Surf Forecasts:
El Carmel Point surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 13s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, SSW swell with 508 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:
The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.3m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Wed morning, min 20°C on Tue afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon morning, min 20°C on Fri afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | WSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | WSW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 154 | 249 | 148 | 130 | 171 | 203 | 126 | 144 | 181 | 103 | 144 | 366 | 252 | 141 | 361 | 350 | 508 | 339 | 416 | 492 | 400 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 9:43PM2.21m | 11:22AM1.36m | 10:31PM2.12m | 12:03PM1.40m | 11:18PM1.95m | 12:44PM1.44m | 00:05AM1.71m | 1:27PM1.47m | 00:57AM1.44m | 2:12PM1.50m | 1:59AM1.18m | 3:01PM1.51m | 3:26AM0.96m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:48PM0.57m | 5:12AM-0.50m | 4:39PM0.53m | 5:53AM-0.40m | 5:32PM0.52m | 6:33AM-0.24m | 6:28PM0.53m | 7:10AM-0.05m | 7:30PM0.55m | 7:47AM0.16m | 8:44PM0.56m | 8:25AM0.38m | 10:14PM0.52m | 9:05AM0.58m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 |
 | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:54 | — | 7:54 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 |
Feels °C | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | W 8 | WNW 8 | W 8 | WSW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 57 | 113 | 77 | 130 | 171 | 104 | 126 | 112 | 90 | 63 | 144 | 366 | 252 | 116 | 361 | 331 | 508 | 206 | 416 | 492 | 400 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 12 | W 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 8 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 17 | WNW 15 | SW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | S 9 |
| kJ | 52 | 249 | 148 | 56 | 38 | 203 | 121 | 144 | 103 | 103 | 29 | 70 | 106 | 141 | 338 | 350 | 42 | 339 | 128 | 90 | 56 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | W 4 | WNW 5 | W 6 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 11 | W 7 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 15 | W 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | W 5 | W 6 |
| kJ | 154 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 56 | 56 | 35 | 127 | 181 | 83 | 43 | 22 | 69 | 90 | 45 | 44 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 16 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | S 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 12 | 12 | 217 | 9 | 132 | 132 | 34 | 156 | 60 | 9 | 132 | 156 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our El Carmel Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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