Tres Picos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s coming up.

Honestly, the outlook is a bit of a bummer for the next two weeks. There’s some swell, sure, but the wind is going to be the enemy most of the time. The first real chance to get out is Monday the 7th, but it’s not a day to get excited about.

The pick of the bunch, if you can call it that, is Tres Picos. This is a consistent beginner-friendly spot, so it’s usually got something going on, but the conditions are going to be rough. The water is way warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 68°F—that’s a massive anomaly of 7°F, so it’s going to feel like a warm bath out there.

For Monday morning (September 7th), we’ve got a light cross-onshore breeze from the SSW at 6 mph. The swell is 3 ft from the SW with a period of 16 seconds, giving a moderate combined energy of 670. That’s a long-period groundswell (over 15 seconds), so it’ll have some punch and shape, but at this beach break it might be a bit too straight. The light cross-onshore wind will put a tiny ripple on the surface, so it’s not glassy, but it’s the best we’ve got.

The rest of the week is a total washout. From Tuesday through Saturday the 12th, the wind cranks up to a moderate 9-12 mph from the S and SSE, kicking the swell up to 4 ft-4 ft but turning it into a choppy, onshore mess. It’s poor surf, plain and simple.

We hit a serious flat spell from the 18th of September on. The swell drops to 2 ft, the combined energy falls into the low 100s, which is weak, and the wind is still a problem. There’s a little pulse on the 22nd (Tuesday) with a 4 ft-4 ft swell from the SSW and the wind going light and onshore, which might scrape a few marginal, funky waves—but it’s still a long shot.

Bottom line: if you’re itching to surf, Monday morning the 7th is your window. It’s small, a little bumpy, but the long-period swell will give you something to push into. After that, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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