Racetrack Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, but it kicks off with a bang before settling into a long, drawn-out run of so-so conditions. The real standout is the opening day, so make sure you’re on it.

The first few days are the only ones really worth writing home about. Wednesday the 15th is the clear winner. The swell is coming in at a solid 7ft from the SSW, with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and there’s a lot of it—the combined energy dials in at 2118, which is strong. The wind is offshore from the ESE at 12 mph, keeping the surface clean. This is a spot for advanced surfers only, and it’s always crowded, so expect company. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing weird there.

Wednesday afternoon drops a touch to 6ft, but the wind picks up to 16 mph, still offshore and clean. The energy is still very strong at 1661. It’s a two-session day if you’ve got the arms for it.

Thursday the 16th is still decent, but the size drops to 5ft in the morning and 5ft in the afternoon. The wind is a fresh offshore breeze at 19 mph, so it’s clean but a bit more blustery. The energy is still moderate, with readings around 1100-1178. The kicker is that the swell is still long-period, coming from the SSW and SW. This is a reef and point break, so that long period will wrap in nicely.

From Friday the 17th all the way through to the end of the month, we’re looking at a long stretch of marginal surf. The size hangs around 4ft to 6ft, but the wind is a persistent fresh offshore breeze, which keeps things clean. The problem is the swell energy is mostly moderate, dipping into the 700-900 range on the weaker days. The bigger push comes back on Monday the 20th with a 7ft SSW swell and a 17-second period, cranking the energy up to 2635, but the conditions are still described as marginal. That’s a tease.

By the time we get to the 24th and 25th, the period drops a bit, but the size stays in the 4ft to 6ft range. The 26th sees a small drop to 4ft, and the 27th is barely 3ft. The 29th and 30th have a bit of a rebound to 4ft-5ft, with the 30th morning looking like a hidden gem for experienced surfers with clean, offshore wind and a 5ft SSW swell.

Overall, don’t sleep on Wednesday the 15th. That’s the one. The rest of the window is a lot of waiting for something to really click again. It’s not terrible, just average. The forecasts can change, but for now, make that first session count.

Rusty

Read more