Wariruri Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Aruba. The short story? We’ve got a lot of wind and a lot of swell, but it’s not gonna be easy out there. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a grind for paddle surfing, honestly.

The first real swell we see kicks in Monday afternoon, the 27th of July, at Wariruri. It’s a beach and reef setup, very consistent, and it’s an exposed spot. The water is sitting at 82°F, which is about normal for this time of year. The swell is coming from the ENE at 5ft, but the period is a short 6 seconds – that’s windswell, not groundswell. The wind is a strong 25 mph offshore, which sounds clean, but it’s so strong it’s making it a real fight to paddle into anything. The combined wave energy is weak at 218, and the call is “poor surf conditions.” Not a great start.

Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th are a similar story. We’re looking at 5ft to 6ft of short-period E swell, with wind howling at 22-25 mph. The wind is cross-offshore or straight offshore, so the faces will be clean, but the wind is a fresh to strong breeze, making it incredibly hard to get into the waves. The combined energy stays moderate, in the 200s, but the quality is still poor.

Thursday the 30th sees a jump in size, with 8ft to 8ft of E swell, and the period finally stretches to 8 seconds. The combined energy climbs to a strong 706 and 804. But the wind is even stronger – 28 to 31 mph. That’s a near gale. The morning is cross-off and clean, but the afternoon is a screaming offshore. It’s going to be a washing machine out there, and honestly, for a beach and reef setup, this looks more like a kiteboarding session than a paddle surf session.

Friday the 31st of July is the first day we get a “marginal” rating rather than a flat-out “poor.” The swell holds at 8ft to 8ft from the E, with 8-second periods. The combined energy is still strong, hitting 1043 in the morning. The wind is still a strong breeze, 25-28 mph, but the morning is cross-off and clean. It’s a huge, powerful, and messy swell. This is for experts only, and even then, it’s going to be a battle.

The pattern repeats all the way through the first week of August. We get 7ft to 8ft of E swell, days with marginal ratings, and constant, strong offshore winds. The combined energy stays in the strong range, 465 to 636. It’s clean, but it’s relentless. For a beginner-friendly spot, these are not beginner conditions.

The second week, from the 5th of August onward, the swell drops back a touch to 6ft to 8ft, with periods of 6-8 seconds. The wind is still a solid 25-31 mph. The combined energy dips to moderate levels, around 263 to 278, before building back up to strong levels by the 6th and 7th. The 7th of August Friday sees near gale winds again with 8ft swell and 8-second period.

The best chance in this whole window, if you want to call it that, is the 11th of August. Tuesday morning gives us 10ft of ENE swell, with an 8-second period. The combined energy is a huge 1046, and the afternoon score jumps to 2 out of 10. The wind is still a strong 28 mph offshore, but it’s the biggest, most powerful pulse of the forecast. It’s a marginal session at best, but if you’re a hardcore expert looking for a beast, that’s your window. It’s a promise, not a guarantee, that far out.

Overall, it’s a tough run. The wind is the enemy here. If you’re a kitesurfer, you’re in luck. For a paddler, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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