El Carmel Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

El Carmel Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 01 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
24.1°C
4.0° 

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with 2,787 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Fri 4th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s
Best Surf 8AM (Fri 4th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s
Most Powerful 8AM (Mon 7th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 20°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun night, min 21°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
1
2
3
2
3
2
3
1
0
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.4
SW
18
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
13
0.6
SW
17
0.6
SW
15
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
1.2
SW
16
1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1.3
S
14
1.4
S
13
1.9
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
14
2.5
SSW
14
2.5
SSW
14
2.5
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
140
106
109
212
215
230
186
366
516
618
765
496
489
607
704
1496
1775
2480
2643
2162
1342
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
20
WNW
15
NW
15
WNW
20
WNW
10
NW
15
W
20
WNW
10
WNW
15
SW
15
WNW
10
NNW
10
WNW
10
W
10
NNW
10
WNW
10
NW
5
NNW
20
NW
25
NW
10
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
12:06PM1.73m
00:53AM1.10m
12:49PM1.71m
2:31AM0.91m
1:49PM1.67m
5:55AM0.91m
3:16PM1.65m
7:14AM1.05m
4:51PM1.71m
7:41AM1.19m
6:06PM1.82m
8:08AM1.33m
7:05PM1.93m
Low Tide
7:16PM0.29m
6:20AM0.58m
8:36PM0.30m
6:45AM0.75m
10:19PM0.26m
7:16AM0.91m
11:54PM0.12m
10:35AM0.98m
1:00AM-0.03m
12:16PM0.87m
1:48AM-0.16m
1:19PM0.69m
2:28AM-0.23m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:22
6:24
6:24
6:24
6:26
6:26
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:14
7:12
7:10
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:06
 mm
Temp °C
22
21
21
22
22
21
21
21
21
21
22
21
23
23
24
25
26
27
27
27
26
Feels °C
22
19
20
21
20
19
20
19
20
23
21
21
23
23
23
25
27
29
27
27
26
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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