Tenia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, this is Rusty checkin’ in from the beach. We’re locked on one spot, and one spot only for the next 16 days – a reef break called Tenia. It’s a fairly consistent little wave, picky about the wind being from the NE, and it loves a good swell from the SSW. The water temp is hangin’ right around average for this time of year, so nothin’ wild there.

The outlook is a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We’re startin’ off with some average conditions. Wednesday morning the 26th is a bit of a write-off, with a 5ft swell from the SSW but the wind is cross-onshore, makin’ it choppy. The energy is decent (1003), but the wind is just killin’ it. That pattern kinda hangs around, with the swell droppin’ off through Thursday and Friday. The wind is mostly cross-on, so the wave quality is pretty poor. We’re talkin’ small, weak waves with a lot of wind chop. Not worth paddlin’ out for.

The weekend doesn’t look much better. Saturday and Sunday the 30th see a bit of a bump in size, up to 6ft and 6ft, but the wind is still cross and strong, especially Sunday afternoon when it’s a fresh 18 mph breeze. The energy is gettin’ up there (1142 on Sunday arvo), but the surface is just lumpy cross-chop. It’s a mess.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting but also a bit dangerous. The first of September rolls in with a big pulse. Tuesday morning the 1st is a solid 12ft from the SSW, with a super long 18-second period. That’s a massive groundswell, and the energy is through the roof at 7236. But the wind is howlin’ cross-shore at 22 mph. The waves are gonna be huge, powerful, and blown out. This is expert-only territory, and honestly, even then it’s not gonna be pretty. The afternoon is even bigger at 13ft. This is lookin’ way more like a kite-surfing setup than a good paddle session.

Things settle down a bit after that. Wednesday the 2nd has a solid 8ft swell, but again, the wind is cross and strong. The following days are a repeat of the same old story – small to medium swell, cross or cross-onshore wind, and poor conditions. There’s a flicker of hope on Monday the 7th, with a 5ft swell and a very long 19-second period, which usually means a proper groundswell. The energy is strong (1523), and the wind is light cross-on, so it might be a little cleaner. Keep an eye on that one.

But the real standout, the one that’s got me a little excited, is Wednesday the 9th of September. The morning is still a bit iffy, but the afternoon… oh, the afternoon. The wind is forecast to go glassy, dead calm. The swell is a clean 3ft from the SSW with a 13-second period, and the energy is a moderate 560. This is the only time in the whole 16 days we see “expect very good surf conditions.” For a reef break like Tenia, a glassy afternoon with a clean 3ft SSW groundswell is the dream. It’s the clear winner. Just be smart about the tide.

Throughout the rest of the period, the same trend continues: moderate-sized swells, but the wind is always a problem, keeping the surface ugly. The second week is more of the same – some size, but the wind ruins it. If you’re desperate, the 7th or the 9th afternoon are your only real shots. Otherwise, keep your board in the car and wait for a better forecast.

Rusty.

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