El Carmel Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

El Carmel Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
21.9° C
2.7° 

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, S swell with 1,149 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sun 12th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 14s
Best Surf 8AM (Sat 18th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 16s
Most Powerful 8AM (Sat 18th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 18°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 21°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Sat
18
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.7
SW
13
0.7
SSW
12
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
16
0.6
WSW
16
0.6
SW
16
1
W
9
0.4
SW
19
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
14
1
S
17
1.5
S
15
1.5
S
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
288
362
367
318
277
140
183
136
154
249
150
130
171
203
154
129
181
102
559
1010
806
Wind (km/h)
5
WSW
15
WSW
15
W
5
WNW
10
W
10
W
10
W
10
W
15
WNW
5
WSW
10
WSW
10
WSW
10
S
15
SSW
10
SSW
5
SW
15
SSW
15
SSW
10
S
10
WSW
20
NW
Wind State
on
on
on
glassy
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
on
cross-on
High Tide
9:18AM1.16m
8:04PM2.17m
10:01AM1.23m
8:55PM2.23m
10:42AM1.30m
9:43PM2.21m
11:22AM1.36m
10:31PM2.12m
12:03PM1.40m
11:18PM1.95m
12:44PM1.44m
00:05AM1.71m
1:27PM1.47m
Low Tide
3:01AM-0.37m
2:00PM0.68m
3:46AM-0.49m
2:55PM0.62m
4:30AM-0.53m
3:48PM0.57m
5:12AM-0.50m
4:39PM0.53m
5:53AM-0.40m
5:32PM0.52m
6:33AM-0.24m
6:28PM0.53m
7:10AM-0.05m
7:30PM0.55m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:59
7:58
7:58
7:58
7:57
7:57
7:55
 mm
1
2
1
2
1
Temp °C
19
20
20
20
21
21
20
22
22
21
23
24
23
22
22
22
22
22
22
23
23
Feels °C
21
20
20
20
21
20
19
23
21
21
23
24
24
22
20
23
22
21
23
23
22
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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