Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Saaga over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – this is a tough outlook. The forecast is showing a real rough patch of weather and wind, and it’s going to keep the surf pretty messy for a long stretch. We’re looking at a solid run of poor conditions, with the first real chance of something half-decent not showing up until the very end of the first week.

For the first few days, from Thursday the 27th of August right through to the start of September, the wind is howling from the east-southeast, mostly cross or cross-on, and it’s blowing strong. Those 18 to 28 mph winds are just going to chop the surface to bits. The swell is coming in from the ESE, but it’s mixed up and short period, mostly around 9 seconds, so there’s no real power or shape to it. The combined energy is moderate, hitting between 1000 and 2000, but it’s just not clean enough to paddle out for a proper wave. Water temperature is sitting at 81°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

The whole first week is a write-off, basically. There’s a small window on Sunday the 30th where the score bumps up to a 1, but that’s about as exciting as it gets – still messy cross-shore chop and lumpy conditions. You’d be fighting the wind more than the wave.

The pattern doesn’t really let up through the second week either. The wind stays strong and cross-on, and the swell direction flips around a bit. We see a bit more S and SW swell kicking in from the 4th of September, with some longer period groundswell around 15 to 17 seconds, but the wind is still ruining it. The energy gets quite strong – on the 4th we’re seeing over 2200, and on the 11th it’s up around 2300 – but with that cross-onshore breeze, it’s just going to be a lumpy, blown-out mess. For a reef break like Saaga, that’s a real shame.

If you’re a kite surfer, this setup might actually look interesting with all that cross-breeze and swell, but for a paddle surfer, there’s nothing to get excited about.

The one standout, if you can call it that, is the 11th of September. The swell is a solid 6 ft from the SW with a very long period of 17 seconds, and the energy is strong at 2348. The wind is still cross-on, unfortunately, but if it were to back off even a little, that groundswell could produce some real power at Saaga. But it’s a long way out, so don’t bank on it.

So, plain and simple: there’s no good surf on offer in this 16-day window. The conditions are just too gnarly. It’s one of those runs where the ocean is angry, and the best thing to do is wait for the forecast to change.

Rusty.

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