Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s looking pretty bleak for a solid chunk of time. We’ve got a real stretch of nothingness here. The first real surf window doesn't open up until Thursday the 17th of September, and even then it's marginal. There’s a big gap of poor conditions before that.

The target is Saaga, a reef break that’s for advanced crew only. It’s consistent and fairly exposed to that SE swell, which is the optimum direction. Water temp is sittin’ at a balmy 81°, which is about average for this time of year, no surprises there.

Now, from now until the 17th, it’s a write-off. Strong cross-shore winds, lumpy chop, and messy conditions dominate. Swell energy is moderate to strong, but it’s all for nothing with that wind. You’ll see energy readings like 1327 on the 9th, but don’t be fooled – it’s ugly out there.

The first glimmer of hope comes on Thursday the 17th. The wind finally swings around to a cross-offshore direction, and we get some clean conditions. The swell is a bit small at 3 ft, but it’s that long-period SW groundswell (15 seconds) which gives it shape. The energy is still strong (1203 and 1093), but it’s gonna be a real patience game with those long gaps between sets. This is the best offerin’ in the whole window, but it’s marginal. The crowd situation at Saaga can be an issue sometimes, so if you’re out there on a cleaner day, don’t expect to have it to yourself.

After that, it fades into smaller, weaker stuff and the wind gets messy again. We get another brief clean window on the 22nd (Tuesday) with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is tiny at 3 ft and the energy is weak (504). Not worth paddling out for.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is the very end of the forecast. The best chance for a decent wave is on Thursday the 24th of September. The wind is light and cross-offshore, making for some clean, glassy conditions. The swell is a modest 3 ft from the S with a short period (10 seconds), so the energy is weak (381). It’s not a big day, but for this period, it’s the cleanest we’ll see. For a mellow session on a longboard, you could do worse.

So, to wrap it up: don’t even bother till the 17th. Thursday the 17th is your best bet for a proper, albeit challenging, session with that long-period groundswell, and the 24th offers the cleanest small waves. It’s a tough run, but that’s the way it goes sometimes.

Rusty.

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