Tres Picos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's coming up for this stretch of coast.

Alright, so we're looking at a 16-day window from now, and straight up I've got to tell you, there's nothing here that's going to get the blood pumping. The whole period is a bit of a flat, messy run with no real standouts. The first few days are particularly ordinary, and you'll be waiting a fair while before anything even gets close to interesting. There's a gap of a few days where it's just poor conditions before we see a slight lift.

Let's start with this coming Saturday morning, the 29th of August. There's a bit of swell in the water—around 6ft from the southwest with a 14-second period. The combined wave energy is at a strong 1324, which sounds big, but the wind is a cross-on from the south at 6 mph, and the water temp is sitting at 68°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year—that's a big anomaly of 6°. But mate, the surf is only marginal, and the conditions are just light cross-onshore with small wind ripples. It's not good.

Sunday the 30th is similar, with 5ft swell, still cross-on, and it's considered poor surf on the Sunday afternoon. Monday the 31st drops to 4ft, but the wind picks up to 12 mph on the afternoon—choppy and messy. That pattern of light cross-onshore or onshore winds and marginal to poor surf drags on for days. The 1st of September is tiny, with 2ft swell and a long 17-second period, but the cross-on wind is still a problem.

Now, there is one little blip that's worth a mention. On the morning of Friday the 4th of September, we see a touch more size. Swell is 5ft from the southwest, period 16 seconds, and the combined wave energy is up to 1245. The wind is a light cross-on from the south-southwest at 6 mph. It's the best of a very average bunch, but it's still only a "marginal" call with that cross-on angle. The 8th of September morning looks okay too—4ft, southwest swell, 15-second period, light cross-on breeze. Better than nothing, but far from epic.

Later in the window, on Sunday the 13th of September, we see a bump to 6ft from the south-southwest, but it's a short period of 8 seconds, which means it's windswell and won't have much shape. The energy is up at 1206, but it's onshore wind. Not one for the log.

Tres Picos is a consistent beginner-friendly break, but it's fairly exposed to the southwest swell. The optimum swell direction is southwest, which matches most of the swells, so at least it's aimed right. But the wind is always cross-on or onshore, and the forecast is just a long run of average to poor surf. It's not going to be clean. For a beginner spot with consistent waves, you might find something to ride on the better mornings, but don't expect any gems.

Honestly, the best on offer is the morning of the 4th of September—5ft at 16 seconds, southwest swell, and the lightest cross-on you'll get. That's your best chance for a half-decent session. The 8th of September morning is a secondary thought with 4ft at 15 seconds and light wind. Everything else is best left for a paddle or a coffee.

Rusty signing off.

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