Surf Forecasts:
El Cardon surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, SSW swell with 312 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Cardon this week:
The surf forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at El Cardon in the next 16 days are 0.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Cardon over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty quiet for El Cardon. We've got a run of small, weak surf with cross-onshore winds messing up any real clean lines. It’s not gonna be a total loss, but you’re gonna have to pick your moments.
The first stretch, from Thursday the 30th through the end of the first week of August, is looking like a write-off. We're talking tiny waves, mostly under 3 feet, with a moderate cross-onshore breeze making things choppy. The energy is weak too, with combined swell energy readings in the 130s to 220s (moderate at best). There's a long-period SSW groundswell trying to push through on the 30th, but the wind just murders it. You’d be fighting for scraps out there.
There’s a bit of a lift towards the middle of next week. Monday the 4th has a touch more size, but it's still a mixed bag with a short-period WNW windswell. Not inspiring. The mornings are your only real hope as the light offshore or calm winds are there before the afternoon sea-breeze kicks in. But with wave heights stuck around 2 to 2 feet, it’s not worth getting too excited.
Now, if you’re willing to wait it out, there is a little something on the horizon. Around the 11th and 12th of August, we see a better pulse of energy coming in from the SW. The period stretches out nicely to 17-18 seconds on the 11th, and the energy readings jump up into the 340s and 380s (moderate to strong). This is proper groundswell. For a point break like El Cardon, which is exposed to the west, this should wrap in with a bit more push and shape. The big caveat is the wind – it's still cross-on from the WNW most afternoons. But with that kind of period, there should be some cleaner sets to be found, especially in the mornings before the breeze gets on it.
Further out, on the 13th and 14th, there’s more of the same kind of SW energy, but it looks a little more inconsistent. The promise is there, but it’s a long-range call. Near-term, we know what we've got, and it's not much. Long-range, it’s got potential. Keep your eyes on the horizon and be patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 18°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 20 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 384 | 299 | 121 | 120 | 120 | 56 | 96 | 88 | 87 | 84 | 78 | 71 | 75 | 75 | 76 | 134 | 58 | 97 | 68 | 65 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:51PM2.40m | 11:02AM1.90m | 10:25PM2.29m | 11:29AM1.97m | 11:01PM2.14m | 11:58AM2.03m | 11:40PM1.95m | 12:31PM2.09m | 00:28AM1.72m | 1:11PM2.13m | 1:35AM1.49m | 2:02PM2.15m | 3:29AM1.32m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:41PM0.97m | 4:40AM0.26m | 4:19PM0.94m | 5:05AM0.35m | 5:01PM0.91m | 5:29AM0.47m | 5:48PM0.90m | 5:55AM0.61m | 6:46PM0.90m | 6:23AM0.77m | 7:59PM0.88m | 6:56AM0.95m | 9:36PM0.81m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — |
 | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:25 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 22 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 10 | SW 14 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 384 | 299 | 121 | 120 | 120 | 33 | 96 | 38 | 46 | 46 | 38 | 71 | 75 | 75 | 76 | 75 | 58 | 51 | 48 | 65 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | WNW 5 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | WNW 5 | SSW 12 | SW 9 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 1 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 7 | 56 | 29 | 88 | 87 | 84 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 41 | 57 | 134 | 54 | 97 | 68 | 32 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 8 | WNW 5 | — | SW 8 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 13 | W 6 | SW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 12 | SW 20 |
| kJ | — | 15 | 8 | — | 18 | 54 | 15 | 26 | 10 | 80 | 30 | 66 | 66 | 65 | 42 | 1 | 38 | 18 | 14 | 60 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 9 | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 37 | 34 | — | 65 | — | — | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 355 | 355 | 355 | 446 | 355 | 446 | 446 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 335 | 660 | 355 | 130 | 660 | 355 | 130 | 355 | 355 | 355 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Norte | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the El Cardon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for El Cardon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Cardon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Cardon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Cardon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Cardon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Baja Norte? If you are looking for accommodation near El Cardon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Baja Norte, consider staying in Santa Isabel which is 123 km (76 miles) away.
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