Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

El Carmel Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 29 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
23.2°C
3.4° 

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 29 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 30 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 29 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, SW swell with 310 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 30 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 30) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 0.8m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 29) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Wed 30th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Best Surf 8PM (Wed 30th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Most Powerful 2PM (Tue 29th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 21°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 36°C on Sun morning, min 23°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
29
Wednesday
30
Thursday
1
Friday
2
Saturday
3
Sunday
4
Monday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
0
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.8
S
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
350
258
255
245
266
167
155
181
216
211
206
251
224
266
242
233
206
203
198
187
187
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
10
W
5
SW
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
WNW
10
WNW
15
NW
10
N
10
NW
20
NW
10
NW
10
WNW
15
NW
10
NNW
5
E
5
NW
10
S
10
SSW
5
SW
0
NNE
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
10:51AM1.93m
00:03AM1.18m
11:28AM1.89m
1:18AM1.02m
12:16PM1.80m
3:26AM0.95m
1:25PM1.68m
6:03AM1.07m
3:06PM1.60m
6:38AM1.21m
4:44PM1.62m
7:06AM1.36m
5:59PM1.69m
Low Tide
6:09PM0.00m
5:16AM0.61m
7:10PM0.06m
5:44AM0.76m
8:29PM0.12m
6:16AM0.92m
10:06PM0.12m
8:46AM1.04m
11:31PM0.05m
11:08AM0.96m
00:31AM-0.02m
12:27PM0.77m
1:17AM-0.07m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
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6:41
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6:41
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6:43
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6:43
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6:43
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6:45
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
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6:36
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6:35
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6:34
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6:31
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6:30
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6:30
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6:28
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 mm
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Temp °C
23
23
22
22
22
21
24
24
23
26
26
25
32
29
28
36
34
31
28
26
27
Feels °C
22
21
23
22
22
23
24
23
23
26
25
25
30
27
27
35
33
31
27
26
28
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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