Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 19s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 19s period, SW swell with 520 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 19s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 0.8m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've had a good look at what's coming for El Cardon over the next couple of weeks and I'll be straight with you – it's looking pretty flat and ugly for the most part. There's not a single standout session in this whole period. The wind is nearly always coming from the wrong angle, pushing across or onshore, and the swell is just too small to do much with. You'll see some small SW energy trickling in, but it's constantly getting chopped up.
The first six days of July offer nothing worth paddling out for. We're looking at tiny 2ft to 3ft swells, mostly from the SW, and the wind is cross-onshore nearly every session. You get a bit of clean morning glass on the 9th, but the swell is a pathetic 2ft. The combined energy is moderate, but paired with that wind, it's just a messy, bumpy surface.
Around the 12th and 13th, the swell drops even further, down to 1ft to 2ft. The energy is weak. Again, the wind never turns offshore or glassy for any good length of time. It's a classic "stay at home and wash the car" kind of week.
The promising bit, if you can call it that, is the last couple of days of the outlook. On the morning of Saturday the 18th, the wind finally turns onshore from the SW, which is actually the optimal direction for this point break. The swell picks up to 2ft from the SW, with a nice long 18-second period and moderate energy. This is the best window in the whole 16-day run. It's still not a pumping session, but you've got a chance at a knee-high clean wave if you're desperate. The crowd factor is listed as "sometimes," so you might have it to yourself. I wouldn't say it's a standout, but it's the only real chance.
After that, it's back to the same old story: small, messy, cross-onshore junk through the 21st. There's a 16-day blank run here with no real quality. For this area, that's not entirely unusual. If you're kite-surfing, these constant cross and cross-onshore winds with small chop might actually be your thing. For us wave riders, it's a long wait.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 373 | 520 | 379 | 307 | 429 | 326 | 322 | 314 | 258 | 258 | 239 | 217 | 217 | 220 | 226 | 211 | 211 | 140 | 131 | 120 | 129 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:16PM1.94m | 1:57AM1.58m | 3:07PM2.06m | 3:40AM1.44m | 4:03PM2.18m | 5:34AM1.43m | 5:02PM2.32m | 7:00AM1.51m | 5:59PM2.47m | 8:02AM1.61m | 6:54PM2.61m | 8:52AM1.70m | 7:46PM2.71m | 9:36AM1.77m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:36PM1.09m | 8:03AM0.84m | 10:08PM0.93m | 8:57AM0.98m | 11:29PM0.69m | 10:04AM1.09m | 00:33AM0.44m | 11:15AM1.15m | 1:28AM0.20m | 12:21PM1.15m | 2:18AM0.02m | 1:20PM1.12m | 3:05AM-0.09m | ||||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 |
 | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:38 | — | 7:37 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
Feels °C | 23 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 373 | 149 | 82 | 307 | 154 | 102 | 322 | 108 | 158 | 116 | 115 | 117 | 100 | 75 | 226 | 211 | 211 | 140 | 131 | 120 | 129 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | NW 11 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WSW 20 |
| kJ | 201 | 520 | 379 | 104 | 429 | 326 | 31 | 314 | 258 | 258 | 239 | 217 | 217 | 220 | 73 | 54 | 55 | 45 | 30 | 29 | 38 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 12 | WNW 13 | SW 15 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 12 | — | NW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | W 23 | SW 21 | SW 21 | W 18 |
| kJ | 15 | 32 | 104 | 39 | 37 | 35 | — | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 11 | 18 | 18 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | WNW 3 | W 4 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 85 | — | — | 96 | — | — | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 30 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 355 | 213 | 495 | 495 | 355 | 495 | 355 | 380 | 448 | 355 | 130 | 660 | 355 | 130 | 355 | 355 | 196 | 355 | 355 | 255 | 355 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
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