El Cardon Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.91° N 114.46° W

El Cardon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Cardon sea temperature is
19.5° C
0.1° 

El Cardon surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Cardon surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 15s period, SW swell with 623 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:

The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 1.2m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Wed 15th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 16s
Best Surf 8AM (Sun 19th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 13s
Most Powerful 5PM (Sun 19th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, well, it’s a bit of a slow start here. The swell is pretty limp for the first week and a half, with most days just offering small, messy lines. The wind is almost always cross-onshore, so the wave faces are going to be choppy and not much fun. We’ve got a long stretch of sub-par surf from the 15th of July right through until the 23rd of July, with only a couple of mornings where the wind might swing a touch more favourable, but it’s still tiny.

The only real standout window is the morning of the 24th of July. The water temp is sitting at 67°, which is bang on normal for the time of year, so no surprises there. On the morning of the 24th, we see a modest bump in swell from the SSW, with waves around 5ft and a period of 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy hits 1169, which is a solid, punchy level. The wind is forecast to be light and from the SW, which is a clean offshore for El Cardon. That’s the day to get out there. The size is still manageable for intermediates, but it’s a point break, so the long-period swell will wrap in nicely and offer some good shape. It’s a consistent spot, but crowds are sometimes a thing here, so don’t expect it to be empty.

After that, it drops back off again. The 25th of July has a similar size swell but the wind just gets messy again. The 26th of July through to the 30th of July is mostly small, with cross-onshore winds and poor conditions. There’s a morning on the 27th of July with a light offshore wind and 3ft swell from the SW, but it's nothing to get too excited about. The 28th of July has a couple of marginal mornings, but the wind isn’t clean enough to make it a proper session.

Honestly, the 24th of July morning is your best bet. The rest of the 16-day run is a write-off for a good paddle. The setup is a point break, so if the wind was better, it’d be a dream, but most of the time the waves are just a bit too weak and choppy to be worth the fight.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat morning, min 18°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
17
0.5
SW
16
0.5
SW
16
0.5
SW
16
0.5
SW
15
0.5
SW
19
0.4
SW
19
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
17
0.7
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
1.2
SSW
13
1.2
SW
12
1.2
SW
15
1.1
SW
12
0.8
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
75
127
125
122
109
181
102
102
190
290
257
479
442
623
361
299
206
291
269
266
214
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
10
WSW
5
W
10
SW
15
W
0
NNW
15
SSW
15
W
5
NW
15
W
20
WNW
10
WNW
15
W
20
WNW
10
WNW
15
W
20
W
5
W
10
WSW
15
W
5
WSW
Wind State
on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
10:59AM1.87m
10:09PM2.60m
11:39AM1.91m
10:54PM2.41m
12:18PM1.94m
11:40PM2.15m
12:57PM1.97m
00:27AM1.88m
1:37PM1.98m
1:23AM1.61m
2:21PM1.99m
2:43AM1.39m
3:10PM2.00m
5:00AM1.29m
Low Tide
3:57PM0.99m
5:12AM0.05m
4:49PM0.99m
5:49AM0.23m
5:44PM1.01m
6:23AM0.44m
6:45PM1.03m
6:54AM0.67m
7:58PM1.04m
7:23AM0.88m
9:26PM1.01m
7:53AM1.06m
11:00PM0.91m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:36
7:36
7:35
 mm
Temp °C
23
24
20
24
25
22
24
25
22
25
24
22
23
24
20
22
23
20
22
23
21
Feels °C
24
24
21
23
24
23
23
25
22
25
23
22
21
22
19
21
21
20
22
22
22
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.

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