
Surf Forecasts:
Karekare surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,627 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:
The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, the surf report from the beach. It’s a bit of a mixed bag for the next couple of weeks, so let’s break it down. There’s some solid swell coming, but the wind is going to be the deciding factor on a few days.
Right now, for Tuesday the 4th, the ocean is angry. There’s a big 2.1m swell, but a 30 km/h southwest cross-on breeze is tearing it up. The water is about 57°F, which is pretty average for this time of year. The energy is high (4045), but it’s a mess. That afternoon, the swell jumps to 3.5m, but it’s still all over the place. Wednesday eases off a bit, but it's still lumpy.
Now, if you want clean waves, your first real window is Thursday morning the 6th. The wind goes glassy from the east-southeast, and in comes a clean 1.5m southwest swell. It's not big, but it will be clean, fun, and perfect for a longboard. Go get some.
The weekend looks average. Saturday the 8th is small and choppy. Sunday the 9th is where the swell really builds, hitting 3.5m in the afternoon. But the wind is light and cross-on, and this brute is just too big for Karekare. It's going to be a washing machine, only for the most experienced. The wave period is short too, so it won't have that nice, clean power.
After that pulse, things start to clean up. Monday the 10th is a proper gem. The wind goes offshore from the ESE, and we have a clean 2-1.9m southwest swell. This is the kind of day you call in sick for. Clean faces, good shape.
The start of next week brings more of the same decent conditions, with light offshore winds. But the real standout is Friday the 14th. We’re looking at a 2.3m southwest groundswell with a long 18-second period, and the wind is light and offshore. The energy is huge (4436), and the waves will have that deep, powerful push. It will be a proper session. The long period might make the beach break a bit straight, but the points should be firing. Circle this one. The afternoon stays clean at 2.5m.
The following weekend, the 15th and 16th, gets messy with fresh southwest winds, so you can take a break. Not worth the drive.
Looking further ahead into the second week, things are looking promising. The ocean should be settled with some clean, smaller swells. The standout at the end of the window is Wednesday the 19th. We've got a nice 1.7m southwest swell with a light offshore east wind. It’s a week and a half out, so a little less certain, but if it holds, it could be a classic. This is Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 6°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WNW 10 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WSW 18 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2290 | 2033 | 4627 | 1857 | 2076 | 1191 | 656 | 361 | 282 | 167 | 92 | 214 | 314 | 294 | 390 | 1115 | 2405 | 460 | 755 | 1772 | 1409 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:40PM2.84m | 1:55AM2.85m | 2:25PM2.77m | 2:43AM2.74m | 3:19PM2.69m | 3:43AM2.63m | 4:26PM2.65m | 4:55AM2.57m | 5:41PM2.68m | 6:12AM2.59m | 6:55PM2.79m | 7:26AM2.71m | 8:03PM2.95m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:55PM0.59m | 8:19AM0.53m | 8:44PM0.69m | 9:10AM0.62m | 9:43PM0.78m | 10:11AM0.69m | 10:51PM0.83m | 11:19AM0.73m | 00:06AM0.81m | 12:34PM0.71m | 1:22AM0.71m | 1:49PM0.61m | 2:31AM0.53m | ||||||||
7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 15 | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WNW 8 | WSW 15 | WNW 10 | NW 9 | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
2290 | 1591 | 4627 | 647 | 2076 | 1191 | 656 | 361 | 282 | 167 | 75 | 88 | 116 | 78 | 257 | 428 | 2405 | 215 | 755 | 1772 | 1409 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 22 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 14 | SW 10 | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 19 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
— | — | — | — | 80 | 51 | 47 | 44 | 107 | 35 | 92 | 15 | 34 | 139 | 390 | 325 | 537 | 460 | 667 | 19 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 23 | — | — | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | SW 10 | WSW 19 | SW 24 | WSW 12 | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | NW 8 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 22 | 57 | 319 | 210 | 399 | 40 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 10 | — | SSW 12 | — | S 5 | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | WNW 10 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | N 3 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WSW 9 | SSW 6 | S 6 | — |
1755 | 2033 | — | 1857 | — | 57 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 214 | 314 | 294 | 5 | 1115 | 1968 | 227 | 28 | 23 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 144 | 90 | 6 | 6 | 90 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 129 | 0 | 6 | 317 | 127 | 6 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Auckland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











