Tenia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut to it. The next two weeks are a real test of character. We’ve got a long dry spell to start, and then a big, powerful pulse of energy that’s only for the experienced. Don't get too excited early, because the first week is a dud.

From Sunday the 9th through the 17th, it’s flat and messy. The swell is tiny, the energy readings are weak, and the wind is all over the place. There’s a small window of glass on the Wednesday morning, but the surf is only about 0.7ft. It’s not worth the paddle. This is a solid week of nothing, so you might want to find another hobby for a few days.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Starting Tuesday the 18th, the ocean wakes up. A strong south swell pushes in, with waves hitting 7ft to 8ft. The energy readings are massive, up in the 2100-2200 range. That’s a powerful, heavy ocean. The wind is light and offshore out of the ESE, so it’s going to be clean and lined up. This is the standout period, but it’s strictly for the experts. This is not a beginner wave.

The spot to be is Tenia. It’s a reef break, so it can handle this kind of power. The swell direction is from the south, which is exactly what it wants, and it’s fairly consistent. Being exposed, it’s going to be solid. The water temp is 72°F, which is about par for the course. Just know that with a south swell this size, the sets are long and the power is unforgiving. You have to be on your game.

The clean conditions stick around into Thursday the 20th, with glassy or clean cross-off winds and surf still in the 7ft to 8ft range. The energy is still huge, over 1500. This is the second highlight, though the swell direction shifts a bit more to the southeast, which might make it slightly less perfect. Still, it’s a great couple of days.

After that, the swell fades fast and the wind gets messy again. The weekend of the 23rd and 24th drops off significantly, with the wind turning cross and fresh, and the surf down under 4ft. The energy just bleeds away. It’s back to the lumpy, choppy close-outs.

So, here’s the plan: hunker down for that first week, and then be ready for that Tuesday-to-Thursday window. That’s the real deal. The big south swell with light offshore winds at Tenia is the best thing on offer. It’s going to be a proper, heavy session for the crew who know what they’re doing. The rest is just noise.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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