Cabo Blanco Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the surf ahead. I’ve been staring at the charts for Cabo Blanco, and I’ve got to be straight with you: it’s looking bleak. This is a classic case where the ocean is just not cooperating. We’ve got a 16-day stretch ahead, and honestly, the surf forecast is about as exciting as a flat tire.

Right out of the gate, there’s nothing. The entire period is a washout. The energy is weak, and the wind is wrong. We are looking at a long, frustrating gap with no real surf on offer. The swell that does show up is tiny, often under 1.5ft, and it’s coming from the southwest, which is exactly the wrong direction for this spot. Cabo Blanco is a point break that needs a good northwest groundswell to get any real shape, and we just don’t see it. Instead, we have short-period, weak southwest slop. It’s the kind of stuff that just doesn’t have any push or power.

The wind is a constant problem too. It’s cross-shore for almost the entire window, which chops up anything that might try to form. There are moments of lighter breezes, like on the morning of August 27th, but the swell is a flat zero. The afternoons are worse, with fresh breezes just adding to the mess. On August 29th, we even get a strong breeze with a proper cross-chop. It’s not just poor for surfing; with that kind of wind and weak swell, it looks more interesting for a kite surfer than anyone trying to paddle out.

The only thing notable is the water temp. On the first day, August 25th, it’s at 74.5°F, which is a massive 9.0°F warmer than average for this time of year. That’s a big anomaly, but it’s small comfort when there’s nothing to ride. The water is warm, but the surf is dead.

There is a small pulse of energy showing on September 9th, a Wednesday, with a swell of 0.6ft from the west-southwest, but the period is a long 24 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, but it’s so small and coming from the wrong direction that it’s not going to do anything here. The combined energy is 85, which is still weak. And even if it did show, the wind is fresh and cross-shore, so it would be a mess anyway.

I hate to say it, but there is just nothing on the cards for the whole 16-day window. This break is marked as fairly consistent, so this kind of blank run is a bit unusual, but the ingredients just aren't there. Sometimes the ocean just shuts down. We’re better off saving our energy for the next swell. Keep an eye on the charts, because it won’t stay this bad forever, but for now, the boards are staying in the shed.

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