Ensenada Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s run through the same outlook in feet and Fahrenheit.

The water is running at 69°F right now, which is much warmer than typical for this time of year—roughly 7°F above the long-term average. Nice for a soak, but the surf is a long story.

The first half of the forecast is a bust. From now through the end of August, it’s all small, choppy, cross-offshore slop. Nothing worth pulling on a wetsuit for. The first real shot comes on Friday, 28th August.

Friday morning, 28th August, at Ensenada (beach and point), we finally see a 6ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period. The combined energy is 1836 (moderate). The wind is light and onshore, so it’s clean enough. This is for advanced surfers only—that size and period will unload. By the afternoon, the swell hits 7ft, still SW at 15 seconds, and the energy jumps to 2203 (strong). The wind is light cross-on, so the morning is the cleaner window.

Saturday the 29th August holds 6ft SW at 14 seconds, with a light offshore wind in the morning, energy at 1427 (strong). That morning is your best bet. The waves will have plenty of power, and the offshore breeze will keep the surface glassy. Crowds can be an issue, so get out early.

Sunday the 30th August, the swell drops to 5ft, period shortens to 13 seconds, energy drops to 783 (weak-moderate), and the wind is cross-on. Not the same quality.

The first week of September offers some rebound. Monday the 31st August sees 6ft from the south at 9 seconds—short period, so lumpy. Morning offshore wind, energy 801 (weak-moderate). Tuesday the 1st September is similar: 6ft, south, 9 seconds, with offshore wind in the afternoon, energy 944 (moderate). Rideable, but not the same power.

The next standout is Thursday, 3rd September. We get a 5ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period in the morning. The combined energy is 1682 (strong). The wind is light cross-on, but that long period will wrap and line up on the point. The afternoon holds 5ft at 18 seconds, energy 1759 (strong). Both sessions are clean and powerful for the advanced crew.

Friday the 4th September is 6ft at 16 seconds, but the wind is a gentle cross-on, so the surface is a bit messy. Energy is still strong at 1637. The 5th September drops to 5ft at 14 seconds, morning offshore, energy 786 (weak-moderate). By Sunday the 6th September, we’re back to 3ft at 13 seconds, energy 420 (weak). Not worth it.

If you want the best, it’s Friday morning 28th August and Thursday morning 3rd September. Both have solid SW groundswell, long periods, and light winds. The 28th is bigger, the 3rd is cleaner. Both are for the advanced crew. Get in early.

Rusty.

Read more