Tenia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks for Tenia.

Alright, honestly, straight up – this is a tough stretch. We’ve got some serious size rolling in early on, but the wind is going to be a real problem for most of it. The first few days have some big swell, but the wind is just blowin’ sideways, making it a real battle out there. It starts to clean up a bit towards the middle of the week, but then the swell drops off and the wind turns onshore again. Let’s break it down.

We’re kicking off on Sunday, July 26th, with a big, powerful SSW groundswell. We’re looking at a solid 10 ft at 15 seconds. That’s a lot of energy – we’re talking about 4656 (moderate to strong wave energy) pumping into the reef. But the wind is a stiff 16 mph cross-shore from the SE, so it’s gonna be a messy, lumpy affair. Definitely not a beginner wave – that’s expert territory at that size, especially with the chop. The morning on Monday, July 27th, still has a decent 7 ft at 12 seconds, but the wind is still cross-shore, and it gets even stronger in the afternoon. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

Now, Wednesday, July 29th morning is where it gets interesting. The swell has dropped to a manageable 4 ft from the SSW, but the magic is in the wind. It’s glassy – a light 3 mph from the SSE. This is our window. The energy is down to 399 (weak wave energy), but it’ll be clean and workable for an intermediate. It’s a short window, though, as the wind shifts back to cross-shore by the afternoon.

Thursday, July 30th morning is also glassy, dead calm, with a tiny 2 ft swell from the SSW at a very long 16 seconds. That long period means it’ll be lining up, but it’s small. The energy is only 448 (weak). This is a longboard or a funboard kind of morning.

After that, things get rough again. From Friday, July 31st onwards, the wind turns onshore from the S and SSE, and the swell stays mixed. The wind is often cross-onshore, creating a chop. The size picks up again on Saturday, August 1st, with 5 ft to 6 ft, but with 12-16 mph cross-onshore wind, it’s just going to be a messy, blown-out wall. Not worth paddling out for a surf.

The trend continues into the first week of August. The onshore wind sticks around, and the swell stays bumpy and choppy. There’s a pulse of swell around August 4th (Tuesday) with 7 ft from the S, but again, the wind is a problem. We see a couple of cleaner days with smaller swell and cross-shore winds around August 5th and 6th, but the energy is low and the quality is marginal.

The best bet in this whole 16-day window, without a doubt, is Wednesday morning, July 29th. The glassy conditions and manageable 4 ft SSW swell will make for the cleanest, most enjoyable surf. The Thursday morning glass-off is also a solid option if you’ve got a big board and don’t mind tiny waves.

This is a real waiting game. The big swell is there, but the wind is a cruel mistress. Keep an eye on it, but don’t get your hopes up for the second week.

Rusty.

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