Tres Picos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Well, it’s a bit of a mixed bag for us, and I gotta be straight with you—there’s no solid, clean swell on the cards for a while. The first proper surf worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Wednesday, 29 July, and it’s a bit of a tease. We’ve got a moderate 5 ft swell from the SW, with a period of 13 seconds, so there’s a little bit of groundswell energy in the water, but it’s not exactly firing. The combined energy sits at 873, which is moderate, but the wind is offshore from the SW at just 3 mph in the morning, which makes it pretty clean. Still, the conditions are described as marginal, so don’t expect a world-class session. The break is Tres Picos, and the water temp is a balmy 72°F, which is 9° warmer than normal—far warmer than usual for this time of year, so you’ll be comfy in a spring suit or even just a rashie.

From there, the surf drops off. The rest of the week and into the weekend is pretty poor. The swell sticks around the 3 ft to 5 ft range, but the wind is mostly cross-on from the S or SSE, making it choppy and messy. The combined energy drops to 345 by Friday afternoon, which is weak. Nothing worth chasing.

We hit a bit of a lull heading into the first week of August. Saturday, 1 August, and Sunday, 2 August, have tiny 2 ft to 3 ft SW swell with periods of 11 to 14 seconds, but the wind is still messy. The energy is weak, around 354 to 477. Not a lot of push.

The next potential highlight is Tuesday, 4 August. The swell bumps up to 5 ft in the morning from the S, with a short period of 8 seconds, so it’s windswell, not groundswell. The wind is offshore from the SSW at 6 mph, but the combined energy is only 408, which is weak. The afternoon gets bigger at 6 ft, but the wind goes cross-on, and the energy is still moderate (578). It’s not great, and the short period means it’ll be a bit crumbly and hard to read. This is more of a challenge for experienced surfers, as over 5 ft starts to push beginners.

Then, keep an eye on Thursday, 6 August. We get a nice 4 ft SW groundswell with a very long period of 18 seconds in the morning, building to 4 ft with 16 seconds in the afternoon. The wind is offshore from the SW at 6 mph, so it’ll be glassy to clean. The combined energy jumps to 955 in the morning and 1095 in the afternoon, which is moderate to strong. Now, this is the standout of the whole forecast. Long-period swells like this one, with periods over 15 seconds, mean the waves will have real shape and power, but they can break a bit straight at beach breaks. Tres Picos is a point break, so this should line up nicely there. It’s the best on offer, but it’s more than a week away, so keep your fingers crossed. The wind is offshore, and the energy is solid. This is worth a paddle.

Beyond that, there’s a bit of a touch-and-go run. Friday, 7 August has a similar 5 ft SW swell at 15 seconds, but the wind goes cross-on, making it messier. Saturday, 8 August has a bigger 5 ft swell, but the wind is cross-on and the energy is high (1073), but the conditions are poor, so it’s a no-go.

The last potential window is Monday, 10 August, with a 4 ft SSW swell, a 14-second period, and offshore wind from the SSW at 6 mph. The energy is 805, which is moderate. It’s a marginal call, but it could be a fun morning session if the tide lines up.

Overall, the only real standout is Thursday, 6 August. The rest is a lot of marginal, choppy, or undersized surf. Be patient, and if that long-period swell comes through, it’ll be worth the wait.

Rusty.

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