El Carmel Point surfForecast / CAL – San Diego County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 am Friday 15 May 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
18.6° C
(Which is 2.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (May 18) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 2.2m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 17) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Mon 18th May)3.5ft (1.0m) 12s
Best Surf11PM (Mon 18th May)3.5ft (1.0m) 12s
Most Powerful 8AM (Sun 17th May)7ft (2.2m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 15°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 16°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
15
Saturday
16
Sunday
17
Monday
18
Tuesday
19
Wednesday
20
Thursday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
1.2
W
10
1.3
W
10
1.8
W
10
2.1
W
10
1.9
W
10
1.6
W
12
1.5
W
12
1.2
W
12
0.9
W
12
0.7
W
11
0.7
W
11
0.6
W
11
0.5
SW
16
0.5
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
280
243
268
273
340
618
865
710
747
628
393
214
114
112
83
122
112
137
136
174
132
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
15
SW
10
SSW
20
SSW
15
SW
25
SSE
25
S
20
S
20
S
15
SSW
20
SSW
5
WSW
15
WNW
15
W
5
WNW
10
WSW
15
WSW
5
SW
10
SW
15
SW
5
SW
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
glassy
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
9:07AM1.25m
8:35PM2.05m
10:00AM1.23m
9:14PM2.12m
10:55AM1.18m
9:57PM2.12m
11:53AM1.13m
10:44PM2.05m
12:57PM1.09m
11:36PM1.92m
2:08PM1.09m
00:36AM1.74m
3:22PM1.14m
1:47AM1.54m
Low Tide
2:35PM0.37m
3:58AM-0.44m
3:14PM0.45m
4:46AM-0.52m
3:56PM0.54m
5:36AM-0.52m
4:41PM0.62m
6:31AM-0.45m
5:34PM0.71m
7:29AM-0.34m
6:42PM0.78m
8:32AM-0.22m
8:10PM0.82m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:47
5:47
5:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:39
7:40
7:42
7:42
7:43
7:44
7:45
Temp °C
17
17
16
16
17
16
17
17
17
18
18
17
18
18
18
18
18
17
18
18
18
16
15
15
14
14
13
12
12
16
16
15
16
16
16
17
17
16
17
17
16
18
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
14
0.9
W
10
0.9
WNW
10
1.2
W
10
1.3
W
10
1.8
W
10
2.1
W
10
1.9
W
10
1.6
W
12
1.5
W
12
1.2
W
12
0.9
W
12
0.7
W
11
0.7
W
11
0.6
W
11
0.5
SW
16
0.5
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
Energy kJ
280
158
157
273
340
618
865
710
747
628
393
214
114
112
83
122
112
137
136
174
132
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
W
10
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
W
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.4
SW
12
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SW
12
0.4
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.5
W
10
0.4
W
10
0.5
W
13
0.5
S
14
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
13
Energy kJ
141
243
268
214
211
160
118
118
84
37
72
37
69
69
69
49
30
85
103
92
87
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
9
0.1
S
9
0.1
S
9
0.1
S
9
0.1
S
9
0.7
SSW
14
0.2
SSW
18
0.1
SW
18
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
SW
12
0.4
SW
17
0.4
SW
17
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SSW
12
0.4
SSW
12
0.4
SW
19
0.5
W
12
0.6
S
14
0.4
W
12
Energy kJ
6
2
2
2
2
175
31
12
51
48
37
71
70
93
65
50
49
133
73
136
43
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
W
12
Energy kJ
68
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
2
3
4
2
2
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
Distance (km)
12
12
9
132
60
60
155
262
60
9
60
0
12
12
12
12
12
15
132
349
26
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
2
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
4
3
5
7
4
5
4
3
4
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
2
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
5
4
6
4
5
7
4
6
4
4
4
4
4
4
6
5
4
7
5
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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