Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Saaga, a reef break for the advanced crew, and it’s pretty exposed to swell. Water temp is sitting right around 82°, which is about average for this time of year – nothing unusual there. But don't get too comfortable, because this outlook is a real mixed bag with a long stretch of frustration ahead.

We kick things off on Wednesday the 8th with a small pulse of 4 ft SE swell, but it’s a write-off thanks to a stiff cross-on ESE breeze at 15 mph making things choppy. Not worth paddling out. Then the real story begins.

Thursday the 9th is our one true standout. A big SW groundswell rolls in, starting at 4 ft in the morning with a very long 17 second period and clean conditions thanks to a light cross-off ENE breeze (9 mph). The energy is already strong at 1913. By the afternoon, the swell bumps up to 7 ft, still clean with light NW winds, and the energy jumps to a pumping 2665. This is for experienced surfers only – those are powerful, long-period lines that will be proper on the reef. If you’re skilled, this is the session to chase.

After that, it gets ugly. From Friday the 10th right through to Wednesday the 15th, we’re stuck with onshore and cross-on winds, mostly from the S and SE, blowing 12 to 22 mph. The swell hangs around 4 ft to 7 ft, but the quality is poor to marginal – lumpy, choppy, messy. The period drops from 15 seconds down to 7 on the 15th, which is just a short-period, wind-driven mess. Not worth your time. The energy ranges from moderate to strong (865 to 1971) but it’s all wind-battered. The setup would actually be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing during this stretch.

Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th are no better – fresh to strong SE winds, 19 to 28 mph, with a short, weak 8 second period on the 16th (8 ft but ugly), and then a slight improvement in period to 14 seconds on the 17th, but still cross-on and messy with strong wind. Another stretch to skip.

Saturday the 18th sees a fantastic 17 second SW groundswell filling in at 4 ft, but it’s buried under a strong 25 mph ESE cross-on blow. The energy is high (2069), but you’d be fighting a gale. Not surfable for a good session.

Then we get a bit of a breather from Sunday the 19th into the final days. Swell drops to around 3 ft to 4 ft, periods are 12 to 14 seconds, and winds ease to moderate or light cross-shore and cross-on breezes. It’s still marginal at best – small, lumpy, and not offering any real quality. The 21st and 22nd have light winds but the swell is tiny, under 4 ft. Nothing to get excited about.

To wrap it up: Thursday the 9th is the only proper day to plan for – clean, powerful, long-period groundswell for the advanced. The rest of the 16 days is largely a write-off with onshore winds, messy conditions, or just tiny surf. Don’t hold your breath after that first day.

Rusty.

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