Saaga Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me get a look at the charts for this stretch. The whole period is a bit of a head-scratcher. Saaga is the only spot on the menu for the next 16 days, and honestly, the surf forecast for this exposed reef is looking pretty rough for most of it. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions starting right now, with messy, lumpy, cross-shore winds. The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing weird there.

The first week is a write-off for good waves. From Monday the 7th right through to the end of the following weekend on the 13th, it’s all marginal or poor. The wind is a constant issue, mostly a fresh cross-shore out of the ESE or E, just chopping everything up. There’s a long-period (16 seconds) groundswell rolling in at 4ft on Monday the 7th, but with that cross-breeze, it’s just lumpy. The energy is moderate (959), but it’s wasted. Even when we get a cleaner cross-offshore breeze on Thursday the 10th, the swell drops to 3ft with moderate energy (599), and the report still calls it marginal. Not the kind of day you’d paddle out for.

Things get a bit more interesting but not necessarily better as we hit the second week. On Monday the 14th, the swell pushes up to 6ft from the SW, and the energy jumps to strong (2580), but the wind swings to a cross-onshore SE. For a solid reef like Saaga, that’s just a washing machine. The surf is poor, lumpy, and honestly, at that size with onshore wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The only little flicker of hope comes on Saturday the 19th. We get a small, short-period windswell from the ESE at 5ft, and the wind turns offshore and strong out of the N. The report says it’s clean but hard to paddle into. That offshore wind will groom it, but at a period of just 7 seconds, it’s going to be a bumpy, gutless wave. It’s marginal at best, but if you’re desperate for a clean face, that’s your window. The energy is weak (697). After that, it’s right back to the onshore junk for the rest of the period.

Bottom line: there are no true standouts here. The best of a bad bunch is probably the late morning of Saturday the 19th if you can fight the current and want a clean, albeit weak, wave. Otherwise, it’s a blank run. In an area like this, it tends not to stay poor for long, and forecasts can change, but for now, leave the boards in the car.

Rusty.

Read more