Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here.

Let’s be straight with you: the next two and a half weeks around here are going to be a real test of patience. We’ve got a solid run of poor surf conditions that just won’t let up. There’s energy in the water, with the combined swell energy often sitting well into the strong range (up to 1348 at times), but the wind has been a total deal-breaker.

We’re starting out today, the 30th of August, with a strong 7ft swell rolling in from the ESE at a short, choppy 9 seconds. The wind is howling from the East at 22 mph, making it a lumpy, cross-shore mess. Forget about it. This same pattern of onshore and cross-shore winds in the 19-25 mph range, coupled with 6ft to 7ft ESE swell, will keep things blown-out and frustrating right through the 2nd of September.

The water temp is sitting at a warm 81°, which is pretty average for this time of year, but it’s not going to sweeten the deal.

We then get a shift in the swell direction around the 3rd of September. The energy drops a little, but the swell turns clean from the SW with a much better period of 15 seconds—a proper groundswell. For a moment, it looks promising, with the combined energy climbing to a massive 2219 on the 4th of September, with the swell bumping up to 5ft from the S at 16 seconds. That’s the best we’ll see. But the wind? Still a fresh cross-shore mess. The reports go from "poor surf conditions" to just "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions." It’s a tease. The setup is still too rough for a decent paddle.

From the 6th of September onward, we’re back into a long stretch of poor surf with mixed-up, lumpy conditions. A few of those SW groundswells in the second week, reaching 16 seconds with moderate energy (around 1000), are completely ruined by persistent 22-25 mph winds. There’s even a 2ft, 19-second period swell on the 12th of September, but with a "strong cross-shore and messy" report, it’s a non-starter.

Honestly, for the entire 16-day window, there is no stand-out day to recommend. The only highlight is the bigger S swell on the 4th and 5th of September, but with the wind as rough as it is, this spot, Saaga, is going to be a blown-out, lumpy mess. If you’re looking for a paddle, look elsewhere. With these strong cross-shore winds and consistent swell, this setup honestly looks far more interesting for kite surfing than traditional paddle surfing.

It’s a hard pill to swallow, but sometimes that’s the way it goes.

Rusty.

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