El Carmel Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

Issued: 4 pm 23 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
19.3° C

1.3°C warmer than normal for this time of year

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 24 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 29 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 24 Jun, 5AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 18s period, SW swell with 871 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 29 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jun 29) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 24) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 11s period and expected on Thursday (Jun 25) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Mon 29th Jun)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Best Surf 2AM (Mon 29th Jun)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Most Powerful 5AM (Wed 24th Jun)4ft (1.2m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 17°C on Tue afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 17°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
0.9
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
15
1
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.9
SW
17
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.5
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
345
319
719
386
573
465
429
297
248
505
444
424
381
367
299
276
212
262
169
130
157
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
15
NW
15
WNW
15
WNW
10
WNW
15
W
15
WNW
5
WSW
15
SW
15
WSW
10
SW
15
WSW
20
W
15
WNW
15
SW
15
SW
5
WSW
15
WSW
15
WSW
5
WSW
15
WSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
on
glassy
on
High Tide
5:45PM1.62m
7:05AM0.95m
6:24PM1.68m
8:14AM0.98m
7:01PM1.73m
9:04AM1.03m
7:37PM1.78m
9:42AM1.06m
8:11PM1.81m
10:13AM1.09m
8:46PM1.84m
10:43AM1.11m
9:19PM1.85m
11:12AM1.12m
Low Tide
1:20AM0.23m
11:59AM0.63m
2:09AM0.08m
12:45PM0.71m
2:48AM-0.03m
1:29PM0.75m
3:23AM-0.11m
2:09PM0.77m
3:55AM-0.16m
2:46PM0.76m
4:27AM-0.19m
3:21PM0.74m
4:59AM-0.20m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:41
5:41
5:41
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
 mm
Temp °C
17
17
19
19
18
19
19
18
18
19
18
18
18
18
17
18
18
18
18
18
18
Feels °C
16
16
18
18
17
18
17
17
16
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
17
18
16
18
18
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
14
1.1
SW
17
0.9
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
15
1
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.9
SW
17
1
W
7
1
W
7
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
1.1
W
7
1.2
W
8
0.9
W
9
0.8
W
9
0.9
W
9
0.9
W
6
0.7
W
6
Energy kJ
345
251
719
386
573
465
429
297
248
505
89
109
381
367
134
164
119
106
133
60
36
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
18
0.1
S
11
0.6
SW
13
0.2
SSE
11
0.4
WNW
5
0.1
W
12
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
19
0.6
W
6
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.1
W
15
0.1
S
8
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
Energy kJ
206
319
2
108
11
7
3
184
181
30
444
424
4
1
299
276
212
262
169
130
128
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
12
0.2
S
12
0.2
SSE
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
SW
21
0.1
NW
12
0.3
W
4
0.3
W
4
0.2
WNW
10
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
9
0.1
W
15
0.1
SW
19
0.1
S
8
0.1
S
7
0.2
SSW
10
0.2
SSW
21
0.3
SW
20
0.4
SW
20
0.5
SW
18
Energy kJ
11
11
12
2
18
5
3
3
11
2
2
4
15
1
1
10
45
60
97
157
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WNW
5
0.3
WNW
5
0.3
WNW
4
0.4
WNW
4
0.5
W
4
0.4
WNW
5
1.1
W
7
1.2
W
7
Energy kJ
5
5
3
6
10
7
117
130
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
3
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
Distance (km)
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
2
12
61
12
61
1234
12
12
12
0
12
12
0
12
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
3
3
4
3
2
4
3
2
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
8
5
5
4
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
9
7
6
6
7
5
5
5
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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