Karekare Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.00° S 174.48° E

Karekare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 01 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Karekare sea temperature is
14.1° C
0.4° 

Karekare surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Karekare surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 3,365 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Karekare this week:

The surf forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 22s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Karekare in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 12PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Sat 1st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 13s
Best Surf 6PM (Sat 1st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 13s
Most Powerful 9PM (Tue 4th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Karekare over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got the full picture for Karekare over the next couple of weeks. Let’s get into it.

The water’s sitting at 57.4°F right now, which is about average for the time of year—nothing weird there. The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag, but we’ve got a real standout session coming up that’ll get the blood pumping.

Saturday 1 August kicks off with some solid energy—11.5ft of swell from the WSW, with a period of 13 seconds and a combined energy of 4595. That’s proper strong energy. The wind’s light easterly offshore in the morning, keeping things clean, but honestly, this swell is pushing into the too-big-for-beginners territory at over 8.2ft, so it’s only for the experienced crew. By afternoon, the wind swings SE, still cross-offshore, and it stays clean, but the size is still hefty. This is a session for the brave, not the casual.

Sunday 2 August sees the swell drop to 6.6ft in the morning, still from the SW, with a period of 12 seconds and moderate energy at 1136. The wind is cross-offshore, but the surf is marginal—tide’s not playing ball. Afternoon clears up, wind light cross-shore, but the swell’s a bit smaller at 6.2ft and the energy drops to 919. Not worth paddling out for.

Monday 3 August through Tuesday 4 August is a write-off. Strong cross-onshore winds from the SW and WSW, gusting 16 mph, with choppy, messy conditions. The swell’s around 4.6ft to 6.6ft, and the energy is moderate to strong, but the wind is trashing it. Save your energy.

Wednesday 5 August – now we’re talking. Early morning, the wind swings back to an easterly offshore at 6 mph, and the swell is 7.2ft from the SW with a 14-second period and energy of 2011. This is a standout for the experienced surfer—clean, powerful, and the wind is perfect. The period is long enough to really shape the waves, but it’s a bit big for beginners. This is the best on offer in the first week. Afternoon gets a bit messy with a light cross-shore, but the morning is gold.

Thursday 6 August has a smaller, cleaner pulse. Morning swell is 4.3ft from the WSW with a 12-second period, energy at 532, and light offshore winds. By afternoon, it goes glassy—zero wind, 3.6ft swell from the SW, and energy of 379. This is a nice, mellow session for all levels, but not a standout.

Friday 7 August morning has 2.0ft of swell from the SW, clean with light offshore winds, but it’s tiny. Afternoon gets blown out with a cross-onshore breeze.

Saturday 8 August is messy—short-period NW windswell of 7.2ft to 7.5ft, period of 8 seconds, and cross-onshore winds. Not your friend.

Sunday 9 August sees a return of clean conditions. The swell is only 3.9ft, but it’s from the WSW with a very long 19-second period, and energy of 1653. The wind is a strong easterly offshore at 16 mph, keeping the waves clean, but that long period means the sets are far apart and the waves will be more walled-up at a beach break like Karekare. It’s a bit of a caveat—this is a groundswell built for reefs or points, but if you’re patient, there’ll be some epic lines.

Monday 10 August through Tuesday 11 August – the wind cranks up from the ENE, strong offshore at 19–25 mph. The swell is short-period (8 seconds) around 7.9ft to 8.2ft on Monday, then drops to 3.6ft on Tuesday. The offshore wind is strong, making it clean but hard to paddle into. It’s a challenge.

Wednesday 12 August to Thursday 13 August – the swell fades to 2.0ft–3.3ft, with fresh offshore winds, but the energy is low (217–833). Not much to get excited about.

Friday 14 August to Saturday 15 August – swell picks up again to 4.6ft–6.9ft from the WSW, with periods of 14–18 seconds, and moderate energy. The wind is cross-offshore, so it’s clean, but the surf is still marginal. Saturday afternoon gets a cross-onshore blow, so morning is the call.

Sunday 16 August – another chance for the experienced crew. Morning swell is 6.9ft from the WSW, 14-second period, energy of 1922, with a light cross-offshore breeze. It’s clean and powerful, but at over 6.6ft, it’s for the confident surfer. Good way to finish the forecast period.

The standout:

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Sat night, fresh winds from the SW by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
4
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
WSW
13
3.5
WSW
13
2.5
SW
12
2
SW
12
1.9
SW
11
1.7
SW
12
1.4
SW
19
1.8
SW
19
2.2
SW
17
2
WSW
16
2
WSW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
1.9
SW
13
1.6
SW
13
1.3
WSW
12
1.1
SW
12
0.9
SW
12
0.4
SW
19
1.4
NW
8
2.5
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4595
3802
2138
1037
821
808
1503
2205
2715
2110
2007
2873
1949
1288
828
513
330
216
116
238
788
Wind (km/h)
10
E
15
SE
15
ESE
15
SSE
10
SSW
10
SW
25
SW
25
WSW
30
WSW
25
SW
25
SW
15
SSE
10
E
5
S
5
NE
5
ENE
0
S
10
ENE
10
NE
20
NW
20
NNW
Wind State
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
High Tide
11:42AM2.97m
11:59PM3.06m
12:20PM2.96m
00:36AM3.02m
12:59PM2.91m
1:14AM2.95m
1:40PM2.84m
1:55AM2.85m
2:25PM2.77m
2:43AM2.74m
3:19PM2.69m
3:43AM2.63m
4:26PM2.65m
Low Tide
5:55PM0.44m
6:17AM0.39m
6:33PM0.45m
6:55AM0.40m
7:12PM0.50m
7:35AM0.45m
7:55PM0.59m
8:19AM0.53m
8:44PM0.69m
9:10AM0.62m
9:43PM0.78m
10:11AM0.69m
10:51PM0.83m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
light rain
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:16
7:15
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:40
 mm
1
1
1
Temp °C
12
13
10
10
12
13
14
14
14
13
12
11
10
11
9
10
12
11
15
15
14
Feels °C
8
9
6
5
8
10
9
8
8
8
6
6
8
8
7
7
10
8
12
11
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Karekare Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Karekare provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Karekare can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Karekare surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Karekare) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Karekare may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Karekare is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Auckland. If you plan a holiday in Auckland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Auckland. Auckland has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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