El Carmel Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

El Carmel Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
22.3° C
2.9° 

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period, SSW swell with 881 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sat 18th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 11s
Best Surf 8AM (Sun 19th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 16s
Most Powerful11PM (Fri 24th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon morning, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Tue morning, min 20°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
18
0.6
WSW
15
0.8
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.4
SW
16
0.8
SW
17
0.8
SW
17
1.4
SSW
12
1.1
SSW
11
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
14
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
1
SSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
102
142
366
249
91
346
358
608
285
352
214
462
375
492
412
346
293
218
178
326
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
10
SSW
15
SW
10
W
5
SSW
10
WSW
15
W
5
WNW
10
W
15
WNW
5
W
15
WNW
15
WNW
15
NNW
15
NW
20
NW
10
NW
15
WNW
20
WNW
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
cross
on
on
glassy
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
00:05AM1.71m
1:27PM1.47m
00:57AM1.44m
2:12PM1.50m
1:59AM1.18m
3:01PM1.51m
3:26AM0.96m
3:54PM1.53m
5:38AM0.87m
4:51PM1.55m
7:42AM0.93m
5:47PM1.60m
Low Tide
6:28PM0.53m
7:10AM-0.05m
7:30PM0.55m
7:47AM0.16m
8:44PM0.56m
8:25AM0.38m
10:14PM0.52m
9:05AM0.58m
11:50PM0.41m
9:57AM0.75m
1:04AM0.27m
11:10AM0.85m
1:56AM0.13m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:57
7:55
7:55
7:54
7:54
7:53
7:53
 mm
Temp °C
21
20
21
21
21
22
22
21
23
23
22
24
23
23
23
23
22
22
22
21
Feels °C
21
21
21
21
22
23
22
22
23
22
22
23
21
23
23
22
22
22
21
21
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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