Jarosite Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Jarosite Reef.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing freaky there.

The next few days are a bit of a mixed bag, but it's not all bad. We've got a solid run of swell coming through, but the wind is the main character for a while. Tuesday morning (21st July) is a small, clean start with a 3ft SW swell, light offshore breezes, and a moderate combined energy of 317. It's not huge, but it'll be clean. That afternoon stays similar at 3ft.

Wednesday (22nd) drops a touch to 2ft SW in the morning, still clean but a bit ordinary. The afternoon picks up a little to 3ft, but the wind swings cross-offshore, making it a bit less inviting.

Now, Thursday (23rd) is where things get interesting, but only for the experienced crew. The morning sees a big jump to 12ft SW swell with a period of 14 seconds and a very strong combined energy of 6412. The wind is cross-off, so it'll be clean, but at that size, it's deep end of the pool only. The afternoon is similar at 10ft SW. This is serious, powerful groundswell – it'll be breaking hard and straight at this reef, so you need to know what you're doing.

Friday (24th) is still chunky, with 8ft SSW swell in the morning and a very long period of 16 seconds, dropping to 8ft in the afternoon. The wind is cross-off both sessions, so it's clean, but again, it's big and powerful. The energy is strong (3392 and 2207).

Saturday (25th) holds solid at 12ft SW all day, with moderate cross-off winds. This is a long stretch of big, powerful surf, but strong winds mean it's not the cleanest it could be.

Sunday (26th) settles down a bit, with 4ft SW in the morning and 3ft SSW in the afternoon. The wind is still cross-off, so it's clean, but the energy is dropping off (419 and 233). It's surfable, but nothing special.

The best bet in the whole run looks like Thursday morning, 30th July. That's a full week away, so keep an eye on the charts, but it's looking promising. We've got 6ft SSW swell with a period of 14 seconds, combined energy of 1459, and glassy conditions with a light NNW breeze. That's clean, lined-up, and a solid size for a good session. The score is backing it up, too. Friday morning (31st July) is also a standout: 5ft SSW swell, 15-second period, glassy conditions with a NNW breeze, and a combined energy of 1038. Both these mornings are prime for experienced surfers, as the swell is over 5ft but under 8ft.

After that, the first week of August sees a drop-off. Saturday (1st August) has a small 3ft SSW swell with glassy conditions in the morning, which is fine for a gentle paddle, but the energy is low (355). From Sunday (2nd August) into Monday (3rd August), it gets poor, with tiny, choppy, cross-onshore slop. Monday afternoon (3rd August) shows a bit of a pulse with 3ft SW swell and a long period of 17 seconds, but it's still very small.

The real standout for the second week is Tuesday, 4th August. Tuesday morning (4th August) has 5ft SW swell with a very long period of 19 seconds and a combined energy of 1472. The wind is light and cross-offshore. The afternoon is even better: 5ft SW swell, 18-second period, and a gentle offshore wind from the NNW. This is described as "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers" and it's the best looking session that far out. The long period groundswell will wrap in nicely at this reef, and the offshore wind will keep it glassy.

Wednesday (5th August) is a nice way to finish the outlook, with 3ft SW swell, 16-second period, and light offshore winds in the morning, turning glassy in the afternoon. Clean, small, and fun.

So, your two best standouts are Thursday morning (30th July) and Tuesday afternoon (4th August). Both have glassy or offshore winds, solid groundswell, and good energy. The Thursday morning is a bit closer and more certain, but the Tuesday afternoon later on is a beauty on the horizon. Don't get too excited about the huge stuff on the 23rd to 25th unless you're a gun.

Rusty.

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