Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s look at what’s coming up for Saaga over the next couple of weeks.

First thing, the water temp here is 82°, which is just about average for this time of year – nothing special.

Honestly, the outlook is pretty rough. For the first week and a half, it’s a long run of strong cross-onshore winds from the SE and ESE, blowing 22 to 28 mph, trashing the surf. The swell is there – we’re seeing solid 7 ft to 10 ft of SE swell, with combined energy moderate to very strong (953 to 2947) – but it’s all junk. Short period stuff around 7 to 9 seconds, and the wind is just chopping it up. This is not a paddle surfer’s paradise. For kite surfers, though, those windy, messy waves might look interesting because it’s chunky and gusty.

We get a short break around the 22nd of July, Wednesday morning and afternoon. The wind swings to the ENE at 22 mph and turns cross-offshore, giving us clean conditions. The swell drops to 6 ft to 6 ft from the ESE, still short period at 7 seconds, but it’s clean. It’s only marginal surf, but after all that onshore junk, a clean 6 ft set is a relief. Combined energy is moderate (1015 to 1228).

Then the 23rd of July, Thursday, is the real standout. The wind goes offshore from the NNE to N at 22 mph, giving us fresh offshore and clean waves. Swell is 8 ft to 8 ft from the ESE, period still short at 8 seconds, but with offshore wind, this reef break will shape up nicely. The combined energy is strong (1246 to 1304). This is for advanced surfers only – 8 ft is pushing expert territory, and the reef means it’s serious. Crowds are possible, so get down early. Thursday the 23rd is the best day, hands down.

After that, it drops off. From the 24th of July through to the end of the month, we’re back to cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, lumpy and choppy. Swell sizes drop to 3 ft to 6 ft, combined energy is weak to moderate (379 to 1407), and the period is a mix of short and long (9 to 18 seconds). The longer period swells from the SW on the 28th and 29th (16 to 18 seconds) tend to break too straight at this reef, so not ideal. There’s a couple of marginal days (the 28th) but nothing exciting.

So, the bottom line: Thursday the 23rd of July is your best bet. Offshore winds, clean 8 ft sets, and a reef that loves a SE swell. A few days before that, the 22nd, offers cleaner conditions but smaller waves. The rest is either blown out or too small and messy. There’s a good 10-day stretch of poor surf from the 24th onward, so don’t expect much.

Rusty.

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