Ensenada Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good, hard look at what's on the table for Ensenada over the next couple of weeks.

We're looking at a run of marginal surf for the most part, with a few windows that could be worth a paddle. The water is sitting at 71° which is *much warmer than normal* for this time of year – feels like a bathtub out there, a real bonus.

The first week is a bit of a grind. Sunday the 2nd kicks off with a small, weak 4 ft south swell (472 combined energy) but that cross-on wind from the SSW is making it a bit bumpy. That pattern sticks around through Monday and Tuesday, with tiny waves in the 3 ft to 4 ft range and the same light cross-on breeze. It's not inspiring, but it's not a total washout. The swell energy is moderate, bouncing between 372 and 648.

Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th see a bit more size, with a 4 ft south-west swell pushing the energy up into the 600s and 900s, but the wind stays on the cross. The period on Thursday morning jumps to a very long 17 seconds, which means some real groundswell energy (906 energy) but those long-period swells can be tricky at a beach and point setup like Ensenada, often breaking too straight. Still, the potential is there for a clean wall if you find the right peak.

The stand-out moment in the first week is hands down Sunday morning, August 9th. The forecast shows a glassy, 5 ft south swell with a clean 8-second period. That "glass" wind is a major positive – it'll be as clean as it gets. The energy is moderate (547) but that's the price of a perfect, windless morning. This is the best bet for a stress-free, fun session before the afternoon sea breeze kicks in.

The second week gets a bit more serious. Around Monday the 10th, the swell bumps up to 6 ft with a healthy 10-second period and a solid energy reading of 1273. The wind is light and onshore, so it won't be perfect, but there's push. The real window for bigger surf opens on Tuesday, August 11th. The morning shows a 7 ft south-southwest swell, a 14-second period, and a thumping energy of 1797. That's a lot of water moving. This is getting into the "experts only" territory. It's gonna be powerful, and the cross-on wind will make the take-off a challenge. For the experienced crew, this is the one to circle on the calendar. After that, the swell hangs around 5 ft to 6 ft through the rest of the week, with the energy staying in the 900 to 1500 range, but the wind is mostly cross-on, keeping it from being truly epic.

The long-range window around the 17th of August holds another pulse of 6 ft south-west swell with long periods, but it's a week and a half out, so take that with a grain of salt. The pattern is consistent, but the quality is always a question mark due to the wind. For the most part, you're looking at a light cross-onshore breeze and choppy conditions, so pick your mornings carefully.

Keep it between the flags, and don't be afraid to hunt for a bank that's holding. The water is warm, the swell is there, but the wind is the boss.

Rusty.

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