El Carmel Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

El Carmel Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
21.3° C
2.3° 

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 527 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Thu 9th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s
Best Surf 5AM (Thu 9th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 2AM (Thu 9th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Wed afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 19°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
16
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.7
SW
13
0.7
SSW
12
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.9
WNW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
443
527
432
421
489
322
309
309
314
318
288
362
367
318
309
140
183
136
154
152
129
Wind (km/h)
15
W
5
SSW
15
SSW
15
SSW
10
S
20
S
15
SSW
10
S
20
SSW
10
SW
10
S
15
SSW
10
WSW
5
WSW
10
WSW
10
W
5
W
10
W
20
WNW
5
W
10
WSW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
High Tide
4:28PM1.64m
5:56AM0.90m
5:23PM1.78m
7:26AM0.96m
6:18PM1.93m
8:29AM1.06m
7:12PM2.07m
9:18AM1.16m
8:04PM2.17m
10:01AM1.23m
8:55PM2.23m
10:42AM1.30m
9:43PM2.21m
11:22AM1.36m
Low Tide
00:14AM0.28m
10:42AM0.63m
1:19AM0.04m
11:53AM0.71m
2:12AM-0.19m
1:00PM0.72m
3:01AM-0.37m
2:00PM0.68m
3:46AM-0.49m
2:55PM0.62m
4:30AM-0.53m
3:48PM0.57m
5:12AM-0.50m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:00
7:59
7:59
7:59
7:59
7:58
7:58
7:58
 mm
Temp °C
19
18
19
20
19
19
20
19
20
20
20
20
21
20
21
21
20
22
22
22
23
Feels °C
18
18
18
19
19
19
18
19
19
18
21
20
22
21
21
20
20
22
21
23
23
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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