38 Line Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty here, and let me tell you about 38 Line for the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a real mixed bag, with a whole lot of waiting for the good stuff.

We’re staring down a pretty bleak start. The first week is mostly small, with waves hovering around the 2ft to 4ft mark, but the real killer is the wind. It’s coming from the north-east, which is cross-onshore or cross-off at best, and that’s just turning the ocean into a messy, choppy, poor-quality affair. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate, and with a short, weak period of just 6 to 7 seconds, there’s no punch or shape to speak of. Honestly, there’s barely a wave worth paddling out for from Tuesday the 1st right through to the end of that first week.

There is a tiny glimmer on Wednesday afternoon, the 2nd, when the wind goes glassy for a moment. It’s still just a 3ft wave, and the “surfable” comment is a stretch, but it’s the only time the conditions aren’t completely offensive. Then again on the morning of Tuesday the 8th, we see another glassy window with a 3ft east-northeast swell. These are the only real breathers in a long week of junk.

Now, things start to get interesting heading into the second week. Wednesday morning, the 9th, the swell jumps to 6ft from the northeast, with a combined energy of 340 (moderate), but the wind is still cross-onshore and messy, so it's not the one.

The standout moment, the one you’ve been waiting for, is the morning of Thursday the 10th of September. The swell is a solid 5ft from the east-northeast, with a period of 9 seconds, giving it a bit more power and shape with a combined energy of 370. But the best part? The wind is completely glassy – dead calm, 0 mph. That’s a bluebird morning with clean, peeling lines. The easterly direction is also a great match for the break’s optimum, which is exposed to the east. This is the absolute highlight of the whole outlook.

Don’t get too excited about the afternoon, though. The wind swings around to the north-east and turns onshore, wrecking it.

The following days from Friday the 11th to Monday the 14th see a building swell, with heights climbing from 4ft up to a massive 10ft. But the wind remains stubbornly cross-onshore or cross, and the energy is moderate to strong. The 10ft bump on Sunday morning the 13th is the biggest of the run, but the forecast says it’s too big for this break, and with a combined energy of 1070, it’s got some serious grunt. That’s a day for the experts only, if anyone even tries it.

After that, the swell stays big but the wind gets even worse, whipping up to a 19 mph fresh breeze on Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th, making it a total write-off.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total dud. The only true standout, the one I’d be circling on the calendar, is the morning of Thursday the 10th. That glassy 5ft east-northeast swell is your best bet for a clean session. The rest of the second week has size but is blown out or too big. Keep your eyes on that Thursday morning.

Rusty.

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