Tres Picos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's on the menu for Tres Picos over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, mate, it's a bit of a slow burn for the first week or so. The swell is hanging around but it's mostly cross-on winds. We've got a persistent, gentle cross-onshore breeze that's keeping things a little choppy and messy at the break. The wave energy is mostly moderate, with readings in the 500–800 range, so it's not flat, but it's not exactly firing either. The best word for it is "marginal." The swell is a long-period groundswell coming from the SSW, which is good for shape, but the wind is a problem.

The water is super warm right now, about 69°, which is a massive 6° above normal for this time of year. That's unusual, so you'll be surfing in a t-shirt boardsies for sure, but the quality isn't there to match the temp.

The first real standout I can see with some promise is Sunday the 19th of July. We've got a solid bump in energy, hitting 1139 in the morning, which is the first time we crack the 1000 mark. Swell is a clean 6 ft from the SW, with a nice 13-second period. The wind is still cross-on, but it's only a light 3 mph, so it's not wrecking it too bad. It's still a "cross-on" and "light cross-onshore with small wind ripples," so it's not perfect, but it's the best quality we've seen in a while. The crowd factor is "sometimes" at Tres Picos, so you might have a few others out, but it's a consistent, fairly exposed spot, so there's plenty of room.

Then we have a bit of a lull with stronger winds on Monday the 20th that will make it choppy and ugly. Not worth it.

The next big one to keep an eye on is Sunday the 26th of July. This one is a beast. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the S, with a short 9-second period, and the energy is cranking at 1830. That's a powerful, strong swell. The crux is the wind is finally "on" from the SW, which is offshore for Tres Picos. If it holds, that morning session could be absolutely pumping. However, with that short period and a solid 8 ft, it's going to be a heavy, powerful wave. Definitely not for beginners; it's strictly for the experienced crew. The morning of the 26th is the best chance we get for a proper clean, offshore session with real size, so mark that date in your calendar.

In between, from the 21st to the 25th, it's a lot of cross-on, average conditions, or onshore winds with smaller swell. The 23rd and 24th have some S swell with short periods and moderate energy, but the wind is a cross-on mess again.

So, for the best bet, I'm looking at the morning of Sunday the 26th of July. That's the standout. If you can't wait, the morning of Sunday the 19th is a solid, smaller option. For the rest of it, it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

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