Ensenada Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Ensenada.

The next 16 days are a real mixed bag – there’s surf on the table, but it’s never going to be a classic run. The whole period is dominated by a long, drawn-out stretch of so-so conditions. The swell is mostly from the SSW to SW, with heights hanging around the 2 ft to 5 ft mark, and the wind is almost always cross-on, which is a bit of a buzzkill. The combined energy of the swells is moderate to strong – you’ll see numbers like 552, 529, and 801 – so there’s some push, but the quality is just not there for most of it.

The first real chance to get wet is on Friday the 17th of July. The morning starts with a 4 ft swell from the SSW, period around 12 seconds, and a water temperature that’s a whopping 71°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. The wind is a light cross-on from the SSW at 3 mph, so it’s not clean, but it’s rideable. The combined energy sits at 552 – moderate. It’s just a marginal session, nothing to write home about. The afternoon is a write-off with poor conditions.

Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th are more of the same – 4 ft to 5 ft swells, still cross-on winds, and the energy climbs to 529 and then 801 on Sunday. That Sunday morning session has a 5 ft SW swell with a 13-second period, which has some grunt, but the wind is still cross-on. It’s a bit of a grind, but for a surfer who’s not too fussy, you could get a few.

The real standout, the one that’s worth circling on the calendar, is the morning of Thursday the 24th of July. We’ve got a 5 ft swell from the SSW, but the wind is a light WNW at 9 mph, coming cross-on. The combined energy is 744 – moderate. It’s still not glassy, but it’s the best of a mediocre bunch.

Then, on Saturday the 25th of July in the afternoon, the swell shifts to 4 ft from the SSW, and the wind is a light WSW onshore, but the period jumps to 12 seconds. The energy is 885 – decent. This is another one to keep an eye on, but it’s still cross-on.

The end of the month, around the 28th and 29th of July, sees a bit more size – 4 ft to 5 ft from the SW with periods of 14 to 16 seconds, and the energy climbs into the 1000s. The wind is still cross-on or onshore, but these are the biggest swells of the window. The 29th of July morning has a 5 ft SW swell with a 14-second period and an onshore wind from the west – that’s a lot of water moving, but it’s messy.

The very last days, the 31st of July and the 1st of August, tail off into small, weak 3 ft to 3 ft swells. The energy drops to the 400s and 600s – weak.

Honestly, the best option across the whole 16 days is the morning of the 24th of July. It’s not perfect, but it has the most going for it. The swell is 5 ft from the SSW, the wind is the lightest of the bunch, and the energy is moderate. For Ensenada, this is a beach and point setup, and it’s fairly consistent. The crowds are sometimes there, so you might not have it to yourself.

The water is 71° on the first day – much warmer than usual for July – so that’s a nice surprise.

Rusty signing off.

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