Tenia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. First off, Tuesday the 15th isn’t doing us any favors. We’ve got a solid 6ft of SSW swell, but that 15-18 mph SSE cross-breeze is just chopping it all up. The energy reading is strong at 1382, but it’s messy. It’s one of those days where you’d rather watch than paddle out. Same story into Wednesday the 16th—the swell drops a touch to around 4ft, but that afternoon wind picks back up to 18 mph and turns it ugly. Not our day.

Then we’ve got a real lull. Thursday the 17th goes flat and rainy, with onshore winds and nothing doing. We’re looking at a couple of days with poor conditions and barely a wave. It’s a long stretch of nothing from Thursday morning through to Friday the 18th morning, when things start to wake up again.

Now, Friday the 18th brings the swell back with a punch—10ft of SSW at 11 seconds. The energy jumps to 2665, which is solid, but that 21 mph SSE wind is blowing straight across it. It’s big, it’s raw, and it’s messy. Only for the experienced, and even then, it’s a battle. Saturday the 19th stays in that 7ft range but the wind is still cross-onshore from the SSE. Choppy and lumpy, not inviting.

Hold on, because Sunday the 20th is where it starts to get interesting. We’re looking at 8ft of SSW swell at 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell. The energy is cranked up to 3006. The wind is still cross-onshore from the SSE at 12 mph, so it’s not glassy, but it’s groomed enough. This is the standout of the first week. The period is long, which means it’s got power, but it might be breaking a bit straight at certain spots. Tenia’s a reef, so it should handle it better than a beach break. This is your best bet for a proper session, if you can handle the size.

Monday the 21st is still fun—7ft at 14 seconds, and the wind drops back to 9 mph. It’s still cross-onshore, but it’s cleaner. A good follow-up day. Tuesday the 22nd drops to 5ft but the period jumps to 18 seconds. That’s very long-period. The energy is still solid at 2133, but that long interval can make it a bit walled-up at the reef. It’ll be a different kind of wave.

Then the wheels come off again. Wednesday the 23rd gets messy with a strong 28 mph cross-shore, and Thursday the 24th is just too big. We’re talking 11ft at 17 seconds, with an energy reading of 7826. That’s a serious amount of water. The morning has a clean wind reading, but it’s just too much for Tenia. I wouldn’t be out there unless you’re a proper charger, and even then, it’s a risk. Afternoon is a write-off with 28 mph winds.

Friday the 25th is a reprieve. Swell drops to 8ft at 14 seconds. The morning is still a bit lumpy, but the afternoon goes cross-off from the ESE at 15 mph. Now that’s clean. That’s the second standout. It’s got size, it’s got energy (2426), and the wind is finally letting it line up. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

After that, it fades. Saturday the 26th drops to 5ft, but the wind is back onshore and messy. The 27th has a clean window with a cross-off breeze but the swell is junky—short period, inconsistent. Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th are mostly poor, though Tuesday afternoon goes glassy with a 3 mph breeze and a 17-second swell. That’s a sneaky clean one, but it’s small at 4ft. The 30th closes out with another cross-on breeze and a 4ft swell at 16 seconds.

So, bottom line: the 20th is the big one for the first week, and the 25th afternoon is your cleanest, most solid pick of the second week. It’s not a smooth ride in between, but if you pick your windows, there’s real potential.

Rusty.

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