Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, SW swell with 499 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 0.9m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let me get real with you about what we're looking at for El Cardon over the next couple of weeks. I’ve got to be straight with you, this isn’t one of those windows to get excited about. The whole 16-day run is a tough one. There’s nothing here that qualifies as a standout session, and the conditions are pretty much locked into a poor pattern.
For El Cardon, a point break that needs a solid clean window, the story is all cross-onshore wind and messy surf. The swell is mostly tiny—hovering around 1ft to 3ft from the SW with some pretty long periods, mostly between 14 and 20 seconds. While that long-period groundswell is usually a sign of quality at a point like this, the wind is just ruining any chance of it being clean. The combined wave energy builds from a weak 138 up to a moderate 475 by the 15th, but the wind keeps the surface ugly. The water temp doesn't have a noted anomaly, so it's about average for the time of year.
We start off on Sunday the 9th with a clear sky but a cross-onshore breeze, so those 2ft SW waves are already a write-off. That continues day after day. Monday the 10th through to Thursday the 13th is more of the same: tiny swell, cross-onshore winds, and high scores of "poor surf conditions."
The 15th and 16th see the swell push up to 3ft with the highest wave energy of the period hitting 475, but the wind is still cross-onshore from the WNW, turning it into a chop-fest. It actually looks more interesting for a kite session than a paddle session, given the consistent cross-wind component and moderate breeze.
Later in the second week, there’s a brief moment on Thursday the 20th morning where the forecast nudges into "marginal" territory thanks to a light WSW breeze and a 2ft SSW swell, but it's only scoring a 1/10. That’s as close to a window as we get, and it’s still a gamble. The rest of the run through to Monday the 24th stays locked into that same pattern of cross-onshore wind and poor conditions.
To sum it up, this is a blank run for surf. There are no good surf options in this 16-day window. The wind has the final say here, and it’s not cooperating. Forecasts can change, and it doesn't often stay this poor for so long around here, but right now, it’s a waiting game.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Wed morning, min 18°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 107 | 104 | 102 | 89 | 98 | 133 | 96 | 111 | 197 | 109 | 165 | 127 | 159 | 198 | 198 | 174 | 255 | 249 | 443 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:10AM1.63m | 6:51PM2.51m | 8:47AM1.76m | 7:45PM2.61m | 9:20AM1.88m | 8:33PM2.66m | 9:53AM1.98m | 9:17PM2.61m | 10:24AM2.06m | 9:59PM2.49m | 10:55AM2.12m | 10:39PM2.29m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:28AM0.22m | 12:27PM1.23m | 2:14AM0.06m | 1:29PM1.10m | 2:54AM-0.02m | 2:21PM0.96m | 3:31AM-0.03m | 3:08PM0.85m | 4:05AM0.05m | 3:53PM0.77m | 4:36AM0.19m | 4:37PM0.73m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 20 |
Feels °C | 22 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | W 5 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 33 | 15 | 102 | 89 | 69 | 68 | 78 | 111 | 197 | 109 | 165 | 127 | 159 | 198 | 198 | 174 | 255 | 249 | 443 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WNW 4 | WNW 10 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | 107 | 104 | 9 | 9 | 98 | 133 | 96 | 74 | 45 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 3 | 18 | 60 | 133 | 132 | 169 | 28 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SSW 11 | WSW 21 | WNW 5 | WNW 12 | WNW 8 | NW 11 | NW 10 | WNW 4 | NW 9 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | SW 21 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 32 | 19 | 12 | 44 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 43 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 3 | — | WNW 4 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 4 | WNW 9 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | — | 1 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 47 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 355 | 446 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 216 | 355 | 446 | 355 | 495 | 446 | 355 | 495 | 446 | 273 | 355 | 446 | 355 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our El Cardon surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
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