Karekare Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 31 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
14.1°C
0.0° 

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 10,155 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Sat 5th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Best Surf 6AM (Sat 5th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 6AM (Tue 1st Sep)16ft (5.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Gather ‘round, crew. Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Karekare’s got cookin’ over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you: it’s a long, frustrating wait before anything worthwhile shows its face. The whole first week is a write-off, with big, messy, onshore slop from the southwest that’s just plain ugly. The combined swell energy is through the roof – we're talking 9,941 on Tuesday morning – but it’s all wind-blown chaos and too big for any fun.

We finally get a window for a paddle on Saturday, September 5th. The swell is still massive, a solid 12ft to 13ft from the WSW, and the combined energy is roaring at 4,890 to 5,767. But the wind eases right down to a gentle breeze for the afternoon. The notes say it’s too big for the break, so this is an expert’s game only. For everyone else, it’s still a raw, messy beast. That same pattern – massive, clean but way too much – continues into Sunday morning, September 6th, with that 10ft WSW swell and lighter winds, but it’s just too big for a good time.

Then we’re back into the grinder until Monday, September 14th. That afternoon, something special happens. The wind goes glassy – absolute flat calm – and the swell is still a chunky 8ft from the WSW with a period of 14 seconds. The combined energy sits at 2,483 – solid but manageable. This is the standout. It’s a long-period groundswell, which will wrap in with proper shape, but it’s best for the reefs and points, not the beach itself. It’s for the experienced crew only, but that glassy window is golden.

Tuesday, September 15th, keeps the offshore flow from the NE, with an 12ft SW swell and clean conditions, but again, it's too big for most.

So here’s the deal: if you’re an expert and can handle an 8ft to 11ft cleanup, the Monday 14th afternoon glass-off is the one to circle. For the rest of us, it’s a whole lot of watching and waiting. The next two weeks aren’t offering much for the average surfer.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Mon night, light winds from the WNW by Wed night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sat night, strong winds from the NW by Sun afternoon).

Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
!
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
5
SW
14
5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4
SW
14
3.5
WSW
14
3
WSW
13
2.5
WSW
13
2.4
WSW
14
2.3
WSW
14
1.9
WSW
11
2.5
WSW
14
3.5
W
10
3.5
WSW
15
3.5
WSW
14
4
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
14
3
WSW
15
3
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
10074
9919
8471
5879
3959
2993
2457
2216
2060
822
2795
2398
5176
4658
5583
4258
4625
4187
6556
Wind (km/h)
35
WSW
40
SW
35
SW
25
WSW
25
WSW
25
W
20
W
20
WNW
25
WNW
20
NW
35
NW
35
W
25
SW
20
WSW
15
WSW
10
NNW
20
N
40
NW
30
W
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
High Tide
00:13AM3.08m
12:37PM2.97m
00:52AM2.98m
1:17PM2.88m
1:32AM2.84m
2:02PM2.77m
2:20AM2.68m
2:58PM2.66m
3:23AM2.52m
4:09PM2.58m
4:40AM2.44m
5:28PM2.60m
Low Tide
6:32AM0.25m
6:51PM0.39m
7:12AM0.34m
7:34PM0.51m
7:56AM0.46m
8:23PM0.65m
8:47AM0.59m
9:21PM0.79m
9:48AM0.71m
10:33PM0.87m
11:01AM0.79m
11:54PM0.86m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:39
6:37
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:05
 mm
3
2
8
3
Temp °C
13
13
13
13
14
15
14
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
12
16
16
15
Feels °C
5
5
6
7
9
9
9
11
11
10
9
10
9
10
10
10
10
10
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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