El Carmel Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 32.78° N 117.25° W

Issued: 4 pm 02 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
20.2° C

1.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year

El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Carmel Point surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with 694 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 1.1m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11AM (Tue 7th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 17°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
18
0.6
SW
15
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
1.1
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
270
176
362
299
211
214
183
159
246
249
459
251
309
388
694
460
375
527
521
527
432
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
10
NW
15
WNW
20
WNW
5
NW
20
WNW
15
WNW
10
WNW
15
W
15
WNW
5
WNW
15
W
15
W
10
WNW
15
W
15
W
5
WNW
15
WSW
10
WSW
5
SW
15
SSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
10:58PM1.75m
12:52PM1.19m
11:34PM1.64m
1:29PM1.24m
00:14AM1.49m
2:07PM1.31m
1:04AM1.30m
2:50PM1.40m
2:16AM1.09m
3:37PM1.51m
4:01AM0.93m
4:28PM1.64m
5:56AM0.90m
Low Tide
5:08PM0.74m
6:34AM-0.10m
5:51PM0.75m
7:06AM-0.02m
6:45PM0.76m
7:39AM0.09m
7:54PM0.74m
8:13AM0.22m
9:19PM0.66m
8:52AM0.37m
10:52PM0.51m
9:40AM0.52m
00:14AM0.28m
10:42AM0.63m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:46
5:47
5:47
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
8:00
7:59
 mm
Temp °C
19
18
18
19
18
19
19
18
19
19
18
19
19
19
19
20
19
19
20
19
20
Feels °C
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
18
18
17
18
17
19
18
19
19
18
20
20
19
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
18
0.6
SW
15
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
1.1
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
1
W
7
1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1
SW
16
1.1
W
8
Energy kJ
270
176
362
299
211
214
169
153
246
249
459
251
251
299
694
460
86
527
521
527
169
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
15
0.5
W
4
0.5
W
5
0.3
S
10
0.3
S
10
0.4
SSW
19
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.5
W
4
0.5
W
5
0.6
SW
20
0.8
W
6
0.8
W
6
0.8
W
7
0.8
SW
18
1
W
7
0.9
WNW
7
1
W
7
0.9
SW
16
Energy kJ
104
10
11
18
17
148
183
159
140
85
10
14
309
43
54
57
375
109
89
108
432
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
11
0.3
S
11
0.3
S
11
0.2
SSW
21
0.2
SSW
21
0.3
SSW
10
0.3
S
9
0.4
WNW
4
0.3
WNW
4
0.3
SSW
9
0.4
SW
22
0.4
SW
21
0.4
SW
12
0.7
SW
20
0.2
WNW
12
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.5
SSW
19
0.1
S
10
Energy kJ
22
21
20
44
44
20
15
6
3
15
163
162
36
388
14
212
171
207
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
W
6
0.5
WNW
5
0.5
W
5
0.4
WNW
4
0.4
W
5
0.5
W
5
0.4
WNW
4
0.6
W
6
0.9
WNW
7
Energy kJ
16
13
12
6
7
12
6
23
82
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
2
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
3
1
Distance (km)
12
12
12
12
12
784
12
12
12
12
9
12
12
12
12
12
9
12
12
11
9
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
2
3
2
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
3
2
3
3
2
3
3
3
2
4
3
2
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
9
5
6
8
5
9
7
5
9
9
8
6
5
9
9
9
5
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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