Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 24s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 21s period, SW swell with 763 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 0.9m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 24s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 21s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The next 16 days are looking pretty grim for El Cardon, with only a tiny glimmer of hope on the horizon. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 70°, which is nice, but that’s about the only good news.
We’re staring down a long, dry spell. For the first several days, the wind is all wrong – cross-on or onshore – and the surf is just poor. From Tuesday, July 21st, right through to the end of the month, it’s a mess. Small, weak swell and choppy conditions. The energy is mostly moderate, around 349 to 740, but it’s all ruined by the wind. Wednesday, July 22nd, has a morning window with a light offshore breeze, but the swell is a tiny 3ft from the SSW, and the period is a modest 14 seconds. It’s there, but it’s not going to be anything to write home about.
The first real hint of life comes on Saturday, July 25th. The morning is looking interesting. The wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the NNW, and the forecast is calling for “very good surf conditions.” The swell is 2ft from the SW with a long 21-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, but at a point break like El Cardon, that long period should set up some nice lines. The combined energy is strong at 645. It’s a small window, and the afternoon goes back to a cross-on breeze, but that Saturday morning is the standout of the entire forecast. After that, it’s back to marginal surf and poor conditions through the first week of August.
Honestly, if you’re a surfer, you’re looking at a two-week wait for a single, promising morning. The consistency is just not there. For the rest of the time, the setup is so poor with the wind and small, weak swell that it’s honestly more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.
This is a tough run. It’s a blank stretch for the area, and it’s just how it goes sometimes.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Tue afternoon, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 24 | SW 23 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 262 | 214 | 257 | 253 | 173 | 154 | 195 | 212 | 347 | 193 | 763 | 441 | 537 | 723 | 483 | 602 | 602 | 623 | 459 | 505 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 3:10PM2.00m | 5:00AM1.29m | 4:08PM2.02m | 7:08AM1.35m | 5:08PM2.06m | 8:00AM1.44m | 6:03PM2.13m | 8:29AM1.52m | 6:50PM2.22m | 8:54AM1.59m | 7:32PM2.32m | 9:19AM1.65m | 8:09PM2.40m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:00PM0.91m | 8:32AM1.21m | 00:14AM0.77m | 9:47AM1.31m | 1:05AM0.63m | 11:16AM1.34m | 1:45AM0.50m | 12:22PM1.31m | 2:19AM0.38m | 1:10PM1.24m | 2:51AM0.30m | 1:51PM1.16m | 3:20AM0.23m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 27 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 21 |
Feels °C | 23 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 26 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 11 | SW 21 | WNW 8 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 262 | 214 | 257 | 253 | 149 | 77 | 82 | 108 | 76 | 133 | 763 | 67 | 537 | 723 | 483 | 602 | 602 | 623 | 459 | 505 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 8 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | SW 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 23 | WNW 7 | SW 21 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 16 | 17 | 38 | 7 | 173 | 154 | 195 | 212 | 184 | 193 | 94 | 441 | 47 | 44 | 72 | 72 | 35 | 38 | 37 | 36 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 14 | SW 7 | SW 7 | WNW 13 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | SW 26 | SW 25 | SW 24 | SW 16 | SSW 10 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | WNW 7 | SW 13 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 10 |
| kJ | 69 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 31 | 171 | 95 | 347 | 41 | 72 | 137 | 106 | 97 | 30 | 7 | 54 | 51 | 49 | 51 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | NW 5 | — | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 9 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 23 | — | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | 59 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 355 | 213 | 446 | 495 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 130 | 355 | 255 | 355 | 355 | 196 | 448 | 355 | 130 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
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