Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the cards for Saaga over the next 16 days.

Straight up, I’ve got to be honest with you – this is a rough run. There’s a solid window of poor conditions at the start that stretches all the way from now until the end of the month. The first few days kick off with cross-onshore winds and messy, choppy surf. We’re looking at around 4 ft to 4 ft of swell from the S and SSW, but the wind is just ruining it. The energy is there – moderate at 725 (combined energy) – but it’s not surfable quality. That carries through Saturday and Sunday with a bump in size up to 7 ft on Saturday afternoon, but again, the wind is cross or cross-on and the texture is lumpy and cross-chop. It’s not worth paddling out.

Then we get a little window of hope on Monday, 27 July, and into Tuesday. Monday morning and afternoon see a clean setup with cross-offshore winds from the NE and ENE. The swell drops back to 4 ft to 5 ft from the SSE with a 12-second period, and the energy is moderate (812 to 881). The water temp is sitting at 81°F, which is about average for the time of year – nothing wild there. This is the best of the whole outlook, but only just. It’s still marginal, and the tide might be a factor.

Tuesday, 28 July, sees a spike in size with a solid 5 ft to 6 ft from the SW, and a very long period of 15 to 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell – it’ll have plenty of punch and shape, but the wind is cross-onshore from the SE, so it’s going to be choppy and messy. The combined energy jumps to a strong 1920 on Tuesday morning, so there’s power in the water, but it’s not clean. For a reef break like Saaga, that long-period swell might line up nicely on the better sets, but the onshore wind is a killer.

After that, from Wednesday, 29 July, right through to the end of the second week, it’s a write-off. The wind turns fresh to strong from the SE, cross-on or cross, and the swell stays around 4 ft to 5 ft, but the quality is poor. There’s a brief blip on Monday, 3 August, with clean cross-offshore winds and 5 ft from the SSE with a 12-second period, but it’s still only a 2 out of 10 – marginal at best. Then it’s back to strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy, messy surf for the rest.

The standout here is Monday, 27 July. That’s your best bet. Clean winds, moderate swell, and a decent period. It’s not going to be pumping, but it’ll be the cleanest you’ll get. If you can’t make that, the following Monday, 3 August, has a similar clean window, but it’s smaller and more marginal.

Overall, a tough outlook. The consistent theme is onshore wind. If you’re a kite surfer, the strong winds and lumpy conditions might look more interesting than a paddle. But for a regular surfer, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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