Tenia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks here. We’ve got a slow start, but don’t write it off just yet. There’s a bit of a wait, but the back half of the period is where the real energy starts to show up.

First up, we’re looking at Tenia. This is a reef break, exposed to the south-southwest. The water is sitting at 73°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. But the first few days are a real struggle. Tuesday the 11th is a total dud with tiny swell, and that carries right through the rest of the week. The swell energy is weak, with values like 39 and 46, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore. It’s just not happening.

We start to see a pulse of energy building from Thursday the 13th afternoon, with the swell climbing to 3ft from the SSW and the combined energy hitting 433. But the wind is still onshore, making it a messy affair. Friday the 14th is bigger, with 4ft to 5ft, but the wind is strong and cross-shore, so the surf is lumpy and uninviting. The energy is moderate to strong here (554 to 657), but the conditions are poor.

The real shift begins around Sunday the 16th. The swell drops a touch to 4ft, but the period jumps to 16 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. The combined energy is very strong at 1653. However, the wind is still a fresh cross-shore, so the surface is chopped. The wind stays strong and cross-shore for a few days, but by Tuesday the 18th afternoon, we get a change. The wind goes cross-offshore from the ESE, and the swell jumps to 7ft from the SE. The energy is massive at 1704. The conditions are clean. This is where it starts to get interesting.

Wednesday the 19th is the real standout. The morning session sees 8ft of SE swell with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is a huge 2080. The wind is cross-offshore and clean. This is big, powerful surf. At 8ft, this is for experts only. The break is fairly consistent, so you can expect sets, but it’s going to be heavy. The swell direction (SE) is a good match for the optimum swell direction (SSW), meaning the reef will handle it well.

After that, conditions remain good. Friday the 21st afternoon is another highlight. The swell is 7ft from the SE, with a period of 10 seconds, and the wind finally goes offshore from the ENE. Energy is very strong at 1319, and the surf is clean and powerful. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The crowds are listed as "sometimes", so you might have some company, but it’s worth it.

The energy drops off after the 23rd, with the wind turning onshore again. The swell sticks around for a bit, but the quality goes. The last few days of the month are a mix of cross-shore winds and smaller swell, so it’s a fade-out.

So, the best on offer is the Wednesday the 19th morning session at Tenia, with that 8ft, clean, high-energy groundswell. A close second is the Friday the 21st afternoon when the offshore wind kicks in. This is a long-range call, so there’s some uncertainty, but the signs are promising. Get ready for a big second week.

Rusty.

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