Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SW swell with 350 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 0.8m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, it's Rusty here. I've taken a hard look at the next 16 days for El Cardon, and I gotta call it how I see it: this is a tough stretch. Every single day is marked as poor surf conditions, and the scores back that up. There's no standout session, no sneaky window of clean waves. If you were hoping for a good run, you're gonna be disappointed.
Starting from Monday, September 14th, we've got a tiny 1ft swell from the SW with a 18-second period. That's a long-period groundswell, but the combined wave energy is only moderate at 198, and the wind is a light cross-onshore breeze, making for a rippled, bumpy surface. The water temperature is a very warm 81°, which is far warmer than normal—7° above average. That afternoon the wind picks up a bit, and it stays messy.
Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th are the same story. Swell stays small at 1ft to 2ft, periods still long (16 seconds), but the wind is stuck in a cross-onshore pattern, light to moderate. No clean face to be found.
From Thursday the 17th all the way through Sunday the 28th, it's a broken record. Swell inches up and down between 1ft and 2ft, mostly from the SW, but the wind never turns favorable. It's constant cross-onshore from the W or WNW. The only little change is around Thursday the 24th and a few afternoons where it becomes a cross-shore wind with a cross-chop, but that's not the clean glass we want. There's a bump in wave energy on the 19th and 20th, hitting moderate levels around 477, but the wind just chops it all apart.
Later on, Sunday the 27th and Tuesday the 29th see a little bump to 4ft, but with a short period of 6 and 9 seconds from the WNW. That means weak, bumpy windswell, and the cross-onshore wind is still there, ruining any shape. Even with moderate energy around 422 on the 29th morning, it's choppy and ugly.
Bottom line: this is a blank run for El Cardon. It's a consistent point break that usually fires, but the wind has it completely buttoned up for over two weeks. With all that cross-onshore breeze, it might look more fun for a kite session than a surf session. Better luck next time, the forecasts can always change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 19°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 20 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 108 | 148 | 186 | 122 | 88 | 238 | 206 | 258 | 118 | 142 | 140 | 188 | 184 | 184 | 186 | 252 | 252 | 252 | 339 | 297 | 280 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:55AM2.31m | 11:34PM1.72m | 11:19AM2.23m | 00:12AM1.51m | 11:45AM2.13m | 1:04AM1.32m | 12:15PM2.00m | 1:04PM1.87m | 3:17PM1.78m | 8:09AM1.55m | 5:17PM1.86m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 5:32PM0.56m | 4:49AM0.92m | 6:13PM0.67m | 4:58AM1.06m | 7:06PM0.80m | 4:52AM1.17m | 8:40PM0.91m | 11:11PM0.87m | 00:20AM0.74m | 11:28AM1.48m | 00:55AM0.61m | ||||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — |
 | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:42 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:38 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 20 |
Feels °C | 23 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 51 | 127 | 108 | 76 | 70 | 70 | 206 | 258 | 118 | 142 | 140 | 100 | 184 | 184 | 168 | 252 | 252 | 252 | 339 | 297 | 280 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 108 | 148 | 186 | 122 | 88 | 238 | 71 | 53 | 28 | 116 | 117 | 188 | 69 | 68 | 44 | 42 | 39 | 37 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 11 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 21 | NW 8 | SSW 10 | WNW 12 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 11 | WSW 21 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | WNW 10 |
| kJ | 39 | 37 | 37 | 97 | 59 | 12 | 22 | 22 | 71 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | WNW 3 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 90 | 113 | 153 | 186 | 149 | 141 | 121 | 70 | 55 | 82 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 514 | 355 | 265 | 355 | 355 | 213 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 494 | 355 | 355 | 495 | 410 | 355 | 446 | 213 | 355 | 355 | 355 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
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