Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what’s on the table for Saaga over the next couple of weeks.

The outlook starts rough, real rough. We’re looking at a long stretch of blown-out, messy conditions. From Monday the 6th of July right through to Wednesday the 8th, it's all cross-onshore wind and poor surf. Swell is there, between 3ft and 7ft from the S to SSE or SE, but with that 16 to 19 mph wind kicking up chop, it’s not worth paddling out. The energy is moderate, but it doesn’t matter when the wind’s ruining it.

Then we get a standout. Thursday the 9th of July is the big one. This is the true gem of the forecast. Early morning we’ve got a clean 4ft swell from the SW with a very long 17-second period, and a gentle offshore wind from the NNE. The combined energy jumps right up – strong, powerful groundswell. By the afternoon it gets even better: 7ft from the SW, still that 17-second period, and the wind goes pure offshore from the NNW. It's glassy, it’s clean, and the reef at Saaga will be firing. This is for the experienced crew though – over 5ft and that long period means it’ll be powerful and lined up perfectly for the reef. The swell direction (SW) is a sweet match for the optimum SE direction, but the quality of the wave energy will make up for that. The water is warm too, at 83°, which is right about average for this time of year. Expect crowds, because this is the one.

Friday the 10th is a big step down. The wind swings onshore from the S at 9 mph, and while the swell is still solid at 7ft from the SW with a 15-second period, the onshore wind makes it a marginal call. Energy remains strong, but the wind is messy. Not the day to get excited.

Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th both look poor. Onshore winds and building chop ruin the quality. Swell drops to 6ft on Saturday, then picks back up Sunday with a 6ft SSW swell but cross-onshore winds again. The energy is still high, but it’s all wind-affected.

From Monday the 13th all the way through to Monday the 20th of July, it's a long, grim run. Cross-onshore winds from the SE, gusting up to 28 to 31 mph by the 19th. The swell often gets over 7ft, but it’s short period (7 to 8 seconds) and messy as hell. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing setup. The strong cross-shore winds and lumpy chop are no fun on a surfboard.

The very tail end, on Tuesday the 21st of July, shows a slight improvement. Winds go cross-shore from the E at 19 mph, with a 5ft SW swell at a 14-second period. Still marginal, still lumpy, but the energy is strong. It’s a maybe at best.

So, to put it straight: Thursday the 9th of July is your pick. Nothing else comes close. Get out there while the wind’s off and the reef’s lined up. The rest of the run is a write-off.

Rusty.

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