Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's have a look at what we've got on offer for the next couple of weeks.

We’re looking at Saaga, a reef break that only the advanced crew should be looking at. The water temp is sitting at 82°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. It’s a spot that’s fairly exposed to the swell, and it likes it coming from the southeast.

The first few days are a write-off, to be honest. Monday the 14th is a no-go, with a solid 8 ft SSW swell and a 17-second period, but the wind is howling onshore from the southeast at 16 mph, making a right mess of things. The combined energy is massive at 3636, but with that cross-onshore wind, it’s just a washing machine. Not worth paddling out.

Tuesday the 15th is still messy. Swell drops to 5 ft but the wind is still cross, keeping things choppy. We do start to see some cleaner conditions later on though.

Wednesday the 16th is where it gets interesting. The morning sees a 5 ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and the wind swings to a cross-offshore from the ENE at 12 mph. That’s clean, surfable conditions. The afternoon gets even better, with the wind dropping to 9 mph and the swell easing slightly to 4 ft. The combined energy is still strong at 1290, and those long 16-second intervals mean proper groundswell lines wrapping around the reef. Thursday the 17th keeps that clean cross-off flow in the morning, with a 4 ft S swell. This stretch from Wednesday to Thursday morning is your best bet for the whole forecast, with clean, lined-up waves on offer. It’s not huge, but it’ll be quality.

The swell drops off over the weekend. Saturday the 19th has a 4 ft S swell with a 11-second period and a nice offshore breeze from the north in the morning. It’s small, but clean. Sunday afternoon the 20th sees a tiny 3 ft SW swell, but with a 17-second period and light winds, it might just be glassy and fun on a longboard. Combined energy is low at 756.

From Monday the 21st onwards, it’s back to poor conditions for a solid stretch. The wind swings onshore and stays there, with gusts picking up to 22 mph and even 31 mph by the end of the month. The swell is there, sometimes pushing 7 ft with 3358 energy on the 25th, but with that strong cross-onshore wind, it’s blown-out and lumpy. That setup is more for the kite crowd than for paddling. This run of poor surf looks set to last all the way through to the end of the forecast period on the 29th.

So, if you’re keen, pencil in Wednesday the 16th through Thursday morning the 17th. That’s the standout window, with clean, long-period SW groundswell and light offshores. Everything else is either too messy or too small.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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