Tenia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Tenia.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – the next week and a half is a bit of a struggle. We’ve got decent sized swell pushing in, but the wind just keeps messing it up. It’s not a total washout, but you gotta pick your moments. We’re looking at a lot of lumpy, cross-shore chop making things difficult, with only a few windows of cleaner conditions later on.

Tenia is a reef setup, so when it’s right it can be fun, but the wind is the main character in this forecast for a while. The water’s sitting at what feels about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.

So, the first half of this run, from Wednesday the 16th right through the weekend, is a write-off. We have solid S/SSW swell pumping in – up to 10 ft on Friday – with combined energy reading 3060 (moderate energy), but the wind is coming out of the SSE at 19 mph with a cross chop. It’s just too messy to get excited about. By Saturday morning, that swell hangs around 8 ft with a 11-second period, but a cross-onshore wind keeps it choppy. This isn’t beginner territory; over 8 ft puts you into expert-only water.

Now, Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st are actually the best of a tricky bunch. The swell drops back a little to 7-8 ft, still from the SSW, and the period stretches out to a very long 15 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. Combined energy is still solid (2124-2766), but the wind is a light cross-onshore from the SSW/S. It’s not glassy, but with a light breeze, the conditions will be the cleanest we’ve seen. This reef prefers swell from the SSW, and that's exactly what we’re getting, so the shape should be there despite the bump. Expect a longer wait between sets with that 15-second period.

The following week gets ugly again. Another pulse of very long-period SSW swell (16 seconds, 10 ft) hits Tuesday the 22nd with a combined energy of 4278 (strong wave energy), but the wind swings SE and ramps up to 16-28 mph through the mid-week. It’s just going to be a messy, wind-blown mess. For a beach or reef setup like this in those strong cross-shore winds, honestly, it looks more like a kitesurfing session than a paddle surf one.

The light finally starts to show at the very tail end. Monday the 28th and its morning session is the real standout of the whole outlook. The wind goes cross-offshore from the East at a gentle 9 mph. The conditions are described as "clean." We get a 6 ft SE swell with a 9-second period. It’s not huge, but that clean, wind-protected face will be a welcome sight after all the chop. Combined energy is 786 (weak-moderate), but for a session without the wind howling, it’s the pick of the litter. The consistency is listed as "fairly consistent," so you’ll get waves.

After that, the last few days of September and into October look small and poor. Winds stay onshore or cross-shore, and the swell drops right out. By Wednesday the 30th, we’re down to 1 ft of very long-period swell from the SSW, but the wind is back onshore. It’s a blank end to the run.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is the early morning on Monday the 28th for clean, smaller waves. If you’re after bigger, longer-period stuff, your best windows are the mornings of Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st, but be ready for a bit of texture on the face.

Rusty.

Read more