Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look what’s on the cards for the next stretch.

Honestly, it’s a tough run ahead. The wind just won’t let up. We’ve got a solid 16-day window but hardly a moment where it all comes together cleanly. The first recommendation doesn’t even turn up until Thursday the 27th, and even then it’s a marginal shout. Before that, Wednesday the 26th is a write-off – fresh cross-onshore wind at 22 mph, lumpy as hell, with 7 ft of short-period slop. Not worth paddling out.

So, from now, there’s a gap of a day with no real surf on offer.

On Thursday the 27th morning, there’s a brief flicker of hope at Saaga – a reef break, advanced only. Swell drops right down to 4 ft but it’s from the SW with a very long 15-second period, which means proper groundswell energy rolling in. The combined energy is up there at 1108 (moderate to strong), so there’s push behind it. Problem is the wind is cross-shore at 12 mph, making it a bit lumpy. Score is only a 1 out of 10, so it’s a real marginal call – maybe worth a look if you’re desperate and can handle a reef. That’s the only standout, and it’s barely a standout.

After that, the whole run from Friday the 28th all the way through to Tuesday the 10th of September is pretty grim. Every single day is flagged as poor surf conditions. Swell sizes bounce between 4 ft and 10 ft, but the wind is relentless – mostly 22 to 28 mph from the ESE or E, always cross or cross-onshore. It’s messy, lumpy, and at times, with the combined energy hitting 2022 to 3262 (strong to very strong), that’s a lot of power but completely unsurfable with the wind blowing.

Forget about the bigger days – 10 ft on Friday the 28th and 8 ft on Saturday the 29th – those are only for the brave (or fools) in these conditions, and honestly, it’s shaping up more for kite surfers than paddle surfers. The water temp is sitting at 81°F, which is just 0.5°F below the average for this time of year – perfectly normal, nothing unusual there.

There is a short-period (8 seconds) ESE swell that hangs around, and a few days around the 3rd to the 9th of September where the swell direction swings to the SW with a long period (14-19 seconds) – proper groundswell potential. But the wind never cooperates. The optimum direction for Saaga is SE, and you do get some SE swell, but the wind is always trashing it.

So here’s the bottom line: the only moment that even sniffs a surfable wave is the morning of Thursday the 27th, and that’s a big maybe. The rest of the 16 days is a blank run of poor conditions. It’s one of those stretches where you’ll be better off checking the forecast again in a few days – things can always change. But right now, it’s pretty flat out there in terms of quality.

Stay patient.

Rusty.

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