Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period, SW swell with 243 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 0.6m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s be straight with you: the next 16 days at El Cardon are a real test of patience. The whole stretch is a long, drawn-out run of small, messy, onshore chop. There’s no proper window of clean, rideable surf here. The whole period is a write-off for a good paddle session.
We start off Sunday the 2nd of August with a tiny 2ft SW swell, but the wind is a cross-onshore hammering at 15 mph, and the water is a touch warmer than normal at 70°. The combined energy is moderate (231), but it’s all for nothing – the surface is torn up and choppy. That’s the story for the next couple of weeks. Every morning brings a light cross-onshore breeze, and every afternoon picks up to a moderate or gentle cross-onshore. The swell never gets above 3ft, and the period hops around but the wind just ruins it.
There’s a brief flicker on the morning of Monday the 17th of August. The swell jumps to 5ft from the WNW, but it’s a short-period, wind-driven 7 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to a strong 530. The wind goes light and offshore from the SW, which is a tease. But the forecast says it’s marginal, with questionable tide conditions. For a point break like El Cardon, that short-period, wind-driven swell will just be a lumpy, closed-out mess. It’s not the kind of long-period groundswell this break needs to shine.
Honestly, if you’re looking at this set-up with the consistent cross-onshore wind and small, weak swell, it looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. There’s just nothing here for us. The forecasts can change, and it can’t stay this poor forever, but right now, the outlook is a blank.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun afternoon, min 19°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 21°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 84 | 78 | 67 | 66 | 65 | 78 | 134 | 54 | 125 | 95 | 116 | 84 | 84 | 118 | 118 | 147 | 143 | 171 | 169 | 107 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:40PM1.95m | 12:31PM2.09m | 00:28AM1.72m | 1:11PM2.13m | 1:35AM1.49m | 2:02PM2.15m | 3:29AM1.32m | 3:11PM2.18m | 6:07AM1.34m | 4:32PM2.24m | 7:27AM1.49m | 5:48PM2.37m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:48PM0.90m | 5:55AM0.61m | 6:46PM0.90m | 6:23AM0.77m | 7:59PM0.88m | 6:56AM0.95m | 9:36PM0.81m | 7:41AM1.12m | 11:17PM0.65m | 9:08AM1.27m | 00:32AM0.43m | 11:04AM1.31m | 1:28AM0.22m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:23 | — | — | 7:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 22 |
Feels °C | 24 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 84 | 56 | 67 | 56 | 55 | 56 | 55 | 47 | 125 | 95 | 116 | 84 | 84 | 82 | 82 | 147 | 143 | 171 | 169 | 107 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | NW 8 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WNW 4 |
| kJ | 80 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 41 | 78 | 134 | 54 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 18 | 50 | 118 | 118 | 53 | 50 | 36 | 35 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | WSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 13 | W 6 | SW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 12 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 21 | WNW 4 | WNW 8 | NW 10 | WNW 4 | NW 9 | W 15 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 8 | 30 | 66 | 66 | 65 | 42 | 1 | 38 | 18 | 14 | 60 | 61 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 32 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 2 | — | — | WNW 2 | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | — |
| kJ | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 26 | — | — | 18 | 7 | 6 | 6 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 355 | 255 | 446 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 130 | 355 | 355 | 196 | 355 | 355 | 196 | 355 | 355 | 213 | 355 | 355 | 196 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
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