Jarosite Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Jarosite Reef, trying to make sense of the next couple of weeks. Right now, we’ve got a bit of a flat spell to start. The swell is tiny, the energy is weak, and honestly, it’s not worth paddling out for the first few days. You’d be fighting for nothing.

Thursday the 10th starts off with some leftover 8.2ft southwest swell, but it’s coming in at a cross-shore angle with a bit of chop, and the tide looks questionable. It’s just messy. The energy is reading 3464, so there’s some push, but the wind and the shape aren’t doing it any favors. By the afternoon, it drops off and gets choppier. Forget it.

Friday the 11th is more of the same. The swell’s down to 5.6ft, but the wind is cross-on and it’s just not clean. There’s a small window Friday afternoon where the wind swings around, but it’s still cross, so don’t hold your breath. The water temp here is sitting at 56.5°F, which is about average for this time of year, so it’s not a shock, just your standard cold-water session.

Then we get a little breather. Saturday the 12th morning is where things start to look a bit more interesting. The swell has dropped back to 5.6ft, still from the SSW, but now we’ve got a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE, and the wave comment is calling it clean. It’s not huge, but it’s surfable and, more importantly, it’s not a washing machine. Saturday afternoon is even better, with the wind going glassy at 3 mph and the swell settling to 4.6ft. That’s a proper window for a reef break like this. The energy is down to 978, so it’s on the weaker side, but the clean conditions make it worth a look.

Sunday the 13th keeps that cleaner vibe, but the swell is fading. Morning has 3.6ft with a cross-offshore wind, so it’s small but fun. The afternoon drops to 3.3ft and the wind picks up a bit, so it’s marginal. Monday the 14th is a write-off. Swell’s down to 2ft and the offshore wind is just blowing the life out of it. Nothing doing.

Now, here’s the first real standout. Tuesday the 15th. The swell jumps back up to 13.1ft from the SW, with a period of 13 seconds. The energy reading is huge – 7681 – so there’s plenty of power in the water. The problem? The wind is cross-shore and it’s creating a cross-chop. It’s going to be a messy, powerful, and pretty unmanageable session. The comments say marginal, and I’d agree. This is expert-only stuff, and even then, it’s going to be a battle. If you’re a beginner, stay well away from this. It’s way over the 8.2ft mark, so it’s not for you.

After that pulse, it settles back down. Wednesday the 16th has a bit of swell around 5.9ft, but the wind is cross-on, and it’s just not clean. Thursday the 17th is a bit better. Morning brings a gentle offshore breeze from the NW, with 4.9ft of SSW swell. It’s clean, it’s got some shape, and it could be a fun session for those who know the reef. The energy is just over a thousand, so there’s some push.

Friday the 18th morning is another one to circle. Swell jumps to 7.5ft, also from the SSW, with a light offshore breeze out of the WNW. The comment says excellent for experienced surfers. It’s got size, it’s got clean conditions, and the period is 14 seconds, so there’s some solid groundswell behind it. This is probably one of the better days on offer in the first week.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. The weekend of the 19th and 20th sees the swell dropping back

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