Tenia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks at Tenia.

The forecast is a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a massive pulse of swell rolling in mid-week, but it's going to be a messy affair with the wind. The real standout window is actually later on, looking at Friday the 17th, which offers the best chance for some clean, offshore waves. There's a lot of junk to sift through to get there, so let's break it down.

Starting off this week, Monday the 6th is small, with a weak 3ft SSW swell at 12 seconds. The water temp is a pretty normal 74°F, which is about average for this time of year. The wind is a light cross-onshore, so it's not going to be great. The wave energy is moderate though, sitting at 392. Things pick up quickly but turn ugly. Tuesday the 7th sees a massive jump in swell, hitting 12ft to 13ft from the SSW with a very long period of 14 to 16 seconds, and the combined energy goes through the roof at 6503 to 7501. That's a lot of power, but it's all coming in with a moderate to fresh cross-onshore wind, making it choppy and poor. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s not going to be pretty. Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th keep the size up around 8ft to 12ft, but the wind stays on it, leaving the surf marginal and messy. Friday the 10th is a bit smaller at 7ft, but still cross-onshore. The wind swings offshore on Saturday the 11th morning, with that 7ft SSW swell. The wind is on though, so it's not clean, but it's a step in the right direction. Sunday the 12th drops right off to 3ft with a cross-shore wind, and Monday the 13th sees tiny, glassy conditions with a 3ft SSW swell. The combined energy is weak at 283, so it's small but clean.

Now, the standout. You want to circle Friday, 17th of July. The swell is a solid 7ft from the SSW with an 11-second period, giving a moderate 1089 combined energy. The real kicker is the wind: light rain and a gentle offshore breeze from the NE. This is the kind of setup that will make Tenia's reef work beautifully, offering clean, well-shaped waves. It's a reef break, so that long period groundswell will set up nicely. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but at 7ft it's going to be too much for beginners. Keep in mind that crowds are possible here, so get out early.

The days after that drop off again. Saturday the 18th has a long period swell but with a cross-onshore wind, and by Sunday the 19th, the wind picks up to a fresh breeze, making it lumpy and poor. The following week remains small and windy, with no real standouts.

So, the call is simple: be patient. The mid-week bump is a write-off for clean surfing. The best bet is that Friday the 17th, with the offshore wind and solid swell. It's not a guarantee this far out, but it's the one to watch.

Rusty.

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