Karekare Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 08 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
13.6° C
0.8° 

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 11s period, WSW swell with 4,885 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Sun 9th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 10s
Best Surf12PM (Fri 14th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful12PM (Sat 15th Aug)15ft (4.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s get into it. The 16-day window ahead of us kicks off with a bit of a slow start, but don’t get discouraged – there’s some real quality hiding in the back half of the outlook.

Karekare is the only spot on the table, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The first few days are pretty ordinary. Saturday the 8th is small – 2ft from the WSW – and the wind is cross-off, so it’s not terrible, but the energy is weak (192). The water is 57°, which is just a touch cooler than average for this time of year, but nothing wild. Sunday the 9th morning sees a jump to 8ft from the WNW, but the period is short (10 seconds) and the wind is cross, so it’s messy. The real standout on Sunday is the afternoon: the swell drops to 5ft from the WSW, period bumps to 15 seconds, and the wind goes glassy. That’s the kind of clean, long-period groundswell that makes Karekare look good. The energy is strong (1662), and it’s excellent for experienced surfers.

Monday the 10th through Wednesday the 12th are mostly forgettable – onshore winds, smaller swell, and increasing wind speeds. The energy dips into the moderate range. Not worth getting excited about.

Thursday the 13th morning is clean again with a 3ft WSW swell and cross-off NE wind, but it’s not a standout. The real hitter comes on Friday the 14th morning: 8ft from the WNW, glassy conditions, and the energy is huge (2302). That’s a proper session for experienced surfers. But by afternoon, the swell jumps to 10ft and the wind swings cross-on, and at that size, it’s too big for this break – more of a kite show than a paddle session.

From Saturday the 15th all the way through Tuesday the 18th, it’s a long stretch of big, messy, cross-on swell. Waves are 8ft to 15ft, but the wind is howling from the SW, and the energy is extreme (over 5000 at times). The best thing I can say is that it’s not surfable for paddle boards. This is a solid week of no-go.

Then, we hit the gold. Wednesday the 19th morning: 8ft from the SW, 13-second period, and clean cross-off wind from the NE. The energy is strong (2210). That’s excellent for experienced surfers. Thursday the 20th afternoon is the true standout of the whole outlook: 8ft from the SW, 15-second period, glassy conditions with a light S wind, and the energy is massive (4426). That’s the kind of day you call in sick for.

Friday the 21st keeps it going with 7ft from the SW, clean offshore E wind, and strong energy (2092). Saturday the 22nd morning is glassy again with 5ft from the SW and 14-second period – beautiful, clean groundswell.

Sunday the 23rd finishes the run with a smaller 3ft WSW swell, glassy, and moderate energy (726). A nice, mellow end to the window.

So, the best on offer? That’s the Thursday the 20th afternoon session – 8ft SW groundswell with glassy wind and monster energy. The Friday the 14th morning is a close second, but it’s a bit shorter period. The long gap of no-good surf from the 15th to the 18th is a real bummer, but the last few days make up for it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat night, min 11°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Wed morning, calm by Thu night).

Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
3
4
3
2
1
4
3
3
2
1
1
3
3
2
4
4
!
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
WSW
13
1
WNW
8
0.8
WSW
18
2.5
WNW
10
2.1
NW
10
0.9
WSW
18
1.1
WSW
16
1.6
WSW
16
1.6
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
19
0.8
WSW
18
0.9
WSW
16
0.9
WSW
16
1
WSW
14
0.9
SW
18
1.3
WSW
16
2.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
10
3
WSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
116
139
390
1424
880
486
643
1199
1010
672
536
572
390
427
387
394
531
886
1069
1532
4173
Wind (km/h)
15
N
15
NE
20
NNE
10
N
5
NNW
10
SSW
10
SW
15
WSW
5
S
10
ENE
10
NE
20
ENE
30
ENE
25
ENE
10
NE
15
NE
25
NNE
10
NNE
5
SSE
15
WSW
30
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
5:41PM2.68m
6:12AM2.59m
6:55PM2.79m
7:26AM2.71m
8:03PM2.95m
8:31AM2.87m
9:02PM3.12m
9:28AM3.04m
9:54PM3.26m
10:19AM3.17m
10:41PM3.34m
11:04AM3.24m
11:24PM3.36m
Low Tide
11:19AM0.73m
00:06AM0.81m
12:34PM0.71m
1:22AM0.71m
1:49PM0.61m
2:31AM0.53m
2:54PM0.46m
3:28AM0.33m
3:48PM0.30m
4:17AM0.18m
4:35PM0.20m
5:02AM0.09m
5:19PM0.17m
part cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
mod rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:09
7:09
7:07
7:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
 mm
1
13
6
2
1
2
2
6
3
2
2
2
Temp °C
12
13
14
13
13
13
14
14
13
13
14
12
13
14
14
17
16
13
13
13
13
Feels °C
8
9
11
12
13
13
12
11
11
12
11
8
9
11
12
15
12
11
13
11
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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