Honkeys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get down to it. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty average, to be honest. There’s surf on the horizon, but we’re gonna have to wade through a lot of wind and chop to get to it. The good news is, there’s a bit of a light at the end of the tunnel, but it’s a ways off.

Right now, and for the next week and a half, it’s all about the onshore flow. We’re looking at a lot of cross-onshore breeze, mostly from the west and southwest, which is just going to chop things up. The swell is there, but it’s messy. The energy is moderate, with values around the 600 to 1000 range, but the quality is just gonna be poor. We’re talking about washing-machine conditions, not waves. The swell direction is mostly from the SSE, which is not ideal for the reef here. It’s not going to be a total flat spell, but it’s not going to be worth paddling out for unless you’re just desperate for a beatdown.

The dawn patrol on Saturday the 8th might offer a slight window, with the wind more onshore, but the swell is only around 5ft from the south with a short 11-second period. It’s still going to be bumpy. We’ll see some overhead sets, but the quality won’t be there. The same goes for Sunday the 9th, with more of the same. It’s a lot of effort for not much reward.

The wind backs off a bit on the 15th and 16th, dropping to that light breeze territory, but the swell also drops. You’re looking at smaller waves, around 4ft, with a cross-onshore wind that’s still going to put a bit of texture on it. It’s better than the days before, but it’s still not clean.

Now, here’s the standout. It’s a long way off, but Tuesday the 18th is looking like the one to circle. The wind actually goes glassy on the afternoon. On top of that, the swell drops to 3ft but it’s a nice, long-period S swell at 18 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. The energy is moderate, around 697, but with that period and no wind, this reef is going to turn into a proper point. It’s not big, but it’ll be super clean and lined up. The next morning, Wednesday the 19th, also looks promising, with a bit more size and energy, but the wind turns a little cross. Still, the S/SSW swell with a 16-second period will be holding some quality. These are the windows where it’ll be worth the paddle.

For a beginner, the size on the 18th is manageable, but the week before, when it’s 5ft to 5ft and messy, it will feel bigger and more challenging. It’s a reef, so you need to know what you’re doing when it’s breaking over 5ft. The water temp is sitting at 85°, which is about normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a wetsuit.

So, the first week and a half is a write-off, mostly. It’s a long stretch of poor conditions. But don’t lose hope. We’ve got a couple of promising days around the 18th and 19th that are worth holding out for. The long-range calls are less certain, but the signs are there. Keep an eye on the forecast and be ready to move when it gets closer.

Rusty

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