Karekare Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 04 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
13.9° C
0.5° 

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,627 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Tue 4th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 10s
Best Surf 6PM (Tue 4th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 10s
Most Powerful12AM (Wed 5th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, the surf report from the beach. It’s a bit of a mixed bag for the next couple of weeks, so let’s break it down. There’s some solid swell coming, but the wind is going to be the deciding factor on a few days.

Right now, for Tuesday the 4th, the ocean is angry. There’s a big 2.1m swell, but a 30 km/h southwest cross-on breeze is tearing it up. The water is about 57°F, which is pretty average for this time of year. The energy is high (4045), but it’s a mess. That afternoon, the swell jumps to 3.5m, but it’s still all over the place. Wednesday eases off a bit, but it's still lumpy.

Now, if you want clean waves, your first real window is Thursday morning the 6th. The wind goes glassy from the east-southeast, and in comes a clean 1.5m southwest swell. It's not big, but it will be clean, fun, and perfect for a longboard. Go get some.

The weekend looks average. Saturday the 8th is small and choppy. Sunday the 9th is where the swell really builds, hitting 3.5m in the afternoon. But the wind is light and cross-on, and this brute is just too big for Karekare. It's going to be a washing machine, only for the most experienced. The wave period is short too, so it won't have that nice, clean power.

After that pulse, things start to clean up. Monday the 10th is a proper gem. The wind goes offshore from the ESE, and we have a clean 2-1.9m southwest swell. This is the kind of day you call in sick for. Clean faces, good shape.

The start of next week brings more of the same decent conditions, with light offshore winds. But the real standout is Friday the 14th. We’re looking at a 2.3m southwest groundswell with a long 18-second period, and the wind is light and offshore. The energy is huge (4436), and the waves will have that deep, powerful push. It will be a proper session. The long period might make the beach break a bit straight, but the points should be firing. Circle this one. The afternoon stays clean at 2.5m.

The following weekend, the 15th and 16th, gets messy with fresh southwest winds, so you can take a break. Not worth the drive.

Looking further ahead into the second week, things are looking promising. The ocean should be settled with some clean, smaller swells. The standout at the end of the window is Wednesday the 19th. We've got a nice 1.7m southwest swell with a light offshore east wind. It’s a week and a half out, so a little less certain, but if it holds, it could be a classic. This is Rusty, out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 6°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
!
2
2
3
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
0
1
3
!
3
4
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
WSW
16
3.5
SW
10
3.5
SW
14
2.5
SSW
12
2.5
SW
13
1.9
SW
13
1.5
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
1
SW
12
0.8
SW
12
0.5
SW
14
1.1
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
7
0.8
WSW
18
2.5
NW
10
3.5
WNW
10
1.1
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
13
1.9
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2290
2033
4627
1857
2076
1191
656
361
282
167
92
214
314
294
390
1115
2405
460
755
1772
1409
Wind (km/h)
30
SW
35
SW
15
SE
25
SSE
20
S
15
SSE
5
ESE
10
SW
5
WSW
10
NNW
15
WNW
10
NNE
10
N
20
NNW
20
N
10
N
10
NW
20
NNE
20
ESE
20
SE
25
SE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:40PM2.84m
1:55AM2.85m
2:25PM2.77m
2:43AM2.74m
3:19PM2.69m
3:43AM2.63m
4:26PM2.65m
4:55AM2.57m
5:41PM2.68m
6:12AM2.59m
6:55PM2.79m
7:26AM2.71m
8:03PM2.95m
Low Tide
7:55PM0.59m
8:19AM0.53m
8:44PM0.69m
9:10AM0.62m
9:43PM0.78m
10:11AM0.69m
10:51PM0.83m
11:19AM0.73m
00:06AM0.81m
12:34PM0.71m
1:22AM0.71m
1:49PM0.61m
2:31AM0.53m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:18
7:16
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
7:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:42
5:43
 mm
4
15
1
Temp °C
13
13
9
8
10
10
9
11
11
10
10
10
12
14
12
16
16
14
14
14
12
Feels °C
6
5
2
2
4
5
7
7
8
7
6
7
7
10
8
14
14
11
12
11
6
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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