El Carmel Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

El Carmel Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
24.3°C
4.2° 

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 653 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 5PM (Sat 29th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat morning, min 21°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Tue afternoon, min 22°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
15
1
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.8
S
12
0.6
SW
13
0.8
SSW
11
0.9
SSW
11
0.8
SSW
10
1
SSW
13
1
SSW
12
0.7
SW
17
0.9
SSW
12
0.8
SW
17
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
581
653
612
424
407
341
193
180
140
158
214
136
307
320
273
239
423
516
465
589
553
Wind (km/h)
10
W
15
WNW
10
WSW
15
WSW
15
W
10
W
15
W
15
WNW
10
NW
15
NW
20
NW
20
NNW
10
WNW
20
WNW
15
NW
15
WNW
15
WNW
10
WNW
15
W
15
WNW
5
NW
Wind State
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
10:38AM1.60m
10:30PM1.69m
11:04AM1.66m
11:09PM1.52m
11:33AM1.71m
11:54PM1.32m
12:06PM1.73m
00:53AM1.10m
12:49PM1.71m
2:31AM0.91m
1:49PM1.67m
5:55AM0.91m
3:16PM1.65m
Low Tide
4:47PM0.31m
5:07AM0.10m
5:29PM0.28m
5:31AM0.24m
6:17PM0.27m
5:55AM0.41m
7:16PM0.29m
6:20AM0.58m
8:36PM0.30m
6:45AM0.75m
10:19PM0.26m
7:16AM0.91m
11:54PM0.12m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:20
6:22
6:22
6:22
6:24
6:24
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:16
7:15
7:15
7:14
7:12
7:10
7:09
 mm
Temp °C
26
25
24
24
23
22
23
22
22
23
24
23
24
24
23
24
23
22
23
23
22
Feels °C
28
26
26
24
22
22
23
20
21
21
22
21
24
23
22
23
21
21
23
22
22
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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