Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next few weeks. I’m lookin’ at a pretty bleak picture for the most part, so don’t go gettin’ your hopes up just yet. The first real chance of a wave comes around the 14th, but even then it’s a bit of a gamble with the wind. For the first week, from the 8th through to the 13th, we’re lookin’ at a whole lot of nothin’. The swell is there, but the wind is just trashin’ it. We’re talkin’ 5ft to 3ft of SW groundswell, but with a cross-breeze that’s got the surface all lumpy and chopped. The energy is lackin’ too, only hittin’ around 1285 (moderate) on the 8th, and it just drops off from there. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothin’ special. It’s a tough stretch for any paddle surfer.

Now, if you’re an absolute die-hard and you’ve got to be in the water, the only window worth a second look is the 14th and 15th. On Monday the 14th, Saaga a reef break, is gettin’ a solid 8ft of SSW swell. The energy pumps up to 4406 (strong) in the morning. But here’s the rub – the wind is a fresh cross-breeze, so it’s gonna be lumpy. The period is 17 seconds, a proper long-period groundswell, which is good for a reef, but the chop will make it a challenge. This is advanced territory with that size, and the crowd factor is listed as “sometimes”, so you might have it to yourself if you’re brave. Honestly, the wind is so strong and the quality so marginal, I’d say this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. The Tuesday the 15th sees the swell drop to 5ft from the SW, with an energy of 1951 (moderate). The wind is still a moderate cross-breeze, so it’s a little cleaner, but still not great. It’s a “marginal” call, which means it’s a maybe, not a goer.

The real standout, if you can wait, is a glimpse of hope on the 21st of September. We’ve got a solid 5ft of SW swell with a 15-second period, and the energy is a respectable 1453 (moderate). But the best part? The wind is from the NNW, blowin’ cross-offshore. That’ll clean it right up, givin’ you some nice, lined-up waves. It’s still a gamble being that far out, but the conditions are lookin’ much more promising. For the rest of the second week, it’s a mess of onshore and cross-onshore winds and choppy slop, so that 21st is your best bet. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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