Jarosite Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, gather 'round, grab a coffee. Rusty here, looking at the next couple of weeks for us. It's a bit of a slow-motion build-up, so let's get into it.

The outlook kicks off Monday the 20th of July down at Jarosite Reef. It's a tricky start, to be honest. We've got a weak, long-period SW groundswell rolling in, but it's only 2ft. The energy is low (191 in the water), and while the wind is okay, it's just not enough to get the heart racing. The water is sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year.

Things start to look a little more promising on Tuesday the 21st. The swell picks up slightly to 3ft from the SW, and we get a clean offshore wind. The combination of that offshore flow and a bit more push in the water makes it a decent session. It's not going to be a world-beater, but for a Tuesday morning, you could do a lot worse.

Now, hold on to your boards, because Thursday the 23rd of July is where we see a real pulse. The swell jumps to a solid 11-12ft from the SW, with a long 14-second period. The energy in the water is massive (7079). This is proper, powerful groundswell. However, the wind is a cross-off, not pure offshore. And at 11-12ft, this is getting into expert-only territory at a reef. It's going to be a heavy, powerful wave, so only the most experienced should be out there. The size and energy are the standout features here, but the wind keeps it from being a perfect 10.

The swell hangs around, but the wind becomes a problem. By the 29th and 30th of July, the swell is even bigger, up to 15ft, but the wind is a messy cross-onshore. For a reef like this, that's a write-off. It's a classic case of too much swell, and the wrong wind direction.

There's a glimmer of hope for the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August. The swell has dropped back to 7ft from the SSW, with a very long 16-second period. The wind is light and cross-off, and the conditions are clean. This is a much more manageable size for experienced surfers, with that long-period energy (2661) wrapping in nicely. This is the best looking session in the second week, but it's a long way out, so keep your fingers crossed.

The best on offer across the whole period is a tough call. The Thursday the 23rd has the biggest raw power, but the wind holds it back. The morning of Sunday the 2nd of August has the best combo of size, wind, and clean conditions. I'll call it a tie between those two, with the edge going to the 2nd of August for being a more user-friendly, clean session.

After that, the swell fades into the first week of August, with glassy conditions on the afternoon of Monday the 3rd, but the waves are small. The run ends on the 4th with poor, choppy conditions.

Alright, that's the long and short of it. Keep your eyes on the forecast, and I'll see you in the water.

Rusty.

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