Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

El Carmel Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 05 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
22.8°C
3.3° 

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 6 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 12 Oct, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 10 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with 781 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 7 Oct, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 07) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.1m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 10) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Oct 12) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Wed 7th Oct)2ft (0.6m) 18s
Best Surf 5AM (Mon 12th Oct)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Most Powerful11PM (Sat 10th Oct)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri morning, min 22°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
6
Wednesday
7
Thursday
8
Friday
9
Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
1
1
2
3
2
1
3
2
1
2
2
2
2
0
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
13
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
19
0.6
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
17
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.7
SW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
173
163
132
227
199
307
408
432
427
468
380
360
380
319
449
410
653
653
553
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
10
NW
15
NW
10
NW
10
W
10
WNW
5
WNW
10
WNW
10
WNW
5
WNW
10
WNW
10
NW
5
NW
10
WNW
10
W
5
WSW
15
WSW
10
SW
5
S
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
7:34AM1.50m
6:57PM1.74m
8:00AM1.63m
7:47PM1.75m
8:27AM1.75m
8:31PM1.70m
8:53AM1.84m
9:13PM1.62m
9:19AM1.90m
9:54PM1.50m
9:44AM1.91m
10:35PM1.37m
Low Tide
1:17AM-0.07m
1:22PM0.55m
1:55AM-0.06m
2:08PM0.34m
2:27AM-0.01m
2:50PM0.17m
2:57AM0.08m
3:29PM0.05m
3:25AM0.20m
4:07PM-0.02m
3:50AM0.35m
4:45PM-0.04m
4:14AM0.49m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
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6:46
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6:47
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6:47
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6:48
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6:48
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6:48
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
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—
6:27
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—
6:25
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6:23
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6:22
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6:22
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6:21
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 mm
—
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1
Temp °C
28
30
28
27
26
26
25
26
25
24
26
25
24
25
24
23
24
23
22
Feels °C
27
30
27
28
27
26
26
27
24
25
26
24
24
25
23
25
23
22
24
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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