Tres Picos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board, it's Rusty here. Let's get straight into it.

You know, looking at the charts for the next couple of weeks, it's a bit of a mixed bag, but we've got some interesting stuff on the horizon. The biggest thing to note is that the first ten days or so are pretty average, with a lot of cross-onshore wind messing things up. But if you hang in there, the back end of the forecast period starts to look a lot more promising.

There's really only one spot on the menu here, and that's Tres Picos. It's consistent, which is a plus, and it’s set up for a beginner. Right now, though, the water is a warm 69° – much warmer than usual for this time of year, a solid 7° warmer than average, which is pretty unusual.

Let's run through it. Starting on Thursday the 10th, we've got a bit of a bump from the SW, 4ft at 14 seconds. That's a decent period, a proper groundswell, but the wind is a cross-on from the S at 12 mph, and the energy is moderate (760). It's choppy out there, and the quality is just poor.

Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th see the swell drop a little and the period crash to 8 seconds. Short period, wind-affected slop. The wind stays cross-onshore or onshore, so it's still looking pretty rough. Not worth paddling out, honestly.

We get a flicker of life on Monday the 14th. The swell is small, 3ft, but the period jumps to 18 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which often brings clean lines. The wind is a light cross-on, so surf quality is marginal, but it’s the best the first week has to offer. The energy is still moderate (728).

From there, it’s a stretch of poor conditions. The wind is a persistent S or SSW breeze, mostly a cross-on, and the swell stays small (2ft to 4ft) but with short periods. It’s just choppy and weak.

Now, for the standouts. The real action starts on Thursday the 24th of September. We get a tiny swell, only 2ft, but with a very long period of 22 seconds. That is a proper, long-range pulse. The wind is a light cross-on from the SSW, so it could be glassy enough to be clean. The energy is moderate to strong (619). It’s small, but it could be one of those sneaky, long-lined days at Tres Picos.

Then, Friday the 25th of September is your best bet. The morning and afternoon both show 3ft of swell at 20 seconds from the SW. The energy is strong (697 and 698). Again, the wind is a light cross-on from the S. It’s a marginal forecast due to the small size, but the period is so long that it should wrap in with clean, groomed faces. That is the standout of the whole outlook. Because the swell is only 3ft, it’s fine for everyone, and the long period will make it more organized.

With the persistent cross-onshore wind and that beach/reef setup, if the swell gets any stronger, this spot starts to look more like it’s made for a kite than a paddle.

Signing off.
Rusty.

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