Ensenada Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at the Ensenada forecast for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. We’re not lookin’ at any classic, world-class days, but there’s a few windows where the stars could line up for a decent session.

First up, the water is running much warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 70° with a massive anomaly of 7°. That’s pretty wild for Ensenada, like a wetsuit-relaxing kinda warm.

The whole 16-day run is pretty much dominated by *light cross-onshore breezes* and a long stretch of waves that are just... okay. The scores are pretty low across the board, so we’re scraping for those hidden gems.

The best bet on offer lands on Wednesday, July 29th. The morning is looking glassy with a light offshore wind from the WSW. That’s proper clean. You’ll see some waist-to-chest high swell from the SW, about 4 ft, with a solid 14-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell that will wrap into the point. Combined wave energy is moderate at 509. For a break that’s fairly consistent and fairly exposed to the S, this is your standout. Expect some crowds though, as it’s a popular spot.

Saturday, July 25th is also worth a mention, but it’s a week and a half out, so temper your expectations. The morning shows a 6 ft SSW swell with a 13-second period. That’s a bit more size, pushing into expert territory, but the wind is cross-on from the W. Energy is high at 1309. Afternoon gets a bit cleaner with an onshore wind switching to W, but still a solid 6 ft. It’s promising, but not locked in.

For the rest of the run, from July 14th through to the 28th, it’s mostly marginal. There’s a gap of several days with no real standout recommendations. Winds are mostly cross-on, keeping the surface a bit bumpy. The swell is there, but it’s not coming together with the right conditions. On July 20th, the morning sees a tiny 3 ft, but a clean onshore wind from the WSW. Still, it’s barely a knee-high kicker.

Also, keep an eye on Thursday, July 23rd. The morning swell jumps to 6 ft from the SSW, but the period drops to a short 9 seconds. That’s a short-period wind swell, and with the cross-on wind, it’s gonna be a messy, lumpy affair. The afternoon gets even bigger at 7 ft, but the wind picks up to 9 mph. That setup looks more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfers, honestly.

So, bottom line: if you’re looking for a clean, relaxed session, hold out for the morning of July 29th. That’s your glassy, picky window. The Saturday the 25th has the size for the more experienced crew, but it’s a gamble. The rest of the time, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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