Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks at Saaga, our only reef slab in the running.

The forecast opens with a bit of a tease on Tuesday, August 4th. We’ve got a clean 4 ft swell from the SW, with a solid 13-second period pushing in from the deep. The wind is light and onshore, but it’s manageable. The real issue is the overall energy is moderate (608), and the report says it’s “marginal” – likely a tide issue or just not enough push. It’s a small window, but if you’re a local who knows the reef, you might get a couple. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

From Wednesday, August 5th, right through to the start of the second week, things get ugly. The wind swings SE and cranks up to 19–31 mph, blowing straight onshore or cross-onshore. The swell jumps up, but it’s a complete mess. By Thursday, August 6th, we’ve got a 7 ft SSE swell with a short period, and the energy hits 1618 – that’s strong, but it’s all raw power with no shape. By Saturday, August 8th, we’re looking at 12 ft surf and near-gale winds. That’s not surfing; that’s a survival mission. The beach setup would be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing right now. This grim stretch runs for a solid eight days.

Now, finally, there’s a flicker of hope on Monday, August 10th. The afternoon sees a clean 8 ft swell from the S, with a very long 16-second period. The wind goes cross-offshore from the E at 28 mph, which is stiff, but it’s clean. The energy is massive (4120), so this is a serious groundswell. The problem? That long period groundswell is going to pour in fast and straight. For a reef like Saaga, that could be epic if the direction lines up with the optimum SE direction, but it might also run too straight and just unload close to the rock. This is your best bet of the whole forecast, but it’s still a tough call. The wind is strong, so it’s only for the experienced crew.

After that, the swell drops back to 5 ft–6 ft through the week, but the wind stays cross and messy. The last day, August 19th, is a write-off again with onshore winds. The final few days from August 16th to 18th offer some clean, smaller waves (3 ft–3 ft) with a decent period, and the wind goes light or cross-off, but the energy is weak (under 1000). It’s small, clean, and likely mellow – a good end-of-run session for a longboard if you’re bored.

The standout? If you’re an expert, Monday, August 10th afternoon is the only real window. Big, powerful, long-period groundswell, and clean conditions. It’s a beast, but it’s worth a look. For everyone else, the first week is a total write-off, and the second week is small and inconsistent.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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