Tenia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Tenia.

To be straight with you, the first week and a half is a bit of a write-off. We’re looking at a long, frustrating gap where the surf just isn’t coming together. From the 12th of July right through to the 24th, the conditions are mostly messy—cross-shore winds, lumpy chop, and small, weak swell. There are a few moments where the wind drops and the sea glassed off, like Wednesday the 15th morning and Thursday the 16th afternoon, but the swell is either too small or the energy is just average. The 16th afternoon has a clean 4.3ft SSW swell with a 14-second period (moderate energy at 680), but it’s followed by more poor conditions. It’s a tease, not a standout.

The real story is the last few days of the forecast. The standouts are Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th. Saturday morning, the 25th, is the best of the bunch. The swell pulses up to 4.6ft from the SSW, with a period of 14 seconds, and the combined energy is a solid 1489—that’s strong. The wind is glassy, dead calm from the WSW, so the surface will be like a mirror. This is a reef break, so that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely, but it’s got enough power that it’s not for beginners. At 4.6ft, it’s a fun size for intermediates. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so you might have a few others out, but with that clean glass, it’ll be worth it.

Sunday the 26th morning is bigger, 8.2ft from the SSW with a 12-second period and combined energy at 1923—that’s very strong. That’s expert territory. The wind is light cross-shore from the NW, so it’s still clean, but at that size the reef will be cranking, and you’ll want to be on your game. The water temperature is 73.6°F with a small anomaly of 0.4°F, so it’s pretty average for this time of year—nothing unusual.

The 24th of July Friday is the warm-up. The morning has a 5.9ft SSW swell with a 9-second period and 717 energy, but the wind is cross-shore from the SE. It’s a bit lumpy, but the size is there. The afternoon jumps to 6.6ft with an 11-second period and 1466 energy, but again the cross-shore wind messes it up. Saturday morning is the clean window.

So, bottom line: sit tight through the first week and a half. The 25th of July, Saturday morning, is your best bet. Glassy conditions, solid groundswell, and a reef that knows how to handle it. Sunday the 26th is for the brave.

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