Rosie's Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Rosie’s Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’re in a bit of a slow patch. The first real action we can talk about kicks off on Saturday the 11th, but it’s not a barnstormer. The water is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year.

For Saturday morning, we’ve got a small 3ft swell pushing in from the SSW with a long 15-second period, giving the place a moderate energy feel (574). The wind is light and cross-on, so it’s a bit bumpy, but the afternoon cleans right up. By Saturday afternoon the wind goes glassy, dead calm, and that same 3ft, 15-second SSW swell is your best bet for a little session. The conditions are set to be very good, but it’s small, so keep your expectations in check.

Sunday the 12th is a write-off. The wind is up from the SSE at 12 mph, putting a nasty cross-chop on the 2ft SW swell. Not worth paddling out for.

Monday the 13th morning is another glassy window, with a tiny 2ft, 14-second SSW swell. The energy is weak (256), but if you’re desperate for a clean, gentle paddle, this is it. The afternoon gets wrecked by a 9 mph cross-shore.

Things get a bit more interesting mid-week, but the quality drops. From Tuesday the 14th through Thursday the 16th, we see a mix of short-period, weak windswell from the west, and the wind stays messy. The swell height bumps up to 4ft to 4ft, but the period drops to 8-9 seconds, and the energy is low to moderate (194-434). The winds are cross-on, creating chop. Not worth your time.

The standout session – and I mean the *real* standout – is Saturday the 18th in the afternoon. Now, listen up. The swell builds to 8ft from the WNW, but it’s a short 8-second period, and the energy is strong (983). The trouble is, the wind is a moderate 16 mph cross-shore, so it’s gonna be a bumpy, cross-choppy mess. And on top of that, the swell is predicted to be too big for Rosie’s Bay. This is expert-only territory, and even then, the wind is going to make it a battle. For most of us, this is a day to watch from the beach.

The rest of the second week is a bit of a blur of similar conditions. Sunday the 19th through Thursday the 23rd sees swell heights between 5ft and 7ft from the WNW, but the period is short (7-8 seconds) and the wind is almost always a cross-on moderate breeze. The energy levels are moderate to strong (367-988), but the quality is poor. On Wednesday the 22nd morning, the swell hits 7ft, and the energy is very strong (988), but again, it’s flagged as too big for this break with a cross-on wind.

The very end of the run, Sunday the 26th, shows a shift. We get a long-period 20-second groundswell from the SW, but it’s only 3ft to 3ft. The energy is still strong (1030-890), but the wind is light cross-on, keeping it marginal.

So, the honest truth? The best on offer is that glassy Saturday afternoon the 11th for a small, clean, relaxing surf. The Saturday the 18th afternoon has the size for the brave, but the wind and lack of shape make it more of a novelty than a classic. Don’t expect a lot of easy waves in this stretch.

Rusty.

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