Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a tough run ahead. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty grim for Saaga, with nothing but poor surf conditions and scores of zero staring back at us. The wind is just relentless, coming from the east-southeast nearly every day, and it's always cross or cross-onshore, often with a fresh to strong breeze. That means the waves are going to be chopped up, lumpy, and messy. There's no let-up, so you're looking at a solid, frustrating stretch of flat or junky surf.

The swell energy shows up, no doubt about it. We see some big numbers in the combined energy, like 2126 (moderate to strong) on the 28th of August, and 1969 (moderate) on the 3rd of September, but it's all wasted with that wind. The water temperature is sitting at 81°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, with the anomaly being a negligible -0.5°F.

The only real saving grace, and I mean the *only* one, is a brief moment on the morning of Thursday the 27th of August. We've got a 4ft south-west groundswell with a very long 15-second period, and the wind is only a moderate cross-shore breeze. The combined energy is a solid 1140 (moderate). It's a marginal call, and the score is only a 1, but it's the best of a very bad bunch. The long period will hold up nicely at Saaga, a reef break, and the moderate cross-shore will be the cleanest we'll see. The swell is small, but it's the only time you'll get a chance for a few clean, lined-up waves. After that, it's back to the grind.

For the rest of the run, the wind is simply too strong and too onshore. The swell kicks up over 8ft on the 28th and 29th of August, but with the wind howling, it'll be a washing machine. That's expert-only territory, and even then, it's not worth it. This setup is so consistently wind-affected that it might be more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers on those days.

So, the call is simple: set your alarm for the morning of the 27th of August. It's the only decent window in a very long, frustrating stretch. After that, it's a waiting game.

Rusty

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