Ensenada Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s switch it up.

First up, this forecast for Ensenada is a bit of a mixed bag. The water is sitting at 70°F which is *much* warmer than usual for this time of year—that’s a 8°F positive anomaly. You’ll feel it when you paddle out. The waves themselves though... they’re not giving us much to get stoked about.

We kick off on Tuesday, August 4th with a light cross-on breeze and some weak energy. The swell is a modest 4 ft from the SW, but it’s a 12-second period so there’s a bit of shape there. Still, the forecast calls it marginal, and it’s not worth getting out of bed for.

Wednesday and Thursday stay pretty average. Light cross-onshore winds keep things a bit rippled. The swell bumps up slightly Thursday afternoon to 6 ft from the SW with a long 16-second period. The energy is moderate to strong, but with cross-on winds, it’s not going to be clean. That’s a bit of a waste of a solid groundswell.

Friday is more of the same. Saturday August 8th is a write-off—poor conditions, tiny 3 ft swell, and you’re better off doing something else.

Sunday August 9th through Tuesday August 11th stays in that marginal zone. Winds are mostly light cross-on, swell sits around 4 ft to 5 ft. Nothing special. Tuesday afternoon gets a bit choppy with a moderate breeze.

Wednesday August 12th to Friday August 14th: more marginal surf, but there’s a glimpse of hope. Friday morning August 14th shows 5 ft from the SW at 16 seconds with offshore wind (WSW 6 mph). That’s the best looking window in the whole run. The energy is solid and it could be clean. But it’s still marked marginal, so keep your expectations in check.

Saturday August 15th through to the end of the 16th day (August 19th) is mostly poor to marginal. Winds stay cross-on or offshore, but the swell is inconsistent and small. On Tuesday August 18th, there’s a little pulse of energy with 4 ft swell, but again, cross-on winds spoil it.

Honestly, there’s no standout day here. The only one that even gets a nod is Friday August 14th morning at Ensenada—a point and beach setup. You’ve got 5 ft SW groundswell at 16 seconds, light offshore wind from the WSW, and moderate energy. It could offer some clean, lined-up waves for the advanced crew, but don’t expect a classic. Crowds are *sometimes* an issue, so you might have some company.

Overall, this 16-day stretch is pretty flat and uninspiring. It’s not a total blank, but you’ll be working hard for average waves. If you’re desperate, that Friday morning window is your best bet, but it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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