Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SW swell with 418 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 0.8m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Well folks, it’s Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at El Cardon are lookin’ grim for proper paddle surfing. The whole 16‑day window is a wash for decent waves. Every single session the wind ruining it – mostly cross‑onshore or onshore, rarely clean. The swell’s got some size and energy later, but it’s all for nothin’ when the breeze won’t cooperate. Water temp’s around 66°, which is pretty normal for July – no surprises there.
Starting out Monday 13th through the week, it’s ankle‑slappers with a long‑period SW groundswell (19 sec) but cross‑onshore 12 mph winds making it choppy and ugly. Wave heights barely hit 1‑2 ft. That pattern sticks for days. By Saturday 18th the swell picks up a bit (3 ft, 12‑18 sec) and combined energy jumps into the 500s – that’s a moderate push – but again the wind swings cross‑onshore or moderate breeze, so expect messy lines. No real improvement through the second week either. Around Thursday 23rd we see a spike to 5 ft from the SSW with energy hitting 822, but that’s accompanied by a 12 mph WNW cross‑onshore – more chop than face.
Even the few sessions labelled “marginal” (like Sunday 19th morning or Thursday 23rd morning) still have cross‑onshore or onshore wind, and the waves are tiny. There’s no standout day where wind goes light offshore – the optimum direction (NE) never shows up. This spot needs a clean W swell and offshore air, and we ain’t gettin’ either. For a consistent point break that rarely cleans up, it’s a tough stretch. Honestly, if you’re desperate for a paddle, the best you’ll find is a waist‑high bump with a side‑shore chop – not worth the drive. I’d save the wax for another week. Forecasts can change, but right now there’s nothing to get excited about.
– Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 20°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | WNW 9 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 96 | 67 | 83 | 154 | 152 | 75 | 127 | 125 | 122 | 110 | 181 | 90 | 73 | 188 | 246 | 175 | 157 | 293 | 283 | 248 | 299 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:36PM2.76m | 10:18AM1.82m | 9:23PM2.72m | 10:59AM1.87m | 10:09PM2.60m | 11:39AM1.91m | 10:54PM2.41m | 12:18PM1.94m | 11:40PM2.15m | 12:57PM1.97m | 00:27AM1.88m | 1:37PM1.98m | 1:23AM1.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:14PM1.07m | 3:50AM-0.12m | 3:06PM1.02m | 4:32AM-0.07m | 3:57PM0.99m | 5:12AM0.05m | 4:49PM0.99m | 5:49AM0.23m | 5:44PM1.01m | 6:23AM0.44m | 6:45PM1.03m | 6:54AM0.67m | 7:58PM1.04m | 7:23AM0.88m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 |
 | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | 7:36 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 21 | 24 | 26 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 22 |
Feels °C | 23 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 18 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | W 5 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 93 | 13 | 13 | 154 | 47 | 15 | 13 | 125 | 39 | 44 | 62 | 73 | 73 | 70 | 204 | 175 | 102 | 293 | 283 | 248 | 299 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | W 5 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 |
| kJ | 96 | 67 | 67 | 44 | 152 | 75 | 127 | 13 | 122 | 110 | 181 | 73 | 73 | 188 | 246 | 132 | 157 | 64 | 83 | 55 | 32 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | SW 19 | SW 18 | NW 9 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 12 | W 20 | SW 14 | SW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | WNW 8 | W 17 | WNW 8 | W 16 | W 16 | W 4 | WNW 15 |
| kJ | 20 | 59 | 83 | 14 | 42 | 29 | 29 | 71 | 13 | 33 | 74 | 90 | 71 | 106 | 48 | 153 | 39 | 131 | 129 | 10 | 79 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 4 | W 5 |
| kJ | 6 | — | — | 14 | — | — | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48 | — | 26 | 51 | 13 | 12 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 355 | 213 | 495 | 355 | 380 | 446 | 355 | 196 | 627 | 355 | 175 | 355 | 355 | 130 | 355 | 355 | 196 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 495 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
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