Jarosite Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next 16 days at this one break we’ve got – Jarosite Reef.

It starts off with a bang on Saturday the 12th. A clean 5ft SW groundswell with a very long 15-second period and combined energy sitting at 1005 – nice and meaty. Winds are light and cross-off from the NNE, so it’s going to be clean and perfect for experienced surfers. That’s the standout for the opening weekend. Water temp is about 57°, which is dead on average for this time of year.

Sunday the 13th drops down to 3-4ft with the same long period, but the wind picks up to 12 mph from the north. It stays cross-off, so the waves are still clean, but the energy slips to around 465-509. It’s a bit marginal. By Monday the 14th, it’s small – just 2-2ft with low energy and a solid westerly wind. Poor conditions all day. There’s a gap until Tuesday the 15th, when a big 8ft SW groundswell rolls in with a 13-second period and a combined energy of 3655. That’s proper heavy. But the morning wind is 15 mph cross-off, making it marginal, and by afternoon it’s a strong 22 mph cross-shore – lumpy and messy. Kites might dig it, but for a paddle, no thanks.

Wednesday the 16th keeps the big swell at 8-8ft, but the wind is cross-onshore from the south at 15 mph, so expect choppy, ugly surf. Thursday the 17th is smaller with a light cross-onshore breeze – still not great.

Then we hit a sweet run. Friday the 18th is another standout. A moderate offshore from the WNW at 12 mph, with a 5ft SW groundswell stretching out to a very long 17-second period. The energy is 1893 – moderate to strong – and it’ll be clean, powerful reef waves. Saturday the 19th morning keeps that offshore flow with 4ft surf, but the energy drops off later. Sunday the 20th still shows some push with a moderate offshore breeze, and Monday the 21st brings another 5ft swell with some decent energy, though the wind swings around.

Looking into the second week, Tuesday the 22nd delivers a big 8ft SW groundswell at a long 17-second period and strong 3004 energy, but it comes with an onshore wind from the SE – marginal shaping. The real gem this week is Wednesday the 23rd. A 6ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period, light cross-off wind in the morning, turning glassy in the afternoon. That’s the best of the second week – smooth, powerful, and clean. Thursday the 24th follows up with a gentle offshore from the NNW and 5ft surf – still excellent for the experienced crew. Friday the 25th gives you a sneaky 4ft SW swell with a very long 15-second period and an almost glassy offshore from the WNW. The energy holds at 1178. Then the weekend of the 26th and 27th fades to 2-4ft with cross-onshore winds and lower energy.

So, get yourself down there for Saturday the 12th, Friday the 18th, and Wednesday the 23rd. That’s the pick of the bunch. Crowds are possible, especially at a consistent spot like this.

Rusty.

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