Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, but I gotta be straight with you – it’s a real battle for clean surf. The only spot on the radar is Saaga, a reef break for the advanced crew, and it’s a consistent spot that’s fairly exposed to the swell. The water’s sitting at 81°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The whole period is a massive grind of wind. From Thursday the 23rd right through to the start of August, we’re dealing with a persistent cross-onshore breeze that just ruins the face. The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t show up until Thursday the 6th of August. That’s a gap of nearly two weeks of poor, lumpy, messy conditions. On the 23rd, there’s some swell (5 ft from the SSW with a solid 17-second period) and the combined energy is a strong 1468, but the cross-on wind just kills it. After that, it’s a long run of scores that are essentially zero – wind speeds are up around 19-25 mph, making it ugly.

The standout for the whole outlook is Thursday the 6th of August. On the morning, we get a cross-offshore breeze from the ENE at 19 mph, and the swell from the SW is 4 ft with a very long 18-second period. The combined energy is a strong 1436. The wind is cleaning it up nicely. That’s a ripper window for experienced surfers at Saaga. The afternoon stays clean with a lighter 12 mph breeze and 3 ft swell, but it’s a bit smaller. The long period means you’ll get those long lines and easy paddling, but it’s a reef, so it’ll handle that nicely. Before that, the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August has some size (5 ft, S swell, 13 seconds) but it’s still cross-shore and lumpy, so it’s not the one.

For the beginners, be careful. The best window on the 6th is only 3-4 ft, so that’s fine. But when the swell pushes over 5 ft later on, like on the 31st of July and 3rd of August, it’s getting too big and the wind is on it, so that’s expert-only territory. The short period windswell on the 31st (7 seconds) is just junk.

The consistent break here means it won’t stay poor forever, but this run is a test of patience. The 6th of August is your target. Get on it, because the following day the wind switches back to cross-on and the magic is gone.

Rusty.

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