Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Looking at the charts, it’s a rough patch, but there’s a little window of hope if you’re willing to wait.

Right now and for the next week, it’s a total bust. The wind is screaming out of the east and southeast, just tearing up any chance of a clean wave. There’s plenty of swell energy, but it’s all cross-shore and onshore, leaving us with a lumpy, choppy mess. The water is sitting at 81°, which is pretty average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real sign of something decent shows up around Monday, August 17th at Saaga. This is an advanced reef break, and it needs a clean window. The wind finally swings to the east-northeast, giving us a cross-offshore flow. The swell is a long-period 16-second groundswell from the southwest, running about 3ft. It’s clean and well-shaped, but it’s small. The energy is moderate (725). It’s not a standout, but it’s the first breath of fresh air in a week of garbage.

The real standout, the one you want to save the date for, is Tuesday, August 18th. The afternoon is where it’s at. Saaga cleans right up with a gentle breeze from the north-northeast, cross-offshore. The swell is still that solid 16-second southwest groundswell, pushing 4ft, and the energy is strong (936). The call is for very good surf conditions. This is the best on offer in the whole 16-day window. The long period means it’ll be a proper groundswell with good shape and power, perfect for a reef like this. It’s a consistent spot, so expect a few other folks out there, but it’s worth it.

After that, the wind goes to hell again. By Wednesday, August 19th, it’s back to cross-on and onshore, with the wind picking up from the south. There’s a pulse of larger swell on the 20th and 21st, with 8ft and 6ft waves from the south, but the wind is blowing strong and messy – that’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. The setup is a beach-and-reef combo, so with that much wind and swell, it’s just a washing machine.

The second week shows another chance. Around Monday, August 24th, the wind looks to ease off again. The morning has a cross-offshore breeze from the east-northeast, with a 5ft, 13-second south swell. The energy is strong (1797). The afternoon looks even better with a gentle breeze, and the swell holding at 6ft. It’s marginal but clean. This is a long-range call, so less certain, but it’s the only other half-decent window in the whole run.

Overall, it’s a tough fortnight. The wind is the enemy. If you’re a beginner, the 5ft+ days are too big, and the 8ft+ days are for experts only. The only real standout is that Tuesday afternoon, the 18th, at Saaga. Get on it if you can.

Rusty.

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