Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for our local stretch. We’ve got a drawn-out run of inconsistent, often messy surf, but there are a couple of windows worth paddling out for if you’re patient. The forecast starts with a gap: there’s nothing really worthwhile until Wednesday the 23rd, and even then, it’s a bit of a waiting game.

First up, we’ve got Saaga (a reef setup) on the radar. This spot is consistent, fairly exposed to the swell, and likes it from the southeast. The water temp is running about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The early action on Wednesday the 22nd is a bit of a washout – a 3 ft south swell with a very long 17-second period, but the east wind is blowing cross-shore at 16 mph, making for a moderate cross-chop. The combined swell energy is sitting at 1433, which is strong, but the wind just kills it. Not worth the paddle.

Thursday the 23rd shows some promise. The morning session brings a 5 ft south swell, still a long 18-second period, and a light north-northeast wind at 9 mph swinging cross-offshore. That’s clean surf, with energy at 1693. It’s still a little on the marginal side tide-wise, but this is the best you’ll see for a few days. The afternoon drops to 5 ft, but the wind goes light westerly, keeping it cleanish. This is the standout window for the first week.

Then it gets ugly. From Friday the 24th right through to the end of July, it’s a slog. The wind locks in from the southeast, cross-onshore, and the surf quality plummets. The swell sticks around, between 3 ft and 6 ft, but the energy is moderate to strong, and the cross-onshore chop makes it a write-off. Even the longer-period swells don’t save it; the wind just ruins the face. This stretch is a solid week of poor conditions.

We’ve got a glimmer on Tuesday the 28th afternoon, with a 5 ft southwest swell, 16-second period, and a clean cross-offshore breeze from the east-northeast. Energy is high at 1769. That’s a good session, but it’s a short-lived window. Wednesday the 29th morning is also clean, with a 5 ft southwest swell and a cross-off breeze, but the energy dips slightly.

Now, the real talk: the tail end of the forecast, into early August, gets interesting but messy. The swell picks up, with 8 ft to 10 ft of southeast swell on the 4th and 5th, but the winds are strong and messy – not ideal for paddle surfing. That 10 ft stuff is for experts only, and the short 8-second period means it’s going to be a lumpy, bumpy mess at a reef break.

The true standout, and I mean the only one that really gets the heart pumping, is Thursday the 6th of August. The morning shows a 10 ft southeast swell with a 9-second period, and the wind goes glassy – a light west-northwest breeze at 3 mph. That’s perfect. The combined energy is 1467, strong, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one you circle on the calendar. Clean, powerful, and offshore. If you’re an advanced surfer, this is your day. The crowd profile at Saaga can be “sometimes” busy, so expect company for that one.

Overall, it’s a rough run with a couple of clean, powerful windows. The first week is mostly a bust, but the second week has that one glorious morning on the 6th. Keep an eye on the long-range stuff, but as it stands, that Thursday morning is the best bet.

Rusty.

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