El Carmel Point surfForecast / CAL – San Diego County / USA

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 pm Sunday 01 Feb 2026 PST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
16.1° C
(Which is 1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Feb 02) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 12 days are 2.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Feb 06) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 8s period and expected on Thursday (Feb 05) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (PST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Mon 2nd Feb)5.5ft (1.7m) 17s
Best Surf 4AM (Mon 2nd Feb)5.5ft (1.7m) 17s
Most Powerful 7PM (Fri 6th Feb)7ft (2.1m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Wed night, min 17°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
02
Tuesday
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Friday
06
Saturday
07
Sun
08
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
3
2
0
2
2
0
2
1
1
2
3
4
4
3
2
2
3
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.5
W
1.8
W
1.8
W
1.6
W
1.3
W
1.2
W
1
W
0.8
W
0.7
W
0.6
W
0.8
W
1.3
W
1.4
W
1.1
W
1.6
W
2.1
W
2
W
1.8
W
1.6
W
1.3
W
1.2
W
Period(s) (?)181616151414131212121314141717161514141313
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)1436168816061117684529319187130992226877007181451213117181336960563459
Wind
(km/h)
10
SSE
15
SSE
10
SSW
5
NNW
5
NNW
15
NNW
5
NNW
5
NE
10
NW
5
SSE
10
SSW
15
S
10
S
5
S
5
SW
5
NW
10
WNW
15
WNW
5
NW
5
W
15
NW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
on
crosscross-
on
glassglasscross-
on
glasscrosscrosscrosscrossglassglassoncross-
on
cross-
on
glasscross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
8:55AM
2.01
10:10PM
1.41
9:36AM
1.88
10:42PM
1.44
10:15AM
1.68
11:14PM
1.45
10:55AM
1.44
11:46PM
1.44
11:38AM
1.18
12:21AM
1.41
12:30PM
0.94
1:01AM
1.38
2:03PM
0.74
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:07AM
0.36
4:07PM
-0.44
3:51AM
0.32
4:39PM
-0.30
4:35AM
0.32
5:09PM
-0.13
5:22AM
0.34
5:36PM
0.07
6:14AM
0.39
6:00PM
0.27
7:17AM
0.43
6:18PM
0.47
8:45AM
0.45
6:20PM
0.63
Monday
02
Tuesday
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Friday
06
Saturday
07
Sun
08
Sunrise-6:43--6:41--6:41--6:41--6:39--6:39--6:37-
Sunset--5:22--5:22--5:23--5:24--5:25--5:25--5:27
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C181818182222212527251918181818171817171819
Feels °C (?)171617171819182023211615171718171514161717
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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