El Carmel Point surfForecast / CAL – San Diego County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 pm Thursday 07 May 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
17.3° C
(Which is 1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (May 08) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 16 days are 0.9m 18s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 10) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Fri 8th May)1.5ft (0.4m) 13s
Best Surf11PM (Sat 9th May)2.5ft (0.8m) 19s
Most Powerful 2PM (Sun 10th May)3ft (0.9m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 15°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 17°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
8
Saturday
9
Sunday
10
Monday
11
Tuesday
12
Wednesday
13
Thu
14
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
13
0.8
W
7
0.4
SW
18
0.7
W
9
0.4
SW
20
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SSW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
63
61
109
76
107
161
330
370
439
306
371
299
314
309
251
206
149
144
179
367
291
Wind (km/h)
5
SW
10
SW
10
W
5
W
15
SW
10
SW
5
S
10
SW
10
SW
5
WNW
10
SW
10
WSW
5
SSW
10
WSW
15
WNW
10
NW
15
NW
15
NW
10
NNW
15
WNW
20
WNW
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
High Tide
00:55AM1.35m
5:26PM1.00m
2:21AM1.26m
5:45PM1.11m
3:56AM1.21m
6:06PM1.24m
5:16AM1.21m
6:30PM1.40m
6:21AM1.23m
6:57PM1.58m
7:20AM1.25m
7:26PM1.76m
8:14AM1.26m
7:59PM1.93m
Low Tide
9:39AM0.15m
8:49PM0.96m
10:39AM0.15m
10:52PM0.86m
11:28AM0.15m
00:04AM0.67m
12:09PM0.16m
00:57AM0.44m
12:46PM0.19m
1:43AM0.18m
1:22PM0.24m
2:27AM-0.07m
1:58PM0.30m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:52
5:52
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:35
7:36
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:38
7:39
Temp °C
16
17
17
16
17
18
17
18
18
17
18
19
18
19
19
18
19
19
18
19
18
16
16
15
16
16
17
17
17
17
17
18
18
18
18
17
17
17
16
15
16
14
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
W
6
0.8
W
7
0.7
W
7
0.7
W
9
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.8
W
9
0.8
W
8
0.9
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SSW
15
Energy kJ
35
59
47
76
107
118
103
78
439
306
371
299
314
309
251
206
149
144
111
367
291
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
18
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.8
W
10
0.7
W
9
0.7
W
11
0.6
W
10
0.6
W
10
0.5
W
10
0.5
W
12
0.5
W
12
0.5
W
11
0.4
WNW
11
0.6
SSW
16
0.6
W
13
0.4
SW
12
Energy kJ
63
61
109
61
86
161
330
370
117
78
116
74
75
54
67
69
62
39
179
119
53
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
WNW
12
0.3
WNW
12
0.4
SW
13
0.3
SW
18
0.4
SW
20
0.4
SSW
20
0.3
SW
13
0.3
W
10
0.3
WNW
13
0.4
WNW
12
0.2
S
12
0.2
S
12
0.3
S
13
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
19
0.3
SW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.4
WNW
10
0.2
S
10
0.2
S
10
Energy kJ
46
27
61
49
100
149
27
18
34
48
11
11
29
9
10
7
51
81
37
8
8
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WNW
3
0.3
WNW
3
0.3
WNW
4
0.6
W
12
Energy kJ
1
2
3
103
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
11
61
12
12
12
217
0
132
12
2
132
12
9
12
12
12
12
12
3
12
12
Best forecast wave conditions in San Diego County
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
1
3
2
3
1
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
4
3
2
4
3
2
3
3
2
3
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
6
5
5
5
4
5
5
9
5
5
5
6
8
9
7
5
5
5
4
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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