El Carmel Point surfForecast / CAL – San Diego County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 am Saturday 23 May 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
19.5° C
(Which is 2.8°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (May 29) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (May 25) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Fri 29th May)2.5ft (0.8m) 11s
Best Surf 2AM (Fri 29th May)2.5ft (0.8m) 11s
Most Powerful 5PM (Mon 25th May)3.5ft (1.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 15°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 15°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
23
Sunday
24
Monday
25
Tuesday
26
Wednesday
27
Thursday
28
Friday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.8
SW
15
0.9
SW
16
1
SW
17
0.9
SW
15
1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.3
W
8
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.9
W
11
0.8
W
11
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
245
245
245
209
206
255
400
567
344
429
375
288
293
217
206
189
185
146
160
160
125
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
15
WNW
10
NW
15
WNW
20
WNW
10
NW
15
W
20
WNW
5
WNW
15
WNW
20
W
15
W
15
SW
20
W
15
SSW
15
WSW
15
WNW
5
WNW
15
WNW
20
WNW
5
WNW
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
5:20PM1.37m
4:35AM1.24m
6:01PM1.49m
5:54AM1.16m
6:36PM1.60m
7:03AM1.12m
7:07PM1.69m
8:00AM1.10m
7:35PM1.76m
8:50AM1.09m
8:04PM1.80m
9:33AM1.09m
8:31PM1.82m
Low Tide
10:35AM0.02m
11:27PM0.62m
11:28AM0.13m
00:39AM0.43m
12:14PM0.25m
1:33AM0.23m
12:53PM0.36m
2:18AM0.07m
1:28PM0.46m
2:57AM-0.05m
2:00PM0.54m
3:32AM-0.14m
2:30PM0.61m
4:04AM-0.19m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:45
5:45
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:45
7:46
7:46
7:47
7:47
7:49
7:50
Temp °C
17
17
16
17
17
16
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
16
17
17
16
17
17
17
15
15
14
15
14
14
15
14
15
14
13
13
13
12
13
15
14
14
14
13
15
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.8
SW
15
0.9
SW
16
1
SW
17
0.9
SW
15
1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
1.2
W
8
1.3
W
8
1
W
7
0.8
W
7
0.9
W
11
0.8
W
11
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
Energy kJ
245
245
245
209
206
255
400
567
344
429
375
288
163
217
88
59
185
146
160
160
125
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
12
0.3
SSW
11
0.3
WNW
10
0.3
S
11
0.4
SW
19
0.3
S
9
0.4
WNW
4
0.2
S
9
0.2
S
9
0.5
W
5
0.2
WNW
13
0.8
W
6
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
W
10
0.4
WNW
16
0.5
W
5
Energy kJ
47
25
19
20
95
15
5
6
6
14
16
41
293
203
206
189
147
144
71
86
12
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WNW
10
0.1
SW
21
0.3
SSW
11
0.3
SW
19
0.3
S
10
0.2
WNW
10
0.3
S
9
0.2
WNW
9
0.2
WNW
14
0.2
WNW
13
0.2
S
9
0.2
WNW
12
0.1
S
9
0.1
S
9
0.1
S
9
0.4
WNW
12
0.1
W
21
0.2
WNW
19
0.3
WNW
18
0.1
S
21
0.4
WNW
16
Energy kJ
20
18
22
58
19
10
15
8
18
17
6
14
2
2
2
44
9
37
61
9
81
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
WNW
10
0.3
WNW
10
0.4
WNW
3
0.4
WNW
4
0.4
WNW
10
0.4
WNW
3
0.4
WNW
4
0.6
W
6
0.6
W
10
Energy kJ
33
19
3
5
38
3
5
22
70
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
2
2
1
2
Distance (km)
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
10
12
217
61
61
633
9
12
272
0
12
12
0
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
3
2
3
3
4
3
9
6
5
3
2
5
2
2
4
4
3
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
9
8
6
8
6
7
8
9
7
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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