Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk in feet and miles per hour for those who think that way.

Look, straight up – this is a tricky window for Saaga. We’ve got a lot of swell pulsing through, but for the most part the wind is gonna mess it up. It’s a reef break, advanced only, and it’s consistent, so there’s always potential, but the conditions need to line up. We’ve got a real wait on our hands.

We start off the run with a lot of energy but terrible wind. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th see solid SW swell – up to 7ft and combined energy hitting strong levels (3031) – but it’s all cross-on and lumpy. That’s a write-off for quality surfing. The water temp is sitting at 82°, pretty much bang on average for this time of year, no surprises there.

Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday morning the 16th are still messy. We finally get a shift Wednesday afternoon the 16th when the wind turns cross-off from the ENE and drops to a gentle breeze at about 9 mph. The swell drops to a cleaner 4ft from the SW with 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy (1292). Conditions are clean. It’s the first real spark in the outlook.

Thursday the 17th morning is the standout of the first week. Light ENE cross-off at 9 mph, clean, with a 5ft SW swell on a 14-second period. Combined energy is moderate (1349). The reef will be handling that nicely. This is the call for experienced surfers – long period, clean, consistent.

Friday the 18th drops off quickly with short period windswell (7 seconds) and messy cross-shore winds. Then we get a bit of a lull.

The real gem shows up on Sunday the 20th. Glassy conditions. Morning has light NNW air, afternoon is dead calm from the W. Swell picks back up to 4ft from the SW at 16 seconds in the PM (1094 combined energy). That’s glassy, groundswell perfection for the reef. This is the best on offer.

Monday the 21st is also excellent. Morning is glassy with 6ft SW swell at 15 seconds – very long period, strong energy (1700). This is big, solid, and perfect for advanced crew only. The afternoon turns clean with cross-off wind. That Monday morning session is a standout, but it’s for experts.

After that, from Tuesday the 22nd into the end of the period, the wind turns on again. We get some clean moments on the 27th and 28th with smaller, cleaner waves, but the quality drops off. There’s a long stretch of marginal to poor conditions until the very end.

So to wrap it up: the best windows are Wednesday afternoon the 16th, Thursday morning the 17th, and the real standouts – Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st. Sunday is glassy, Monday has the size. Get on it if you’re experienced. The rest of the run is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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