Ensenada Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's talk about the waves on offer for the Ensenada area over the next couple of weeks. I've gotta be straight with you, this forecast is a tough one. We're not looking at any proper standouts, and there's a whole lot of marginal and poor conditions to wade through.

The water temp is sitting at a very unusual 69°F, which is 7°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That's a real treat if you're paddling out in a spring suit.

The first session that's even worth a mention kicks off on Sunday afternoon, the 6th of September. Ensenada is a beach and point setup that's fairly consistent, but it's for advanced surfers only. We've got a 4ft swell from the SW with a period of 13 seconds, so a nice bit of groundswell energy. The combined energy is moderate at 732. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the SSW at 6 mph, which will put some small bumps on the face. Overall, it's only marginal, with questionable tide conditions.

Monday the 7th sees a drop to 3ft from the SW, same groundswell period of 16 seconds, but the wind is still a light cross-onshore. The energy is similar (726). It's still marginal.

Tuesday the 8th is a bit of a tease. The swell bumps up a touch to 4ft to 4ft from the SW with a 14-second period, giving a moderate combined energy of 812. But the winds, starting light and then picking up to a gentle breeze from the south, keep it in the marginal to poor zone. Not worth getting excited about.

The rest of the first week into the second week is a flat, frustrating run. From Wednesday the 9th right through to Saturday the 19th of September, every session is marked as "poor surf conditions" or "marginal". You'll see swell heights struggling from 2ft up to 4ft, but with consistent cross-onshore or cross winds, the quality just isn't there. The combined energy drops right off, hitting as low as 179 by the 18th. There's a lot of weak, choppy, and unappealing surf.

Now, for the last few days of the outlook, things get a bit more interesting in size, but not in quality. On Sunday the 20th of September, we see a 5ft to 5ft southerly swell coming in, but it's short-period at 8 seconds. The combined energy is still moderate at around 429. The wind is offshore at times on the morning of the 20th, but it's still only marginal.

Into Monday the 21st of September, the swell actually hits 6ft from the SSW with a period of 9 seconds and a combined energy of 604. That's a solid, head-high to maybe overhead wave. But again, the wind is light and cross-onshore, keeping the report as "marginal" or "poor". It looks like it could be a bit of a washing machine out there.

So, what's the best of a bad bunch? Honestly, there isn't a single standout here. If I had to pick a window to keep an eye on, the morning of the 10th of September has a 4ft SW swell and a light offshore wind, but it's still only scoring a 2 out of 10. It's likely to be small and weak. The only other glimmer is the swell on the 21st of September, which has the most power (604 energy) but looks messy. Because the winds are mostly cross-onshore or straight cross, and the breaks here are exposed, don't expect any clean, glassy conditions. For beginners, keep a note that the swell on the 21st of September is over 5ft, so it could be a handful. The longer period swells (15-19 seconds) we saw earlier are better suited to the point and reefs, but the poor wind killed them.

This is a pretty grim stretch for Ensenada. There's no sugarcoating it. We'll just have to wait for a better forecast.

Rusty.

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