Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 24s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 21s period, SW swell with 763 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 0.9m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 24s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 21s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's cooking at El Cardon over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, looking at the whole picture, it's a tough stretch ahead. The forecast is calling for a lot of cross-onshore winds and small, messy swell, which means clean, rideable waves are going to be hard to come by. There's a long gap of poor conditions right through the first week and into the next.
The only real standouts, and I’m being cautious here, are a few mornings late in the run. The best window looks like the morning of Saturday the 25th of July, and then maybe the morning of Wednesday the 29th of July. On Saturday the 25th, we’ve got a clean offshore wind from the SW, with a 2ft swell coming from the same direction. The period is a very long 21 seconds, which is proper groundswell energy for this point break. The combined energy is strong (632). It’s not big, but it’ll be clean and lined up. The offshore wind is a major positive here. Wednesday the 29th morning is similar – glassy conditions with a SW offshore wind, a 3ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, and moderate energy (558). It’s marginal, but it’s the best of a bad lot.
Keep in mind, El Cardon is a consistent point break, so it usually holds shape, but the wind has been a problem all forecast. The water temperature is sitting at 69.3°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Crowds are possible here, so if you’re chasing those clean mornings, you might have some company.
For the rest of the period, don't hold your breath. The mornings of the 24th, 26th, 27th, and 28th of July all have light offshore winds, but the swell is either too small or the period is off, and the surf quality is listed as marginal at best. The afternoons are consistently blown out with cross-onshore breezes. The tail end of the forecast, into the first of August, the swell drops right off and the period gets short, so that’s a no-go.
So, if you’re keen, pencil in the 25th and 29th of July for a dawn patrol. The rest of the time, it’s not worth the paddle out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat morning, min 19°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 20°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | W 17 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WNW 7 | SSW 13 | WNW 7 | SSW 13 | SW 24 | SSW 12 | SW 21 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 246 | 149 | 230 | 156 | 164 | 299 | 302 | 302 | 295 | 269 | 262 | 206 | 164 | 162 | 134 | 151 | 70 | 145 | 347 | 196 | 763 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:57PM1.97m | 00:27AM1.88m | 1:37PM1.98m | 1:23AM1.61m | 2:21PM1.99m | 2:43AM1.39m | 3:10PM2.00m | 5:00AM1.29m | 4:08PM2.02m | 7:08AM1.35m | 5:08PM2.06m | 8:00AM1.44m | 6:03PM2.13m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:45PM1.03m | 6:54AM0.67m | 7:58PM1.04m | 7:23AM0.88m | 9:26PM1.01m | 7:53AM1.06m | 11:00PM0.91m | 8:32AM1.21m | 00:14AM0.77m | 9:47AM1.31m | 1:05AM0.63m | 11:16AM1.34m | 1:45AM0.50m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | |  | |
 | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:34 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
Feels °C | 24 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | NW 9 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 21 |
| kJ | 246 | 36 | 230 | 156 | 164 | 299 | 302 | 302 | 295 | 269 | 262 | 96 | 82 | 62 | 132 | 70 | 62 | 51 | 145 | 196 | 763 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | W 17 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | WNW 5 | WNW 14 | WNW 5 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 6 | W 6 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 49 | 149 | 39 | 152 | 66 | 63 | 68 | 33 | 8 | 69 | 13 | 206 | 164 | 162 | 134 | 151 | 70 | 145 | 29 | 18 | 187 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSW 13 | W 16 | W 16 | W 16 | W 16 | W 15 | WNW 15 | SSW 8 | SW 8 | SW 8 | WNW 14 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | SSW 11 | SW 25 | SW 24 | SW 23 | W 6 |
| kJ | 85 | 55 | 134 | 131 | 129 | 122 | 121 | 76 | 28 | 17 | 16 | 38 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 31 | 48 | 96 | 347 | 193 | 16 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 2 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | — | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 6 |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | 26 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 6 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 446 | 446 | 355 | 446 | 355 | 355 | 494 | 494 | 355 | 495 | 494 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 255 | 130 | 355 | 130 | 355 | 355 | 355 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
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