El Carmel Point surfForecast / CAL – San Diego County / USA

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 am Sunday 18 Jan 2026 PST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
El Carmel Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's El Carmel Point sea temperature is
15.8° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Carmel Point this week:

The surf forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 19) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Carmel Point in the next 12 days are 0.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 21) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Mon 19th Jan)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 19th Jan)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s
Most Powerful 7PM (Wed 21st Jan)3ft (0.9m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Carmel Point over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun morning, min 17°C on Mon afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 15°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
2
0
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.5
W
0.6
W
0.7
W
0.7
W
0.7
W
0.6
W
0.6
W
0.8
W
0.8
W
0.6
W
0.7
W
0.9
W
0.8
W
0.5
SW
0.6
W
0.6
W
0.4
WNW
0.4
WNW
0.5
W
0.5
W
0.5
W
Period(s) (?)171614131312121312161413131412101413161514
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)13518320617316810510521517817420628421210396756953127115106
Wind
(km/h)
0
E
10
NW
0
ENE
0
WSW
10
W
5
NNW
5
SE
5
WSW
5
S
10
SSW
10
SW
5
SSW
10
SW
10
WSW
10
SSE
10
SSW
10
WNW
10
NNW
5
N
15
NNW
10
NNE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
glasscross-
on
glassglassonglassglassglassglasscrosscross-
on
glasscross-
on
oncross-
off
crossoncrosscross-
off
crosscross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:50PM
1.17
8:49AM
1.89
10:18PM
1.21
9:22AM
1.84
10:47PM
1.26
9:56AM
1.74
11:19PM
1.31
10:34AM
1.57
11:53PM
1.37
11:18AM
1.35
12:32AM
1.43
12:15PM
1.09
1:19AM
1.49
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:45PM
-0.31
2:55AM
0.57
4:14PM
-0.30
3:32AM
0.54
4:43PM
-0.26
4:11AM
0.52
5:11PM
-0.18
4:57AM
0.51
5:40PM
-0.05
5:53AM
0.50
6:09PM
0.11
7:03AM
0.48
6:41PM
0.29
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunrise6:50--6:50--6:50--6:48--6:48--6:48--6:48--
Sunset-5:07--5:08--5:08--5:09--5:10--5:12--5:13-
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
--------------81-----
Temp. °C222119191819211918181716181616161516212220
Feels °C (?)171716171618171817161516161515151314161717
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Carmel Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Carmel Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at El Carmel Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Carmel Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Carmel Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Carmel Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

El Carmel Point is 10 km (6 miles) from San Diego. If you plan a vacation in San Diego County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Diego. San Diego has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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