Surf Forecasts:
El Carmel Point surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 21s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period, SSW swell with 1,382 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 21s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:
The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 21s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.8m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 21s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Tue afternoon, min 20°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 541 | 271 | 647 | 647 | 513 | 945 | 716 | 609 | 694 | 901 | 511 | 717 | 951 | 897 | 767 | 739 | 666 | 657 | 424 | 886 | 1346 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 8:38AM1.01m | 6:37PM1.66m | 9:08AM1.08m | 7:21PM1.73m | 9:30AM1.13m | 7:59PM1.80m | 9:51AM1.17m | 8:34PM1.86m | 10:13AM1.21m | 9:08PM1.90m | 10:36AM1.25m | 9:39PM1.91m | 11:02AM1.30m | 10:11PM1.87m | |||||||
Low Tide | 12:24PM0.88m | 2:35AM0.03m | 1:20PM0.86m | 3:08AM-0.05m | 2:03PM0.80m | 3:38AM-0.11m | 2:40PM0.74m | 4:06AM-0.16m | 3:14PM0.68m | 4:33AM-0.18m | 3:47PM0.63m | 5:00AM-0.17m | 4:22PM0.59m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:49 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 |
Feels °C | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 7 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 115 | 81 | 647 | 647 | 513 | 945 | 716 | 609 | 694 | 901 | 511 | 717 | 951 | 897 | 767 | 739 | 666 | 657 | 424 | 886 | 1346 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | WNW 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 7 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | SW 15 | W 7 | W 7 |
| kJ | 283 | 196 | 113 | 45 | 44 | 36 | 49 | 68 | 38 | 99 | 74 | 52 | 70 | 74 | 57 | 78 | 78 | 38 | 375 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 24 | SW 24 | W 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 11 | SW 19 | SSW 9 | S 10 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SW 9 | SSE 14 | W 7 | W 8 | — |
| kJ | 541 | 271 | 43 | 50 | 47 | 48 | 71 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 299 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 44 | 65 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 43 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 210 | 6 | 132 | 145 | 9 | 60 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 210 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 60 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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