Ensenada Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this out there. The next couple of weeks are looking a bit average for Ensenada. There’s swell on the cards, but it’s not going to be a classic run. We've got a lot of cross-onshore wind and a few choppy days to sift through. Don't get too hyped, but there are a few windows where it could come together.

The water is running about 70° at the start, which is a solid 9° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a big deal – it’s seriously warm water, so you might not even need a springsuit.

Looking at the first few days, Friday the 7th is pretty ordinary. We have a 4ft SW swell at 14 seconds, but the wind is mostly cross-onshore, making it a bit lumpy. The energy is moderate at 888. It's surfable, but it's not a standout. The morning has a light breeze, so it might be cleaner then, but the afternoon gets a bit more chop.

The weekend is much the same. Saturday the 8th drops off a bit, with a 3ft SW swell and fairly clean conditions in the morning, but it's still small. Sunday the 9th has a similar story, a 4ft S swell but with a short 9-second period, which means it might be a bit weak and disorganized. The energy is weak at 507.

Monday the 10th sees a bit more push, with the swell holding at 4ft from the SSW, but the wind is still cross-onshore. The energy is moderate at 1113. Tuesday the 11th looks similar, with a 4ft SW swell in the morning and a slight bump to 6ft in the afternoon. That afternoon is the biggest we see for a while, but the period is a bit shorter at 14 seconds and the wind is still not great. The energy is moderate, around 1127. It's an option, but not a classic.

The middle of the week falls off. Wednesday and Thursday the 12th and 13th are small and a bit messy. The only real highlight is Thursday the 13th when the period jumps up to 18 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which is great for a point break like this, but it's only 3ft to 4ft, so it's not going to be big. The energy is moderate, but that long period will make it feel more powerful and lined up. It's a promising window, but still not a standout.

The following weekend, the 15th and 16th, gets a bit windier, with a moderate breeze and more cross-chop. The swell is there, 4ft to 5ft, but the quality drops. Monday the 17th has the most energy of the whole run, with 1283, and a 5ft SW swell. The morning wind is light and offshore, which is a plus. This is probably the best mix of size and clean conditions we see.

After that, the second week is all a bit same-same. The swell stays around 4ft to 4ft from the SW, with light winds, but it's just not very inspiring. The period is consistent at 13-15 seconds, which is good, but the size is just average. There's nothing that's going to blow you away.

So, if you're looking for the best on offer, I'd say the standout is Monday morning the 17th. You have a solid 5ft SW swell, the energy is the strongest of the run at 1283, and the wind is light and offshore. That's your best bet for clean, decent-sized waves.

The other one to keep an eye on is Thursday the 13th with that 18-second period. It'll be smaller, but the quality could be there. It might be a bit too straight for the beach breaks, but for a point break like Ensenada, it could be special.

Honestly, there are long gaps where I wouldn't bother. The 15th and 16th look like a write-off with the wind. Don't expect much in the middle of the run. It's not a period of flatness, but it's a period of average. The surf will be there, but you'll have to work for it.

Alright, that's the picture. It's not a classic forecast, but there are a couple of windows if you're keen. Keep an eye on that Monday the 17th.

Rusty.

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