El Carmel Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

El Carmel Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 10 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
22.1°C
1.9° 

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SW swell with 411 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Wed 16th Sep)1.5ft (0.5m) 16s
Best Surf 2AM (Wed 16th Sep)1.5ft (0.5m) 16s
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 10th Sep)3ft (0.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 20°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 19°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
1.1
W
9
0.5
SW
18
1.1
W
9
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.4
SSW
20
0.5
SW
16
0.8
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
416
411
395
365
301
248
164
158
134
112
202
153
189
147
161
149
121
358
254
367
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
15
S
20
S
15
SSW
10
SSW
10
SW
15
W
5
SW
15
SSW
15
SW
10
SSW
15
SSW
15
SW
10
SSW
10
SW
10
WSW
5
SW
10
WSW
15
WNW
5
NW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
9:23PM1.92m
10:01AM1.74m
10:04PM1.78m
10:29AM1.78m
10:45PM1.60m
10:56AM1.77m
11:27PM1.40m
11:24AM1.73m
00:14AM1.20m
11:53AM1.66m
1:14AM1.02m
12:24PM1.56m
3:12AM0.90m
Low Tide
3:37PM0.23m
4:06AM-0.08m
4:19PM0.15m
4:35AM0.06m
5:01PM0.12m
5:01AM0.24m
5:43PM0.15m
5:24AM0.43m
6:28PM0.21m
5:45AM0.61m
7:21PM0.29m
5:56AM0.77m
8:32PM0.38m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:28
6:30
6:31
6:31
6:31
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:01
7:00
6:59
6:58
6:57
6:54
6:53
 mm
Temp °C
25
23
22
23
22
22
22
21
21
21
21
20
21
20
20
21
20
20
20
20
Feels °C
25
24
22
23
24
23
22
22
20
20
22
20
20
21
20
21
21
20
19
20
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for El Carmel Point:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our El Carmel Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest