Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 7,411 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 17s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our local patch. It’s a mixed bag, but there’s some real beauty waiting for us if we’re patient.
The action kicks off on Thursday the 13th of August. Thursday morning is looking pretty special to start. Karekare, the main event here, is showing a clean 3ft groundswell from the WSW. The wind is glassy, dead calm, and the water is sitting at 57°F, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate at 814, and it’s setting up for some super clean, fun waves. It’s not huge, but it’s a great way to ease into the period.
Thursday afternoon, the swell bumps up to 5ft from the W with a light onshore breeze, but it’s a bit more of a mixed bag. The real standout is Friday the 14th. Friday morning delivers a solid 6ft swell from the WSW with a very long period of 16 seconds and a light offshore wind. The combined energy jumps to 2000, so there’s some real push. This is a classic groundswell, perfect for a point break or reef, but at Karekare, a beach setup, that long period might make it a bit straight. Still, for experienced surfers, it’s excellent. The wind holds clean through the afternoon with a 7ft swell and cross-off conditions.
Saturday the 15th is a bit of a write-off for me. The morning is a messy 7ft with a cross-shore wind, and by the afternoon, a strong cross-onshore wind of 19 mph and 8ft swell makes it poor. The energy is high at 4280, but it’s just lumpy. Kite surfers might have a ball, but for paddle surfing, it’s a no-go.
Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th are for experts only. The swell is pushing 10ft to 12ft from the SW, with combined energy up over 6000. That’s a lot of power. The wind is messy, and honestly, it’s too big for this break unless you’re on a gun and know what you’re doing.
We start to see a clean-up on Tuesday the 20th of August. Thursday morning the 20th, the swell drops back to a clean 7ft from the SW, with a light cross-off wind and a period of 14 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 1761, and it’s looking clean. This is another good window for the more experienced crew.
The rest of the second week is a slow fade. Friday the 21st through Monday the 24th of August, we’re looking at smaller swells, 3ft to 5ft, with periods in the 13 to 14 second range. The wind is often offshore or glassy, so the conditions will be clean. There’s a real nice little window on Monday the 24th afternoon with a glassy 3ft swell from the WSW and energy at 624. It’s not going to blow your mind, but it’s a fun, mellow session.
There’s a bit of a spike on Wednesday the 26th of August, with a 4ft swell from the WSW but a very long period of 17 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 771, and with a light cross-off wind, it could be a sneaky good day, but that long period might be a bit tricky.
The period ends on a giant note. Friday the 28th of August, the swell jumps to 13ft from the W with a short period of 8 seconds, and then 16ft from the W with a 12-second period. The energy is massive at 7541. The wind is light, but this is just too big for Karekare. It’s a monster swell, and unless you’re a tow-in specialist, it’s a day to watch from the cliff.
So, the best on offer? Hands down, Friday the 14th of August for the experienced crew, and the glassy mornings on Thursday the 13th and Monday the 24th for a clean, fun session. Don’t sleep on Friday the 21st either, that’s a nice clean offshore morning.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Sat afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Mon morning, light winds from the SSW by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | W 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
293 | 726 | 1018 | 1849 | 1948 | 1258 | 2674 | 3797 | 7411 | 6229 | 6307 | 5816 | 3720 | 3664 | 2746 | 1176 | 1919 | 1435 | 1387 | 828 | 2523 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | glassy | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 10:19AM3.17m | 10:41PM3.34m | 11:04AM3.24m | 11:24PM3.36m | 11:47AM3.25m | 00:05AM3.32m | 12:27PM3.20m | 00:42AM3.21m | 1:05PM3.08m | 1:18AM3.04m | 1:42PM2.93m | 1:54AM2.84m | 2:21PM2.74m | 2:32AM2.61m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:35PM0.20m | 5:02AM0.09m | 5:19PM0.17m | 5:43AM0.08m | 6:00PM0.21m | 6:23AM0.15m | 6:39PM0.32m | 7:01AM0.27m | 7:17PM0.47m | 7:39AM0.44m | 7:56PM0.65m | 8:18AM0.63m | 8:37PM0.85m | ||||||||
7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
— | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | W 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 9 | SW 15 |
255 | 726 | 1018 | 1849 | 1948 | 1258 | 2674 | 3797 | 3637 | 6229 | 6307 | 5816 | 3720 | 3664 | 2746 | 1176 | 1919 | 1435 | 1387 | 294 | 2523 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 17 | W 11 | WSW 20 | — | W 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | WSW 13 | — |
293 | 629 | 451 | 151 | — | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 480 | 528 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | WSW 15 | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 16 | — |
266 | 42 | — | — | — | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 828 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 4 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SW 16 | SW 8 | — | — | S 7 | SW 15 | — | SSW 9 | S 5 | S 5 | SW 10 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 25 | 418 | 483 | 7411 | 437 | — | — | 352 | 3093 | — | 421 | 62 | 16 | 450 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 77 | 86 | 48 | 6 | 6 | 86 | 108 | 48 | 6 | 129 | 95 | 48 | 129 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











