Tenia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right from the get-go, this Tenia window is a tough one. We’ve got a solid reef setup that’s fairly consistent, but the wind and the sea state are just making things messy for the next several days. The water is sitting at 73°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The opening stretch, from the 15th through the 19th, is pretty much a write-off. You’ve got swell in the water—picking up from 5ft up to 8ft by the 18th—but that SSE/SE wind is blowing cross-shore and lumping it all up. Moderate to fresh breezes with a cross-chop means it’s going to look like a washing machine out there. The energy is moderate for the most part (742 up to 3884), but it’s all for nothing when the surface is that blown out.

There’s a brief lull on the 20th and 21st. Swell drops a bit to 7ft and 5ft, and while Thursday morning has light winds, it’s still a cross-shore. The energy is still there (1200-1328), but it’s marginal at best. Friday’s a bit weaker.

Then we hit a proper flat spell. From the 22nd through the 24th, the swell just dies. We’re talking 1ft to 2ft with weak energy (86 down to 29). The 23rd afternoon is glassy, but there’s nothing to ride. It’s a dead period.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The surf starts to wake back up on the 25th. Tuesday morning has 5ft of SSW swell at 12 seconds, but it’s cross-onshore. But Tuesday afternoon is the standout of this whole stretch. The wind drops to zero, it’s glassy, and you’ve got 4ft of SSW groundswell rolling in at 12 seconds. It’s not huge, but it’s clean, and that’s a precious commodity around here. The energy is moderate (773), but the quality is there.

After that, the wind comes back with a vengeance. The 26th and 27th are back to choppy, cross-shore conditions with moderate to fresh breezes. The swell is still there (4ft to 5ft), but it’s messy.

The final run, from the 28th through the 30th, brings the biggest swell of the window. We’re talking 7ft, 8ft, and up to 10ft of SSW swell. The energy gets strong (2582 up to 3148). But this is where the size becomes a problem. At over 8ft, this is strictly for experts. And with the persistent SE cross-shore wind at 12-25 mph, it’s going to be a beast. Saturday the 29th afternoon is 10ft with a strong breeze, which is just full-on chaos.

So, if you’re looking for the one window to paddle out, it’s Tuesday afternoon, the 25th. It’s the only real clean surf in the whole period. For the rest, you’re either fighting the wind or waiting for a wave that never comes. Keep an eye on that 29th and 30th if you’re an expert and don’t mind the wind, but it’s a heavy call.

Rusty.

Read more