Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for any kind of quality session. We’ve got a long stretch of messy, cross-shore slop and strong winds that are going to make you work for nothing. The good news is, there are a couple of windows near the end where things might finally clean up, but we’ve got a lot of chop to paddle through before we get there.

The first few days, right up through the start of next week, are basically a write-off. We're looking at consistent 6-10ft of wind-affected swell with strong breezes and cross-onshore conditions. The wave energy is moderate to strong, but it’s all over the place, with readings around 1900 to 2000+ early on. It’s just a mess out there. By the 12th and 13th, the swell drops a bit, but the wind stays fresh and cross-shore, so it’s still lumpy and hard to surf. You’d be fighting it the whole time.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Around the 16th and 17th, the swell drops right down to around 3ft, but the wind finally starts to ease off. We get a bit of a cross-offshore breeze and the conditions start to clean up. This is when we see the first hints of something surfable, but it's still pretty weak. It’s more of a longboard or a foamy sort of day, not really a standout.

The real light at the end of the tunnel shows up around the 21st and 22nd of August. We’ve got a new south swell expected, with periods jumping up to 13-15 seconds, which is proper groundswell. The wind is looking like a moderate cross-offshore, which should make for cleaner conditions at Saaga. The swell is around 5-6ft, and the energy is strong, reading at 2281 on the morning of the 22nd. That’s the standout window. It’s still not perfect, and the period is long, which might make it a bit straight at a beach break, but for Saaga, a break that is fairly exposed, this looks like the best chance for some decent waves. The crowds are a possibility, but with conditions like this, it might be worth it. This is the one to keep an eye on, but it's over a week out, so treat it as promising but not a done deal.

Before that, the 21st itself has some potential with a 5ft south swell and a 13-second period, but it might be a little smaller. The long period swell is a good sign, but it might be a bit peaky.

So, if you've got a board you don't mind dinging, you could go out and get some grovelly ones in the middle of next week. But if you're after quality, hold out for the 22nd. It won't be perfect, but it's the best we've got on offer.

Rusty.

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