Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 19s period, SW swell with 520 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 1.5m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 0.8m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here breaking down the next couple of weeks for El Cardon. Let’s be real – it’s looking like a total flat spell. No standout swells, and the wind is just about always putting a chop on whatever little ripple shows up. For a point like this, you need some juice from the west, and we just aren’t getting it. The wave energy is mostly under 500, so the ocean is barely moving most days.
Starting off Sunday, July 5th and Monday the 6th, there’s a long-period groundswell from the SW with a period around 17-18 seconds, but the height is only 2 feet. Wind is cross-onshore from the W or WNW at 9-12 mph, making for choppy, crummy conditions. No scores here. Tuesday morning, July 7th, we get a brief uptick with a marginal call – still only about 3 feet from the SW at 18 seconds, but the wind drops to a light breeze. It’s rated a 1, so you might scratch out a weak ride if you’re really keen.
Wednesday the 8th through Friday the 10th? Same story. Swell sits around 2 to 3 feet, period stays up thanks to the groundswell (15-16 seconds), but that cross-onshore wind from the W at 9 mph or more keeps it messy. The scores are all zeroes. Saturday the 11th sees the wind pick up even more from the WNW at 15 mph, so don’t bother.
The best we get comes on Saturday, July 18th. The afternoon shows a combined energy of 523 – the highest all run – from a 2-foot SW swell at 19 seconds. The score climbs to a 2. Wind goes light from the W at 6 mph, and it’s described as marginal. That might clean up just enough for a fun little mellow wave on the point. It’s not a standout, just the least bad option.
Other than that, there are days on end with nothing rideable. For El Cardon, a quiet stretch like this isn’t unusual when the swell angle isn’t right. No water temp anomaly is provided, so I can’t tell if it’s running warm or cool. Bottom line: leave the board at home and wait for a better window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon afternoon, min 18°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Sat 11 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 194 | 194 | 188 | 208 | 161 | 373 | 520 | 379 | 307 | 429 | 326 | 322 | 314 | 258 | 258 | 242 | 217 | 217 | 223 | 226 | 214 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:52PM1.98m | 1:31PM1.85m | 00:44AM1.79m | 2:16PM1.94m | 1:57AM1.58m | 3:07PM2.06m | 3:40AM1.44m | 4:03PM2.18m | 5:34AM1.43m | 5:02PM2.32m | 7:00AM1.51m | 5:59PM2.47m | 8:02AM1.61m | 6:54PM2.61m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:44AM0.57m | 7:09PM1.17m | 7:20AM0.70m | 8:36PM1.09m | 8:03AM0.84m | 10:08PM0.93m | 8:57AM0.98m | 11:29PM0.69m | 10:04AM1.09m | 00:33AM0.44m | 11:15AM1.15m | 1:28AM0.20m | 12:21PM1.15m | ||||||||
 |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — |
 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:38 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 19 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | SW 17 | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | SW 20 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 100 | 66 | 188 | 145 | 88 | 373 | 149 | 99 | 307 | 183 | 105 | 322 | 108 | 158 | 130 | 142 | 120 | 115 | 75 | 226 | 214 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | NW 11 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 194 | 194 | 68 | 208 | 161 | 201 | 520 | 379 | 104 | 429 | 326 | 31 | 314 | 258 | 258 | 242 | 217 | 217 | 223 | 73 | 54 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 23 | SW 21 | SW 20 | WNW 12 | WNW 13 | SW 15 | NW 12 | NW 12 | NW 12 | — | NW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 67 | 68 | 85 | 162 | 138 | 15 | 32 | 104 | 39 | 37 | 35 | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | — | — | WNW 6 | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | — | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 145 | 99 | 80 | — | — | 85 | — | — | 121 | 264 | — | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 355 | 355 | 355 | 410 | 355 | 355 | 213 | 355 | 355 | 255 | 446 | 355 | 355 | 448 | 355 | 153 | 355 | 355 | 196 | 355 | 355 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
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