El Carmel Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

El Carmel Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 08 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
24.1° C
4.1° 

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 742 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Mon 10th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s
Best Surf 5AM (Mon 10th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s
Most Powerful 2AM (Sat 15th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 21°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Tue morning, min 20°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
230
261
367
275
217
211
183
134
173
164
197
249
179
254
251
245
239
273
263
255
742
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
20
WNW
10
WNW
15
W
10
WSW
5
W
15
WSW
10
SW
5
W
10
SW
15
W
5
WNW
10
WSW
15
W
10
WSW
10
WSW
15
W
5
WNW
10
WNW
15
WNW
15
NW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
6:08PM1.90m
8:31AM1.16m
7:08PM2.03m
9:05AM1.27m
8:01PM2.13m
9:38AM1.38m
8:49PM2.17m
10:11AM1.47m
9:34PM2.13m
10:44AM1.54m
10:18PM2.01m
11:17AM1.59m
11:01PM1.82m
Low Tide
11:52AM0.85m
2:06AM-0.19m
1:08PM0.77m
2:50AM-0.33m
2:06PM0.65m
3:31AM-0.40m
2:57PM0.52m
4:08AM-0.40m
3:44PM0.42m
4:44AM-0.33m
4:30PM0.35m
5:17AM-0.20m
5:17PM0.32m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:07
6:07
6:07
6:09
6:09
6:09
6:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:40
7:39
7:38
7:37
7:37
7:36
7:35
 mm
Temp °C
23
23
22
23
23
22
23
23
22
23
23
22
23
23
21
21
22
20
22
22
21
Feels °C
23
22
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
24
23
23
24
23
22
22
22
20
23
22
21
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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