Cabo Blanco Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break down what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks. I’ll level with you, it’s a rough stretch. The forecast is pretty grim for Cabo Blanco, a point break that really needs a solid, clean push to get good, and we just ain’t gettin’ it. The water is a balmy 77°F, which is a whopping 11° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s freakishly warm, like the ocean forgot what season it is.

We’ve got a long gap of nothing but tiny, weak surf. The first recommendation is on Tuesday, August 18th, but honestly, it’s a write-off. The swell is a pathetic 0.3ft from the NW with a period of 11 seconds, but the wind is a strong 25 mph cross-shore from the SSW. The combined swell energy is a miserable 6, and the wave comment is “poor surf conditions”. It’s a total mess. That pattern just keeps rolling. Wednesday the 19th is even worse, with a 0.3ft from the W, and even though the morning has a clean cross-off 12 mph wind, there’s simply no swell to work with. The energy is 5. Thursday the 20th through to the end of the month is a blur of tiny swell, rarely hitting 2ft, with periods so short (2-4 seconds) they’re just wind slop. The wind is almost always a cross or cross-on shore, from the SW or SSW, ranging from 6 to 25 mph. The combined energy rarely breaks 32, and it’s consistently labelled “poor surf conditions”.

There is a slight uptick in the first week of September. On Saturday, August 29th, we see a 0.3ft NW swell with an 11-second period, and the wind is a light 3 mph cross-on shore. The energy is 8, but it’s still tiny. The best of a bad bunch might be Friday, August 28th afternoon, where we get a 1ft NW swell with a 12-second period, and the energy is 26. Still, with a 12 mph cross-on wind, it’s not going to be pretty. The last possible glimmer is on Wednesday, September 2nd afternoon, a 0.3ft NW swell with a 12-second period and 12 mph cross wind, energy a low 5.

There is honestly no standout session here. The biggest “swell” is 4ft on Sunday, August 23rd afternoon, but it’s from the SW with a 4-second period and a 19 mph cross-shore. That’s just a washing machine. For a point break like Cabo Blanco, which is exposed to the optimum NNW direction, this constant SW and NW windswell is completely wrong. The consistency is “fairly consistent”, but there’s nothing consistent to be consistent with. For a more advanced wave, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, as the wind is strong and cross-shore most of the time.

Keep your eyes peeled on the charts, but for now, my call is to hang the board up and watch the horizon. It’s a blank run, and for this stretch of coast, that’s par for the course. It won’t stay flat forever, but this window is a total dud.

Rusty

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