0.25m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:23
5:24
 mm
8
1
2
Temp °C
9
11
12
12
14
15
12
14
14
14
14
15
14
14
14
13
12
12
13
13
12
Feels °C
7
9
10
8
11
13
9
13
13
14
11
13
13
12
13
10
9
8
9
9
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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