Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and let's have a look at what's cookin' for the Karekare stretch over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, the forecast is a bit of a mixed bag. We're looking at a heap of energy coming in, with combined swell values hitting four-digit figures a lot of the time, but the winds and conditions aren't always playing the game. There's a bit of a wait for the really good stuff, with a few quiet days in between.

Kicking off from Wednesday the 19th, we've got a solid 8ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 14-second period, and Thursday morning the 20th is looking like a real standout. A light SSE breeze (6 mph) has things clean with cross-off wind, and that's where you wanna be. The water temp is sitting on 57°F, which is about average for the time of year. The swell energy is pumping, reading 2265 (moderate), and this is ideal for experienced surfers. That setup is too big for beginners, with the swell over 5ft. The rest of Thursday arvo gets a bit scrappy with a cross-on wind.

Friday the 21st is a write-off, with onshore westerlies and messy waves, same for most of Saturday the 22nd where the swell drops right off to under 3ft. Sunday the 23rd has some size to it—10ft—but that fresh cross-on breeze (22 mph) from the WNW creates lumpy, choppy lines. That's more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surf one.

Now, Monday the 24th, things get interesting but a bit dangerous. We've got a big 10ft WSW swell with a long 15-second period and combined energy of 4399 (strong). The wind is light and onshore, but the main issue is that the swell is predicted to be too big for this break, so really only for experts or just a spectacle. Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th are mostly choppy cross-on conditions, so not much joy there.

Then we get another glimmer. Thursday morning the 27th, a 6ft WSW swell with a 12-second period, and a light NE offshore breeze (9 mph) with cross-off wind has it clean. That's a good, manageable size for intermediates. Friday the 28th morning offers a 8ft WNW swell but with a moderate breeze, so it's marginal.

The second week kicks off with a beauty. Sunday the 30th is a real highlight. A 3ft to 4ft WSW groundswell with a very long 18-second period, and light offshore E to ESE winds (6 mph) with cross-off conditions keeping it glassy. The combined energy is 1127 to 1413 (moderate), and that long period gives it great shape, especially for a point or reef setup. This is easily the best on offer for a relaxed paddle. Monday the 31st holds similar clean cross-off conditions with 4ft to 4ft swell, though the period drops a touch to 14-15 seconds. That's another solid day.

Tuesday the 1st of September sees a bit more juice with 7ft WNW swell, but the S wind is cross-shore and starts to chop it up. Wednesday the 2nd has massive 10ft W swell with 12-second period and combined energy of 3342 (strong), but again, it's too big for this break and the cross-shore wind makes it lumpy. The last few days into Thursday the 3rd are just marginal with cross-shore winds and lumpy chop.

So, for the standout: Thursday morning the 20th for the experienced crew with that 8ft clean SW swell, and for the regular surfer, Sunday the 30th with the clean, long-period glassy waves is the one to pencil in.

Rusty.

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