El Cardon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the table for El Cardon. This is a consistent point break, exposed to the west swell, but the truth is, the whole 16-day window is pretty grim. We're looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions, with hardly a moment that's worth paddling out for. The water is sitting at 73°, which is 5° warmer than the long-term average for this time of year—definitely feels like a warm bath out there, but it won't make up for the lack of waves.

The forecast kicks off with nothing on offer for the first few days. It's not until the morning of August 25th that we get a hint of something, but even that's barely a glimmer. The swell is tiny, only 2 ft from the SW, with a period of 16 seconds—that's a long-period groundswell, but with that height, it's just not generating any power. The combined wave energy is a weak 201, and it's only rated as marginal due to tide. The wind is light from the SSW and onshore, so it's not completely wind-blown, but it's still messy. The best moment in the entire run might be the morning of the 27th of August, with a slightly bigger 3 ft SW swell at 15 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 399—still moderate at best. The wind is light from the WSW, cross-onshore, and the surf is still described as marginal. Honestly, it's not a standout, it's just the least poor option.

For the rest of the period, we're stuck with cross-onshore winds, mostly from the W or WNW, with choppy, small surf. The swell size rarely breaks 2 ft, and the period is often long, but the wind just ruins it. The crowds at El Cardon can be an issue sometimes, but with conditions this poor, that won't be a problem. There's just no quality surf to chase here. This is a blank run for the area—nothing to get excited about, and it's going to take a change in the weather pattern to turn things around. Keep the board waxed and hope the forecasts shift.

Rusty.

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