El Carmel Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

El Carmel Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 23 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
22.0°C
1.9° 

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 26 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 671 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Mon 24th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 17s
Best Surf 5AM (Wed 26th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 12s
Most Powerful 5AM (Sat 29th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 22°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri morning, min 22°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
19
0.7
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.8
SSW
13
1
S
13
1.1
S
12
1.2
S
12
1.3
SSW
12
1.2
SSW
11
0.9
S
10
1
S
10
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
171
154
233
252
135
222
216
225
339
336
411
470
343
148
208
216
165
663
589
653
612
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
15
WNW
5
NW
10
W
10
SW
5
WNW
10
W
10
W
5
WSW
15
SSW
10
SSW
10
S
15
SSW
10
SW
5
WNW
10
W
10
WNW
5
W
10
SW
10
WNW
5
W
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
glassy
on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
on
High Tide
8:41AM1.17m
7:04PM1.67m
8:55AM1.23m
7:42PM1.77m
9:11AM1.29m
8:17PM1.85m
9:29AM1.36m
8:49PM1.89m
9:50AM1.44m
9:21PM1.87m
10:13AM1.52m
9:54PM1.81m
10:38AM1.60m
10:30PM1.69m
Low Tide
1:18PM0.87m
2:39AM0.01m
1:55PM0.76m
3:05AM-0.05m
2:28PM0.65m
3:31AM-0.09m
3:01PM0.55m
3:55AM-0.10m
3:34PM0.45m
4:19AM-0.07m
4:09PM0.37m
4:43AM-0.01m
4:47PM0.31m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:16
6:18
6:18
6:18
6:20
6:20
6:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:24
7:23
7:22
7:21
7:20
7:19
7:16
 mm
Temp °C
24
24
24
24
24
23
26
25
25
23
23
22
23
24
24
26
25
24
26
26
26
Feels °C
25
25
26
25
25
25
27
25
26
23
24
22
23
24
26
26
25
25
26
27
27
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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