Jarosite Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag for Jarosite Reef. We’ve got a real window of opportunity mid-week that looks like the standout, but there’s some lumpy, bumpy stuff to wade through before we get there.

Right out of the gate, Sunday and Monday morning are a write-off. Sunday’s got a messy cross-off breeze with tiny, weak swell—combined energy is only 241, that’s barely a ripple. Monday morning starts to wake up though. The swell jumps to 4ft from the southwest with a long 19-second period. The energy reads a solid 1026, which is moderate, but the wind is offshore and clean. That’s actually a decent-looking window for the experienced crew, even if the score isn’t a perfect 10. The water temp is 56°, which is about normal for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.

Monday afternoon the wind swings southwest and goes cross-shore, chopping it all up. That window closes fast.

Tuesday morning the swell drops a touch to 3ft, but it’s still clean and offshore, and with a 15-second period, the lines should have some push. It’s not epic, but it’s surfable. Tuesday afternoon gets a little more size, 4ft, but the wind goes cross-off and it’s a bit marginal.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Wednesday morning, the ocean wakes the hell up. That swell jumps to 10ft from the southwest with a 16-second period. The combined energy is huge—6167, that’s strong to very strong. This is a proper swell. But it’s big, way over 8ft, so this is strictly for the experts. It’s clean, but at that size, Jarosite Reef will be a handful. Thursday and Friday mornings are also solid, with 7ft and 7ft swells, still from the southwest, and the wind is light and offshore. These are your standouts—big, clean, powerful southwest groundswell. The period is 15-16 seconds, which is prime for a reef like this. The energy is in the 2000s, which is strong. If you’re an advanced surfer, this is the window. Thursday morning looks the cleanest, with a gentle offshore breeze.

After that, things start to fade. The weekend sees the swell drop back to the 5ft range, and the wind turns onshore. Saturday and Sunday are pretty ordinary, with a light cross-onshore breeze. Monday the 17th is interesting—there’s a brief moment with a glassy morning and 4ft of swell. That could be fun, but it’s not the size or power of the mid-week stuff.

Beyond that, it’s a slow fade. The second week looks pretty weak. Swells hang around the 2ft to 3ft range, with onshore winds and very little energy. There’s a little blip on the 24th with a longer period, but the wind is onshore, so it’s not going to be worth the paddle.

So, the call is simple: if you’re an expert, you live for Thursday and Friday morning of the first week. Wednesday is too big and gnarly, but Thursday and Friday are prime Jarosite. For everyone else, the early part of the week is the only other real chance, and even that is a push. After that, it’s flat and sloppy for a while.

Rusty

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