Ambatia Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the surf window for Ambatia Beach over the next 16 days is looking pretty flat and sad. There’s nothing here that’s going to get you out of bed early, and honestly, the swell just isn’t showing up. It’s one of those stretches where the ocean looks more like a lake than a surf spot.

The water is running warm, around 30°, which is a couple of degrees hotter than usual for this time of year – that’s noticeable. You’ll feel that bathwater when you’re sitting out there, which, with the lack of waves, might be the only saving grace.

From the 13th through the 16th, we’re seeing tiny dribbles of swell, nothing over 0.8m, and it’s mostly short-period slop. The mornings are glassy and calm, which is a tease, but the afternoon winds swing onshore and chop things up. It’s not worth the paddle.

The middle of the window, from the 17th to the 21st, is more of the same – the swell stays small, mostly around 0.5m to 0.7m, with period under 8 seconds. There’s a bit of cross-off wind on the morning of the 18th, giving it a clean look, but the energy just isn’t there. You’d be on a foamie chasing whitewash, if anything. The combined energy is weak, sitting around 15 to 40 in the brackets. Not even a hint of power.

We get a slight bump around the 22nd and 23rd, with the swell nudging up to 0.6m, but it’s still short-period and mostly onshore. The 22nd morning has a little cross-on ripple, but nothing that builds. The 23rd morning is glassy again, but the swell is fading back to 0.4m. It’s a tough watch.

The last few days, from the 25th through the 28th, we see a slight uptick on the 27th, with 0.9m of WNW swell at a 7-second period. The energy jumps up a bit to around 77 in the brackets, but the wind is blowing onshore at 20 km/h, so it’ll be messy. The morning of the 27th has some clouds and a light onshore breeze, so you might find a wave, but it’s not going to be pretty. The 28th morning looks glassy with 0.8m, but it’s still weak and short-period.

Bottom line: there are no good surf options in this 16-day stretch. Ambatia Beach needs a lot more juice and a better direction to get anything rideable. The blank run is a bit of a drag, but it happens in this region. The swell direction is from the west-northwest, which is sheltered for this break, so even when there is a pulse, it’s not doing much. I’d say keep the board in the car, but don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s looking like a solid rest week for your shoulders.

Rusty.

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