El Carmel Point surfForecast / CAL – San Diego County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 pm Wednesday 06 May 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
17.6° C
(Which is 1.3°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (May 09) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 21s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 0.9m 18s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 10) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sat 9th May)1.5ft (0.5m) 21s
Best Surf 5AM (Sat 9th May)1.5ft (0.5m) 21s
Most Powerful 2PM (Sun 10th May)3ft (0.9m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Mon morning, min 16°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
6
Thursday
7
Friday
8
Saturday
9
Sunday
10
Monday
11
Tuesday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.4
SW
13
0.8
W
7
0.4
SW
18
0.9
W
8
0.4
SW
20
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
139
127
128
127
63
61
109
95
140
161
330
370
439
306
371
299
314
309
251
206
149
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
10
NW
15
WSW
10
WSW
5
S
10
SW
10
W
10
W
10
SW
10
SW
5
S
10
WSW
10
WSW
5
NNW
10
W
10
SW
5
S
10
WSW
15
W
10
NW
15
NW
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
2:27PM0.88m
11:58PM1.45m
4:33PM0.92m
00:55AM1.35m
5:26PM1.00m
2:21AM1.26m
5:45PM1.11m
3:56AM1.21m
6:06PM1.24m
5:16AM1.21m
6:30PM1.40m
6:21AM1.23m
6:57PM1.58m
7:20AM1.25m
Low Tide
5:15PM0.84m
8:34AM0.12m
5:34PM0.92m
9:39AM0.15m
8:49PM0.96m
10:39AM0.15m
10:52PM0.86m
11:28AM0.15m
00:04AM0.67m
12:09PM0.16m
00:57AM0.44m
12:46PM0.19m
1:43AM0.18m
1:22PM0.24m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:56
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:52
5:52
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:34
7:34
7:35
7:36
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:38
Temp °C
17
16
16
16
16
17
17
17
17
18
17
19
18
18
20
19
18
20
19
18
20
15
14
15
14
16
16
16
17
16
17
17
18
17
18
19
17
18
19
17
18
18
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
15
0.8
W
5
0.7
W
6
0.6
W
6
0.7
W
6
0.8
W
7
0.8
W
7
0.9
W
8
1
W
8
0.9
WNW
9
0.8
W
9
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
Energy kJ
139
37
33
27
35
61
66
95
140
129
108
99
439
306
371
299
314
309
251
206
149
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WNW
12
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
13
0.5
W
9
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.8
W
10
0.7
W
9
0.7
W
11
0.7
W
10
0.6
W
10
0.6
W
11
0.6
W
11
0.5
W
11
0.5
W
11
Energy kJ
28
127
128
127
63
61
43
61
86
161
330
370
115
76
116
96
73
82
85
66
61
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
11
0.3
WNW
12
0.2
WNW
11
0.2
WNW
13
0.4
WNW
12
0.3
WNW
12
0.4
SW
18
0.3
SW
18
0.4
SW
20
0.4
SSW
20
0.3
SW
13
0.2
W
14
0.3
WNW
13
0.4
WNW
12
0.2
S
12
0.2
S
12
0.3
S
13
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
19
0.3
SW
18
Energy kJ
9
26
12
17
46
27
109
49
100
151
27
15
34
48
11
11
29
9
10
7
51
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
W
6
Energy kJ
22
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
Distance (km)
12
12
12
12
9
132
12
12
61
12
0
12
12
3
12
12
9
12
12
12
12
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
1
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
1
4
3
2
4
3
2
4
4
2
3
3
2
3
3
1
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
4
6
9
5
5
4
5
9
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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