Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for Saaga.

Right off the bat, I’ll be straight with you – the first week is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a long period groundswell rolling in, but the wind is just cruel; it’s cross-onshore and lumpy from the 12th through the 15th. The water temp is sitting at about 82°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, but you won’t care about that when you’re getting blown off your board.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Wednesday the 16th. The wind swings around to a gentle cross-offshore from the ENE, cleaning up the 5ft to 5ft SW groundswell. The wave energy is moderate (1671), but the surface goes clean. For me, the standout moment of the whole run is Thursday the 17th in the afternoon. The wind drops to glassy, offshore from the ESE, and we’ve got a clean 5ft swell rolling in from the S with a 14-second period. The water goes glassy, and the energy is solid (1329). That’s the session to circle – Saaga under glass is a beautiful thing. It’s an advanced reef break, and it’s consistent, so it won’t leave you waiting around. Just be aware it does get crowded sometimes.

After that, there’s a drop-off. Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th still have clean conditions, but the swell period drops to a short 7 seconds, which makes the 6ft and 5ft swells a bit weak and crumbly. The wave energy drops into the hundreds, and it’s only marginal. It’s not terrible, but it’s not the same quality.

Then we hit a dry spell from Sunday the 20th onward into the second week. There are a few clean moments – Sunday the 20th afternoon turns glassy with a nice 3ft, 17-second SW groundswell, and Monday the 21st morning is also glassy with 5ft of 15-second energy. Those are promising, but the combined energy stays moderate, and by Monday afternoon the wind swings onshore. From Tuesday the 22nd right through to the end of the month, it’s back to cross-onshore winds and choppy, messy surf. The swell direction holds from the SW, but the wind just won’t let up. No real standouts in that second week – it’s a long stretch of poor conditions with fresh to strong breezes and lumpy waves. If you’re a kite surfer, the steady wind and decent swell might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, Saaga is a no-go after the 21st.

To wrap it up: your best bet is Thursday 17th afternoon for glassy, clean 5ft surf at Saaga. That’s the highlight. The Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st mornings have potential but are less certain this far out. The rest is a battle with the wind.

Rusty out.

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