Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, listen up. Rusty here. This is a tough outlook for Saaga, no two ways about it. We’re looking at a long stretch of questionable conditions before a glimmer of hope late in the run.

The whole fortnight starts off messy. From Sunday the 23rd right through until the morning of Saturday the 30th, we’ve got a solid run of poor surf. The wind is mostly cross-onshore, and the sea state is lumpy, choppy, or just plain messy. The swell energy is moderate to strong, with readings like 1068 and 1165 (moderate wave energy), but it’s being wasted by the wind. The water temperature is about 27°, which is pretty normal for this time of year—nothing unusual there.

The first real chance of something decent arrives on the afternoon of Sunday the 30th. The wind swings cross-offshore from the ENE at 12 mph, and the sea state cleans up. We’re looking at a 4 ft swell from the south with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, which could unload some real juice at Saaga’s reef. The combined energy is high at 1821 (strong wave energy). The crowd factor is there (sometimes), so it might not be empty. This is one of the standouts, but it’s still only a marginal call due to the tide.

That clean spell doesn’t last. The next morning, Monday the 31st, we’re back into cross-shore chop and messy conditions. The rest of the first week of September is a grind. Swell’s around, but the wind is always cross-shore or cross-onshore, and the period is usually short or, when it's long, it’s from the SW on a bigger day, which might not be the best direction for the break.

The other standout to watch is the morning of Saturday the 5th of September. There’s a 3 ft swell from the SW with a 15-second period. The wind is still cross-shore from the E at 22 mph, so it’s lumpy, but the energy is strong (1337). It’s a marginal call, but that long-period groundswell could still offer a few clean ones if you’re picky.

Overall, it’s a lean run. The only real window with clean cross-offshore wind is the afternoon of Sunday the 30th. That’s your best bet. Everything else is a fight against the wind. If you’re not committed, maybe wait for a better week.

Rusty.

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