El Carmel Point surfForecast / CAL – San Diego County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 pm Monday 04 May 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
17.4° C
(Which is 1.2°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (May 06) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 0.9m 18s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 10) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Wed 6th May)2.5ft (0.7m) 16s
Best Surf 8AM (Wed 6th May)2.5ft (0.7m) 16s
Most Powerful 2PM (Sun 10th May)3ft (0.9m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon night, min 15°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri morning, min 15°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
5
Wednesday
6
Thursday
7
Friday
8
Saturday
9
Sunday
10
Mon
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
Swell
Height Map
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
13
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.4
SW
20
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
94
134
134
233
242
137
127
128
127
63
61
109
159
118
161
330
370
439
306
371
299
Wind (km/h)
15
W
25
W
20
W
5
WNW
15
W
15
WNW
10
NNW
15
WNW
15
W
5
W
10
WSW
10
W
5
W
10
SW
10
SW
10
S
15
SW
10
SW
5
W
10
WSW
10
WSW
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
10:46PM1.63m
1:09PM0.91m
11:18PM1.55m
2:27PM0.88m
11:58PM1.45m
4:33PM0.92m
00:55AM1.35m
5:26PM1.00m
2:21AM1.26m
5:45PM1.11m
3:56AM1.21m
6:06PM1.24m
5:16AM1.21m
6:30PM1.40m
Low Tide
6:42AM-0.02m
4:57PM0.78m
7:33AM0.05m
5:15PM0.84m
8:34AM0.12m
5:34PM0.92m
9:39AM0.15m
8:49PM0.96m
10:39AM0.15m
10:52PM0.86m
11:28AM0.15m
00:04AM0.67m
12:09PM0.16m
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
5:56
5:56
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:32
7:34
7:34
7:35
7:36
7:37
7:37
4
2
Temp °C
17
16
16
16
16
16
16
17
17
16
18
17
17
18
18
17
18
18
17
19
19
15
13
11
12
14
13
15
15
16
16
18
15
17
17
16
17
17
17
17
18
18
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
13
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.6
W
5
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
W
6
0.7
W
6
0.7
W
6
0.6
W
7
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
9
0.8
W
10
1
W
8
0.9
WNW
10
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
Energy kJ
88
134
134
233
242
137
20
128
127
22
39
41
33
118
129
117
137
160
306
371
299
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
16
0.4
WNW
13
0.3
WNW
13
0.6
W
5
0.5
W
6
0.3
WNW
12
0.6
SW
14
0.6
W
6
0.2
WNW
13
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.4
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.7
W
9
0.6
W
8
0.7
W
10
Energy kJ
94
59
34
18
16
28
127
23
17
63
61
109
159
86
161
330
370
439
79
46
94
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WNW
14
0.4
SW
18
0.2
S
12
0.3
WNW
13
0.3
WNW
12
0.2
S
11
0.3
WNW
12
0.2
WNW
11
0.2
WNW
11
0.4
WNW
12
0.3
WNW
12
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.4
SSW
20
0.3
SW
13
0.2
W
14
0.2
S
13
0.3
WNW
12
0.5
W
10
0.2
S
12
Energy kJ
40
80
11
33
28
9
26
12
12
46
27
61
43
100
151
27
15
13
28
52
11
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
W
10
0.7
W
4
0.8
W
5
0.5
W
6
0.6
W
6
Energy kJ
31
17
29
17
24
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
12
221
633
10
12
12
3
12
12
1
12
12
0
12
61
1
132
226
0
12
12
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
3
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
3
3
2
2
4
1
4
3
3
4
3
2
4
4
2
3
3
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
9
6
8
5
5
5
7
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
5
5
5
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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