Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a tough stretch ahead. For the first nine days, the wind is just relentless – strong onshore or cross-onshore, mostly from the south or southeast, and it’s wrecking any chance of decent surf. The swell is there – we’ve got a solid 6ft to 7ft groundswell coming in from the SW and SSW with periods up to 15 seconds, but with that wind, it’s just a messy, choppy, blown-out mess. The wave energy is high, with readings around 2000 (1919-2003), but it’s all for nothing. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

The only break we’re looking at is Saaga, a reef setup that’s fairly exposed to the swell, and it’s an advanced wave. It’s consistent, but with the wind howling from the SE, it’s just a cross-on mess. The 'offshore' wind is N, which we never get in this period. It’s a write-off for paddle surfing.

From the 18th of July (Saturday), the swell swings around to the SSE, and the wind starts to ease, but it’s still a mixed bag. The 18th is still messy with a strong cross-shore and 10ft of SE wind swell – that’s getting big and ugly, more for kites than paddles.

Now, the real interest comes on Sunday the 19th of July. The wind swings around to the ENE, giving us a light cross-offshore breeze. The morning sees a 5ft SSE groundswell with a period of 14 seconds, and it’s clean. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 8ft from the ESE, but the period drops to 8 seconds, so it’s a bit lumpier. Still, the morning is the clear standout. The wave energy is strong (2067 in the morning, 1947 in the afternoon). For a rare moment, it’s clean at Saaga. This is the one to aim for. The next day, Monday the 20th, has a similar setup with a cross-off breeze and clean conditions in the afternoon, but the swell is a little smaller and the wind is a bit stronger.

After that, we’re back into the wind from the 21st, with onshore and cross-onshore winds returning, and the swell drops right off, with energy readings falling to 700-400. It’s a classic end to the run.

So, the one bright spot in this whole 16-day outlook is the morning of Sunday the 19th of July. It’s the only time the stars align for a clean wave at Saaga. Get on it if you can.

Rusty.

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