Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SW swell with 258 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 0.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with ya – the next 16 days at El Cardon are a tough watch. This is a consistent point break that’s exposed to the west swell, but the timing and conditions are just not lining up for a decent paddle. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf and messy winds, so don’t be holding your breath for anything clean.
The first real chance you’ll have to even think about a wave is Saturday morning, the 18th of July. That morning, a new pulse of swell shows up, with 3ft from the southwest and a period of 18 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, so it’ll have some energy – the combined swell energy is a solid 825 (moderate-strong). The wind is light and offshore from the WSW, which is a major positive. But the forecast is still calling it marginal, with a low score, so don’t expect perfection. The water temp is 66°, which is about normal for the time of year. That Saturday morning is the only standout in the whole window.
The rest of the period is pretty grim. From now through the 17th of July, you’re looking at tiny waves, mostly 1ft to 2ft, with cross-onshore winds chopping up any hope of a clean face. The combined energy is weak, sitting between 108 and 462. Then after that Saturday morning pulse, the wind swings back to cross-onshore, and the swell fades through the following week. The last week of July is just more of the same – small, weak, and windy.
Honestly, if you’re not a dedicated surfer, this setup would be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the consistent cross-offshore and cross-onshore winds. But for a wave, your only shot is that Saturday morning, 18th July.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Fri afternoon, min 18°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun morning, min 19°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 258 | 258 | 239 | 217 | 217 | 223 | 226 | 211 | 211 | 140 | 129 | 120 | 129 | 96 | 67 | 83 | 154 | 152 | 75 | 127 | 125 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:02PM2.32m | 7:00AM1.51m | 5:59PM2.47m | 8:02AM1.61m | 6:54PM2.61m | 8:52AM1.70m | 7:46PM2.71m | 9:36AM1.77m | 8:36PM2.76m | 10:18AM1.82m | 9:23PM2.72m | 10:59AM1.87m | 10:09PM2.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:04AM1.09m | 00:33AM0.44m | 11:15AM1.15m | 1:28AM0.20m | 12:21PM1.15m | 2:18AM0.02m | 1:20PM1.12m | 3:05AM-0.09m | 2:14PM1.07m | 3:50AM-0.12m | 3:06PM1.02m | 4:32AM-0.07m | 3:57PM0.99m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — |
 | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 23 | 19 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 23 |
Feels °C | 21 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 131 | 124 | 113 | 100 | 98 | 223 | 226 | 211 | 211 | 140 | 129 | 120 | 129 | 92 | 67 | 67 | 154 | 152 | 75 | 30 | 68 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 4 | NW 9 | SW 19 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | SSW 13 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 258 | 258 | 239 | 217 | 217 | 73 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 45 | 30 | 5 | 20 | 96 | 6 | 6 | 67 | 6 | 4 | 127 | 125 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | W 23 | SW 21 | NW 9 | WSW 20 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SW 18 | NW 9 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 21 |
| kJ | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 11 | 18 | 20 | 38 | 20 | 22 | 83 | 14 | 42 | 29 | 29 | 71 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | — | WNW 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 448 | 355 | 255 | 627 | 355 | 130 | 355 | 355 | 130 | 330 | 355 | 196 | 355 | 355 | 213 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 446 | 446 | 199 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our El Cardon surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
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