Ensenada Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

The overall picture for Ensenada is a bit of a slow burner. We've got a solid, long-period groundswell filling in right from the get-go, but the winds are going to be a bit of a pest for the first few days. The real standout is the very start – Sunday morning – the conditions are just about perfect before the breeze picks up. After that, it's a bit of a waiting game for another pulse of energy to swing through.

The big moment is this Sunday morning, the 5th of July. We're looking at clean, glassy conditions with a light W wind at just 3 mph. The swell is a touch under 3 ft (3 ft) from the SW, but the period is a very long 20 seconds. That's proper groundswell energy, giving you nice, long lines and easy paddling between sets. The water is absolutely pumping with energy too, and the water temp is a very unusual 71°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. This is the session to be in the water for.

Sunday afternoon, the wind swings SSW and picks up to 9 mph, turning cross-onshore and chopping things up a bit. The swell builds, but the quality drops. Monday morning is more of the same cross-on mess, but Monday afternoon looks like another small window of opportunity. The wind drops back to glassy from the SW, and the swell holds at 5 ft. That's a solid size for experienced surfers, and with that clean surface, it'll be a good session.

From Tuesday, the 7th, through to the 16th of July, the forecast is pretty average. The swell drops off and the winds are mostly light cross-onshore. It's a long stretch of marginal to poor conditions. The waves will be there, but they'll be choppy and messy. There's a brief period of offshore wind on the morning of the 10th and 11th, but the swell is small and inconsistent.

Now, things get interesting again around the 17th and 18th of July. We see a new pulse of SSW swell pushing through, with wave heights hitting 6 ft and 7 ft. This shows a lot of power in the water. However, the winds are still cross or cross-onshore, so it’s not a clean, easy pick. With the size over 5 ft, it’s not for beginners, and the 7 ft on the 17th afternoon is getting into expert-only territory, especially with the moderate chop. This is a promising long-range look, but it’s a bit too far out to get overly excited about the exact conditions.

The biggest call here is clear: Sunday morning is your best bet. Get out there early, enjoy the clean, warm water, and those long, tasty SW groundswell lines. Don't sleep on it.

Rusty.

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