Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s run down the Saaga surf for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a rough stretch. This is a solid, expert-level reef that needs a good SE swell, but the wind is just ruining everything. We’ve got a long spell of cross and cross-onshore winds that are going to keep the surface chopped up and ugly. The first real chance to even get out is at the very end of the first week, and even then, it’s a maybe.

The first few days through the weekend of the 16th are a total loss. Winds are blowing hard from the E and ESE at 15 to 19 mph, making it lumpy and messy. The swell is around 4 to 5 feet with a weak, short 9-second period, and the combined energy is moderate (940 to 561), just no good with that wind.

Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th, the swell direction swings to the SW. The period jumps to a massive 16 to 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, perfect for a reef. It gives those long, peeling waves. The swell height drops to 3 feet, and the combined energy stays moderate (881 to 642). But the wind is still a fresh cross or cross-onshore breeze, so it’s a lumpy mess. What a tease.

Tuesday the 18th is the one day that looks a bit better. The morning shows a 4-foot SW groundswell with a 16-second period and combined energy that pushes into the strong range (1005). The wind drops to a gentle 9 mph cross-shore from the ESE in the afternoon. That’s a real window for cleaner waves. The water is a warm 81° (about normal for this time of year). This is the best the forecast has, but the wind is still cross, not offshore, so there will be some texture.

After that, the wind gets nasty. From the 19th through the 25th, it’s a consistent SE breeze, often a strong 22 to 25 mph, with cross-onshore and messy conditions. The swell sticks around, with a 3 to 6-foot S swell on the 20th pushing the combined energy up to 2192 (very strong), but it’s completely unsurfable with that wind. That setup is more for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The last few days, from the 26th onward, the swell fades. The energy drops to a weak level (316 to 257) and the period is short. The wind stays moderate and cross, so it’s a flat, blown-out end to the outlook.

So, to be honest, there’s nothing here that’s a true standout. Tuesday the 18th is the only day with a real chance if you’re keen. The rest of the 16 days are a long, frustrating gap of poor to marginal conditions. It’s a blank run, and while it’s a bummer, that’s the way it is for this spot right now.

Rusty.

Read more