
Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 15s period, SW swell with 623 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 1.2m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, well, it’s a bit of a slow start here. The swell is pretty limp for the first week and a half, with most days just offering small, messy lines. The wind is almost always cross-onshore, so the wave faces are going to be choppy and not much fun. We’ve got a long stretch of sub-par surf from the 15th of July right through until the 23rd of July, with only a couple of mornings where the wind might swing a touch more favourable, but it’s still tiny.
The only real standout window is the morning of the 24th of July. The water temp is sitting at 67°, which is bang on normal for the time of year, so no surprises there. On the morning of the 24th, we see a modest bump in swell from the SSW, with waves around 5ft and a period of 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy hits 1169, which is a solid, punchy level. The wind is forecast to be light and from the SW, which is a clean offshore for El Cardon. That’s the day to get out there. The size is still manageable for intermediates, but it’s a point break, so the long-period swell will wrap in nicely and offer some good shape. It’s a consistent spot, but crowds are sometimes a thing here, so don’t expect it to be empty.
After that, it drops back off again. The 25th of July has a similar size swell but the wind just gets messy again. The 26th of July through to the 30th of July is mostly small, with cross-onshore winds and poor conditions. There’s a morning on the 27th of July with a light offshore wind and 3ft swell from the SW, but it's nothing to get too excited about. The 28th of July has a couple of marginal mornings, but the wind isn’t clean enough to make it a proper session.
Honestly, the 24th of July morning is your best bet. The rest of the 16-day run is a write-off for a good paddle. The setup is a point break, so if the wind was better, it’d be a dream, but most of the time the waves are just a bit too weak and choppy to be worth the fight.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat morning, min 18°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
75 | 127 | 125 | 122 | 109 | 181 | 102 | 102 | 190 | 290 | 257 | 479 | 442 | 623 | 361 | 299 | 206 | 291 | 269 | 266 | 214 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 10:59AM1.87m | 10:09PM2.60m | 11:39AM1.91m | 10:54PM2.41m | 12:18PM1.94m | 11:40PM2.15m | 12:57PM1.97m | 00:27AM1.88m | 1:37PM1.98m | 1:23AM1.61m | 2:21PM1.99m | 2:43AM1.39m | 3:10PM2.00m | 5:00AM1.29m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:57PM0.99m | 5:12AM0.05m | 4:49PM0.99m | 5:49AM0.23m | 5:44PM1.01m | 6:23AM0.44m | 6:45PM1.03m | 6:54AM0.67m | 7:58PM1.04m | 7:23AM0.88m | 9:26PM1.01m | 7:53AM1.06m | 11:00PM0.91m | ||||||||
5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | |
— | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:35 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 24 | 20 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
13 | 127 | 125 | 122 | 109 | 181 | 71 | 71 | 53 | 290 | 257 | 479 | 442 | 623 | 361 | 110 | 206 | 291 | 269 | 266 | 214 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 8 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | WNW 9 | SSW 13 | W 16 | W 16 | W 16 | W 16 | SW 16 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 8 | WNW 5 |
75 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 103 | 102 | 102 | 190 | 52 | 129 | 134 | 131 | 129 | 124 | 299 | 79 | 108 | 54 | 45 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 21 | WNW 8 | W 20 | WNW 8 | SW 19 | WNW 19 | SW 13 | WNW 17 | NW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 15 | SW 13 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | SW 8 |
29 | 29 | 71 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 90 | 71 | 61 | 101 | 37 | 28 | 17 | 33 | 15 | 79 | 104 | 70 | 69 | 69 | 24 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | WNW 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 20 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 130 | 355 | 153 | 627 | 627 | 153 | 355 | 355 | 130 | 355 | 355 | 213 | 355 | 446 | 213 | 355 | 495 | 213 | 355 | 355 | 130 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.










