Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 21s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 834 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 21s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 21s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 1.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 21s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for this stretch.
Well, I gotta be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one. We’ve got a 16-day window, but honestly, it’s looking pretty grim for most of it. The wave energy is there in the first week, with some solid readings, but the wind is just ruining it. The swell is coming from the SW and SSW, which is a decent direction for El Cardon (point), but it’s not lining up with the west optimum swell direction, so the waves are a bit gutless and messy.
The first real chance to get wet is Saturday the 25th of July. It’s not great, but it’s the best we’ve got. The morning session is your best bet. We’re looking at a 2ft SW swell with a very long period of 21 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’ll have plenty of energy, but that long period at a point break like El Cardon? That’s a good thing – it’ll wrap in nicely. The issue is the wind. It’s a light cross-shore from the WNW at 6 mph. It’s not clean, but it’s light cross-shore, so it’s not wrecking it completely. It’s a marginal one, but it’s the best on offer. The water is about average for the time of year.
Sunday the 26th of July, the morning is still a bit of a struggle with a cross-on wind, and by the afternoon, the wind picks up to 12 mph from the WNW, making it choppy and poor. The swell bumps up to 3ft, but it’s not worth it.
The rest of the first week and into the second week is a write-off. The wind is almost always cross-on and sometimes onshore, with speeds picking up to 12 mph or more. The swell hangs around 3ft to 5ft, but the period drops from 18 seconds down to 13 seconds, and the energy is being wasted by the wind. It’s all marked as poor surf conditions.
Then we hit a massive gap. From the 1st of August all the way through to the 9th of August, the swell drops off a cliff. We’re talking 1ft to 2ft of weak, wind-chopped slop. It’s a long, flat spell. The winds are still cross-on or onshore, so even if there was a bump, it’d be a mess.
So, to be honest, the only standout is the morning of Saturday the 25th of July. It’s not a classic, but it’s the only window where the swell is substantial and the wind is light. If you’re desperate, get out there early. Otherwise, leave the board in the car and wait for the next system.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat morning, min 20°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Tue morning, min 20°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 763 | 441 | 537 | 723 | 483 | 602 | 602 | 710 | 459 | 671 | 655 | 633 | 508 | 441 | 436 | 480 | 522 | 602 | 702 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 8:29AM1.52m | 6:50PM2.22m | 8:54AM1.59m | 7:32PM2.32m | 9:19AM1.65m | 8:09PM2.40m | 9:44AM1.71m | 8:45PM2.44m | 10:10AM1.76m | 9:18PM2.45m | 10:36AM1.83m | 9:51PM2.40m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:45AM0.50m | 12:22PM1.31m | 2:19AM0.38m | 1:10PM1.24m | 2:51AM0.30m | 1:51PM1.16m | 3:20AM0.23m | 2:28PM1.09m | 3:48AM0.21m | 3:04PM1.02m | 4:15AM0.22m | 3:41PM0.97m | 4:40AM0.26m | ||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 22 |
Feels °C | 22 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | WNW 8 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 763 | 66 | 537 | 723 | 483 | 602 | 602 | 710 | 459 | 671 | 655 | 633 | 508 | 441 | 436 | 480 | 522 | 602 | 702 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | SW 21 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 83 | 441 | 43 | 41 | 29 | 44 | 35 | 38 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 45 | 43 | 48 | 47 | 46 | 54 | 48 | 40 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 15 | WNW 9 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 9 | SW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | — | — |
| kJ | 36 | 27 | 36 | 33 | 8 | 30 | 61 | 14 | 23 | 36 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 2 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 355 | 446 | 355 | 196 | 355 | 355 | 255 | 355 | 355 | 196 | 355 | 355 | 130 | 355 | 355 | 175 | 627 | 355 | 199 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our El Cardon surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
Nearest