El Carmel Point surfForecast / CAL – San Diego County / USA

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 am Tuesday 16 Sep 2025 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
20.8° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 17) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 12 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 16) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Wed 17th Sep)3ft (0.9m) 15s
Best Surf 2AM (Tue 23rd Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 12s
Most Powerful11PM (Tue 16th Sep)3ft (0.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 24°C on Tue morning, min 20°C on Wed afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
16
Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.9
SSW
0.9
SSW
0.9
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.6
SW
0.5
S
0.5
S
0.5
SSW
0.5
S
0.5
S
0.7
S
0.8
S
1
S
1
S
1.1
SSW
Period(s) (?)171616151515141414131313131313131312121212
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)3863394473533442422642571451411098687928585160196294284349
Wind
(km/h)
10
WNW
10
WNW
5
NNW
0
SE
10
NNE
10
NNE
15
SSW
10
SSW
5
SW
10
W
15
WNW
10
NW
10
WNW
15
WNW
10
NNW
15
NW
15
NNW
10
NNW
10
WNW
10
WNW
5
WNW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
oncross-
on
glasscross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
ononcross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
glass
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:04PM
1.73
8:04AM
1.37
7:03PM
1.80
8:30AM
1.47
7:49PM
1.84
8:54AM
1.55
8:30PM
1.83
9:17AM
1.62
9:06PM
1.77
9:39AM
1.67
9:41PM
1.67
10:00AM
1.71
10:14PM
1.55
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:26PM
0.87
1:42AM
-0.10
1:24PM
0.70
2:20AM
-0.13
2:09PM
0.54
2:52AM
-0.11
2:48PM
0.40
3:20AM
-0.05
3:24PM
0.30
3:45AM
0.05
3:58PM
0.22
4:07AM
0.16
4:32PM
0.19
4:28AM
0.30
Tuesday
16
Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Sunrise6:33--6:33--6:33--6:33--6:35--6:35--6:35--
Sunset-6:53--6:52--6:51--6:50--6:47--6:46--6:45-
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
----3631-------------
Temp. °C242222222222222322222221222221232423252523
Feels °C (?)252223242322252324242322232221232423242424
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

Eyeball surf reportRecent Eyeball Surf Reports for CAL - San Diego County

  1. weather stationWind Update The wind is still cross-on at El Carmel Point (light winds from the NW at San Diego Airport 8 km from El Carmel Point). 0.6m 17s long period groundswell from the SSW with a 0.4m 13s groundswell, also from the SSW and a 0.4m 8s swell, also from the WNW. 3 swells combining to make bigger set waves.

    El Carmel Point
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2 h 32 min ago

17 km/h
NW
Cross-On
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our El Carmel Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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