Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, SW swell with 1,942 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 2.3m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down El Cardon over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, the first week is a bit of a slog. We've got small, bumpy swell and a lot of cross-onshore wind. The water is a real weird one though – it's sitting at 78°F and that's a massive 8°F warmer than usual. It's like a hot tub.
There's a pulse building from September 4th, with the swell slowly climbing from a weak 3ft to a bit more size by the 6th and 7th, but the wind just won't cooperate. The morning of Sunday the 6th is the best of a rough patch, with a 6ft SSW swell (moderate energy) but that cross-on wind is still there. It's a point break, so it can handle some direction, but it's not going to be clean. The 7th gets lumpy and choppy with an 19 mph cross-shore wind, and the swell period drops to 12 seconds. That's rough.
After a couple of rainy days, the 10th of September Thursday morning and afternoon actually look clean. A 3ft SW groundswell (period 16 seconds) with a cross-offshore wind from the north. The energy is moderate. It's small, but it'll be the cleanest the point has been all week. The crowds are possible here, so you might bump into a few others.
The one true standout in this whole forecast is the 11th of September Friday morning. The swell is a modest 2ft from the SW (period 15 seconds), but it's glassy. Dead flat calm. That's the session you want. For a point break like El Cardon, a long period groundswell like this will wrap in beautifully, offering clean, long lines. The crowd profile says "sometimes", so it could be worth getting up early for a peaceful, glassy session. The energy is light, but with perfect conditions, it's all about quality.
After that, it's back to small, choppy, and mostly poor for the rest of the second week. The 14th of September Monday morning has a weird little 5ft WNW swell with a super short period of 6 seconds – that's windswell, and it's going to be a mess. Not worth the paddle.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off for anything truly good. The 10th offers a clean but small window. The absolute best on offer is the glassy morning of the 11th of September. Everything else is a struggle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Tue afternoon, min 20°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 65 | 107 | 167 | 169 | 215 | 217 | 452 | 493 | 560 | 587 | 589 | 730 | 799 | 1143 | 1408 | 1621 | 1942 | 1498 | 970 | 273 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 00:21AM1.61m | 12:21PM2.26m | 1:33AM1.38m | 1:12PM2.18m | 4:33AM1.27m | 2:34PM2.10m | 7:24AM1.44m | 4:25PM2.11m | 7:33AM1.60m | 5:51PM2.23m | 7:58AM1.77m | 6:53PM2.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:25PM0.64m | 5:34AM0.91m | 7:35PM0.70m | 5:57AM1.09m | 9:21PM0.72m | 6:02AM1.26m | 11:16PM0.60m | 9:02AM1.43m | 00:29AM0.42m | 11:39AM1.35m | 1:17AM0.26m | 12:49PM1.16m | 1:57AM0.16m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | 6:59 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:55 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:53 | — | — | 6:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 26 |
Feels °C | 24 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 10 |
| kJ | 65 | 70 | 79 | 66 | 135 | 86 | 68 | 105 | 560 | 587 | 589 | 730 | 799 | 1143 | 1408 | 1621 | 1942 | 1498 | 970 | 273 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 17 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 11 | WSW 10 | WNW 10 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 23 | 107 | 167 | 89 | 51 | 217 | 452 | 493 | 45 | 21 | 12 | 30 | 11 | 38 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 120 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WNW 6 | W 14 | WSW 10 | WNW 6 | — | W 12 | W 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 49 | 66 | 93 | 169 | 215 | 34 | 42 | 28 | 28 | 32 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | — | 3 | 4 | 13 | 50 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 39 | — | — | 123 | — | — | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 446 | 410 | 494 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 495 | 355 | 495 | 495 | 130 | 130 | 382 | 153 | 352 | 196 | 196 | 494 | 446 | 213 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
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