El Carmel Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

Issued: 4 pm 29 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
19.9° C

1.6°C warmer than normal for this time of year

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 30 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 30 Jun, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, SW swell with 459 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 30 Jun, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 30) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 0.9m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Tue 30th Jun)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Best Surf 5AM (Tue 30th Jun)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Most Powerful 2AM (Mon 6th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat morning, min 17°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
17
0.7
SSW
18
0.6
SW
15
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.6
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
169
130
159
197
109
211
163
251
346
270
176
362
299
167
214
183
159
246
249
459
251
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
5
SW
15
WSW
15
W
5
W
15
W
15
W
10
WNW
15
W
15
WNW
5
W
15
W
15
W
5
W
15
WNW
15
WNW
5
WNW
15
W
15
WNW
10
WNW
15
W
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
glassy
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
High Tide
9:19PM1.85m
11:12AM1.12m
9:52PM1.85m
11:44AM1.14m
10:25PM1.82m
12:17PM1.16m
10:58PM1.75m
12:52PM1.19m
11:34PM1.64m
1:29PM1.24m
00:14AM1.49m
2:07PM1.31m
1:04AM1.30m
Low Tide
3:21PM0.74m
4:59AM-0.20m
3:55PM0.73m
5:31AM-0.19m
4:30PM0.73m
6:03AM-0.16m
5:08PM0.74m
6:34AM-0.10m
5:51PM0.75m
7:06AM-0.02m
6:45PM0.76m
7:39AM0.09m
7:54PM0.74m
8:13AM0.22m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
 mm
Temp °C
18
18
18
18
17
18
18
17
18
18
18
18
18
18
19
19
18
19
19
18
18
Feels °C
16
17
16
16
16
16
16
16
17
16
17
17
16
18
18
17
17
18
17
17
19
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
W
9
0.7
W
10
0.7
W
10
0.7
W
10
0.6
W
10
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
17
0.7
SSW
18
0.6
SW
15
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.6
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.8
W
7
Energy kJ
103
100
94
94
73
211
163
251
346
270
176
362
299
167
214
169
153
246
249
459
56
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
14
0.5
W
11
0.4
SW
13
0.5
W
10
0.4
WNW
10
0.5
SW
15
0.5
W
9
0.5
W
6
0.3
S
10
0.6
W
5
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
19
0.6
W
5
0.5
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.8
W
6
0.7
SW
16
Energy kJ
169
130
128
197
91
59
44
49
32
104
42
15
18
21
183
183
15
85
85
43
251
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SW
20
0.4
SW
20
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
14
0.4
SW
18
0.4
SW
12
0.3
SSW
19
0.4
SW
19
0.3
SSW
11
0.3
SSW
11
0.3
SSW
11
0.3
SSW
10
0.2
SSW
21
0.3
S
10
0.3
S
10
0.3
S
9
0.5
SW
18
0.5
W
5
0.3
S
9
0.4
SW
22
0.4
SW
21
Energy kJ
60
97
159
93
109
37
72
96
22
22
23
22
44
17
16
15
159
15
14
163
162
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
10
0.6
W
6
0.5
W
5
0.5
W
5
0.7
W
6
Energy kJ
59
48
24
13
13
35
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
3
2
Distance (km)
12
11
12
12
12
12
301
12
12
12
0
12
272
7
12
272
9
12
12
12
12
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
2
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
2
3
1
2
2
2
3
1
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
3
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
6
9
6
5
7
5
7
5
5
5
9
8
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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