Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

El Carmel Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 26 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
23.1°C
3.3° 

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 26 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 27 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 26 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period, SW swell with 494 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 27 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 27) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.2m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 26) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Sun 27th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 12s
Best Surf 2AM (Sun 27th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 12s
Most Powerful 2PM (Sat 26th Sep)4ft (1.2m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sat morning, min 20°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Tue afternoon, min 21°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
26
Sunday
27
Monday
28
Tuesday
29
Wednesday
30
Thursday
1
Friday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
2
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
1
SSW
12
0.9
SSW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.7
S
14
0.8
S
13
0.8
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
405
437
341
358
320
295
205
180
222
346
258
255
245
266
167
158
151
216
211
206
206
Wind (km/h)
10
W
15
WNW
5
NNE
5
W
10
WNW
10
NNW
15
W
20
WNW
0
NW
15
NW
15
NW
5
W
10
SW
10
WSW
5
WNW
10
WNW
15
NW
10
NW
10
W
10
WNW
5
N
Wind State
on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
9:25AM1.77m
9:41PM1.65m
9:51AM1.86m
10:22PM1.52m
10:19AM1.92m
11:08PM1.36m
10:51AM1.93m
00:03AM1.18m
11:28AM1.89m
1:18AM1.02m
12:16PM1.80m
3:26AM0.95m
1:25PM1.68m
Low Tide
3:55PM0.11m
3:58AM0.18m
4:35PM0.03m
4:23AM0.31m
5:18PM-0.01m
4:49AM0.45m
6:09PM0.00m
5:16AM0.61m
7:10PM0.06m
5:44AM0.76m
8:29PM0.12m
6:16AM0.92m
10:06PM0.12m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:39
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6:39
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6:39
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6:41
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6:41
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6:41
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6:43
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
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6:39
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6:38
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6:37
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6:36
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6:35
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6:34
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6:31
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 mm
—
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—
—
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—
—
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—
—
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—
—
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Temp °C
24
24
24
24
23
23
22
22
21
23
25
25
24
23
22
23
22
21
23
23
22
Feels °C
25
23
26
25
22
23
21
20
21
20
24
24
24
23
24
24
21
21
23
22
22
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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