El Carmel Point surfForecast / CAL – San Diego County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 pm Sunday 10 May 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
17.6° C
(Which is 1.2°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (May 12) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (May 14) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Tue 12th May)3ft (0.9m) 15s
Best Surf 5AM (Tue 12th May)3ft (0.9m) 15s
Most Powerful 8AM (Thu 14th May)3ft (0.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 16°C on Sun afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 15°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
10
Monday
11
Tuesday
12
Wednesday
13
Thursday
14
Friday
15
Saturday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SSW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
1.4
W
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
439
306
371
299
314
309
251
206
149
144
179
367
331
322
280
276
268
214
211
200
334
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
5
NW
10
W
15
WNW
5
W
15
SSW
10
SW
5
SSW
15
SW
15
W
10
WNW
20
WSW
20
WSW
10
SSW
10
SW
15
WNW
5
W
10
SW
10
SW
15
S
25
S
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
High Tide
6:06PM1.24m
5:16AM1.21m
6:30PM1.40m
6:21AM1.23m
6:57PM1.58m
7:20AM1.25m
7:26PM1.76m
8:14AM1.26m
7:59PM1.93m
9:07AM1.25m
8:35PM2.05m
10:00AM1.23m
9:14PM2.12m
10:55AM1.18m
Low Tide
00:04AM0.67m
12:09PM0.16m
00:57AM0.44m
12:46PM0.19m
1:43AM0.18m
1:22PM0.24m
2:27AM-0.07m
1:58PM0.30m
3:12AM-0.29m
2:35PM0.37m
3:58AM-0.44m
3:14PM0.45m
4:46AM-0.52m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:38
7:39
7:39
7:40
7:42
Temp °C
17
16
19
18
17
17
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
17
17
17
18
18
18
18
16
16
18
17
16
15
16
17
16
15
14
15
12
15
16
15
16
17
16
17
15
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.9
SW
16
0.9
W
7
1
W
11
1.1
W
8
1
W
9
0.8
W
9
1
W
9
1
W
9
0.9
W
9
1.4
W
9
Energy kJ
439
306
371
299
314
309
251
206
149
144
142
367
72
240
149
173
106
162
173
133
334
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
W
10
0.6
W
9
0.7
W
11
0.6
W
10
0.6
W
10
0.6
W
11
0.6
W
11
0.5
W
12
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
11
0.6
SSW
16
0.5
W
12
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SSW
13
Energy kJ
115
57
114
73
74
83
88
69
62
59
179
67
331
322
280
276
268
214
211
200
118
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
W
13
0.4
WNW
12
0.2
S
12
0.2
S
12
0.3
S
13
0.3
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
19
0.3
SW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.4
WNW
10
0.2
S
10
0.5
W
12
0.2
S
9
0.2
S
9
0.1
S
9
0.1
S
9
0.2
W
16
0.2
WNW
16
0.2
WNW
15
0.2
SSW
18
Energy kJ
31
48
11
11
29
22
10
7
51
81
33
8
69
7
6
2
2
21
24
21
31
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
W
6
Energy kJ
24
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
Distance (km)
132
9
12
12
12
60
156
0
156
272
12
144
197
9
132
12
12
132
272
9
132
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
3
3
4
3
4
3
3
4
4
3
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
5
5
9
9
8
9
5
6
5
5
7
5
5
5
5
4
5
5
4
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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